Equity Research Medco Energy International BUY MEDC IJ / MEDC.JK Company Initiation | Oil & Gas Sector 29 December 2016 Game Changer Nyoman Widita Prabawa [email protected] Positive catalyst on Batu Hijau NNT asset acquisition In November 2016, MEDC finalized the acquisition of Newmont Nusa Tenggara (NNT), a copper and gold mining enterprise in Batu Hijau, for USD404mn; this was carried out through the purchase of 50% of Amman Mineral Resources, which controls around 82.2% of NNT assets. We expect this will boost MEDC earnings prospects going forward, given its attractive and solid operational condition. As of 2015, NNT Batu Hijau production has reached around 240mn lbs of copper and 0.3mn oz per annum. Based on our rough estimation using 2015 figures, NNT could generate net profit for MEDC of around USD193mn given its 41.1% share interest in NNT. Bolstering E&P assets with acquisitions of CSOP and CIL in SNSB Another major 2016 acquisition by MEDC was the purchase of 100% shareholding of ConocoPhillips oil & gas offshore business units, ‘ConocoPhillips Singapore Operations’ (CSOP) and ‘ConocoPhillips Indonesia’ (CIL), holding a 40% working interest and operatorship in South Natuna Sea Block B (SNSB) along with operatorship of the West Natuna Transportation System. This would expand MEDC oil & gas upstream production by ~28.1% to around 82 MBOEPD (9M16: 64 MBOEPD). The total transaction of the acquisitions was around USD239mn. +6221 23587222 ext 180 Target Price: IDR1,600 C urrent Price: IDR1,290 Upside potential: 24.0% PRICE PERFORMANCE 2,100 1,900 1,700 1,500 1,300 1,100 900 700 Positive outlook on the new strategy Amidst a continued low oil price condition, MEDC management has been implementing several strategies to maintain earnings growth. Firstly, implementation of efficiency across business units, including capital expenditures and oil & gas lifting costs. Note that MEDC expects to lower its lifting costs per barrel to USD5.7/bl in 2016F (-37% YoY, 9M16: USD4.7/bl), and we are confident this will continue, reaching USD5.7/bl and USD 5.8/bl in 2017F and 2018F respectively. Secondly, conducting rationalization of their portfolio horizons, through optimization of MEDC’s most productive assets as well as focusing on domestic acquisition potentials and PSC extensions. 500 Dec-15 Mar-16 MEDC IJ Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 JCI Rebase as of 28-Dec-16 So urce: B lo o mberg, B CA Sekuritas STOCK PERFORMANCE Initiate with a BUY, TP of IDR1,600 We initiate coverage on MEDC with a BUY rating TP of IDR1,600, based on DCF based valuation (WACC:6.5%) translated to 24% upside. We estimated MEDC earnings will improve by 96.5% in 2017F and 31.0% in 2018F, on the back of higher revenue contribution from their oil & gas and mining business We have yet to include contribution from NNT and SNSB given limited data. Potential risks to our call lie in MEDC’s ability to maintain their lifting rate given deteriorating oil & gas wellhead conditions, and lower crude oil prices. Exhibit 1. Financial Summary Description (USDmn) Revenue EBITDA Net Profit BCAS/consensus (%) EPS (IDR) EPS Growth (%) DPS (IDR) PE (x) PB (x) EV/EBITDA (x) Dividend yield (%) Payout ratio (%) ROE (%) Net Gearing (%) 2014A 751 253 5 19 (53.0) 15 66.6 0.4 5.1 1.1 76.3 0.5 111.6 2015A 628 215 (182) (740) na 0 na 0.3 6.7 0.0 0.0 (26.1) 160.4 2016F 572 274 28 114.9 112 na 45 11.5 0.3 5.5 3.5 40.0 3.7 157.9 Source: Company, BCAS estimate, *pricing as of 28 December 2016 closing price 2017F 658 351 55 165.6 221 96.5 88 5.8 0.3 3.4 6.8 40.0 5.6 88.3 2018F 702 399 72 106.9 289 31.0 116 4.5 0.3 3.2 9.0 40.0 7.0 92.4 52-week price range (IDR) : 670 - 1,950 Market cap (IDRbn)/(USDmn) : 4,298.9 / 319.4 Avg Daily Turnover (IDRbn/USDmn) : 7.3 / 0.5 So urce: B lo o mberg MARKET DATA YTD 1M Absolute 62.3% 4.5% JC I Return 13.4% Relative 48.8% 3M 12M -15.7% 63.3% 1.9% -4.0% 14.3% 2.6% -11.7% 49.0% So urce: B lo o mberg SHAREHOLDERS Encore Energy Pte Ltd : 51.7% C redit Suisse AG : 21.2% PT Prudential Life Assurance : 8.5% Others (each below 5%) : 18.7% So urce: B lo o mberg Exhibit 2. Financial Summary Income Statement Year–end 31 Dec (USDmn) Revenue Cost of revenue Gross profit EBITDA Depreciation EBIT Net interest income (expense) FX gain (losses) Other income (expense) Pre-tax profit Taxes Minority interests Net income EPS (IDR) Balance sheet Year–end 31 Dec (IDRbn) Cash and equivalents Account receivables Inventories L-T Invest & receivables Fixed assets Other assets Total assets S-T liabilities Other S-T liabilities L-T liabilities Other L-T liabilities Total liabilities Minority interest Equity Total liabilities & equity Cash Flows Statement Year–end 31 Dec (IDRbn) Net Income Depreciation Change in working capital Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Others Investing cash flow Dividend paid Net change in debt Others Financing cash flow Change in cash Beginning cash flow Ending cash flow Key Ratios Gross margin (%) EBITDA margin (%) EBIT margin (%) Pretax margin (%) Net margin (%) ROAE (%) ROAA (%) Current ratio (x) Acid ratio (x) Gearing (%) Net gearing (%) AR turnover (days) Inventory turnover (days) AP turnover (days) 2014A 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 751 480 271 253 97 156 (61) 0 11 106 (98) (4) 5 19 628 420 208 215 126 90 (71) 0 (165) (146) (34) (2) (182) (740) 572 350 222 274 151 123 (107) 0 33 49 (19) (2) 28 112 658 376 283 351 172 179 (113) 0 30 97 (39) (3) 55 221 702 392 310 399 197 202 (72) 0 23 154 (77) (5) 72 289 2014A 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 207 102 42 493 1,178 645 2,668 0 468 1,002 311 1,781 10 878 2,668 463 99 40 262 1,055 991 2,910 0 527 1,322 360 2,208 5 696 2,910 432 102 38 268 956 1,310 3,105 26 555 1,367 406 2,354 7 745 3,105 569 117 42 271 912 1,232 3,143 29 560 1,167 399 2,156 10 977 3,143 412 125 44 275 948 1,305 3,109 29 584 1,067 393 2,073 15 1,020 3,109 2014A 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 5 97 146 247 (287) (13) (300) (4) 52 (58) (10) (63) 270 207 (182) 126 350 294 (364) 194 (170) 0 320 (187) 132 257 207 463 28 151 (418) (240) (51) 214 163 (11) 72 (16) 45 (31) 463 432 55 172 192 418 (129) (27) (156) (22) (197) 94 (126) 137 432 569 72 197 56 324 (232) (12) (244) (29) (100) (108) (236) (157) 569 412 2014A 2015A 2016F 2017F 2018F 36.1 33.7 20.7 14.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.6 1.5 202.9 111.6 49 32 70 33.1 34.3 14.2 (23.3) (28.9) (26.1) (6.3) 2.0 1.9 317.1 160.4 57 35 67 38.9 47.8 21.5 8.5 4.8 3.7 0.9 2.3 2.2 316.1 157.9 65 40 97 42.9 53.3 27.2 14.7 8.3 5.6 1.7 2.4 2.3 220.6 88.3 65 41 86 44.1 56.8 28.8 21.9 10.2 7.0 2.3 2.2 2.1 203.2 92.4 65 41 82 MEDC’s revenue stream improve by higher oil & gas production … ... resulting in cash generation higher Prior to high net gearing level, the management more prudent in allocating capital expenditure in 2017 We expecting margins improvements in 2017F2018F Source: Company, BCAS estimates 2 Major Acquisitions Newmont Nusa Tenggara (NNT) According to the transaction disclosure, the total acquisition value of Newmont Nusa Tenggara (renamed as ‘Amman Mineral Nusa Tenggara’) mines amount to USD404mn for 50% shareholding in Amman Mineral Investama (AMIV), and MEDC is to provide 5-year loans to AMIV of USD246mn. The deal was fully funded through 3 SOE banks (BMRI, BBNI, and BBRI), with outstanding syndicated working capital loans of around USD750mn. As of 2015, NNT’s Batu Hijau mines contain proven copper reserves of around 2.6bn lbs, along with 2.7mn oz of gold, with annual production of 240mn lbs and 0.3mn oz, respectively. Additionally, there is the potential development of the Elang mining site (in proximity to Bukit Hijau), with estimated production of 300-430mn lbs of copper and 0.350.60mn oz of gold annually. Profitable operational outlook We believe this acquisition bodes well for MEDC business portfolio, going forward. In 2015, NNT Bukit Hijau generated revenue of around USD1.6bn (USD669mn from copper & USD 975mn from gold), with total assets of around USD3.5bn. Post the acquisitions, MEDC and AP Investment each entitled 41.1% shares of NNT mining operations, which translates to potential earnings generation roughly around USD193mn (based on FY15 figures). Hence, based on this, the payback-period is estimated roughly at 2.5 years of the acquisition value. Exhibit 3. Newmont Nusa Tenggara asset overview The acquisition of NNT Batu Hijau asset will become game changer for MEDC, given its solid business outlook Source: Company Exhibit 4. Newmont potential asset development Elang site is located near Batu Hijau, with potential resources of a maximum of 12.9bn copper and 19.7mn oz gold Source: Company 3 Massive capital requirements for further business expansion In order to settle its outstanding syndicated loan, expected to mature within the next 2.5 years, as well as amassing capital requirement for NNT business development, MEDC plans massive fund raising through an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on Amman Mineral Resources level, expected in 2017F. Several projects would commence on NNT mining site: 1). Entering the 7th mining stage of Bukit Hijau In its current production, Bukit Hijau mining has entered the 6th stage of the mining process, expected to deplete by end-2017F. Hence, MEDC would require a new capital expenditure to develop a new 7th stage mine pit (final expected reserve in Bukit Hijau). 2). Development of new mining pit in Elang Reservoir Concurrently, MEDC also targets expansion of their mining reservoir by developing a new mining pit in Elang by end-2017F, and massive investment is expected through 2018F, depending on the availability of a conveyor belt between Bukit Hijau and Elang, or development of new facilities in Elang. 3) Mandate on opening smelter by the government In accordance with government regulation (PP) No.1/2014, which obliges mining companies to construct smelters in order to qualify for an extension of their entitled export permit, MEDC management strongly supports its commitment to build its own smelter by 2018F. ConocoPhillips subsidiaries in South Natuna Sea MEDC is also conducting several strategic acquisitions in 2016, to strengthen their exploration & production business (E&P), including ConocoPhillips Singapore Operations (CSOP) and ConocoPhillips Indonesia (CIL), which holds 40% of working interest and operatorship in South Natuna Sea Block B (SNSB), along with operatorship of West Natuna Transportation System. SNSB produces around 266 MMSCFD gas, 5 KOEPD LPG, 19 MBOEPD oil reserves and is connected with West Natuna Transportation System (WNTS), which serves gas transmission pipelines to 3 PSC in Natuna, and onward to Singapore onshore. Other capital expenditures Given high net gearing ratio, MEDC will maintain its capital expenditure budget at a moderate level for the next 3 years. Most of their capex in that time will mainly be used for finalizing their ongoing wellhead and mining site development projects, and maintenancerelated costs. Exhibit 5. MEDC capital expenditure, 2010 – 2018F (USDmn) We expect MEDC to significantly reduce their capex allocations, given relatively high net gearing ratio Capex 400 357 350 315 300 250 250 220 189 200 150 170 127 143 100 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F Source: Company, BCAS estimate, * excluding acquisitions 4 MEDC Energy Assets One of the largest domestic E&P Company Presently, MEDC is engaged in 25 PSC, both domestically and internationally. With 13 asset blocks in a production phase, and 12 asset blocks under development & in exploration (exhibit 16), MEDC’ core expertise sustains their upstream oil & gas exploration & production business. As of 9M16, MEDC Oil & Gas production has reached around 63.9 MBOEPD, which represents around ~8% of total domestic Oil & Gas production. In addition, MEDC 2P Oil & Gas reserves stand at 262 MMBOE, and potential resources up to 350 MMBOE, with 17 years’ reserve life index. MEDC oil & gas energy proportion is around 24.1% and 75.9%, respectively, mainly due to higher content of natural gas in most MEDC wellheads. Exhibit 6. MEDC asset horizon Massive business network, with exposure of up to 25 PSC domestically and internationally Source: Company Exhibit 7. MEDC’ Energy Resources Natural gas remains the major part of MEDC energy proportion Potential Resources ~350 MMBOE Oil 24.1% Gas 75.9% Foreign 24.0% Domestic 76.0% Source: Company 5 MEDC Oil & Gas production outlook Low global oil price has become the main obstacle for oil & gas producers as it significantly cuts into the economic value of their energy assets, while relatively high production costs persist. This is reflected in MEDC’s revenue contribution from oil & gas segment, which is expected to drop by 25% between 2014 – 2016F, and consequently hampers their earnings prospects. In response, Management has initiated portfolio rationalization, prioritizing their most productive and efficient wellheads (Rimau block) to hold cash costs at a reasonable level (exhibit 8). Against this, we are seeing a more positive outlook on MEDC gas production, mainly driven by their newly-acquired South Natuna Sea block B (SNSB) and Senoro - Toili block (exhibit 9). Exhibit 8. MEDC’ oil lifting volume, 2010 – 2018F (MBOEPD) Low global crude oil price has caused MEDC to halt part of their oil production Oil Lifting 35 31 30 30 30 26 25 22 22 20 21 22 20 15 10 5 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F Source: Company, Exhibit 9. MEDC’ gas sales volume, 2010 – 2018F (BBTUPD) Gas Sales 300 258 263 266 2016F 2017F 2018F We are expecting higher gas sales volume prior to the operation of several gas fields in 2016F 250 200 155 162 154 152 150 141 131 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Company Expect slight improvement in global crude oil ASP Over the past 2 months we saw a slight increase in global crude oil price, of around ~20% to USD55/bl, driven by positive sentiment from OPEC members to cut oil production by 1.2mn MMBOEPD and Non-OPEC members by 0.6 MMBOEPD effective as of 1 January 2017. Hence, we forecast global crude oil ASP increase to around USD57/bl and USD62/bl level in 2017F and 2018F from USD45/bl in 2016F, respectively (exhibit 10), which are in line with consensus estimate. Separately, we estimate that MEDC’s natural gas ASP will remain stable at USD4/MMBTU (exhibit 11), given most MEDC existing contracts specify a fairly long expiration period, and lower gas ASP would only apply to new PSC contracts. 6 Exhibit 10. MEDC’s oil ASP, 2010 – 2018F (USD/bl) We expect global crude oil price will gradually improve over the next 2 years Oil ASP 140 114 120 116 108 98 100 81 80 57 60 49 62 45 40 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F Source: Company, BCA estimate, Bloomberg, *We use Brent Oil as our benchmark estimation Exhibit 11. MEDC’ gas ASP 2010 – 2018F (USD/MMBTU) MEDC’ gas ASP will remain stable at USD4/MMBTU, given most existing contracts specify a fairly long expiration period Gas ASP 6 5 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 2016F 2017F 2018F 4 3 2 1 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Company Cost efficiency measure to support operational margins The management strategy to maintain cost efficiency across business segments has proved to be fruitful, as it raised its EBITDA margin to 20.8% in 9M16 (9M15: 19.5%), and we estimate MEDC production cash cost level will stabilize at USD10/bl over the next 2 years (exhibit 13). That said, we also believe improvement in global crude oil ASP will provide additional support to the company’s earnings prospects, going forward. Note that based on our 2017F sensitivity analysis, 5% rise in global crude oil price translates to EBITDA margin appreciation by 60bps and net profit increase by +10% (exhibit 12). Exhibit 12. MEDC’ sensitivity analysis 2016F Oil price (USD/bbl) -10% -5% 45 5% 10% EBITDA Margin (%) 46.9 47.4 47.8 48.3 48.7 2017F Net profit (USDmn) -25.7% -12.8% 28 12.8% 25.7% Oil price EBITDA (USD/bbl) Margin (%) -10% 52.2 -5% 52.8 57 53.3 5% 53.9 10% 54.4 Net profit (USDmn) -19.9% -10.0% 55 10.0% 19.9% Given the business nature of upstream oil & gas players, MEDC’ earnings highly correlated to global crude oil price volatility Source: Company 7 Exhibit 13. MEDC’ cash cost movements, 2010 – 2018F (USD/bl) Cost movements 20 In response to depressed oil prices, MEDC sustains cost efficiency across business units 17 18 16 16 15 15 4 14 4 12 15 2 4 3 13 4 10 10 10 5 4 4 5 6 6 2016F 2017F 2018F 10 8 6 13 11 14 11 11 9 4 2 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Lifting cost 2015 G&A Source: Company Attractive valuation We concluded that MEDC poses an attractive valuation, given cheap 2017F PE and EV/EBITDA at 62% and 21% discount relative to regional average (exhibit 14). This is mainly due to significant earnings growth in 2017F, benefiting from improvement in global crude oil price and our confidence of management’s ability to maintain stable cash cost level, going forward. Although we note that MEDC has lower 2017F ROE compared to its regional peers, we believe this will improve along with the inclusion of NNT earnings to total MEDC portfolio. Hence, we initiate our coverage with a Buy rating and TP at IDR1,600/share (+24% upside potential), based on DCF valuation with WACC around 6.5% (exhibit 15). Risks to our hypothesis (including others): Further deterioration of global crude oil price – in the nature of upstream oil & gas players, MEDC’s main business risk lies in global crude oil price volatility. Higher costs on depleting wellheads – MEDC is exposed to potentially higher maintenance costs from their old wellheads. Inability to monetize their newly acquired NNT assets – given their lack of expertise in mining business, there are questions about MEDC’s ability to expand their newly-acquired mining asset. Unfavorable regulation of upstream oil & gas players by the Government of Indonesia. Glossaries: E&P – Oil & gas Exploration and Production business PSC – Production Sharing Contract BBTPUD – Billion British Thermal Unit per day MMBTU – Million British thermal unit MMBOEPD – Million Barrels of Oil Equivalent Per Day MBOEPD – Thousand Barrels of Oil Equivalent Per Day OPEC – Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries 8 Appendix Exhibit 14. Regional peer comparisons Company Name P/E (x) 2016F EPS Growth 2017F 2016F EV/EBITDA (x) 2017F 2016F 2017F EBITDA Margin 2016F P/B (x) 2017F 2016F ROE 2017F 2016F Div Yield 2017F 2016F 2017F MEDC IJ 11.5 5.8 na 96.5 5.5 3.4 47.8 53.3 0.3 0.3 3.7 5.6 3.5 6.8 CAIR IN 25.1 18.7 na 33.8 5.9 4.8 41.0 43.4 0.9 0.9 3.6 4.7 1.3 1.6 OINL IN 19.9 20.1 7.9 25.3 10.2 9.5 34.7 33.1 1.1 2.1 9.7 8.9 1.7 1.7 POL PA 14.0 10.8 (8.7) 29.4 7.4 4.8 54.1 68.0 4.1 3.9 29.3 33.7 6.9 9.0 PPL PA 17.9 11.3 (39.9) 58.7 7.2 5.3 52.8 66.3 1.9 1.7 10.9 13.9 2.5 3.8 PTTEP TB 22.7 16.4 na 38.7 3.5 3.2 69.5 70.4 0.9 0.9 4.0 5.4 2.3 2.8 CNG VN 9.5 7.1 5.6 33.9 3.2 2.6 26.9 28.3 2.5 2.1 31.2 36.0 7.5 6.3 883 HK - 14.8 na na 6.2 4.0 48.0 58.4 0.2 0.2 (0.1) 7.0 2.5 3.1 Average 6.9 15.3 (1.5) 12.3 6.1 4.3 49.9 58.0 0.5 0.5 2.2 7.4 2.4 3.0 Source: Bloomberg, BCA Sekuritas estimate Exhibit 15. MEDC’s DCF valuation No of years 0 2017F 1 2018F 2 2019F 3 2020F 4 2021F 5 2022F EBITDA Tax Working capital Capex 351 (140) 67 (170) 399 (160) (75) (250) 463 (185) (81) (350) 518 (207) (78) (350) 507 (203) (92) (380) 486 (194) 252 (415) FCF PV FCF 108 108 (85) (80) (153) (135) (117) (97) (168) (131) 129 94 WACC Weighting Debt Equity 59.4% 40.6% Cost of debt TV PV TV EV Cash Debt 2,051 1,498 1,257 569 1,432 Interest for debt Tax kd 6.0% 40.0% 3.6% Cost of equity Rf Market premium Beta 7.3% 5.0% 1.12 Fair value 394 ke 13% Net profit 2017F EPS 55 0.02 WACC 6.5% EPS (IDR) 221 Terminal Growth Target price # shares Target price (IDR) Implied PER 0.1 3,332 1,591 7.2 0% Debt assumption 2017F Debt Equity Avg USD/IDR 1,432 977 13,461 Source: BCA Sekuritas estimate 9 Exhibit 16. MEDC’ PSC breakdown Producing Assets Blocks Indonesia Assets Senoro Toili Rimau South Sumatra Lematang Tarakan Bawean International Assets Karim Small Fields (Oman) Block 9 Malik (Yemen) Adam (Tunisia) Bir Ben Tartar (Tunisia) Block 54 & Block 65, Main Pass Louisiana (US) Block 316, East Cameron Louisiana (US) Block 317 & Block 318, East Cameron Louisiana (US) Development Assets Blocks Indonesia Assets Block A Simenggaris International Assets Area 47 (Libya) Yasmin (Tunisia) Cosmos (Tunisia) Hammament (Tunisia) Exploration Assets Blocks Indonesia Assets Benggara International assets Jenein (Tunisia) Sud Remada (Tunisia) Borj El-Khadra (Tunisia) Block 56 (Oman) Block 82 (Oman) Production Sharing Contracts (PSC) Type of contracts Areas (km2) Contract Expiry Prticipating interest PSC - JOB PSC PSC PSC PSC PSC 451 1,104 4,470 409 180 3,063 2027 2023 2033 2017 2022 2031 Medco E&P 30% Medco E&P 95% (Operator) Medco E&P 100% (Operator) Medco E&P 51.1% (Operator) Medco E&P 100% (Operator) Minority interest Service Agreement PSA Consession PSC Royalty N.A 4,728 860 352 28 2040 2030 2033 2041 Indefinite Medco LLC 51% (Operator) Medco LTD 21.3% (Operator) Medco Sahara 5% Medco 100% (Operator) Medco Energy 75% (Operator) 20.2 & 40.5 Areas (km2) Indefinite Contract Expiry 1,680 547 2031 2028 6,182 96 440 3,740 Areas (km2) 30 Years 2020 2035 2016 Contract Expiry 922 2029 312 3,516 2,863 5,808 1,653 2017 2017 2015 3 Years 2040 Royalty Type of contracts PSC PSC - JOB PSA Consession Consession PSC Type of contracts PSC PSC PSC Royalty & Tax PSC PSA Medco Energy 100% (Operator) Prticipating interest Medco E&P 41.7% (Operator) Medco E&P 62.5% (Operator) Medco 50% (Operator) Medco 100% (Operator) Medco 80% (Operator) Medco 35% (Operator) Prticipating interest Medco E&P 100% (Operator) Medco 65% (Operator) Medco 86% (Operator) Medco 10% Medco 75% (Operator) Medco 38.2% (Operator) Source: BCA Sekuritas estimate 10 Teguh Hartanto Director of Equity, ext: 129 [email protected] RESEARCH DIVISION [email protected] Darmawan Halim Head of Research, ext: 168 Strategy, Automotive, Heavy Equipment [email protected] Arga Samudro FI Analyst, ext: 181 FI Strategies & Macroeconomist [email protected] Igor Nyoman Putra Equity Analyst, ext: 178 Banking, Industrial Estate [email protected] Jennifer Frederika Yapply Equity Analyst, ext: 179 Cigarettes, Consumer, Health Care [email protected] Aditya Eka Prakasa Equity Analyst, ext: 182 Telco, Coal, Metal Mining [email protected] Johanes Prasetia Equity Analyst, ext: 185 Retail, Poultry [email protected] Michael Ramba Equity Analyst, ext: 184 Construction, Property Residential [email protected] Nyoman Widita Prabawa Equity Analyst, ext: 180 Cement, Plantation, Oil & Gas [email protected] Achmad Yaki Yamani Technical Analyst, ext: 186 Technical Analyst [email protected] Ermawati Agustina Erman Head of Institutional Sales, ext: 159 [email protected] Haslienda Equity Capital Market, ext: 137 [email protected] Santoso Jodikin Sales Trader, ext: 164 [email protected] Arief Iskandar Institutional Dealer, ext: 136 [email protected] Amru Fernando Institutional Dealer, ext: 107 [email protected] Yuni Pratiwi Research Assistant, ext: 183 [email protected] EQUITY CAPITAL MARKET DIVISION [email protected] DISCLAIMER By receiving this research report ("Report"), you confirm that: (i) you have previously requested PT BCA Sekuritas to deliver this Report to you and you are legally entitled to receive the Report in accordance with Indonesian prevailing laws and regulations, and (ii) you have fully read, understood and agreed to be bound by and comply with the terms of this Report as set out below. 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