Farm Credit Services Southwest Growing Potential. The BottomLine The BottomLine SUMMER 2010 Pistachio Orchards - a Thriving Commodity Arizona grows the best pistachios in the world, but you won’t find them on supermarket shelves here in the U.S. “Arizona quality is so superior that Europeans pay a premium price,” says Dr. Bart Heuler, a grower from Irvine, Calif., who recently expanded into southeastern Arizona. “We can produce better quality pistachios, with higher production per acre, at a lower cost in Arizona. We have the water, the organization and the mechanization to make it work, and we’ll have the most productive trees in the world.” At 81, Dr. Bart Heuler keeps his finger on the pulse of the pistachio business. His family’s company, A&P Ranch grows more than 4,000 acres of pistachios and almonds in California. A retired dentist, Heuler and other ranchers formed a producer-owned cooperative, A&P Growers, to farm and process the nuts. Three years ago, A&P Growers bought out Pistachio Corporation of Arizona, which farmed and processed 1,000 acres of nuts near Bowie, a small town near the New Mexico border. Heuler recently initiated the purchase of another 2,600 acres in the Bowie—San Simon area to be planted with high producing pistachio trees. The new orchards will take 10 years to reach full production. A&P Ranch will be one of three local farms using A&P Growers’ services. “Do you know how much fun it is to create a viable, thriving industry in Arizona?” Heuler asks. In 2009, Arizona produced just one percent of the nation’s pistachio crop, or four million out of 358 million pounds. Heuler plans to double Arizona’s output. “The California industry’s in crisis,” Heuler says. “Hundreds of thousands of acres are being taken out of production in California as a result of the state’s mismanagement of water. Arizona’s the only place left to expand.” The Bowie area provides the groundwater needed to grow the orchards, along with the right climate and soil. Heuler believes that 10,000 acres would be suitable for pistachios in Arizona, compared to 200,000 in California. And he finds Arizona more farmer-friendly. The pistachio industry was born about 6,000 years ago in a part of Persia that’s now Iran. Heuler was on the front lines four decades ago when California started growing pistachios. Today, America produces more pistachios than any other nation, and Heuler claims that his operations represent the cream of the crop. Pistachio Fun Facts: Pistachios have been cultivated for over 6,000 yrs. A pistachio tree takes 7-10 years to mature and produce nuts but then will produce a profitable crop for more than 100 years. Per serving, pistachios have more antioxidants than green tea. Lowest in calories of all the nuts; 160 cal per serving One of the highest in protein—6 g per ounce Dr. OZ suggests incorporating foods in your diet that are known to reduce stress, which includes pistachios. Just a handful can help lower your blood pressure. Mark your calendar... February 26th is National Pistachio Day! Pistachio Orchards - a Thriving Commodity “Our ranches produce 40 percent more per acre than the U.S. average, and the U.S. is four times more productive than Iran,” he says. It is a time-sensitive, capitalintensive business, and Heuler depends on high-tech plant science to make it pay. Heuler’s farms have been planting a genetically superior rootstock developed by university scientists and a nursery in California. “I have the oldest orchard in the world of these super trees, and they are vastly superior to anything out there,” he says. “That’s all we’re planting in Arizona.” This spring, his team inserted buds from other pistachio varieties into these super trees, a process similar to grafting. “If you’re farming with yesterday’s technology, you won’t be farming in the future,” Heuler warns. This business requires highly skilled employees and A&P Growers retained the Arizona operation’s workers. Future growth should lead to more jobs related to seasonal labor, new construction, and equipment sales and repairs with wellpaying job opportunities for people who know the industry. The Arizona company owned a 20-yearold hulling plant. A&P Growers is invest- ing millions of dollars to bring the plant up to today’s stringent national and international food safety standards. Beyond hulling, processing involves drying and pasteurization. In the three years since it began operating in Arizona, A&P Growers has segregated its product and differentiated its quality with European customers such as Intersnack, one of the largest nut companies in Europe. European buyers sign longterm contracts for every Arizona pistachio the co-op can produce, and they’d like even more. “Arizona pistachios look a little greener, their flavor’s a little better, and they’re free of aflatoxin.” Including output from his California orchards, Heuler sells 30 million pounds of nuts annually, with standing orders to supply 100 million. In the U.S., he sells to top-tier customers including Kraft Foods and Kroger. “Arizona pistachios look a little greener, their flavor’s a little better, and they’re free of aflatoxin,” Heuler says, referring to a mold that affects pistachios grown in other areas. The University of Arizona conducts research in Heuler’s orchards to optimize the aflatoxin-free trait, which buyers find highly desirable. Page 2 Dr. Bart Heuler Pistachio Orchards - a Thriving Commodity By shipping through the Port of Houston rather than from California via the Panama Canal, the Arizona nuts reach European markets two weeks earlier than their California counterparts. But Arizona comes with challenges. The growing season runs two months shorter than in California, making production extremely time sensitive. “The timing of planting and harvesting is critical,” Heuler says. “And you must hull and dry the nuts within eight hours of harvest.” The processing plant operates for a few weeks in early fall and sits empty the rest of the year, making the business capital-intensive. But it’s also highly profitable. As Heuler explains, new Arizona super trees could average 4,000 pounds per acre annually. Ten thousand acres would yield 40 million pounds. This year, growers should receive $2.05 to $2.30 per pound, depending upon quality and processing costs. At that rate, growers in Cochise County, Arizona could bring in $80 million a year. Heuler encourages other producers to raise pistachios, which generate more profit than crops like alfalfa. Pistachios may take more upfront time and capital, but the trees can produce nuts for more than 100 years, giving you a long time to reap rewards from your investment. By Nancy Jorgensen Pizzeria Bianco’s Rosa Pizza (a Tasty Pistachio Recipe) This pizza requires the absolute freshest Parmigiano-Reggiano cheese you can find. When it is cooked correctly, the cheese will melt to form a lightly golden, oily crust that encapsulates red onion, pistachios and just the right amount of rosemary. Watch closely, as too much time in the oven will quickly turn this pie into a cracker. The dough needs to rise twice, for a total of 2 hours. Makes two 12-inch pizzas (8 servings) Ingredients: 1¼ cup tepid water (105 degrees) 2¼ tsp (¼ oz packet) active dry instant yeast 3 ¾ cups flour, plus more for the work surface 1 ½ to 2 tsp salt 3 tbs olive oil, plus more for greasing the bowl 5 oz freshly grated Parmigiano-Reggiano cheese (a generous 1 cup) ½ large red onion, thinly sliced (about 1 cup) ½ cup roasted unsalted pistachio nuts, finely chopped ¼ tsp finely chopped Rosemary leaves Directions: Whisk together the water and yeast in a liquid measuring cup; let sit 5 minutes, until the mixture is frothy. Combine the flour, salt to taste and 1 tablespoon of the oil in the bowl of a stand mixer fitted with a dough hook. Add the yeast mixture; beat on low speed just until a ball of dough forms that pulls away from the sides of the bowl. Lightly flour a work surface. Place the dough on it and knead for 10 minutes; the dough should become smooth and elastic. Use just enough of the oil to coat the inside of a large bowl. Transfer the dough to the bowl and cover with plastic wrap. Leave in a warm location to rise for about 1 hour or until doubled in bulk. Lightly flour a large baking sheet. Punch down the dough, then lightly knead it for a few minutes before dividing into 2 equal portions. Place them spaced well apart on the baking sheet and cover with plastic wrap. Let rise for 1 hour. Place a pizza stone in the oven; preheat to 450 degrees. (If you do not have a pizza stone, the pizza can be formed and baked on a large inverted baking sheet.) Press or roll one portion of dough into a round about 12 inches in diameter. If you are using a pizza peel (wide paddle) to transfer the pie to the oven, first sprinkle it lightly with flour and transfer the round of dough to the peel. (Alternatively, the pie stays on its inverted baking sheet, or can be placed on a piece of parchment paper for easier transfer to the oven.) Top the round of dough with half of the cheese, onion and pistachios, leaving a 1/2-inch margin around the edges. Sprinkle the pizza with 1/8 teaspoon of the rosemary, then drizzle with 1 tablespoon of the oil. Slide the pie onto the pizza stone (if not using a stone, place the baking sheet in the oven) and bake for about 10 minutes, until the cheese has melted and the crust is lightly golden. Serve hot. Build a second pie with remaining dough, toppings and remaining tablespoon of oil; repeat the baking process. Page 3 Message from our President In a More Global Market, Agriculture Learns to Survive and Thrive A new environment in the financial arena is emerging. In 2000, the world had 431 million middle-class persons. By 2030, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the world will have 950 million middle-class persons with 70% of the increase coming from China and India. This transformation from third-world countries to first-world countries will create a huge opportunity and demand for our commodities as the new middle class upgrade their diet. The implications for us as agriculturalists are far-reaching. Gary Dyer, President and CEO, Farm Credit Services Southwest In the meantime, we’re currently in the thick of a credit downturn cycle. Understanding the stages of the cycle and adjusting for business success is more critical than ever before. The diagram depicts the four stages of a typical credit cycle such as the one we are now experiencing. Stage #1, the crash phase, occurred in the fall of 2008 to the spring of 2009 with a 50% drop in some commodity prices like dairy and hay. This drop in commodity prices was compounded by many of our dairies’ forward contracting high feed prices for the year, but not hedging the milk price. We locked in a $17 cwt breakeven for the year and then milk prices collapsed to the $10-$12 cwt range. Our typical Arizona dairy lost $800$1,000 per cow during 2009. This means a 3,000 cow dairy would have lost up to $3 million and deteriorated from well-capitalized to having very little loan margin or capacity for additional borrowing. We also experienced the "Great Recession" and a complete collapse of the real estate market in central Arizona with up to an 80% drop in land values from the peak. During the balance of 2009, we entered Stage #2, the risk identification and mitigation phase. During this phase, lenders work with borrowers to update values and financial information, obtain additional collateral or guarantees if needed, and implement all available self help actions such as reducing expenses, implementing hedging risk management programs, and selling non-earning assets. We are now entering Stage #3, what I call the up or out phase. This phase can be the most difficult because both lenders and borrowers have to address the critical question of future viability and can I survive this? If the answer is no, all involved are better off to make the difficult decision to exit the industry and preserve as much equity as possible. A big factor in making this decision is the commodity price outlook, how much equity and staying power is available, and other sources of financial strength that could be accessed if needed. We are cautiously optimistic that we will see improved commodity prices and economic conditions in 2010 and have seen the worst of this cycle. If this prediction proves to be correct, then most of our borrowers will survive this down cycle and live to fight another day. Continued on next page Page 4 The Lessons of the “Great Recession” and More So what have we learned and what does all this mean to lenders and borrowers as we go forward into Stage 4, the stabilization and recovery phase? Increased globalization has resulted in increased economic and commodity volatility as compared to historic norms. We are now in a world market versus a domestic market for many of our commodities. What happens in China directly impacts what happens here in the U.S. Protectionism, trade issues, political stability, economic stability, and new markets with a growing middle class all impact this increased volatility. For example, per the World Trade Organization, we saw a 12% reduction in world trade in 2009 and 9.5% rebound so far in 2010. We also have fewer marginal operators so it takes longer to correct demand/supply imbalances which also contributes to the increased volatility. I believe we may be entering a major game changing paradigm shift with this increased volatility. In the past, the largest operator with the lowest cost and highest production/yield was the winner. In this new world, we should ask ourselves if the operator with the strongest balance sheet, liquidity, and best risk management program will be the winner? One of our Farm Credit System economists, Terry Barr, suggests that future successful managers will need to develop strategies to address this new emerging business environment with: Greater price, cost, and cash flow variability requiring increased working capital. Increasing cost structure from regulatory compliance (taxes, energy, environment, health care etc.) Deflation followed by higher inflation and interest rates. De-leveraging: lower acceptable levels of leverage. More limited and costly access to capital markets. Weak dollar (favoring exports but increasing input costs.) Greater vulnerability to global trade and economic policy actions as export dependency increases, and A return to more diversified business strategies and risk management programs (contracts, hedging, and crop insurance.) Operators who can manage in this new emerging environment will be able to capture significant future opportunities. In conclusion, we have survived challenging times like this in the past and we will survive this cycle. The key is to learn from the cycle and adjust our strategies to be successful in the future! Managing Risk in a Risky Business Now, more than ever, risk management is a key element in every farm and ranch operation. Agriculture is facing new challenges everyday with new technologies, global competition, free trade and legislation, and more. Defining risk and developing a plan to handle the risk ultimately produces confidence needed to seize opportunities in this rapidly changing environment. There are five primary sources of risk: Marketing, Financial, Production, Human Resources, and Legal. Take a look to see how your business rates. Marketing Risk Marketing risk describes the risk a producer takes in either purchasing or selling a good or service. In agriculture, we observe and evaluate these risks on a daily basis. It is often one of our top concerns. But, it’s usually not until something dramatic occurs that we really take a closer look at our risk management strategies. Not every producer views risk in the same way, so it is important to assess your individual risk-bearing capacity with regard to market or price risk. What is viewed as a very risky inventory position for one producer, might be comfortable for another. Your individual liquidity and equity position also plays an important roll in your risk management strategy. Someone with solid equity in their balance sheet has more risk-bearing capacity than someone whose equity is very thin. Your own risk management strategy may need to change over time, as your balance sheet changes. However, it is generally accepted that because of the volatility in ag markets, some type of risk management strategy is vital. Risk management, as it relates to marketing risk, can take many forms. But, some type of price protection is the goal. Forward contracts, hedges through futures and options, inventory management, government price programs, marketing/pooling coops could all be parts of your risk management strategy. For a dairy/cattle producer, even growing a portion of your own feed can be considered part of your risk management strategy by taking some unknowns out of your feed costs. Page 5 Managing Risk in a Risky Business Marketing Risk continued You may have a strategy of being a low-cost producer, which can be a very valid strategy. But that may not be enough in volatile markets. You may end up producing for less, but a higher-cost producer may net more profit, due to their marketing risk management, and at the end of the day be in a better financial position. One thing to keep in mind when constructing your risk management strategy is to avoid introducing more risk into your operation. Sounds obvious, but the implications of a partial strategy can do just that if not thoroughly thought out. An example of this could be not properly evaluating both sides of the risk equation. It is not uncommon for a farmer to contract his grain months or up to a year out and leave the inputs (fuel, fertilizer, etc) completely open to the market. In the same, but opposite side of that transaction, a dairyman could lock in 60-70% of the dairy’s feed needs from that farmer and leave the milk fully exposed to price fluctuations. In both examples, the producer may have introduced more risk by only partially implementing a marketing strategy. Your risk management strategy will require you to know your business and your fi- nancial goals. What are your breakevens? What margins are acceptable to you? What are the strengths and weaknesses in your operation? Last, but not least, do you proactively communicate and discuss these strategies with your lender? In today’s volatile environment, lenders will value borrowers who manage their risk well. Financial Risk There are three major elements of financial risk: the cost and availability of debt capital; the ability to meet cash flow needs; and the ability to maintain and grow equity. The objective is to manage these risks through sound planning and financial control by continually monitoring your ability to bear financial risk. Complete farm records are a necessity in maintaining control of your farm or ranch. This includes the balance sheet and statement of owner’s equity, income state- ment, and projected and actual cash flows. These records provide historical data to help you calculate financial performance measures and guidelines for future decisions. Strategic expansion should be considered with adequate capital and financial reserves in order to weather short or long-term adversity. Liquidity and adequate cash flow is essential in a farm’s survival during production disasters or poor market conditions. During the last downturn, we have seen how counterparty risk and evaluat- ing the financial wherewithal of people you do business with can impact liquidity and cash flow. With proper planning of expenses, cash flow needs can be known with reasonable certainty. This allows you to plan marketing decisions in advance and to take advantage of attractive pricing opportunities. Improving liquidity includes areas such as reducing family living expenses, using resources efficiently, leasing assets, and utilizing appropriate insurance programs. Financial software packages designed specifically for Farmers and Ranchers are available. If you would like more information, be sure to ask one of our loan officers. Production Risk Crop Insurance is a great way to manage your risk and maintain your income stream. Insurance companies offer a wide variety of crop insurance protection and coverage levels. MPCI (Multiple Peril Crop Insurance) is the basic program which protects against yield shortage by providing coverage against most natural disasters. The level of protection can be determined by the percentage of your historic yield. CRC (Crop Revenue Coverage) protects against yield and price losses. This ensures producers will earn a minimum revenue. The yield guarantee is also determined by using the producer’s actual production history. MPCI and CRC premiums are subsidized by the Federal government. Subsidies tend to bene- fit those producers who have uninsurable or in areas where insurance is unavailable, prohigher levels of coverage. ducers can apply for the NonNon-subsidized crop insur- insured Assistance Program. ance programs include crop hail and grain fire. MPCI policies protect against losses severe enough to significantly drop the entire farm’s yield average. Crop-hail, however, gives acre by acre protection that reflects the actual cash value of damage from hail. For those crops which are Managing Risk in a Risky Business Human Resource Risk One important area of business risk management is the risk that the business may have to go forward without you, the key man. Farm Credit can help you determine the right life insurance policy for your unique situation. But, managing this risk does not always require a new policy or additional coverage and higher premium expense. Sometimes, a reorganization of the coverage you already have can result in more coverage, lower premiums or both! How can this be? One myth to dispel is that life insurance always goes up the older you get. While this may be generally true, there are many situations where coverage you purchased years ago is available today for less than what you are paying now. The insurance industry like most things is constantly changing and insurers battle to remain competitive. Mortality tables show we are living longer lives on average so insurers can offer lower premiums and still book a policy that makes financial sense on their end. Some of us may have quit using tobacco, lost substantial weight, gained control of a health issue or in some other way improved our health profile since we last applied for coverage. All of these things lead to a replacement policy that can be much more beneficial than what we are now paying on. If you now own a policy that has built up a cash value over the years, a 1035 exchange can be used in most cases to avoid the taxation that would come with a policy surrender for cash. The value of the old policy is exchanged into a new policy and your risk management program moves forward uninterrupted with more value and benefit for your survivors. If you have enough exchange value in your existing policy, it may be possible to maintain or even increase the benefit to survivors and stop paying premiums altogether. Of course these great reorganizational results don’t happen for every program. But, the best way to find out if improvements are possible is to get those old policy statements out and let us help you research the possibilities. If you are concerned about future estate taxation for your heirs, we can help with that too. An Irrevocable Life Insurance Trust (ILIT) can be arranged for you and we can help you with the transfer or gift of policy ownership to your new trust. So managing your risk in this area does not always mean “buying” more coverage. Sometimes just better use of what you have can result in greatly increased benefits. Legal Risk Many of the day-to-day activities of farmers and ranchers involve commitments that have legal implications. Legal issues involved with agriculture fall into a few main categories: legal business structure, tax and estate planning, contractual arrangements, tort liability, and statutory compliance, including environmental issues. It is good practice to visit an attorney prior to entering into a business transaction—preventative actions are often cheaper and less time-consuming. At Farm Credit Services Southwest, we understand that risk is inherent in all stages of farming from beginning farmers to wellestablished farmers. And, we understand the importance of managing that risk. We welcome the opportunity to provide a risk and financial assessment, and discuss the programs we offer to help you protect your lifelong investments. For more information, call your local loan officer or our main number at 800.822.3276. Page 7 Questions for your risk management assessment: Have I identified my risk management tolerance? Which risks can keep me from attaining my goals? Which risks am I comfortable retaining and managing with my own resources? Which risks will I shift to others? Which risks will I avoid? When was my last insurance check-up for health, life, property, disability, long-term care, crop insurance? Have I had a risk exposure assessment done by an advisor? Farm Credit Services Southwest is collecting favorite family recipes from employees, members and our Ag partners to create a cookbook. To share your favorite family recipe send it to: Farm Credit Services Southwest PO Box 24138, Tempe, AZ 85282 or email [email protected]. PRSRT STD U.S. Postage PAID A Taste of the Southwest Deadline: October 1, 2010 Our gift to you will be ready in December. Check out our new website! Secure File Transfer—a way to send and receive sensitive information, like financial statements, in a secure environment. Market Information with weekly publications on the dairy and food market, Dave Kohl’s weekly Ag Globetrotter, and Global Insight’s economic and interest rate forecasts. Online Banking is another tool on our website that will help you manage your account 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. And, if you sign up by September 1st, your name will be entered into a drawing to win an Apple i-Pad. Check out our website for details. If you have questions or need help with the new site just give us a call! Coming Soon...Cash Management by Farm Credit Services Southwest Efficiency: Checks written are funded from your Farm Credit loan Remote deposit Online Banking Profitability: Minimize interest expense Minimize banking related costs Maximize interest income Contact your Loan Officer for more information. Address Service Requested When you log in as a member, you will have access to: The BottomLine Our new website is up and running and we invite you to take a look—www.fcssw.com. With easy navigation and new tools, you now have valuable resources at your fingertips. Farm Credit Services Southwest PO Box 24138 Tempe, Arizona 85285 www.fcssw.com The BottomLine is f or cust ome rs, empl oyees a nd fri end s of F arm Cr edit S er vice s S out hwest . Our go al wi t h t his pu bli cat io n is t o provide u sef ul inf orm at ion t hat wil l m ak e it easie r f or you t o mana ge yo ur busi ne ss. F arm Credit S ervic es S out h west is a me mbe r- ow ne d f inan cial coo per at ive t h at lends t o f a rme rs, r anc he rs a nd dair yme n. We also pr ovi de a wid e r ang e of f inanci al servi ce s, incl u ding f amil y bu sine ss plan ning, i ndivi dual f i nan cial pl an ning, cr op insu ran ce, li f e insur anc e, equi pme nt and vehi cle leasi n g an d ap prai sal s. How to Reac h Us W r i t e: Cas sidy D it ch ey, F arm Cr edit S ervi ces S o ut hwe st 300 3 S . F air L ane T empe, A Z 8 528 2 C a l l : 602.4 31.4 12 6 E ma i l : Cassi dy. dit che y@ f css w.com WE B: ww w.f css w.c om Cop yrig ht 20 10 by Fa rm C re dit S ervi ce s S out hwest , A CA . A ll right s rese rve d. F arm Credit is an aff irm at ive act ion, eq ual o pp ort u nit y employ er.
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