B-1 APPENDIX B: REVIEW OF THE SMITHS LAKE OPENING PROCEDURE WITH RESPECT TO THE MARINE PARKS ACT The following document outlines the risk assessment required by the Marine Parks Act 1997 for the activity of artificial opening of Smiths Lake. B.1 Introduction The opening of the entrance to Smiths Lake is an important factor influencing the flooding around the Lake. The entrance has been artificially opened since 1932, with Council coordinating the activity since 1960 (WMA 2009). The trigger Lake water level, to initiate opening was initially set at a 1.7m AHD, and since 2002, the level has been raised to 2.1m AHD. From 1990 additional entrance management has included the specification of the entrance breakout location, to occur approximately 150m north of the southern dune (WMA 2009). B.2 Current Operating Procedure The current operating procedure for the artificial opening of Smiths Lake is described below: 1. The Committee resolves to open the Lake (see Annexure “A” for Committee members) 2. The Committee notifies the following that the Lake is to be opened and the time of the opening: NSW Maritime Authority – Bret Ryan 6554 6004 State Emergency Service – Larry Thompson – 6554 0716 State Fisheries – Martin Angle – 6554 6078 or 0428 546 078 NSW Ambulance Service – 131233 Proprietor of Sandbar Caravan Park – 6554 4095 Proprietor of Frothy Coffee Boatshed – 6554 4202 NSW Police – 6555 1299 – the presence of at least one police representative is considered essential for a nominated period after opening 3. A temporary fence barrier consisting of star pickets and barrier mesh to be erected a minimum of 100 metres on the northern side of the proposed opening trench and extending from the Lake edge to the beach high water mark. Sufficient materials for the construction of the fences to be made available to the SES and Council Regulatory Staff before work are commenced on the opening. Appropriate notices prohibiting persons from proceeding beyond the safety fence to be provided for the use of the Council Regulatory officer before K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-2 the fence is constructed. The notices are to be left in place until sea level is established in the Lake, normally 2 tidal cycles after Lake opening. 4. A line of emergency buoys a minimum of 500 metres west of the proposed opening and at appropriate intervals, to be put in place by NSW Maritime before the opening is commenced. The location considered most suitable is a line from Bull Island north-east to the point immediately west of Sandbar Caravan Park. A boat to be made available by Council or NSW Maritime to enable the maintenance of a continual patrol of the buoy line until sea level is reached. 5. Ensure Lake is opened at opening position: GPS point 0454742, 6415678, located 160 metres north of south dune – Lake level approximately 2.1m AHD 6. Ensure the Lake is opened on a falling tide 7. Surveillance to be provided until the SES/Council agrees that it is safe. B.2.1 Safety Precautions The following safety precautions are conducted as follows: Council regulatory staffs are present at each opening event from the time digging commences until knock off time approx. 4pm. Staffs are responsible for installing a temporary boundary fence consisting stakes and tape to encourage people to avoid the area. Regulatory staffs are only available to assist if something goes wrong; they are unable to enforce penalties to members of the public who ignore the barrier; The SES is contacted and usually attends; In the past the Pacific Palms surf life saving club has been notified of the opening and on some years a life guard has been provided; and The NSW Maritime Authority is contacted and buoys installed to notify boaters of the danger. B.2.3 Issues The following issues have been identified: Council regulatory staffs are unavailable after approx. 4pm. Regulatory staffs are unable to enforce penalties to members of the public who ignore the barrier The SES has stated that the opening event is not within SES jurisdiction and therefore it is not appropriate for a volunteer to attend. Surf Life Saving Club personnel are not always available due to the volunteer nature of the club. Staff not familiar with the opening procedure may follow the procedure incorrectly. K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-3 B.2.4 Risk Mitigation The mitigation of risks is important to ensure the safety of the operators and the community. In the following table (Table B-1) the risks associated with the activity of artificial opening of the Lake, have been identified and following each risk are a control / solution. Table B-1 Task Hazard Risk matrix for the artificial opening of Smiths Lake Risk Control (Solution) Install appropriate signage notifying of the possibility of Lake Opening following storm events at Lake Boat Launching points (see Figure B-1) Water velocities created pose a threat to boats and Have council and/or maritime patrol the Lake in a boat or on jet skis to ensure the safety of boaters or swimmers. swimmers Contact one of the surf clubs to ensure lifeguard is in attendance should a rescue be necessary. Contact the SES to notify should a rescue be necessary and to help with restricting access to the area. Install adequate signage near the opening warning of the associated dangers (see Figure B-1) Bank collapsing on Community edge of opening Safety onlookers (see Figure B-1) Close 4WD access points to Sandbar Beach (see Figure B-1) Notify Sandbar Caravan Park owner and close access tracks to beach Use of the media – radio and television broadcasting to notify residents Public unaware of Opening risks of Cordon off area with mesh fencing to create a safe viewing distance for of opening and associated risks. Mail out brochure to all residents prior to any event to warn that the event may happen and the associated risks when it occurs. Smiths Lake Public ignoring safety warnings Volunteer staff unavailable to help Contact the local police as well as maritime to ensure appropriate action can be taken if people ignore the warnings. Ensure staffs on site have mobiles with reception coverage to notify additional emergency services if required. Ensure staff on site are proficient in first aid and carry a first aid bag Lake to be opened on outgoing tide to reduce risk of tidal influences on Incoming tide and large waves pose risk to heavy equipment machinery and operators Contractor Safety Rain associated Ensure that no onlookers are in the vicinity of heavy equipment creates poor visibility Cordon off access with wire fencing and star pickets (see Figure B-1) Ensure appropriate clothing and footwear is worn to accommodate the Protection against the weather climatic conditions e.g. typically heavy rains, wind. Ensure adequate sun protection is undertaken (if required) K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-4 Figure B-1 Outline of entrance opening procedure locations K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-5 B.3 Incorporating Climate Change The key aspects of climate change that are likely to impact upon the entrance opening procedure are: Sea level rise, and associated sediment transport processes (see section ); Increase in drought frequency and evaporation; Decrease in annual rainfall but increase in extreme rainfall events; and Small increase in wave climate B.3.1 Shoreline recession Shoreline recession due to sea level rise is likely to occur to the beach fronting Smiths Lake (see section 5.7). Beach rotation, associated with climate change, however, is not likely to significantly impact upon the entrance opening process, due to the location of the entrance in the middle of the beach compartment. B.3.2 Reduction in breakout frequency The predicted reduction in total rainfall, combined with an increase in evaporation, is likely to result in a reduction in frequency of entrance breakouts (as it would take longer for the ICOLL to fill to the entrance berm height) (Haines 2006). The net upward shift in the Lake water levels combined with generally flat topography of fringing lands means that the Lake may store a larger volume of water before breaching of the entrance (Haines 2006). This would decrease the water level response of the lagoon to catchment runoff inflows and reduce the frequency of entrance breakouts (Haines 2006). B.3.3 Transportation of marine sediment into the Lake With increased sea levels and the landward migration of the beach, the entrance channel will become shorter and deeper (Haines 2006). As a consequence, the frictional resistance in the channel will be reduced and this will allow transportation of marine sediment further into the Lake (Haines 2006). The increased water depth would also increase the flow conveyance area of the channel, which would potentially reduce flow velocities and may result in a vertical accretion of the marine delta rather than an immediate landward progradation. B.4 Recommendations The following are recommendations to allow for adaptive management to incorporate ongoing acquired knowledge and climate change into the entrance opening procedure: Determine the most appropriate location for entrance opening to optimise breakout effectiveness: This allows for a variation (within an acceptable range) in the GPS location for the entrance opening to enable adaptive management accounting for antecedent conditions, as well as longer term climate change where the beach berm is likely to migrate landward and K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-6 upward. The current monitoring of entrance characteristics, during artificial openings, is likely to identify if a change in GPS location is warranted i.e. when the entrance channel is not operating effectively, with shorter openings or reduced water outflow. For example, following the Estuary Management Committee Meeting in August 2011, it was agreed that the next opening should be closer to the southern dune (no closer than 75 m but within 100m). The last opening, in May 2011, was followed by a large easterly swell which pushed a substantial quantity of sand into the entrance channel and as a result it will be necessary to move the GPS opening location from the current position in order to achieve a suitable opening. As such the next artificial entrance opening could occur as far south as 0454724, 6415591 Periodically review the trigger water level for entrance opening: As the beach berm increases in height and migrates landward, the current trigger water level will allow for less water volume within the Lake. Under the current regime this will promote more frequent intervention from Council to mitigate against flooding of low lying infrastructure. Investigate mitigation options for low lying infrastructure: As sea level rises, and the capacity of the Lake to contain flood waters is reduced, low lying infrastructure will become increasingly under threat from flooding. To reduce Council‟s intervention and liability, it is recommended that low lying infrastructure is incorporated into a long term program to retain (and protect or modify), retreat or remove the infrastructure. Community Awareness: Community education programs will aid in community acceptance of changes that will be required to manage the entrance into the future. B.5 Marine Parks Act Assessment st The Port Stephens–Great Lakes Marine Park (PSGLMP) was declared on the 1 December 2005 under the Marine Parks Act 1997. The marine park covers an area of approximately 98,000 hectares and includes the estuarine waters of Smiths Lake and all of its tributaries and creeks to the limit of tidal influence (MPA 2007). The ecological characteristics of Smiths Lake are largely controlled by entrance management actions, predominantly in terms of changes to water levels as well as changes to water level variability and flushing, which in turn affect water quality. As such, there is a need to review the current Opening Strategy in terms of whether the existing ecological values are maintained by entrance management actions. B.5.1 Significance of inclusion within a Marine Park In particular, as the Port Stephens - Great Lakes Marine Park was declared after the development of the Smiths Lake Opening Strategy, there is a need to assess whether the current opening level and procedure is consistent with the objectives and Principal Assessment Criteria of the Marine Parks Act 1997 and the accompanying Regulations. Note that these objectives and assessment K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-7 criteria have been described in detail in Section 10.2.8 and the entrance of Smiths Lake lies within the Habitat Protection Zone of the marine park. Based on the background information review conducted as part of EMP review, the ecological values of Smiths Lake that are seen as important with respect to inclusion of the Lake in the marine park are summarised as follows: o Extensive seagrass, saltmarsh and wetland areas; o Presence of threatened fauna, flora and vegetation communities; o Diverse and abundant fish populations; and o Important fish breeding and nursery grounds. Therefore, in order to be consistent with the Act, the opening strategy must aim to protect these underlying ecological values. The current Opening Strategy was developed so as to negate any potentially adverse impacts on ecological characteristics, such that it aims to maintain all of the above-mentioned values and is consequently in accordance with the objectives of the Act. Furthermore, as the current Opening Strategy aims to simulate the natural hydrological regime, the inhabitant ecological communities are expected to display adaptive responses to entrance management. B.5.2 Risk Analysis A preliminary qualitative risk analysis was conducted in order to investigate the impacts of entrance management on the ecological values that underlie inclusion of Smiths Lake in the marine park. Firstly, specific risks were identified in the context of the Marine Parks Regulation assessment criteria. The risks that were developed are as follows: o Reduction in extent or loss of seagrass beds; o Reduction in extent or loss of the saltmarsh EEC; o Reduction in extent or loss of fringing wetlands including the EEC; o Loss of Threatened flora species; o Loss of Threatened fauna species; o Reduction in abundance or loss of fish populations; and o Reduction in extent or loss of fish breeding grounds. Following identification of the risks, major controls on the ecological values were described in order to evaluate linkages between the existence of the ecological values and management of entrance opening. These are presented in Table B-2. Table B-2 Value Key controls that maintain the ecological values Key Controls K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-8 Seagrass Saltmarsh Period inundation Brackish to saline water Fringing wetlands Occasional inundation Freshwater Threatened flora Coastal sand dune habitat Threatened fauna Threatened fauna are maintained by the persistence of fringing wetland habitat; therefore, in the context of this assessment, key controls for Threatened fauna are consistent with the above key controls for fringing wetlands Fish abundance Fish breeding and populations are maintained by the persistence of seagrass habitat; therefore, in the context of this assessment, key controls for these two values are consistent with the above key controls for seagrass Fish breeding B.5.2.1 Permanent inundation Saline water High level of water clarity Good water quality (i.e. no excess of nutrients) Incorporating Climate Change One of the most significant impacts from climate change, upon the lake ecology, is likely to be from projected sea level rise. The extent of the impacts within the Lake will be governed largely by the status of the entrance, and therefore are tied closely to the entrance opening policy and procedure. Three scenarios were chosen to represent current and possible future conditions, dependent on entrance management and sea level rise. Each risk was then analysed under the following scenarios: Current Opening Strategy; Possible change in Opening Strategy in which water level is significantly lowered; and Possible change in Opening Strategy in which water level is significantly raised. The analysis process involved assigning each risk a „likelihood‟ and a „consequence‟ in order to categorise the risk as low, medium or high (refer Table B-3). The outcomes of the risk analysis are provided in Table B-4, followed by a discussion on interpretation of the risk analysis. Almost Certain Likely Likeliho od Table B-3 Matrix for risk analysis Medium Medium High High High Low Medium Medium High High K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-9 Possible Low Low Medium Medium High Unlikely Low Low Low Medium Medium Rare Low Low Low Low Medium Negligible Minor Moderate Major Catastrophic Consequence Table B-4 Risk analysis for current, raised and lowered water levels Risk B.5.2.2 Current Raised Lowered Reduction in extent or loss of seagrass Low Medium Low Reduction in extent or loss of saltmarsh EEC Low Medium Low Reduction in extent or loss of fringing wetlands including EEC Low Medium Low Loss of threatened flora species Medium Medium Medium Loss of threatened fauna species Medium Medium Medium Reduction in abundance or loss of fish populations Low Medium Low Reduction in extent or loss of fish breeding grounds Low Medium Low Interpretation of Risk Assessment As the ecological communities within and directly adjacent to Smiths Lake are characteristically suited to the changing environment of an intermittently opening and closing Lake, entrance management actions are not likely to have profound adverse impacts on the ecological values. Rather, an ecological balance is expected to be maintained over time although short-term adverse impacts may be observed, resulting in a „low‟ overall risk. Specifically, fringing saltmarsh and wetland communities are expected to gradually migrate over time in alignment with the water level (e.g. there may be an initial loss of saltmarsh, followed by recruitment of saltmarsh into new areas). Similarly, the distribution and species composition of seagrass communities are expected to change over time in response to the opening procedure. In other words, while the specific distribution and composition of ecological values may change, the overall extent of ecological values is expected to remain within the bounds of natural variability. In the context of migration of vegetation communities, it is noted that no barriers to the encroachment of vegetation have been observed in this assessment. Specifically, no roads, developments or other infrastructure are located directly adjacent to the relevant vegetation communities, such that there is the opportunity for successive movement of vegetation communities. K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx B-10 The loss of threatened flora species has been assigned a „medium‟ risk rating under all scenarios due to the proximity of the species to the location at which entrance management works will be undertaken. However, this risk can be negated by ensuring that activities do not interfere with any Sand Spurge individuals. Similarly, the loss of threatened fauna species largely refers to direct habitat disturbance associated with entrance management works (e.g. disruption of avifauna breeding on the sand barrier). This risk can also be negated by ensuring that potentially interfering activities are not undertaken at a time at which protected fauna species are breeding. With respect to the remainder of the „medium‟ risks, these are all associated with the scenario under which the water levels would be significantly raised. A more closed entrance would result in accumulation of nutrients and reduction in salinity, which would not be favourable for seagrass or saltmarsh communities. In turn, fish breeding grounds and fish populations would be negatively impacted by reductions in seagrass. Under this scenario, fringing wetlands may also suffer through increased inundation. However, it is to be noted that these are generalised assumptions that are based on a scenario under which water levels are raised close to the maximum, and that relatively minor increases in the water level are not expected to result in significant impacts. B.5 Conclusion In conclusion, although consent will be required in accordance with the Marine Parks Act (and other relevant Acts), it can be demonstrated that the current Opening Strategy is unlikely to have any adverse impacts on the ecological values of the system. K:\N1797_SmithsLake_EMP_Review\Docs\R.N1797.002.00.AppendixB.docx
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