Hitting the Wall How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement 42 Contract Management | September 2011 A review of the current federal budget process as it has evolved from the intentions of the founding fathers into modern congressional procedure. BY Christopher Robey Contract Management | September 2011 43 “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.” —James Carville, Clinton administration political adviser 1 It is clear from recent events that serious problems impede the U.S. federal budget process. Symptoms range from an over reliance on continuing resolutions and omnibus appropriations to the near-miss government shutdown of nonessential functions, to the recent controversy over the national debt ceiling. This article reviews the federal budget process as it has evolved from the intentions of the founding fathers into modern congressional procedure, a topic of growing interest to both federal agency management and contractors alike. A major premise of this article is that there will be no grand design, compromise, or solution to the problems described in this article by the end of the current fiscal year. 44 Contract Management | September 2011 Rather, we can expect the consequences of the breakdown of the budget process to recur into the foreseeable future until Congress is forced to abide by its own rules. Aggravated by the uncertainty of the budget process as it has evolved, systemic shocks now being discounted into marketing forecasts by U.S. government contractors include declines in total discretionary spending to pre–Recovery Act levels, as well as declines in expenditures for some government market segments to pre-2001 levels. The Basic Process In the view of Roy T. Meyers of the University of Maryland and former analyst at the Congressional Budget Office, there are four goals of the congressional budget process: Allocating time efficiently to different activities, such as planning, budgeting, and conducting oversight; Completing preparation of the budget by the target date; Responding to changed conditions; and Maintaining the proper influence of the Congress on policy.2 With a foundation in Article I of the U.S. Constitution, stating that the sole power to raise revenue, collect taxes, and appro- Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement priate funds resides in the U.S. Congress, the architecture of the budget process is shaped by: Reconciliation instructions are intended to identify the committees that must recommend changes in laws affecting revenues or direct spending programs within their The Congressional Budget Act of 19743 (CBA), which provides for the annual adoption of a concurrent resolution on the budget. “The congressional budget resolution is an agreement between the House and Senate on a budget plan for the upcoming fiscal year and at least the following four fiscal years…. The budget resolution…provides Congress a framework for subsequent legislative action on budget matters during each congressional session.”4 jurisdiction in order to implement the priorities agreed to in the budget resolution. All committees receiving such instructions must submit recommended legislative language to the Budget Committee in their respective chamber, which packages the recommended language as an omnibus measure and reports the measure without substantive revision.8 Authorizations vs. Appropriations Authorization bills produced by their respective House and Senate committees will authorize the appropriation of funds from the U.S. Treasury within the limits of the budget resolution, and will often contain programmatic guidance found in organic legislation; e.g., indicating the Executive Branch agency responsible for the program, as well as whether the program shall be supported through assistance (grants/cooperative agreements) or through acquisition The Budget Enforcement Act of 19975 (BEA), which builds on the earlier efforts of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 19856 and the Budget Enforcement Act of 19907 by establishing discretionary spending limits and requirements for pay-as-you-go procedures and a reconciliation bill to correlate revenue estimates and total appropriations. Critically, these controls were allowed to expire in 2002. As the name implies, the pay-as-you-go procedures of the BEA require that any proposed increase in discretionary spending over the budget baseline established by the CBA must be offset, either by increased revenue (e.g., taxes) or a corresponding decrease in discretionary expenditures (e.g., appropriations) elsewhere in the budget. Budget authority for nondiscretionary, entitlement spending is mandated by law other than through appropriations, and in summary estimates, it establishes the negotiation room within discretionary accounts. The reconciliation procedure of the BEA is intended to bring revenues and spending into conformity with the levels set in the annual, nonstatutory budget resolution required by the CBA. As explained by James V. Saturno, of the Congressional Research Service: Contract Management | September 2011 45 Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement figure one Informal Nomenclature for Fiscal Year 2012 Appropriations Agriculture Interior and Environment Commerce/ Justice/Science Labor/HHS/ Education Defense Legislative Branch Energy and Water Military/Veterans Financial Services State/Foreign Operations Homeland Security Transportation/ HUD (contracts). However, the authorization process has been weakened by the growing reliance on indefinite authorization acts, as well as those allowed to expire without renewal. As noted in Principles of Federal Appropriations Law: tive Branch the budget authority to receive funds from the U.S. Treasury for agency operations in the designated fiscal year. The depth and scope of U.S. appropriations law and associated decisions of the U.S. comptroller general indicate the importance of the appropriation power. The Process as Executed— Status Quo Ante The authoritative source for appropriation bill status is the THOMAS website operated by the Library of Congress.10 The informal nomenclature from the site for the fiscal year 2012 appropriations is shown in FIGURE 1 on the left. “definite” (setting dollar limits either in the aggregate or for specific fiscal years) or “indefinite” (authorizing “such sums as may be necessary to carry out the provisions of this act”)…. An authorization act is basically a directive to Congress itself, which Congress is free to follow or alter (up or down) in the The majority of appropriations today are subsequent appropriation act.9 preceded by some form of authorization, although, as noted, it is not statutorily required in all cases…. Authorizations contained in organic legislation may be 30 As is widely understood, the 12 annual appropriation acts are taken much more seriously because they transmit to the Execu- It is immediately obvious that the congressional committee jurisdictions for the individual appropriation bills do not neatly coincide with the organization of the Executive Branch, even to the point at which agencies are expected to derive operating funds from different appropriations. However, recent budgetary pressure and the growing uncertainty of the timing and amount of annual funding have forcefully brought this anomaly to the attention of agency program managers and the contractors who Congressional Budget Process Anomalies 25 20 15 10 5 0 figure two 46 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Fiscal Year Continuing Resolutions Supplemental Appropriations Contract Management | September 2011 Omnibus or Consolidated Appropriations Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement support them. Nowhere has this uncertainty become more apparent than in the growing reliance upon continuing resolutions and omnibus/consolidated appropriations to evade fiscal year deadlines, as well as the use of supplemental appropriations to preserve budget baselines from year to year. The last fiscal year in which all appropriations were passed on time and that no such anomalies were required was in fiscal year 1998, which is the point of origin for the chart shown in FIGURE 2 on page 46.11 tant government services and activities. Appropriation bills must then address programmatic problems that should have been dealt with by the committees with authorizing jurisdiction.13 As expected, the resulting politicization of the appropriations process has contributed to delays in timely execution, as well as created opportunities for the insertion of earmarks. Desperate Times Call for Desperate Measures As indicated by the near-miss U.S. government shutdown of 2011, the failure of the CBA and the BEA to control the budget process has resulted in the proposals itemized below: Since 1974, many amendments to the U.S. Constitution have been proposed to require a balanced budget; e.g., as embedded in the “Contract with America” The budget subcommittee jurisdictions of the House and Senate were realigned in fiscal year 2004 with the effect of reducing the number of appropriation bills from 13 to 12. However, problems remained with missed deadlines for budget resolutions and baselines,12 supplemental appropriations with nongermane riders adding to the total, and dependence upon continuing resolutions and omnibus appropriations prepared under duress. The Process as Executed—The Wheels Come Off In addition to the problems with the BEA, further consequences of the breakdown of the authorization process are analyzed by Scott Lilly, former staff director of the House Appropriations Committee and currently senior fellow at the Center for American Progress: The Congressional Budget Office reports that in the current fiscal year, FY 2010, about half of the money provided for the nondefense activities of the government ($290 billion out of $584 billion) had to be appropriated without legal authority. That is because a total of 250 laws authorizing various pieces of the federal bureaucracy had expired, and Congress had failed to take the necessary steps through the authorizing process to enact replacement legislation…. This problem then cascades into the appropriations process as the Senate leaders must decide whether to fund programs for which there is no legal authority or terminate impor- Contract Management | September 2011 47 Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement by the 104th Congress as the Line Item Veto Act of 1996,14 which was subsequently declared unconstitutional. Such legislation inevitably will include legalistic exceptions described in mechanical terms, such as “triggers,” “lockboxes,” and other contraptions intended to exclude the application of the law to the circumstances of the day. Biennial budgeting proposals have returned as a means to reduce earmarks inserted by appropriation committee members.15 The current bill, S. 211 (“Biennial Budgeting and Appropriations Act”), has its roots in the identically titled S. 261 of the 105th Congress of 1997. The appeal of the concept derives from the expectation that Congress will devote itself exclusively to agency management and oversight tasks in the off-cycle year. Whether this is a realistic expectation is unclear; however, several states that have tried biennial procedures have returned to annual budgeting due to the failure of expected benefits to materialize, as well as the timing disconnect with the annual revenue cycle.16 The U.S. House of Representatives leadership has proposed disaggregating the customary 12 annual appropriation bills into votes for individual line items within appropriation bills: House Republicans are considering a plan that would allow “separate votes but not separate legislation for some of the appropriations bills,” said a senior GOP aide, although details on how that will work are not yet available.17 The Digital Accountability and Transparency Act of 201118 proposes a Federal Accountability and Spending Transparency Board with authority to: …issue subpoenas to compel the testimony of persons who are not federal officers or employees and may enforce such subpoenas in 48 Contract Management | September 2011 the same manner as provided for inspector general subpoenas under section 6 of the Inspector General Act of 1978 (524 U.S.C. App.).19 Such authority is felt necessary to compel testimony from recalcitrant contractors and grant recipients over a proposed expansion of reporting requirements first experimented with in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.20 Effects on Agencies For fiscal year 2010, largely as a result of agency financial systems in a state of disarray, using obsolete legacy IT systems that cannot produce consistent and verifiable results, “the Government Accountability Office…issued a disclaimer of audit opinion on the accrual-based governmentwide financial statements for the fourteenth consecutive year.”21 In such an operating environment, annual policy reminders to contracting officers of their obligations under the Anti-Deficiency Act22 become routine. With both administrative and penal sanctions for violation by an officer or employee of the U.S. government, this law also serves as the basis for the “Limitation of Cost” clause23 and the “Limitations of Funds” clause24 of the Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR), which are applicable to cost-reimbursement contracts. Whether the contract is either Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement fully or incrementally funded, these clauses are intended to relieve the contractor of performance risk if funds are exhausted,25 and will certainly come into play in times of unstable budgeting and programming. As well, agencies can expect ad hoc, reactive policy guidance from the Office of Management and Budget regarding continuing resolutions and other budget matters.26 Effects on Contractors While a quasi-default may be regarded as the “soft landing,” the rating agencies (Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s) will not want to get caught flat-footed, as they were by the 2008 collapse of the mortgage securitization market.31 In such an event, the higher interest rates required by the market to fund U.S. government debt will increase the crowdingout felt by nonfederal borrowers in competition for working capital in the same markets, with indirect effects on the capital structure of such borrowers. Conclusion—Kick The Can Down The Road? In 1993, Leon Panetta testified before Congress as the director of the Office of Management and Budget to advocate the budget process goals of stability, rationality, oversight, predictability, and reduced opportunities for “special projects” (i.e., “pork”).32 The institutional culture that he opposed, and which will hopefully pass away, is represented by the unattributed quote from a cynical member of Congress in 1977: “That’s the beauty of the budget process. You can In the coming environment of discretionary budget declines and programmatic uncertainty, contractors will contend with increased data calls from customer agencies, as well as a renewed emphasis on eliminating improper payments27 and contentious efforts to achieve savings through “will-cost” and “should-cost” estimates.28 As Leon Panetta has testified at his confirmation hearings as U.S. Secretary of Defense: I think…we are dealing with a culture that has developed that somehow we have got to change. And I know during the period from September 11, there has been an awful lot of money that has been put into the defense budget, a lot of equipment that has been developed during that period. And I think at the same time, a lot of it has certainly been worthwhile, been important to our national defense. But a lot of bad habits have developed during that period.29 Speaking of bad habits, the U.S. government has defaulted on its obligations before. In 1979, due to debt ceiling delays and a computer failure, the U.S. Treasury failed to make timely payment on $122 million in Treasury bills.30 In that instance, the most charitable thing would be to call it an “accident.” While Section 4 of the 14th Amendment requires that: “The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law…shall not be questioned,” the current prospect of selective, partial default by the U.S. government must be considered to be analogous to a tactical bankruptcy, with senior debt holders to be paid first, the U.S. Civil Service next, and contractors last in line as unsecured creditors. Contract Management | September 2011 49 Hitting the Wall: How the Breakdown of the Federal Budget Process Affects Government Procurement vote for all of your favorite programs, and then vote against the deficit.”33 There are now ongoing efforts to rebuild incrementally a disciplined budget process for the current era of resource constraints. Authorization committee chairmen are reasserting the importance of oversight in the budget process, while the Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 201034 restores the payas-you-go procedures of the BEA of 1990. As well, the GPRA Modernization Act of 201035 seeks to improve the Government Performance and Results Act of 1993 (GPRA)36 through improved performance assessment and communication between agencies and Congress. More will be required, but these efforts are a good start. CM About the Author 4. Bill Heniff Jr. and Justin Murray, “Congressional Budget Resolutions: Historical Information,” Congressional Research Service Report 7-5700 (April 4, 2011): 2, available at www.fas.org/ sgp/crs/misc/RL30297.pdf. 5. Title X of Public Law 105-33. 6. Public Law 99-177 (a.k.a. the Gramm-RudmanHollings Act). 7. Title XIII of Public Law 101-508. 8. James V. Saturno, “The Congressional Budget Process: A Brief Overview,” Congressional Research Service Report RS20095 (January 28, 2004): CRS-3, available at www.fas.org/sgp/ crs/misc/RL30297.pdf. 9. Principles of Federal Appropriations Law, Volume I (The GAO Red Book, 2004). http:// www.gao.gov/htext/d04261sp.html 10. http://thomas.loc.gov/home/thomas.php. 11. Data derived from http://thomas.loc.gov/ home/approp/app12.html. 12. Congress has failed to complete action on budget resolutions for fiscal years 1999, 2003, 2005, 2007, and 2011; see Heniff and Murray, note 4. 13. Scott Lilly, “From Deliberation to Dysfunction: It is Time for Procedural Reform in the U.S. Senate,” Center for American Progress (March 2010): 3, available at www.americanprogress. org/issues/2010/03/pdf/filibuster.pdf. 14. Public Law 104-130. 15. See Bob Cusack and Erik Wasson, “GOP Could Push for Two-Year Budget as Price of Deal to Raise Debt Ceiling,” The Hill (June 7, 2011), available at http://thehill.com/homenews/ house/165035-gop-may-push-for-two-yearbudget-as-price-of-debt-deal. CHRISTOPHER ROBEY, CPCM, NCMA Fellow, is a member of the Washington DC Chapter of NCMA and is a procurement analyst at the Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Customs and Border Protection. He holds an MBA from Long Island University, as well as a masters in public policy from Georgetown University. Send comments about this article to [email protected]. The views expressed in this article are those of the author, and do not reflect the policy or position of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Customs and Border Protection, or the U.S. government. 16. Meyers, see note 2, at 23. 17. John Bresnahan, “GOP Softens Budget Timeline Ambition,” The Hill (May 20, 2011): 13, available at www.politico.com/news/stories/0511/55351.html. 18. H.R. 2146. 19. www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-112hr2146ih/ pdf/BILLS-112hr2146ih.pdf. 20. Public Law 111-5. 21. U.S. Government Accountability Office, “A Citizen’s Guide to the 2010 Financial Report of the U.S. Government,” available at www.gao.gov/financial/ fy2010/10frusg.pdf. 22. 31 U.S.C. §1341. 23. FAR 52.232-20. Endnotes 1. 50 As quoted in Liz Capo McCormick and Daniel Kruger, “Bond Vigilantes Confront Obama as Housing Falters” (May 29, 2009), available at www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsar chive&sid=a6eMpGVUDeeE&refer=home#. 2. Roy T. Meyers, “Biennial Budgeting by the U.S. Congress,” Public Budgeting & Finance (January 1, 1988): 22. 3. Titles I–IX of Public Law 93-344, as amended; 2 U.S.C. 601– 688. Contract Management | September 2011 24. FAR 52.232-22. 25. See Ralph C. Nash Jr., Steven L. Schooner, Karen R. O’Brien-DeBakery, and Vernon J. Edwards; Government Contracts Reference Book, third ed. (Washington, DC: The George Washington University, 2007): 356. 26. See, e.g., Office of Federal Procurement Policy, Administrator’s Memorandum for Chief Acquisition Officers and Senior Procurement Executives, “Conducting Acquisitions under a Continuing Resolution” (February 6, 2007); and Office of Management and Budget Circular No. A-11, Section 123, “Apportionments under Continuing Resolutions.” 27. See Improper Payments Elimination and Recovery Act of 2010 (Public Law 111–204), available at www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/ omb/financial/_improper/PL_111-204.pdf. 28. See Office of the Secretary of Defense Memorandum, “Joint Memorandum on Savings Related to “Should Cost” (April 22, 2011), available at www.dau.mil/homepage%20documents/USD_ATL_Memo.pdf. 29. “Hearing to Consider the Nomination of Hon. Leon E. Panetta to be Secretary of Defense,” Committee on Armed Services, U.S. Senate (June 9, 2011), available at http://armed-services.senate.gov/Transcripts/2011/06%20 June/11-47%20-%206-9-11.pdf. 30. “America’s Debt Ceiling: The Mother of All Tail Risks,” The Economist (June 25, 2011): 83. 31. See Walter Brandimarte, “Exclusive: S&P to deeply cut U.S. ratings if debt payment missed,” Reuters (June 29, 2011), available at www. reuters.com/article/2011/06/29/ us-usa-debt-sandp-idUSTRE75S5GV20110629. 32. See “Statement of Leon E. Panetta, director, Office of Management and Budget, before the Subcommittee on Legislation and National Security, Committee on Government Operations, U.S. House of Representatives” (October 7, 1993). 33. As quoted in Aaron Wildavsky, “Ask Not What Budgeting Does to Society But What Society Does to Budgeting,” National Journal Reprints (Washington, DC, 1977): 4. 34. Public Law 111-139. 35. Public Law 111-352. 36. Public Law 103-62.
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