UEA MSC DISSERTATION Identifying and quantifying long-term agricultural carbon storage in the UK A case study on the Waitrose Farm at Leckford Estate Bryony Ecclestone MSc, Environmental Management and Assessment (2011-2012) Table of Contents Table of Contents .................................................. 2 Dedication .......................................................... 4 Glossary ............................................................ 5 UNFCCC- United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. A treaty with the aim of stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions. .......................................................... 5 Abstract ............................................................. 5 Issue ................................................................... Case study ............................................................ Results ................................................................ Analysis ............................................................... 6 6 6 7 Identifying and quantifying long -term agricultural carbon storage in the UK .................................................. 9 1. Introduction ..................................................... 9 1.1 Statement of problem ............................................ 9 1.2 Intr oduction to climate change ............................... 10 1.2.1 Greenhouse gases ................................................ 11 1.2.2 What is being done .............................................. 12 1.3 The need for im pr oved car bon storage ....................... 14 1.4 CASE STUDY: Background to Leckford Estate. ............. 17 1.5 Idea of pr oject an d purpose of study ......................... 19 1.6 Significance of the study to the field ........................ 20 2. Aims and Obj ectives .......................................... 21 2.1 Aims .............................................................. 21 2.2 Objectives ....................................................... 21 3. Literature Review ............................................. 22 3.1 The growing problem of Climate Change .................... 3.2 Agricultural Carbon Storage an d sequestrations (CCS) .... 3.3 Carbon Sequestration in Trees ................................ 3.3.1 Methods for measuring carbon sequestration in trees, ... 3.4 Soil Carbon Storage ............................................ 3.4.1 Methods for measuring soil carbon ........................... 22 25 27 31 35 43 4. Methods ......................................................... 45 4.1 Initial investigation of site. .................................. 4.2 Woodland Sampling Materials and Methods ................. 4.2.1 Study area ......................................................... 4.2.2 Sampling design and data collection ......................... 4.2.3 Woodland Biomass Calculation ............................... 4.2.4 Measurement validity + reliability ........................... 45 46 46 46 47 49 2 4.2.5 Data collection ................................................... 4.2.6 Data analysis ...................................................... 4.3 Soil Sampling Materials and Methods ........................ 4.3.1 Study area ......................................................... 4.3.2 Sampling Design and Data collection ........................ 4.3.3 Sampling methods ................................................ 4.3.4 Data collection and procedures ............................... 4.3.5 Data Analysis ..................................................... 49 49 50 50 51 52 52 53 5. Results .......................................................... 54 5.1 Woodland Results ............................................... 54 5.2 Soil Results ..................................................... 58 6. Discussion ...................................................... 62 6.1 Analysis of results .............................................. 62 6.1.1 Woodlands ......................................................... 62 6.2 Soils .............................................................. 65 6.3 Analysis of investigation methods ............................ 71 6.4 Limitations ...................................................... 72 6.5 Recommen dations for future research an d ongoing pr ojects ........................................................................ 73 7. Conclusion ..................................................... 74 8. References ...................................................... 74 9. Appendix ....................................................... 80 Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix 1 ........................................................... 2 ........................................................... 3 ........................................................... 4 ........................................................... 5 ........................................................... 6 ........................................................... 7 ........................................................... 8. .......................................................... 80 81 81 82 83 84 86 87 3 Dedication I could not have completed this project with out the help and guidance of so many people, a few of whom I would like to thank here. Firstly, Jane Powell has always had time to answer my questions on all topics, responded to my emails with more information than I could have hoped for and generally left me at the end of our meetings with a smile. Secondly, Jim Robinson and all those at Leckford Estate who took time out of their schedules to guide me around, help me with my investigations and show me what a beautiful site it really is. My family and the Chapmans have given me so much of their time, thoughts, help and always cheered me up. Finally, my biggest thanks go to Daniel. For bringing me tea when I could no longer think straight and giving up a whole week of his time to sample trees, get chased by bees and stung by nettles. Then reading through the work again to check what parts I had forgotten. Thank you. 4 Glossary Biosequestration (of carbon). Biological storage of carbon in natural materials such as trees, soil, rocks or bodies of water. CC- Climate Change. The effect of increasing greenhouse gases i s causing changes in the global climate. CFCs. Chlorofluorocarbons. Organic compounds which contribute to the greenhouse effect. C storage- Carbon Storage. Storage of carbon, either naturally or by made-made operations. GHG- Greenhouse Gas. Any gas, natural or synthetic, which contributes to the insulative effect of the atmosphere. Includes carbon dioxide, methane and water vapor. Greenhouse Effect- The effect of increasing greenhouse gases present in the atmosphere, changing climates and temperatures worldwide. FAO- Food and Agriculture organization of the United Nations. Global body in place to promote sustainable methods for food production. FC- Forestry Commission. A UK government body dedicated to protection of forests and their expansion. HLS scheme - Higher Level Stewardship scheme . supported by Natural England aimed at delivering ecological and biological benefits to areas deemed significant. KP- Kyoto Protocol. A Protocol to the UNFCCC dedicated to fighting climate change. Sequestration (of carbon)- Storage of carbon by a number of means . SOM- Soil organic Matter. Organic matter contained within soils. SOC,- Soil organic carbon. Carbon contained within soil organic matter. IPCC- Intergovernmental on Climate Change. Set up at the request of member bodies, a panel dedicated to examining the scientific evidence for climate change and conveying the perceived risk to all bodies UNFCCC- United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. A treaty with the aim of stabilizing greenhouse gas emissions. Abstract 5 Issue Due to the rising pressure of climate c hange awareness and public opinion, this investigation examines the potential capacity for woodland and soil in the United Kingdom to store excess carbon dioxode and methods by which this could be quantified. Carbon storage has been identified in holding a key role in reducing net carbon emissions, following recent rapid increases in anthropogenic outputs. Leckford Estate was used as a case study for identifying long-term biological carbon sinks and models that allow easy quantification of the carbon stored within each area. Case study After visiting the site, these long-term carbon stores were identified as areas of designated woodland and the varied types of soil. These were examined and analysed to understand the current volumes of carbon being stored, then modeled to produce figures for potential future storage of carbon, given different management practices and methods. The investigation examines the most suitable method to efficiently calculate carbon storage by biosequestration, in order to produce total figures given constraints on time and data that farmers have. Management plans for the site were suggested from these results, allowing transferability and implementation of the conclusions. Results Calculations showed that there was a wide variation in the amount of carbon being stored on the site, with differences predominantly due to land use. Differences between conditions and species examined in woodland across the site is wide, and an individual calculation of the C-storage of each site provided a more accurate picture than general farm carbon calculators. Another factor that 6 examined was the highly varied condition of the soil, and therefore the organic content contained differences in carbon storage low levels of within. This showed great as agricultural soils demonstrated soil organic carbon present, whilst wetland soils contained levels around three times higher . The current carbon storage in the woodland areas (area 81.4 ha) was calculated at 224 tonnes of carbon (tC) added in 2012, 10,735tC in total with the potential to reach 11,742.54tC in 10 years following best practices, and 11,474.01 tonnes following current practices without additional management, a difference of nearly 270 tonnes. Current soil carbon storage was estimated only for the woodland, arable, orchard and specific peaty areas identi fied. The current arable storage is 155tCha-1 in topsoils and 107tCha-1 in the subsoils. This is in comparison to the higher levels of 293tCha -1 and 275tCha-1 for conifererous woodlands. The potential arable subsoils could reach a level of 127tCha -1 in 10 years and 157tCha1 in 50 years with improved practices, but this comes at decreasing rates over time and would need active management in comp arison to the woodlands, which could store increased carbon without further management or inputs. Analysis This is a quickly developing field but it is highly complex due to the nature of woodlands and soil carbon composition and there is much conflict between the research progressing this field as to which is a more valuable store. Some researchers are of the opinion that biosequestration remains a valid option to continue to combat climate change (Grace, 2004; Milne 2000). Others (Hester and Harrison, 2010; Lehmann et al, 2006) believe that although there is the potential for improved storage, actual rates that could occur in the UK are minimal and other avenues must be explored to assist with the reduction of GHG emissions . There are also other areas of sequestration study to develop, such as Biochar, in order 7 to achieve the rapid carbon sequestration needed to combat the climatic changes resulting from GHG emissions. This study believes that, due to the degraded nature of some of the woodlands and arable soils investigated, there is great potential locally and globally to increase terrestrial carbon sinks , provided careful management plans and advice are provided . Soil carbon levels can be increased by around 2.1Tha-1 (tonnes per hectare) each year with minimal disruption to farming practices. Higher values of 12Tha-1 each year are possible but this is to the detriment of current agricultural production, which is key to the UK due to the dense conflict population between and reducing land carbon constrictions. emissions This by results producing in local food, versus increasing local soil carbon and importing food. The woodlands on the site again showed potential for increased carbon storage, given preserve the limited appropriate onsite options management biodiversity available for and some and investment, aesthetic areas, values such as but there the to are highly maintained Parkland and Water Garden sites. 8 Identifying and quantify ing long -term agricultural carbon storage in the UK 1. Introduction 1.1 Statement of problem Climate change, sometimes falsely named ‘Global Warming’, is the theory commonly understood to be driving the rapid alteration observed in global climate patterns. Whilst warming associated with the greenhouse effect is expected to take place in many areas, there are other predicted to where cause the climatic localised cooling, changes are uncertain hence the term but ‘Climate Change’. Average global temperatures increased at nearly twice the rate in the last 50 years, compared to that over the last 100. The 20th century saw global temperatures increase by around 0.7 4C, with land temperatures increasing more rapidly than ocean temperatures (UN, 2012). These changes led the IPCC to conclude with 90% certainty, that these changes were the result of climate change. (IPCC, 2007) In the last 50 years recorded atmospheric CO2 (carbon dioxide) levels have volume been released, rapidly mostly increasing. from This is both anthropogenic in terms sources, of and concentrations in the atmosphere. Current levels were recorded as 395ppm (parts per million) at the Mauna Loa observatory in June 2012 (ERSL, 2012) increased from 278 ppm before the industrial movement of 1750 (UN, 2012). Many correlative increases in global temperature and instances of extreme weather conditions have used to confirm these climatic changes as well as smaller climatic changes, which affect many ecosystems. For example, summer 2012 in the UK has so far the wettest on record with biodiversity impacts such as Brownsea Island being flooded in their nests Puffins on and having devastating effects on populations (BBC, 2012). 9 1.2 Introduction to climate change Climate change is a hotly debated process currently severely affecting our environment and recognised as ‘one of the biggest threats faced by today’s society’ (OECD 2002). Whilst there is still much debate over its effects, or even its existence, amongst the general public, the common view of many scientific communities (DEFRA 2007, IPCC 2007, UNFCC 2010) is that the anthropogenic 2012, Hester and Harrison, carbon emissions and other Greenhouse Gases (GHG’s) are having a severely harmful effect on the environment. This paper takes that view. There have historically been extreme climatic changes which have caused events such as Ice Ages, but it the rate at which these current changes are occurring that is causing concern. The fourth IPCC report (2007) concluded that in the 8000 years before 1750 the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere increased from 260 to 280ppm, and increase of 20 ppm. Over the subsequent 260 years the concentration increased by over 100ppm, a rate of increase 154 times faster. 10 1.1; Figure Keeling’s recordings of atmospheric CO2 concentrations between 1957 (320ppm) and 2000 (372ppm). Levels have since risen to 397ppm in 2012. ( taken from Fitton 2011) All previous shifts in CO2 concentration have corresponded to significant environmental and climatic shifts. Levels this high have not been present for millions of years and there are concerns that few organisms that have the ability to withstand further rapid changes. These figures have resulted in an increase in the number of investigations examining this field . The current aim is to stabilize levels at 450ppm, whilst currently rising at 2ppm each year, this level is expecte d to be breached in less than 30 years (Hester and Harrison, 2010) 1.2.1 Greenhouse gases Whilst CO2 levels are the most commonly mentioned in the media and often in publicised investigations and mitigation strategies, gases such as methane or sulphur dioxide have a significantly more insulative effect in the atmosphere than CO2. Human activities have increased the release of the volumes of other gases including by having more animals for meat or dairy produce has significantly increased the volume of methane released to the atmosphere (Chapman, 2009). However, the larger total volume and thereby overall effect of CO2 released each year is contributing more to the greenhouse effect than these other gases. Figure 1.2 shows both increase in GHG concentrations in recent history and that CO2 concentration is much higher than other GHG s, being measured in parts per million rather than parts per billion. The figure shows historically fluctuating rates, but emphasises that the rate of change is that concerning scientists. This is why it is often the main focus for reducing climate change impacts. 11 Figure 1.2: Ice core data showing historic GHG levels. (IPCC, 2007a). Carbon Dioxide is the major contributor to GHG emissions, making up 86% of global emissions (DEFRA, 2006). The release of CO2 is part of the carbon cycle, which can take place on many levels, over minutes or over thousands of years. This balance is being altered by human practices such as deforestation and burnin g fossil fuels, preventing long-term storage of carbon and releaseing large amounts of CO2. 1.2.2 What is being done The Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Conventi on on Climate Change, adopted in 1997 and becoming legally binding in 2005, was designed for 128 committed parties to work together towards stabisiling atmospheric GHG. The aim is to achieve this by both reducing atmosphere by total emissions, enhancing carbon and removing capture and CO2 storage from the methods (IPCC, 2007) 12 Figure 1.3: The carbon cycle, showing how human activities affect the balance. (Scottish Centre for Carbon Storage 2012) In the wider environment, carbon is cycled over various timescales with both short-term such as those in detritus and deciduous leaves on trees, and others long-term such as coal or other fossil fuels. As increasing amounts of fossil fuels are used for energy production, the overall volume of carbon being stored in these reserves is depleted. The resulting emissions in the atmosphere lead to the climatic changes being observed (Figure 1.3). The current global dependence on fossil fuels is being addressed with much focus on renewable energy sources, but it has faced numerous obstacles, including global recession and lack of funding for affordable technology (OECD, 2009). This study investigates carbon capture and storage (CCS) on a small scale in the UK with a case study on Leckford Estates, n ear 13 Southampton (51:07:60N, 01:28:02W). The cycling of carbon on a farm limits that part of the carbon cycle being examined (Figure 1.4). Figure 1.4. In an agricultural carbon cycle, the release of CO2 is proportionally lower as there is more production of methane and nitrous oxide. (Farming Future 2012) The need for improved carbon storage Reduction of government, carbon business emissions and has individual been agendas the for top a of many significant period of time due to international action and increasing public awareness and pressures. Whilst it remains a top priority, these changes potential are considered impacts of insufficient climate by change. scientists to reduce Modeled predictions the of 14 climatic changes suggest there is still going to be an increase in average global temperatures even if global emissions cease overnight, due to the lag effect (Blasing, 2009; Letiman, 2006). Figure 1.5: A number of scenarios dependent on future emissions values from 2008. (IPCC 2007a) Carbon dioxide is one of the ‘easiest’ gases to tackle due to its large volume and easily identifiable sources. Strategies such as energy saving light bulbs and electric cars ar e marking movements towards combatting already occurred emission such as levels. reducing Other GHG CFCs in changes have aerosols and refrigerators, though other gases are harder to reduce or remove entirely. For example, one of the GHGs produced on Leckford is methane, from the onsite dairy herd. There is the ongoing demand for milk and there are very limited ways in which emissions can be reduced without harming the production of the herd. Other methods of reducing the net effect of the site ’s contribution to climate change are therefore being examined. These include initiatives such as using wind and solar energy to power chicken barns and recycling of manure to retain nutrients and organic material in the soil. 15 Whilst these practices are still to be encouraged, and is the main priority of initiatives, there is another option to be explored . To attempt to emissions compensate there is for the potential reported to increase deficit the in reduction carbon storage of in biological features of the environment. Carbon is naturally stored by biological material and plants will take in carbon dioxide and store the carbon as part of their structure. Some of these areas have huge potential such as the sea, woodlands and soil, mostly due to the huge volume of the planet th at they occupy (Rackley, 2010). By manipulating or encouraging CO2 uptake by plants, there is the potential to further reduce the total volume of emissions reaching the stratosphere after being released in our lower atmosphere. This would add to current efforts to reduce carbon emissions. As set out in the aims of the Kyoto Protocol forests are identified as a significant target for CCS. These biological carbon sinks should be afforested, reforested and rates of deforestation reduced in order for committed parties to met their reduction aim to (Rackley, increase 2010). the targets Afforestation volume of for and woodland carbon emission reforestation available be both either increasing the area, or improving the current areas of woodland respectively. A sink provides a source of storage for carbon where it is held for a period of time, temporarily or semi -permanently removing it from the carbon cycle. Due to this initiative by the Conference of the Parties; Kyoto Protocol, improvements to forest, expansion of forests and soil carbon levels have all been recognised as legitimate climate policy measures , as part of the global strategy to combat climate change. Methods are being explored for agriculturally based sequestration of carbon in sinks, focued currently on examining the potential of soils and woodland holding carbon inactively for extended periods of time, some using artificial products such as BioChar (Ahmed et al., 2011). Biochar is not considered in this investigation beyond being a developing method for storing carbon in the soil. It renders 16 carbon into an inert form and can increase the topsoil storage of carbon from 100 to 250tCha-1(Lehmann, 2006). Around 50% of this carbon remains in the soils after 5 years compared to 10% retention by the addition of plant material , which decomposes more easily (Lal, 2008). The potential benefits of increasing soil carbon come at comparatively low financial cost, making management plans for agronomic improvement and nutrient management very promising options because of their impact on overall N2O and CO2 emissions (Fitton et al, 2011). Conservation plans have given the theory much more appeal, as record levels of sequestration occurred in 1993, coinciding with the introduction of set-aside (Naylor, 2012). Set aside is the practice leaving a margin out of cultivation at the edge of each agricultural field to increase habitats for many farmya rd birds and wildlife corridors (Bell et al, 2011). The importance of careful management potential of of agricultural practices and shows the developing biosequestration if implemented and understood correctly is highlighted. This supports conclusions that manure application, informed use of fertilisers and adoption of scheduled crop rotations benefits agronomic outputs whilst also enhancing the soil organic carbon pool (SOC) (Sparkes, 2005). Manure, unlike chemical fertilisers, enhances SOC due to the additional input of carbon. It also leads to improvement in soil quality and improvements in aggregation and structure, improving the overall health of the soil and its ability to hold organic material and carbon. Adoption of no-till on-farm conditions has led to similar sequestration rates to research plots in accordance with Fittons model of sequestration potential. (Jarecki et al, 2005; Fitton et al, 2011) 1.3 CASE STUDY: Background to Leckford Estate. Leckford Estate, near Stockbridge was purchased in 1928 and designated as an experimental farm for the production of products for Waitrose. Leckford Estate currently report their total carbon 17 emissions to companies Waitrose total as net part of emissions a scheme and to identify summarise problem the areas. Businesses are currently aiming to curtail the recent exponential increase of CO2 emissions and mitigate them. Leckford currently generates around 2% of the company’s carbon footprint , and aims to reduce their net volume of GHGs. The gases emitted are recorded as carbon equivalents, showing the proportional effect each action activities. is The having major on the output total is the outcome dairy of farm, the farming from methane production by cattle and an additional major contribution is made by the addition of synthetic fertilisers, m ostly occurring between Feburary and May. The total tCO2e tonnes of CO2 equivalent is 7705 for Leckford Estate in 2011 -2012, with 32% of this coming from the dairy hard and another 23.2 being produced by urea provides this sulphate. The estate is an extensive mixed farm and investigation with the perfect location for a case study to identify major areas where carbon storage is currently occurring, and areas where these figures could be increased . This study aims to examine the current purchased storage and of used carbon as an on this site, experimental as it project was initially to promote environmentally friendly practices and explore new methods and technologies and enhance the understanding behind many agricultural practices. There are currently a number of schemes taking place on Leckford Estates to attempt to reduce to overall carbon footprint of the site, as required by the Waitrose business plan and inkeep ing with their ‘green’ image. Some of these include;; reusing dairy and chicken waste as manure on the fields, along with any green waste from mowing lawns, pruning trees of removing weeds from the parkland. The site currently undertakes such measures as recycling, increased use of renewable energy and composting organic waste left over from growing mushrooms to improve its sustainability (Sparkes 2005, Moral 2009). 18 Currently pressure is increasing from governments and wider business plan initiatives are becoming available. Due to pressures on increased corporate responsibility Waitrose have produced their own green business plan to address their GHG emissions (Waitrose 2012). Supermarkets currently face a very competitive industry where the public expect low prices for food, yet also responsible actions in their production (Seyfang 2009, Jackson 2006). Waitrose need an affordable way to carry out positive actions for the environment and have already gained LEAF and Soil Association accreditation. 1.4 Idea of project and purpose of study Biosequestration was chosen as the focus for the investigation as the site has many pockets of woodland and vast areas of hedgerow and undergrowth. Due to the nature of the site, and inkeeping with its image of forward thinking and experimentation, areas w here vegetation was (biosequestration) actively were to uptaking be and sequestering investigated , and allow carbon a more balanced idea of the net carbon footprint of the site. The estate’s carbon footprint was modeled in 2010 , showing current emissions of 389,969tCO2e in 2011-2012, increased from 2010-2011 figures of 386,082. This shows that is is vital for Waitrose to cut their emissions and enahance carbon stores anyway possible. Areas of carbon sequestration on the site were to be identified and any potential to increase these values were to be examined and suggested as appropriate. Waitrose aim to double the size of their business by 2020, however they intend to do this whilst reducing the overall CO2 footprint of the company by 15%, compared to the 2010 baseline. This investigation aims to identify areas where the company can aim to meet these targets on Leckford Estates by changing practices and increasing the volume of carbon stored on their land. 19 1.5 Significance of the study to the field There is growing recognition for the role that this resource could contribute, as a significant quantity of soil carbon and woodland storage were lost previously due to a spread of intensive farming. Currently there is less of a need to retain good quality soil as fertilisers became more readily available. Now climate change implications as well as biological and ecological implications are becoming more Environmental and more prominent Stewardship Program with projects quantifying such these as the resources and making reccomendations by which they can improved (Carmela et al, 2011; Zhang 2007; et al, Aluaro-Fuentes, 2012). This is particularly important for the future by increasing food production sustainability in the attempt to provide for exponential rises i n population. If the results of this field of reasearch became more accessible to farmers and business owned it could provide a reference point by which they would be able to understand and implement carbon sequestration measures. As discussed later in the literature review, this study was difficult to undertake as the existing resources are not available to simply input the figures into a model for something of this scale. There are a range of detailled models that enable the estimation of the carbon footprint of a tree or entire forest. However, estimating small areas of mixed woodland is, as yet, something not considered as a significant area for research. Whilst each woodland contributes a comparatively small volume of carbon, by optimising this storage huge global changes could occur. A blanket calculation was considered to summarise the sites CCS but this was determined to be insufficient due to the great differences in management and nature of existing models, as discussed later. Woodlands and soil can contribute huge volumes of carbon storage in the mid-term and long-term and are an invaluable resource in the current battle against climate change. Specific areas of 20 woodland on the site are to be assessed for current carbon storage potential, and management plans tailored where appropriate. The soil in particular is an area of interest for future study, having been depleted of natural organic content . By increasing the soil carbon storage, the need for fertilisers should decrease, also decreasing the net carbon footprint as inputs are reduced. There are many complex aspects to the carbon storage cycle and the modelling of this in trees and soil is even more so , this study attempts to simplify them to a manageable form to be understood by a wider audience allowing relevant departments at Waitrose to form a management plan. There are some aspects currently not considered in the model such as the cycling of dead wood, which could be considered in the future and have large potential in the full net carbon exchange but have beened deemed beyond the scope of this investigation due to time and resource constraints. 2. Aims and Objectives 2.1 Aims Identify sites of carbon sequestrations on Leckford Estate. Compare sequestration to emi ssions Give a figure for each woodland in terms of carbon storage undertaken. Construct a carbon storage map of the site with current storage levels, predicted levels without alterations and with changes to improve carbon storage. Identify areas where practices and processes can feasibly be altered to improve the carbon sequestration of the site . These could be applied to other sites, expanding the relevance of the project and forming the backbone of a management plan aimed at climate change mitigation. 2. 2 Obj ecti ves Design a method by which the carbon storage could be quantified and compared across the different woodland sites. 21 Construct a model allowing the effectiveness of carbon sinks to be evaluated and quantified, examining outputs associated wi th practices and predicted improvements to C storage. Construct a GIS map to visually inform stakeholders of potential areas that can hold more carbon to accompany the resulting values calculated. 3. Literature Review The growing problem of Climate Chang e Despite many organisational, governmental and individual best efforts, there is a continual increase in GHG concentration the atmosphere due to human activities. Levels have increased from 260ppm before 1750 to 297ppm in 2012 (ESRL, 2012), despite increasing awareness occurring since the 1970 s. Figures 3.1 and 3.2 show how total volumes in the UK and EU of GHGs ha ve decreased from 1990, but the increasing emissions of developing countries have lead to further increases.The insulative properties of these molecules cause heat entering the atmosphere to become trapped in the air, hence the common term of ‘global warming’. This term is slightly misleading with ‘Climate Change’ being a more accurate term. 600,000 Volume of UK GHG emissions 1990-2010 Gg CO2 equivalent 500,000 400,000 300,000 1990 Volume 200,000 2010 Volume 100,000 0 CO2 CH4 N2O Greenhouse Gas Others Figure 3.1: A comparison of GHGs released in 1990 and 2010 22 Figure 3.2: Composition of data showing CO2 being the dominant gas produced by all countries and the EU when combined. (UNFCCC, 2012) Climate is understood to be around a 30 year average of weather conditions of an area, and weather is that is occurring over a much shorter period (Favier, 2012). The changing of the climate due to substantial and long term differing wind patterns, rainfall levels and average compared to temperature 1980s are averages already and being have seen adverse to be effects present on both people and the wider environment (IPCC, 2007, Naylor 2012). 2012 has so far been the wettest UK summer on record and indicates future climatic shifts. For example, a number of high altitude butterfly species in Britain are observed to have moved north by an average of around 6.6km and fish species are changing their depths of breeding and occupation by between 50m-200m which can have severe effects on population patterns and survival rates of young (Bush, 2012). Climate change will also have wide reaching effects on many species that have become specialised to a niche habitat. These niche species may be reliant upon the plant life found there, which may alter it’s own habitat boundaries in a different direction as certain areas of the planet will warm faster than others. If a species cannot adapt quickly enough or move with that which it relies upon to survive, it will become extinct. There are many vulnerable species at risk of extinction due to their niche hab itats, small numbers and limited ranges including plants which have 23 much more limited ranges than animals . Loss of these species have great implications potentially for future undiscovered, biodiversity keystone as ecological well as services many, (Naylor 2012). Biodiversity is difficult to value in monetary equivalents and the changes in composition that the environment will see may have many unforeseen and potentially devastating consequences. Irreplaceable habitats may be lost and vital ecosystem serv ices such as the water cycle may be disrupted. Climate change is estimated to have severe effects on humans for numerous reason including food production and water availability, and Waitrose is one of the many food providers concerned as to the effects and attempting to counteract them. Volume of emissions of different GHG's in the UK, 2010 2% CO2 CH4 N2O Others 9% 12% 77% Figure 3.3: Volumes of UK 2010 emissions, showing CO2 as the predominant gas. (UNFCCC, 2012) Governments are required to reduce the outputs of greenhouse gases, which contribute to heat retention in the atmosphere. Many projects, plans and policies have been put into place to attempt to combat these effects and slow the rate at which they are occurring (Seyfang, 2009). The Kyoto Protocol identified key emissions to be tackled by each ratifier but many have chosen to focus on CO2 as a main contributing factor because a reduction in carbon emissions 24 can lead to beneficial knock-on effects such as a reduction in other gases. These pressures on government s, combined with increasing public awareness of environmental issues, ar e affecting proposed developments of many businesses, in terms of their future practices and areas of growth. There are more environmental guidelines regarding mitigation measures that can , or must, be used to reduce environmental impacts. Many of these fo cus on climate change, following the recommendations by bodies including the IPCC (2007) and advice formed in the Kyoto Protocol (1997). There is also increased pressure from groups such as Greenpeace, and public opinion is changing to a ‘greener mindset’ with more being expected from companies’ contributions to tackling climate and sustainability issues (Seyfang 2009, Jackson 2006). These actions are expected to be immediate and many businesses are publishing ways by which they aim to reduce their carbon f ootprint or foodmiles, such as Marks and Spencer’s ‘Plan A’ and Sainsbury’s aim for sustainable fish stocks in 2010. Waitrose have had strong focus on increasing the efficiency of their stores and have changed their method of refrigeration to reduce the overall GHG emissions of their stores and now aim to tackle other areas (JLP Corporate Responsibility Report 2010). 3.2 Agricultural Carbon Storage and sequestrations (CCS) The 2011 DEFRA report into agricultural em issions concluded that nitrous oxide (NO2) and methane (CH4) were the main contributors of GHG emissions from UK agriculture. The main cause of agricultural nitrous oxide emissions is from synthetic fertilisers added to arable soil, and methane emissions result from animal digestion and manures. All carbon dioxide is deemed to result from fossil fuel consumption for energy uses (UNFCCC 2012, DEFRA 2008). Total emissions for the agricultural sector have been falling since 1990, and there are ongoing efforts to continue to reduce these levels and DEFRA believes this will continue to happen, but at a reduced rate. Potential for carbon storage to counteract these 25 emissions from energy consumption is currently being explored as agriculture and land use currently contribute 9% of the UK’s GHG emissions, and 14% of global emissions in 2002. Any reduction will assist in minimising the overall effect of climate change and could improve the effectiveness of the industry (DEFRA , 2011; OECD, 2002). Volumes of agricultural GHG's released 2010-2011 Nitrous Oxide 9% Methane 36% Carbon Dioxide 55% Figure 3.4: A chart to show the proportions emissions produced 2010-2011. (UNFCCC 2012) of agricultural This investigation wishes to investigate the potential for carbon storage, as although not a major agricultural emission, it is the largest globally and farmland has high potential for altering carbon storage. The estimated mostly due to emissions of individual different reference products systems or vary greatly, selected system boundaries. Some studies compare different agricultural production systems (Luo, 2010: Sparkes 2005) and focus only on part of the process, while other surveys consider the who le life cycle (DiazHernandez, 2012). Per unit, (kg/CO2 per kg/product) there is a diverse range between different agricultural practices with some promise as methods of reducing or storing carbon emissions. For the purpose of this component examined assessment would be investigation, in terms needed of as carbon storage, many wi ll a output be full the life emissions only cycle can 26 countered using a blanket approach for all GHGs (Robertson et al. 2000; Smith et al. 2001; Gregorich et al. 2005). Figure 3.5 Economic potential of a number of land management practices. (Fitton 2011) This chart shows set aside has limited effectiveness at the lowest financial inputs compared to agronomy and nutrient management, but the greater financial inputs provide greater outputs. Fitton et al (2011) compiled a number of investigations into sequestration of different types of cropland, and found there is a wide range of values that could be achieved, with full poten tial values ranging from 0.51 CO2 (tonnes CO2/ha/year) using agronomy through to 3.30 CO2 (t CO2/ha/yr.) when the land is converted to set aside. 3.3 Carbon Sequestration in Trees As the earth’s forests currently contain more carbon than is present in the atmosphere, it is instantly clear how valuable a resource in the fight against climate change that this biological sink is (Harrison and Hester, 2010). Since the agricultural and industrial movements in the UK of around 1750, there has been a considerable decrease in the condition and total area of forest. As 27 agricultural practices have become more i ntensive with improving technology the potential for these sinks to hold carbon had decreased, causing a steady rise in the greenhouse effect. This is now being tackled both nationally and globally, and between 1994-1999 the total area of EU forests expanded by 3%, the equivalent of 1Mha being afforested (European Commission, 1997). Increases were highest in the 1970’s due to a trend of planting large volumes of fast growing coniferous plantations, but due to objections concerning wildlife effects and societal impacts, these rates slowed from 40Kha/yr to 10kha/yr and are predicted to drop to 8kha/year by 2020 (Nijnik, 2010). This is a shaky step towards a strategy that may halt the increase in climate change effects around the world and prevent many millions of people and entire species being severely affected. The UK has been recognised as having providing leading financial initiatives incentives into and carbon storage having bodies strategies such as by the Forestry Commission and SEERAD to coordinate efforts (Nijnik, 2010; Countryside commission and Forestry Commission, 1996 ). The earth is currently covered in around 4 Gigahectares of forests (30% of the total land area) and these are estimated to hold 120Gt of carbon. Forests contain approximately 77% of carbon stored in land vegetation; the majority in tropical and boreal forests, and the remaining 17% in temperate forests such as those in the UK. These account for 90% of the annual exchange of carbon between the atmosphere and the land (IPCC 2007). Their growth is one of the few natural ways of removing and storing CO2 from the atmosphere, making them an invaluable resource in the attempt to counter climate change. Forests also play vital roles in the water and GHG cycles, which is of particular interest in the UK for sustainability (Seyfang 2009, Nijnik and Bizikova 2008). There is much variation in woodland carbon storage within the UK, with northern coniferous forests shown to hold twice as much carbon as southern broadleaved woodlands (Forestry Commission 2009). 28 Biosequestration is the process by which carbon is stored in the living material of plants and trees. As some trees can store this material for decades or even centuries, it is considered a m id-term storage solution. Short-term stores would consist of annual plants such as nettles and long-term storage solutions would be inactively held in the soil or by the accumulation of material into fossil fuels. Trees absorb atmospheric CO2 by photosynthesis and over their lifetimes they absorb more carbon than is re-released (Nijnik 2010). The absorbed carbon goes to form the biomass of stems, wood, branches, leaves and rooting system. Once the carbon is incorporated into the tree a large proportion of it is lost in the same year through root cell sloughing and the yearly loss of leaves by deciduous trees as part of the natural lifecycle of the tree , providing a method by which this biomass can enter the soil . Carbon in core wood is stored for long periods of time but exactly how long growing for depends conditions and heavily any on forest the tree species, management individual present (ECCP, 2005). No store of forest carbon is viewed as permanent due to the eventual cycling of carbon that occurs as trees grow and then die (Tipper et al, 2004). But if an area of woodland remains in place as a permanent landscape feature, a level of carbon is permanently stored in this area. By improving the rate stored and the area of woodland designated as long standing, carbon sequestration levels can be maximized. To do this the area would need the opportunity to meet this full potential from good nutrient supplies, water and amenable weather conditions. There are also chance occurrences, which cause the loss of entire trees such as disease, or forest fires that must be avoided when possible. There is, amongst some, an assumption that all forests approach a carbon saturation point upon maturity and they stop storing more carbon (Fitton, 2011). When the individual trees die, some of the biomass remains in the forest and is held in the soil, to be taken up again by the trees or held there passively. This is a complex issue 29 as afforestation decomposition can and release the soils carbon, beneath the due to canopy also deadwood have the potential to lose carbon as the rooting systems of previous grasses decompose (Gregorich 2005). Current evidence shows that the most efficient and effective method for balancing C storage and biodiversity is to allow forests to reach maturity, ensuring they are of a good size, with good wildlife corridor links to provide good species circulation and adequate cycling of nutrients within itself (Naylor, 2012). Figure 3.6 Showing the different rates at which different trees sequester carbon in a number of European countries (tCha -1yr-1). Coome, (2012) examines the complex relationship between carbon storage and the lifecycle of a forest and shows how difficult it is to predict future patterns of growth. This is because trees will alter their growth patterns depending on the individual circumstances, perhaps due to old stands falling and allowing great er light 30 penetration or competition from new growth. It is concluded that these events would increase without sufficient woodland management. Reforestation and afforestation are already showing their potential as carbon sinks as well as some old growth forests due to the high levels of carbon they store, (Coome, 2012). There is still a large store with broadleaf woodlands in the UK able to store u p to 250tCha over their lifetime (FC, 2008). Levels stored each year very greatly according to climate species and age of tree, but for UK mixed species farmland it is estimated 3.2tCha -1yr-1 is stored as demonstrated in Figure 3.6 (Crabtree 1997) 3.4 Methods for measuring car bon sequestration in trees, This is still a particularly evolving field with much investigation into a range of factors such as the amount of carbon an individual tree will take on each year, to an entire rainforest’s potential for carbon capture. 3.4.1 Satellite imagery methods A number of approaches have been undertaken for mapping forested areas to determine their annual growth and correlated carbon storage. One was using satellite images to determine height and volume of trees. This has been done successfully in a number of areas in the UK including Wales and East Anglia (Balzter et al, 2003; Bateman et al 2009), but involved examinations of areas of coniferous plantations where planting ages were known and dimensions were shown to have strong correlations to age. Models can be made to study the reflectance of the canopy of a forest to examine the density and health of a forest or particular wavelengths can be used to examine the volume of trees in the forest, but these methods require advanced modeling skills and a sizeable data set with which to conduct it. Due to the heterogeneity of the sample this was not an option and due to the time limits of the investigation, preventing a long -term image of how much growth was really occurring. 31 3.4.2 Models using species coefficients As many of the models in the UK have used satellite-monitoring systems there is a deficit in figures available to calculate carbon storage without use of satellite imagery. Due to the investigation being non-invasive, the number of models available became rapidly limited and the majority of co-efficients available with which to calculate were based on American climates. A number of British species were without exact coefficients, so those for the nearest relative were used (e.g.: for Sessile Oak, used White oak coefficients). In an examination of German tree growth, American coefficients were used and deemed to produce relevant figures showing the transferability of this technique and its current usage (Strohbach, 2010). This gives a fair basis for tree biomass based on physical created calculations would allow alone that, once basic physical a basic inputs to spreadsheet be made was and a comprehensive carbon analysis to be undertaken. 3.4.3 Online modeling programs There are currently a number of online c alculators available that aim to calculate the net emissions of a site by examining CO2 sources such as farm vehicles or fertilisers used and balance them against CO2 storage undertaken by any areas of woodland. There are little detailed inputs for these , and the final figure produced is based on these figures. This method, for such a diverse site , was deemed inappropriate, as many aspects affecting sequestration efficacy need to be included in the model. These include; richness of the soil, tree species and seeding density. These models do however allow complex calculations to be carried out with minimal knowledge required by farmers (Smith et al ,2008, COOL calculator 2012 , CALM calculator 2012). 32 The CALM and COOL online calculators are both useful tools for rapid calculation of average results, but the age of trees is required, which is unavailable for many areas of Leckford Estate. In addition, these models did not consider the density of trees . A rough estimate of ages of the trees can be obtained from the physical figures and management plans, but as the size of the trees was not thought to be affected by age, more condition of the woodland, this was deemed not to be the most accurate method available. 3.4.4. Selected Model The final model selected to measure annual rates at which carbon was being stored was chosen on the basis that individual trees could be entered and analysed separately (Clark, 1986). In addition, as the exact age of each individual tree was not known, this was a method by which the physical characteristics of the tree could be taken into account and examined in situ. The dimensions of the tree and density of the forest could be calculated and used as an up to date representation of carbon storage. These figures were initially examined using a model where coefficients were used for each type of tree, but was based upon estimates of age rather than the actual development of the tree , reducing the accuracy and causing it to be disregarded. Densely growing forests will have narrower trunks as the trees compete for light, compared with than those sparsely planted trees such as in the Parkland who have no such limits on the amount of sunlight that they receive. For this case study a method was required that accommodates the rich diversity in woodlands found on Leckford estate and could accommodate the number of species and range of densities found (Clark 1985). 3.4.5 Application of different models The method selected could be implemented in the field without destructive techniques or knowledge of the age of the trees, a requirement for online calculators. The site consists of many small 33 areas of woodland and removing areas of trees for examination would severely damage the ecosystem. The method selected allowed simplicity of the model to be understood, repeatability as the woodlands would be allowed to natural ly develop and accuracy following from previous investigations. Each model has their own strengths and weaknesses as trees, despite being the same age, will not always grow at the same rate due to competition, differences in water, nutrient availability and animal activity. examine each However, tree on a individually large and scale it results is are impossible to appropriate if average values can be used provided they retain accuracy (Shirima et al, 2011) . The complex models available for large areas of woodland (Bateman, 2009) usually monitor the growth of for ests consisting of one species as they are similar ages in a commercial forest. These are useful models and show the most promise for the future for scientific analysis, but they do not easily accommodate a range of species at a range of different ages, as is the case at Leckford . They are also not easily understood by those on the farm as both the modeling skills and technical knowledge are advanced and impractical for a basic assessm ent of carbon storage each year on the small site. Future modeling of carbon storage is more complex due to inclusion of climatic conditions and soil type. As the exact age of each tree is unknown, more general calculations must be made according to the current growth of the tree, but this makes it less reliable. The figures represent the expected growth of the tree provided that it continues to grow at a standard rate , along with its neighbours. The complexities of woodland modeling mean that stands could perish and competition from other trees could reduce the expected particular growth year, only rate as but a these likelihood cannot be rate ( e.g. predicted 1 in 50 in a year probability) (Coome, 2012) 34 3.5 Soil Carbon Storage Soil is recognised as a significant global resource for storing carbon, predominantly due to its volume. Carbon storage in soils is a natural process occurring when atmospheric carbon dioxide is fixed into soil, whilst some is held there in a relatively permanent form. Sequestration implies both the process of capture and storage of carbon in soils in this case. The CO 2 must be converted to another chemical form to be held within the soil , usually organic. Sinks can vary in size, potential and the duration that they hold CO2. The Forestry Commission report that UK soils can hold up to 4 times as much carbon/ha as a UK woodland, making it a potentially more valuable resource (FC, 2012). There are a number of differ ent natural pools that carbon is naturally stored in, with varying volumes of carbon that can be stored within. Oceans have the most potential and there has been a recent shift in balance between the atmosphere and biosphere pools, the effects of this are currently hotly debated as to whether the biosphere will grow to accommodate this increase ( Bateman, 2009) Name of mobile pool Quantity of carbon held annually (Petagrams/ Pg) Atm osphere 800 (600 before the 1750) Biosphere 600 Soil 1,500 Ocean 39,000 Table 3.1: Quantity of carbon held in mobile pools Terrestrial results are easier to implement as the mixing of layers and the volume of which this occurs are much smaller, thus the outcome of an application of BioChar is more easily predicted than 35 the attempted iron fertilisation of an area of ocean (Strohbach, 2010). There are two cycles of carbon within the soil; organic and inorganic. Inorganic occurs more rarely and involves the formation of carbonates that are long-term deposits (Wilding et al, 2001). Organic carbon is of far greater importance on a global scale as it dominates the carbon volume within the soil, although it is a shorter-term deposit (Lal, 1997). The atmospheric carbon is firstly fixed into plant material, complex compounds that enter the soil when the plants die. These compounds are broken down by the action of soil microorganisms , which re-release the carbon back to the atmosphere . Almost all plant material entering the soil will be cycled back to the atmosphere (Alvaro-Fuentes et al, 2012). The annual carbon volume cycled is heavily reliant upon plant productivity. On a global scale, fixation of carbon within the soil is around 120Pg (1Pg being equal to a gigatonne), with half being immediately returned to the atmosphere after roots and shoots respire. The remaining 60Pg is able to enter the soil (Chapman, 2009). Upon entering the soil, the material is broken down with the least complex compounds being respired initially , and more complex matter being broken down over long er periods of time. Macro- and Micro-fauna break the pieces down into smaller sizes, which are degraded chemically by fungi and bacteria. The rate at which this occurs varies the soil surface to further down into the soil as the components get smaller. The year’s deposition of organic matter is not fully recycled over the following year as some pre-existing carbon may be in a more degraded form . It could be many years before it is all eventually recycled. Naturally, the global cycle of carbon deposition and decomposition is balanced (Chapman, 2009). Intensive farming has depleted the organic carbon content of the soil, contributing to GHG 36 concentrations. With careful soil management it is hoped that more organic carbon can be maintained in the soil and less intensive or better-managed farming will allow it to remain there. Some lignin and proteinaceous material from plant tissue is very resistant to decomposition by the microbial biomass, which itself forms 1-3% of the Soil Organic Material (SOM) (Wardle, 1992). Melanins produced by some fungi add darkening pigments to the soil, giving it a visually distinctive profile. Humi fication involves the random organic re-synthesis matter by of various chemicals bonds condensation of the deposited reactions , forming ‘humus’. This gives the bonds a high resistance to decomposition from further enzymic degradation. These compounds can also bind easily to clay protection. particles, holding SOM as it provides physical The humus allows more water to be held at surface level and the surface is ideal for binding nutrients to, for easy availability for any plant life, reducing the need for synthetic fertilisers. The carbon content of the SOM is increased from the 42% found in plant material up to around 58% (Hayes, 2001). This is a useful store provided continue to agricultural cause rapid practices removal. and Not soil all erosion carbon do added not to a particular soil is mineralised or decomposed in a year, but if the length of the cycle can be increased this w ill provide more effective storage. Fresh plant material can have a turnover time ranging from months to a few years, but also plays the valuable role of providing soil cover which helps keep soil temperature low, soil moisture high and soil disturbance to a minimum (dependent upon the season) which will all assist in improved carbon storage (Zhang, 2007). Any soil organic matter taken further down into the soil and protected by this plant matter layer can have a turnover time of decades if it is associated with the mineral fractions, and the most highly humified material can reside beyond a thousand years and is considered ‘passive’ or virtually inert. There is not a clear layering system within the soil due to organisms such as 37 worms and other animals so age distributions are often uneven within the soil. Currently, soil and water erosion are causing significant lo sses of soil carbon of 0.6Pg each year , and there must be alterations to these figures to increase carbon storage (Hope, 1997). A n overall storage increase relies on more carbon being deposited each year than is decomposed. However , the overall decomposition rate is directly proportional to the amount of material that is present, and the equilibrium of the system means that it is self-regulating and will eventually reach a balance again whether stores of carbon are increased or decreased. Increasing the inputs of carbon will increase the total store permanently, as although equilibrium will be reached again, the initial store level will remain hig her. There are two way of increasing the carbon sequestration in soils. 1-Increase the rate of carbon input 2-Decrease the rate of decay of material Globally, ploughing of the soil due to increases in agricultural land has led to huge loses of carbon storage. Over 50-100 years 50% of the soil carbon can be lost to the atmospheric climate, with losses being 50-75% over 10-20 years in the tropics (Lehmann, 2006). In theory, if this ploughed land was allowed to revert to being a semi-natural ecosystem, the soil may be able to restore its original level of carbon, yet in practice it has proved that levels are lower over the same period of time, and a longer restoration period would be needed. (Lehmann, 2006) Soil carbon is always slowly accumulating due to the inert or passive faction forming with soil carbon, and some soil scientists believe that a true equilibrium state is never reached (Hope, 1997). With current anthropogenic pressures, this is unlikely, but it is true that many soils have a greater capaci ty to sequester carbon than their current levels reflect. 38 The local climate of an area is also a strong influence in determining soil organic matter levels as decomposition rates are increased strongly by increased temperatures and decreased moisture levels, both of which will alter in areas due to climate change. 3.5.1 Management methods to improve soil carbon One way of increasing inputs into the soil is increasing the plant matter inputs into the system. In arable systems this would involve using cover crops or ‘mulching’, which reduce the time the soil is laid bare, reducing exposure and erosion rate and leaving these mulches in situ to allows composting (Forbes, 2006). Grass lay systems are particularly important as they generate more biomass underground, so a higher volume of carbon is instantly accessible within the soil (Carmela, 2011). Recently mechanized cutting of materials, although increasing use of fossil fuels, has shown that residues are Hernandez, more 2010). efficiently Another being returned to source for potential the soil (Diaz- increasing soil carbon inputs by adding biomass is by the use of non-phytotoxic wood chips which are resistant to decomposition. There is much agreement that improving the overall fertility of the soil will increase both crop yields and the proportion of carbon incorporated into the soil (Chapman, 2009; Smith 2004, Forbes, 2006). A meta-analysis showed correlation between increasing soil carbon after increased rainfall and the use of cover crops. It was also controversially linked to adding artificial nitrogen fertilisers, which carry their own carbon budget of 1 -2kg of carbon for every kg of fertilizer although the biomass of the area is increased (Chapman, 2009). This was only proven in temperate climates and requires further investigation stored and emitted. increasing as to the net balance of carbon Carbon levels in the soil were reduced with temperatures as well as decreasing quality of soil texture, often associated with exhaus ted agricultural land. Sandy soils gained carbon more quickly, as they had lower initial levels. 39 Soils that identified, would and accumulate are carbon primarily most rapidly agricultural soils need to be with sandy structures (Smith, 2004). Ecosystem Carbon Density Carbon Density (UK) t (Global) t C ha-1 c ha-1 122-123 - 96-147 170-370 247-344 - 99-236 130-230 80-122 120-250 Wetland 643 230-390 Deserts 42-57 - Tropical Forest Temperate Forest Boreal Forest Temperate Grassland and Shrubland Arable Table 3.2: The carbon holding potential of selected ecosystems, globally and in the UK. (Chapman, 2009) Arable soils, being highly cultivated, often have the lowest soil carbon of all UK land classes ( table 3.1), with grassland and then woodlands containing subsequently higher levels and semi natural environments including wetlands having the greatest potential for carbon storage as peat land has the potential of holding 1,000tCha -1 up to (Chapman, 2009). Wetlands have a global potential of sequestering 0.1PgC each year and restoration is encouraged where possible to improve this natural long-term sink. UK potential for carbon sequestration by restoration is 3070TgCyr-1, England’s potential being 9Tg. The UK potential is therefore 6.6% of the 1990’s level of emissions (Chapman, 2009). This potential may not be realised as more investigations examine which areas have the option of undergoing practices such as zero till, as they are not applicable to all soils. However, gradual increase in soil carbon storage by reducing tills is certainly an option to most areas. 40 Additional organic inputs, such as garden cuttings or slurry, would also increase carbon sequestration. Although normal practice in the UK, this may not occur elsewhere in the world due to the use of these products as fuel. The UK has previously relied on timber as a fuel resource and before the agricultural revolution, common grounds were designated for providing fuel from peat or wood. The shift to the agricultural revolution led to decreased areas of peat and woodland available for carbon storage and the increase in fossil fuel consumption alongside the global trend ( Wu, 2009). As the human population has increased, so has the need for food with which to support it. Tillage is the practice of ploughing or cultivating the soil that has increased globally as more areas are used for food production. This disturbance of the soil exposes the contained SOM, which had previously been sheltered by the soil’s mineral component. These changes in temperature, moisture and increased aeration lead to stimulation microbes, increasing soil containing the decompose, carbon of respiration, the any and carbon detritivores the is and compounds gradually re- released to the atmosphere more rapidly than the natural cycle . A single ploughing of the soil can lead to 11% of the SOM being removed, and continued tilling will increase this ( Smith, 2004). The practice of ‘reduced tillage’ involves decreasing the number of ploughing incidents, or ‘tine’ which involves ripping the soil using discs, proven to be less destructive than previous methods (REF). Ploughing the soil repeatedly can reduce soil carbon by 27% whereas by using reduced tilling methods only 6% of the SOM carbon is lost (FAO, 2006a). By reducing tilling there is the potential to increase Carbon by 2.1t ha -1 and the absence of tilling would increase this further . Conservation tilling or mulching is a slightly altered practice involving leaving plant residues on the surface to retain moisture. Implementation of this practice in the UK has proven to be limited with only 3% of the total arable land adopting these practices in 2010 (Chapman, 2009) 41 By enhancing natural processes of carbon storage, we hope to create a more sustainable way by which companies and farmers can produce enough food to support the growing population in the long term (OECD, 2002, FAO, 2006b). Projections of 20 billion people by 2050 means that radical changes are needed in the way food is produced, as increased emissions may result in land becoming unfit due to microclimate changes. Globally soils have lost around 66 (+/- 12) Pg carbon since widespread cultivation led to forest removal and soil degradation (FAO, 1998). It is still possible for similar amounts to be restored , but the need to sustain the current global population makes this almost impossible unless new methods are developed. 0.4-1.2PgC could be restored globally each year from the implementation of zero till agriculture, representative of around 7% of global fossil fuel emissions (FAO 2006a). Agricultural practices are becoming more intense and as more synthetic fertilisers are added to stimulate plant growth, there is less need to ensure the quality of the soil remains. Soils can also produce other greenhouse gases with significant volumes of methane being produced by wetlands and peatlands but the direct use of nitrate fertiliser has been shown to have the largest production of other GHGs in Nitrous Oxide emissions. Methane is 20x more effective as an insulator and nitrous oxide 300x more so in global warming terms than CO2. Again it is the overall effect volumes (FIGURE that are 3.2). released A whole which contribute lifecycle analysis the largest must be undertaken including other GHG emissions and fossil fuel usage to be able to fully recommend practices for individual sites Conservatively achievable levels give the UK a bleak picture as although, theoretically, the UK is able to store 30-70TgC each year using best practices, realistically only 4-6TgC is estimated using achievable practices. In terms of actual targets, this is lower again at around 1-2Tg of Carbon each year, as the greater population 42 density in the UK imposes constraints on available land and its utilisation (Cannell, 2003). There is little beyond a basic financial incentive for farmers to increase the carbon storage of their soils and woodlands, and little knowledge of new and sustainable beneficial ways by which to do it. This soil sequestration potential could be reached after 50-100 years and due to the cycle of decomposition equaling the rate of SOM formation, the rate at which this can take place will mean strategies have decreasing benefit over time, as the cycle naturally reaches an equilibrium. Other strategies need to be examined to allow this to continue as a viable sink beyond 50 years and is an attractive, cost effective option. By taking arable soils out of cultivation a substantial increase in soil carbon will occur, as shown by the correlated increases due to set aside (Bell et al 2011). The exact rate and potential volume is difficult to quantify but is still encouraged by the UNFCCC. Hester and Harrison (2010) comment that all avenues need to be explored, and carbon sequestration in soil will be only one of many strategies aiming to reduce the current GHG burden of atmosphere, but it has potential if it can gain enough backing. The FAO agree, stating that agricultural soils, hold the potential to be one of the largest global carbon reservoirs and hold potential for rapid carbon storage due to rapid initial rates of sequestration in both soil and woodlands. 3.5.2 Methods for measuring soil carbon There are a number of techniques available for soil sampling both the organic and inorganic carbon content of soils. This investigation would focus on the organic content of soil, being most easily sampling altered being by improved available and practices. the Without equipment destructive available for ionisation of samples the available tests available were reduced. 43 A basic Loss on Ignition (LOI) test was deemed sufficient to show current health of the soil in terms of carbon content, and analyse the composition of the soil, evaluating the types of soil. Whilst this test, having errors in percentage content of between 1 -2% is not the most accurate measure for SOM, it would be sufficient for the purpose of this study in measuring relative levels held in the soils.(Matthiesen et al, 2005) The LOI method is used in a number of papers (Konare, 2010, Smith, 2004, Reeuwijk 2002) and has been shown to have good results and can be used in conjunction with a correction factor where one is know (Konare, 2010), which was not applicable in this case. Critical analysis of methods As some of the fields on site were particularly large and will vary in composition, a range of samples is recommended to be taken, allowing an average of the field to be taken ( Smith, 2004). As such a wide range of lands uses and soils types are present, the decision was made to sample as wide and diverse an area as possible, over replicates within a field due to the restricted time frame. This would enable better understanding of the wider picture of intrafield dynamics, which was of more importance to the investigation than inter-field changes. Samples were determined to be needed of the topsoils and sub soils as these will differ greatly in composition. Topsoils receive plant biomass inputs from woodlands and grasslands, but suffer increased rates of aeration in agricultural soils. By using LOI and repeatable site measurements, this method provides a framework for that which can be repeated in the future on the site. Conclusion 44 Soil carbon is a valuable potential resource and, any methods by which it can be restored would be beneficial. Even from this initial investigation, changes can be suggested, making instant improvements for a number of UK agricultural soils. The effects of these changes can then be examined to see which are giving the most improvements and adjustments can be made if a particular soil type is less efficient at retaining soil carbon. Any increases in carbon capture will have an immediate and worldwide effect as the global atmospheric carbon dioxide level will be decreased by any removal of carbon, no matter where it occurs. Methods Initial investigation of site. An initial investigation of the site allowed the full scope of the diversity and range between areas to be defined. It was decided that the areas of permanent and designated woodland, as defined by the GIS Mastermap of the site (Appendix 1), were to be investigated for their current carbon storage as they are long -term storage methods, which can be modeled for future carbon storage. Another long-term storage component that was examined was the soil on site (Appendix 2). The soil would be modeled over a longer period of time, and again components enhancing carbon storage could be identified and recommended. Le ckford Estate consists of mostly Grade 3 agricultural soil that is fairly poor and does not return particularly seemed typical of high most yields. Upon agricultural examination, soils, light in the fields colour and demonstrating little structure. Leckford contributes gases other than CO2 to the atmosphere, which are calculated using carbon equivalent factors to gain a full understanding of the GHG contributions of the site. This is beyond the scope of the investigation although it is accepted as an important area for future investigation. 45 It was decided to exclude hedgerows, undergrowth and windbreaks from the woodland investigation and the different methodologies that would need to be used would complicate the investigation and was too much to investigate for the time available. To enable a clear and focused investigation to take place , allowing for a comprehensive understanding of the cycle taking place on site. 77% of biological carbon storage is carried out by forests, giving an excellent impression of a large proportion of the sequestration that occurs each year (FAO 2006a). 4.2Woodla nd Sam pling Materials and Methods 4.2.1 Study area Leckford Estate is located near Stockbridge, Southampton in the UK (51:07:60N, 01:28:02W). The climate lies in a temperate zone with a yearly temperature average of 11 °C, 700mm rainfall and 1550-1600 sunshine hours (Met Office, 2012). The natural climatic forest of the area is broadleaved deciduous woodland, predominantly Oak and Ash (Leckford Management plan 2008). On the site there are a diverse range of woodlands, many of which have been planted with species not common to the UK. A summary table of location and composition of these sites is found in Appendix 1 and 1.1. 4.2.2. Sampling design and data collection A stratified non-random sampling design was undertaken during May and June 2012. Summer sampling allowed an establishment of which trees were living and assumptions were made that they would survive until the next growing season. As leaves and buds had emerged, allowed easier identification of species. 46 Woodland sites were selected sub-divided up if there were visually distinct areas of vegetation or class designations according to MasterMap. The sampling covered all ar eas of woodland on the site but excluded hedgerows, deadwood and any undergrowth in the form of shrubs or annual plants. These factors play a vital role but were scoped out of this investigation due to time constraints . The plot was subjectively selected as a representative sample of the woodland and a 300m2 (30x10m) belt transect was used due to the row planting structure to present, be and explored allowing more a easily gradient than a of the forest circular plot (Ravindranath & Ostwald, 2010; Guner et al, 2012). The species or genus of the trees was determined and diameter at breast height (DBH) was measured as set out by Ravindranath & Ostwald (2010) following the protocol for estimating the above ground biomass as far as possible without removing the tree. 4.2.3 Woodland Biomass Calculation To calculate the biomass, the method set out by Clark et al (1986) was undertaken using allometric coefficients based solely on DBH and height. These figures were slightly less accurate as they were American, but still provided an accessible method that could be adapted to all the tree species found and showed physiological relationships between DBH, tree volume and wood density. Bunce (1968) found that the growth of species altered according to site conditions, so transects and multiple woodlands would allow discovery of the different physical characteristics of specimens potentially planted at the same time. To calculate the characteristics, basic formula and coefficients were used for each species. A number of different formulas were available for each species (Jenkins 2003) but some equations excluded the tree stump and others avoided the root system. The method generalises characteristics but makes a full estimate of the tree carbon, rather than only some of the tree as was seen by other equations ( Jenkins et al, 2003) . This use of the same basic formu lae was 47 recommended, allowing use by a wider range of those involved in carbon sequestration in the future (Pastor et al (1994), Jenkins et al (2003). A full list of coefficients used is found in Appendix 3 The carbon content of trees was assumed to be 50% of the biomass (Crack 2002, Hutyu et al 2011, Jo 2002) and the rooting systems were assumed to by an additional 25% of the aboveground biomass (Jo and Mcpherson 1995, Novak and Crane 2002) Formula for biomass calculations taken from Clark et al (1986) E q u a t i o n 1 : A G V = C1((D2 )C 2)H AGV= Above Ground Volume of tree C1= Coefficient of wood storage in trunk and stems , based on species of tree C2= Coefficient based upon age of tree; younger trees store at a faster rate than older trees D= Diameter in Inches of tree Equation 2: TV= AGV*1.25 TV= Total Volume, including the rooting system Equation 3: DB= TV* C3 DB= Dry Biomass C3= Coefficient linked to species storage of wood Equation 4: TC= DB*0.5 TC=lbs of carbon sequestered in tree. 4.2.4 Trial sample This initial investigation enabled a determination in the difference of each area in terms of composition of ages and species. Transects 48 of 5x10, 10x10, 20x20, 10x30 30x30m2 and were undertaken, concluding that a 10x30 transect allowed the best balance between representation of the trees in the area and time efficiency. The transect size was larger than some recommended due to the high variations found within these small woodlands from the edges to the centre and this sample gave good representation of the area. 4.3Measurement validity + reliability The basic physical measurements of the DBH and height were representation of the composition of the area. Modeling of these values as to the carbon stored was an interpretation of the measurements using coefficients, which although the suitable found for this method, were based upon American species and climates. Tree age was calculated by examining the width of the trunk and assumptions were made that trees grow at a steady rate according to their species, and according to the density of the woodland (Jenkins 2003), a formula is found in Appendix 3. Data collection o Visual taken identification from of height was undertaken with advice (http://www.rfs.org.uk/learning/measuring - trees#volume) but there was a problem with the initial method using trigonometry, due to sloping ground and the close canopy of some areas of woodland. Despite the problems encountered the results are thought to representative of the heights of the trees. This method had to be subjective but was done by the same individual, reducing errors between sampling. A visual assessment was carried out as to whether the tree was s in a densely or sparsely planted area by examining if the trunks were more than two feet apart (Nowak and Crane, 2002). If a tree had two trunks, it was examined as two trees due to the method of measuring the physical volume of the trees. Data analysis Calculations were entered into the model and used to calculate carbon content, by estimating dry matter from total volume using 49 coefficients (E.g. Oaks have around 27% water content, Birches 31% and willows 41%). This enabled comparisons of the hardwood and softwood content of trees and different growth patterns according to the age of the tree. Adapting for climate meant the figures should have been altered although by how much was indeterminable and therefore not carried out. Older stands have been shown to store less carbon than younger trees and 25- 125 year old trees will store significantly different proportions of carbon and so rates of storage were calculated based upon estimated age of the trees (Coome et al 2012). Future growth was calculated for each area over 1, 5, and 10. Older stands were estimated to contribute little in future growth, whilst young saplings of around 15 years contributed the largest increases. Managed thinning in identified areas such as Sycamores and Abbas Gardens was accounted for. This is expected to occur over the next 5 years, and growth w ill have begun to recovered in 10 years. Death rates and animal activity would still have an effect of reducing overall carbon storage but was not quantifiable. It was minimised in idealised management situation and taken as similar values to the present in the no change scenario . Events such as disease and storms are a distinct possibility in the next 10-20 years and would have devastating effect, as a number of trees were based on thin soils and slopes, but in the next twenty years, the number and extent of these events is so uncertain that it has not been accounted for. This is a decision that may make the modeled carbon stored artificially high, but without knowing how much to reduce it by, this remains. Soil Sam pling Materials and Methods Study area The soil samples sampled a range of different soil types and land uses on the farm including; orchard, arable, woodland and grassland. 50 Sampling Design and Data collection Selected sample sites were used, as the study wanted to ensure a range of samples was taken in the time frame allowed. As samples were taken at Leckford and had to be transported back to UEA, Norwich for storage and analysis, this greatly limited the number available to be taken. Because of this, grass areas between the orchards and set aside at the sides of fields were not taken and take a particular focus; the effect of woodland management on soils and the effect of tilling practices . These grass areas would be important for an overall understanding of the relationship between the arable land and grass land and assist in explain ing their role in soil carbon storage compared to natural areas such as the peatland. This was focused to ensure sampling could take place over 1 day and degradation Further of previous restrictions were samples in the taken peaty would areas su ch not as occur. Charity Meadow and Water Garden, as Charity Meadow site is designated as a SSSI (Site of Special Scientific Interest) and the Water Garden management team were keen to avoid disruption to rooting systems. Allowing the sample to be representative of a wider area was advised (Hodgson 1978) and is encouraged for future, more focused study. But the samples obtained would give a greater impression as to the affects of wider spread soil and climate effects, rather than the smaller effects of interfield mixing. A transect sample was take from woodlands through to arable fields next to them at the ‘Vicars Cross’ and ‘White Gate and Owens Wood’ sites, to determine the effects of land use across a short distance on the same type of underlying soil The vineyard site was sampled, having experienced a change of land use from arable in 2009 and would examine the relationship between the two land types. No arable sites experienced radical land use change in the last 20 years due to the site examining longterm outputs from these areas. Therefore, despite the soil composition changing uniformly across the site due to implemented 51 use of fertilisers and then increased use of manure, the topsoil will represent the most examined separately recent to processes see the and the historic subsoil legacy of will be previous practices. Sampling methods As many soils were dry and had granular structures , soil cores could not be taken from most sites. Subjectively samples were taken from representational parts of soil, the center of the area if possible to reduce effects from mixing at the side and different composition of the woodlands at the edges. Any detritus was identified and samples were taken. Topsoil extraction was sampled by visual assessments as to where the horizons met, as there is not a standard depth between the two horizons and it is often distinct. Subsoils were selected after a visible change in colour/texture was identified. This was around 10-12 inches deep in agricultural areas and shallower (3-4 inches) in woodlands due to the comparative lack of mixing. The chalky fragments made it difficult to sample to the required depth in some of the arable and orchard fields . Not being able to sample destructively as Leckford is a working farm and avoiding affecting biodiversity of the woodlands led to a small core being extracted of 5 inches wide and as deep as required by the subsoil strata, rather than a sampling pit of 1m x 1m x 1m which would allow full extraction of samples and clarification of the layers present. Visual analysis of soil was undertaken as to colour, texture and structure ( Reeuwijk, 2002) Data collection and procedures Samples were stored in cling film to minimise moisture loss during transportation. A 10-20 g of sample was sieved so particles of 0.2cm remained as many large chalk fragments were present this ensured representative results and prevented distortion of results by large mineral deposits. Scales were accurate to 0.01gThe samples were heated in an oven for 15 hours at 105degrees after 52 being checked to ensure all were completely dry (Konare 2010). Samples were then incinerated in a furnace at 450 degrees for 10 hours to ensure all organic matter was burnt Equation 1: MC (% weight) = ((B -C)/(C-A))*100 Equation 2: LOI (% Dry Weight)= ((C-D)/(C-A))*100 A=Weight of crucible B=Weight of crucible+soil C=Weight of crucible +soil D=Weight of crucible + soil LOI LOI= Loss On Ignition MC=Moisture Content Data Analysis The results were analysed for carbon content and differences between land uses and top and sub soils. Calculated Ctha-1 by using the protocol as set out by (Reeuwijk, 2002) 53 5. Results 5.1 Woodla nd Results Appendix 6 is a copy of the physical data collected for trees in the Parkland area. It demonstrates the data collected for an area 625m2 and in comparison to the Water Garden b) sample (Appendix 7, area 300m2) it is clear as to the vast differences in physical data collected. Dbh and height of trees in Vicars Cross Diamter at Breast Height (cm) 250 200 R² = 0.9548 150 100 50 0 0 20 40 60 Height (feet) 80 100 120 Figure 5.1 Height and DBH of trees sampled at ‘Vicars Cross’ 54 Diameter at Breast Height (DBH) DBH and height of trees in Water Garden b) 200.00 R² = 0.8664 160.00 120.00 80.00 40.00 - 20.00 40.00 60.00 Height (feet) 80.00 100.00 Figure 5.2: Height and DBH of trees sampled at ‘Water Garden b) Figures 5.1 and 5.2 demonstrate the difference in composition between just two sites as to the height and DBH. Figure 5.2 shows a spread of mostly young saplin gs and trees becoming thicker as they age proportionally more than they gain height. Figure 5.1 shows far fewer trees present in the sample, and a split between young sapling and mature, thicker trees. 55 Water Garden b) unmanaged woodland Proportion of Carbon Dioxide stored by each wooded area Parkland Nursery Wood Riches Plantation Water Garden a) Managed garden Wood Next to Vineyard Abbas a) managed garden Dairy Processing Woodland a) newly planted area Verlynch Strattons Wood Money Bunt Wood Top Plantings Oil Well Forest b) Mixed Bowshers Wood Owens Wood and White Gate Wood Sycamores Lone Barn Wood Abbas b) unmanaged woodland Little Plantings Chilcombe Wood Vicars Cross Charity Wood Somertons Wood Octagonal Wood Willow Wood In Chicken Enclosure Dairy Processing Woodland b) established area Plantation Next To Octagonal Wood Oil Well Forest a) Deciduous Figure 5.3: A diagram illustrating the numerous woodland sites present on Leckford Estate and the role each plays in carbon storage. Figure 5.3 illustrates that there are two areas contributing just over a third (37.9%) of the total carbon storage of the site. This is due primarily to their size and consisting of predominantly mature woodland. As shown by 5.4, thi s trend will continue for the next ten years, but storage in other areas such as Bowshers wood and Water Garden b) are predicted to increase, increasing the contribution. All areas were predicted to increase in carbon storage, except Oil Well Forest b) as the coniferous trees present to act as shelter for the developing beech trees will die and 56 expected to remove 7% of the carbon store. But as seen in Bowshers wood, which has lost most of its coniferous stands, the rate of potential increase is large as new saplings quickly store more carbon. This is reflected in rapid sequestration rates in the Plantation next to Octagonal Wood and Dairy Processing Woodland b) as the clearings in the Plantation allow growth of new trees and the planted saplings in the Dairy Processing Woodland b) establish quickly and begin sequestering. Areas with pre-existing large sequestrations of carbon are not expected to increase carbon storage very much with the Parkland and Verlynch sites both expected to increase their carbon stor age by 3%. The greatest proportional increases were seen in the ‘Oilwell forest b) Mixed’ and ‘Dairy Processing Wood b)’ (178% and 115% respectively) due to the rate of growth seen by saplings. Tonnes of carbon stored /ha Modelled sequestration of carbon storage /ha 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 0 year 0.00 1 Year 5 year 10 year Area of woodland Figure 5.4 Modeled expectations from the present for 1, 5 and 10-year projections dependent upon current physical characteristics of site. 57 0% Orchard 5 Sub Orchard 5 Top Orchard 16 Sub Orchard 3 Sub Vineyard Sub Arable C13/C14 Sub Orchard 15 Sub Vineyard Top Riches Plantation Top Arable Next to Orchard 5 Sub White Gate Wood Sub Orchard 3 Top Orchard 16 Top Arable Next to Vicars cross Sub Orchard 15 Top Oilwell Deciduous Woodland Sub Dairy processing, Young woodland Sub Arable C13/C14 Top Arable Next to Vicars cross Top Watergarden Sub Arable on Clay (C3B2) Sub Oilwell Mixed Woodland Sub Arable on Clay (C3B2) Top Oilwell Deciduous Woodland Top Arable Next to Orchard 5 Top White Gate Wood Top Vicars Cross Sub Riches Plantation Sub Watergarden Top Charity Meadow Sub Vicars Cross Top Dairy processing, Young woodland Top Charity Meadow Top Nursery Wood Sub Oilwell Mixed Woodland Top Nursery Wood Top Lone Barn Wood Top Lone Barn Wood Sub 5.2 Soil Results Soil compositions ranked by organic matter content % Mineral content Water content (%) Organic matter (%) 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Figure 5.5: Graph of soil compositions by % weight of water, mineral and organic matter content. 58 tCha and SOM% in Subsoil Tonnes of carbon per heactore 350 R² = 0.8812 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 Soil Organic Matter % 25.00 30.00 Figure 5.6: Subsoil tCha-1 and SOM%, showing a direct positive correlation in deeper soils. Tonnes of Carbon per heactare tCha and SOM% Topsoil 300 250 R² = 0.5137 200 150 100 50 0 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 Soil Organic Matter % 20.00 25.00 Figure 5.7 Topsoil tCha-1 and SOM% showing a polynomial relationship, with lowest and highest tCha -1 showing different relationships with SOM% Figures 5.7 and 5.6 show clear differences in the practices taking place on topsoils and subsoils. Subsoils are well-settled and accumulated high levels of SOM and thereby tCha -1 follow at an expected rate as compaction is more uniform. Topsoils, suffer different compaction levels, plant matter inputs and mixing with the external air. 59 Topsoil and Subsoil percentage volumes of soil samples 30 25 20 15 10 Lone Barn Wood Nursery Wood Oilwell Mixed… Charity Meadow Dairy processing,… Vicars Cross Watergarden White Gate Wood Arable Next to… Oilwell Deciduous… Arable on Clay… Arable Next to… Arable C13/C14 Orchard 15 Orchard 16 Orchard 3 Subsoil Organic matter (%) Riches Plantation 0 Vineyard Topsoil Organic matter (%) Orchard 5 5 Figure 5.8: The differences between topsoil SOM and subsoil SOM. Subsoils are shown to contain less SOM in most soils but mature woodlands and arable fields based on clay. In the dense woodlands, soil has been accumulating over many years and the clay particles in the arable field provide excellent protection. 50.00 Average Organic and Water contents of soils by land use 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Arable Orchard Average organic content Coniferous Broadleaf woodland Average water Content Mixed Broadleaf and Coniferous woodland Grassland Figure 5.9. Average Organic and Water contents of differen t land use categories by Leckford Estate, 60 Figure 5.9 shows the expected general positive relationship between water content and organic matter. Woodlands contain more water content as the forest floors are shaded and contain detritus material as a cover and the peaty grasslands were waterlogged and had high initial water tables. tCha for top soils and subsoils of different land uses Coniferous Peat Grassland Broadleaf Mixed B and D Arable on Clay Arable Orchard Gleyed Soil 0 50 100 Topsoil Tcha 150 200 250 300 350 Subsoil tCha Figure 5.10 The Topsoil and Subsoil Carbon storage values for different land use categories on Leckford Estate. Error bars were calculated using 1 S.E.D. The above figure (5.10) shows the differences in tCha -1 stored within each land use on the site. As the gleyed (waterlogged) grassland soils contained much water, their bulk density was very low and so was to proportion of carbon held. Orchard soils contained lower levels than arable soils, due to lower inputs of 61 manure and fertiliser, arable crops provide a cover for the soil whilst growing and can reduce temperature and moisture changes. Predominantly coniferous woodlands such as Lone Barn Wood and Vicars Cross were shown to have the greatest carbon storage, and other woodlands were also high. Discussion Analysis of results Woodlands Some sites were large and diverse enough to be split into two different areas of woodland , which would be assessed separately. These areas have been kept separate for the consideration of carbon that they store, as the recommended management plans for each area would also be different. The figures for the model are generally similar to those thought to be produced by woodland areas (Chapman, 2009). This demonstrates the accuracy of the method, although the figures for each area differ slightly due to their physical nature. The figures are subject to change due to different coefficients available and predictions for survival rates of the trees, but are accurate enough to establish tailored management plans for each area. Carbon sequestered per area The largest areas were found to store most carbon, but some more efficiently than others. As shown by figure 5.3 two areas contribute more than 37% of the total storage, but the Parkland is largest area and contributes proportionally less. This shows great differences in efficiency between areas, which cannot be tackled in areas such as the Parkland and Water Garden as their aesthetic value is so great to the Estate. The current amounts sequestered each year are comparable with figures found for the UK in the 62 literature but with application of the model, these changed according to the current stages of development of t rees, with areas with young carbon saplings storage each expected year and to experience more mature larger areas increases of in woodland reaching carbon storage saturation level . IMAGE A: Oilwell Forest (b); Mixed woodland. IMAGE B: Oilwell Forest (a); young broadleaved woodland The difference between the two images above was clearly reflected in the model reflecting the physical differences in the size and measurements of the trees. The difference in undergrowth was also noted and is discussed in the soil results analysis. 63 IMAGE C: Water Garden (a). Differences between the two nearby parts of the water garden were clearly shown by the model, but the effect of density and grass management were particularly prominent here. IMAGE D: Bowshers wood. Image D had been planted in a similar fashion to Image A but is more mature, shown by the large amounts of deadwood on the forest floor, radically reduced numbers of conifers and increased light penetration through the canopy. Bowshers wood and the Oilwell Mixed wood (a) are both at different stages of the same planting scheme. The Oilwell Mixed wood currently contained more carbon stored in trees, but 64 Bowshers wood has more potential for younger trees as clearings have been created, reflected in the 10-year model forecast for carbon storage. Soils The underlying bedrock of the site is predominantly chalk and there are particularly shallow soils in some of the arable areas making it difficult to calculate the full carbon potential of the site. The condition of the soil was used in conjunction with estimates to produce a figure for the current carbon storage of the site. This was held against the potential for the increasing in organic matter, and therefore carbon content, of the soil by careful management practices. The soils were collected after 6 days without rain under fair sunshine, so water content of topsoil was lower than expected, although this should not have affected the organic matter content nor the water content of the sub soil. Only one sample was taken per site due to time constraints and the distance that would have to be travelled to collect more samples. The soils had values at the bottom end of the C-storage averages predicted for the UK, and this may be due to the comparatively high rainfall and low sunshine the area receives. Only the coniferous areas showed high current storage, but all areas showed much potential with the use of mulches on agricultural soils. 65 Top Soil and Sub Soil Image E: Topsoil (L) and subsoil (R) of the Oil Well Mixed woodland. Image E Shows how the leaf litter from the forest has caused large build ups of humic acids reflected in the darker appearance of the soil. As expected, there was a difference in Soil Organic Content (SOC) and water content between top- and sub- soils. The average water content was highest in the sub soils, as water is leeched down into the deeper, covered soil and much of the remaining water in surface soils is evaporated or absorbed by plant life . The highest average soil organic content was found in the surface soil s, which is due to the addition of manure and fertilisers to the soil. There were high levels of manure found in the clay soils near White Gate and Owens woods, which added to the structural integrity of the soil and allow for more nutrients and water to b e stored amongst the minerals. 66 Detritus Image F: Detritus samples from Oil Well Forest b) (L) and Lone Barn Wood (R) Some areas benefits providing had the significant soil the in soil many with detritus ways. shade, covering One of reducing the these the floor, is which continually potential for evapotranspiration. In the woodlands where there was little grow th on the forest floor, due to a thick canopy reducing ground light levels, there was much detritus found as leaf litter accumulate d. This provides a barrier against oxidation of the soil and removal of water, allowing rich soils to develop with high organic soil carbon contents. Image G: Showing Topsoil (L) being particularly hard and of poor quality. Difficult for roots to break through. 67 Image H: The soil core taken from Charity Meadow. Land use and how it affects SOM content. Land use strongly influences carbon content of soil, with arable and orchard woodland soils and showing grassland soils significantly (P value different <0.01). values This was to in accordance with expected values (Hester and Harrison 2010, Fitton et al 2011) and confirms that the repeated tilling of soil and intensive use of the land is reducing available soil carbon. Orchard soil carbon levels were slight ly higher than arable soils, indicating grass strips between rows of trees provides useful soil cover and aids in SOM storage. “Set-aside” around the edges of fields also yielded higher carbon values. 68 Image I: Comparison of soil samples. (L) Arable soil next to Vicars Cross (Top) with Water Garden (BOTTOM). (R) Vicars Cross Woodland soil (Top) with soil from the arable field adjacent to it (Bottom) Image J: Soil samples taken from Leckford Estate as they were extracted from the soil. 69 Image K: Soil samples from Leckford Estate after removal of water content Image L: Soil samples from Leckford Estate after removal of organic content. The last three images show clear changes in the appearance of the soil as is initially dried and organic matter is burned off, leaving some soils a pale grey and some high clay content soils a dark red. 70 Analysis of investigation methods Firstly, the results obtained from the investigation regarding the carbon stored in each area of woodland have produced rad ically different figures after a detailed investigation. This investigation of the individual trees allowed each area to be considered in detail according to its size and current health and development. The model also allowed for areas as different as the parkland and the willow crop in amongst the chicken farm to be considered on their own merits as the density, average size and age of the trees were so very different. A blanket model if used online would have produced figures of around 245 tonnes of carbon per year for the site, compared to the 224 tonnes obtained by the model used in this study. This figure was generated by the “CALM” calculator, and measure coniferous or broadleaved woodlands based around thr ee age brackets: 0-10 years old, 10-20 years old and older than 20 years. This did not allow for the density, health or composition of the woodland to be considered. This model considers a hectare of the Parkland, with a density of just 4 trees for every 3 00m sample site and a carbon storage of 0.56tCha-1 in 2012, the same as the much denser and less heavily managed area of the Sycamore, which had a carbon storage of 4.45tCha-1. It did, however, allow for measurements of management under the HLS program, which have been used as the basis for changes in future modeling to prevent approximation of figures according to American models. The CALM calculator over-estimated the volume of carbon available due to the inability of understand the mix of trees. As this investigation’s figures were so different and reflected the true state of the woodlands in each area rather than just representing an average value, these figures give more value when analyzing strategies. The model used was limited as it could not use the ages of trees, but it can however compare what carbon already exists in the area of forest to how much is being stored each year . It was extremely 71 difficult to fit the data to a pre-made model, thus much literature was consulted to produce as accurate figures as possible to fit the available data. This remains an evolving field so further studies are encouraged on the carbon sequestration of the woodlands currently in place on Leckford, once ages of the trees become more accurately determined. This is as the more accurate figures that will inevitably come perhaps even tailor-made to the local climate, can be inserted and referenced against this previous model. Many of the available figures are aimed at growth rates based in America, and in many of the wo oded sites on the Estate, the exact age of the trees was unknown. Limitations There were a number of limitations associated with this study due to its nature interpretation, differences and as an but can evolving the be basic field. data inputted into Models shows leave great future much for physiological models for further comparison.. It is difficult to predict deaths and unexpected severe weather events can restrict growth for decades as old stands are reduced and new growth will take time to establish ( Coomes et al, 2012). Coomes also estimates that increases in severe weather events will increase the number of old stands falling, seen on the Es tate after a number of severe storms occurring in 1987 and 1990. According to the Woodland Management plan some significant felling occurred and replanting had taken place (2012). There was no method found to allow farmers to access a simple, straightforward model by which exact measurements could be gained. Generalisations for co-efficients to gain a general picture of carbon volume storage are potential options, and these figures, whilst not completely accurate, can give an impression of the general storage of each area. 72 This investigation has not found a simple, or even an completely accurate measurement but shows areas for further research due to the positive findings. Recommendations for future research a nd ongoing proj ects Most of the aims and objectives were met of the investigation. The orchards were not considered woodland as they were on a 25 year cycle and will be relatively inert in terms of carbon storage cycle. Due to the short time frame this was not pursued, by the orchards can be addressed using the calculations available as the age of these sites is well documented. The w illow storage was examined as a comparison of a quick growing tree, although it has known negative influences on water tables. Hedgerows will certainly be a significant mid to long-term storage of carbon, and are recommended for investigation. In accordance with management plans produced for the farm in 2008, priorities have been for the promotion of biodiversity due to a number of rare species (predominantly birds) found on the site. This aim Stewardship is combined agreement with (HLS) a with Higher Level Natural Environmental England to remove alien species such as Sycamore and invasive Willow. This will allow thinning of the woodlands and natural resurgence of undergrowth and young saplings, although it will take a number of years before the initial carbon hel d in the area is replaced. This is a major difficulty in aiming to store large amounts of carbon in an area, as the most efficient ways of storing large volumes of carbon would be by planting a rapidly growing species such as Sitka Spruce, which can sequester around 10tCha-1yr-1 for a period of about 30 years (Murray, 1995). It would however have major effects on the soil carbon and biodiversity of the area and these balances need to be assessed. For this type of farm, the continuation of promoting native species is encouraged to produce 73 large long-term storage, if at slower rates as the social and landscape benefits would assist in the success of the scheme. 7. Conclusion In conclusion, this project highlights the need for careful analysis of individual woodlands at a local scale in the UK due to the significant difference in results and physical composition for each area examined. The differences between each site have been identified and shown to contribute largely towards their varied carbon storage levels year on year. As these areas differ so greatly, individual management plans to not only enhances carbon storage, but also healthy enhance the ecosystem is ecology likely to and biodiversity store more are carbon, vital, due to as a the increased biomass it can support. The different conditions of the soil across the site show typical degradation of SOC deprivation of the due soil to of agricultural regeneration practices periods and the necessary . 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Wong, M.H. Zhao, Q.G. Zhang, G.L. (2007)Soil organic carbon storage and changes with reduction in agricultural activities in Hong Kong, Geoderma, Volume 139, Issues 3–4, Pages 412-419, 79 Appendix Appendix 1 GIS map of Leckford Estate 80 Appendix 2 MasterMap and OS Data of Trees sites sampled on Leckford Estate , using landuses designated by MasterMap. Appendix 3 MasterMap and OS Data of Soil sites samples on Leckford Estate. 81 Appendix 4 Clark’s (1986) Coefficients Used and Tree age Formulas Coefficients Species Ash Other Hardwood Beech Birch, Cedar, Red Cherry, Black Cherry, white Equations m=.1063 dbh 2.4798 m=.0617 dbh 2.5328 m=.0842 dbh 2.5715 m=.0629 dbh 2.6606 m=.1019 dbh 2.3000 m=.0716 dbh 2.6174 m=.1556 dbh 2.1948 82 m=.0792 dbh 2.6349 m=.0622 dbh 2.4500 m=.0629 dbh 2.6606 m=.0792 dbh 2.6349 m=.0554 dbh 2.7276 m=.0579 dbh 2.6887 m=.1617=dbh 2.1420 m=.0910 dbh 2.5080 Flowering dogwood and Hawthorn Yew Elm, American Hornbeam Oak, chestnut Oak, white Other Coniferous Maple, Red Tree age formula, Tree age= DBH(cm)/ average growth rate. Average trunk growth rates used (girth) per year (cms) Clark (1986) Softwoods- 2.5 H ardwoods-1.5 Pine -7 Other conifers-1 Yew 0.7 Appendix 5 Physical data collected from the Parkland sample site. Subdivision Name Prunus Avium Plena A (Cherry) Scots Pine Prunus Avium Plena (Cherry) Japanese Maple Tree Type Tree Height Dense forest? Width (cm) at 150cm high H 32 N 125 C 35 N 174 H 37 N 174 H 7 N 12 83 Eucalyptus Japanese Maple Japanese Maple Japanese Maple H 48 N 406 H 10 N 26 H 25 N 51 H 12 N 38 Appendix 6 Physical data collected from the Water Garden ) site Subdivision B) Dense forest? Y Y Y Y Y Y Width (cm) at 150cm high 7.00 17.00 116.00 3.00 8.00 131.00 Name Rowan Sycamore Alder Rowan Sycamore Rowan Tree Type H H H H H H Tree Height 9.00 20.00 55.00 9.00 15.00 90.00 Flowering Dogwood Rowan Alder Rowan Rowan H H H H H 20.00 14.00 23.00 10.00 16.00 Y Y Y Y Y 16.00 7.00 35.00 5.00 8.00 Coppiced Alder (6 trunks) Sycamore Hawthorn Sycamore H H H H 60.00 26.00 12.00 7.00 Y Y Y Y 94.00 18.00 8.00 7.00 Sycamore H 16.00 Y 11.00 Coppiced Sycamore H 23.00 Y 19.00 Coppiced Sycamore Hawthorn Rowan H H H 10.00 12.00 5.00 Y Y Y 6.00 11.00 6.00 84 Alder Sycamore Alder Sycamore Alder Sycamore Sycamore Hawthorn Sycamore Rowan Sycamore Alder Coppiced Sycamore 2 shoots Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Rowan Hawthorn Hawthorn Beech Sycamore Sycamore Hawthorn Alder Sycamore Sycamore Alder Coppiced Beech 8 Shoots Alder Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Alder Hawthorn Rowan Hawthorn Sycamore Holly Dogwood Sycamore Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawthorn H H H H H H H H H H H H 40.00 28.00 28.00 28.00 40.00 16.00 15.00 15.00 10.00 11.00 28.00 38.00 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y 74.00 28.00 102.00 30.00 83.00 13.00 12.00 18.00 10.00 3.00 15.00 87.00 H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H 30.00 10.00 8.00 29.00 29.00 80.00 12.00 8.00 30.00 20.00 31.00 25.00 50.00 33.00 16.00 45.00 18.00 45.00 24.00 15.00 20.00 40.00 8.00 50.00 7.00 25.00 4.00 20.00 30.00 8.00 10.00 15.00 7.00 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y 20.00 12.00 7.00 20.00 22.00 191.00 8.20 5.00 31.00 25.00 30.00 30.00 90.00 24.00 15.00 80.00 18.00 120.00 24.00 12.00 16.00 104.00 6.00 94.00 4.00 23.00 2.50 20.00 26.00 2.50 5.00 11.00 1.00 85 Hawthorn Sycamore Hawthorn Alder Rowan Alder Hawthorn Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Sycamore Hawthorn Sycamore Rowan H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H 12.00 13.00 12.00 30.00 70.00 40.00 8.00 10.00 8.00 15.00 25.00 30.00 4.00 18.00 30.00 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y 7.00 10.00 12.00 90.00 168.00 70.00 5.00 7.00 4.00 10.00 18.00 27.00 2.00 10.00 35.00 Appendix 7 A summary of the soil calculations, full data set on request from [email protected] Location Land Use Topsoil/ Subsoil/ Organic matter (%) tCha Water content (%) Arable Next to Orchard 5 Arable Top 10.91 160 15.87 Arable Next to Vicars cross Arable Top 9.47 149 9.64 C13/C14? Arable Top 9.36 155 4.59 Arable on Clay (C3B2) Arable On clay Top 10.03 161 7.69 Lone Barn Wood Coniferous Top 19.53 258 24.06 Vicars Cross Coniferous Top 13.41 192 17.76 Watergarden Gleyed soil Top 12.57 47 78.56 Oilwell Mixed Woodland Mixed B +D Woodland Top 16.62 198 31.56 86 White Gate Wood Mixed B +D Woodland Top 11.64 159 21.65 Oilwell Deciduous Woodland Mixed Broadleaf Woodland Top 10.26 149 16.70 Dairy processing, Young woodland Mixed Broadleaf Woodland Top 13.92 218 9.83 Riches Plantation Mixed Broadleaf Woodland Top 7.29 105 17.51 Nursery Garden Mixed Broadleaf Woodland Top 17.07 144 51.54 Orchard 5 Orchard Top 4.76 74 10.87 Orchard 15 Orchard Top 9.18 144 9.94 Vineyard Orchard Top 6.71 111 4.97 Orchard 16 Orchard Top 8.08 133 5.35 Orchard 3 Orchard Top 7.75 128 5.02 Charity Meadow Peat Grassland Top 14.10 128 48.04 Appendix 8. A summary of the forest calculations and models. Full data set on request, as above. Woodland name Water Garden a) Managed garden Water Garden b) unmanaged woodland Density of trees in 300m 12 80 Area of woodland (m2) Total Carbon (Tonne s) stored in area/ annum 32,623.51 7.58 112,046.91 61.38 Estimated storage using CALM calculator values 9.70 33.30 Current area storage Area Area storage storage in 10 in 10 years: years: with current manag practices ement 578.22 605.29 605.29 2,227.91 2,504.71 2,582.1 7 87 Nursery Wood 16 Parkland 4 Vicars Cross Verlynch Little Plantings Sycamores Money Bunt Wood Chilcombe Wood Lone Barn Wood Top Plantings Plantation Next To Octagonal Wood Octagonal Wood Riches Plantation Abbas a) managed garden Abbas b) unmanaged woodland Willow Wood In Chicken Enclosure Charity Wood Owens Wood and White Gate Wood Wood Next to Vineyard Oil Well Forest a) Deciduous Oil Well 68,932.49 19.27 20.49 1,015.72 1,062.85 1,084.5 4 166,205.92 15.40 49.40 1,793.82 1,848.82 42 23 19 8,949.74 15,519.77 13,931.11 3.67 7.69 2.61 2.66 4.61 4.14 134.92 338.18 175.17 1,848.8 2 148.01 349.31 184.50 42 31 6,415.93 22,073.85 3.99 7.67 1.91 6.56 206.93 290.18 208.36 317.57 208.57 317.57 23 19,029.29 2.54 5.66 152.43 188.75 188.75 33 12,155.54 5.40 3.61 196.66 206.30 206.30 24 38 18,588.52 4,915.23 5.33 1.08 5.52 1.46 276.52 19.19 295.56 36.56 295.56 32.90 45 10,670.75 2.11 3.17 67.45 74.98 74.98 59 28,606.70 11.31 8.50 621.08 653.39 594.59 7 20,192.60 4.50 6.00 409.20 414.15 414.15 72 20,286.37 8.91 6.03 189.09 220.91 220.69 271 33,697.41 4.83 10.01 44.39 61.64 55.47 42 34 11,057.65 23,160.92 4.04 6.47 3.29 6.88 107.15 210.43 121.57 233.55 108.20 221.87 27 19,223.91 6.87 5.71 423.52 425.65 421.39 145.05 349.66 184.50 37 10,469.00 0.53 3.11 18.58 39.96 37.56 35 15,469.00 7.68 4.60 247.90 230.24 225.64 88 Forest b) Mixed Bowshers Wood Dairy Processing Woodland a) newly planted area Dairy Processing Woodland b) established area Somertons Wood Strattons Wood 46 21,139.97 11.03 6.28 213.26 252.65 257.70 49 58,586.76 4.55 17.41 345.07 484.98 421.94 20 14,822.13 1.56 4.41 37.03 54.10 51.94 38 8,419.75 1.84 2.50 102.36 108.93 108.82 20 16,859.15 4.83 5.01 292.84 310.09 308.54 Total 224.68 241.93 11,474.01 10,735.1 7 11,742. 54 89
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