Southern Political Science Association Neutralists and Neutralism Author(s): Samir N. Anabtawi Source: The Journal of Politics, Vol. 27, No. 2 (May, 1965), pp. 351-361 Published by: Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Southern Political Science Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2128077 Accessed: 17/05/2010 08:56 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=cup. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Cambridge University Press and Southern Political Science Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Politics. http://www.jstor.org NEUTRALISTSAND NEUTRALISM SAMIR N. ANABTAWI Vanderbilt University HE PAST DECADE has witnessed the rise of a new phenomenon :)n the international scene called neutralism. In its name, causes have been championed, treaties abrogated, attachments formed, and policies justified.1 Scores of newly independent countries, still groping for particular identities, emerged to statehood certain that neutralism was indispensable to the fulfillment of their national ethos. But what this neutralism was supposed to denote has been subject to a variety of interpretations. Some have explained it as meaning "neutral with respect to attachment to military alliances."2 Others have equated it with "non-involvementin either the Soviet or Western bloc,"3 while still others have looked upon it as "an obsolete," "immoral," and "shortsighted conception"-"a pretence that a nation can best gain safety for itself by being indifferent to the fate of others."' Most observers seem to agree, however, that neutralism is not synonymous with neutrality. It is pointed out that whereas neutrality can only be predicated upon the existence of a state of belligerency,5 neutralism is said to mean noninvolvement in times of peace. FurT 'George Liska is of the opinion that "non-alignment poses the most arduous single problem that the West, and the United States in particular, has had to face in the area of foreign policy since it first decided to contain Communist power proper." "The 'Third Party': The Rationale of Nonalignment," in Neutralism and Nonalignment, Laurence Martin, ed. (New York, 1962), p. 80. 'From President Eisenhower's press conference, June 6, 1956. For the full text of President Eisenhower's remarks on neutralism, see U. S. Department of State, American Foreign Policy, Current Documents, 1956 (Department of State Publication 6811, Washington, 1959), p. 32. 'Prime Minister Nehru, quoted in The New York Times July 7, 1956, p. 1. 'Secretary of State John Foster Dulles in U. S. Department of State, American Foreign Policy, Current Documents, 1956, op. cit., p. 34. 'H. Lauterpacht, ed., Oppenheim's International Law, (Vol. 2, Seventh Edition, London, 1961), p. 655. "Since neutrality is an attitude during a state of war only, it calls into existence special rights and duties which do not generally obtain." For the most comprehensive study of neutrality, see Philip Jessup, ed., Neutrality, Its History, Economics and Law, 4 Vols. (New York, 1935-1936). [351] 352 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS [Vol. 2 7 thermore,neutrality carries with it certain rights and duties generally established and recognized under international law, while neutralism does not possess an equivalent code of behavior legally binding on all states. And, finally, a status of permanent neutrality entails definite restrictions on the activity of a state,6 whereas in this age of nationalism neutralists constantly remind us that they would brook no limitations to their sovereignty. But, if neutralism, unlike neutrality,, does not possess juridical foundations and axioms,, then what are its guidelines? Are there any rules or principles to which a neutralist state must subscribe? Or, to put it differently, what should a state do in order to qualify as a neutralist? It is the purpose of this article to examine what neutralists profess neutralism to be, and to determine whether their international conduct does in reality conform to such professions. An attempt will also be made to distinguish between two major types of neutralism and to analyze the conditions and risks attending each. Finally, some of the sources of neutralist influence in the Cold War will be briefly discussed. I Individual pronouncements on neutralism by neutralist leaders are legion. But the only explicit statement on the subject that presumably met with their collective approval was made at the preparatory neutralist conference held in Cairo in 1961. At that gathering it was decided that countries invited to the Belgrade Conference of Non-aligned Countries must adhere to the following:7 1. Each country concerned should follow an independent policy based on non-alignment and peaceful coexistence with nations of differing social and political structures. 'See for instance the restrictions placed on Austria, a permanent neutral, in "Communique on the Talks between Government Delegations of Austria and the Soviet Union, Moscow, April 15, 1955," Documents on Foreign Relations, 1955 (Council on Foreign Relations, New York, 1956), pp. 121-122. 'Arab Information Center, Arab News and Views, Vol. VII, No. 13, July 1, 1961. "It was not immediately obvious whether these criteria were to refer to past performances or to promises about behaviour in the future. In the event it seems that the former was more important than the latter." Peter Lyon, Neutralism (Leicester, 1963), p. 182. 1965] NEUTRALISTS AND NEUTRALISM 353 2. It should consistently support popular liberation and independence movements. 3. It should not participate in collective military pacts, nor be involved in East-West cold war disputes. 4. If it were a party to any bilateral agreement with a major power, or a member of a regional defense pact, it should not take sides in the cold war, nor involve itself in East-West disagreements. 5. It should have entered into no agreement to establish military bases on its territory for the benefit of either side in the cold war. However, cogent as these rules of conduct may seem to their framers, they are in fact meaningless yardsticks for assessing whether or not a state is neutralist. For one thing, the "independence" of a policy of a state is largely a matter of degree and interpretation. If it is meant that a neutralist state, being a sovereign political unit, should not be totally subservient to the interests of another, then there is hardly a state in the world today which would admit otherwise. Be that as it may, in addition to the perennial considerations of economics, politics, and security, the process of foreign policy making must take into account the possible reactions of other states to the policies contemplated. In this age of Cold War rivalries and overlapping interests no country can afford to conduct its foreign relations without at least a careful assessment and some understanding of the concerns of others. A state may have to postpone, or indeed abandon certain goals the pursuit of which could jeopardize a vital interest that is dependent for its attainment or preservation upon the cooperation of another. So while a state may follow an "independent policy," such independence is in reality highly circumscribedby the dictates of expediency. And in this respect, neutralists do not constitute an exception. As early as 1948, Prime Minister Nehru interpreted his foreign policy to the Indian Constituent Assembly in the following terms:8 . . .Therefore, purely from the point of view of opportunism . . . an independent policy is the best. What the policy should be at a particular moment, it is very difficult for me or this House to say, because things change rapidly from day to day. It may be that we have to choose what might be a lesser evil in certain circumstances . . . It may be that sometimes we have to side with this power or that power. I can quite conceive of our siding with an imperialist power. 8Quoted in J. C. Kundra, Indian Foreign Policy, 1947-1954 (Groningen [Netherlands], 1955), p. 51. 354 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS [Vol. 2 7 Leaving aside for the moment the stipulation of "non-alignment" as a necessary pre-requisite to neutralism, many of the neutralists themselves have rarely heeded their own pronouncementadvocating "peaceful coexistence with nations of differing social and political structures." Indeed, much of the current conflicts in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa can perhaps be partly attributed to a lack of tolerance of different political and social systems. Nor have they consistently "supported popular liberation movements" other than those arising from traditional western colonialism.9 And as to their eschewal of collective military pacts, it is quite apparent that the Arab states, the majority of whom profess to be neutralist, are banded together militarily under the terms of the Arab League. Non-involvement in East-West disagreements we are often told is a cardinal principle of neutralism. But what does non-involvement mean? Clearly it does not mean aloofness or abstention as the "positive neutralists" assure us.'0 In an address delivered before the Congress of the United States, Jawaharlal Nehru said:11 We have to achieve freedom and to defend it. We have to meet aggression and resist it and the force employed must be adequate to the purpose .... We are neither blind to reality nor do we propose to acquiesce in any challenge to man's freedom from whatever quarter it may come. Where freedom is menaced or justice threatened or where agression takes place, we can not and shall not be neutral . . . Still, non-involvement in cold war disputes is presumably not an end in itself, but an instrument through which a state could more easily assume a neutral posture in the event of an outbreak of 9For their stand on the Hungarian Revolution of 1956, for instance, see the author's "The Afro-Asian States and the Hungarian Question," International Organization, Vol. XVII, No. 4 (Autumn, 1963). "Shukri Al-Kuwatly, the former President of Syria, described positive neutralism in the following terms: ". . . this neutralism does not signify passivity or isolationism. On the contrary . . . this positive neutralism [is]a genuine call for positive and effective cooperation in dealing with international problems and preserving at the same time all the fundamentals of freedom and sovereignty vis-a-vis the various trends of international power politics and groupings." "A Champion of Neutralism" in A Study of Nehru, Rafig Zakaria, ed. (Bombay, 1959), p. 118. Former Premier Abdul Karim Kassim of Iraq defined the aims of the "policy of positive neutralism [as] to alleviate the evergrowing tension between the two contending Powers, by creating what may be called a third force in the world." "A Maker of History" in A Study of Nehru, loc. cit., p. 92. "lJawaharlalNehru's Speeches, 1949-1953 (New Delhi, 1954), p. 122. 1965] NEUTRALISTS AND NEUTRALISM 355 hostilities.l2 However, a unilateral declaration of neutrality does not in itself guarantee against involvement. True, a neutral status implies certain rights, as well as duties, but as has painfully been proven all too often it does not guarantee immunity from attack. In other words, the decision of a belligerent as to whether or not to respect the neutrality of a state is not based on any consideration for the moral or legal force of the doctrines of international law. Rather, it is usually dependent upon a careful assessment of the power of the neutral and upon an evaluation of the power distribution pertinent to the conflict. A belligerent has to weigh the political and military advantages to be derived versus the possible adverse consequences from engaging a neutral and forcing it to align itself on the side of the opposing camp. It was on the basis of such calculations, or, to put it more accurately, miscalculations, that Hitler decided to declare war on the United States. So non-involvement as a cornerstone of foreign policy does not necessarily insulate a state from a future conflict. Indeed, in certain circumstancesit may invite an attack. So tenaciously may a state hold to a policy of neutralism that another state bent on aggression may feel that it could pursue limited military objectives at the expense of the former without jarring it into an alliance with a third power. While one can only speculate, such reasoning may have contributed to the 'Chinese decision to invade the northeasternregion of India. It should not be interpreted from the above discussion that it is the intention to reduce neutralism merely to a level where it can only be equated with non-alignment, for this, too, has certain drawbacks. Admittedly, a neutralist state has to be non-aligned. But, apparently, a non-aligned state is not necessarily a neutralist one. Israel, for instance, which is not tied to any alliance system, has never been looked upon as a neutralist. If it is argued that this is due to her ideological commitment to the Western cause, then, clearly, Cuba, an avowedly Communist state, should not have been invited to the Belgrade Conference.Besides, the injection of ideological considerations could only add to the already present confusion as to the meaning of neutralism. It would almost prove an impossible task to try and evaluate the variety of political philosophies and orientations espoused by a number of neutralist leaders, rang12J. C. Kundra, places non-involvement in a third world war as the primary aim of Indian foreign policy. Op. cit., passim. 356 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS [Vol. 27 ing from "Arab Socialism" in the UAR to "Guided Democracy" in Indonesia, and fit them within the context of the over-all ideological struggle between East and West.13 Furthermore,it is no secret that Communist parties in some neutralist countries have been subjected to different forms of political repression and that several neutralist leaders have a genuine antipathy to Marxist Leninist doctrines. In his autobiography, Jawaharlal Nehru writes:14 My roots are still perhaps in the 19th century, and I have been too much influenced by the humanist liberal tradition to get out of it completely. This bourgeois background follows me about and is naturally a source of irritation to many Communists. I dislike dogmatism, and the treatment of Karl Marx's writings or any other books as revealed scripture which cannot be challenged, and the regimentation and heresy hunts which seem to be a feature of modern communism. I dislike also much that has happened in Russia and especially the excessive use of violence in normal times. The assumption of neutralism on the part of many states in recent years seems to suggest that what is also needed for the attainment of neutralism is an affirmationof a neutralist status. In other words, in addition to being non-aligned, a state has to declare itself neutralist in order to be regarded as such. A country's prior leanings and orientation apparently become irrevelant. Thus, Tunisia and Lebanon, for example, despite their long-standing support for the West, became fullfledged participants in neutralist gatherings after announcing their neutralist intentions. Neither is there the expectation that a newly acquired neutralist posture should radically and quickly alter previous relationships.'5 Indeed, rather than curtailing a state's scope of activities, neutralism is looked upon as a liberating force allowing the establishment of additional associations from which economic and other benefits could be derived and which had hitherto been deemed unavailable to it. In return, there is an implicit expectation that a neutralist would not take sides on matters of vital concern to the two Great Power blocs, and that if circumstancesprevent a fully detached position it should display no more than an "3Fora synopsis of the political ideas of neutralists, see Paul Sigmund, Jr., ed., The Ideologies of the Developing Nations (New York, 1963). "Jawaharlal Nehru, An Autobiography (London, 1942), p. 203. "5This is so except in the case of a state that had been previously aligned, e.g., Iraq. However, Saudi Arabia, for instance, continues to lease a base to the United States, as it had done so in the past. 1965] NEUTRALISTS AND NEUTRALISM 357 attitude of concern. However even the most cursory examination of the behaviour of neutralists would surely indicate that such expectations have not fully materialized. Neutralists have not only sided with this Great Power or that on a variety of issues, but, on occasions, have even gone so far as to condemn certain Great Power activities. But, curiously enough, such "un-neutralist" conduct does not appear to detract from their neutralist standing. On the contrary, one is led to believe that the occasional indictments of both the United States and the Soviet Union are perhaps viewed by the neutralists as an additional reinforcementof their neutralist position -a manifestation of their independence, and evidence of a lack of subservience to either protagonist. Indeed, one suspects that the Great Powers have themselves begun to share this view by their understanding, if not sympathetic, reactions to the criticism of neutralists.16 II Non-alignment is a term that often tends to conceal more than it reveals. When it is said that a state is non-aligned, it is generally meant that it does not belong to any alliance system of either the East or West. In effect, an objective situation is described in which the state in question is withholding its power from others at a time when states are coagulating, so to speak, into power constellations.'7 A non-aligned state may choose, either upon a rational calculation of its security needs, or on the basis of ideological conviction to abstain totally from involvement and relegate itself to a position akin to that of Switzerland's. Or, it may pursue an activist policy, seeking to derive maximum advantage from the prevailing power distribution. In this latter respect, the influence of the non-aligned state is dependent upon its own power resources and capabilities as well as upon the balance of power between the contending factions. Clearly, the majority, if not all, of the so-called neutralist and non-aligned countries have not been content to "withdraw" in the sense that Switzerland and Austria have. Instead, they have sought to utilize the existing bi-polar situation in the pursuit of their pecu"'See the statements of Secretary of State Dean Rusk and Ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge, quoted in L. Martin, ed. op. cit., p. xviii. "George Liska, Nations in Alliance (Baltimore, 1962), p. 203. 358 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS [Vol. 27 liar national interests. Some, such as India, even though anti-alliance as a matter of ideological conviction, find in the present nuclear stalemate a contributing element to their security and to the maintenance of the status quo in their respective regions; while others, such as Indonesia and the United Arab Republic, look upon the same situation as a somewhat liberating influence, allowing the pursuit of revisionist policies. A status quo neutralist policy is enhanced either when the two Great Powers see certain advantages to be derived from its preservation, or when one of them is willing to go to great lengths to prevent a change. However, a danger arises when a third lesser power appears on the scene bent on altering the status quo in the region and which the two Great Powers are either unable or unwilling to go to great lengths to contain. Thus, for instance, while both the United States and the Soviet Union may have been content with the status quo neutralist policy of India, China still managed to undermine the interests of both Great Powers with relative impunity by invading the northeasternpart of the Indian sub-continent. A neutralist revisionist policy is even more fraught with danger. Not only is it likely to lead to a conflict which may bring about a direct confrontation between the Great Powers,, but it is possible in certain instances for the neutralist country to find itself without any support from any major power in the pursuit of its objectives. While, for example, the Soviet Union found it convenient to assist President Nasser in his drive for Arab unity, it discovered in 1959 that Nasser's revisionism was undermining Soviet interests in Iraq, and as a result relations between Cairo and Moscow suffered a severe strain.18 In addition, the non-aligned revisionist country may exaggerate the likelihood of one Great Power checking the other, or under-estimate the commitment of one of them to the status quo. In this respect, for instance, the UAR may have misjudged in 1958 the United States' determinationto preserve the integrity of Lebanon while perhaps overestimating the value of Soviet support in that situation. The success of a non-aligned activist policy is in large measure dependent upon its having a high degree of flexibility. The neutralist country must be sufficiently agile and fully capable of moving rapidly 18See Ernest Lefever, "Nehru, Nasser, and Nkrumah on Neutralism,"in LaurenceW. Martin, ed., Neutralismand Non-alignment,op. cit., p. 112. 1965] NEUTRALISTS AND NEUTRALISM 359 from one side to another in order to derive maximum benefit from a policy of "play-off." However, this in turn is contingent upon its having an internal political pattern in which power is vested in a single charismatic leader or in a small clique. In short, the greater the degree of power concentration in a country is, the greater is its maneuverability. But where the political base is wide and open, and where the power structure is diffuse, the ability of a state to make quick and abrupt shifts in policy becomes highly circumscribed. Nasser, Nkrumah, and Sukarno, for example, have demonstrated such nimble dexterity precisely because they are relatively free from the internal restraints which characterize democratic regimes in which various organized and competing political entities are constantly making claims for leadership, and which are deemed indispensable to the democratic process. As such, it could perhaps be argued that the more democratic and open the non-aligned countries become, the more constrained they will be in their maneuverings. But it should be borne in mind that the neutralist policy of the "play-off"must also take into account the degree of flexibility which the Great Powers themselves possess. This may be of marginal significance vis-a-vis the Soviet Union whose monolothic political structure allows it to make drastic policy changes almost overnight,,but it is a genuine consideration in regard to the United States where public opinion and domestic political factors are often important elements in the formulation of foreign policy. It may prove exceedingly difficult for a country to receive support from the United States by a quick shift in orientation after having pursued for some time policies that were regarded by the American leadership and public as highly inimical to their interests. It is unlikely, for instance, that Nasser could have struck a responsive cord had he abruptly turned to the United States soon after denouncing her and nationalizing the Suez Canal. Viewed within this perspective, varying types and shades of non-alignment and neutralism can be discerned, with each having particular objectives and attendant liabilities. All too often, analysts speak of the "non-aligned countries" as though they were all united by a common cause or were prompted by the same considerations. True, not only do these countries often seek to maximize their influence by banding together as a bloc, but they seem to reflect a peculiar kind of cohesiveness. Attachment to common ideals forms a bond of sympathy; a shared historical experience creates a point 360 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS [Vol. 2 7 of view; an absence of inherited rivalries provides an opportunity for cooperation. The presence of these elements creates among many of the non-aligned nations a standard of values and a point of approach very real in their pragmatic effects. But more than this can hardly be said. The implementation of high policy is another matter altogether. Each nation strives for its objectives and seeks to maximize its particular values within the context of its peculiar situation and the opportunities available to it. III The question remains, however, what is there in the present bi-polar situation which affords a non-aligned state a peculiar opportunity for the attainment of its national objectives? To put it bluntly, what does a non-aligned state possess for which both the United States and the Soviet Union are willing to court it? Certainly, except under very special circumstances,none of the neutralist countries can either add to, or detract from, the nuclear capabilities of the United States and the Soviet Union. And it is also quite apparent that no single one could vastly add to the technological and economic viability of either. How is it, then, that a non-aligned state exercises influence over the Great Powers? The answer lies perhaps in the tendency of the major powers themselves to attach substantial significance to the non-aligned countries. In other words, they are important because the Great Powers regard them as important. However, this is more than merely a manifestation of the anxieties of the Cold War. Militarily selfsufficient as the United States and the Soviet Union may be., the nature of their arsenals is such as to make the exercise of these weapons in their struggle unthinkable, to say the least. Moreover, with several states firmly fixed in their respective orbits the number of countries over which the contest between the United States and the Soviet Union could more safely take place has been diminished. As such, the main element of flexibility is provided by the prospective moves of those states which, for a variety of reasons choose to remain uncommitted.19The nature of the struggle and the rules of the game, so to speak, have become such that the absorption of "9Hans Morgenthau, Politics Among Nations, 3rd Edition, (New York, 1960), p. 351. 1965] NEUTRALISTS AND NEUTRALISM 361 a neutralist by one of the two camps is regarded as a victory for one and a defeat to the other. Therefore, each of the two major powers seeks through ideological conversion and the lure of economic gain to entice a neutralist to its side or to prevent its defection to the other. In this competition the non-aligned countries have acquired an importance far disproportionate to their intrinsic strength. And some of the neutralists further maximize their position by affecting the expectations of the Great Powers in the contest of which they, the uncommitted, have become a part. It is basically for these reasons that these minor states are influential.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz