Nationalism, Ethnic Conflict, and Rationality Author(s): Ashutosh Varshney Source: Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 1, No. 1 (Mar., 2003), pp. 85-99 Published by: American Political Science Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3687814 Accessed: 12/05/2010 15:21 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=apsa. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. American Political Science Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Perspectives on Politics. http://www.jstor.org Articles I Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality Nationalism,Ethnic Conflict, and Rationality By Ashutosh Varshney in theworldreadyto dieassuicidebombers? Doesa rational calculuslie beneaththe Whydo we haveso manyethnicpartisans it be discovered if we our of more ThisartiCan and nationalist creatively? rationality understanding only apply pride passions? of resistance. It arguesthata focuson dignity,self-respect, and cleseeksto answerthesequestions byfocusingon thenationalism is a better for ethnic and nationalist behavnotion of a than rather self-interest, understanding prism straightforward recognition, is not entirelyabsentasa motivation in ethnicconflict.In theprocessof developing thisargument, a ior,althoughself-interest andrefinedfurther. distinction oncemadebyMaxWeber-betweeninstrumental andvaluerationality-isrecovered rationality existthancenotaphs andtombsof emblemsof the moderncultureof nationalism No morearresting UnknownSoldiers.... Theyareeitherdeliberately emptyor no oneknowswholiesinsidethem.... becomesevenclearerif onetriesto imagine,say,a Tomb of suchmonuments Theculturalsignificance Isa senseof absurdity avoidable? Thereason of theUnknownMarxistor a cenotaphforfallenLiberals. withdeathandimmortality. If thenationalis muchconcerned norLiberalism is thatneitherMarxism thissuggestsa strongaffinitywithreligious is so concerned, ist imagining imaginings... 1983 -Benedict Anderson, Communities, Imagined re identities rational?Are identity-basedconflicts?If one goes by the history of ideas, these questionshave mostly beenansweredin the negative.Letme givetwo illustrations. In a celebratedessay,CzechnovelistMilanKunderaarguesthat scienceand novelswereborn together.Indeed,novelsweremade necessaryby science,for "themore [man]advancedin [scientific and rational]knowledge,the less clearlycould he see ... his own self... and he plungedfurtherinto what ... Heideggercalled... 'the forgettingof being."''Followingthis argumentto its logical end, Kunderaclaimsthat the questionof identity-Who am I?belongs to the realmof being,not to the domain of rationality. The latterdealswith the question,How do I get whatI want?The two questionsmay sometimesbe related-what I may be able to get may beginto definehow I see myselfand my goals-but they arenot the same. Kundera'sargumentis aboutidentityper se, not aboutnational or ethnic identity. Is it that national identities are held for rationalreasons?The customaryansweris even moreemphatically negative.IsaiahBerlin,arguablythe foremosthistorianof ideas A AshutoshVarshney is an associate professor ofpoliticalscienceat the He receivedmany UniversityofMichigan([email protected]). comments on earlier He this helpful draftsof paper. wouldespeciallike to the criticisms and ly of Gabriel acknowledge suggestions Benedict Robert Morris Almond, Anderson, Bates, Fiorina,Ira Vibha Katznelson,PratapMehta, James Pingle,RonaldRogowski, Scott,KennethShepsle, JackSnyder,SidneyVerba,the lateMyron Weiner,ElisabethWood,CrawfordYoung,and threeanonymous reviewers of thisjournal.Needlessto add, not all of themagreed,so thestandarddisclaimers apply. of the past century,informsus that the notions of nationalidentity and nationalismwerebornwith the Counter-Enlightenment. As the FrenchEnlightenmentcelebratedthe triumphof rationality, emphasizingits universalityand objectivity,a reactiontook place, especially in German-speaking Europe. The Enlightenment intellectualsargued that "methods similar to those of NewtonianPhysics... could be appliedwith equalsuccess to the fields of ethics, politics and human relationshipsin general."2Johann Gottfried von Herder,who would later be calleda leadingpatronof the Counter-Enlightenment, disagreed: "Germansmust be Germansand not third-rateFrenchmen;life lies in remainingsteepedin one'sown language,tradition,local feeling;uniformityis death."3The reactionwas both against"the deathly embrace of impersonal, scientific thought" and the Frenchculturalhegemonyof Europe.4In a similarvein, Johann Gottlieb Fichte deliveredhis Addresses to the GermanNation. It was 1808-1809; the Germans,spreadamong Prussia,Bavaria, Bohemia,and Silesia,wereyet to be born as a nation underone political roof. Herder and Fichte, Berlin argues, were the ideationalfathersof nationalism.5Indeed,nationalismas an idea aroseas a romanticrevoltagainstthe universalizingand rationalizing thrustof the Enlightenment. Can the child of the Counter-Enlightenment be analyzed in an Enlightenmentframework? Has rationality,aftermore than two centuriesof progresssince the Enlightenment,developed capacities to deal with human passions, emotions, and valuesin an illuminatingmanner?Is it thatbeneaththe nationalist prideand passionslies a rationalcalculus,whichcan be discovered if only we applyour understanding of rationalitymorecreatively? Recoveringa dualityfirstproposedby MaxWeber,I suggestthat ethnicor nationalconflictis bestconceptualizedas a combination www.apsanet.org 85 Articles I Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality of "valuerationality" and "instrumental Both of these rationality." rationalitiesare expressionsof goal-directedbehavior,but their conceptions of costs widely diverge. Instrumentalrationality entailsa strictcost-benefitcalculuswith respectto goals,necessitatingthe abandonmentor adjustmentof goalsif the costsof realbehavioris producedby a izing them aretoo high. Value-rational conscious"ethical,aesthetic,religiousor other"belief, "indepenBehavior,when drivenby such dentlyof its prospectsof success."6 can embrace values, consciously great personalsacrifices.Some or of life are considered so valuablethat theywould spheres goals not normallybe up for sale or compromise,howevercostly the pursuitof theirrealizationmightbe. The meansto achievingthese objectivesmight change,but the objectivesthemselveswould not. The term value-rationaldoes not, of course, mean that the values expressed by such behavior are necessarilylaudable. Indeed, the values in question may range from pure pride or prejudice(vis-a-vissome groupsor belief systems)to goals such as dignity, self-respect,and commitment to a group or a set of ideals. Likewise, value-rationalacts can range from long-run sacrificesfor distant goals to violent expressionsof prejudiceor status. serious possibility of high costs that usually accompanythe nationalismof resistancemake such an alignment extremely difficult. As scholarlywork proceeds further, the concept of value rationalitywill need greaterunpacking.I takethe firststepshere by concentratingon only one kind of nationalism:the nationalism of resistance.I am certainthatdignityand self-respectcannot be the microfoundationsof all forms of ethnic or nationalist behavior.Pendinglaterwork,for example,it is reasonableto suppose that the nationalismof exclusionis drivensubstantiallyby hatredand/or deep-rootedcondescension:Afrikanernationalism in SouthAfrica,the anti-Semitismof Hitler,and Hindu nationalism in India would be some examples.In what follows, the claim of dignity and self-respectappliesonly to the nationalism of resistance,not to the nationalismof exclusion.8 Terms and Distinctions Let me startwith definitionsof the principalterms used here: ethnicity,nation,and rationality.Not having the same meaning for everyone,these termsneed clarification. Ethnicityis used in two differentways.In the narrower,popularly understood sense, ethnic groups are racial or linguistic groups.Thereis, however,a broadermeaningas well. As Donald Horowitzsuggests,9all conflictsbasedon ascriptive(birth-based) groupidentities,realor imagined-race, language,religion,tribe, or caste-can be calledethnic.In thislargerusage,ethnicconflicts can rangefrom (1) the Protestant-Catholic conflict in Northern Irelandand the Hindu-Muslimconflictin Indiato (2) the blackwhite conflict in the United States and South Africa and the Malay-Chineseconflictin Malaysia,(3) the Quebecoisproblemin Canadaand the Tamil-Sinhala conflictin SriLanka,and (4) ShiaSunnitroublesin Pakistan.In the narrowerview,the firstof these examplesarereligious,the secondracial,the thirdlinguistic,and the fourthsectarian.The termethnichas customarilybeen usedin the pastfor the secondandthirdtypesof conflicts,not for the first and fourth. Proponentsof the broaderusagedo not find the narrowerdistinctionsanalyticallyhelpful.They arguethatthe formtheseconflicts take-religious, racial,linguistic,tribal-does not change their intensityor relativeintractability. The broadermeaningof ethnicis now increasinglyprevalentin the social sciences;I will use the term in this way. Also, for the purposesof this paper,the terms ethnicityand nationcan be used interchangeably. If the discussionwere about some ethnic conflicts remain bounded within the existing why state boundarieswhile others gravitatetowardindependence,a distinction between the two terms would be essential.Ethnic groups,as we know,can live withouta stateof theirown, making do with some cultural rights (e.g., use of mother tongue in schools)or affirmativeaction;but a nation meansbringingethnicity and statehoodtogether.'0This distinction,however,is not necessaryfor our purposeshere,becausethe discussionis abouta whole class of conflicts,which are framedin terms of national Most of the time and in most places,ethnic or nationalmobilization cannot begin without value-rationalmicrofoundations. Forit to be instrumentallyusedby leaders,ethnicitymust existas a valued good for some. However,ethnic mobilizationcannot proceedon value-rationalgroundsalone. Strategiesarenecessary; coalitions must be formed;the responseof the adversary-the state, the opposed ethnic group, the in-groupdissenters-must be anticipated.And manywould join such mobilization,when it has acquiredsome momentumand chanceof success,for entirely selfish reasons.The originsof ethnic mobilizationare thus value-rational,and its evolutionmay contain a lot of strategic behavior. To illustratethis argumentin ampledetailand for tractability, I shallrestrictmy analyticalfocus to only one kind of nationalist or ethnicbehavior.A usefuldistinctionis often madebetweenthe nationalismof exclusionand the nationalismof resistance.7 The idea, of course, is quite old. The nationalismof anticolonial movementswas nevercomparableto the nationalismof Hitler. In the nationalismof exclusion,a dominant group within a society-domestic or foreign-seeks to imposeits own valueson the variousother groupswithin that societyor seeksto exclude, sometimes violently, other ethnic groups from the portals of power.Typically,this takesthe form of enforcinglanguage,religion, or culturevia controlof the state,or excludinggroupsfrom poweron the basisof ethnic characteristics only. In the nationalism of resistance,a dominatedgroup opposessuch a move and seeksto preserveits culturalidentityand resistthe hegemonyand powerof the dominantgroup. I will arguethat dignity and self-respectform the microfoundations of the latter kind of nationalismor ethnic behavior. Drivenby such values,resistingnationalistsarewilling to endure very high costs-and for long periodsof time. The cost-benefit calculusin such behaviordoes not workin a way that can be eas- identity or ethnicity. What about our third key term, rationality? ily alignedwith a standardaccount of instrumentalrationality. In its standard Indeed,long time frames,a radicaluncertaintyof results,and the economicusage,the termrefersto instrumentalrationality,and it 86 March2003 1 Vol. 1/No. 1 has two meanings.First,it meansconsistencyof choice:if I preferA over B and B overC, then I must preferA overC. The second meaningis identicalwith self-interest.Action is rationalif it is aimed at realizingself-interest.If costs of an action outweigh benefits,self-interestwill not be served;hence a cost-benefitcalculus accompaniesanalysisbasedon self-interest. In philosophicaldiscussions, rationalityrefers to "reasoned assessmentas the basis of action."'1Such an assessmentcan be basedon self-interestbut also on largervalues.Self can be broadly defined in terms of group goals, national identity, religious values, aesthetic considerations,and so on. This larger view would also include what Weber called "valuerationality."In Economyand Society,Webercategorizedsocial action into four types: instrumental-rational, value-rational, norm-oriented (basedon conventionsand traditions,without criticaldeliberation), and affectiveor impulsive(the expressionof anger,envy, love, et cetera). The alternativesto instrumentallyrationalbehaviorare thus not simply emotional or irrationalbehavior.12Of the four Weberiancategoriesof human action, the first two are goaldirected, only one of which is instrumental-rational,whose uniquefeatureis a strictcost-benefitcalculuswith respectto goals and means.Suchcalculusmayleadnot only to a changeof means for the realizationof goals,but also to an alterationof goalsif the costsof attainingthem areprohibitive.Value-rationality is distina continual of even if the costs of realguishedby pursuit goals, izing them arehigh; it showsa high degreeof commitment. Which of these categoriesof behavioris representedby the term rationalchoiceoften usedin economicsand politicalscience? Almost without exception, it is instrumentalrationalitywith which rational-choicetheoristsidentify.They eitherdo not speak of goals,concentratinginsteadon the means;or they assumethat self-interestis the goal of human action. I will, therefore,use these two terms-instrumental rationalityand rationalchoiceinterchangeablyin this paper.But I will not equate rationality with rationalchoice. These distinctionshavesome importantimplicationsfor a discussionof rationality.In a standardrational-choiceaccount,there is considerableresistanceto the idea that differentmotivations can underliebehaviorin differentspheresof life: that it may be perfectlyrationalfor human beingsto be instrumentallyrational while buying a car,but value-rationalwhile respondingto questions of nationalliberation,school choice for children,affirmative action, or multiculturalismin universities.13Moreover, rationalchoice also remainshighly skepticalof the notion that individual action can be rooted in group interests, not selfinterest. Value-rationalbehaviorwould not find identification with groupinterestsirrational. What else can we say about value-rationality? Accordingto Weber,as alreadynoted,value-rationalbehavioris pursued"indeThat notion, in my view, pendentlyof its prospectsof success."14 is best seen as an ideal type, or a pure case of value-rationality. Any reasonablenotion of value-rationalbehavior cannot be insensitiveto costs. A more realisticreformulationof Weber's notion is required.In orderto providethat, let me use the simple economicconceptof elasticity. From developmentmicroeconomics,we know that demand for food is relatively,not absolutely,insensitiveto price-people must eat, however expensive food might become-whereas demandforTV sets and carsis remarkably sensitiveto price,sugof low demand for the formerand gestingthereby priceelasticity for the latter. We can high elasticity similarlyarguethat valuerationalbehavioris relativelyinelasticwith respectto costs. A fullyinelasticbehavioras in the Weberianidealtype-with valuerationalbehavioron the horizontalaxisand cost/priceon the vertical-would be representedby a flat line, but low-elasticity behaviorwould slope downward,like demandcurves,although the slope would not be as steep, as in the case of highly elastic goods such as cars. In this economic analogy,value-rational behavioris more like the demand for food, and instrumentalrationalbehaviorlike the demandfor carsandTV sets.15 Thereis no doubt that an instrumentallyrational-or rational choice-understandingof humanbehaviorhas maderemarkable progressover the years, extending into newer directions and fields. Behaviorcoveredby such reasoningand models ranges from economic decision making of consumers and firms to nuclearpolitics,legislativeand bureaucraticbehavior,and political mobilizationand ethics. Indeed, the list of topics to which rational-choicemodelshavebeen appliedcontinuesto grow.16 In principle,one cannot objectto pushinga mode of analysis to fields where it was not applied before. Indeed, severalnew insights in the world of knowledgeare generatedpreciselythis way.Much has been learnedon politicalmobilizationby exploring the ideathat the self-interestof individualsand the interestof the group to which they belong are two differentthings: class conflictmay thereforebe morelatentthan overt.17The prisoner's dilemmagamehas taughtus betterthan manyothermodelsthat rationallybehavingindividualsmay generatea macro outcome that is suboptimalfor all. Similarly,how self-seekingpoliticaland bureaucraticbehavior,as opposedto the selfishbehaviorof economic agentsin competitivemarkets,can lead to a wastefuluse of society'seconomicresourcesand hampereconomicgrowthis a problemwhere rationalchoice has been especiallyuseful as an explanatorytool.18 The issue thereforeis not whether rational-choicetheories explainhuman behaviorat all. More germaneis the questionof whetherrational-choicetheoriesare especiallyrelevantto a specific classof problemsand a particularrealmof humanbehavior, and if so, in what ways that realmmight be differentfrom others.19In this realm-specificspirit,20I ask whetherand how far rational-choicetheoriescan accountfor ethnicbehaviorand conflict, dominatedas they often are by mass politics, not by the institutionalizedformsof bureaucratic or legislativepolitics.21 The Big Gap: Where Do Ethnic Preferences Come From? Beforeethnicconflictcan be explained,a rational-choice analystis confrontedwith a twofold task:providingmicrofoundationsof ethnicbehaviorandexplainingethnicmobilization.To beginwith, one has to accountfor why individualshave, or develop,ethnic preferences.Can such preferencesbe explainedinstrumentallyi.e., as a means to a self-interested end (political power, www.apsanet.org 87 Articles I Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality economicbenefit,survival)? And since it would be instrumentally rational,given self-interest,for individualsto freeride,explaining ethnic mobilizationrequiresspecifyingconditionsunderwhich it would not make sense for individualsto free ride and, in fact, it would be rationalto join an ethnicmovementor mobilization. The standardrational-choiceaccounts assume that ethnicity can be seen instrumentally. They focus primarilyon how leaders strategicallymanipulateethnicity for the sake of power.22This argumenthas an intuitiveappealbecausethe behaviorof many,if not all, politicalleaderscan be cited in support. If presentedin this form, the instrumental-rational argument aboutethnicityrunsinto a seriousdifficulty.The elite mayindeed gain powerby mobilizingethnic identitywithout believingin it themselves,and could thereforebehaveinstrumentally.But if the masseswere only instrumentalabout ethnic identity,why would ethnicitybe the basisfor mobilizationat all?Why do the leaders decideto mobilizeethnic passionsin the firstplace?Why do they think that ethnicity,not the economic interestsof the people, is the routeto power?And if economic interestscoincidewith ethnicity,why choose ethnicityas opposedto economicinterestsfor mobilization? In principle, a rational-choiceresolution of these problems exists. Ethnicity can serve as a focal point, facilitatingconvergence of individualexpectations,and hence can be useful as a mobilization strategy.The idea of focal points comes from Thomas Schelling'sseminaltreatmentof the coordinationproblem in bargaining.In the famousSchellingexample: Ethnic mobilizationfor politicalaction is not the same as ethnic coordinationfor economic and social activities.By providinga socialoccasion,festivalsmay indeedbringpeopletogethereven if not everyone appreciatesthe ritual meaning of celebrationor mourning;and by formingmutuallyconvergingtrust,geographically spreadethnic kinsmen are also known to have supplied credit in long-distancetrade without a prior explicit contract betweentradingpartners. The analogyof a focal point, however,cannot be extendedto group action when the costs of participationfor the massesare very high. By its very nature,ethnic mobilizationin politics is group action not only in favor of one's group but also against some othergroup.More rights and power for my group often mean a diminution in the abilityof some other group(s)to dictate terms, or a sharing of power and status between groups where no such sharing earlierexisted; in the extremecases, it may even entail the other group'sdisplacementfrom power or status.Ethnicityin intragroupsocialor economic transactionsis thus very different from ethnicity in intergrouppolitical conflicts. The former illustratesthe value of ethnicity as a focal point; the latterpresentsproblemsof a differentorder.When an individualprovidescreditto ethnic brethrenwithout an explicit contract,incarceration,violence,injury,or deathis not likely the cost he has to keep in mind.25But dependingon how the adversarialgroupor the statereacts,such costs arenot unlikelyin ethnic or nationalconflicts. Considerthe famous 1930 Salt March in India. The British rulersmonopolizedthe manufactureand retailingof salt. Seizing Whena manloseshis wifein a department storewithoutanyprior a symbolthat even the illiteratemassescould relateto, Mahatma on whereto meetif theygetseparated, thechancesare understanding Gandhi arguedthat the British insulted Indiansby not letting goodthattheywillfindeachother.It is likelythateachwillthinkof them freelymakeand sell somethingas basicas salt in their own someobviousplaceto meet,so obviousthateachwillbesurethatthe countryand by levyinga salt tax. He went on to lead a nonviootheris surethatit is obviousto bothof them.23 lent mobilizationagainstsalt laws and was later arrested.Civil Schelling goes on to propose that without having an intrinsic disobediencecontinuedeven afterhis arrest.An Americanjourvalue for the couple, the lost-and-foundsection of the depart- nalistgavethe followingeyewitnessaccountof the earlyphaseof ment store could be one such place. It will, however,not be a the movement: focal point if there are too many lost-and-foundsectionsin the The saltdepositsweresurrounded by ditchesfilledwithwaterand store.A focalpoint is distinguishedby its prominenceor uniquefourhundrednative... policein khakishortsandbrown by guarded ness:it has the instrumentalpower of facilitatingthe formation of mutually consistent expectations.Schelling then generalizes the principle: st * . revoltmayreflectsimilarprinciples: whenleaderscan Spontaneous easilybe destroyed, peoplemayrequiresomesignalfortheircoordination,[whichis] ... so potentin its suggestionsfor actionthat everyonecan be surethateveryoneelse readsthe samesignalwith enoughconfidenceto act on it, thus providingone anotherwith immunitythatgoeswithactionin largenumbers.24 o O (o Ethnicity,in other words,can be viewed as one such focal point for mobilization;it is not valued for its own sake. Its mobilizational potentialmay be deployedby leadersto extractgoods and services from the modern sector, or to establish their own power. The idea of a focal point is not sufficient to explain ethnic mobilization,for it does not distinguishbetweendifferentkinds of collective action and what their respectivecosts might be. 88 March2003 I Vol. 1/No. 1 iL ':i. A -C i t:: __0 iil??:~~~~~~ii?~~~EBe"~~~~~ E Gandhi on the Salt March, 1930 I O~fl * _ turbans.Half a dozen Britishofficialscommandedthem. The police carried... five-footclubs tippedwith steel.... In completesilence, the Gandhi men drew up and halteda hundred yardsfrom the stockade.A picked column advancedfrom the crowd, waded the ditches, and approached the barbed-wire stockade.... Police officials ordered the marchersto disperse.... The column silently ignored the warning and slowly walked forward.... Suddenly, at a word of command, scores of... police rushed upon the advancingmarchersand rainedblows on their headswith theirsteel-shodclubs (lathis).Not one of the marcherseven raisedan armto fend off the blows.They went down like tenpins.Fromwhere I stood I heard the sickeningwhacks of the clubs on unprotected skulls. ... In two or three minutes the ground was quilted with bodies.... Althougheveryone knewthatwithin a few minuteshe would be beatendown, perhapskilled,I could detectno signsof waveringor fear.... The marcherssimply walked forwarduntil struck down. Therewere no outcries,only groansafterthey fell. ... I went backto the temporaryhospitalto examinethe wounded. .. I counted320 injured,many still insensiblewith fracturedskulls, otherswrithingin agony.26 Other examples of this kind of resolve can also be cited. Consider the civil-rights movement of the United States in the 1960s. "In the Black community... going to jail was a badge of dishonor."27And what kind of jails are we talking about? Freedomriders,by all accounts,hada miserabletime in the jails.They were crowded into small, filthy cells, forced to sleep on concrete floors, fed unpalatablefood, preventedfrom maintainingpersonal hygiene, intimidated,harassed,and sometimesbeatenby unfriendly guards.28 As if these were small discomforts for black civil-rights activists, we also have accounts of marches at night, even though "[u]nder cover of darkness, a violent response by the police or by local vigilantes was almost assured. When civil-rights activists conducted a night march in Marion, state troopers attacked and beat them after the street lamps were intentionally blacked out."29 Finally, similar behavior can be noted in South Africa'shistory. A violent repression or a harsh jail sentence was a near certainty, once Nelson Mandela and his colleagues decided frontally to challenge the apartheid regime on behalf of Africans. In the end, Mandela himself and many of his colleagues were jailed in Robben Island. The harsh and grim prison conditions did not crush their spirit. The experience only clarified that-given the objective of racial equality-the resolve to fight the dominant group, the Afrikaners, would have to weather such suffering. Mandela wrote: Robben Islandwas without question the harshest,most iron-fisted outpost in the South African penal system.... The warderswere white and overwhelminglyAfrikaans-speaking, and they demandeda master-servantrelationship.They ordered us to call them "baas," which we refused.The racialdivide on RobbenIslandwas absolute: therewereno blackwardersand no white prisoners.... J]ourneying to RobbenIslandwaslike going to anothercountry.Its isolationmade it not simplyanotherprison,but a worldof its own, farremovedfrom the one we had come from. The high spirits with which we left Pretoriahad been snuffedout by its sternatmosphere;we werefaceto facewith the realizationthatour life would be unredeemablygrim.In Pretoria,we felt connectedto our supportersand our families;on the island,we felt cut off and indeedwe were.We had the consolationof beingwith each other,but that was the only consolation.My dismay was quickly replacedby a sense that a new and differentfight had begun.30 After 27 years on Robben Island, Mandela did walk to triumph and freedom; but in 1962, when he was jailed, there was a good chance he would end up dying there. It was a life sentence after all, and he knew it beforehand. The same was true of his many fellow prisoners, if not to the same degree. These examples illustrate a simple point, widely understood by activists in such struggles. Ex ante possibility of violence or coercion almost always accompanies ethnic or national resistance. Mobilization for ethnic or national protest cannot thus be equated with solving problems of economic or social coordination through the ethnic bond. It is a special kind of collective action, for the costs of resistanceor mobilization are often known to be high. Although exact estimates are hard to produce, it is generally agreed that in this century, many more people have died for a nation or an ethnic group-presumed or actual-than for joining a supranational economic collectivity, such as the European Economic Community, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or the North American Free Trade Agreement.31 Moreover, fighting for higher prices, subsidies, and wages, and for more jobs, does not necessarily generate as much passion and violence as does ethnic or nationalist mobilization. The masses have often been much more willing to come out on the street for ethnic issues than for economic ones.32 If they did not value ethnicity, why would they respond so passionately to ethnic appeals? For something to be manipulated by a leader when death, injury, or incarceration is a clear possibility, it must be valued as a good by a critical mass of people, if not by all. A purely instrumental conception of ethnicity cannot explain why leaders mobilize ethnic or national identities at all. The point is analogous to Jon Elster's famous objection to an instrumental conception of norms: "Some argue that... norms... are tools of manipulation, used to dress up self-interest in a more acceptable garb. But this cannot be true.... If some people successfully exploit norms for self-interested purposes, it can only be because others are willing to let norms take precedence over self-interest."33 Epistemological Comforts of Home? In the first available rational-choice work on ethnic conflict, Alvin Rabushka and Kenneth Shepsle explicitly recognized that microfoundations of ethnic behavior were hard to provide in a strictly rational-choice framework. They argued: [A] bothersomequestionremains.... Why... areconflictsin [plural]societiesnot organizedalong economiclines?Our answeris that politiciansexertcontroloverthe definitionof alternatives,often relying on ethnic appeals.But why this particularchoice? ... If... the ethnic issuewerea facadefoistedupon an electorate not receptiveto those issuessimplyto suit the motivesof strategically www.apsanet.org 89 Articles I Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality more intrinsicthan instrumentalwith respectto ethnicity (her conscienceis her problem);and the latteris easyin smallgroups but monumentallydifficultin largegroups,even when an institutionalizedregulationof individualbehavioris devised.If the group action concernsmy caste or tribe in a village or even a 1. a formal explanation of the formation, development and town, I may rationallycoordinate:everyoneknowsme and I can be monitored.But if the groupaction is aboutan imaginedethenduranceof valuesand preferences,and 2. a positivetheoryof politicalentrepreneurship. nic or nationalcommunity-involving manyvillages,towns,and states-I can escapedetectionif I cheat.Lackingthe intimacyof ... With these two developments,then we could more persuasively small groups,how does one monitoran ethnicgroupor a nationaccountfor the preeminenceof ethnicityin the pluralsociety.34 ality?The Hardinproposalthus cannot be size independent.A Three decades have passed since Rabushka and Shepsle wrote nation is not an intimatelyknowable,face-to-facecommunity.It is a large,imaginedcommunity. their book. Do we now have an "explanation of the formation, Second, why should ethnic or nationalmobilizationbe condevelopment and endurance of values" in a rational-choice framework? ceptualizedas a coordinationgame,whereasotherkindsof mobiadvantagedpoliticians, then one might expect successfulpolitical recourseto be takenby the "losers." Althoughotherissuesmayaffectpoliticsin pluralsocieties,we assert the preeminenceof ethnicity.We arenot able to explainits genesis.A satisfactory explanationof this problemawaitstwo developments: In the most ambitious, sophisticated, and erudite rationalchoice work on ethnic conflict so far, Russell Hardin takes up the challenge.35He seeks to provide such microfoundations and also use them to explain ethnic mobilization and conflict. His proposal is threefold. First, "self-interestcan often be matched with group interest"instrumentally.Identification with the group may be beneficial for two reasons: because "those who identify strongly with the group may gain access to positions under the control of the group" and because "the group provides a relatively secure and comfortable environment." The identity between individual and group interests, he argues, can only be "contingent," not "inherent," but it is enough to touch off ethnic mobilization. Second, explanation of ethnic mobilization can'tbe reduced to the problem of collective action where it is rational to free ride, or to a prisoners' dilemma where it is rational to defect. In ethnic mobilization, "[t]he central strategic problem is merely one of coordination." So as long as others in the group are cooperating, it is rational for me to cooperate-for if all cooperate, the likelihood of the group gaining power (or group objectives) goes up tremendously. "[P]ower based in coordination is superadditive, it adds up to more than the sum of individual contributions to it." Third, all one needs to keep the coordination game going is a "charismaticleader," a "focus," and a mechanism through which information about others cooperating is provided. "Coordination power is ... a function of reinforcing expectations about the behavior of others."36 Hardin's proposal entails serious difficulties. First, even if I believe in group goals, contingently or inherently, it is not clear why it is rational for me to cooperate when others cooperate with one another. For if they are cooperating, and if "coordination power" is "superadditive,"then my group is very likely to come to power anyway and it is rational for me to take a free rideunless, of course, someone is monitoring my actions and the nonparticipants will be excluded from the rewards of the group's victory. Alternatively, my conscience could act as a monitor, giving me a sense of guilt or shame for not participating in group action even though I believe that the group's interests are my interests. Without these monitoring mechanisms, the situation does not have a unique optimum, but two optima: both free riding and participating could be rational. In a purely logical sense, Hardin's proposal thus requires monitoring of individual actions: internallyor by others.The formerentailsan individualwho is 90 March2003 | Vol. 1/No. 1 lization-such as peasant37or working-class mobilization38-are moretypicalcasesof collectiveaction,crippledby free-riderproblems?Must the group in question have some specific qualities that create"coordination" as the "centralstrategicproblem,"preendemic free empting riding?Can we accountfor this difference in a rational-choiceframework,or is some other theoryrequired to establishthe difference?If the latter question is chosen to explorewhy ethnic action is differentfrom other group actions, then it is potentiallydamagingfor rational-choicetheories,for it mayshow that some kindsof preferencesemergein a nonrational framework. Hardinhas one suchproposalaboutethnicity:thatit mayprovide "epistemologicalcomforts of home" or, put alternatively, securityof environment.This solutiononly re-statesthe problem. Why does "ethnicity"providea home?Why can'ta tradeunion or a politicalparty?The Communistexperimentwas, inter alia, premisedupon the belief that the partywould supplantthe false consciousnessof ethnicity and nation. After decadesof trying, that experimentfailed, and ethnicityhas re-emerged-frighteningly so in severalplaces.Once we believethat ethnicitycan provide a home betterthan othergroupscan, we also acceptthat in a basicsense,the microfoundationsof ethnicityarepsychological, not rational.39 Thus, whetheror not I think that my interestsand my group's interestsare different,the fundamentalpuzzle for instrumental rationalityremainsas follows:why should I, behavingin a purely instrumental-rational way,participatein groupactionbeforeit is reasonablyclearto me that the groupis likelyto win?Consider the structureof the problemdiagrammatically (see Figure1). At time T1, when my groupis not in power,my personalwelfareis at a low level (W1); I expectthat at time T2, when my groupis in power,my welfarewill riseto W2. The problemsimplyis that at time T1, I don'tknow ex antehow far awayT2 is, and I also don'tknowhow big the costsin the meantimewill be. Depending on what the adversariesdo, the sacrificerequiredcould be low (lookinglike S1) or high (S2). It is not rationalfor me to join at time T1; I should let others join and when the movement or mobilizationis alreadysubstantialand very likely close to T2, it will be rationalfor me to participate.40 To sum up, the microfoundationsof the originsof ethnic mobilizationare differentfrom those that obtain once mobilization Figure 1 W2 -----.-.--------.--------I ! i WELFARE , wi i ; ---------------s------.. '., I ', I; ;?.. i 1 For the scientificmethod can teachus nothing beyondhow factsare relatedto, and conditionedby, each other.... Yet it is equallyclear that knowledgeof what is does not open the door directlyto what shouldbe.... Objectiveknowledgeprovidesus with powerfulinstruments for the achievementof certainends, but the ultimategoal itself and the longingto reachit must come fromanothersource.... Here we face, therefore,the limits of the purelyrationalconceptionof our existence.... To make clearthese fundamentalends and valuations,and to set them fastin the emotionallife of the individual,seemsto me precisely the most importantfunctionwhich religionhas to performin the sociallife of man.... 42 I Einstein'sreasoningmay also help us understandwhy some of the most distinguishedscientistsof the centuryhavebeen greatly \X o,j/ religious.Seenthisway,rationalityand religionbelongto two different realmsof human experience-the formerhaving little to do with the ends of life.43For those uninspiredby religionand TI T1 T2 T1ME some of its excesses,culture-a set of institutionsand normative practiceswe live by, some coming from ethnic or nationaltradihas alreadyacquireda considerablefollowing,succcess,and visi- tions-has been a sourceof suchvalues.Culturereplacesreligion dersas a mobi- in the agnosticor unbelievinghomes. bility.To explainwhy ethnicityis privilegedby leac lization strategy,we must thereforelook elsewllere. To make A rational-choicescholarmay retortthat culturedoes not exist greatersense of the supplyside of the story,we peerhapsneed an on its own; it is a creationof individuals.What appearsas an inheritancetodaywas createdby individualactsin the past,makanalysisof the demandside as well. ing it possible for analyststo explain the existenceof culture instrumentally.In a fundamentalsense, this view cannotbe corAlternative Microfoundations rect. Culturemay indeed have been createdby individuals,but A searchfor alternativesmust startwith answeringtwo questions: . . elf suffice as a each individualengagedin such creationwas also actingin relaWhy can't instrumentalrationalityin and of its< a to an inheritedset of practices.In orderfor an individualto th role roleos basis for human motivation?(What, for example,Iis the of tion , de culture culturoe create,affirm,deny,or innovatea set of culturalpractices-and a cultureor religionin humanlife?)And how andwlnydoes good dealof that happensin everydaylife-there has to be a preor religionbecome a sourceof group conflict?Once we answer tationalism of existingset of normativepracticesin the frameworkof which the these questions, the microfoundationsof the rnationalism aton creation,affirmation,denial,or innovationacquiresmeaning.A , resistancewill become clear.My purposeis to shc)w that nonin' ' ' w that ntonin- sentenceor wordhasno meaninguntil a languageexists.Cultural strumentalconsiderationsare highly importantiri the nationalchoicesarethus differentfrombuyinga caror a houseon the one n telfreand ism of resistance,lacedas they arewith notionsof self-respect hand and forming political strategiesto defeat adversariesfor dignity,not with a narrowlydefinedself-interest. political office on the other. Rational-choicetheories may be more applicableto marginaldecisions, less to decisions about Why culture or religion? Either instrumentalrationality,as alreadystated, is a concept how people choose fundamentalvalues.44 about the means and not about the ends, or the self-interestis Anotherclarificationis necessary.Placingemphasison a preassumedto be the end of human action. In any case, a serious existing or inherited culture to explain ethnic behavior is sometimesseen as an endorsementof the "primordial" view of problemarisesrequiringa discussionof ends. Self-interestcan certainlygive us our immediateor intermedi- ethnicity.Accordingto this view, ethnicityis an ascriptivegiven, ate ends, but can it also provide the ultimate elnds or values? existing for centuries and thereforestrongerthan modern or Indeed, if seen as a foundationof human life or as its ultimate rational forms of human motivation or institutionaldesigns. goal, self-interestcan promote,to paraphraseHoblbes,loneliness, Man, arguesa leading exponent of the primordialview, is an nastiness,brutishness.It is not clear that any reglulatoryframe- ethnic being, or a "national,not a rationalanimal."45 workdesignedby humaningenuitycan fullycheckthe manyacts The sense in which my account of alternativemicrofoundaof nastinessif self-interestis turnedinto a supremevalue.Forthis tions relieson culturemust be distinguishedfrom the primorreason,as well as for intrinsicmoralor culturalreeasons,human dial view.Volition in the realmof cultureand identity is indeed beings cannot live without notions of right and wrrong,without possible. Culture,ethnicity,and the nation can be-and arenotions that can guide them about how to relatet< o family,com- often "constructed."Peasantswere turned into Frenchmenin and loved ones.41 in 1789 more than 50 percentof Frenchmendid not France;46 munity, Religion-not rationalityor its most monumental expression, speak Frenchat all, and "only 12-13 percent spoke it correctscience-is traditionallyconsideredto providesuchvalues.Albert ly."47Over a period of roughly a century and a half, a British Einsteinarguedforcefully: identity was created out of the English, Scottish, and Welsh \ S2 / !. www.apsanet.org 91 Articles | Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality scalemay accepttheir inferiorstatusas given.A hierarchybased on birthcan existwithout causinggroupconflict. We need, therefore,to ask a historicalquestion: when did human beings begin to questionthe idea of an ascriptivegroup at the time of the Italian Unification.49 And as for identities at a level lower than the nation, some smaller castes in India, hierarchy?In a work that has attractedwide attention, Charles First,in premodrespondingto the imperativesof an evolvingpoliticaldemocra- Taylorhas made two compellingarguments.57 ern in one's came a of fusion to form Who am castes times, I, and where am I identity-as in, cy, process together larger from?-was established cultural and of or fixed one's centuries divisions by coming place in the hierargiven changing patterns while others went a of All chical social structure. It fission.50 of was not thereby, negotiated.The riseof moderthrough process these identities were constructed,but the point to note is that nity has led to an increasingdecay of traditionalsocial hierarthey were not constructedon a clean slate.The acts of creation, chies-ideationally and/or structurally.As a result,for the first innovation, or denial drew their rationale,negativeor positive, time in history a new individualmotivation has arisen:a selffrom an existing set of values. Culture,in this sense, is embed- awarenessof dignity. One does not take one's "station"as ded in our life; it preexistsas a frameworkof meaning, within inevitable.Second, the pursuitof dignity and self-respectis not which human deliberationand rationalityoperate.It is not just monological, but dialogical.The "dialogue"takes place in a a privately underprovidedpublic good, but an "irreducibly social context. Hermits may define dignity monologically,but social good."51 the more generalpursuitsof dignity requirerecognitionfrom society. This is especiallyso because society is not a random collectionof individuals;rather,it comeswith a historicalinherWhy is culture or religion a source of conflict? If culture and religion provide values, how can they lead to conitance of perceptionsand misperceptions.Our identity as modflict? A simple answer would be that there are many such cultures ern human beings identities.48"Wehave made Italy,"said Massimod'Azeglioin a legendarystatement;"nowwe have to make Italians."Only 2.5 percentof the populationspoke Italianas an everydaylanguage and many religions, and their central tendencies clash. However, as far as the nationalism of resistance is concerned, the issue is not cultural or religious diversity per se, but a relationship of dominance, subordination, and differential worth that often gets historically built into many group relations, if not all. Structurally speaking, groups in a society can be ranked or unranked.52The hierarchical nature of the former is manifestly clear: slavery in the United States and black-white relations in South Africa during apartheid are among the best known examples. Similarly, in the Hindu caste system, the "lower"castes constitute an overwhelming majority but the tiny "upper" castes have enjoyed ritual superiority and most of the power until recently. However, sometimes even if groups are structurally unranked-in that a legal or deeply embedded ritual hierarchy does not mark their interrelationship-domination or subordination could be discursive.53Some groups may argue that they are the "sons of the soil," hence deserving of greater political, economic, or cultural privileges.54In Malaysia, the Malays make this claim vis-a-vis the Chinese and the Indians; in Sri Lanka, many Sinhalese do so with respect to the Tamils; Hindu nationalists in India would like the Hindus to have a higher status than the Muslims; and the followers of Le Pen would give more privileges to French Europeans than to the North African immigrants in France. Those who came earlier to a land have often argued that they are more entitled to political privileges or to a preeminent place in the national culture than those who came later. By itself, of course, a structural or discursive hierarchy does not engender ethnic or group conflict. Indeed, many from the disadvantaged groups may opt for what M.N. Srinivas called "Sanskritization"-i.e., the attempt on the part of the ritually subordinate Hindu castes to follow the life-styles of the upper castes.55 Elsewhere, Antonio Gramsci spoke of "hegemony" to describe how the subaltern may share the world view of the rich and the powerful.56 Those ascriptivelyplacedloweron the social 92 March2003 [ Vol. 1/No. 1 is partlyshapedby recognition or its absence,oftenby the misrecognitionof others,andso a personor groupsof peoplecansufferreal damage,realdistortion,if thepeopleor societyaroundthemmirror backto thema confining,demeaning, or contemptible pictureof themselves. or misrecognition caninflictharm,can Nonrecognition be a formof oppression, someonein a false,distorted, imprisoning andreducedmodeof being.58 Thus, even if structuralgrouphierarchyis absent,a discursive hierarchy,laced with "confining,demeaning,or contemptible" picturesfor some groups,maywell exist.Crudeilliberalprejudice or hatredis, of course,an obvioussourcefor suchviews. But the problemis much more complex.It is worth recallingthat until this century,even well-meaningliberalsbelievedin group-based notions of civilityand barbarism.In one of the foundingtextsof liberalism,John StuartMill argued: to a Breton,or a Basque Nobodycansupposethatit is notbeneficial of the FrenchNavarre, to be broughtinto the currentof ideasand feelingsof a highlycivilizedandcultivated people-to be a member of theFrenchnationality ... thanto sulkon hisownrocks,thehalfsavagerelicof pasttimes,revolvingin his own littlementalorbit, withoutparticipation or interestin the generalmovementof the world.The sameremarkappliesto the Welshmanor the Scottish asmembers of theBritishnation.59 Highlander, In the modernworld, thus, two differentnotions of dignity and worth haveoften been at odds: one stemmingfrom the culturallyinheritedconceptionsof groupsas better or worse, and anotherarisingout of a declineof socialhierarchiesand the rise of equality.The latter seeks to underminethe formerby challengingthe inheritedstructureor discourseof grouphierarchy. The questionof microfoundations-whereethnic or national preferencescome fromin the nationalismof resistance-can now be morepreciselyphrased.What arethe implicationsof a historicallyand culturallystructurednotion of ascriptivehierarchyfor the individual-groupinteractionin moderntimes?How does an individualfeel grouprelations? An individualmay end up defining a core of her identity in termsof hergroupbecauseshe is definedas such by society,a definition over whose origins she has no control but one whose reorderingwill not take place unlesseffortsare made to compel societyto changeits recognition.The questionis not simplyone of waiting for othersto launch the effort and takinga free ride. The individualwould like to participatein the effortbecauseshe can'tlive a "reducedmode of being":she would feel less of a humanbeing, or not able to respectherself,if she did not participate. Her self-respect,her dignity,is involved. An account of the microfoundationsof ethnic or national resistancethus requiressensitivityto historicallyinheritedattitudes and power relationsamong many groups, if not all. By startingwith individualsand not the culturalor historicalinheritances and power relationswithin which individualsmay be embedded,a typicalrational-choiceaccountmissesmuch of what motivates ethnic or nationalistbehavior.In the process, it is unableto accountfor some of the most importantand persistent phenomenanoted by studentsof ethnicity.Why, for example,do the minorities typically feel the group identity much more stronglythan do the dominantgroups?People,whetherfromthe dominant or the subordinategroup, are mere individualsin a purely instrumentalframework.When Isaiah Berlin said that Jews tend to "havelonger memories,"that "theyare awareof a longercontinuityas a communitythan any otherwhich has suris what they historicallylacked,60he was vived,"and "geography" a statement about his community that was incompremaking hensiblein purelyinstrumentalterms.Why keepmemories?Why should geographymatter?Why not change identity,instead of findinggeographyto matchhistory?Structuredpatternsof dominanceand subordinationand a historyof sufferinghavecustomarily shaped answersto these questions,not pure instrumental rationality. Value Rationality and Ethnic Mobilization The explanationabove exploresonly the microfoundationsof ethnic resistance.It does not account for ethnic mobilization. How are the microfoundationsand ethnic mobilizationrelated? Three mechanismscan be specified. First,a criticalmassof individualshavinga stronggroupidentification is all that one needs to explain the origins of ethnic mobilization;strong identificationof all with the group is not necessary.Value-rationalmicrofoundationsthus overcome the principaldifficultyfaced by a purely instrumentalexplanation, which was unableto explainthe originsof ethnic mobilization. Second,dependingon how the dominantgroupsand the state respondto the criticalmass, mobilizationitself can be identityforming for those who did not initially participate in it. Hegemonymay give way to an assertionof self-respect.In 1919, when thousandsof Indians(in defianceof a prohibitionon political meetings)organizeda protestmeetingin Amritsar,India,and a Britishgeneralordereda massacreto implementthe law,a turning point was reached in India's national movement.61 The mas- sacre changed Gandhi, convincing him that India'sself-respect was not possibleuntil the Britishleft; it changedNehru from a man who was "moreBritishthan the British"to one "homespun" and capableof makingthe transitionfrom a life of privilegeand luxury to one of personal sacrificefor the sake of a nation. of digniIndeed,so manyIndiansexperiencedthe self-awareness ty that afterthe Amritsarmassacreit becamepossibleto launcha nationwidecivil-disobediencemovement. Similarly,the Americancivil-rightsmovement in the 1960s formed the assertiveidentity of a large number of African Americans:"Whilethe studentsin their neat suits and demure dressessat-in,marched,demonstrated, sangandprayed,the police, the sheriff'sdeputiesand the Klanrespondedto nonviolencewith violence,meetingthe dovesof peacewith the policedogsof war."62 Elsewhere,barelya few yearsafterthe formationof Pakistan,the EastPakistanisrealizedthat theirlinguisticidentitywas at stakein a nation they joined for religiousreasons.They were told that Urdu,the languageof MuslimmigrantsfromIndia,would be the languageof the new nation, even though EastPakistanis,constitutinga majorityof the country,spokeBengali.A culturalcleavage within the new nationwas thus born,givingroomto politicsand mobilizationbasedon a linguisticidentity.As this politicsunfolded, the identityof the silentbystanderswas alsoformed. Third, as is implicitabove,a conflictcannot takeplaceunless we also factorin the behaviorof the dominantgroups.The dominantgroupstypicallyhavethreeoptions:defendpreexistingprivileges,with no adjustmentsmade;incorporatethe elite of the disadvantagedgroupsin the power structure;or renegotiateprivilege, acceptingsome notion of fairness.To defend preexisting privilegesis a case of prejudice;to incorporatethe elite, one of selectivecooptation;to renegotiateprivilege,one of fairness.In no case,includingthe last, is conflictruledout. A defenseof privilegeor prejudiceclearlyspellstrouble,once the ideologicalhegemony of group hierarchyis broken and a middleclasscapableof organizingthe groupdevelopsamongthe previouslydisadvantaged. Examplesarelegion.Dependingon the nature of the political system, such conflict may be relatively peacefulor violent. If the politicalsystemallowsthe freedomto organize,ethnic mobilizationmay dominatedemocraticpolitics but conflict may also be politicallyresolvedand violence overcome. However,if the politicalsystemis repressive,ethnic conflict may remainhidden or may not emerge in a routine way (eruptingviolently,for instance,when the stateis weak). Selectivecooptation may work if the elites so incorporated continue to hold sway over the massesand are not outbid by alternativeleadersrefusingto be co-opted. It may defuseethnic conflict or even resolveit throughwhat Arend Lijphartcalls a consociationalsystem.63Outbidding,however,is not uncommon in ethnicconflicts.Consociationalism worksunderwell-specified institutionalconditions.64 Most interestingly,however,conflictcan occureven when the leadersof the dominantgrouprenegotiateprivilege.The problem simply is that the question of what constitutesfairnesshas no uniquely acceptableanswer.Why should the membersof this generationpay for the inequitiesof the past, in which they did not directly participate?How much should they pay, if they must? For how long? Multiple answersexist; the outcomes are www.apsanet.org 93 Articles I Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality politically determined. On affirmative action, such struggles are universal. Three Kinds of Ethnic and Nationalistic Behavior Central to the alternative account I have presented above are notions of hierarchy, dignity, and recognition. Goal-oriented thinking exists in this alternative account, but it is defined with respect to the values so specified, not independently of these values. This conception of strategic behavior is different from the one in which ethnicity itself is seen as a means to an end. If we combine the two notions of rationality discussed above, we get three different kinds of ethnic and nationalistic behavior, which we should distinguish from one another. Thepure case of value rationality Martyrdom-suicide bombing, in these times-is the pure form of value-rational behavior. In such cases, no cost (including death) is considered too high by an ethnic partisan. If aimed at enhancing group prospects, to kill may be a form of instrumental behavior-and likewise, being killed may result from someone else behaving instrumentally. But to die is not instrumentally rational for an individual, for whatever its benefits to the group, the martyr will not be there to see his dreams fulfilled. Such martyrdom, however, can be instrumentally beneficial for the group, for it can touch off strong emotions, raising the level of group consciousness. Indeed, collective martyrdom or martyrdom of an important leader of the group can be a tipping point in group consciousness and mobilization.65 It is possible to argue that religious martyrdom is, in fact, individually rational, for the motivations of the martyr extend to life after death. Most religions have a notion of afterlife. Thisworldly martyrdom can pave the way for other-worldly glory. But ethnic or national martyrdom, as opposed to religious martyrdom, has no such notion of afterlife. Its aim is collective benefit, pure and simple. Sri Lanka'sTamil Tigers repeatedly produced suicide bombers to increase group cohesion and to target "enemies." In a number of national, or freedom, movements in the developing world, there were many examples of men seeking martyrdom or taking the risk of death. Given the significance of death in nationalism, martyrdom can also be instrumentally used by some-not, of course, by those who die. Ethnic partisansare known to have killed important figures of their own communities-so as to put the blame of death on the adversaryand engineer in-group cohesion. This use of martyrdom is instrumental-rational and must be distinguished from the behavior of those seeking martyrdom. The latter is value-rational. Thepure case of instrumental rationality From an individual perspective, the instrumental benefits of participating in nationalist mobilization are obvious only under two strict conditions: when nationalists are already close to capturing power and much can be gained (or losses cut) by joining the bandwagon, and when law and order have broken down, ethnic animosities have soured group relations, and even neighbors-of long standing but belonging to a different ethnic group-can't be trust94 March 2003 i Vol. 1/No. 1 ed, creating a "securitydilemma" for individuals and making preemptive violence against neighbors of a different ethnic group an exercise in personal security.66Most ethnic conflicts do not reach this last Hobbesian state of nature. It was typical of the former Yugoslavia in recent times; of massacres in Rwanda; and of the border states of India, especially Punjab, during the country's partition in 1947. Combiningvalue rationality and instrumentalrationality This is the category where a lot of ethnic conflict belongs. The concept of rationality here can mean two things: seeing ethnicity as a means to a self-interested end, or else selecting appropriate means to realize group goals or choosing between competing group goals. Enough has already been said about the first; why might the second be necessary? The fact that my identity gets tied up with my group does not mean that I accept as right everything that the group (i.e., its leadership on behalf of the group) does. I may have a different version of group objectives and may even try to convince my group that my version is right. My identity may be tied up with my group, but my views may not be. Such intra-ethnic clashes on what is valuable and what means are appropriate to achieve those goals allow for a great deal of volition, intragroup strategizing, and struggle. Indeed, if I have leadership ambition, I may even try to retrieve my group's history purposively to show that I am historically more authentic than are my adversaries in the group, while both my adversariesand I seek group betterment. Selective retrievalof tradition is a standard strategy in nationalist struggles. Alternatively, people may try to change the form of protest. Sometimes, this means moving from nonviolent to violent means; at other times, it simply entails exploring alternative nonviolent strategies, as seen in the Indian freedom movement, of which the Salt March was a component, and in the American civil-rights movement. In many nationalist conflicts, however, even when the ends are noble, the means are not. Violence is often used as an instrument for ethnic ends. Our moral objections to violence notwithstanding, it is undeniable that from the perspective of ethnic and national partisans, violence can represent a combination of value rationality and instrumental rationality. When asked by psychologist Sudhir Kakar why they killed members of the other community, the wrestlers involved in communal violence in the Indian city of Hyderabad argued that they were defending the quam (nation). They stopped killing, they said, when they had killed more than the wrestlers of the other community had killed. Indeed, after giving them tests to check lies, falsehood, and dissimulation, Kakarhad to conclude-much to his emotional dismay but true to his professional craft-that in psychological terms, the killerswere "warriors,"not "murderers."67 Much of the dynamics and intensity of ethnic conflict cannot be explained unless we understand how decisions are made about which sections of the population-women, children, and old people or the able-bodied men-are the targets of violence; whether festivals and celebrations are disrupted; whether sacralized monuments and places of worship are attacked; whether automatic weapons are used by a few or small weapons by a lot, although each method may kill as many people. We are in a world requires a great deal of unpacking.A searchfor dig- Table 1 Leaders Masses OUTCOME PureValueRational Pure InstrumentalRational Value- and InstrumentalRational nity and recognition may well define the motivation under- yes yes yes yes yes lying the nationalism of resistance, but other forms of nationalistic behavior-such originsyes; sustenanceno originsno; sustenancepossible originsyes; sustenance yes sustenance yes as those witnessed in the nationalism of exclusion or whereconsiderableplanningoften goes into the timing,type,and targetsof violence, for symbolicviolence is often centralto ethnic conflict.Much, if not all, of this strategicbehavioris basedon the groupgoals that ethnic or nationalpartisanshave. It will be hardto provethatnationalistsmakesuchdecisionson purelyselfinterestedgrounds,without linking their strategiesto the interests of the groupthey seek to represent. Table1 summarizesthe argumentso far.The purecaseof value rationalitymayaccountfor the originsof ethnicmobilizationbut not for its sustenance;the pure case of instrumentalrationality cannot explainwhy ethnic mobilizationcommences,althoughit may begin to explainbehavioronce mobilizationhas reacheda criticalpoint; and the combinationof value and instrumental rationalitycan explainboth why ethnic mobilizationbeginsand how it is sustained. Conclusions: Pluralizing Microfoundations Three conclusions follow. First, rational-choicetheories are unableto answersome of the fundamentalquestionsin the study of ethnicityand nationalism.They almostwholly concentrateon why leadersmanipulateethnicity or nationalfeelings, ignoring questionswithout which we can'tunderstandmobilizationfor ethnic or nationalresistance:Why do the massesjoin ethnic and nationalmovementswhen the costs of participationare almost certainto be high?And why do minoritiesso often feel the group To answerthesequesidentitymoreintenselythan do majorities? tions, one has to pluralizethe conceptof rationality.A distinction between value rationalityand instrumentalrationality,as proposed by Weber, will be a good starting point. The former concept is considerablyless sensitiveto the notion of costs of behaviorthan the latter.Some goals-national liberation,racial equality,ethnic self-respect-may be deemed so precious that high costs, quite common in movementsof resistance,are not sufficientto detera doggedpursuitof such objectives.The goals areoften not up for negotiationand barter;the meansdeployed to realizethem may well be. However-and this is the secondconclusion-once ethnicpreferencesare in placeand mobilizationhas reacheda criticalmass, methraisingprospectsof success,one can use the rational-choice ods to understandwhy manypeoplejoin ethnicor nationalmovements.The approachworksbestwhenethnicityis assumedto exist, not if one wereto analyzewhereethnicpreferences come from. the Weberian idea of value while of generFinally, rationality, ic significancein analyzingethnic or nationalistbehavior,also when majority groups develop a minority complex-may be motivations other than dignity and self-respect. undergirded by A pluralism of microfoundations is quite likely to be found as we move further along this path of inquiry. References Almond, Gabriel. 1991. Rational choice theory and the social sciences. In The Economic Approach to Politics, ed. Kristen R. Monroe. New York: HarperCollins. Alt, James, and Kenneth Shepsle, eds. 1990. Perspectiveson Political Economy.New York: Cambridge University Press. 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He also wrote a vehement poem (cited in Kedourie 1993, 53): AndYouGermanalone,returning fromabroad, Wouldstgreetyour motherin French? O spewit out,beforeyourdoor Spewout theuglyslimeof theSeine SpeakGerman,O youGerman. 5 Kedourieagrees.See Kedourie 1993, especiallychapters3 and 4. 6 Weber 1978, volume 1, 24-5. 7 For a recent statementof this distinction, see Feinberg 1997, 69-73. 8 Of course,all nationalisms,includingthe nationalismof resistance,are to some extent exclusionary.Without the notion of "us"and "them,"nationalismdoes not work. However,despite not being entirelydevoid of exclusion, nationalismof resistancetends to define communityin a more inclusiveway than does the nationalismof exclusion. For futureanalysis,the most difficultcategory-and a category differentfrom the above two-is going to be "majorities feeling like a minority"(the Sinhalesein Sri Lankauntil the 1970s; the Malaysin Malaysiauntil the 1970s; the Pribumiin Indonesiaeven today).The microfoundations drivingsuch behaviorare complex,requiringpainstaking investigation.It is throughcumulativesteps that we will be able to developan alternativetheory of where ethnic preferencescome from. For some thoughtfulpsychological probings,see Horowitz2001 and Peterson2002. 9 Horowitz 1984, 41-54. 10 Gellner 1983, 1. 11 Sen 1982, 105. To sample the varietyassociatedwith rationality in philosophicaldiscussions,also see Nozick 1983, especiallythe chapterentitled "InstrumentalRationality and Its Limits,"133-81; Putnam 1981, especially the chapter"TwoConceptionsof Rationality";and Davidson 1963. 12 Mention should also be made of the concept of rationality in psychology,sometimescalled "boundedrationality." See Tverskyand Kahneman1990a; Tverskyand Kahneman 1990b; and Simon 1986. 13 On whether the same instrumentalrationalityis applicable to spheresbeyond commercialbehavior,see not only Sen 1982 (cited above), but also Coase 1978 and Buchanan1995. 14 Also see Almond 1991. 15 Some of the leading scholarsof rationalitywould not entirely approveof such an analogy.AmartyaSen, while writing about behaviorbased on commitment as opposed to self-interest,drawsa distinction between preferences and metapreferences. The formerconcept is basicallywhat Paul Samuelsoncalled "revealedpreference,"representing choices evident in marketbehavior,such as when we buy cars or footwear;the latter speaksof the largerpsychological and culturalprocessesthat undergirdthe actuallyobserved marketchoices. See the discussionin Sen 1973, as well as Sen 1982; also see Hirschman1985. Strictlyfor the purposesof this paper,although not more generally, this criticismcan basicallybe viewed as a dispute over appropriateanalogies.Whether or not value-rationalitycan be seen as a deeper set of metapreferences generatingobservedchoices in behavior,the basic claim that it is different from instrumentalrationalityis not underminedby an argumentabout metapreferences. 16 For overviewsof rational-choicemodels of politics, see Alt and Shepsle 1990; Green and Shapiro 1994; Monroe 1991; and Booth et al. 1993. 17 Olson 1965. 18 Bates 1981. 19 Critiquesemergingfrom within the rational-choiceparadigm are very helpful in understandingthe limits of rational-choicetheories.Among the most thoughtfulselfcritiquesare Jon Elster 1989 and MichaelTaylor 1993. Elster'sargumentis that rational-choicetheory is inapplicable in the following situations:(1) when multiple optima exist, (2) when the choice set has incommensurable options, (3) when no reliableprobabilityestimatescan be made, subjectively or objectively, because of insufficient evidence, and (4) when it is not even clear how much www.apsanet.org 97 Articles | Nationalism,EthnicConflict,and Rationality 20 21 22 23 24 25 evidence should be collected before such judgmentscan be made. For some reflectionsof the domain specificityof rational-choicearguments,see Munck 2001. MorrisFiorina,a rational-choicescholarof Americanpolitics, acceptsthat elite and mass politics have very different implicationsfor a rational-choiceanalysis:"Rational Choice Models are most useful where stakesare high and numberslow. . . . Thus in works on mass behaviorI utilize minimalistnotions of rationality. . . whereasin works on elites I assumea higher order of rationality." Fiorina 1995, 88. There are two kinds of works on instrumentalconceptions of ethnicity.The works that follow the rationalchoice method self-consciouslyinclude Rabushkaand Shepsle 1972, Hardin 1995, and Hechter 2000. The idea of the instrumentaluse of ethnicity,however,goes beyond the rational-choiceliterature.It is implicit in much of the literatureon ethnic conflict. See, e.g., Brass 1975 and Bates 1974. Sometimes,Gellner 1983 is also seen as a major instrumentaltext. Gellner'sbasic argumentis that industrializationled to nationalismin history.The "low" oral cultures,he argues,could not have producedthe standardizationnecessaryto run an industrialeconomy; only "high"cultureswith standardizedmodes of communication could have. I read Gellner more as a functionalist than as an instrumentalist.For a clear statementof differencesbetween functionalismand rationalchoice, see Elster 1982. Schelling 1963, 54. Ibid, 74. Unless, of course, the Mafia is involved in the transac- original. 35 As Hardin 1995 was published,anothercollectionof essays addressingthis problemcame out. See Bretonet al. 1995. The opening lines of this book are worth noting: "The literatureon nationalismis enormous.Economists,historians, philosophers,politicalscientists,sociologistsand other scholarsas well as lay observersand commentatorshave all broughttheir particularskills and methods to bearon the phenomenonwhich, it would be easy to argue,has dominated human affairsfor a good part of the nineteenthcenMarch2003 40 41 tion. 26 Miller 1994, 250-3. This is not to say that demonstrations do not often dissolve in the face of coercion.That, however,is less surprisingthan the fact that so many ethnic movementspersistdespite coercion. 27 Raines 1977, 56. 28 Chong 1991, 85. 29 Ibid, 25-6. 30 Mandela 1994, 387. 31 Gurr 1993 makes a statisticalattempt. 32 For how economic and ethnic mobilizationscan dramatically vary,see Varshney1995 and 2002. 33 Elster 1989, 118. 34 Rabushkaand Shepsle 1972, 64-5. Emphasisin the 98 36 37 38 39 I Vol. 1/No. 1 42 43 tury and throughoutthe twentieth.The contributionof what we may call the rationalchoice paradigmhas, however,not been large"(ix). Hardin 1995, 5, 36-70. Popkin 1979. Przeworski1985. Hardin'sapproachis abstractand philosophical.In a more empiricalvein, there is also Laitin 1998 on the formation of a new identity, "the Russian-Speaking Populations,"in four republicsof the formerSoviet Union: Kazakhstan, Estonia, Latvia,and Ukraine.In theory,this work could have answeredthe question posed above:how do people develop, or maintain,ethnic or nationalpreferences,especially when the costs of expressingthose preferencesare ex ante so high? Laitin'sempiricalapproach,however,allows him to focus only on the formationof new and pragmaticidentitiesof (primarily)Russiansin areaswhere conflict did not take place. There is little variationon the dependentvariable.As such, the empiricalmaterialsof Laitin are unable to answerquestionsraisedabove about the nationalismof resistance.Had Laitin'sfocus included the Chechens,we would have learnedmuch empirically about the source of nationalisticpreferenceseven in the face of high-cost conditions. Indeed, even close to time T2, as arguedearlier,so long as the benefits of group power are nonexcludable,I should not join for I will get the benefits anyway.Thus, time T2 also has a problemof indeterminacy,requiring ethnic leadersto set up mechanismsto ensurethat benefits are distributedaccordingto participation.For the sake of parsimony,however,let us assumethat instrumentalrationality at time T2 means participation. This, of course, raisesthe question of whether "rational ethics"can exist and whether it can be embeddedin society. See Sen 1992 and Harsanyi1976. Einstein 1982, 41-2. Also see Kolakowski1990, especially "Modernityon EndlessTrial"and "The Revengeof the Sacredin SecularCulture." The conflict, Einstein adds, begins when rationalityclaims it can pronounceauthoritativelyupon the ends of human life and religion claims that it can explain empiricalrelationships. 44 Laitin 1986, 148-9, makes a roughly similar argument: "Rationalchoice [theory]... is a theory of marginaldecisions. It cannot tell us if ultimatelybutter is better than guns; it can tell us that at a certain point the production of a small number of guns will cost us a whole lot of butter and at that point it is probablyirrationalto produce more guns. Within a political structure,individuals constantlymake marginaldecisions. Neo-Benthamitetheories can give us a grasp on how individualpolitical actors are likely to make choices within that structure. Microeconomictheory cannot, however,handle long-term and non-marginaldecisions. When marketstructuresare themselvesthreatened,and people must decide whether to work within the new structureor hold on to the old-without an opportunityfor a marginaldecisionmicroeconomictheory is not applicable."Also see Elster 1989, 40. 45 Connor 1994. The primordialview is often associated with Geertz and Connor. See Geertz 1963. This view was fashionablein the 1960s. In the 1970s, the "instrumental" view arose as a reactionto the primordialview. For a review of the debate, see Young 1983. 46 Weber 1976. 47 Hobsbawm 1990, 61. 48 Colley 1992. 49 Hobsbawm 1990, 60. 50 Rudolph and Rudolph 1967. 51 Taylor 1995. 52 Horowitz 1984, 22-36. 53 The implicationhere, it should be clarified,is not that ethnic groups are alwaysranked,either structurallyor discursively.Many unrankedethnic relationshipsin both senses can, and do, exist. The Jews, Irish, and Italianstoday have an unrankedrelationshipwith the WASPsin the United States;that was not true in the late nineteenth century.The relationshipof the Parsisand Sikhs with the majorityHindu community in twentieth-centuryIndia is unranked,unlike India'scaste system, which continues to be discursively,if not legally,ranked,although its ranking is being vigorouslychallengedin currentpolitics. Another interestingexampleof a rankedrelationshipturning unrankedcomes from South Africa.The English and Afrikanerstoday are unrankedwith respectto each other, although right until the early decadesof this century,the relationshipwas ranked.For how this happened,see Marx 1998. 54 Weiner 1978. 55 Srinivas1966. 56 Gramsci1971. 57 See Taylor 1994. Tayloris not only a leading political philosopherof our times, but also a political activistdealing with the politics of nationalismin Quebec. For his Quebec-focusedwritings, see Taylor 1993. 58 Taylor 1994, 25. 59 Mill 1990, 385-6. 60 Berlin 1982, 252. 61 The massacrewas orderedin a walled park that had only one opening to the road, servingboth as an exit and as an entrance.The generalbroughthis forces in, closed the exit-cum-entrance,and orderedhis troops to shoot unarmed men and women assembledfor a peacefulprotest meeting. The crowd could not leave the park, even as the bullets rained in. 62 Tarrow1998, 130. 63 Lijphart1977. 64 Horowitz 1987. 65 The significanceof death in nationalismis broughtout forcefullyby Anderson 1983. The epigraphto this paper, focusing on the idea of the tomb of unknown soldiers, capturesone of the basic ideas. 66 Posen 1993. 67 Kakar1996. www.apsanet.org 99
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