ANNEX A: TECHNICAL NOTES Regional Economic Performance A. Economic Growth Table 1: Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), Davao Region, 2011-2012 In Million Pesos, At Constant 2000 Prices 2011 Davao Region 2012 225,456 242,230 Growth Rate (%) 7.4 2012 Target (%) 6.8 Source: NSCB The regional economy grew by 7.4% in 2012. This is higher than the 6.8% target of the Regional Development Plan. Growth can be attributed to steady accelerations in industry and services sectors. Table 2: Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), By Industrial Origin, Davao Region, 2011-2012 In Million Pesos, At Constant 2000 Prices Industry Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing Industry Sector Services Sector 2011 2012 43,278 64,516 117,662 Growth Rate (%) % Share 0.4 8.9 9.2 18.0 29.0 53.0 43,470 70,278 128,482 Source: NSCB Figure 1 GRDP, By Indsutrial Origin, 2012 Percent Distribution The agriculture sector registered a positive growth rate of 0.4% despite the damages caused by Typhoon Pablo in the later part of the year. The sector accounted for 18.0% of the region’s total output. AHFF 18% Services 53% Industry 29% B. Labor Force Table 3: Labor Force and Employment, Davao Region, 2011-2012 In ‘000 Indicator Labor Force No. of Employed No. of Unemployed Employment Rate (%) Unemployment Rate (%) Source: NSO, BLES 2011 2012 2,890 1,825 152 94.6 5.4 3,043 1,874 178 94.1 5.9 % Change 5.3 2.7 17.1 (0.5) (0.1) Annex A Davao Region’s labor force grew by 5.3% from 2.890M in 2011 to 3.043M in 2012. In similar year, employment also grew by 2.7% bringing total employed to 1.874M. Of the total employed in the region, 38% is employed in the agriculture sector. Figure 2 No. of Employed, By Major Industry Group, 2012 Percent Distribution AHFF 38% Services 48% Industry 14% Davao Region’s Banana Industry A. Economic Performance Table 4: Volume of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Philippines, 2012 In Metric Tons Region PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon Calabarzon Mimaropa Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM Volume 9,225,997.97 25,100.14 42,559.69 308,468.80 57,584.11 116,468.53 199,267.65 81,413.60 353,137.67 202,511.80 280,439.13 240,487.16 1,718,787.39 3,785,421.69 1,155,347.63 218,804.97 440,198.01 % Share 0.27 0.46 3.34 0.62 1.26 2.16 0.88 3.83 2.20 3.04 2.61 18.63 41.03 12.52 2.37 4.77 Figure 3 Volume of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Philippines, 2012 In Metric Tons Rest of the Country 59% Davao Region 41% Source: BAS 2 Annex A Table 5: Volume of Production, Cavendish Banana, Philippines, 2012 In Metric Tons Region PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon Calabarzon Mimaropa Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM Volume 4,694,639.61 284.30 909.25 1,647.78 896.67 192.68 145.86 1,102,389.36 2,902,973.62 505,827.31 40,886.06 138,486.73 % Share 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 23.48 61.84 10.77 0.87 2.95 Figure 4 Volume of Production, Cavendish Banana, Philippines, 2012 In Metric Tons Rest of the Country 38% Davao Region 62% Source: BAS Table 6: Volume of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Mindanao, 2012 In Metric Tons Region MINDANAO Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM Volume 7,559,046.85 240,487.16 1,718,787.39 3,785,421.69 1,155,347.63 218,804.97 440,198.01 % Share 3.18 22.74 50.08 15.28 2.89 5.82 Figure 5 Volume of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Mindanao, 2012 In Metric Tons Source: BAS Other Regions 50% Davao Region 50% 3 Annex A Table 7: Volume of Production, Cavendish Banana, Mindanao, 2012 In Metric Tons Region MINDANAO Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM Volume 4,690,708.94 145.86 1,102,389.36 2,902,973.62 505,827.31 40,886.06 138,486.73 % Share 0.00 23.50 61.89 10.78 0.87 2.95 Figure 6 Volume of Production, Cavendish Banana, Mindanao, 2012 In Metric Tons Source: BAS Other Regions 38% Davao Region 62% In 2012, Davao Region was the top producer of Cavendish Banana in the Philippines, accounting for 62% of the total production in the country. Table 8: Volume of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Metric Tons Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Volume 3,569,079 3,749,766 3,804,460 3,854,845 3,785,422 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 5.0 1.5 1.3 (1.8) 1.5 Source: BAS Table 9: Value of Production, All Varieties of Banana, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Million Pesos, At Constant Prices Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Value 16,953 17,811 18,071 18,310 17,981 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 5.0 1.5 1.3 (1.8) 1.5 Source: BAS 4 Annex A Table 10: Volume of Production, Cavendish Banana, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Metric Tons Year Volume 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2,746,338 2,877,651 2,927,247 2,961,989 2,902,974 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 4.8 1.7 1.2 (2.0) 1.4 Source: BAS Davao Region’s banana (Cavendish) industry slowed down in 2012 and recorded a 2.0% decline in production due to the adverse effects of Typhoon Pablo. However, the industry showed a satisfactory performance over the last five years in terms of production as evidenced by a 1.4% average annual increase in total output. B. Export Performance Table 11: Top 10 Agricultural Exports, Philippines, 2011-2012 Quantity in ‘000 MT, FOB Value in M US$ Item Coconut Oil Bananas, Fresh Tuna Pineapple and pineapple products Desiccated Coconut Tobacco Manufactured Seaweed and Carageenan Centrifugal Sugar Milk and Cream Products Fertilizer Manufactures 826.72 2,055.51 80.13 582.68 2011 FOB Value 1,425.45 472.38 314.58 345.64 108.88 286.81 5.28 68.58 197.00 3.94 (31.31) 28.16 199.97 3.68 15.80 157.46 3.15 (21.26) 46.13 210.78 3.88 33.91 184.15 3.68 (12.61) 578.74 38.13 351.45 173.44 6.47 3.19 201.93 18.01 108.80 85.80 2.17 1.71 (69.04) (50.53) 455.12 213.00 3.92 239.16 118.79 2.37 (44.23) Quantity % Share Quantity 26.24 8.70 5.79 6.36 857.50 2,646.12 61.71 742.61 2012 FOB Value 1,016.09 646.66 455.10 414.91 % Share 20.31 12.92 9.10 8.29 Growth Rate (28.72) 36.89 44.67 20.04 Source: BAS Figure 7 Top Exports, Davao Region, 2012 Percentage Distribution Others 8% Fresh Fruits 21% Banana 43% Coconut 28% Source: DTI-XI 5 Annex A Table 12: Cavendish Banana Annual Report per Destination, 2008-2012 In Boxes Year Destination 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 5year Ave. (%) Japan 50,633,406 58,073,518 51,038,528 54,455,593 53,053,283 1.7 China 26,019,941 26,863,549 31,030,072 48,179,858 33,160,358 10.7 Iran 39,240,959 35,501,963 37,142,583 31,932,439 19,626,001 (14.4) South Korea 15,903,404 15,400,037 19,096,083 17,953,259 18,106,609 3.9 Saudi Arabia 12,118,233 11,525,681 14,376,261 16,864,973 17,609,720 10.4 Kuwait 6,513,174 7,770,196 7,489,350 10,091,055 10,198,207 12.9 U. A. E. 8,630,520 9,925,205 7,147,089 7,095,786 7,736,292 (1.2) New Zealand 3,683,692 3,695,957 3,888,282 4,246,779 4,290,935 3.9 Russia 1,606,513 1,662,140 2,113,134 2,272,650 2,292,768 9.8 Singapore 892,587 1,128,307 1,103,902 1,161,810 1,221,438 8.7 Qatar 1,280,132 1,062,361 891,468 1,094,773 1,096,446 (2.5) Hong Kong 424,031 710,607 623,708 631,468 662,508 15.4 Bahrain 518,925 564,585 538,218 472,135 773,266 13.9 Egypt 376,687 514,996 456,320 457,610 471,199 7.1 Oman 366,150 394,347 313,120 318,821 295,146 (4.6) Jordan 470,156 562,982 629,971 262,457 163,345 (16.1) Iraq 6,160 237,692 31,120 Malaysia 12,038 23,242 91,424 143,268 400,873 155.7 Indonesia 11,860 122,115 35,370 121,557 Vietnam 56,343 25,229 Brunei 6,670 11,190 10,550 10,540 9,046 11.9 Turkmenistan 6,160 Thailand 15,870 17,599 3,864 1,968 Turkey 5,440 57,603 2,500 UK 1,200 Bulgaria* 2,658 69,919 Pakistan* 206,341 Belarus* 56,504 Mongolia* 63,206 Netherlands* 1,920 9,600 Ukraine* 20,010 9,008 Syria* 5,969 1,540 6,160 Germany* 2,408 Slovenia 17,116 Afghanistan 3,080 Romania 3,080 Poland 1,200 Georgia 1,132 Libya 26,156 26,156 Italy 1,084 TOTAL 168,755,877 175,515,464 178,198,236 197,959,947 171,745,231 0.8 *New Market Source: Plant Quarantine Service (PQS) of the Bureau of Plant Industry, Department of Agriculture In 2012, the banana (Cavendish) industry exported 423,146 boxes to new markets. This accounted for about 0.25% of the region’s total Cavendish Banana export. 6 Annex A Table 13: Top 5 Destinations of Cavendish Banana, 1st Semester 2012 and 2013 In Boxes Destination Japan China South Korea Iran Saudi Arabia Total Year 2012 26,448,407 19,141,506 10,940,500 9,524,208 8,523,331 74,577,952 2013 22,312,623 10,949,188 6,937,409 5,695,844 6,466,787 52,361,851 % Change (16.0) (43.0) (37.0) (40.0) (24.0) (30.0) Source: PBGEA C. Employment Table 14: No. of Employed Persons in the Banana Industry, All Varieties, Davao Region, 2008-2012 Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 No. of Employed* 320,884 345,208 349,252 353,516 353,280 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 7.6 1.2 1.2 (0.1) 2.5 *estimate, computed as total area planted with banana multiplied by 4 Source: PBGEA, BAS Table 15: No. of Employed Persons in the Banana (Cavendish) Industry, Davao Region, 2008-2012 Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 No. of Employed* 182,620 189,740 192,612 194,964 194,140 % Change 3.9 1.5 1.2 (0.4) Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 1.6 *estimate, computed as total area planted with banana multiplied by 4 Source: PBGEA, BAS In the last five years, employment in the banana (Cavendish) industry grew by an average annual rate of 1.6%. There was a slight reduction in 2012 because the plantations/farms, which were affected by Typhoon Pablo, ceased operations. D. Wages and Productivity Table 16: Labor Productivity, Banana Industry, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Pesos Year Labor Productivity* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 52,832 51,595 51,742 51,794 50,897 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) (2.3) 0.3 0.1 (1.7) (0.9) *computed as value of production over number of employed Source: PBGEA, BAS 7 Annex A Table 17: Labor Productivity, Banana (Cavendish) Industry, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Metric Tons Year Labor Productivity* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 15.04 15.17 15.20 15.19 14.95 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 0.85 0.21 (0.03) (1.58) (0.14) *computed as volume of production over number of employed Source: PBGEA, BAS The industry experienced a 1.6% decline in labor productivity between 2011 and 2012. Over the last five years, it registered a negative growth of 0.14% in labor productivity. Table 18: Minimum Wage, Agriculture Sector, Davao Region, 2008-2012 In Pesos Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Minimum Wage 244 255 262 276 288 % Change Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 4.5 2.7 5.3 4.2 4.2 Source: RTWPB-XI Meanwhile, wages in the industry grew by 4.2% from 2011 to 2012 and by an average of 4.2% in the last five years, which is high considering a downtrend in the industry’s labor productivity. E. Prospects According to Mr. Stephen Antig, the Executive Director of Pilipino Banana Growers and Exporters Association, Inc. (PBGEA), the demand for Cavendish Banana is expected to go down by 7% in 2014. Supply, on the other hand, is projected to exceed demand following the simultaneous recovery of Cavendish Banana producers who were severely affected by Typhoon Pablo. In order to eliminate the expected surplus in the third quarter of 2014, the banana industry stakeholders constantly strive to expand their customer base. The new target markets are the United States of America, Europe and other countries that have entered into free trade agreements. Countries that have improving economies like Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kurdistan are also prospective markets. 8 ANNEX B: BANANA INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN MAP Source: Davao Region Industry Cluster Plan, 2005-2010
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