8-9 Misleading Statistics MAIN IDEA Math Online glencoe.com • Extra Examples • Personal Tutor • Self-Check Quiz HOCKEY The graph shows the all-time Stanley Cup playoff leaders. 1. According to the size of the hockey players, how many times more points does Mark Messier appear to have than Jari Kurri? Explain. All-Time Stanley Cup Playoff Leaders 430 380 Points Recognize when statistics and graphs are misleading. 330 280 230 180 2. Do you think Wayne Gretzky Mark Messler Jari Kurri Glenn Anderson Paul Coffey Players this graph is Source: ESPN Sports Almanac representative of the players’ number of points? 1, 2. See margin. Graphs let readers analyze and interpret data easily, but are sometimes drawn to influence conclusions by misrepresenting the data. The use of different scales can influence conclusions drawn from graphs. Changing the Interval of Graphs 1 SCHOOL DANCES The graphs show how the price of spring dance Graph A Graph B Spring Dance Tickets Spring Dance Tickets 24 12 20 10 16 8 Price ($) Price ($) tickets increased. 12 8 4 0 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 Year 6 4 2 0 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 Year Do the graphs show the same data? If so, explain how they differ. The graphs show the same data. However, the graphs differ in that Graph A uses an interval of 4, and Graph B uses an interval of 2. 444 Chapter 8 Statistics: Analyzing Data 444_0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046 444 9/22/07 12:55:49 PM Which graph makes it appear that the prices increased more rapidly? Graph B makes it appear that the prices increased more rapidly even though the price increase is the same. Which graph might Student Council use to show that while ticket prices have risen, the increase is not significant? Explain. They might use Graph A. The scale used on the vertical axis of this graph makes the increase appear less significant. Changing Scales To emphasize a change over time, reduce the scale interval on the vertical axis. a. BUSINESS The line graphs show monthly profits of a company from October to March. Which graph suggests that the business is extremely profitable? Is this a valid conclusion? Explain. Graph B Monthly Profits Graph A Monthly Profits 15,400 15,300 17,000 16,500 Profit ($) Profit ($) a. Sample answer: Although both graphs show a profit, in Graph A, the increase in profits is exaggerated due to the intervals of both $500 and $100. 15,200 15,100 15,000 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,500 14,000 14,000 0 t. v. c. n. b. r. Oc No De Ja Fe Ma 0 t. v. c. n. b. r. Oc No De Ja Fe Ma Month Month Sometimes the data used to create the display comes from a biased sample. In these cases, the data and the display are both biased and should be considered invalid. Identify Biased Displays Do You Use the Fitness Room? company mailed a survey to 500 of his employees in order to determine if they use the fitness room at work. The results are shown in the graph. Identify any sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased. Number of Responses 2 FITNESS The president of a large 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 338 116 s Ye No Not all of the surveys were returned since 338 + 116 < 500. This is a biased, voluntary response sample. The sample is not representative of the entire population since only those who wanted to participate in the survey are involved in the sampling. The display is biased because the data used to create the display came from a biased sample. Lesson 8-9 Misleading Statistics 445_0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046 445 445 9/22/07 12:55:54 PM What Do You Like to Do on a Saturday Night? 80 52 60 17 40 20 8 7 16 e he r Ot om at H Sta y Mo ng rti Sp o Da nc ing 0 vie theater asked 100 of his customers what they like to do on a Saturday night. The results are shown in the graph. Identify any sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased. 100 Ev en t b. MOVIES The manager of a movie Number of Responses b. The sample is a biased convenience sample. Customers at a movie theater probably like to watch movies more than other activities. The display is biased because the data used to create the display came from a biased sample. Statistics can also be used to influence conclusions. Misleading Statistics 3 MARKETING Refer to the table that gives the height of roller coasters at an amusement park. The park boasts that the average height of their roller coasters is 170 feet. Explain how this is misleading. Park Rollercoaster Heights Coaster mean: Height (ft) Viper 109 Monster 135 Red Zip 115 Tornado 365 Riptide 126 109 + 135 + 115 + 365 + 126 850 ___ =_ 5 5 = 170 median: 109, 115, 126, 135, 365 mode: none The average used by the park was the mean. This measure is much greater than most of the heights listed because of the outlier, 365 feet. So, it is misleading to use this measure to attract visitors. A more appropriate measure to describe the data would be the median, 126 feet, which is closer to the height of most of the coasters. c. Sample answer: The mean price of the items listed is $3.50; however, they are calculating the average price by including coffee, a low priced item. 446 c. FOOD A restaurant claims its average menu price is $3.50. Use the table to explain how this is misleading. Menu Burger $4.00 Fish Sandwich $4.45 Chicken Sandwich $4.35 Garden Salad $3.90 Coffee $0.80 Chapter 8 Statistics: Analyzing Data 446_0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046 446 9/22/07 12:55:57 PM Example 1 1. BASEBALL Refer to the graphs below. Which graph suggests that Cy Young (pp. 444–445) had three times as many wins as Jim Galvin? Is this a valid conclusion? Explain. Graph A Graph B Most Career Wins by a Pitcher Most Career Wins by a Pitcher Cy Young Cy Young Walter Johnson Walter Johnson Pitchers Pitchers 1. Graph B; From the length of the bars, it appears that Cy Young had about 3 times as many wins as Jim Galvin. However, Jim Galvin had 365 wins and Cy Young had 511 wins. So, the conclusion is not valid. Grover Alexander Grover Alexander Christy Mathewson Christy Mathewson Jim Gavin Jim Gavin 0 200 400 600 350 400 450 Wins Wins 2. PHONES The manager of a telephone 550 How Do You Prefer to Pay Your Telephone Bill? company mailed a survey to 400 households asking each household how they prefer to pay their monthly bill. The results are shown in the graph at the right. Identify any sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased. See margin. Number of Responses Example 2 (pp. 445–446) 500 200 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 ail r e e m th ro t l f un O wa cco a P dr g A ith kin t W hec c ire C y yb Pa M in nl O ay D (p. 446) HOMEWORK For Exercises 4, 8 5, 9 6, 7 HELP See Examples 1 2 3 3. TUNNELS The table lists the five largest land U.S. Vehicle Tunnels on Land vehicle tunnels in the U.S. Write a convincing argument for which measure of central tendency you would use to emphasize the average length of the tunnels. See margin. 4. GAS The bar graph shows monthly gas prices for 2006–2007. Why is the graph misleading? See margin. Name Length (ft) Anton Anderson Memorial 13,300 E. Johnson Memorial 8,959 Eisenhower Memorial 8,941 Allegheny 6,072 Liberty Tubes 5,920 Gas Prices 3.5 3 Price ($) Example 3 2.5 2 1.5 Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Month Lesson 8-9 Misleading Statistics 447_0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046 447 447 9/22/07 12:56:03 PM 5. SCHOOL To determine how often his students Tardy to Class Number of Responses are tardy, Mr. Kessler considered his first period class. The results are shown in the graph at the right. Identify any sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased. 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 5 0– 10 6– 0 5 –1 11 –2 16 Number of Times Tardy TRAVEL For Exercises 6 and 7, use the table. Annual Sight-Seeing Visitors 6. Find the mean, median, and mode of the Sight data. Which measure might be misleading in describing the average annual number of visitors who visit these sights? Explain. 7. Which measure would be best if you wanted a value close to the most number of visitors? Explain. Visitors* Cape Cod 4,600,000 Grand Canyon 4,500,000 Lincoln Memorial 4,000,000 Castle Clinton 4,600,000 Smoky Mountains 10,200,000 Source: The World Almamac *Approximation 8. STOCK The graphs below show the increases and decreases in the monthly closing prices of Skateboard Depot’s stock. 'RAPH" -ONTHLY3TOCK0RICES 50 40 30 20 10 0 Fe Jan *AN &E B -A R !P R -A Y 0RICEPER3HARE Monthly Stock Prices . b. Ma r. Ap r. Ma y Price per Share ($) Graph A Month -ONTH Suppose you are a stockbroker and want to show a customer that the price of the stock has been fairly stable since January. Write a convincing argument as to which graph you should show the customer. 9. MANUFACTURING To evaluate their product, EXTRA PRACTICE See pages 690, 711. 448 10. Rent has remained fairly stable. 11. Rent has increased dramatically. 100 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 3 2 0 E Co xcel nd len itio t n Do es No aC tH ha old rge Cr ac Bro ke ke dC n as or ing APARTMENTS For Exercises 10 and 11, create a display that would support each argument given the monthly costs to rent an apartment for the last five years are $500, $525, $560, $585, and $605. Battery Production Percent of Batteries the manager of an assembly line inspects the first 100 batteries that are produced out of 30,000 total batteries produced that day. He displays the results in the graph at the right and then releases it to the local newspaper. Identify any sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased. Product Chapter 8 Statistics: Analyzing Data 0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046.indd 448 9/24/07 5:32:23 PM H.O.T. Problems 12. CHALLENGE Does adding values that are much greater or much less than the other values in a set of data affect the median of the set? Give an example to support your answer. 13. WR ITING IN MATH Describe at least two ways in which the display of data can influence the conclusions reached. 14. The bar graph shows the average number of hours each week that a group of students attend an extracurricular activity after school. 15. A department store mailed 100 surveys to teenagers about their preferred style of jeans. The graph shows the results. Number of Teenagers Preferred Style of Jeans y nd es 42 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 4 A The vertical scale should show days instead of hours. B The graph does not show which activity each person attended. C The intervals on the vertical scale are inconsistent. D The graph’s title is misleading. t se cu ot Bo Which statement best tells why the graph may be misleading if you want to use the graph to compare the number of hours the students attend an extracurricular activity? 23 19 Mi ip arl Jam Pe He cto r 26 24 18 16 13 11 9 0 Ch Time (h) Time Spent on Extracurricular Activities w Lo Ri h uc Slo ed lax Re Types of Jeans Which of the following is true concerning the sample and the display? F Both the display and the sample are unbiased. G The display is biased because the sample is a biased, voluntary response sample. H The display is biased because the sample is a biased, convenience sample. J The sample is biased but the display is unbiased. 16. CARS To determine what kind of automobile is preferred by most customers, the owner of an auto dealership surveys every 10th person who enters the dealership. Of these, 54% state that they prefer 4-door sedans. Based on these results, if the dealership stocks 150 cars, about how many of them should be 4-door sedans? (Lesson 8-8) 17. MP3 PLAYERS In a survey, 46% of randomly selected teens said they own an MP3 player. Predict how many of the 850 teens at Harvey Middle School own an MP3 player. (Lesson 8-7) Lesson 8-9 Misleading Statistics 0444_0449_CH08_L9_874046.indd 449 449 9/24/07 5:32:25 PM
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