Thailand Country Outlook 2008 Ann Bacher Commercial Counselor US C U.S. Commercial i lS Service i U.S. Embassy, Bangkok Is Thailand right for you? Thailand:Vibrant Market in the Heart of ASEAN 10 Member Countries 565 Million Consumers Combined GDP of US$1,073 million US$88 billion FDI from U.S. 5th U.S. Export Market, with Two-way Trade at US$169.8 Billion Thailand: A Nation in Transition 2005-2008 Political Changes Economic Changes Social Changes Thailand Overview : Politics King Bhumibol Adulyadej (since 1946) Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej Type of Politics: Constitutional Monarchy Head of State: King Bhumibol Adulyadej PM: Samak Sundaravej Coup & Constitution Never Colonized Thailand: AT A GLANCE Population p Religion Literacy Language Thailand Outlook : Economy GDP: US$284.4 Billion (07) Per Capita GDP: US$ 3,720 (07) GDP Growth Rate: 4.95% (06), 4.8% (07) 4.5-5.5% (08) Inflation Rate: 4.7% (06), 2.3% (07), 3.2-3.7 (08) Unemployment Rate: 1.4% (07), 1.5% (08) Key Industries: Tourism, Agricultural Products, Automotive, Computer & Electronics, Gems & Jewelry, Services Thailand – Outlook Growth Rate (YOY%) 15 10 9.3 59 5.9 4.4 5 5.2 4.7 68 6.8 61 6.1 4.5 4.95 1.9 4.8 (% ) 0 1995 1996 1997 -1.4 1.4 1998 1999 2000 2001 -5 -10 -10.3 -15 15 Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Thailand’s Market Strengths Strategic Location, Gateway to Asia St Strong Business B i Ties Ti with ith Chi China Free Trade Agreements Inexpensive Source of Labor Future Growth Potential & Current Size of Local Market Increasing g Export p Growth Cheap Property for Investment and Rental High-quality High quality Infrastructures Government Support & Incentives R l ti St Relative Stability bilit Quality International Schools & Excellent Healthcare S i Services High Quality of Life for Expatriates Friendly Local People Challenges in Thailand Political Situation High Oil Prices Corruption/Transparency Weak IPR Protection Currency/Strong Thai Baht Controversial Investment Regulations like Amendments of the Foreign Business Act, Retail Act Customs/Tariffs Issues Response to Avian Flu Unrest in Southern Provinces Thai Wayy Thailand as a Gateway to Asia and H b off ASEAN Hub Tourism & Hospitality Services Hub Medical Tourism & World-class Healthcare Service Hub Detroit of Asia Fashion & Jewelry Hub Aviation & Air Transport Hub Th i T Thai Trade d F Facts t U.S. is Thailand’s 3rd largest trading partner after Japan and China (US$9.5 billion imports from U.S. & US$19.2 billion exports to U.S.) U S is Thailand’s U.S. Thailand s largest export market (12 (12.6%). 6%) U.S. is Thailand’s 3rd largest supplier, after Japan and China. U.S. is Thailand 4th largest source of FDI (US$0.68 billion) after Japan ((US$4.34 $ billion), ), Singapore, g p , Cayman y Island and U.S. Bilateral FTAs with Australia, Bahrain, China, India, Japan & New Zealand. Several ongoing FTA negotiations are such as ASEAN-EU,, Chile,, Peru,, Taiwan and U.S. Building Stronger U.S –Thai Business Ties Bilateral Agreements Treaty T t off Amity A it and d Commerce C (1833, (1833 amended d d 1966) Double Taxation Convention (Dec. 15, 1997) The Economic Cooperation Framework (Dec. 2001) Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA) (Oct. 23, 2002) Free Trade Agreement (suspended) Thailand Megaprojects Mass Transportation Development Projects - Bangkok Underground Mass Transit System - Extension of Bangkok Elevated Train - Rail Projects such as Dual Railway Track (Cha Choeng Sao-Sri Sao Sri Racha Racha-Laem Laem Chabang Route) 2nd Phase Construction of Suvarnabhumi Airport Ua Arthorn Low-cost Housing Project Ed cation De Education Development elopment ssuch ch as Pro Provision ision of Comp Computers ters Public Healthcare System Th il d M Thailand Megaprojects j t Thailand Power Project Development Plan (PDP) 2007 - Generators, Parts & Nuclear Power Technology Power Transmission & Distribution Equipment Substations Equipment Energy Efficiency Equipment National N ti l Defense D f T h l Technology - Military Modernization Where e e do U U.S. S Exporters po te s Succeed ? Electrical Power System/Equipment Electronic Components Education & Training Services Food Processing & Packaging Equipment Medical/Laboratory/Healthcare Devices Aircraft & Aircraft Parts Defense Sales Automotive Parts & Aftermarket Equipment Environmental Technology Safety & Security Equipment Telecommunication & Broadcast Equipments Cosmetics & Skincare Products Best Prospects Nalin Phupoksakul Cosmetics Market Size : US$1,165 million (2007) Total Imports: US$257 million, with US$58 Million from U.S. Expected Growth Rate: 10% US Products are Highly Sought After and Well Regarded Competition from France, Japan, UK and Germany Getting Stronger Best Prospects Anti-aging Facial Treatment Whitening Facial Treatment, Body Lotion Hi-end Makeup & Skin Care Cosmetic Products for Men B t Prospects Best P t Pramot Wongvarnrungruang Food Processing and Packaging Equipment Estimated 2007 Market Size: US$906 million Estimated 2007 Total Imports: US$576 million, with US$56 million from U.S. Expected Growth Rate: Over 20% for the Next Few Years I 2007, In 2007 U.S. US S Suppliers li Sh Shared d 9.7% 9 7% off th the T Total t l IImported t d Market M k t Best Prospects Food & Drink Processing Equipment, Cooking Heating Food Machinery, Fruit,Vegetable & Herb Processing Equipment, Fruit Juice Machinery, Snack Food & Confectioner Confectionery Eq Equipment, ipment Meat Processing Eq Equipment ipment & Packaging Machinery B t Prospects Best P t Nalin Phupoksakul Medical Devices Market in Thailand: – US$943 Million Market with 15% Growth Rate – 75% Imports; US Has 28% Share – 978 Public Hospitals (105,600 Beds) & 356 Private Hospitals (35,900 Beds) – Use of Local Distributor is Highly Recommended Best Prospects Orthopedic Devices, Devices Rehabilitation Devices Devices, Diagnostic Test Kits and Cardiovascular Devices Best Prospects Nalin Phupoksakul Education and Training g Service – US Largest Share in the Market – 10th Leading Country Sending Students to U.S. – Thai Students Taking Overseas Programs/Training Valued at US$808 Million – Market is Untapped & Opens to New-comers – Brand Recognition g is High g – Word of Mouth is Crucial B t Prospects Best P t Kitisorn Sookpradist Market Overview - Electric Power System Generation Capacity – 26.4 26 4 GW Growth in Electricity Demand – 5% Fuel Mix – Gas 72%, Coal 12%, Hydro & Others 16% - Renewable Energy Growing Total Imports of Transmission & Distribution Equipment – US$3.5 $ Billion U.S. Market Share – 10% Thailand Power Development Plan 2007-2021 See Details at http://www.egat.co.th/en/images/stories/pdf/report pdp2007 eng.pdf http://www.egat.co.th/en/images/stories/pdf/report-pdp2007-eng.pdf Best Prospects Generators G t & Parts, P t Power P Transmission T i i & Distribution Di t ib ti Equipment, E i t Equipment for Substations & Terminal Stations, Energy Efficiency Equipment Best Prospects Wanwemol Charukultharvatch Automotive Parts and Services/Equipment Thailand: Detroit of ASEAN Largest Vehicle Assembling Capacity Largest Domestic Market in ASEAN Assembling Industry of Double Digit Growth – 1.3 1 3 million (2007) Parts Manufacturing of Highest Quality Best Prospects for After Market General Automotive Service Equipment & Tools Ti (Wheel) Tire (Wh l) & B Brake k S Service i E Equipment i t Body & Paint Repair Service Equipment Best Prospects Wanwemol Wanwemol Charukultharvatch Thailand: Growing Demand for Safety & Security Equipment Increasing Government Investment for Public Safety – Global Requirements: International Airports, Airports Seaports – Market Size of US$459 Million Increasing Private Investment for Property Security – Hi-end Property Market Boom: Condominium, Hotels, Detached Houses – Commercial Property: Shopping Malls, Office Buildings Best Prospects for After Market Access Control Systems: y Card Technology gy Systems y ((Smart Card, Proximityy Card, Magnetic Strip Card), Biometric Devices, Security Doors & Power Fences Alarm Systems: Fire/Intruder Alarm Systems Video Surveillance Systems: Digital Video Recording & Network Transmission, CCTV Detection Equipment: Handheld/Walkthrough Metal Detectors, Motion Detectors Smoke Detectors, X-ray/Screening Equipment, Anti-shop Lifting Device B t Prospects Best P t Oraphan Boonyalug Broadcast Equipment Estimated 2007 Total Market Size is US$1 Billion Total Imports is US$2,234 Million, with US$22.9 Million from U.S. Best Prospects: Radio & TV Transmisstion, Console (Radio), Studio Equipment for Radio & TV TV, Software Systems such as Automation & Advertising Solutions, Microwave Communications Equipment Best Prospects Kritsananan Sookpradist Electronic Components (ELC) Market Size: US$29.28 Million (2007) Total Imports: US$22 $ Billion (US$2.4 $ Billion from U.S.) Manufacturing Base for 4 out of 5 Major HDD Producers: Seagate Technologies, Western Digital, Hitachi Global Storage and Fujitsu Over 80% of Raw Materials Used in Production & Assembling Processes of Hard Disk Drive (HDD), Integrated Circuit (IC) & Consumer Electronics Appliances are Imported. Growth Rate of Electronics Manufacturing is Expected to Increase by 10–15% in 2008. Best Prospects Integrated Circuit (Wafers, Dice & Chips, Substrates & Lead Frames) C Computer t Components C t (CPU, (CPU HDD HDD, FDD FDD, CD R Rom D Drive, i T Tape D Drive, i Monitor, Printer, LCD Projector, Keyboard, Mouse, Network Equipment) What do you need to do to Succeed? Know the Market Export Counseling Develop a Trusted Local Partner International Partner Search/International Company Profile Learn the Rules Flexible Market Research Build the Relationship Gold Key Service/Trade Events For More Information on Doing Business with Thailand http://www.buyusa.gov/thailand/en http://www.amchamthailand.com/ http://bangkok.usembassy.gov/ http://www buyusa gov/asianow http://www.buyusa.gov/asianow http://www.Export.gov Th k you Thank
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