Exchange-traded funds: Head Clarity amid the clutter Vanguard Commentary Research September March 2014 2016 Prepared by Vanguard’s Investment Strategy Group ■■ Over the past decade, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have become popular among investors for their use in building investment portfolios. Although sometimes portrayed as unique instruments, ETFs are overwhelmingly similar to mutual funds, from both a regulatory and a structural standpoint. ■■ Investors have also used ETFs similarly to mutual funds, namely to create low-cost, broadly diversified investment portfolios, especially when implementing indexbased strategies. ■■ ETFs provide important benefits stemming from the method by which investors transact in fund shares. The secondary market trading of ETFs serves as an additional source of intraday liquidity for market participants while intraday market prices reflect valuable information about market conditions. This document is directed at professional investors only as defined under the MiFID Directive. Not for Public Distribution. The value of investments, and the income from them, may fall or rise and investors may get back less than they invested. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have become a soughtafter option for European investors, with European-listed ETF assets totalling €428 billion as at 30 September 2015. Although this amount was much less than the €5.9 trillion in total assets held by mutual funds (MFs) at that date, ETF assets grew at an annualised rate of 86.8% in the four years ending 30 September 2015, versus 33.4% for MFs over the same period.1 ETFs’ remarkable growth has been driven largely by two trends. The first is the financial industry’s growing awareness of low-cost investing.2 Secondly, intermediaries, who manage substantial assets held by investors, have been conducting a greater proportion of their practices on a fee basis, as opposed to a commission basis. This has led to an increase in the use of passive funds by advisers. As most ETFs take a passive investing approach in Europe, this trend has helped to support ETF adoption. Most ETFs share many similar characteristics with MFs: • They offer investors access to a particular market or investment strategy; • They are pooled investment vehicles whose investors own a pro-rata share of fund assets and receive valuable benefits in return (e.g., diversification, economies of scale, professional money management and convenience); • They are primarily regulated by the same laws; • They issue new shares and redeem existing shares to meet investor demand. Despite many similarities with MFs, however, there are differences. Most notably, when MF investors buy and sell shares, they transact directly with the fund and receive the end of day net asset value (NAV) price, whereas ETF investors typically transact with each other through an exchange and receive an intraday market price, usually the moment the order is placed. This research commentary first highlights the similar regulatory regime applicable to both ETFs and MFs. We then discuss how investors use ETFs in the same ways as MFs when constructing portfolios. Finally, we describe some of the benefits provided by ETFs that result from their exchange-traded nature. ETFs and mutual funds: A shared regulatory environment The vast majority of Europe-domiciled ETFs (91% of assets, according to Morningstar as at 30 September 2015) are organised and regulated as registered investment companies under the Undertakings for Collective Investments in Transferable Securities (UCITS) directive3, the same regulatory regime that governs the UCITS mutual funds domiciled within the European Union.4 The UCITS framework lists a number of eligible assets that a UCITS fund may invest in. Eligible assets include transferable securities, money market instruments, financial derivative investments, open-ended collective investment schemes, deposits with credit institutions and financial indices. By contrast, however, a UCITS fund cannot invest (directly or indirectly through derivatives) in commodities (including precious metals or certificates representing them), property/real estate, private equity, hedge funds and non-financial indices (ineligible assets). A UCITS fund may not invest more than 10% of assets in transferable securities and money market instruments which do not meet the UCITS eligibility requirements (i.e. they are not listed or dealt in on a regulated market). UCITS funds can be managed with an active strategy or an index-tracking strategy. With respect to active management, the investment manager has discretion over the composition of its portfolio subject to the asset class’s stated objectives. Index-tracking UCITS funds hold eligible assets in order to attempt to track the performance of a sufficiently diversified financial index5 either directly, by purchasing the constituents of the benchmark index, or indirectly, predominantly by using derivatives.6 In order to determine sufficient diversification, a “look through” principle is applied. This means that the investment manager must aggregate direct and indirect holdings in each security held so that the total of the direct and indirect exposure (i.e. gained through a financial derivative instrument over the relevant security) must not exceed the diversification requirements known as the “5/10/40 Rule“. The 5/10/40 Rule provides that a UCITS may invest a maximum of 10% of its Net Asset Value (NAV) in a transferable security or money market instrument issued by any one issuer. Where the 1 Source for all data in this paragraph is Morningstar, Inc., as at 30 September 2015. 2 Edhec Risk Institute European Survey 2015, February 2016. 3 European Council Directive of 13 July 2009 (2009/65/EC) on the coordination of laws, regulations and administrative provisions relating to undertakings for collective investment in transferable securities and any amendment thereto. 4 Further information on UCITS is available at http://www.centralbank.ie/regulation/industry-sectors/funds/ucits/Pages/default.aspx 5 The UCITS framework stipulates that every benchmark index used by a UCITS must be a “financial index”. The criteria for financial indices include that they be sufficiently diversified, represent an adequate benchmark for the market to which they refer, have a rebalancing frequency which enables investors to replicate the financial index, be published in an appropriate manner and be independently managed from the management of the ETF. 6 ETFs that gain exposure predominantly using derivatives are sometimes referred to as “synthetic ETFs”. See Dickson et al (2013) for a discussion of synthetic ETFs. 2 For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only investment in any one issuer exceeds 5% of NAV, the maximum aggregate holdings over 5% for all issuers is 40% of NAV.7 In other words, where the investment in the same body exceeds 5% of NAV, the maximum allowable holding of these greater-than-5% positions in total is 40% of NAV. UCITS funds’ assets are held by a custodian (typically a bank) and are segregated from both the asset manager’s and the custodian’s assets. If the asset management firm or custodian becomes insolvent, the assets of the UCITS are not available to the creditors of the asset manager or custodian. In addition, there are liquidity rules that govern UCITS funds and state that a UCITS fund must repurchase or redeem shares at the request of any shareholder. These rules also apply to ETFs in certain circumstances.8 UCITS funds can operate daily, weekly or fortnightly dealing and no lock-in period may be applied. Notwithstanding this, a UCITS fund may gate redemption requests at a percentage of Net Asset Value in certain circumstances. There is also a facility to suspend trading (including redemptions) in certain specified circumstances. For UCITS funds that track an index, the following disclosures are required: • There is sufficient publicly available information in relation to the index; • There is clear information on how the ETF will track or replicate its index (i.e. synthetically or physically); • There is disclosure on the anticipated level of tracking error in normal market conditions; • There is information on factors which could affect tracking ability; and • There is disclosure on leverage where it is generated either within the fund or within the index. • A manager that implements an active management strategy must clearly disclose that the ETF pursues such a strategy. All UCITS funds are subject to the above-mentioned regulation, but UCITS ETFs have an additional requirement in order to be called a “UCITS ETF”. The ESMA Guidelines on ETFs and Other UCITS Issues9 (the “Guidelines”) introduced the requirement to include the identifier “UCITS ETF” in the (i) name, (ii) fund rules or instrument of incorporation, (iii) prospectus, (iv) KIID(s) (Key Investor Information Documents) and (v) marketing communications of a UCITS ETF. A UCITS ETF is defined in the Guidelines as: “a UCITS at least one unit or share class of which is traded throughout the day on at least one regulated market or Multilateral Trading Facility with at least one market maker which takes action to ensure that the stock exchange value of its units or shares does not significantly vary from its net asset value and where applicable its Indicative Net Asset Value”. UCITS ETFs and mutual funds are subject to the listing requirements of the various exchanges on which they are listed or traded. Using ETFs to implement investment strategy The fundamental purpose of a fund, whether an ETF or a conventional MF, is to provide diversified access to a particular investment strategy. Both structures conveniently enable investors to construct their portfolios in accordance with their asset allocation. Figure 1 shows how investor allocations using ETFs are similar to those using MFs. Figure 1. How ETF and mutual fund investors allocate assets b. Allocation of MF assets a. Allocation of ETF assets 31% Europe equity 20% Europe equity 28% Rest of world equity 22% Rest of world equity 16% Europe fixed income 18% Europe fixed income 3% Rest of world fixed income 13% Rest of world fixed income 4% Emerging markets 6% 18% Other Emerging markets 21% Other Note: Data as at 30 September 2015. “Other” category represents sector-equity, commodities, alternative, convertibles, property, high yield, inflation-linked fixed income and allocation funds as defined by Morningstar. Europe includes UK; Emerging markets includes both equity and fixed income. Source: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Morningstar, Inc. 7 For an index-replicating ETF, it may comply with the increased flexibility of the “20/35” rule (available under Regulation 71 of the UCITS Regulations), which states that an indexreplicating ETF may invest up to 20% of its NAV in securities issued by the same body and up to 35% in securities issued by one issuer in exceptional market conditions. 8 The assets of each fund belong exclusively to that fund, shall be segregated in the records of the custodian from the assets of other funds, shall not (save as provided in the Acts) be used to discharge directly or indirectly the liabilities of or claims against any other fund and shall not be available for such purpose. ETF shares purchased on the secondary market cannot usually be sold directly back to the ETF provider. 9 In practice, investors typically buy and sell ETF shares on a secondary market with the assistance of an intermediary (e.g. a stock broker) and may incur fees for doing so. In addition, investors may pay more than the current NAV when buying ETF shares on the secondary market and may receive less than the current NAV when selling them. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only 3 3 ETFs provide additional benefits to market participants ETFs differ from MFs largely because of the way investors transact in fund shares, and these differences provide ETFs with additional benefits in terms of secondary market liquidity and market-based prices. Secondary market transactions represent an additional source of liquidity for investors while market-based prices reveal valuable information about market conditions. Secondary markets provide an additional source of intraday liquidity ETFs give investors the flexibility to trade shares intraday, and this intraday trading is recorded as trading volume on the various European stock exchanges. However, the overwhelming majority of this trading reflects secondary market transactions (i.e., trading of ETF shares between two market participants), and only a very small amount results in primary market trading (i.e., trading in the underlying securities market). The secondary market provides investors with an additional source of liquidity, meaning they can trade a broad portfolio of securities without trading in the underlying market. Figure 2: Cost differences are due more to investment strategy than product structure 1.61.6 1.41.4 Expense ratio As part of the portfolio-construction process, investors can choose to implement their allocations using an indexbased or actively managed strategy.10 Some of the hallmark characteristics of indexing include broad diversification and low costs. ETFs have often been touted for low costs and, although it is true that their expense ratios tend to be lower than those of mutual funds, the reduction in cost mostly reflects the difference between indexing and active management. This is because 99% of ETF assets follow index-based strategies, whereas just 7% of mutual fund assets follow index strategies (source: Morningstar, Inc., as at 30 September 2015). Because most index funds cost less than actively managed funds, most index ETFs and index mutual funds have expense ratios that are lower than those of active ETFs and active mutual funds. Figure 2 illustrates that the expense-ratio advantage has more to do with indexing than whether or not the vehicle is an ETF. 1.3% 1.21.2 1.01.0 0.8% 0.80.8 0.60.6 0.40.4 0.3% 0.2% 0.20.2 0 Index ETF Active Mutual fund Notes: Data as at 30 September 2015. According to Morningstar, index mutual funds and index ETFs are defined as vehicles that track a particular index and attempt to match the returns of that index. Non-index vehicles include actively managed vehicles. The figure depicts the median of the prospectus gross expense ratio. On an asset-weighted basis, the average gross expense ratio for index ETF and mutual funds was 0.32% each while for active ETFs and mutual funds it was 0.90% and 1.05%, respectively. Source: Vanguard calculations, based During the course of the trading day, investor orders to buy and sell ETF shares are matched on an exchange with the help of market makers. At the end of the trading day, if market makers have a net short position in shares of an ETF (i.e., they sold more than they bought) or a net long position (i.e., they bought more than they sold), they might decide to offset those positions by seeking to create new shares or redeem the existing shares. ETF creations and redemptions are usually executed once per day using an NAV derived from the closing market prices of the underlying securities.11 Figure 3a shows the percentage of daily equity ETF trading volume conducted solely on the secondary market. The median ratio was 99%, suggesting that for every €1 in trading volume, only 1 cent resulted in primary market trading. Put another way, 99% of the trading volume resulted in no portfolio management impact and no trading in underlying securities (Figure 3b shows the same analysis for bond ETFs — the median ratio here was also 99%).12 10 See Westaway et al. (2015) for a discussion of indexing. 11 The process by which ETFs issue and redeem new shares is actually quite similar to that of mutual funds. Mutual funds accept buy and sell orders throughout the day. At the end of the day, only the difference between the buy orders and sell orders results in net share issuance or redemption. Shares are issued or redeemed once per day at their net asset value, at their respective market close in the local market in which the security is traded. 12 This analysis does not capture all secondary market transactions as not all secondary market transactions are required to be disclosed on exchange within the current European regulatory regime. 4 For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only Figure 3a. The vast majority of equity ETF trading volume is conducted on the secondary market 1.0000 Secondary market ratio 0.9975 0.9950 0.9925 0.9900 0.9875 0.9850 0.9825 0.9800 Oct 2012 Jan 2013 Apr 2013 July 2013 Oct 2013 Jan 2014 Apr 2014 July 2014 Oct 2014 Jan 2015 Apr 2015 July 2015 Sept 2015 July 2015 Sept 2015 Figure 3b. The vast majority of fixed income ETF trading volume is conducted on the secondary market 1.0000 Secondary market ratio 0.9995 0.9990 0.9985 0.9980 0.9975 0.9970 0.9965 0.9960 Oct 2012 Jan 2013 Apr 2013 July 2013 Oct 2013 Jan 2014 Apr 2014 July 2014 Oct 2014 Jan 2015 Apr 2015 Notes: Data cover the period 1 October 2012 to 30 September 2015. The ten largest equity ETFs and bond ETFs by assets were used here as proxies. Secondary market ratio measured as secondary activity divided by the sum of primary market and secondary market activity. Primary market activity computed as daily creations or redemptions for each ETF, estimated by daily change in shares outstanding multiplied by net asset value. Primary transactions refer to those that involve trading with the fund itself. Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on daily data from Bloomberg Inc. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only 5 5 Market prices reveal valuable information about market conditions An ETF’s market price can deviate from the value of its underlying securities, revealing important information about market conditions. The creation and redemption mechanisms of ETFs generally keep the market price close to the currently observed or implied value of an ETF’s underlying securities (see the box, “Creation and redemption of ETF shares” on page 7). Any small differences between the two – known as “premiums” when the market price is greater than the value of the underlying securities and “discounts” when the market price is lower than the value of the underlying securities – are largely influenced by transaction costs in the underlying securities’ markets, time-zone differences across global markets and intraday investor supply and demand for the ETF shares. Underlying market transaction costs substantially influence the existence of premiums and discounts. What investors infer from the existence of premiums and discounts can be somewhat misleading because transaction costs are more transparent with ETFs than with traditional mutual funds. In fact, not only are such costs more transparent, but they are externalised, meaning the costs associated with trading ETFs in the market are passed along to the investor. When trading ETFs, the investor bears the cost of his or her own transaction. During times of equilibrium, markets essentially have balanced supply and demand. The premium (or even discount) would reflect various costs faced by the market maker, including those to transact in the underlying market as well as fees related to the creation or redemption of ETF shares.13 Figure 4 shows how the average premiums/discounts in ETFs tend to be a function of underlying market transaction costs. In the five categories shown, the median premium/discount, indicated in the figure by the red square, is centred around zero. However, we see that European ETFs with exposure to European stocks are, on average, subject to slightly higher levels of transaction costs compared with the other equity categories of ETFs, largely due to the European regulatory environment. For example, financial transaction taxes (FTTs) and stamp duties are commonly charged on purchases of stocks within the major European markets including Switzerland, Italy, France and the UK.14 The externalisation of such transaction costs is reflected by the relatively higher premiums on European equity ETFs than the other equity categories. Figure 4. ETF premiums/discounts are a function of transaction costs and time-zone differences Historical premium/discount distribution 1.5% Premium/Discount 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 Euro equity Euro government bonds Euro corporate bonds EM equity US equity Notes: Dataset includes all available ETFs from 1 November 2012 to 30 October 2015, in each category as defined by Morningstar. “Euro equity” represents European Region, Eurozone and European Union Morningstar categories; “Euro government bonds” represents Short, Intermediate and Long government bonds issued within Europe within the Morningstar categories; “EM Equity” represents all Emerging Market equity Morningstar categories; “US equity” and “Euro Corporate bonds” represent their respective Morningstar categories. Each box represents 5th–95th percentiles; whiskers represent 0.5%–99.5% of observations; and red squares represent the median value for each category, using daily data from Bloomberg. For an evaluation of premiums/discounts and trading volume during the 2007–2009 financial crisis, see Figures A-1 and A-2, respectively. For an evaluation of premiums/discounts and trading volume during the 2015 “Greek crisis” see Figures A-3 and A-4, respectively. Sources: Vanguard, based on data from Morningstar, Inc., and Bloomberg Inc. 13 Transaction costs could also include stamp duties or transaction taxes that are charged by some European countries. Most notably, the UK charges a 0.5% stamp duty on the purchase of any UK equity. Hong Kong also has a stamp duty of 0.5% on purchases and sales. 14 Information sourced from London Stock Exchange Group. 6 For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only Figure 4 also illustrates how the variability of the premium/discount is largely a reflection of time-zone differences between an ETF’s trading hours and the trading hours of the underlying securities, as well as the propensity of the underlying market’s transaction costs to fluctuate. In the case of time-zone differences, the effects can be seen notably with US equity and emerging market equity ETFs traded from the European region. The fluctuating levels of transaction costs can most notably be seen between corporate and government bond ETFs. Effect of time-zone differences. Most ETF NAVs – and stock-index values – are calculated using the closing prices of the underlying securities in their local markets. However, Asian markets close before the European markets, which means that the local prices of Asian stocks are stale as trading continues in European markets. In addition, North American markets do not open until midway through the European trading day, meaning that the local prices of North American stocks are stale when trading commences in European markets. Price-affecting information continues to enter the global marketplace, but does not affect the underlying stocks in an ETF portfolio with exposure to non-European stocks when the markets in which those underlying stocks trade are closed. In the meantime, ETF portfolios with exposure to non-European stocks continue to trade in Europe, and market participants set prices on these ETFs based on what the underlying stocks would likely be worth if their local markets were still open for trading. Thus, the ETF’s market price more accurately represents the value of the underlying stocks in the portfolio. Effect of transaction costs. We see greater variability with European bond ETFs relative to European equity ETFs because of the increased complexity of bond transactions. Similarly, corporate bond ETFs display higher variability than their government bond counterparts due to the increased complexity of corporate bond transactions vs. government bonds. Corporate bond ETFs are more subject to changing levels of transaction costs than government bonds due to the greater volatility in transaction costs of corporate bonds. If there is greater relative demand to buy an ETF, the ETF’s market price could rise, causing premiums to grow. The opposite is true if there is increased demand to sell an ETF. Given greater relative pressure to sell an ETF, the ETF’s market price could drop, causing premiums to fall or possibly leading to the emergence of a discount. Creation and redemption of ETF shares ETF shares are created and redeemed by an entity known as an authorised participant, or AP, typically a large broker-dealer. Each business day, the ETF publishes a “creation basket”— a list of names and quantities of securities or other assets. To create ETF shares, an AP delivers the creation basket to the ETF and receives in return a creation unit, a large block of ETF shares. Under certain circumstances, the AP may provide cash in lieu of some or all of the securities, along with a transaction fee to offset the cost to the ETF of acquiring them. Upon receiving the ETF shares, the AP may sell some or all of them in the secondary market. A creation unit is liquidated when an AP returns the specified number of shares to the ETF in exchange for the “redemption basket” (generally comprising the same list of securities as the creation basket). If the AP receives cash in lieu of securities, the AP typically pays a transaction fee to offset the cost to the ETF of liquidating the securities. The creation and redemption mechanisms help ETF shares trade at a price close to the market value of their underlying assets. When rising demand for the shares causes them to trade at a higher price (i.e., at a premium), the AP may find it profitable to create shares by buying the underlying securities, exchanging them for ETF shares and then selling those shares into the market. Similarly, when falling demand for the ETF shares causes them to trade at a lower price (i.e., at a discount), an AP may buy shares in the secondary market and redeem them to the ETF in exchange for the underlying securities. These actions by APs, commonly described as “arbitrage activities”, help keep the market-determined price of an ETF’s shares close to the market value of the underlying assets. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only 7 7 During times of lower liquidity in the underlying markets, these premiums or discounts could expand. However, if the size of the premium or discount were to exceed the heightened transaction costs of the underlying market, market makers and authorised participants would have an incentive to engage in the creation or redemption of new shares. It’s important to be aware that even though the level of the premium or discount can vary, the ETF’s bidask spread itself can still remain tight. In fact, the bond ETF bid-ask spread is often tighter than the spread on the underlying bonds, because the ETF consolidates the many different bonds in the underlying strategy into a standardised, tradable unit, concentrating liquidity. As previously mentioned, this liquidity in the shares of the bond ETF adds to the liquidity of the underlying bond market, since market participants can buy and sell bond market exposure by trading solely in the shares of the ETF. When analysing premiums and discounts, it’s critical to note that a MF portfolio manager trying to buy or sell the same basket of securities as those found in an ETF may also be facing the same transaction costs. However, MF investors do not see those costs in real time; rather, the costs are captured as part of the fund’s NAV. In addition, investors trying to trade individual bonds in smaller quantities would likely face even higher transaction costs—especially in the non-government sectors of the bond market (see Bennyhoff, Donaldson and Tolani, 2012). That is why premiums and discounts in ETFs – especially bond ETFs – are largely a reflection of the externalisation of transaction costs. 8 In summary, the divergence of market price from net asset value among international equity and bond ETFs is a natural outcome of the relationship between an ETF and its underlying securities. This serves to reveal valuable information about market conditions (as investors trade at mutually agreed-upon prices). There are times when market conditions result in larger deviations between current and stale security pricing or in higher transaction costs. Conclusion ETFs offer an attractive and efficient way for investors to implement an investment strategy. ETFs’ broad acceptance in the market can be tied to their fundamentally similar characteristics with MFs, including their organisational structure, their strict regulatory framework and, for many ETFs, their indexbased nature. As a result, investors have used ETFs and MFs for similar purposes. ETFs also possess important features stemming from the method by which investors transact in fund shares. Notably, secondary markets serve as an additional source of intraday liquidity for investors. Moreover, ETF market prices reveal valuable information about market conditions, including the level of transaction costs in the underlying markets and, with respect to international equity ETFs, a more current value of that ETF’s underlying securities. This means that the trading of ETFs represents an on-exchange source of liquidity at a mutually agreed-upon price between market participants. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only References Bennyhoff, Donald G., Scott J. Donaldson, and Ravi Tolani, 2012. A Topic of Current Interest: Bonds or Bond Funds? Valley Forge, Pa.: The Vanguard Group. European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). MIFID (II) and MIFIR https://www.esma.europa.eu/policy-rules/mifid-ii-and-mifir London Stock Exchange Group. Financial Transaction Tax (FTT), What is Financial Transaction Tax? http://www.lseg.com/markets-products-and-services/ post-trade-services/unavista/regulation/financialtransaction-tax-ftt Central Bank of Ireland. Introduction to Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS) https://www.centralbank.ie/regulation/industry-sectors/ funds/ucits/Pages/default.aspx Investment Company Institute, Washington, D.C. 2015. 2015 Investment Company Fact Book: A Review of Trends and Activities in the U.S. Investment Company Industry, 55th ed. http://www.icifactbook.org/fb_ch3.html Kinniry, Francis M., Jr., Donald G. Bennyhoff, and Yan Zilbering, 2013. Costs Matter: Are Fund Investors Voting With Their Feet? Valley Forge, Pa.: The Vanguard Group. Westaway, Peter, Todd Schlanger, and Savas Kesidis, 2015. The Case for Index Fund Investing for UK investors. Valley Forge, Pa.: The Vanguard Group. Central Bank of Ireland. Statutory Instruments. S.I. No. 420 of 2015. Central Bank (Supervision and Enforcement) Act 2013, (Section 48(1)) (Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities) Regulations 2015. https://www.centralbank.ie/regulation/industry-sectors/ funds/ucits/Documents/151005-Final%20UCITS%20 CBI%20Regs%20searchable-%20rhd.pdf Noel Amenc, Felix Goltz, Veronique Le Sourd, Ashish Lodh, Sivagaminathan Sivasubramanian. The EDHEC European ETF Survey 2015, February 2016. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only 9 9 Appendix. Premiums/discounts and trading volume of ETFs during the 2007 – 2009 global financial crisis and the ‘Greek crisis’ of May – August 2015 Figure A-1 measures premiums/discounts across five ETF categories, specifically during the global financial crisis of 2007–2009. The relationships between the average and variability of premiums/discounts and the fund category are shown to be similar to findings displayed earlier in Figure 4: the median premium/discount rises in accordance with the liquidity characteristics of the underlying markets. Also, the relative variability of premiums/discounts across the five categories is similar to that in Figure 4 (though each category exhibits greater variability when compared to itself). There are more extreme levels of discount observations in Figure A-1’s earlier time period, highlighting the difficult conditions at this time.15 Figure A-1. ETF premium/discount relationships during 2007–2009 financial crisis were similar to those in Figure 4 Global financial crisis 5% 4 Premium/Discount 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 Euro equity Euro government bonds Euro corporate bonds EM equity US equity Notes: Dataset includes all available ETFs in each category as defined by Morningstar (see notes to Figure 4 for fund representation by category) during the global financial crisis, defined here as the period 1 October 2007 to 31 March 2009. Each blue box represents 5th–95th percentiles; whiskers represent 0.5%–99.5% of observations; red squares represent the median value for each category. Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Morningstar, Inc. and Bloomberg Inc. Daily trading voilume (millions) Figure A-2. Bond ETF trading volume remained robust on ‘discount days’ during 2007–2009 financial crisis 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 Figure A-2 compares the total daily trading volume of bond ETFs on all days during the 2007 – 2009 global financial crisis with those days during the defined period on which they traded at a discount. Despite the challenging bond market conditions, market participants were able to use ETFs to transact in these asset classes at a mutually agreed-upon price. 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 0 Government fixed income Total volume Corporate fixed income Total discount volume Notes: Dataset includes all available ETFs in each category as defined by Morningstar (see notes to Figure 4 for fund representation by category) during the global financial crisis, defined here as the period 1 October 2007 to 31 March 2009. Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Morningstar, Inc. and Bloomberg Inc. 15 Given the relatively immature nature of the ETF market within Europe during this time frame we potentially see larger than expected discounts reached. 10 For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only Figures A-3 and A-4 mirror the analysis performed in Figures A-1 and A-2, but instead using the time period of May through to the end of August 2015, known as the “Greek crisis,” when Greece asked the IMF to postpone a repayment on its loans, all Greeks Banks were shut, cash liquidity measures were put in place and the Greek stock exchange was temporarily closed. In Figure A-3 the relationships between the median and variability of premiums/discounts and the fund category are again similar to our earlier findings in Figure 4. In particular, as this period most directly affected emerging markets, the figure shows that the most extreme premium/discount observations were with the EM equity category, where deviations of around 1% were recorded; all other categories traded within their historic levels similar to those seen in Figure 4. Figure A-4 shows that, notwithstanding the challenging market environment, participants transacted in greater amounts on discount days. Figure A-3. ETF premium/discount relationships during ‘Greek crisis’: May–Aug 2015 Greek crisis 2% Premi um/D i scount 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2 Euro equity Euro government bonds Euro corporate bonds EM equity US equity Notes: Dataset includes all available ETFs in each category as defined by Morningstar (see notes to Figure 4 for fund representation by category) during the Greek crisis, defined here as the period 1 May 2015 to 31 August 2015. Each blue box represents 5th–95th percentiles; whiskers represent 0.5%–99.5% of observations; red squares represent the median value for each category. Daily trading volume (millions) Figure A-4. Equity ETF trading volume remained robust on discount days during the ‘Greek crisis’: May–Aug 2015 4,000 400 3,500 350 3,000 300 2,500 250 2,000 200 1,500 150 1,000 50050 0 Euro equity Total volume EM equity Total discount volume Notes: Dataset includes all available ETFs from May 2015 to August 2015 in each category as defined by Morningstar (see notes to Figure 4 for specific fund representation by category). Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Morningstar, Inc. and Bloomberg Inc. For Professional Investors as defined under the MiFID Directive only 11 11 Connect with Vanguard® > vanguard.co.uk > Adviser support > 0800 917 5508 > Institutional Team> 0800 917 5508 Important information This document is directed at professional investors only as defined under the MiFID Directive. Not for Public Distribution. The information in this document is general in nature and does not constitute legal, tax, or investment advice. Potential investors are urged to consult their professional advisers on the implications of making an investment in, holding or disposing of units/shares of, and the receipt of distribution from any investment. The value of investments, and the income from them, may fall or rise and investors may get back less than they invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Issued by Vanguard Asset Management, Limited which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. © 2016 Vanguard Asset Management, Limited. All rights reserved. VAM-2016-03-07-3389
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