R LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 euglena | 2931 | Research Report by Shared Research Inc. Shared Research Inc. has produced this report by request from the company discussed in the report. The aim is to provide an “owner’s manual” to investors. We at Shared Research Inc. make every effort to provide an accurate, objective, and neutral analysis. In order to highlight any biases, we clearly attribute our data and findings. We will always present opinions from company management as such. Our views are ours where stated. We do not try to convince or influence, only inform. We appreciate your suggestions and feedback. Write to us at [email protected] or find us on Bloomberg. R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 INDEX Executive summary --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3 Key financial data ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 Recent updates --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Highlights ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Trends and outlook --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 Quarterly trends and results----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 Full-year company forecast ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 Business development, medium- to long-term strategy ------------------------------------------------------- 15 Business, market, and value chain ------------------------------------------------------------------------------31 Business overview ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 Strengths and weaknesses ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42 Historical performance --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 43 Financial statements------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50 Income statement ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50 Balance sheet----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 53 Cash flow statement ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 55 Other information---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 56 Corporate governance (as of June 2016) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 56 Top management----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 56 Dividend policy ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 56 Shareholder composition ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 57 Employees -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 57 Profile --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 59 www.sharedresearch.jp 02/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Executive summary LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Executive summary Corporate philosophy: “making people and the Earth healthy” The corporate philosophy of euglena Co., Ltd. (euglena) is “making people and the Earth healthy,” harnessing outdoor mass cultivation technology for the microalgae Euglena gracilis. A biotechnology company originating at the University of Tokyo, euglena is cultivating various uses for the microalgae including functional foods, cosmetics, animal feed, and fuel. The microalgae Euglena shares characteristics of both plants and animals with the vitamins and minerals found in plants and the omega-3 fatty acids found in fish, making it a potential solution to malnutrition. In December 2005 the company was the first in the world to succeed in outdoor mass culturing of Euglena. As of FY09/16 it had no competitor that produced the microalgae on the same scale. In the mainstay Healthcare segment, the company produces and sells functional foods that “make people healthy.” Over the medium term, it intends to “make the Earth healthy” by commercializing biodiesel and aviation biofuel. The company was founded to solve the global nutrition problem, sparked by the malnutrition seen in Bangladesh. Short- to medium-term strategy euglena wants at least three cash flow pillars rooted in the Healthcare, Agriculture and Aquaculture Products, and Energy and Environment segments. It plans to invest the cash generated in new growth. It currently generates cash through OEM supply of Euglena products in the Healthcare segment but is beginning to generate cash flow through B2C sales. euglena plans to use the cash generated from the Healthcare segment, a stable earnings base, to both grow the segment and invest in medium-term growth goals such as biofuel research and development. Expanding B2C sales in the Healthcare segment As of September 2016, almost all sales were from the Healthcare segment. The B2C sales business, a source of short-term growth, saw FY09/16 sales of JPY6.9bn and 154,000 regular customers. The company wants to expand this business to be on par with other health food companies, with sales of JPY30–50bn and 1 million regular customers (medium-term management targets are sales of JPY20bn and 500,000 regular customers by FY09/20), so it is investing aggressively in advertising. While euglena is taking lifetime value (LTV) and cost per order (CPO) into consideration as it makes these investments, such upfront expenditures will continue as it works to build scale. Establishing the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products business In the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products segment, euglena aims to expand the Mungbean Project––importing mung beans for growing bean sprouts from Bangladesh––and the prawn farming and feed research on Taketomi Island, Okinawa Prefecture. According to the company, the Mungbean Project contributes to Bangladesh’s agricultural and economic development, and helps Japanese bean sprout producers reduce costs and mitigate risks of importing beans solely from China. euglena aims to expand in prawn farming by acquiring companies, and transition from a B2B business model to selling directly to consumers, as it has successfully achieved for health foods. The company believes that both the mung bean and prawn projects have the potential to generate several hundred million yen in cash. Aiming to establish biofuel business euglena aims to produce and supply aviation biofuel for commercial flights by 2020. A biofuel production pilot plant is slated to start construction in summer 2017 and operations in the first half of 2019. The domestic jet fuel market is worth over JPY200bn, with hefty demand for reducing CO2. The success of a biofuel business will depend on crude oil prices and euglena’s success in lowering production costs. The company is also looking to use Euglena residue (after the lipids have been extracted) for livestock and aquaculture feed, and has started research in the group’s prawn farming jointly with JA ZEN-NO (National Federation of Agricultural Cooperative Associations). www.sharedresearch.jp 03/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Key financial data LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Key financial data Income statement (JPYmn) Sales Healthcare Energy and Environment YoY Healthcare Energy and Environment Gross profit GPM SG&A expenses YoY SG&A-to-sales ratio Operating profit Healthcare Energy and Environment Adjustments YoY Healthcare OPM Healthcare Energy and Environment Non-operating income (expenses) Financial income Gains on foreign exchange Other non-operating income Recurring profit YoY RPM Extraordinary gains Implied tax rate Non-controlling interest Net income attributable to parent company shareholders YoY Net margin Capital expenditures Depreciation Amortization of goodwill Per share data Shares issued (year end; mn) Treasury shares Excluding treasury shares Number of shares (average; mn) BPS (JPY) EPS (JPY) DPS (JPY) Balance sheet (JPYmn) Current assets Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventories Allowance for doubtful accounts Others Tangible fixed assets Intangible fixed assets Investments and other assets Investment securities Others Total assets Current liabilities Accounts payable Short-term debt Accounts payable-other; accrued expenses Income taxes payable Other current liabilities Noncurrent liabilities Long-term debt Net assets Shareholders' equity Treasury shares Valuation and translation adjustments Minority interests Total capital and liabilities Cash flow statement (JPYmn) Cash flows from operating activities Cash flows from investing activities Cash flows from financing activities Financial ratios Interest-bearing debt Net cash ROA ROE Equity ratio FY09/07 Cons. 116 116 44 37.6% 114 98.6% -71 -71 -60.9% -60.9% -0 0 -1 -71 -61.3% -2 -74 -63.7% FY09/07 81 -48.2 FY09/07 145 78 28 39 1 4 2 2 151 24 12 5 1 6 127 127 151 FY09/07 FY09/07 78 83.8% FY09/08 Cons. 164 164 41.8% 41.8% 89 54.1% 156 36.2% 94.7% -67 -67 -40.6% -40.6% 2 0 1 -65 -39.7% -2 -67 -41.0% FY09/08 73 -42.2 FY09/08 132 74 22 33 -1 4 0 2 2 134 15 3 4 1 7 120 120 134 FY09/08 FY09/08 74 -45.7% -54.7% 89.0% FY09/09 Cons. 221 221 34.2% 34.2% 111 50.3% 143 -8.1% 64.8% -32 -32 -14.5% -14.5% 2 -0 2 -30 -13.8% 3 -27 -12.4% FY09/09 73 -16.8 FY09/09 162 76 50 36 -1 2 0 2 0 2 165 33 19 0 1 1 11 10 10 122 122 165 FY09/09 FY09/09 10 66 -20.4% -22.7% 74.2% FY09/10 Cons. 735 735 232.9% 232.9% 392 53.3% 239 67.0% 32.5% 153 304 -51 -101 20.8% 41.4% -6.9% 30 -0 30 183 24.9% 0 0.2% 183 24.9% 0 FY09/10 0.0 297 97.8 FY09/10 665 534 102 19 -1 11 0 5 0 5 670 95 43 15 3 34 575 575 670 FY09/10 201 -2 259 FY09/10 534 43.9% 52.5% 85.9% FY09/11 Cons. 1,166 1,164 2 58.7% 58.4% 649 55.7% 355 48.6% 30.4% 294 513 -83 -136 92.5% 68.4% 25.3% 44.0% -7.1% 20 0 20 314 71.4% 26.9% -1 34.6% 205 12.0% 17.6% 0 FY09/11 2.2 2.2 1.9 451 105.4 FY09/11 1,222 973 133 98 -4 23 1 2 10 10 1,236 262 74 39 130 19 2 971 971 1,236 FY09/11 251 -2 191 FY09/11 973 33.0% 26.5% 78.6% FY09/12 Cons. 1,586 1,581 4 36.0% 35.9% 80.2% 860 54.3% 552 55.7% 34.8% 308 592 -93 -192 4.5% 15.4% 19.4% 37.3% -5.8% 18 0 18 325 3.6% 20.5% 39.3% 197 -3.6% 12.5% 13 FY09/12 2.2 2.2 2.2 542 91.6 FY09/12 1,199 892 169 118 -3 22 24 4 146 50 96 1,373 195 53 47 60 35 9 1,169 1,169 1,373 FY09/12 86 -167 FY09/12 892 25.0% 18.5% 85.1% FY09/13 Cons. 2,092 2,087 5 31.9% 32.0% 10.0% 1,144 54.7% 968 75.2% 46.3% 176 547 -113 -258 -42.7% -7.5% 8.4% 26.2% -5.4% 88 -2 90 265 -18.7% 12.7% 322 17.8% 483 144.4% 23.1% 83 35 FY09/13 13.7 13.7 13.0 37 7.4 FY09/13 2,472 1,846 313 270 -7 50 733 29 51 51 3,286 338 94 22 103 70 48 379 199 2,569 2,569 3,286 FY09/13 164 -105 895 FY09/13 221 1,625 11.4% 25.8% 78.2% FY09/14 Cons. 3,046 3,039 7 45.6% 45.6% 45.7% 1,849 60.7% 1,706 76.3% 56.0% 142 658 -168 -348 -19.4% 20.2% 4.7% 21.6% -5.5% 49 17 32 191 -27.7% 6.3% 0 38.4% 118 -75.5% 3.9% 172 63 4 FY09/14 78.0 0.0 78.0 75.7 134 1.6 FY09/14 7,314 6,346 479 412 -7 84 850 64 3,053 2,982 71 11,280 622 171 375 31 46 213 22 10,445 10,441 -0 -9 11,280 FY09/14 -8 -6,177 7,499 FY09/14 22 6,324 2.6% 1.8% 92.5% FY09/15 Cons. 5,924 5,908 16 94.5% 94.4% 136.0% 4,019 67.8% 3,543 107.6% 59.8% 476 1,122 -115 -532 234.7% 70.6% 8.0% 18.9% -1.9% 250 32 218 726 279.3% 12.3% 19 38.6% 12 470 297.4% 7.9% 315 136 35 FY09/15 81.9 0.1 81.8 80.3 155 5.9 FY09/15 8,605 6,794 698 806 -2 308 1,624 1,175 3,119 2,969 150 14,523 1,393 240 254 388 309 203 429 72 12,701 12,662 -231 -1 27 14,523 FY09/15 621 2,091 -177 FY09/15 326 6,469 5.6% 4.1% 87.2% FY09/16 FY09/17 Cons. Est. 11,103 15,000 11,093 10 87.4% 35.1% 87.8% -39.3% 8,137 73.3% 7,443 110.1% 67.0% 694 820 1,577 -200 -683 45.7% 18.2% 40.5% 6.3% 5.5% 14.2% -1.8% 251 26 -2 226 945 1,100 30.0% 16.5% 8.5% 7.3% -25 27.6% 8 673 690 43.4% 2.5% 6.1% 4.6% 232 88 FY09/16 FY09/17 82.5 0.1 82.4 82.3 162 8.2 8.4 FY09/16 11,355 9,204 1,059 852 -3 243 2,472 1,238 461 289 172 15,526 1,612 248 13 983 234 134 492 59 13,423 13,408 -231 -16 15 15,526 FY09/16 914 -154 -185 FY09/16 72 9,132 6.3% 5.2% 86.3% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 04/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Recent updates LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Recent updates Highlights On February 10, 2017, euglena Co., Ltd. announced earnings results for Q1 FY09/17; see the results section for details. On January 31, 2017, the company announced that it was doubling production capacity of food-use microalgae Euglena to 160 tons. Construction has been completed to increase production capacity of food-use microalgae Euglena at the consolidated subsidiary Yaeyama Shokusan Co., Ltd. (Ishigaki City, Okinawa Prefecture). This production facility will begin full scale operation from February 1, 2017. With this, annual production will increase from 80 tons to 160 tons. This increased production will meet the increasing demand in a market which is experiencing rapid growth both in Japan and overseas as well as allow the company to respond to the diversifying needs of its customers. The invested capital was approximately JPY800mn (including all surrounding facilities aside from cultivation facilities). The annual production capacity of 160 tons is on the basis of powder. Actual production volume could differ depending on climate and operational hours. Change in production capacity (MT) 180 Production capacity (MT/year, year end) Sales (JPYbn, right axis) 160 160 15.0 140 120 60 40 20 0 60 40 14 8 6 5.9 4 3.0 FY09/14 16 10 80 80 18 12 11.1 100 (JPYbn) 2 FY09/15 FY09/16 FY09/17 0 Source: Shared Research based on company data On December 22, 2016, Shared Research initiates coverage of the company with this report. www.sharedresearch.jp 05/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Trends and outlook Quarterly trends and results Income statement (JPYmn) Sales Healthcare Energy and Environment Group B2C sales Group B2B sales OEM, ingredients, and overseas Other YoY Healthcare Energy and Environment Group B2C sales Group B2B sales OEM, ingredients, and overseas Other YoY Gross profit GPM SG&A expenses Selling expenses Advertising expenses Personnel expenses Administrative expenses R&D expenses YoY Selling expenses Advertising expenses Personnel expenses Administrative expenses R&D expenses SG&A-to-sales ratio Selling expenses Personnel expenses Administrative expenses R&D expenses Operating profit Healthcare Energy and Environment Adjustments YoY Healthcare OPM Healthcare Energy and Environment Non-operating income Recurring profit YoY RPM Extraordinary gains (losses) Pretax profit Income taxes Implied tax rate Non-controlling interest Net income attributable to parent company shareholders YoY Net margin EPS YoY EBITDA YoY EBITDA margin R&D expenses Depreciation Goodwill amortization Inventories YoY Inventory turnover Number of direct sales customer ('000) YoY QoQ change FY09/14 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 701 752 731 862 699 752 731 857 1 0 5 154 173 199 254 27 48 72 92 513 525 452 503 7 6 8 14 80.2% 71.8% 28.3% 24.0% 79.8% 73.6% 28.3% 23.2% - -99.1% 342.4% 257.8% 138.0% 145.1% 0.5% 93.3% 135.5% 139.0% 57.0% 46.3% 0.6% -7.9% 1,738.0% 5.1% 26.4% 81.1% 21.9% 23.0% 27.2% 29.4% 411 459 472 507 58.6% 61.0% 64.6% 58.8% 369 440 446 450 172 228 227 247 111 147 138 127 91 97 99 101 69 65 79 58 37 50 35 52 91.8% 95.2% 65.6% 60.9% 52.7% 58.5% 61.1% 52.2% 24.5% 30.3% 31.0% 28.7% 13.0% 12.9% 13.5% 11.7% 9.8% 8.6% 10.8% 6.7% 5.3% 6.6% 4.8% 6.0% 41 19 25 57 155 157 161 184 -31 -42 -45 -50 -83 -96 -91 -77 95.0% -15.8% -19.1% -44.0% 53.7% 30.8% 30.2% -8.9% 5.9% 2.5% 3.5% 6.6% 22.2% 20.9% 22.1% 21.5% -4.4% -5.6% -6.1% -5.9% -26 16 45 14 16 35 70 70 -15.7% -20.9% -17.4% -39.6% 2.2% 4.7% 9.6% 8.2% 0 16 35 70 71 9 17 26 22 56.7% 48.7% 36.7% 31.1% 7 18 45 49 -43.5% -94.9% -11.8% -29.8% 1.0% 2.4% 6.1% 5.7% 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 48 79 - 12.2% -31.0% 6.6% 9.1% 37 50 35 52 9 12 22 21 1 1 1 1 273 314 375 412 105.4% 0.1% 20.4% 52.4% 85.5 91.3 121.3 101.1 10 13 16 21 - 189.9% 3 2 3 5 Q1 1,162 1,162 0 476 157 504 24 65.8% 66.1% -90.5% 210.3% 476.7% -1.6% 224.8% 41.0% 775 66.7% 715 445 242 110 116 44 93.5% 158.7% 118.0% 20.9% 68.1% 16.7% 61.5% 38.3% 9.5% 10.0% 3.7% 60 240 -21 -160 44.6% 54.6% 5.1% 20.7% -1.8% 21 81 418.6% 7.0% 81 27 33.4% 54 698.6% 4.6% 0.7 616.0% 81 6.9% 44 20 1 397 45.3% 95.4 37 258.6% 17 FY09/15 Q2 Q3 1,380 1,582 1,372 1,582 9 0 582 659 174 298 590 588 35 37 83.5% 116.4% 82.3% 116.4% 20,181.0% 235.7% 231.5% 262.4% 314.2% 12.3% 30.0% 487.6% 361.9% 42.1% 41.7% 937 1,046 67.9% 66.1% 808 911 515 577 246 316 114 148 99 123 79 64 83.5% 104.1% 125.9% 154.2% 67.3% 129.0% 17.5% 49.5% 52.3% 55.7% 58.2% 82.4% 58.5% 57.6% 37.3% 36.5% 8.3% 9.4% 7.2% 7.8% 5.7% 4.0% 129 134 293 279 -25 -36 -139 -109 587.9% 427.9% 86.5% 73.0% 9.4% 8.5% 21.3% 17.7% -1.8% -2.3% 102 67 231 202 557.6% 186.5% 16.7% 12.7% 4 0 235 202 95 79 40.3% 39.3% 5 140 127 677.0% 185.9% 10.2% 8.0% 1.8 1.6 630.1% 168.7% 164 181 - 273.8% 11.9% 11.4% 79 64 34 35 1 12 495 715 57.7% 90.7% 91.8 102.9 48 54 286.4% 244.2% 11 5 Q4 1,800 1,793 8 927 340 506 27 108.8% 109.2% 39.6% 265.4% 269.3% 0.6% 101.2% 51.5% 1,262 70.1% 1,109 713 392 173 146 76 146.3% 188.7% 208.7% 71.3% 151.7% 48.0% 61.6% 39.6% 9.6% 8.1% 4.2% 153 311 -34 -124 169.0% 68.4% 8.5% 17.3% -1.9% 60 213 202.4% 11.8% 15 228 86 38.0% 7 148 203.5% 8.2% 1.8 186.8% 221 181.5% 12.3% 76 47 21 806 95.7% 128.9 96 368.0% 43 Q1 2,340 2,340 0 1,447 436 412 45 101.4% 101.4% -41.6% 203.8% 177.1% -18.3% 89.8% 61.9% 1,687 72.1% 1,656 1,179 722 196 209 71 131.6% 164.9% 198.3% 78.2% 80.2% 63.9% 70.8% 50.4% 8.4% 8.9% 3.1% 31 268 -47 -191 -48.2% 11.8% 1.3% 11.5% -2.0% 44 75 -6.9% 3.2% 75 -36 -47.8% -1 111 105.3% 4.7% 1.3 96.7% 100 23.9% 4.3% 71 40 29 759 91.1% 109.3 113 201.1% 16 FY09/16 Q2 Q3 2,890 2,952 2,888 2,952 2 1,751 1,748 416 434 621 574 102 196 109.4% 86.6% 110.5% 86.6% -73.6% 201.1% 165.2% 138.9% 45.6% 5.4% -2.5% 189.8% 433.1% 60.6% 59.2% 2,147 2,158 74.3% 73.1% 1,724 1,807 1,262 1,268 719 707 210 241 172 205 80 93 113.4% 98.2% 145.0% 119.8% 192.3% 123.7% 84.2% 62.8% 73.7% 66.7% 1.7% 47.0% 59.6% 61.2% 43.7% 43.0% 7.3% 8.2% 6.0% 6.9% 2.8% 3.2% 423 352 606 584 -47 -68 -136 -165 227.1% 161.4% 107.0% 109.3% 14.6% 11.9% 21.0% 19.8% -1.6% -2.3% 45 125 468 476 102.6% 136.4% 16.2% 16.1% 0 468 476 159 163 33.9% 34.3% 9 10 318 323 126.9% 153.9% 11.0% 11.0% 3.9 3.9 120.1% 147.4% 495 431 202.2% 138.1% 17.1% 14.6% 80 93 57 57 15 22 861 920 73.9% 28.7% 99.4 102.3 136 139 181.4% 158.7% 23 3 Q4 2,921 2,914 8 1,889 481 343 208 62.3% 62.6% 103.8% 41.5% -32.1% 659.7% 64.7% 2,145 73.4% 2,257 1,681 1,071 243 224 109 103.5% 135.8% 173.2% 40.5% 53.4% 42.9% 77.3% 57.5% 8.3% 7.7% 3.7% -112 118 -39 -191 -61.9% -3.8% 4.1% -1.3% 37 -75 -2.6% -25 -100 -32 31.9% -10 -78 -2.7% -0.9 -12 -0.4% 109 78 22 852 5.6% 104.1 154 59.9% 15 FY09/17 Q1 3,273 3,273 2,115 411 733 14 39.9% 39.9% 46.1% -5.7% 78.0% -68.7% 64.6% 2,457 75.1% 2,178 1,568 981 276 239 95 31.6% 33.0% 35.9% 40.8% 14.4% 32.8% 66.6% 47.9% 8.4% 7.3% 2.9% 278 593 -83 -177 800.5% 121.0% 8.5% 18.1% -2.5% 24 302 301.5% 9.2% 302 92 30.4% -1 209 89.3% 6.4% 2.5 87.6% 364 264.3% 11.1% 95 65 21 1,113 46.7% 109.8 177 57.2% 23 FY09/15 FY9/16 Cons. 5,924 5,908 16 2,644 970 2,188 123 94.5% 94.4% 136.0% 239.3% 305.0% 9.8% 253.0% 44.6% 4,019 67.8% 3,543 2,250 1,196 546 484 262 107.6% 157.4% 128.6% 40.7% 78.6% 51.1% 59.8% 38.0% 9.2% 8.2% 4.4% 476 1,122 -115 -532 234.7% 70.6% 8.0% 19.0% -1.9% 250 726 279.3% 12.3% 19 745 287 38.6% 12 470 297.4% 7.9% 5.8 274.6% 647 209.0% 10.9% 262 136 35 806 95.7% 116.7 96 368.0% 76 FY9/17 Cons. Est. % of FY 11,103 15,000 21.8% 11,093 10 6,836 1,767 1,951 550 87.4% 35.1% 87.8% -39.3% 158.5% 82.2% -10.8% 348.1% 61.6% 8,137 73.3% 7,443 5,390 3,219 889 809 354 110.1% 139.6% 169.1% 62.8% 67.1% 35.0% 67.0% 48.5% 8.0% 7.3% 3.2% 694 820 33.9% 1,577 -200 -683 45.7% 18.2% 40.5% 6.3% 5.5% 14.2% -1.8% 251 945 1,100 27.5% 30.0% 16.5% 8.5% 7.3% -25 919 254 27.6% -8 673 690 30.4% 43.4% 2.5% 6.1% 4.6% 1.3 8.4 30.3% -76.9% 519.9% 1,014 56.8% 9.1% 354 232 88 852 5.6% 102.0 154 200 59.9% 29.8% 58 46 49.9% Source: Shared Research based on company data Note: Quarterly figures are calculated by subtracting cumulative figures for one quarter from those of the previous quarter. (For example, Q3 figures are obtained by subtracting 1H figures from cumulative Q3 figures.) www.sharedresearch.jp 06/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Q1 FY09/17 earnings (out February 10, 2017) ▶ Q1: Expansion of the group’s B2C sales continued in Q1 FY09/17. Achieved 50% of full-year target of 46,000 increase in regular purchase customers in direct sales by consolidation of Chlorella Supply. OP: Reached 34% of full-year target. GPM improvement and sales growth effect stemming from higher direct sales weighting absorbed aggressive advertising and promotional spending. ▶ Group direct sales: Expanded range of new products to satisfy customer needs in foods (matcha flavor, powdered type) and cosmetics (high-end line). ▶ Group sales through distributors: Strengthened brand power by launching new brands and expanding product range in cosmetics, and for food, launching new products and putting all products in cardboard cans under a single brand. ▶ Capex to increase production: Construction to increase production capacity of food-use Euglena (doubled from 80t to 160t per annum) was completed at end-January 2017. ▶ Plan for domestic biofuel production: Finalized pilot plant schedule. Construction to begin in June 2017, be completed at end-October 2018, and operation to begin in early 2019. Total investment of JPY5.8bn. Performance by quarter (JPYbn) Sales (JPYbn) Gross profit Operating profit GPM (right axis) 3 2 57% 53% 1 0 54% 55% 53% 59% 57% 53% 61% Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/13 Q1 FY09/14 66% 59% 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 Q1 FY09/15 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.0 0.1 73% 3.0 2.9 2.3 55% 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68% 67% 65% 74% 72% 70% 2.1 73% 3.3 2.9 2.2 70% 2.5 2.1 60% 1.7 1.3 50% 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 Q1 FY09/16 40% Q1 FY09/17 -0.1 -1 30% Source: Shared Research based on company data Overview of results FY09/16: Expansion of the group’s B2C sales continues; achieved 50% of target of 46,000 increase in regular purchase customers In Q1 FY09/17, the company posted sales of JPY3.3bn (+39.9% YoY) and OP of JPY278mn (+JPY247mn YoY). The mainstay group B2C sales business was the earnings driver, with sales up 46.1% YoY in Q1. The GPM rose 3.0pp because of the increased sales weighting of the profitable group B2C business (+2.8pp YoY), which absorbed the continued heavy selling expenses. As a result, OP increased by JPY247mn from a year earlier to JPY278mn. OP made strong progress, reaching 33.9% of the full-year target of JPY820mn. There were 177,000 direct sales customers at the end of Q1 FY09/17, showing solid progress toward the initial plan of 200,000 (+46,000), due in part to acquiring Chlorella Supply in December 2016. www.sharedresearch.jp 07/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Regular purchase customers in direct sales (B2C) business (thousands of people) ('000 people) Number of regular purchase customers (quarter end) 180 177 43 160 136 140 139 154 40 113 120 96 100 80 17 60 40 20 0 ('000 people) QoQ change 3 10 7 Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/13 16 3 13 2 Q1 FY09/14 37 5 21 Q1 FY09/15 48 11 54 23 16 5 30 23 20 15 10 3 Q1 FY09/16 0 Q1 FY09/17 Source: Shared Research based on company data Chlorella Supply Co., Ltd.: Brought into the group on December 1, 2016, at an acquisition price of JPY579mn. Chlorella Supply has an accumulated customer base of more than 580,000, with its business history of more than 20 years. euglena anticipates an expansion in sales arising from cross-selling of its products to Chlorella Supply’s customers. Other synergistic effects include lower manufacturing costs by manufacturing euglena’s Chlorella products in Chlorella Supply’s facilities, lower SG&A expenses by increased efficiency from making Chlorella Supply a group company, and higher consolidated earnings arising from the replacement in the medium term of Chlorella Supply’s Chlorella powder with Chlorella powder produced by subsidiary Yaeyama Shokusan Co., Ltd. The plan for Chlorella Supply calls for sales of JPY586mn and operating profit of JPY32mn in FY12/17. Topics Construction to boost production capacity of food-use Euglena (doubled from 80t to 160t per annum) completed end-Jan 2017 The company announced on January 31, 2017 that it would double annual production capacity of food-use microalgae Euglena to 160t. Work on facilities to increase production at consolidated subsidiary Yaeyama Shokusan Co., Ltd. (Ishigaki City, Okinawa Prefecture) was completed and full-scale production started on February 1, 2017. The company commented that annual production capacity has doubled from 80t to 160t as a result of the new facilities starting up, making it possible to fulfill fast-growing demand in domestic and overseas markets and respond to diversifying customer needs. Total investment on culturing facilities and peripheral equipment is estimated at JPY800mn. Annual production capacity of 160t is on a powder basis; actual production volume will vary according to weather and hours of operation. Change in production capacity (MT) 180 Production capacity (MT/year, year end) Sales (JPYbn, right axis) 160 160 15.0 140 120 60 40 20 0 60 40 14 8 6 5.9 4 3.0 FY09/14 16 10 80 80 18 12 11.1 100 (JPYbn) 2 FY09/15 FY09/16 FY09/17 0 Source: Shared Research based on company data Plan for domestic biofuel production: Finalized pilot plant schedule: Construction to begin in June 2017, be completed at end-October 2018, and operation to begin in early 2019. Total investment of JPY5.8bn. Together with Q1 earnings results, the company announced on February 10, 2017 that it had concluded an agreement with Chiyoda Corp. (TSE 6366) on the same day to build a pilot aviation biodiesel facility, which is part of its plan to produce biofuels in Japan. The company will invest JPY5.8bn in the project, including basic design fees, upfront expenses such as ordering and site preparation costs (all already paid for), and additional expected costs (partly USD-based). The company plans to allocate JPY4.3bn raised by a public offering approved by its board of directors on November 18, 2013 www.sharedresearch.jp 08/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 to the project. Based on the agreement with Chiyoda Corp., construction of the pilot plant is slated to begin on June 1, 2017 (“around summer 2017” according to the initial public announcement of the project in December 2015) and scheduled for completion on October 31, 2018 (“around winter 2018”). The plant should be operational some time in 1H 2019 (“by 1H 2019”). Reference SG&A expenses (JPYbn) Personnel expenses (JPYbn) Administrative expenses R&D expenses Selling expenses 2.0 1.5 1.0 28% 31% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 50% 45% 52% 47% 36% 53% 59% 62% 61% 59% 52% 40% 0.2 0.2 Q1 FY09/12 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 Q1 FY09/13 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 Q1 FY09/14 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 58% 0.6 0.5 0.4 Q1 FY09/15 SG&A-to-sales ratio 2.3 71% 1.7 62% 1.7 60% 2.2 77% 1.8 1.7 1.1 1.3 1.2 80% 67% 61% 60% 1.6 1.3 40% 0.7 20% Q1 FY09/16 0% Q1 FY09/17 Source: Shared Research based on company data Healthcare segment Sales 36% 30% 3,000 26% Operating profit OPM (right axis) 22% 22% 2,000 21% 22% 22% 0 (JPYmn) 570 467 433 389 379 379 356 166 166 153 124 120 107 101 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 Parent B2C sales Q1 FY09/13 épauler 2,500 2,000 1,500 699 695 Q3 (JPYmn) 600 203 752 155 Q1 FY09/14 157 731 161 Q3 Group B2B sales 500 400 300 1,000 500 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14FY09/15FY09/16FY09/17 200 100 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14FY09/15FY09/16FY09/17 2,340 21% 21% 18% 1,793 1,582 1,372 17% 1,162 1,000 3,273 2,888 2,952 2,914 29% 28% 21% 184 240 Q1 FY09/15 (JPYmn) 800 279 Q3 311 20% 18% 20% 11% 857 293 30% 606 584 268 Q1 FY09/16 OEM, ingredients, and overseas 700 600 500 4% 118 Q3 Q1 FY09/17 (JPYmn) 250 10% 593 0% Q3 Other 200 150 400 300 200 100 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14FY09/15FY09/16FY09/17 100 50 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14FY09/15FY09/16FY09/17 Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 09/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Full-year company forecast Income statement (JPYmn) Sales YoY Gross profit YoY GPM SG&A expenses YoY SG&A-to-sales ratio Operating profit YoY OPM Recurring profit YoY RPM Net income YoY Net margin EBITDA YoY EBITDA margin Capital expenditures Depreciation Goodwill amortization FY09/14 1H 1,453 75.8% 870 88.4% 59.9% 810 93.6% 55.7% 60 38.0% 4.1% 51 -19.4% 3.5% 25 -93.2% 1.7% 82 50.2% 5.7% 89 21 2 2H 1,593 25.9% 979 43.4% 61.4% 897 63.2% 56.3% 82 -38.1% 5.2% 141 -30.2% 8.8% 93 -22.2% 5.9% 127 -19.1% 8.0% 83 43 2 FY 3,046 45.6% 1,849 61.6% 60.7% 1,706 76.3% 56.0% 142 -19.4% 4.7% 191 -27.7% 6.3% 118 -75.5% 3.9% 209 -1.2% 6.9% 172 63 4 FY09/15 1H 2,542 74.9% 1,712 96.8% 67.3% 1,523 88.1% 59.9% 189 214.9% 7.4% 312 514.9% 12.3% 194 682.9% 7.6% 245 197.2% 9.6% 136 54 2 2H 3,382 112.3% 2,307 135.7% 68.2% 2,020 125.3% 59.7% 287 249.1% 8.5% 415 194.5% 12.3% 276 195.1% 8.1% 402 216.6% 11.9% 178 82 33 FY 5,924 94.5% 4,019 117.4% 67.8% 3,543 107.6% 59.8% 476 234.7% 8.0% 726 279.3% 12.3% 470 297.4% 7.9% 647 209.0% 10.9% 315 136 35 FY09/16 1H 5,230 105.7% 3,834 124.0% 73.3% 3,379 121.9% 64.6% 454 140.3% 8.7% 543 74.2% 10.4% 428 120.9% 8.2% 595 143.4% 11.4% 446 97 44 2H 5,873 73.6% 4,303 86.5% 73.3% 4,063 101.1% 69.2% 240 -16.6% 4.1% 401 -3.2% 6.8% 245 -11.2% 4.2% 419 4.1% 7.1% FY 11,103 87.4% 8,137 102.4% 73.3% 7,443 110.1% 67.0% 694 45.7% 6.3% 945 30.0% 8.5% 673 43.4% 6.1% 1,014 56.8% 9.1% 135 44 232 88 FY09/17 Initial Est. 1H 2H FY 15,000 35.1% 820 18.2% 5.5% 1,100 16.5% 7.3% 690 2.5% 4.6% Source: Shared Research based on company data Medium-term targets and FY09/17 company forecast (out November 9, 2016) Along with FY09/16 results, euglena announced two medium-term management targets for FY09/20: consolidated group sales of JPY30bn and the production and supply of aviation and diesel biofuel made in Japan for practical use. The company intends to concentrate on expanding the group’s B2C sales and launching new businesses. Medium-term management targets and FY09/17 initiatives are outlined below. Sales (JPYbn) B2C sales 30 Other 30.0 25 Other 1.2 11.1 10 0.2 FY09/08 0.2 0.7 1.2 FY09/11 1.6 2.1 0.3 3.0 0.8 FY09/14 5.9 4.3 3.3 6.8 2.6 20.0 FY09/17 Est. FY09/20 Est. 2.9 3.0 2.9 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.3 2 15.0 15 0 B2C sales 3 10.0 20 5 (JPYbn) 1 0.7 0.8 0 0.2 0.2 Q1 FY09/14 0.7 0.2 Q3 1.4 1.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.5 Q1 FY09/15 0.6 0.7 Q3 0.9 1.4 Q1 FY09/16 Q3 Shared Research based on company data Consolidated group sales of JPY30.0bn euglena is targeting sales of JPY15.0bn in FY09/17, and aims to double that figure by FY09/20. To achieve these goals, the company plans to ensure the group’s B2C sales of JPY20.0bn, expand the contributions of group earnings from group B2B sales and overseas businesses, and invest aggressively in acquisitions. To boost B2C sales, it mainly anticipates greater direct sales of food (at the parent company and subsidiary épauler) and growth in direct sales of cosmetics. Any related acquisitions would add to these figures. The company plans to achieve a further JPY10.0bn in sales through overall growth, with no major change in the sales composition for group B2B sales and OEM supply, ingredients, and other items. www.sharedresearch.jp 10/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Sales composition FY09/14 Other 1% FY09/15 Group B2C sales 26% OEM and ingredients 65% Other 2% Group B2C sales 45% OEM and ingredients 37% Group B2B sales 8% Group B2B sales 16% FY09/16 Other 5% FY09/20 OEM and ingredients 18% Group B2C sales 61% Group B2B sales 16% Group B2C sales 67% Shared Research based on company data Group direct sales (B2C) B2C sales to regular purchase customers are a key sales indicator, and euglena plans to increase the number of regular customers from 154,000 at end-FY09/16 (+58,000 YoY) to 200,000 at end-FY09/17 (+46,000 YoY). In addition to B2C sales of food by euglena and its subsidiaries, the company plans to achieve a growth trajectory using the “one” skincare brand. However, euglena expects the spend per regular purchase customer to fall from FY09/16 for three reasons: monthly selling prices on cosmetics are low; “JPY100 per day” is a common concept in the mail-order industry, and in order to retain customers, euglena intends to design products in line with this concept; and épauler, which has higher average selling prices, is taking up a smaller portion of the group’s sales mix. Rather than raising product prices, Shared Research believes euglena is trying to broaden its customer base by keeping prices steady or launching products at low prices that will attract customers. Direct sale product prices for subscription purchases: midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice, a mainstay product for euglena): JPY3,780 (31 servings), “one” skincare: JPY2,682 (40g, one month’s worth) or JPY4,410 (77g, one–two months’ worth), épauler’s Super Euglena: JPY4,743 (one month’s worth), épauler’s Euglena Natural Rich: JPY3,978 (one month’s worth) Regular purchase customers (FY09/20 is a rough estimate) ('000) 500 500 400 300 200 200 100 0 10 Q1 FY09/14 13 16 37 21 48 54 Q1 FY09/15 96 113 136 Q1 FY09/16 139 154 Q1 FY09/17 Q1 FY09/18 Q1 FY09/19 Q1 FY09/20 Shared Research based on company data Expanding sales route by converting Chlorella Supply to a subsidiary In December 2016, euglena converted Chlorella Supply to a wholly owned subsidiary. The conversion is to acquire a base of more than 580,000 accumulated customers, benefit from synergies with euglena’s Chlorella sales business, and integration synergies through expansion of euglena’s business infrastructure (boosting profit). The 580,000 accumulated customer base is the number of customers who have purchased health food products (mainly Chlorella) to date, and are potential customers for euglena’s food direct sales business. By marketing to these potential customers, euglena could be expected to gain as many as 10,000 regular customers in FY09/17. Although the Chlorella market appears to be shrinking, the company says it will focus on cultivating the new customer base for B2C sales, raising sales per customer by cross-selling other group products, acquiring regular purchase customers for Chlorella Supply’s products, and benefiting from efficiency improvements and other synergies. Even so, Shared Research believes the impact the consolidated operating level will be slight in FY09/17, given the amount of goodwill. www.sharedresearch.jp 11/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Chlorella Supply’s operating performance 1,000 900 Sales 879 783 800 586 600 578 554 300 200 FY12/15 FY12/17 Est. (JPYmn) FY12/18 Est. FY12/19 Est. 0 10% 8% 6% 5.5% 10 100 12% 32 32 20 6 11 12 10 0.7% FY12/13 10 1.4% 8 FY12/14 14% 11.4% 10.1% 30 FY12/14 66 66 56 56 40 400 FY12/13 OPM (right axis) 50 500 0 Recurring profit 60 719 700 Operating profit 70 4% 2% 1.1% FY12/15 FY12/17 Est. (JPYmn) FY12/18 Est. 0% FY12/19 Est. Shared Research based on company data The company plans to continue actively pursuing acquisitions. Shared Research believes acquisition targets include OEM suppliers of its products, companies that can be easily integrated into the group, and companies without successors (in the mail order industry, the number of aging business owners is growing). Initiatives in FY09/17 In FY09/17, euglena aims to increase the number of direct sales (B2C) regular customers to 200,000, up by 46,000 from end-FY09/16. It expects the increase in customers purchasing “one” skincare to make up more than half of this growth. “one” is an important component for reaching the medium-term sales target of JPY20.0bn group B2C sales, and euglena intends to focus advertising expenditures in this area in FY09/17. It plans to use online and newspaper ads in 1H to gain new regular purchase customers from 2H. Regular purchase customers ('000) Parent B2C sales 250 épauler 200 200 150 96 100 50 0 10 13 16 21 Q1 FY09/14 Q2 Q3 Q4 37 Q1 FY09/15 48 54 Q2 Q3 Q4 136 139 Q2 Q3 154 113 Q1 FY09/16 Q4 Q1 FY09/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Shared Research based on company data The company has not released planned advertising expenses for FY09/17, but says it expects these expenses to increase somewhat as a percentage of sales (JPY3.2bn in FY09/16, sales forecast to grow 35.1% YoY in FY09/17). The company sees these expenses as an investment; its policy is to invest aggressively in advertising to acquire new regular customers. To date, euglena has made efficient use of advertising expenses by investing in online and newspaper ads. It now plans to run TV commercials to further increase regular purchase customers for mainstay midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice). Scheduled to run from December 2016, the ads will be styled as infomercials highlighting the characteristics of midorijiru. At the end of December, the company planned to assess the resulting increase in regular customers for midorijiru and other products. www.sharedresearch.jp 12/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 SG&A and advertising expenses Advertising expenses Advertising expense ratio (right axis) (JPYbn) Other selling expenses Other selling expense ratio (right axis) 31% 2 20% 1 0 37% 16% 21% 19% 15% 14% 12% 0.2 17% 0.4 18% 19% 0.5 20% 16% 0.6 24% 1.3 1.3 20% 19% 19% 0.7 0.7 0.7 Q1 FY09/16 Q2 Q3 22% 1.2 18% 0.7 9% 0.2 11% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 FY09/15 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 FY09/14 25% 0.2 1.7 40% 35% 30% 25% 21% 1.1 20% 15% 10% 5% Q4 0% Advertising expenses (JPYbn) % of sales (right axis) 29% 28% 4 20% 3 21% 17% 2 14% 11% 7% 1 0 FY09/13 FY09/15 0% FY09/17 Est. Shared Research based on company data OEM supply In OEM supply, the top 10 supply partners account for 80% of the company’s sales (FY09/16). The company expects overall OEM sales to be flat or down YoY in FY09/17, but says it will focus on collaborating with these top 10 companies toward FY09/20. In particular, it expects sales to Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TSE: 4502) to rise. It also forecasts similar sales growth in other businesses. As well as higher sales of the existing product, Takeda no Euglena midori no shukan (“Takeda’s Euglena: The Green Routine”), Shared Research expects the expansion of its lineup by introducing new products. Overseas development Overseas sales came to around JPY20mn in FY09/16. Given the number of employees (six or seven), Shared Research thinks the overseas business is generating an operating loss. In FY09/17, the company plans to further increase overseas sales by boosting customer numbers. The company considers China’s health food market as key, as it is larger than the domestic health food market and has higher average customer spend. Mr. Fukumoto, director in charge of the Healthcare segment, spends half of his time on working to expand overseas sales. Energy and Environment business Construction of the biofuel production pilot plant will begin in FY09/17. As of November 2016, the company was planning to start construction by summer 2017 and begin operations in 1H 2019. Roadmap for producing and supplying biofuel for commercial use 2016 2017 2018 2020~ 2019 Saga: B-DASH Project (Sewage treatment) Cultivation research on Cabinet Office: ImPACT Program (R&D) Euglena Mie:Taki-town project (Large scale cultivation pool) Commercial cultivation facilities of Plan and prepare Construct and operate Euglena Pilot plant Construct Start construction Operate (aim for biofuel use in commercial flights by 2020) Commercial plant Plan and prepare Construct and operate Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 13/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Historical company forecasts vs. results Forecasts versus results (JPYmn) Sales Initial forecasts Q1 Q2 Q3 Results Operating profit Initial forecasts Q1 Q2 Q3 Results Recurring profit Initial forecasts Q1 Q2 Q3 Results Net income Initial forecasts attributable to Q1 Q2 owners of parent Q3 Results FY09/13 Cons. 2,291 2,291 2,055 2,055 2,092 352 352 134 134 176 409 409 225 225 265 254 254 445 445 483 Results vs. Est. -8.7% -8.7% +1.8% +1.8% -49.9% -49.9% +31.7% +31.7% -35.3% -35.3% +17.6% +17.6% +90.0% +90.0% +8.4% +8.4% FY09/14 Cons. 3,113 3,113 3,113 3,113 3,046 176 176 176 176 142 240 240 240 240 191 144 144 144 144 118 Results vs. Est. -2.1% -2.1% -2.1% -2.1% -19.1% -19.1% -19.1% -19.1% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -20.2% -17.9% -17.9% -17.9% -17.9% FY09/15 Cons. 4,722 4,722 5,923 5,923 5,924 77 77 258 323 476 256 256 384 536 726 175 175 235 344 470 Results vs. Est. +25.5% +25.5% +0.0% +0.0% +518.6% +518.6% +84.6% +47.5% +183.7% +183.7% +89.2% +35.5% +168.4% +168.4% +99.8% +36.5% FY09/16 Cons. 11,086 11,086 11,086 11,100 11,103 601 601 601 760 694 826 826 826 1,000 945 540 540 540 736 673 Results vs. Est. +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.0% +15.5% +15.5% +15.5% -8.7% +14.3% +14.3% +14.3% -5.5% +24.7% +24.7% +24.7% -8.5% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 14/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Business development, medium- to long-term strategy History of business development Corporate philosophy of “making people and the Earth healthy" The corporate philosophy of euglena Co., Ltd. (euglena) is “making people and the Earth healthy.” It harnesses outdoor mass cultivation technology for the microalgae Euglena gracilis, from which the company name is derived. A biotechnology company originating at the University of Tokyo, euglena is cultivating a variety of uses for the microalgae, including functional foods, cosmetics, animal feed, and fuel. In December 2005 it became the first company in the world to succeed in the outdoor mass culturing of Euglena, and as of FY09/16 it had no competitors that produced microalgae on the same scale. In the mainstay Healthcare segment, the company focuses on the production and sale of functional foods. Over the medium term, the company intends to produce and supply biodiesel and aviation biofuel for commercial use in the Energy and Environment segment. The company was founded to help solve the global nutrition challenges, sparked by the malnutrition seen in Bangladesh. First to succeed in large-scale outdoor cultivation of Euglena ; entered the health food market via the Healthcare segment The company was established in August 2005, but efforts to commercialize products using Euglena began before then, in 2000. The founders secured outdoor cultivation pools and utilized the results of algae research conducted mainly at the University of Tokyo. These efforts led to the world’s first successful outdoor mass culturing of Euglena for use in food on December 16, 2005. In 2006 the company launched “euglena v22” supplements and two other products in the health food market in 2006, and began OEM supply on the back of a capital tie-up with ITOCHU Corporation (TSE: 8001) in May 2008, a foothold for the Healthcare segment. Sales and gross profit margin (JPYmn) (JPYmn) 12,000 Other OEM, ingredients, and overseas 11,103 10,000 73% 68% 8,000 61% 6,000 54% 4,000 2,000 0 (JPYmn) Group B2B sales 50% 53% 56% 54% 5,924 55% 116 FY09/07 164 221 FY09/09 735 1,166 FY09/11 1,586 2,092 FY09/13 80% 70% GPM (right axis) 74% 73% 72% 73% 70% 68% 67% 66% 65% 61% 59% 59% 3,000 60% 2,000 Energy-related 57% 53% 40% FY09/15 30% 0 Q1 FY09/12 80% 70% 60% 57% 55% 55% 54%53% 53% 50% 1,000 3,046 38% Group B2C sales 90% 4,000 50% Q1 FY09/13 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 40% Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data Expand Euglena product lineup, starting with higher selling price per kg The company formulated the “five Fs of biomass” (see the following table), which describe its strategy for introducing Euglena products: starting with products with high unit price by weight (selling price per kilogram). While reducing production costs, the company expanded its product lineup from functional foods to highly functional cosmetics and general foods. It further lowered costs, enhanced its level of recognition and trustworthiness by listing on TSE Mothers on December 20, 2012, and commenced full-fledged direct-to-consumer (B2C) sales. www.sharedresearch.jp 15/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 The “Five Fs of biomass” and business expansion Five Fs of biomass Food Energy and Environment Functional foods Hitachi, Ltd. Healthcare Fuel ANA Holdings Inc. Functional foods Isuzu Motors Limited Fiber Cosmetics ingredients Medical ingredients Chemicals Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited Mass cultivation technology for euglena Chevron Lummus Global & ARA Feed ITOCHU Corporation Feed ITOCHU Corporation DENTSU INC. Tokyo Century Corporation Food (distribution) Pet foods Ingredient for compound feed Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. FamilyMart UNY Holdings Co., Ltd. Thermal power plant Sumitomo Joint Electric Power Co., Ltd. Taki, Mie Prefecture Fertilizer Functional foods Water clarification equipment SHIMIZU CORPORATION Fuel Nihon Kolmar Co., Ltd. Socie World Co., Ltd. Saga, Saga Prefecture Companies with partnership or capital alliance Source: Shared Research based on company data Establish Healthcare segment base through OEM supply, shift toward a B2C sales business model By expanding its OEM supply, euglena booked an operating profit in FY09/10 and succeeded in establishing an earnings base. However, with OEM supply it is difficult to control growth and brand image. To enhance its brand image in line with its Tokyo Stock Exchange listing, in FY09/13 the company transitioned from an OEM-based business model to its current model focusing on direct-to-consumer sales. In tandem with this shift, the company stepped up M&A activity. It is aiming to extend its value chain by bringing OEM clients into the euglena group so it can expand production bases and sales routes. OEM products Own-brand products Business model shift in the food sector Regular customers via online and mail orders approx. 100,000 as of Q3 FY09/16 Strategies Supermarkets and convenience stores Total 180 companies nationwide Aim at 1mn regular customers via online and mail orders Approx. 1,000 small retailers nationwide Expand domestic wholesale markets including supermarkets and convenience stores euglena art euglena group Approx. 14,000 small retailers nationwide épauler euglena group Approx. 37,000 regular customers nationwide Takeda Pharmaceutical, and others (approx. 50 companies) Each companies' sales network, and online and mail-order systems Expand small retailers in the group Expand distribution network through M&A Continue M&A of OEM partners and/or include them in the euglena group; integrate order systems and advertisement Transforming the earnings structure The shift in business model has transformed euglena’s earnings structure. As an OEM supplier, the company’s advertising and SG&A expenses were relatively low, as was GPM. Now, with direct sales its advertising and SG&A expense burden is relatively high but so is GPM. The direct sales model has a number of other advantages: when increasing the number of regular customers, the fixed cost ratio declines due to the volume effect; once sales promotion and other upfront expenditures have successfully established a solid customer base, advertising and SG&A expenses can be reduced, substantially contributing to earnings. Also, with direct-to-consumer sales the company can control its brand image. www.sharedresearch.jp 16/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 A changing cost structure: SG&A expenses (left), SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales (right) 4,000 Personnel expenses R&D expenses SG&A expenses GPM Advertising and promotion Depreciation SG&A-to-sales ratio 3,500 70% 3,000 2,500 2,000 20% 60% 15% 50% 1,000 500 FY09/13 1H FY09/14 1H FY09/15 1H FY09/16 1H 25% 65% 55% 1,500 0 30% 75% Advertising and promotion SG&A expenses Personnel expenses R&D expenses OPM 10.5% 10% 45% 5% 40% 0% 5.3% 5.2% 4.1% FY09/13 1H 2H FY09/14 1H 7.4% FY09/15 1H 2H 8.5% 8.7% 2H FY09/16 1H 2H Source: Shared Research based on company data Medium- to long-term strategy Long-term goals One of euglena’s goals is to solve the global malnutrition challenge. The company can be benchmarked against companies such as Ajinomoto (TSE: 2802), Yakult (TSE: 2267), Nestlé (SIX: NESN) of Switzerland, and Danone (Euronext: BN) of France. Euglena is the core product and the company is establishing cultivation technology that cannot be reverse-engineered, while protecting research results with patents. Short- to medium-term strategy Three pillars of cash flow: direct sales, agriculture and aquaculture sector, and aviation biofuel The company wants at least three cash flow pillars in the Healthcare, Agriculture and Aquaculture Products, and Energy and Environment segments. It plans to invest the cash flow generated in new growth. In the Healthcare segment it currently generates cash through OEM supply of Euglena products but is beginning to generate cash flow through its B2C sales business. The company plans to use the cash generated from the Healthcare segment, a stable earnings base, to grow the segment and invest in medium-term growth goals such as biofuel research and development. Performance (sales) (JPYmn) 12,000 Other OEM, ingredients, and overseas 11,103 10,000 73% 68% 8,000 61% 6,000 54% 4,000 2,000 0 (JPYmn) Group B2B sales 50% 53% 56% 54% 5,924 55% 116 FY09/07 164 221 FY09/09 735 1,166 FY09/11 1,586 2,092 FY09/13 80% 70% GPM (right axis) 74% 73% 72% 73% 70% 68% 67% 66% 65% 61% 59% 59% 3,000 60% 2,000 Energy-related 57% 53% 40% FY09/15 30% 0 Q1 FY09/12 80% 70% 60% 57% 55% 55% 54%53% 53% 50% 1,000 3,046 38% Group B2C sales 90% 4,000 50% Q1 FY09/13 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/16 40% Source: Shared Research based on company data Healthcare segment Business model transformation: from OEM supply to direct sales and sales through distributors In the Healthcare segment euglena is transitioning from a business model based on OEM supply to a direct-to-consumer sales model. The company’s target markets by scale are categorized as follows, and the company aims to expand beyond Euglena products into the entire food sector. Stage 1 (direct sales): Limited segment of the domestic market such as through mail-order sales www.sharedresearch.jp 17/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Stage 2 (sales through distributors): Entire domestic market Stage 3 (overseas markets): Overseas markets To succeed, the company recognizes that rather than selling generic products like aojiru (green vegetable juice), it will need to sell unique products with strong branding—encouraging customers to purchase products because they are made from Euglena. Target channels The company is simultaneously pursuing initiatives through all three sales channels. Direct sales: In a limited segment of the domestic market, raising awareness of core products that that use Euglena—such as midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice)—through mail order and face-to-face sales and cross-selling to encourage purchases of related products Sales through distributors: Developing its own products, such as Euglena beverage for the entire domestic market, and selling through mass market operators such as convenience stores and general merchandisers Overseas markets: Cultivating overseas markets through alliances with partner companies As of FY09/16, direct sales were driving growth, and the company was concentrating management resources here. It aims to follow a growth trajectory by pursuing the domestic market and overseas markets. Market scale Health food related markets Other related markets Euglena Health Food Comparable markets Aojiru (green vegetable juice) Approx. JPY60.0bn 2016 Est. by Fuji Keizai Marketing Research Vegetable juice market Approx. JPY150.0bn 2016 Est. by Kagome (domestic) Chlorella Approx. JPY20.0bn 2012 by Yano Research Institute Lactic acid bacteria beverage market Approx. JPY100.0bn 2016 Est. by Kagome Approx. JPY4.6bn Q3 FY09/16 sales ×4 Comparable companies Yamada Bee Farm JPY43.1bn FY2014 group sales (honey, etc.) (domestic) Q’SAI CO., LTD. JPY32.8bn FY12/15 sales (aojiru, etc.) Yazuya Co., Ltd. JPY22.0bn FY2013 sales (garlic products, etc.) Kagome, Yakult and others Source: Shared Research based on company data Market development The company’s market development efforts comprise a branding strategy and a patent strategy (both applicable to stages 1–3), and cost reductions (mainly for stages 2 and 3). Branding strategy The company’s branding strategy is to create a compelling story that will motivate customers to buy the company’s Euglena products because they are made by euglena. The strategy also includes building a positive corporate image through socially significant initiatives such as social projects in Bangladesh and aviation biofuel development. The company is using brand control to minimize the ability of other companies to take market share even if they do enter the Euglena market. This approach is also aimed at preventing the reputational damage that could occur if other companies offer lower-quality Euglena. In addition to its creating a brand image of “an abundance of nutrients” and “Euglena produced in Ishigaki,” the company continues to announce research results promoting the health benefits of regular consumption of Euglena such as alleviating symptoms of influenza, gastric ulcers, and rheumatoid arthritis. In addition, euglena is promoting its brand image through existing projects such as biofuel, the Mungbean Project with the Grameen Group, and hands-on support and R&D support for technology ventures through the Real Tech Fund (an investment business limited partnership). www.sharedresearch.jp 18/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 R&D successes Press release Target May 2016 Nov. 2015 Jul. 2015 Euglena powder extract Effects Confirmation of inhibition of Rotavirus growth Patent applied Mar. 2016 Continuous intake of Euglena powder and special compound Paramylon Alleviating rheumatoid arthritis Continuous intake of Euglena powder and special compound Paramylon Alleviating stomach ulcer symptoms Feb. 2015 Continuous intake of Euglena powder and special compound Paramylon Alleviating influenza symptoms Apr. 2014 Continuous intake of Euglena powder and special compound Paramylon Adjusting immune balance May 2013 Usage of Paramylon film as wound treatment agent Wound treatment effect of Paramylon film Apr. 2016 Announced May 2016 70th Annual Meeting of the Japan Society of Nutrition and Food Science Nov. 2015 31st Euglena Research Association Jun. 2016 67th Annual Meeting of the Vitamin Society of Japan Nov. 2014 62nd Annual Meeting of the Japanese Society for Virology Apr. 2014 May 2013 May 2013 65th Annual Meeting of the Vitamin Society of Japan Source: Shared Research based on company data Patent strategy The company considers its patent strategy a core strategy that is not limited to the Healthcare segment. It is working to establish cultivation technology that cannot be reverse engineered, and protecting the resulting products with patents. If euglena patented the cultivation technology itself, and the patented expertise leaked out and a competitor used its technology, it would be difficult to prove from the resulting Euglena product whether the company’s patents had been infringed upon or not, so the patent would not be meaningful. Instead, as Euglena is a living organism, it is not possible to reverse engineer the company’s cultivation technology by using Euglena grown through repeated cell division in its special culture liquid. Furthermore, the company’s products use dried Euglena, which cannot be brought back to life and cultured. For these reasons, the company divides its management assets into (patented) intellectual property and (non-patented) trade secrets. The company is careful to patent assets such as hardware that can be reverse engineered. Even if a competitor were to succeed in mass culturing Euglena, the company believes it could differentiate itself on the basis of accumulated product and brand value. It thinks that it would be difficult for potential competitors to reproduce core product values such as “Euglena that contains 59 nutrients” and “Euglena aviation biofuel that meets jet fuel regulations” simply through mass culturing, as these features require certain expertise. Cost reduction Following the company’s success in mass culturing Euglena in December 2005, two major technological innovations in 2007 and 2010 plus larger production facilities enabled the company to substantially reduce production costs. The company also began commercializing Euglena from products with higher unit prices by weight. Costs have not yet fallen to the level required for use in aviation biofuel, and looking only at price (not health benefits), euglena’s main product in the Healthcare segment, midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) (priced at JPY4,200 for 31 sachets) is much more expensive than similar aojiru (green vegetable juice) offerings (JPY3,600/30 sachets for Suntory, JPY3,000/30 sachets for Q’sai, and JPY1,200/28 sachets for Yakult). Two technological innovations in 2007 and 2010: In 2007, the introduction of a new type of culturing facilities enabled larger-scale production. An innovation in culture liquid in 2010 successfully shortened the production process. Since then, the company has continued to cut costs on both the facility and culture liquid fronts, and reduced the time required for the culturing process from one week to three days. Room for reducing CoGS is limited, as the direct sales department already has a gross profit margin of more than 80%, and the majority of CoGS are from boxing and packaging. However, improving production costs by 5% would significantly impact GPM when conducting a full-fledged rollout of products to convenience stores and general merchandisers. Reducing production costs by a single percentage point might not have a major impact on the GPM in the direct sales market, but for sales to convenience stores and general merchandisers this could bolster GPM by several percentage points. The market is also larger, so the impact on total gross profit would be amplified by the sales volume. The Euglena beverage the company launched sells for JPY240 (recommended retail price), which is relatively high, but rather than lowering its price the company is working to make the drink an attractive product for which customers will be willing to pay a higher price. www.sharedresearch.jp 19/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 While the Euglena beverage is priced at JPY240, a vegetable juice (Itoen) on the same shelf is priced at JPY100, so even if the Euglena beverage is differentiated based on function, Shared Research believes the company will need to reduce the unit price in order to capture some of the vegetable juice market (Kagome estimate of JPY149.2bn in 2016) and lactic acid drink market (JPY97.7bn). Assuming Euglena beverage has a retail price of JPY240, a wholesale price of JPY120, and CoGS of JPY50 (gross profit of JPY70), lowering the retail price to JPY150 (wholesale price of JPY75 and gross profit of JPY25) would mean the company has to sell almost three times as much product to achieve the same gross profit. Similarly, lowering the retail price to JPY120 (wholesale price of JPY60 and gross profit of JPY10) would require seven times the sales amount. The risks, therefore, are high. The company believes that rather than lowering prices and making up the difference through higher quantities, it is preferable to maintain a retail price of JPY240 and make the product attractive to consumers at that price. Shifts in sales composition and GPM 100% Other 2% 4% 3% 9% OEM, ingredients, and overseas 3% 6% 5% 6% 80% 9% 7% 11% 6% Group B2B sales 15% 15% 5% 6% 22% 23% 4% 6% 60% 40% 92% 87% 91% 87% 84% 81% 79% 78% 73% 70% Group B2C sales 27% 10% 62% 29% 2% Q1 FY09/12 1% 0% 1% 0% Q1 FY09/13 1% 1% 1% 1% Q1 FY09/14 1% 1% 42% 42% 51% 11% 58% 20% 0% 41% Energy-related 2% 14% 13% 43% 42% GPM (right axis) 70% 62% Q1 FY09/15 3% 61% 59% 14% 15% 21% 19% 4% 7% 64% 65% 19% 19% 2% 75% 37% 2% 19% 28% 2% 18% 2% Q1 FY09/16 60% 16% 55% 12% 7% 50% Maximizing LTV; increasing advertising and SG&A expenses The company still has substantial room to reduce general expenditures. Integrating the two companies converted to subsidiaries in FY09/16 are reducing shared costs, such as distribution and call center expenses, and contributing to profits. As of FY09/16, however, the company is still working to expand its direct sales route, so it was reinvesting profits to attract new customers through ads, taking into account product lifetime value (LTV) and cost per order (CPO). Profit = (LTV – CPO) x number of customers The company aims to maximize impact based on the following formula: profit = (LTV – CPO) x number of customers. It is working to increase LTV and the number of customers while reducing CPO, focusing particularly on raising LTV. The company is pursuing a number of measures to raise LTV: 1) Raise spend per customer: Encourage a purchasing shift from midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) to euglena PLUS, the higher-end supplement. 2) Cross-selling: Generate additional sales through the sale of related food products and cosmetics. 3) Retention rate: Analyze the reasons for lapses in regular purchases, and introduce new products such as MEDICA+ to avoid losing regular customers to other companies’ health foods such as blueberries. An increase in new regular customers is closely linked with CPO. The company’s approach is to devise advertising strategies to set CPO based on assumed LTV, and invest aggressively in advertising when it will be most impactful while holding back at other times, taking into consideration the effects of ad volume and media exposure. LTV>CPO Calculating LTV is not easy, as the calculation is based on a large number of regular customers, and the company’s direct sales customer base has rapidly expanded. However, assuming that around 5% of regular customers leave each month, the average duration would be 20 months (100% of one month ÷ 5%). Under these assumptions, LTV = JPY3,780/month x 20 months = JPY75,000. These figures are based on prices for midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice). Using instead the prices for épauler’s Super Euglena (regular purchases at JPY4,743/month) would result in LTV of JPY95,000. Considering the number of regular customers (93,000 for euglena and 47,000 for épauler as of July 2016), the average would be www.sharedresearch.jp 20/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 JPY82,000. With cost of sales of 15% and transportation expenses of 5%, the company could spend up to 80%, or JPY65,000, on advertising. midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice): The company’s mainstay product. Regularly priced at JPY4,200, the drink is available for JPY3,780 per month to customers who sign up for a subscription. Shipping is free, and the contract can be cancelled at any point up to 10 days prior to the next shipment. Super Euglena: épauler’s conventional mainstay product. Regularly priced at JPY6,500, it is available on a monthly subscription basis at JPY4,743 per month. Euglena Natural Rich: épauler’s new mainstay product, launched in September 2015. Regularly priced at JPY5,450, it is available on a monthly subscription basis at JPY3,978 per month. Future profits = LTV (∝ retention rate) × number of new customers We estimate that future profits can be generated if costs per regular customer are around JPY20,000 less than LTV. Given that attracting new customers is key to increase profits, achieving company forecasts for 2H FY09/16 requires continued investment in ads to ensure growth. Still, the impact of advertising tends to fall when multiple ads are concentrated into a short period of time. As reducing advertising expenses to zero would not necessarily result in immediate cancellations, the calculations assume a certain level of ongoing demand. SG&A and advertising expenses Advertising expenses Advertising expense ratio (right axis) (JPYbn) Other selling expenses Other selling expense ratio (right axis) 31% 2 20% 1 0 37% 16% 21% 19% 15% 12% 0.2 14% 17% 0.4 9% 0.2 11% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/14 18% 19% 0.5 20% 16% 0.6 22% 18% 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 Q2 Q3 Q4 25% 24% 1.3 1.3 20% 19% 19% 0.7 0.7 0.7 Q1 FY09/16 Q2 Q3 1.2 1.7 40% 35% 30% 25% 21% 1.1 20% 15% 10% 5% Q4 0% Advertising expenses % of sales (right axis) (JPYbn) 29% 28% 4 20% 3 2 21% 17% 14% 11% 7% 1 0 FY09/13 FY09/15 0% FY09/17 Est. Shared Research based on company data Perspective on OEM supply The company is transitioning from an OEM supply-based business model to focus on direct sales. Although OEM supply remains an important source of cash flow, the company stopped cultivating new OEM clients following its 2014 agreement with Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TSE: 4502). The company is shifting its business model to accelerate growth, improve the earnings structure, and control its brand. Brand control: As the number of OEM clients increases, maintaining a consistent brand for products containing Euglena becomes difficult due to individual OEM client companies’ differences in product positioning and advertising methods. In addition, some advertising possibly contravened the Pharmaceutical Affairs Act and was not in line with euglena’s intentions, such as ads promoting the “Euglena diet.” Such factors were undesirable from a brand control perspective and led to decisions to limit or acquire OEM clients. Positioning of the Healthcare segment, other product groups Cosmetics undergoing same shift as health foods: OEM supply → sales through distributors → direct sales Within the “five Fs of biomass,” cosmetics command high unit prices by weight. The company is making the same shift for cosmetics as for health foods: face-to-face sales → OEM supply → sales through distributors → direct sales. OEM supply accounts for around half of sales, with sales of euglena’s “B.C.A.D.” brand making up the rest. In May 2015, euglena acquired two companies with sales routes to small businesses such as hair and beauty salons, and merged them www.sharedresearch.jp 21/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 into euglena art Co., Ltd. in July 2015 to create a sales channel for high-end products. For the beauty salon route, the company expanded its product lineup with the July 11, 2016 launch of haircare products, which have strong demand and are easy to sell in hair salons. In May 16, 2016, euglena made its first foray into a direct sales skincare brand with an all-in-one face cream called “one.” As with health foods, the company aims to increase direct sales of cosmetics. Cosmetics sales (JPYmn) 200 150 100 50 0 (JPYmn) Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/13 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data In addition to Euglena-related products sold through the B2C sales business (including épauler) and OEM supply, the Healthcare segment includes Chlorella and cosmetics. The Chlorella business is handled by Yaeyama Shokusan, which became a wholly owned subsidiary in March 2013. euglena’s policy is to not make advertising and R&D investments in these products, but they generate steady cash flow. Agriculture and Aquaculture Products segment The company’s philosophy of “making people and the Earth healthy” goes beyond businesses involving Euglena. As of FY09/16, the main source of cash flow was the food business, particularly direct sales products, and the company sees the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products segment as a potential new cash source. In the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products segment, in October 2014 the company acquired Yukiguni Maitake’s stake in Grameen Yukiguni Maitake Ltd. (now Grameen euglena Ltd.), amounting to 49.49% of common shares and 100% of non-voting preferred shares. In September 2015 euglena converted Taketomi Prawn Farm (now euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm) to a wholly owned subsidiary. Mungbean Project The company believes that Grameen euglena’s Mungbean Project will eventually generate cash flow. Social significance and revenue source The Mungbean Project offers benefits for Bangladesh, Japan, and euglena. For Bangladesh, the project provides employment opportunities in farming areas, the chance to improve nutrition, and cultivation technology support for increasing crop yields and quality. For Japan, the project offers a way to ensure a steady supply of mung bean imports, which are used for growing bean sprouts (mung beans account for more than 80% of all domestic bean sprout production). Almost all mung beans are imported, and 90% of imports are from China. This project provides a way to counter price fluctuation risk and offers steady and low cost supply of mung beans for Japanese bean sprout producers, many of which are going out of business. For euglena, the project is a way to ensure a revenue source by selling mung beans imported by Grameen euglena to Japanese bean sprout producers. www.sharedresearch.jp 22/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 A substitute to imports from China, where prices are rising In this project, Grameen euglena purchases mung beans harvested by cooperating farmers at higher prices than are offered in their local markets and exports them to euglena in Japan. In accordance with Grameen euglena’s Articles of Incorporation, any remaining profits are directed toward local social contributions. euglena sells the imported mung beans at Japanese market prices to domestic bean sprout producers, earning profits on the price difference. Import prices on mung beans have risen since 2013, peaked in 2015, then stabilized. Prices rose due to growing demand within China, decreasing acreage devoted to the cultivation of mung beans as farmers in China shift to crops with higher earnings potential such as corn, and yen depreciation. Mung bean import volume (1,000 tons, JPY/kg), imports by country (August 2015–July 2016, tons) China ('000tons) 30 24 25 20 15 15 Q1 CY08 Average import price (YoY) 23 23 22 8 9 7 6 (JP Y/kg) 250 Bangladesh 9 8 9 Others 702 307 1% 200 9,341 16% 100 50 Q1 CY11 Q1 CY12 Q1 CY13 Q1 CY14 Q1 CY15 1% Myanmar 150 8 6 17 16 14 14 12 11 4 Q1 CY10 Myanmar 300 23 18 14 5 China 28 20 9 Q1 CY09 Others 24 14 7 5 Bangladesh 28 20 10 0 Myanmar 26 Q1 CY16 0 China 46,745 82% (tons) Source: Shared Research based on trade statistics euglena’s profits: Margin on wholesale prices Between August 2015 and June 2016, Japan imported JPY12.0bn (JPY10.3bn from China) worth of mung beans at an average unit price of JPY209/kg (JPY220/kg for mung beans from China). By comparison, in the two-month period from January to February, Japan imported JPY122mn worth of mung beans from Bangladesh, at an average price of JPY175/kg. Had the company imported all of these beans from Bangladesh and sold them in Japan at JPY209/kg, it would have generated JPY24.6mn in profits (702 tons x JPY34/kg). The company’s selling price of Bangladeshi mung beans in Japan is lower than the selling price of beans imported from China. The company imports beans from Bangladesh at a lower price than its selling price to ensure a profit. Boosting profits through larger import quantities and better quality The company understands that profits are based on import volume x (wholesale price – import price), but it believes this amount could increase if the number of cooperating local farmers increases, which would boost import quantities and the amount of land devoted to growing the beans, and if wholesale prices rise as quality improves. Bean quality: The company says that if the quality of mung beans from China is indexed at 100, those produced in Bangladesh had a quality of around 80 in 2015. The lower wholesale price than China reflects this difference. Improving the quality of beans from Bangladesh should reduce the discount against beans produced in China, much of which could be added directly to euglena’s margin. Working with the United Nations and Bangladeshi government to train farmers, the biggest bottleneck to expansion In 2015 (mung beans are typically harvested in May or June, and then shipped to Japan after sorting around November or later), more than 3,000 farmers participated in the Mungbean Project, and the corresponding farming area has grown to a total of more than 2,000ha. Due in part to inclement weather, in 2016 the import volume is expected to fall to around 330 tons, but in 2017 the company expects the crop volume to expand to around 2,000 tons (crops planted in 2016 and contributing to performance in FY09/18). Forecasts call for the sorting of 1,000 tons designated for export to Japan, with the remainder sold locally. In 2018 (planted in 2017, contributing to FY09/19 earnings), the company targets 3,000 tons (1,500 tons for export). www.sharedresearch.jp 23/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Outlook for the Mungbean Project FY09/16 2014 Approx. 1,500 2015 Approx. 1,400 2015-2016 Approx. 700 Contribution to earnings: Planted Area (ha) Harvested Amount (tons) Exported Amount (tons) FY09/17 2015 Approx. 2,000 2016 780 2016-2017 330 FY09/19 2017 Approx. 3,000 2018 Approx. 3,000 2018-2019 Approx. 1,500 FY09/18 2016 Approx. 2,000 2017 Approx. 2,000 2017-2018 Approx. 1,000 Source: Shared Research based on company data Even in 2018, the amount of mung beans the Mungbean Project is projected to export to Japan would only account for 2–3% of Japan’s imports of 57,095 tons (in the 121 months to July 2016). The bottleneck is the number of participating farmers in Bangladesh. To address this situation, Grameen euglena agreed to form a business alliance with a Bangladeshi government-affiliated development institution, the Palli Karma-Sahayak Foundation (PKSF), which is supported by a subsidy from the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD). This alliance leverages PKSF’s network of 20mn farmers to train those interested in participating in the Mungbean Project. Through this alliance, the company expects to triple the number of participating farmers to 10,000 over a three-year period. Ignoring potential weather impact, this figure would correspond to a tripling of production to 6,000 tons (with 3,000 tons exported to Japan). If crop yields and quality increase, leading to higher wholesale volumes and prices, the project could further contribute to the company’s profits. Grameen euglena Ltd. business (left) and business alliance with PKSF (right) Grameen agricultural foundation IFAD PKSF Soybean sprouts maker Operational funds Agricultural funds United Nations Bangladesh For Japan Business alliance Agricultural technique Japan Grameen Euglena Local farmers Grameen Euglena Guideline Training Expertise Technique For Bangladesh Local customers Mung bean sales Export mung bean Funding support New local farmers Sale of mung beans as material for bean sprouts Domestic soybean sprouts maker Source: Shared Research based on company data euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm (prawn farming in Taketomi) generates annual sales of around JPY200–300mn (sales of JPY280mn and recurring profit of JPY90mn in FY08/15) and the company expects this new initiative to generate stable earnings by ensuring stable profitability. In foods, euglena is transitioning its business model from OEM supply to sales through distributors and direct sales to consumers. In prawn farming, it also aims to expand from wholesale to direct sales. Summer is the optimal season for wild-caught prawn, but in winter prices reach their highest levels as demand spikes towards the end of the year. For direct sales to consumers, the company aims to improve profitability by freezing prawn farmed during the off-season to meet demand during peak seasons. The company expects this business to be a stable source of earnings. www.sharedresearch.jp 24/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Energy and Environment segment In the Energy and Environment segment, one of the company’s medium-term milestones is to “make the Earth healthy” through aviation biofuel and biodiesel fuel. Shared Research believes this focus stems from the feasibility of aviation biofuel and the use of fuel-use Euglena by-products as feed. The target market is large, and full-fledged adoption is slated for 2020 or later. Aviation biofuel Aviation biofuel is at the base of the “five Fs of biomass” figure, meaning it has the lowest selling price per kg. Although the scale of consumption is high, this market is difficult to enter because costs will need to drop by an order of magnitude. The company is pursuing R&D by participating in multiple government projects and receiving subsidies. It has also entered an alliance with one of Japan’s leading commercial airlines with the aim of implementing the Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project toward 2020. The company produces its own Euglena, and differs from biofuel companies using feedstock such as corn and sugar cane: production time is shorter, at only one to two weeks, so is relatively impervious to market prices; biofuel Euglena residue can be reused as feed; the food business is generating stable earnings; and relatively less land is needed to produce the feedstock. Market scale The company aims to produce 5,000 barrels (800kl) of commercial-use aviation biofuel or bio-kerosene a day (300,000kl/year). The Japanese market alone is large; sales of jet fuel in Japan amounted to 5.5mn kl (5,488,143kl) between August 2015 and July 2016. Multiplied by the average CIF prices for the year this has a value of JPY230.0bn. Important factors for whether euglena can successfully produce and supply commercial biofuel in the Japanese market will be attractive pricing in comparison with petroleum jet fuel and plants capable of large-scale production. As such, crude oil prices will play the largest role in biofuel sales. Jet fuel sales volume, average import prices (mn kl) Sales volume of jet fuel in Japan (mn kl) 1.8 1.6 100 1.4 90 1.2 Averafge import price (JPY/kg) 80 1.0 70 0.8 60 0.6 0.4 50 0.2 40 0.0 Average import price (JPY/L) 110 Q1 CY08 Q1 CY09 Q1 CY10 Q1 CY11 Q1 CY12 Q1 CY13 Q1 CY14 Q1 CY15 Q1 CY16 30 Q1 CY11 Q1 CY12 Q1 CY13 Q1 CY14 Q1 CY15 Q1 CY16 Source: Shared Research based on data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry and trade statistics No concerns on the demand front Demand should not be a problem, the company believes, as long as it is able to provide biofuel at an attractive price. As long as the fuel meets standards, airlines will prefer biofuel, which represents added value (they can reduce purchases of CO2 emission credits). ANA FLY ECO 2020 is an example of this trend. ANA HOLDINGS (TSE: 9202), which participates in the Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project, recorded energy consumption (FY03/16) by the crude oil equivalent of 3.97mn kl. euglena's targeted 300,000kl of biofuel amounts to less than 10% of this figure. Crude oil competes with euglena’s biofuel more than other biofuels, so lowering production costs and large-scale feedstock supply are the largest issues. www.sharedresearch.jp 25/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 ANA FLY ECO2020: By FY03/21, ANA is targeting a 20% reduction vs. FY03/06 in CO2 emissions per paid transport ton-kilometer on its domestic and overseas flights. Establishing a price advantage The company’s selection of biofuel feedstock is based on what is economically rational. Its ultimate target is to use Euglena as the pure feedstock for jet fuel, but it is considering the procurement of other biofuel ingredients as well. Unless processing volume increases, and its processing equipment is able to handle several thousand barrels per day, the company may be unable to bring refining costs down to the same level as the cost of refining petroleum crude oil. This is the reason why euglena is considering the procurement of other biofuel feedstock in addition to Euglena–– scaling up the plant size. A department concentrating on the biofuel business is working on profitability (buying feedstock cheaply and selling fuel for a higher price), and a department researching Euglena is trying to maximize earnings (producing Euglena at low cost). To produce biofuel, euglena is using US Chevron’s Biofuels ISOCONVERSION Process (BIC Process) technology, which is also used by other companies. In principle, if it is unable to lower production costs enough to achieve profitability with Euglena, the biofuel team will select the other, more profitable biofuel feedstock. If the Euglena used in biofuel can be sold at JPY100/liter, for example, the business should be profitable if the commercial plant achieves a JPY80/liter production cost. However, lower crude oil prices may put pressure on reducing costs to JPY60/liter, which would be problematic. The company therefore needs to either find a way to sell the fuel at JPY80/liter or somehow make up the remaining JPY20/liter. The first might be accomplished through multi-year, fixed-rate contracts, and the latter by making use of Euglena residue. Alternatively, it may be possible to apply a subsidy corresponding to aircraft fuel taxes (JPY26/liter), leveraging the environmental benefits of biofuel. Selling price concept Oil 40% (0.4kg ≒ 0.5L) JPY21 JPY13 Fuel-use Euglena (1kg) Degreased Euglena 60% 0.6kg ... Avg. jet fuel import price: JPY41,854/kl (Year through July 2016, Trade Statistics of Japan, MOF) ... Without fuel surcharge of JPY26/L JPY101 ... Avg. fish meal import price: JPY169/kg (Year through July 2016, Trade Statistics of Japan, MOF) Total JPY135 Source: Shared Research based on company data Utilizing residue The Euglena research team is also studying alternative uses (uses other than biofuel) for the residue of Euglena from which the lipids have been extracted (proteins, degreased Euglena). The company thinks the residue could be used in fish meal. Fish meal is the principal ingredient of the mixed feed used in aquaculture (53% of the total, 2009), and both import dependency and prices are high. Annual imports amount to JPY27.3bn (August 2015 to July 2016), highlighting significant demand. At fisheries, feed costs are high in relation to revenues, putting a strain on management. For farmed yellowtail, which has a production value of more than JPY100bn per year (JPY107.1bn in 2012), feed costs account for 73% of revenues for individually managed fisheries, and 89% for corporate entities. The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) provides compensation through a fishery management safety net to help stabilize management, but an urgent need still exists to develop protein sources for an alternative fish meal. euglena’s subsidiary euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm, which farms prawns, is studying the use of degreased Euglena as feed. www.sharedresearch.jp 26/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Prices on mixed feed and imported fish meal (left, center), percentage cost of feed in fishing revenue (sales) for yellowtail and red sea bream (JPY'000/ton) Avg. monthly compound feed price (JPY'000/ton) 220 Import price (JPY'000/ton) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 Jan 2008 Jan 2012 Jan 2010 Jan 2014 Jan 2016 ('000ton) (JPYbn) Import volume ('000tons) Import value (JPYbn, right axis) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Yellowtail a Red sea bream a 9 90% 6 Yellowtail b Red sea bream b 80% 70% 3 60% Jan 2008 Jan 2010 Jan 2012 Jan 2014 0 Jan 2016 50% FY2006 FY2008 FY2010 FY2012 Source: Shared Research based on Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries data and trade statistics Note: “Yellowtail a” is for entities managed privately, “yellowtail b” for corporate entities In April 2016, euglena and JA ZEN-NOH (the National Federation of Agricultural Cooperative Associations) signed a joint research agreement regarding the use of degreased Euglena as feed. Preparatory experiments under this agreement had been completed (January 2015 to March 2016) and feeding trials using chickens, pigs, and other livestock were underway (April 2016 to end-March 2017). Corn accounts for around half of the ingredients used in mixed and compound feed for livestock (46% in FY2015), with soybean meal next (13%). The graphs below show domestic import prices and average prices. Feed costs account for a high percentage of costs, so demand for lower-cost alternatives is high. However, soybean prices are low in comparison to fish meal. Annual Japanese imports of soybean meal amount to JPY84.0bn (August 2015 to July 2016), at an average price of JPY48.3/kg. Imported soybean meal and corn (JPYbn) (JPY/kg) (JPYbn) Soybean cake import value (JPYbn) Soybean cake import price (JPY/kg, right axis) 40 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 0 0 Q1 CY08 Q1 CY09 Q1 CY10 Q1 CY11 Q1 CY12 Q1 CY13 Q1 CY14 Q1 CY15 Q1 CY16 (JPY/kg) Corn for feed import value (JPYbn) 120 60 Corn for feed import price (JPY/kg, right axis) 100 50 80 40 60 30 40 20 20 10 0 Q1 CY08 Q1 CY09 Q1 CY10 Q1 CY11 Q1 CY12 Q1 CY13 Q1 CY14 Q1 CY15 0 Q1 CY16 Source: Shared Research based on trade statistics data Feed costs as a percentage of costs (left, FY2014), percentage of use in mixed and compound feeds (right, FY2015) ('000tons) Chaff and bran 2,650 11% 66% 39% Cattle for breeding 43% Cattle for fattening 66% 69% 48% Cattle for milking Pig for fattening Chicken for broiler Chicken for ovulation Others 2,360 10% Other oil cake 1,350 6% Corn 10,800 46% Soybean oil cake 2,960 12% Other grain 3,450 15% Source: Shared Research based on data from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Time axis As the following chart shows, the company plans to begin operating its biofuel production pilot plant in 2019, and apply www.sharedresearch.jp 27/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 the knowledge it gains through this plant’s operation to a commercial plant, which is to begin operating in the 2020s. The commercial plant (target production of 300,000kl/year) will be a large-scale production and supply facility, at more than 1,000x the size of the pilot plant (125kl/year). (These pilot plant production volumes would enough for weekly round-trip flights between Tokyo and Sapporo.) The company has licensed from Chevron Lummus Global of the US the BIC Process biofuel production technology developed by two US companies, Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Applied Research Associates (ARA). Chiyoda Corporation (TSE: 6366) is handling localized plant design and construction. Jet fuel standards will be “Jet A” based on the American Society for Testing Materials (ASTM) standards. Airlines and airports employ these standards, and as of September 2016 Chevron’s application to use these hydrocarbon standards for biofuels refined using the BIC Process was under deliberation. Companies in the Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project Government agencies, industry consortiums Assist with construction and operation Biomass (Euglena ) Propose operations such as refueling at airports Lease land ASTM aviation biofuel Biomass oil Aim for use in commercial flights Implement public transportation Next-generation biodiesel Aviation biofuel production facility (Japan's first) Invest in and operate Japan's first aviation biofuel plant Grant license on production facility and equipment Design, procure for, construct, and localize the pilot plant Survey and test supply/demand and logistics of products Evaluate and utilize next-generation biodiesel Itochu Enex Source: Shared Research based on company data Note: Companies on a blue background are partners in the Made-in-Japan BioFuel Project Schedule 2017 2020~ 2019 2018 Construction start by summer 2017 Completion by winter 2018 Biomass incl. euglena Construction of a fuel pilot plant Pilot operation Come on line by 1H 2019 The pilot plant to come on line Leverage knowledge from the pilot operations Planning and preparations Biomass crude oil Japan's first aviation biofuel production facility ASTM certified aviation biofuel Licensing production technologies Production and supply hundreds of times larger than the pilot plant Commercial plant to come on line Source: Shared Research based on company data Supply chain euglena and ITOCHU ENEX CO., LTD. (TSE: 8133) will supply feedstock for biofuel. Jet fuel will be produced at the company’s refining plant, and biofuel is expected to be supplied by refuelers directly to aircraft or by using hydrants. Biofuel feedstock Feedstock used in the Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project is not limited to Euglena, and Itochu Enex Co., Ltd. is scheduled to handle the procurement of biofuel sources other than Euglena. At present, no plan is in place to produce Euglena at overseas bases, and the jet fuel refining plant will use a location in Japan to supply domestic airports. However, euglena says it might set up overseas bases if it expands its business overseas. www.sharedresearch.jp 28/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 As a pilot project to produce biofuel algae, a pool for culturing biofuel-use microalgae is being constructed in the town of Taki, Mie Prefecture, and testing is scheduled to take place from October 2016 through March 2019. By 2018, the culturing pool is slated to be the largest in Japan for culturing fuel-use microalgae, at more than 3,000sqm. The pool will not produce the quantities necessary under the Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project, but the company plans to build an even larger culturing pool to reduce costs in the future. www.sharedresearch.jp 29/60 R Shared Research Report euglena | 2931 | euglena> Trends and outlook LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 euglena of the future The company publicizes its vision for the future of Euglena (see below). It is already undertaking some of the initiatives. Shared Research believes these initiatives are in line with the company’s corporate philosophy and principles, which are premised on social significance and will also help it grow. ◤ euglena of the future: The company conducts daily research to make people and the Earth healthy, and support companies that develop technologies toward these objectives. ◤ Factories of the future: These factories will produce environment-friendly products derived from Euglena, including biofuels, bioplastics, and pharmaceuticals. ◤ Food of the future: Euglena, a rich source of nutrients, will be used as fertilizer for agricultural products, turning Japan into a food-exporting country. ◤ Fuel of the future: Biofuels will become commonplace through low-cost mass production, and Japan will become a fuel-supplying country. ◤ Rivers of the future: Water purification characteristics will return waterways to their natural state, turning the world’s tap water into delicious drinking water. ◤ ◤ Branded livestock of the future: “euglena brand cows” will be grown with nutrient-rich Euglena. School lunches of the future: Euglena, with its excellent nutritional balance, will be used in school lunches, becoming familiar foodstuffs from a young age. ◤ Space development of the future: Euglena will be used as an essential provider of air and food in spacecraft, making interstellar travel a real possibility. www.sharedresearch.jp 30/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Business, market, and value chain Business overview Performance (JPYmn) Sales 12,000 Operating profit GPM (right axis) OPM (right axis) 10,000 54% 8,000 6,000 56% 53% 50% 61% 55% 54% 60% 38% 0 -2,000 735 221 164 116 -71 -67 -32 FY09/07 FY09/08 FY09/09 75% 5,924 4,000 2,000 90% 11,103 73% 68% 1,166 153 FY09/10 2,092 1,586 45% 30% 3,046 294 308 176 142 476 FY09/11 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 15% 694 -15% FY09/16 Quarterly performance (JPYbn) (JPYbn) Sales Gross profit Operating profit GPM (right axis) 3 2 57% 54% 53% 53% 55% 53% 1 0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Q1 FY09/12 0.6 0.3 0.0 Q1 FY09/13 59% 55% 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 Q1 FY09/14 0.1 2.2 2.1 73% 2.9 70% 2.1 60% 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 73% 3.0 2.9 66% 2.3 61% 59% 57% 68% 67% 65% 74% 72% 70% 50% 0.1 Q1 FY09/15 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 40% Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data With mass cultivation technology for the Euglena gracilis microalgae at its core, the company engages in diverse R&D activities related to Euglena. It applies these research results to develop the Healthcare segment (production and sale of food and cosmetics containing Euglena) and the Energy and Environment segment (aiming to create biofuel business). The company aims to generate cash flow in the Healthcare segment, the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products segment, and the Energy and Environment segment. It intends to invest the cash flow generated through these businesses to meet new growth targets. As of FY09/16, the Healthcare segment generated essentially all cash, sales, and operating profit. Sales breakdown FY09/14 Other 1% Group B2C sales 26% OEM and ingredients 65% Group B2B sales 8% FY09/15 Other 2% OEM and ingredients 37% Group B2B sales 16% Group B2C sales 45% FY09/16 Other 5% OEM and ingredients 18% Group B2B sales 16% Group B2C sales 61% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 31/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Healthcare segment Performance (JPYmn) Sales 36% 30% 3,000 OPM (right axis) 29% 28% 26% Operating profit 2,888 22% 22% 21% 22% 22% 2,000 0 467 433 389 379 379 356 166 166 153 120 107 101 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 695 570 Q1 FY09/13 124 Q3 203 699 752 155 Q1 FY09/14 157 21% 21% 1,162 1,000 2,340 1,372 21% 18% 1,793 1,582 17% 161 Q3 240 184 293 Q1 FY09/15 279 Q3 2,914 30% 20% 20% 11% 857 731 2,952 606 311 584 268 Q1 FY09/16 10% 4% 118 0% Q3 Sales by category (JPYmn) (JPYmn) Parent B2C sales épauler 2,000 (JPYmn) 600 1,800 Group B2B sales 1,400 1,000 300 800 200 600 400 200 300 100 0 0 Other 200 200 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 250 150 100 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 (JPYmn) 400 100 0 OEM, ingredients, and overseas 500 400 1,200 700 600 500 1,600 (JPYmn) 50 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data In the Healthcare segment, the company has succeeded in turning two of the “five Fs of biomass” into products: food (functional foods) and fiber (cosmetics). For feed, another of the five Fs, it has commercialized pet foods containing Euglena, but is still researching the application of Euglena as feed for stockbreeding and aquaculture. One source of cash flow is the OEM supply of Euglena powder, and the company is using the generated cash to strengthen the B2C sales business. Its flagship product is midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice), which has shown rapid growth and become a source of cash flow. The company handles a variety of products. Key products using Euglena as a main ingredient are described in the following chart. See the Medium- to long-term strategy section for details. Value chain euglena group products euglena group e-commerce site and mail orders Over 15,000 small retailers in total nationwide handling euglena 180 supermarkets and convenience stores in total nationwide OEM supply Ingredients supply OEM clients Collaboration products with major retaiers and food manufacturers products Customers Customers Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 32/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Euglena: Latin for beauty (eu) and eyeball (glena) Euglena gracilis is a type of microalgae, as are Spirulina and Chlorella. Measuring 0.05mm in diameter, Euglena is classified as both plant and animal. Positioned at the bottom of the food chain pyramid, Euglena is thought to have been on the planet since ancient times. Able to take in water-based organic and inorganic substances, Euglena contains both phytonutrient and animal nutrients and generates lipids. Like plants they produce nutrients through photosynthesis and absorb CO2, so are effective in fighting global warming. Like animal cells, Euglena cells do not have walls, so are easier to digest than plants. They also contain a unique dietary fiber, Paramylon. Paramylon: As a dietary fiber, Paramylon excels at absorbing oil but is indigestible, so it passes through the human body. Research findings suggest that Paramylon is effective in discharging fat and cholesterol, inhibiting purine absorption, reducing uric acid in the blood, and alleviating symptoms of atopic dermatitis, influenza, gastric ulcers, and rheumatoid arthritis. (Processed into film, Paramylon also has wound-healing effects.) Euglena and Paramylon cholesterol Genus: Euglena Japanese name: "Midori-mushi" Born more than 500mn years ago in ancient earth Take in water-based organic and inorganic substances High CO2 tolerance Generates lipids No-cell wall structure Contains 59 nutrients including both plant's and animal's Approx. 30μm-50μm long, 10μm wide Unique component Paramylon granule fat - Carry fats and cholesterol out of the body - Inhibit purines absorption - Reduce the level of uric acid in the blood Paramy lon Source: Shared Research based on company data Direct sales (B2C) channel Sales (left, JPYmn) and number of regular purchase customers (right, thousands) (JPYmn) 8,000 Parent B2C sales épauler (JPYmn) 2,000 épauler 1,800 7,000 6,000 5,000 120 100 1,200 80 3,000 800 2,000 1,000 600 40 400 20 FY09/16 0 Q1 FY09/12 0 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/16 épauler 129 138 108 92 60 200 FY09/14 euglena 140 1,400 1,000 FY09/12 160 1,600 4,000 0 Parent B2C sales 37 Apr 2014 56 20 15 ('000 people) 48 Jul Oct Jan 2015 Apr Jul Oct Jan 2016 Apr Jul Source: Shared Research based on company data Overview and business scale The direct sales business is driving the company’s growth over the short to medium term. The business involves direct sales of functional foods, such as the Euglena-containing midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) and Chlorella. The domestic market for aojiru (green vegetable juice), a functional food similar to midorijiru, has a value of JPY60.0bn (2016 forecast, Fuji Keizai), and Chlorella has a market value of JPY20.0bn (FY2012, Yano Research Institute). Given the size of these markets, the company believes Euglena has ample market potential (JPY12.5bn in FY2015, based on company estimates). The number of regular purchase customers continues to grow, and the company is investing aggressively in advertisement to acquire new subscribers. To raise lifetime value (LTV), the company is 1) raising sale per customer by encouraging a shift from buying midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) to euglena PLUS, the higher-end supplement www.sharedresearch.jp 33/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 product, 2) promoting cross-selling by generating additional sales of related products and cosmetics, 3) and increasing the retention rate by analyzing the reasons for cause of cancellation and introducing alternative products such as MEDICA+ to avoid customers switching to competitors’ health foods such as blueberries. The company launched its direct-sale skincare brand, “one,” in May 2016, and aims to expand B2C sales of cosmetics. In November 2016, euglena announced its medium-term management targets: JPY20.0bn direct sales. Profitability The direct sales channel has the highest GPM within the Healthcare segment, at around 80% before accounting for SG&A expenses such as transportation and call center expenses. However, the OPM is affected by the major advertising expenses incurred to attract new customers. Once such upfront expenditures subside, the company expects OPM to improve for this business, which is anticipated to be a cash cow. The company aims for consolidated sales of JPY20.0bn. Wholesale (B2B) channel Sales (JPYmn) (JPYmn) Food 2,000 (JPYmn) Cosmetics 1,767 Food 500 Cosmetics 400 1,500 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 157 100 239 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 434 340 200 500 416 298 300 970 1,000 0 481 436 27 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 Q1 FY09/13 Q3 48 Q1 FY09/14 72 Q3 174 92 Q1 FY09/15 Q3 Q1 FY09/16 Q3 Source: Shared Research based on company data In this business, the company wholesales its products, such as Euglena beverage (JPY240, launched in May 2014), to convenience stores and other retailers. Adopting a profit-focused strategy, the company is working to make Euglena beverage attractive enough for consumers to pay the JPY240 retail price. If it can lower costs, the company believes the market has significant growth potential, considering the size of the markets for vegetable juice (Kagome estimate of JPY149.2bn in 2016) and lactic acid drinks (JPY97.7bn). (Cosmetics explained later.) Profitability In this market, GPMs differ by product but are typically around 50% (lower for beverages). If the company wants to capture some of the market for vegetable juice and lactic acid drinks, its profit margins may fall as it reduces prices. www.sharedresearch.jp 34/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 OEM, ingredients, overseas (B2B2B2C) Sales (JPYmn) (JPYmn) Food Cosmetics 2,000 (JPYmn) 2,188 1,993 1,951 Food Cosmetics 513 525 500 1,500 621 590 588 600 452 574 506 503 504 412 400 343 300 1,000 200 500 0 100 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 Q1 FY09/13 Q3 Q1 FY09/14 Q3 Q1 FY09/15 Q3 Q1 FY09/16 Q3 Source: Shared Research based on company data As of FY09/16, this business was a cash cow. In the Healthcare segment, the company has transitioned the focus of its business structure from OEM supply to direct-to-consumer sales. Accordingly, the company has not cultivated new OEM clients since October 2014 when euglena signed “comprehensive agreement related to Euglena-blended products” with Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. The top 10 OEM clients account for 80% of OEM sales. Profitability For food products, the more middle men between the company and end-consumers (models: B2B2B2C for OEM supply, B2B2C for wholesale, B2C for direct sales), the lower the contribution of sales and profits to overall profit margins, and the more difficult it becomes to control the brand image of euglena. At the same time, OEM supply is low-cost in terms of SG&A expenses and contributes to stable operating performance. As OPM is unlikely to change significantly, the company believes this business will remain a cash cow. Cosmetics: OEM and B2B sales Sales (JPYmn) (JPYmn) (JPYmn) 500 200 400 150 300 100 200 50 100 0 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data Cosmetics sales are included in B2C sales; group B2B sales; and OEM, ingredients, and overseas categories. In the cosmetics subsegment, the company primarily conducts sales on an OEM-basis (brand name: “euga”) to Socie World Co., Ltd., and wholesales its own cosmetic brand, “B.C.A.D.” The company’s direct sales brand “one” is included in B2C sales. OEM supply sales vary by quarter, and sales grow in quarters that see OEM shipments such as Q3 FY09/15 and Q1 FY09/16. The number of shops selling “B.C.A.D.” is on the rise, but slowly. The company aims to achieve growth by strengthening its product lineup. Profitability As with food, in the cosmetics business euglena is transitioning from OEM supply (B2B2B2C) to wholesale through distributors (B2B2C) and then to direct sales (B2C). Profitability is rising as more products are sold directly to end www.sharedresearch.jp 35/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 customers rather than through middlemen (retailers). The company aims to improve profitability further by boosting recognition of its “B.C.A.D.” and “one” brands. “euga,” “B.C.A.D.,” “one” Source: Shared Research based on company data Other Healthcare business Items not included in the Healthcare segment above include an antenna shop in Ishigaki Island, sales of Chlorella and wild Kalahari watermelon, business in the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products sector such as prawn farming and mung bean imports, and overseas business. Ishigaki euglena Garden on Ishigaki Island Source: Shared Research www.sharedresearch.jp 36/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Energy and Environment segment Performance (JPYmn) 20 10 0 2 0 2 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 9 5 0 0 8 0 2 0 8 0 -10 -20 -17 -30 -23 -40 -29 -23 -25 -29 -28 -21 -31 -31 -42 -50 -60 Sales -70 -80 (JPYmn) FY09/12 Q1 -25 -36 -45 -34 -47 -50 -39 -47 Operating profit FY09/13 Q1 -68 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/16 Q1 Source: Shared Research based on company data In the Energy and Environment segment, the company continues to engage in R&D centered on biofuel development. euglena is also taking part in Japan Cabinet Ministry’s “Impulsing Paradigm Change through Disruptive Technologies Program (ImPACT)” and contracted R&D for the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism’s “Breakthrough by Dynamic Approach in Sewage High Technology Project (the B-DASH Project)”. DeuSEL Sales in this category come mainly from pilot testing under the DeuSEL Project, a plan for the adoption of biodiesel fuel. Because of the company’s involvement in numerous R&D activities, however, this segment generates operating losses. DeuSEL Project: Began in July 2014. The project is a joint research project toward the commercial use of next-generation biodiesel fuels and involves, as a first step, the regular operation of a DeuSEL bus. Isuzu Motors is in charge of travel and performance testing, while euglena handles R&D and production. In July 2014, the bus commenced regular operation (on business days) between Isuzu’s Fujisawa Factory and the nearest station. Next-generation biodiesel fuel: Conventional biodiesel fuels had a fatty acid methyl ester (FAME) molecular structure, containing oxygen, making 100% substitution for petroleum-based diesel fuel problematic. Accordingly, Japanese standards allowed mixing FAME with petroleum-based diesel fuel only up to 5%. As next-generation fuels have a hydrocarbon molecular structure, the same as petroleum-based diesel fuel, technically it can be used as a 100% substitute. (However, no regulation is currently in place in Japan.) www.sharedresearch.jp 37/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Other business Production The company produces all the Euglena powder it uses in foods on Ishigaki Island, in Okinawa. For biofuel, the company is making use of the “Fiscal 2016 Subsidy for Pilot Project for the Production of Microalgae for Biofuel,” provided by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry’s Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, to build one of Japan’s biggest pools for culturing fuel-use microalgae, and began pilot testing in October 2016. Shared Research estimates that Yaeyama Shokusan, which handles the production of Euglena powder as ingredients, produces Chlorella using a similar process as for Euglena (note, the company does not publish any information on its Euglena production methods). For fuel-use Euglena, the content rate of lipids is extremely important from a cost perspective. Furthermore, the cultivation facilities need to be larger than those for food-use Euglena in order to achieve economies of scale. Once the pilot plant proves successful, the company plans to perform culturing Euglena at a larger and lower cost commercial plant. Production capacity The Healthcare segment continues to grow at a rapid pace, doubling YoY, and the company says its facilities are operating at full capacity. The company recognizes that cultivation facilities and drying machines are production bottlenecks, and continues to increase production capacity. In terms of cash outflow, the increase of production capacity does not require large investments. However, the company is aware that its current concentration of production facilities on Ishigaki Island is an issue in respect of the diversification of risk. Research and development In FY09/16, R&D expenses accounted for 3% of sales, and this percentage has fallen as sales have increased. Part of the company’s research is funded by government subsidies. For an R&D project that is 100% funded by subsidies, R&D expenses of JPY10mn by the company would be matched with JPY10mn in subsidies. Not all subsidies are booked as expenses, but the following should be noted: (1) Because subsidies are received sometime after the related investments and expenses are made, expenses are recorded temporarily in advance, giving the appearance of increases. (2) Subsidies are recorded as non-operating income, so the related investments and expenses appear to reduce operating profit. (3) Subsidies are paid in May–June according to the national government’s fiscal year (April through March), and may straddle the company’s fiscal year (ending in September). R&D expenses R&D expenses 100 93 79 80 (JPYmn) 52 50 40 0 76 64 60 20 109 % of sales (right axis) 15 22 25 FY09/12 Q1 21 26 33 32 FY09/13 Q1 37 35 71 80 7% 6% 5% 44 4% 20 3% FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/16 Q1 2% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 38/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Principal group companies M&A (JPYmn) Yaeyama Shokusan Plant High Technology Institute euglena art YU-KI ART CORPORATION épauler Taketomi Prawn Farm Chlorella Supply (JPYmn) Yaeyama Shokusan Plant High Technology Institute Euglena Art YU-KI ART CORPORATION épauler Taketomi Prawn Farm Chlorella Supply Merged % of voting shares Acquisition cost Before After Acquisition price Mar. 2013 20% 100% 252 247 Cash 198+price of shares held 49.5 Nov. 2013 100% 11 9 Cash Jul. 2015 1,026 1,013 May 2015 100% 1,026 1,013 euglena common shares at market value May 2015 100% YU-KI 1:3998, Art 1:51 Sep. 2015 100% 917 911 euglena common share at market value (1:2849) Sep. 2015 100% 90 85 Cash Dec. 2016 100% 585 579 Cash Shares Goodwill Total assets Total liabilities ('000) Depreciation Current Fixed Current -322 1,119 427 693 545 103 36 10-yr straight 9 8 0 34 30 536 655 10-yr straight 952 844 108 581 580 10-yr straight 469 370 99 323 323 536 655 10-yr straight 483 474 9 257 257 570 469 10-yr straight 722 540 182 274 189 474 88 386 370 270 - Acquisition costs 5 Advisory fee and others 2 Advisory fee and others 13 Advisory fee and others 13 Advisory fee and others Advisory fee and others 7 Advisory fee and others 5 Advisory fee and others 6 Advisory fee and others Earnings contribution Fixed Sales OP 441,914 181 39 4 1 446 3 1 85 100 - 446 3 1,326 281 - 14 79 - Source: Shared Research based on company data Note: Figures are as of acquisition dates Yaeyama Shokusan: Converted from ingredient producer to wholly owned subsidiary Since the time of its foundation, euglena has outsourced the production of Euglena powder as an ingredient to Yaeyama Shokusan, which it converted to a wholly owned subsidiary in March 2013. euglena has taken over sales of Chlorella from Yaeyama Shokusan, which now concentrates solely on production, producing all the company’s food-use Euglena, as well as producing fuel-use Euglena in the same facility. euglena art: Has proprietary distribution channel In May 2015, euglena acquired shares in YU-KI Inc. and ART CORPORATION, both of which were its OEM client companies and had their own distribution channels such as beauty salons and small retailers. In July 2015, euglena initiated an absorption-type merger, with euglena art (formerly YU-KI Inc.) as the surviving company and ART CORPORATION as the absorbed company. The new company strengthened its branding by incorporating the euglena brand and logo, began handling euglena’s products, and reinforced product development. Integration synergies, such as through personnel exchanges and shared sales expertise, are beginning to appear. épauler: Has direct sales route In September 2015, euglena converted épauler into a wholly owned subsidiary, which had been its OEM client and sold health products via direct sales. Integration synergies are appearing, similar to those at euglena art. Following the integration, euglena introduced advertising linkage and controls. Previously, euglena newspaper ads were run, for example, on Mondays and épauler ads on Tuesdays. By adopting a headquarter-driven advertising strategy, the company sought to improve ad efficiency. It has also reduced costs by integrating direct sales systems, logistics, and call centers, and strengthening raw materials purchasing power. euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm: part of the growth strategy in the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products sector In September 2015, euglena acquired this company’s shares and converted it to a wholly owned subsidiary. The subsidiary is located in Taketomi Island, Okinawa Prefecture (on the south of Taketomi Island, one of the Yaeyama Islands, which include Ishigaki Island, a 15-minute boat ride away). The subsidiary, which has 70,000sqm of on-land aquaculture ponds, farms and sells prawns. In June 2015, it had sales of JPY280mn, recurring profit of JPY90mn, and net income of JPY51mn. By undertaking direct sales (B2C), and acquiring prawn farming companies, the company plans to grow the prawn farming business. The subsidiary’s results are highly seasonal. After the farmed prawns are shipped in June, the farming pool is cleaned in July–August, and cultivation begins again in August–September. Winter is the peak demand period for farmed prawn, and the subsidiary generates almost no sales in Q1 (July–September). Unique among the group’s subsidiaries, its fiscal www.sharedresearch.jp 39/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 year-end is June, when the cultivation cycle ends. Grameen euglena: part of the growth strategy in the Agriculture and Aquaculture Products sector In October 2014, euglena acquired shares in this company from Yukiguni Maitake (formerly TSE2: 1378, delisted in June 2015) and converted it to a consolidated subsidiary (50% stake, with the remaining 50% held by Grameen Group of Bangladesh). The subsidiary operates a mung bean project in Bangladesh. Social significance and revenue source The Mungbean Project offers benefits for Bangladesh, Japan, and euglena. For Bangladesh, the project provides employment opportunities in farming areas, the chance to improve nutrition, and cultivation technology support for increasing crop yields and quality, resulting in higher earnings. For Japan, the project offers a way to ensure a steady supply of mung beans, which are used for bean sprouts (accounting for more than 80% of Japanese production). Almost all mung beans are imported (90% of them from China), and this project provides an way to counter price fluctuation risk to support domestic producers of bean sprouts, many of which are going out of business. For euglena, the project is a way to increase earnings by selling mung beans imported from Grameen euglena to domestic producers of bean sprouts. In short, in addition to its social significance, this project could provide euglena with a source of earnings. Dhal: In Bangladesh, mung beans are crushed and made into a curry (dhal curry) and used in bean soup (dhal soup). The beans, which are a source of protein, serve as an everyday main dish. For this reason, in the marketplace the beans are often sold crushed, so until the launch of the project in 2012, little attention was placed on the quality of the mung beans themselves. Grameen euglena and its predecessor, Grameen Yukiguni Maitake, have worked with farmers to increase awareness and provided technological instruction, leading to mung bean exports to Japan. The Mungbean Project made use of a JETRO system to begin testing, followed by the establishment of Grameen Yukiguni Maitake in July 2011. Shanghai Euglena Shanghai Euglena generated sales of less than JPY100mn in FY09/16, but euglena sees much potential in overseas markets, and plans to engage in cross-border e-commerce. As in Japan, the company’s goal is to transition its business development from OEM supply to sales through retailers (B2B) and then to sales directly to consumers (B2C). At the moment, recognition of Euglena within China is low. Due to business customs that differ from those in Japan, the company is proceeding on a trial-and-error basis, including for advertising methods. Shanghai Euglena was still generating operating losses in FY09/16, but is expected to move into the black by FY09/18. As its main business is OEM supply, Shared Research believes that operating costs are unlikely to rise substantially, so steady sales increases should translate into profits. As the company starts moving toward B2C sales, however, upfront costs are likely to increase. Expanding sales route by converting Chlorella Supply to a subsidiary In December 2016, euglena converted Chlorella Supply to a wholly owned subsidiary. There are three objectives for this move: 1) acquire a base of more than 580,000 accumulated customers, 2) benefit from synergies with euglena’s Chlorella sales business, and 3) integration synergies through expansion of euglena’s business infrastructure (boosting profit). The 580,000 figure is the accumulated number of customers who have purchased health food products to date, mainly Chlorella, and are potential customers for euglena’s food direct sales business. By marketing to these potential customers, euglena aims to increase the number of regular customers. Although the Chlorella market appears to be shrinking, euglena says it will focus on cultivating the new customer base for www.sharedresearch.jp 40/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 B2C sales, raising sales per customer by cross-selling other group products, acquiring regular customers for Chlorella Supply’s products, and benefiting from efficiency improvements and other synergies. Even so, Shared Research believes the impact to consolidated earnings at the operating level will be slight in FY09/17, given the amount of goodwill. Chlorella Supply’s operating performance 1,000 900 Sales 879 783 800 586 600 554 578 400 300 200 100 FY12/15 FY12/17 Est. (JPYmn) FY12/18 Est. FY12/19 Est. 0 12% 10% 8% 32 32 6% 5.5% 10 6 11 12 10 0.7% FY12/13 10 1.4% 8 FY12/14 4% 2% 1.1% FY12/15 (JPYmn) 14% 11.4% 10.1% 20 FY12/14 66 66 50 30 FY12/13 OPM (right axis) 56 56 40 500 0 Recurring profit 60 719 700 Operating profit 70 FY12/17 Est. FY12/18 Est. FY12/19 Est. 0% Shared Research based on company data Alliances Business and R&D partners (red indicates euglena shareholders) Business partners (Healthcare) ITOCHU FamilyMart Takeda Pharmaceutical DENTSU Seven & i Holdings Chevron Lummus Global & ARA SHIMIZU ITOCHU ENEX Hitachi Tokyo Century Chiyoda ANA Holdings Isuzu Motors City of Yokohama Cabinet Office Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Business partners (Energy and Environment) Japan Science abd Technology Agency Universities R&D partners Keio University RIKEN New Energy and Industrial technology Development Organization Local government Taki, Mie Source: Shared Research based on company data Note: Impulsing Paradigm Change through Disruptive Technologies Program (ImPACT) and Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP) are subsidized by Cabinet Office, Government of Japan. www.sharedresearch.jp 41/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Business, market, and value chain euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Strengths and weaknesses Strengths High barriers to entry Since the company achieved success with outdoor mass cultivation of Euglena on December 16, 2005, no similar company has emerged. Barriers to entry are high, as success in the Euglena-related market is unlikely without the outdoor mass cultivation technology like that developed by the company. We see this as one of its major strengths. Core technologies and trade secrets Even if another company were to overcome the hurdle of outdoor mass cultivation of Euglena, euglena’s strength is its technologies for producing Euglena that has a variety of functions and characteristics. Different from industrial products or software development, it is not possible to reverse engineer Euglena, produced through the use of special culture liquid and repeated cell division in a certain environment. Furthermore, the company’s products use dried Euglena organisms, which cannot be brought back to life and cultured. Euglena ’s characteristics Food-use Euglena has 59 nutrients found in meat, fish, and vegetables (14 vitamins, 11 unsaturated fatty acids, 18 amino acids, 9 minerals, and 7 other components including Paramylon). As such, Euglena is a relatively competitive health food compared with aojiru (green vegetable juice) and vegetable juice. Euglena is also a competitive biofuel feedstock: compared with sugar cane and other biofuel feedstocks that take longer to harvest, Euglena can be produced in only around two weeks, allowing for a swift transition to other uses if biofuel becomes unprofitable due to fluctuations in crude oil prices. euglena differs from other biofuel companies in that it also generates cash flow from Euglena for food, which is a management advantage. Weaknesses Performance skewed toward the Healthcare segment, particularly for B2C sales The company is highly dependent on the Healthcare segment and food-use Euglena, its mainstay product. Furthermore, earnings rely heavily on B2C sales of midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) and other health foods. If poor-quality Euglena were to enter the market, the company could suffer from harmful rumors that might lead to concerns about the quality of the health foods and a substantial loss of customers. This is a risk rather than a weakness, but the company’s almost total dependence on a single product category can be seen as a weakness. Highly dependent on advertising Sales in the Healthcare segment continue to grow sharply, but the direct sales of the company’s mainstay midorijiru (euglena farm’s green juice) still account for only around JPY4.0–5.0bn per year. The domestic market for aojiru (green vegetable juice) has a value of JPY80.0bn, suggesting that general recognition of the company’s product is still low. As of FY09/16, the company still tried to raise brand recognition and attract new customers, so it invested nearly half of its gross profit in promotional and advertising expenses. Although the company is controlling these expenditures based on detailed analysis, its dependence on advertising is high, which may be constraining profitability. Personnel shortage due to rapid growth Despite its rapid growth, the company has limited production and employee capacity. Meanwhile, given its accumulated cash position, it needs to develop its business further to improve capital efficiency. It must allocate management resources to its growing, existing business, but this leaves it with a shortage of personnel to launch new businesses, hampering its business development. We believe aggressive recruiting will be key to the company’s ability to hire talented personnel. www.sharedresearch.jp 42/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Historical performance Q4 FY09/16 earnings (out November 9, 2016) ◤ FY09/16: Expansion of the group’s B2C sales and contributions from group companies drove consolidated earnings growth. Initial plan achieved with 154,000 regular purchase customers in direct sales ◤ Q4: Sales in line with target (revised in Q3). Operating loss wider than expected as aggressive spending to win regular purchase customers continued ◤ M&A: Chlorella Supply, with more than 580,000 accumulated customers, made a wholly owned subsidiary from December. Expects to leverage customer base for cross selling ◤ FY09/17: Expects a roughly JPY4.0bn sales increase centered on the group’s B2C sales. In the near-term, prioritize expansion of direct sales and aggressive R&D investment over profit growth ◤ Medium-term plan: Targets consolidated sales of JPY30bn and provision and supply of commercial biofuels made in Japan by FY09/20 ◤ Sixth round of stock options: Sales of JPY30.0bn and recurring profit of JPY1.0bn conditions for 100% exercise (FY09/18–FY09/20) Also set exercise condition linked to successful aircraft flight using aviation biofuel manufactured by euglena Performance by quarter (JPYbn) (JPYbn) Sales Gross profit Operating profit GPM (right axis) 3 2 57% 53% 54% 53% 55% 57% 1 0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Q1 FY09/12 61% 59% 53% 0.6 0.3 0.0 Q1 FY09/13 59% 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 Q1 FY09/14 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.7 66% 0.9 0.1 Q1 FY09/15 1.0 0.1 2.1 73% 73% 3.0 2.9 2.3 55% 0.8 68% 67% 65% 74% 72% 70% 2.9 2.2 70% 2.1 60% 1.7 1.3 50% 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 40% Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data Overview of results FY09/16: Expansion of the group’s B2C sales and contributions from group companies drove consolidated growth. Initial plan achieved with 154,000 regular purchase customers in direct sales In FY09/16, sales of JPY11.1bn (+87.4% YoY) matched the forecasts revised in Q3, but operating profit fell short by JPY66mn to JPY694mn (+45.7% YoY). The main reason for the operating profit shortfall was active spending primarily on advertising to acquire regular purchase customers for the group’s B2C sales, with an eye on long-term growth. The group’s B2C sales jumped 2.6x the previous year to JPY6.8bn. This YoY increase of JPY4.2bn in B2C sales accounted for about 81% of the consolidated YoY sales increase of JPY5.2bn. Aggressive SG&A spending to acquire new regular purchase customers proved successful, and the release of direct sales skincare brand “one” in Q3 also contributed to an increase in regular purchase customers in Q4. There were 154,000 direct sales customers at the end of FY09/16, surpassing the initial plan of 150,000 and representing a QoQ increase of 16,000. www.sharedresearch.jp 43/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Regular purchase customers in direct sales (B2C) business (thousands of people) ('000 people) Number of regular purchase customers (quarter end) 180 ('000 people) QoQ change 43 160 136 140 154 40 113 120 96 100 80 40 20 3 10 7 Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/13 13 2 16 3 5 21 Q1 FY09/14 37 16 54 48 11 30 23 17 60 0 139 20 15 5 10 3 Q1 FY09/15 0 Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data M&A: Chlorella Supply, with more than 580,000 accumulated customers, made wholly owned subsidiary from December. Expects to leverage customer base for cross selling euglena made Chlorella Supply Co., Ltd. into a wholly owned subsidiary, bringing it into the group on December 1, 2016, at an acquisition price of JPY579mn. Chlorella Supply has an accumulated customer base of more than 580,000, with its business history of more than 20 years. euglena anticipates an expansion in sales arising from cross-selling of its products to Chlorella Supply’s customers. Other synergistic effects include lower manufacturing costs by manufacturing euglena’s Chlorella products in Chlorella Supply’s facilities, lower SG&A expenses by increased efficiency from making Chlorella Supply a group company, and higher consolidated earnings arising from the replacement in the medium term of Chlorella Supply’s Chlorella powder with Chlorella powder produced by subsidiary Yaeyama Shokusan Co., Ltd. The plan for Chlorella Supply calls for sales of JPY586mn and operating profit of JPY32mn in FY12/17. FY09/17: Expects a roughly JPY4.0bn sales increase mainly from the group’s B2C sales. In the near-term, prioritizes expansion of B2C sales and aggressive R&D investment over profit growth In FY09/17, the company forecasts sales of JPY15.0bn (+35.1% or JPY3.9bn YoY) and operating profit of JPY820mn (+18.2% or JPY126mn YoY). It will actively invest in advertising to acquire new regular purchase customers, aiming for 200,000 regular purchase customers for the group’s B2C sales, and in research and development primarily for biofuels. This will keep any increase in profits relatively small. euglena stated that it is prioritizing increasing regular purchase customers for the group’s B2C sales and aggressive investment in R&D primarily for biofuels rather than profit growth and plans to continue prioritizing these over profit growth in FY09/17. SG&A expenses (JPYbn) Personnel expenses (JPYbn) Administrative expenses R&D expenses Selling expenses SG&A-to-sales ratio 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 45% 28% 31% 0.1 0.1 50% 52% 47% 36% 0.2 Q1 FY09/12 53% 59% 62% 61% 52% 40% 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 Q1 FY09/13 0.3 0.4 0.2 Q1 FY09/14 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 Q1 FY09/15 59% 0.8 0.5 58% 0.9 0.6 62% 71% 1.7 1.7 60% 2.3 1.8 77% 61% 1.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 80% 60% 40% 0.7 20% Q1 FY09/16 0% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 44/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Medium-term plan: aims for consolidated group sales of JPY30bn and commercial use of biofuels made in Japan by FY09/20 euglena’s medium-term management plan lays out two key objectives to be achieved by FY09/20: consolidated group sales of JPY30.0bn and the production and supply of made-in-Japan biofuels for commercial use. It expects JPY20.0bn of the JPY30.0bn to be secured through the group’s B2C sales. The group still expects increased earnings contributions from group B2B sales and overseas businesses. Furthermore, the company will actively pursue M&A, which may also contribute to earnings. Sixth round of stock options: sales of JPY30.0bn and RP of JPY1.0bn as conditions for 100% exercise (FY09/18 to FY09/20) The company has announced it will issue its sixth round of stock options. The planned issue of 21,990 stock options is equal to approximately 2.66% of outstanding shares (82,627,216 total shares outstanding) as of the end of September 2016. The company set sales of JPY30.0bn and recurring profit of JPY1.0bn as conditions to exercise 100% of the options, and sales of JPY25.0bn and recurring profit of JPY1.0bn as conditions for 60% exercise. At first glance, these figures suggest that recurring profit will barely rise, but Shared Research thinks these conditions demonstrate the company’s intent to invest in growth without being restricted by stock options. However, euglena has also set an additional condition, such that even if these conditions are fulfilled, only half of the options will actually be eligible for exercise until an aircraft flight using a mixture of conventional petroleum-based jet fuel and euglena’s aviation biofuel (manufactured at the pilot plant for aviation diesel biofuel production to be constructed as part of the company’s Made-in-Japan Biofuel Project) becomes successful. Both the achievement of the medium-term forecasts and realizing the commercial use of aviation biofuel have been included as exercise conditions. Healthcare segment Sales 36% 30% 3,000 OPM (right axis) 29% 28% 26% Operating profit 2,888 22% 22% 21% 22% 22% 2,000 0 (JPYmn) 570 467 433 389 379 379 356 166 166 153 124 120 107 101 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 Parent B2C sales Q1 FY09/13 épauler 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 Q3 (JPYmn) 600 695 203 699 155 Q1 FY09/14 Group B2B sales 500 400 300 200 752 157 1,372 161 Q3 184 240 293 Q1 FY09/15 (JPYmn) 700 17% 279 Q3 OEM, ingredients, and overseas 600 500 606 311 Q1 FY09/16 (JPYmn) 250 100 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 30% 20% 584 4% 118 Q3 10% 0% Other 200 300 0 20% 268 150 200 2,914 11% 400 100 21% 18% 1,793 1,582 857 731 100 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 21% 21% 1,162 1,000 2,340 2,952 50 0 Q1 Q1 Q1 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 45/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Q3 FY09/16 earnings (out August 12, 2016) Performance by quarter (JPYbn) (JPYbn) Sales Gross profit Operating profit 3 57% 54% 53% 53% 55% 53% 1 0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Q1 FY09/12 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 Q1 FY09/13 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Q1 FY09/14 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.5 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.8 0.1 0.1 73% 3.0 2.9 66% 59% 55% 0.7 74% 72% 70% 2.3 61% 59% 57% 68% 67% 65% 2 GPM 2.1 70% 2.2 60% 1.7 1.3 50% 0.2 Q1 FY09/15 0.4 0.4 0.0 40% Q1 FY09/16 SG&A expenses (JPYbn) Personnel expenses (JPYbn) 1.5 45% 1.0 28% 31% 0.0 0.1 50% 52% R&D expenses 53% 47% 59% Selling expenses 62% 61% 52% Q1 FY09/12 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 Q1 FY09/13 SG&A-to-sales ratio 58% 62% 71% 1.7 1.7 60% 1.8 61% 60% 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 59% 40% 36% 0.5 0.1 Administrative expenses 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 40% 0.5 Q1 FY09/14 20% Q1 FY09/15 0% Q1 FY09/16 Regular purchase customers in direct sales (B2C) business (thousands of people) ('000 people) Number of members at quarter end 180 ('000 people) QoQ changes 160 36 140 129 120 30 108 92 100 80 17 60 40 20 0 40 138 7 Q1 FY09/12 Q1 FY09/13 3 10 Q1 FY09/14 13 2 15 3 5 20 37 Q1 FY09/15 48 11 56 21 20 16 8 8 10 0 Q1 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data Overview of results Direction for FY09/16 For FY09/16, in the Healthcare segment euglena plans to strengthen direct sales, harness synergies from integrating two subsidiaries, and augment its product lineup. Through healthcare R&D activities, it also plans to clarify the functionalities of the microalgae Euglena and expand production facilities in response to growing demand. In the biofuel sector, it is preparing for construction of its biofuel production pilot plant and working to lower the cost of producing fuel-use Euglena. Performance through Q3 Progress was generally in line with the company targets as of Q3, particularly on the direct sales, subsidiary integration, and product lineup fronts. The number of regular purchase customers in direct sales business was 140,000 as of July 31, 2016 (up by 10,000 from April 30), in line with FY09/16 targets. Integrating two subsidiaries are starting to show www.sharedresearch.jp 46/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 increased efficiencies in distribution and advertising expenses. The company expanded its product lineup as shown in the following table, and in Q3, it released “one,” its new direct sales skincare brand. New product launches by category Subsegment Food (direct sales) Food (distribution) Cosmetics (direct sales) Q3 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q3 Launch date May 16, 2016 Feb. 08, 2016 Mar. 25, 2016 Mar. 28, 2016 May 16, 2016 Product MEDICA+ Algae bar Appetizer jelly from euglena farm Euglena from Ishigaki with bitter gourd (honey sauced) "one" all-in-one face cream Description A new supplement lineup A bar form confection with Euglena and Chlorella Pet food with Euglena Cartocanned beverage co-developed with JR East Japan First product for "one," the new direct sales brand Source: Shared Research based on company data In terms of clarifying the functionalities of Euglena, R&D activities have recently confirmed the efficacies of Euglena in inhibiting rotavirus proliferation (virus that infects the intestinal tract). The company was also expanding production facilities to accommodate the B2C sales that have roughly doubled YoY. For biofuel the company has pushed back the planned start of operations at its pilot plant from mid-2018 to the first half of 2019 (2020 target remains unchanged) while in September 2016 it began building cultivation pools for biofuel-use microalgae in Taki town, Mie Prefecture. In May 2016, the company also announced its success in developing an improved breeding method for selecting a Euglena variant with high lipid content, suited for biofuel. The company explains that it delayed the start of its pilot plant in Yokohama for refining biofuel because it took more time than expected to respond to the various issues arising as it proceeded with the plant’s basic design. The company now plans to complete the basic design in the US, localize the design for construction in Japan, and start construction in summer 2017. Changes in the pilot plant construction schedule: In August 2016, euglena announced changes in the construction schedule for its biofuel production pilot plant. The start of construction was delayed from summer 2016 to summer 2017. Expected completion has been delayed from winter 2017 to winter 2018 and operational start has been delayed from mid-2018 to the first half of 2019. The company has said “by” these dates, which Shared Research interprets as the company being committed to meeting these deadlines. Cultivation pools for biofuel-use microalgae: In September 2016, euglena, Chubu Plant Service, and Taki town in Mie Prefecture announced that they would cooperate in a pilot project to cultivate microalgae for biofuel use. The pools for cultivating biofuel-use microalgae are to be built in Taki town, using a Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) subsidy. Exhaust gas, wastewater, and heat emitted from Chubu Plant Service’s wood biomass power plant will be used to provide the CO2 and energy needed to cultivate the microalgae, lowering the cost of biofuel-use microalgae. The company plans to begin testing in October 2016, and expand the cultivation area to more than 3,000sqm in 2018, making this Japan’s largest pool for culturing biofuel-use microalgae. euglena plans to conduct testing until the end of March 2019. Healthcare segment Sales 36% 30% 3,000 26% Operating profit OPM (right axis) 29% 28% 2,888 22% 22% 21% 22% 22% 2,000 0 467 433 389 379 379 356 166 166 153 120 107 101 Q1 FY09/12 Q3 570 Q1 FY09/13 124 Q3 695 203 699 155 Q1 FY09/14 752 157 731 161 Q3 21% 21% 1,162 1,000 2,340 1,372 17% 184 240 Q1 FY09/15 279 Q3 311 20% 30% 20% 11% 857 293 21% 18% 1,793 1,582 2,952 606 584 10% 268 Q1 FY09/16 Q3 0% Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 47/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance épauler Parent B2C sales (JPYmn) 1,800 (JPYmn) 150 LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 (JPYmn) Food (B2B sales) euglena art (JPYmn) 400 600 1,600 Food (OEM and ingredients) 1,200 100 200 800 600 200 400 0 0 Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 Overseas, farming prawns Chlorella, Kalahari 150 100 50 0 Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 350 200 50 100 200 (JPYmn) 250 100 300 50 Cosmetics (OEM and B2B sales) 150 400 1,000 200 300 500 1,400 (JPYmn) Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 0 0 Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 Q1 Q1 FY09/15 FY09/16 Source: Shared Research based on company data Q3 performance Healthcare earnings ticked up from Q2, which had solid performance due to media exposure; drop in first-time customers but steady increase in regular customers Q3 sales rose 86.6% YoY and 2.2% from Q2. Although YoY growth levels remained high, the rise from Q2 was small because of a spike in first-time customers from December 2015 to February 2016 stemming from a TV program aired in December 2015. Still, the company is not concerned as the number of regular purchase customers has continued to increase even after the TV program, and the impact of ad spending was evident in Q3 results. Regular purchase customers (direct sales) 160 euglena 140 épauler 138 129 120 108 92 100 80 60 40 0 ('000 people) 20 15 20 Apr 2014 56 48 37 Jul Oct Jan 2015 Apr Jul Oct Jan 2016 Apr Jul Source: Shared Research based on company data Company revises up full-year forecast, ad spend concentrated in Q4 When announcing Q3 results, euglena also revised upward its forecast for FY09/16. The revised forecast calls for an operating loss in Q4 due to heavy ad spending. This investment in advertising suggests the company plans to continue pursuing high levels of growth in FY09/17 as in FY09/16. Given that the measures euglena has undertaken in FY09/16 are bearing fruit, Shared Research thinks the company is planting seeds for substantial future growth. The company recognizes that heavy ad spending can cause ROI to decline but believes that advertising is instrumental to attracting customers. In Q4 and the following Q1, euglena expects to reap the results of ad investments made in August and September 2016. In business departments other than B2C sales, OEM supply is decreasing as planned, cosmetic products rose due to repeat sales contributed, and a rise in other food sales were due to seasonal factors (for subsidiary euglena Taketomi Prawn Farm, demand for prawns is strong in Q3 [January–March]). Toward Q4 Q4 was expected to see heavy ad spending. In food (B2C sales), the company expects to reap the benefits of ad spending. In cosmetics, euglena is engaged in a full-fledged rollout of its new B2C sales brand “one” on May 20, 2016, www.sharedresearch.jp 48/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Historical performance euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 and launched “B.C.A.D. Hair” on July 11, 2016, a new hair care product that can be easily sold through beauty salons that handle euglena’s “B.C.A.D.” brand products. The harvesting of farmed prawns was expected to continue into Q4 (April– June). In OEM supply, the company can generally discern order trends two to three months in advance and has incorporated an expected downturn in orders into its Q4 forecasts. www.sharedresearch.jp 49/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Financial statements Income statement Income statement FY09/07 FY09/08 FY09/09 FY09/10 FY09/11 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 (JPYmn) Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Sales 116 164 221 735 1,166 1,586 2,092 3,046 5,924 735 1,164 1,581 2,087 3,039 5,908 164 221 Healthcare 116 Energy and Environment 2 4 5 7 16 YoY 41.8% 34.2% 232.9% 58.7% 36.0% 31.9% 45.6% 94.5% Healthcare 41.8% 34.2% 232.9% 58.4% 35.9% 32.0% 45.6% 94.4% Energy and Environment 80.2% 10.0% 45.7% 136.0% CoGS 72 76 110 343 517 725 948 1,198 1,905 CoGS ratio 62.4% 45.9% 49.7% 46.7% 44.3% 45.7% 45.3% 39.3% 32.2% Gross profit 44 89 111 392 649 860 1,144 1,849 4,019 GPM 37.6% 54.1% 50.3% 53.3% 55.7% 54.3% 54.7% 60.7% 67.8% SG&A expenses 114 156 143 239 355 552 968 1,706 3,543 Selling expenses 342 874 2,250 Personnel expenses 301 388 546 Administrative expenses 213 271 484 R&D expenses 7 22 23 39 62 83 111 174 262 120 200 293 470 Other 107 133 YoY 36.2% -8.1% 67.0% 48.6% 55.7% 75.2% 76.3% 107.6% Selling expenses - 155.6% 157.4% Personnel expenses - 28.8% 40.7% Administrative expenses - 27.0% 78.6% R&D expenses 204.9% 2.7% 69.0% 59.3% 33.8% 34.2% 56.3% 51.1% Other 24.6% -9.9% 66.6% 46.6% 60.3% YoY 98.6% 94.7% 64.8% 32.5% 30.4% 34.8% 46.3% 56.0% 59.8% Selling expenses 16.3% 28.7% 38.0% Personnel expenses 14.4% 12.7% 9.2% Administrative expenses 10.2% 8.9% 8.2% R&D expenses 6.3% 13.6% 10.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 4.4% Operating profit -71 -67 -32 153 294 308 176 142 476 304 513 592 547 658 1,122 Healthcare -71 -67 -32 Energy and Environment -51 -83 -93 -113 -168 -115 Adjustments -101 -136 -192 -258 -348 -532 YoY 92.5% 4.5% -42.7% -19.4% 234.7% Healthcare 68.4% 15.4% -7.5% 20.2% 70.6% Energy and Environment OPM -60.9% -40.6% -14.5% 20.8% 25.3% 19.4% 8.4% 4.7% 8.0% Healthcare -60.9% -40.6% -14.5% 41.4% 44.0% 37.3% 26.2% 21.6% 18.9% Energy and Environment -6.9% -7.1% -5.8% -5.4% -5.5% -1.9% OP before depreciation & amortization of goodwill -71 -67 -32 153 295 321 212 209 647 YoY 92.7% 8.9% -34.0% -1.2% 209.0% Profit margin -60.9% -40.6% -14.5% 20.8% 25.3% 20.2% 10.1% 6.9% 10.9% Non-operating income (expenses) -0 2 2 30 20 18 88 49 250 Financial income 0 0 -0 -0 0 0 -2 17 32 Gains on foreign exchange Equity in income of affiliates -2 Other non-operating income -1 1 2 30 20 18 90 32 220 Recurring profit -71 -65 -30 183 314 325 265 191 726 YoY 71.4% 3.6% -18.7% -27.7% 279.3% RPM -61.3% -39.7% -13.8% 24.9% 26.9% 20.5% 12.7% 6.3% 12.3% Extraordinary gains -2 -2 3 0 -1 322 0 19 Loss on impairment of fixed assets -0 -2 0 G ain on bargain purchase 322 18 Income taxes 0 0 0 0 108 128 104 74 287 Implied tax rate 0.2% 34.6% 39.3% 17.8% 38.4% 38.6% Non-controlling interest 12 Net income attributable to owners of parent -74 -67 -27 183 205 197 483 118 470 YoY 12.0% -3.6% 144.4% -75.5% 297.4% Net margin -63.7% -41.0% -12.4% 24.9% 17.6% 12.5% 23.1% 3.9% 7.9% Capital expenditures 83 172 315 Depreciation 0 0 13 35 63 136 Depreciation (SG&A expenses) 1 0 0 0 12 20 21 36 Amortization of goodwill 4 35 EBITDA -71 -67 -32 153 295 321 212 209 647 FY09/16 Cons. 11,103 11,093 10 87.4% 87.8% -39.3% 2,966 26.7% 8,137 73.3% 7,443 5,390 890 810 353 110.1% 139.6% 63.1% 67.4% 34.7% 67.0% 48.5% 8.0% 7.3% 3.2% 694 1,577 -200 -683 45.7% 40.5% 6.3% 14.2% -1.8% 1,014 56.8% 9.1% 251 26 -2 24 203 945 30.0% 8.5% -25 254 27.6% 8 673 43.4% 6.1% 232 119 88 1,014 Source: Shared Research based on company data SG&A expenses Advertising, selling, and other marketing expenses make up a high percentage of SG&A expenses, and these expenses are highly variable. These expenses are high because the company is investing in new customer acquisition, with a focus on LTV in its mainstay food (B2C sales) business. Personnel expenses were also trending upward, as the company stepped up www.sharedresearch.jp 50/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 recruiting to expand. Some SG&A expenses, such as for sample products, logistics expenses, and credit settlement fees, are also variable and linked to sales. A changing cost structure: SG&A expenses (left), as a percentage of sales (right) Personnel expenses Selling expenses 2.5 Administrative expenses SG&A-to-sales ratio R&D expenses Gross margin 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 Q1 FY09/13 (JPYbn) 0.3 Q3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 Q1 FY09/14 Q3 0.4 0.8 0.5 Q1 FY09/15 0.9 0.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.7 Q3 Q1 FY09/16 Q3 Personnel expenses R&D expenses Operating profit margin 80% 70% 75% 60% 70% 50% 65% 40% 60% 30% 55% 20% 50% 10% 5.4%5.1%5.5% 45% 0% 40% -10% Administrative expenses Selling expenses 14.6% Q1 FY09/13 Q3 5.9% 2.5% 3.5% Q1 FY09/14 Q3 6.6% 5.1% 9.4% 8.5%8.5% Q1 FY09/15 14.6% 11.9% 1.3% Q3 Q1 FY09/16 -3.8% Q3 Source: Shared Research based on company data Equity in earnings of associated companies Equity in earnings of affiliated companies applies only to one company, which operates the Real Tech Fund. This company is capitalized at JPY50mn, and euglena holds a 49% stake and the fund has gathered a total investment commitment of JPY7.5bn (all of which had been raised as of May 2016). Earnings from dividends vary in line with the investment amount. Profit attributable to non-controlling interests Non-controlling interests exist for two companies, euglena’s subsidiary in Shanghai (70% stake) and Grameen euglena (50% stake). As of FY09/16, both companies generated losses. The company expects losses at its Shanghai subsidiary to disappear as business in mainland China picks up, and it believes losses at Grameen euglena will disappear as exports of mung beans to Japan grow. www.sharedresearch.jp 51/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Equity in earnings of associated companies (left) and profit attributable to non-controlling interests (right) 15 15 13 Equity in earnings of affiliates 9 10 10 5 5 3 2 1 0 -5 -5 -15 (JPYmn) 5 5 0 -10 Net income attributable to non-controlling shareholders 9 7 10 -1 -10 -12 FY09/15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY09/16 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 -15 (JPYmn) -10 FY09/15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY09/16 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Real Tech Fund areas of support Target Solve future issues with leading edge robotics More secure information community with quantum random numbers Kinotech Solar Energy Corporation Environment, energy Solve global issues in zinc recycling Man-Machine Synergy Effectors, Inc. Robotics Free the world from hard labor with humanoid robots amelieff Biotechnology Society with healthy people through gene analysis technology MELTIN MMI Co., Ltd. Robotics, electronics, biotechnology, AI Removing all biological barriers between man and machine Kyulux, Inc. Electronics, new materials Ultimate luminescent material for organic EL to the world Japanese Organization for Medical Device Medicine and medical equipment Contribute to the world with Japanese medical Development, Inc. technologies 4D Sensor Inc. Electronics, IoT Ultra high speed and ultra precision shape measurement iHeart Japan Corporation Bio, medicine and medical equipment Develop next gen medicine that could replace heart transplant OryLab Inc. Robotics Meet whoever you want to meet, go wherever you want to go Space Link Co., Ltd. Electronics, environment, energy, new Change the world with electricity storage and materials, aerospace, IoT positioning technologies Think-Lands Co., Ltd. Electronics, bio, new materials, medicine and Be the innovator of production technology with medical equipment optical vortices technology from Japan QD Laser, Inc. Electronics and medical equipment Connect humans and cyberspace with optical technologies Challenergy Inc. Environment, energy Innovate wind power generation; supply safe and secure electric power to all humans Miraikikai, Inc. Quantaglion Co., Ltd. Business Robotics Electronics, IoT Press release Aug. 2015 Dec. 2015 Dec. 2015 Jan. 2016 Feb. 2016 Feb. 2016 Feb. 2016 Feb. 2016 Feb. 2016 May 2016 May 2016 Sep. 2016 Sep. 2016 Nov. 2016 Nov. 2016 Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 52/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Balance sheet Balance sheet (JPYmn) Current assets Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Inventories Deferred tax assets Allowance for doubtful accounts Others Tangible fixed assets Depreciable and leased assets Land Construction in progress Intangible fixed assets Goodwill Others Investments and other assets Investment securities Lease and guarantee deposits Allowance for doubtful accounts Others Fixed assets Total assets Current liabilities Accounts payable Short-term debt Current portion of long-term debt Accounts payable-other Income taxes payable Other current liabilities Noncurrent liabilities Long-term debt Deferred tax liabilities Others Total liabilities Net assets Shareholders' equity Capital stock Capital surplus Retained earnings Treasury shares Valuation and translation adjustments Valuation difference on securities Deferred gains or losses on hedges Foreign currency translation adjustment Subscription rights to new shares Non-controlling interest Total capital and liabilities Capital expenditures Depreciation Amortization of goodwill Working capital Total interest-bearing debt Net cash Accounts receivable turnover Inventory turnover Payables turnover Working capital efficiency Current ratio Fixed ratio Equity ratio FY09/07 FY09/08 FY09/09 FY09/10 FY09/11 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 FY09/16 Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. 145 78 28 39 1 4 4 2 2 6 151 24 12 5 1 6 24 127 127 185 85 -143 151 50 78 43.6 98.8 30.9 111.4 593% 4.9% 83.8% 132 74 22 33 -1 4 0 0 2 -3 5 2 134 15 3 4 1 7 15 120 120 215 115 -210 134 48 74 55.4 175.3 36.7 194.0 893% 1.8% 89.0% 162 76 50 36 -1 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 165 33 19 0 1 1 11 10 10 42 122 122 230 130 -238 165 66 10 66 59.8 115.2 36.6 138.4 492% 2.0% 74.2% 665 534 102 19 -1 11 0 0 5 0 0 4 5 670 95 43 15 3 34 95 575 575 365 265 -55 670 0 63 534 37.8 29.1 33.2 33.7 702% 0.8% 85.9% 1,222 973 133 98 13 -4 10 1 1 2 2 10 10 13 1,236 262 74 39 130 19 2 2 264 971 971 461 361 150 1,236 0 117 973 36.7 41.1 41.5 36.4 466% 1.3% 78.6% 1,199 892 169 118 8 -3 14 24 24 4 4 146 50 9 87 174 1,373 195 53 47 60 35 9 9 204 1,169 1,169 461 361 347 1,373 13 187 892 34.7 54.2 32.0 57.0 613% 14.9% 85.1% 2,472 1,846 313 270 34 -7 16 733 139 579 16 29 29 51 51 814 3,286 338 94 22 103 70 48 379 199 181 717 2,569 2,569 919 819 830 3,286 83 35 386 221 1,625 42.0 74.8 28.3 88.5 732% 31.7% 78.2% Cons. Cons. Cons. 7,314 8,605 11,355 6,346 6,794 9,204 479 698 1,059 412 806 852 32 61 120 -7 -2 -3 52 247 123 850 1,624 2,472 238 620 646 579 930 930 33 75 896 64 1,175 1,238 32 1,121 730 32 54 507 3,053 3,119 461 2,982 2,969 289 71 150 172 3,967 5,918 4,171 11,280 14,523 15,526 622 1,393 1,612 171 240 248 254 13 375 388 983 31 309 234 46 203 134 213 429 492 22 72 59 191 357 432 835 1,822 2,103 10,445 12,701 13,423 10,441 12,662 13,408 4,796 4,826 4,863 4,696 6,650 6,686 948 1,418 2,091 -0 -231 -231 -9 -1 -16 -9 4 -0 -5 -16 13 13 15 27 15 11,280 14,523 15,526 172 315 63 136 232 4 35 88 345 877 680 22 326 72 6,324 6,469 9,132 47.4 36.3 28.9 104.0 116.7 102.0 40.4 39.3 30.0 111.0 113.6 100.9 1,175% 618% 705% 38.0% 46.7% 31.1% 92.5% 87.2% 86.3% Source: Shared Research based on company data Cash position euglena’s management is highly aware of its cash position excluding necessary capital expenditures. As of Q3 FY09/16, the company held JPY9.0bn in cash and deposits and marketable securities. By our calculations, this amount includes www.sharedresearch.jp 53/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 JPY4.3bn slated for investment in the biofuel production pilot plant, which could rise to JPY5.0bn due to personnel expenses; around JPY1.0bn in working capital, assuming annual investment in advertising expenses of JPY3.0bn and a recovery period of four to five months; and JPY1.8bn in working capital needed for operations, leaving a remainder of JPY1.2bn. The company plans to fund its pilot plant investment using cash on hand. Inventories The inventory turnover period is three to four months. An appropriate level for Euglena powder, a raw ingredient, is four months. Given that manufacturing products after raw materials are on hand takes around two months, one month of which is needed to produce the raw materials themselves, the company has product inventories of around two months. Tangible fixed assets Two subsidiaries—Yaeyama Shokusan and Taketomi Prawn Farm—account for a large percentage of tangible fixed assets. Investment in the biofuel production pilot plant is booked as construction in progress. Accounts payable (current liabilities) Accounts payable vary in line with advertising expenses. Accounts payable 2,000 Accounts payable–other 1,800 1,600 Advertising expenses 1,600 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 (JPYmn) Advertising expenses 1,200 1,400 0 Accounts payable–other 1,400 1H FY09/12 1H FY09/13 1H FY09/14 1H FY09/15 0 FY09/12 Q1 (JPYmn) 1H FY09/16 FY09/13 Q1 FY09/14 Q1 FY09/15 Q1 FY09/16 Q1 Source: Shared Research based on company data Number of shares FY09/11 ('000 shares, JPYmn) Aug. 19, 2011 Sep. 30, 2011 Shares issued 7 7 Change 0 0 Capital stock balance 366 461 Change 1 95 Legal capital surplus 266 361 Change 1 95 Actions Exercise new share Paid-in third-party rights allotment ('000 shares, JPYmn) Shares issued Change Capital stock balance Change Legal capital surplus Change Actions FY09/14 Oct. 01, 2013 68,748 54,998 919 819 Stock split (5-for-1) Dec. 3, 2013 73,748 5,000 4,166 3,247 4,066 3,247 Paid-in public offering FY09/12 Sep. 14, 2012 2,156 2,148 461 361 Stock split (300-for-1) Jan. 6, 2014 74,645 898 4,749 583 4,649 583 Paid-in third-party allotment FY09/13 Dec. 19, 2012 2,656 500 852 391 752 391 Paid-in public offering Sep. 30, 2014 77,975 3,330 4,796 48 4,696 48 Exercise new share rights (one year) Jan. 21, 2013 2,736 80 914 63 814 63 Paid-in third-party allotment Apr. 1, 2013 13,678 10,942 914 814 Stock split (5-for-1) FY09/15 May 1, 2015 78,511 536 4,796 Sep. 1, 2015 79,081 570 4,796 5,709 1,013 6,620 911 Share exchange Share exchange Sep. 30, 2013 13,750 72 919 5 819 5 Exercise new share rights (half year) Sep. 30, 2015 82,043 2,963 4,826 30 6,650 30 Exercise new share rights (half year) Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 54/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Financial statements LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Cash flow statement Cash flow statement (JPYmn) Cash flows from operating activities Income before income taxes Depreciation Amortization of goodwill Impairment losses Loss on retirement of fixed assets Change in accounts receivable Change in inventories Change in accounts payable-trade Change in accounts payable-other Change in accrued consumption tax Others Subtotal Interest and dividends income received Interest expenses paid Income taxes paid Cash flows from operating activities FY09/10 FY09/11 FY09/12 FY09/13 FY09/14 FY09/15 Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. Cons. FY09/16 Cons. 183 0 -52 17 24 12 15 1 200 0 0 1 201 313 0 -31 -79 31 13 4 252 0 -1 251 325 13 -37 -21 -21 17 -2 276 0 -190 86 587 35 -87 19 33 28 -400 214 1 -2 -139 164 192 63 4 -165 -135 77 68 -38 66 16 -2 -142 -8 745 136 35 -91 -178 -117 1 -46 484 47 -1 -61 621 919 232 88 -361 -46 8 567 -232 1,177 41 -2 -475 914 -2 -2 -2 -2 -31 -37 -9 -91 -167 -83 -2 -20 -105 -3,186 1 -172 -16 -2,804 -6,177 3,186 -315 -44 37 -773 2,091 -15 -1,083 -6 2 948 -154 Cash flows from financing activities Change in short-term debt Change in long-term debt Change in bonds Proceeds from share issuance Purchase of treasury shares Proceeds from disposal of treasury shares Cash dividends paid Proceeds from share issuance to minority shareholders Others Cash flows from financing activities -10 269 259 191 191 - -11 906 895 -234 7,719 -0 15 7,499 -271 -1 59 36 -0 -177 -239 -15 72 -3 -185 Effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents Change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents (beginning of year) Cash and cash equivalents (year-end) 458 76 534 440 534 973 -81 973 892 954 892 1,846 1,314 1,846 3,160 -8 2,528 3,160 6,221 -12 563 6,221 6,784 Cash flows from investing activities Change in time deposits Change in investment securities Acquisition of fixed assets Proceeds from sale of fixed assets Payments for lease deposits Collection of lease deposits Purchase of long-term prepaid expenses Others Cash flows from investing activities Source: Shared Research based on company data The cash collection period on the company’s mainstay products in direct sales of food is short because most payments are made by credit card. The use of cash is trending upward because of euglena’s investment in advertising, but the collection period on this investment averages four to five months, putting the company in a solid position because this investment is covered by operating cash flow. Because ramping up production capacity in the Healthcare segment does not involve major capex, the company has no noteworthy fluctuations in investment cash flow. We believe the company’s cash position as of FY09/16 exceeded optimum levels. The company plans to pay for its investment in biofuel production pilot plant with cash on hand, so financing cash flows should remain stable. www.sharedresearch.jp 55/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Other information LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Other information Corporate governance (as of June 2016) Organizational form and capital structure Directors Audit & Supervisory Board members Other Other Organization Company with corporate auditors Controlling shareholders None ー Parent company ticker Number of directors (per Articles of Incorporation) 7 Directors' term of office (per Articles of Incorporation) 2 years Number of directors 6 Outside directors 2 Independent outside officers 2 Existence of Audit & Supervisory Board Y Number of Audit & Supervisory Board members (per Articles of Incorporat 5 Number of Audit & Supervisory Board members 3 Outside members of Audit & Supervisory Board 2 Independent outside members of Audit & Supervisory Board 2 Foreign shareholding ratio Less than 10 % Independent officers 4 Implementation of measures regarding director incentives Stock option Eligible for stock option Officers and employees of the parent company, and officers and employees of subsidiaries Participation to electronic voting platform for independent officers Efforts to improve environments for institutional investors' voting rights Preparation of convening notices in English Disclosure of individual director's compensation Policy to determine amount and calculation method of remuneration Corporate takeover defenses None To be considered None None Y None To be considered Source: Shared Research based on company data At a general meeting of shareholders scheduled for December 20, 2016, euglena is planning to transition to a company with an audit and supervisory committee. Top management President: Mitsuru Izumo (Born: January 17, 1980, shares held as of September 30, 2015: 13,359,300) Mr. Izumo graduated from the University of Tokyo’s Faculty of Agriculture (Agricultural Structure and Management) in March 2002 and joined the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, Ltd. (now the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd.) in April. He became president and CEO of euglena in August 2005. Director, Head of R&D: Kengo Suzuki (Born: November 19, 1979; shares: 922,500) Mr. Suzuki became a director of euglena in August 2005. In March 2006, he completed a master’s degree in the University of Tokyo Graduate School of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Faculty of Agriculture, and acquired a PhD from the University of Tokyo (Agriculture) in April 2016. Director, Head of Healthcare Business Division: Takuyuki Fukumoto (Born: November 1, 1975; shares: 520,800) Mr. Fukumoto became a director of High-Chlorella (now épauler) in March 1999 (managing director in September 2004) and a director of euglena in August 2005. Director, Head of Finance and Corporate Strategy: Akihiko Nagata (Born: December 6, 1982; shares: 0) Mr. Nagata graduated from the Faculty of Business and Commerce of Keio University in March 2007 and joined Inspire Corporation in April. He became an outside director of euglena in December 2008 and director in April 2010. Dividend policy euglena has not paid dividends since its foundation. It does not plan to pay dividends in the foreseeable future, instead www.sharedresearch.jp 56/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Other information LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 prioritizing the use of cash to reinforce its corporate structure and continue to engage in R&D activities. Nevertheless, the company recognizes return to shareholders as a management priority, and will consider the distribution of profits and dividends from surplus, taking into consideration its future operating performance and financial position. The company will consider dividends based on (1) whether it can use up the JPY7.5bn fundraised through a public offering in 2013 (the proceeds was mainly used to establish a biofuel production pilot plant), and (2) the monetization of the biofuel business. The company had 83,308 individual shareholders as of March 31, 2016 (up 2,172 from September 30, 2015). Shareholders holding between one and five trading units (100 shares per trading unit) hold around 9.5mn shares, accounting for 70% of the total, with average holdings of 1.7 trading units. euglena provides discount coupons for its direct sales products as shareholder benefits, with coupons valid for less than one year having a value of JPY4,000 and those held for one year or more having a value of JPY6,000. Based on its share price of JPY1,456 as of September 16, 2016, these incentives would tentatively be worth under 3% to more than 4% of shareholdings. Shareholder composition Shareholders (as of end of September, 2016) Mitsuru Izumo Inspire Corporation JX Nippon Oil & Energy Corporation Tokyo Century Corporation Kengo Suzuki Japan Trustee Services Bank, Ltd. (trust Dentsu Inc. Japan Trustee Services Bank, Ltd. (trust Japan Trustee Services Bank, Ltd. (trust Japan Trustee Services Bank, Ltd. (trust Treasury stock Number of shares issued Shares ('000) 13,359 1,887 1,500 1,500 923 899 788 773 772 768 138 82,627 account) account 6) account 1) account 2) % 16.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 100.0% Source: Shared Research based on company data Employees Employees Healthcare Energy and Environment Company-wide Average temporary employees Healthcare Energy and Environment Company-wide Employees at parent Healthcare Energy and Environment Company-wide Average age Average years employed Average yearly salary (JPYmn) Average temporary employees at parent Healthcare Energy and Environment Company-wide FY09/07 7 FY09/08 14 FY09/09 15 FY09/10 17 FY09/11 30 FY09/12 36 18 8 10 7 14 15 17 30 36 18 8 10 30.8 2.3 4.0 FY09/13 FY09/14 75 89 53 58 9 14 13 17 6 15 5 7 4 1 4 46 60 24 29 9 14 13 17 33.3 34.6 2.5 2.3 4.5 4.8 6 15 5 7 4 1 4 FY09/15 162 126 16 20 28 20 4 4 79 43 16 20 35.2 2.5 5.1 18 10 4 4 Source: Shared Research based on company data www.sharedresearch.jp 57/60 R Shared Research Report euglena> Other information euglena | 2931 | LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Other The euglena mall on Ishigaki Island (naming rights) Source: Shared Research www.sharedresearch.jp 58/60 R euglena | 2931 | Shared Research Report euglena> Other information LAST UPDATE【2017/2/10】 Profile Company Head office euglena Co., Ltd. 5-33-1 Shiba, Minato-ku, Tokyo Phone Listed on +81-3-3453-4907 Tokyo Stock Exchange 1st Section Established Exchange listing August 9, 2005 December 20, 2012 Tokyo Stock Exchange Mothers December 3, 2014 Tokyo Stock Exchange 1st Section Auditor Fiscal year-end Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LLC September Website IR Web http://www.euglena.jp/en/ http://www.euglena.jp/ir/ IR e-mail IR Contact [email protected] +81-3-3453-4907 www.sharedresearch.jp 59/60 R Shared Research Report About Shared Research Inc. We offer corporate clients comprehensive report coverage, a service that allows them to better inform investors and other stakeholders by presenting a continuously updated third-party view of business fundamentals, independent of investment biases. Shared Research can be found on the web at http://www.sharedresearch.jp. Current Client Coverage of Shared Research Inc. Accordia Golf Trust Accretive Co., Ltd. Adastria Co., Ltd. Aeon Delight Co., Ltd. Ai Holdings Corporation Aiming Inc. AnGes MG Inc. Anicom Holdings, Inc. Anritsu Corporation Apamanshop Holdings Co., Ltd. Artspark Holdings Inc. AS ONE CORPORATION Ateam Inc. Aucfan Co., Ltd. Axell Corporation Azbil Corporation Bell-Park Co., Ltd. Benefit One Inc. Canon Marketing Japan Inc. Carna Biosciences, Inc. Chiyoda Co., Ltd. Chugoku Marine Paints, Ltd. cocokara fine Inc. COMSYS Holdings Corporation CRE, Inc. CREEK & RIVER Co., Ltd. Daiseki Co., Ltd. DIC Corporation Digital Arts Inc. Digital Garage Inc. Don Quijote Holdings Co., Ltd. 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