Inside This Issue AMAAAW Sire Profile TBS Auction Preview Who’s Who Rising Stars Claimer Hidden Gems Trainer Highlights PLP Highlight Stars of Yesteryear Year 42, Week 1 Stakes Report SIMpoly Slant AMAAAW: Ask Maddy Anything About AW Is it possible or even worth it to try a dirt or turf horse on all weather? Do you think I can “breed up” a nice all weather horse from dirt or turf mares? I get this question from one of two groups. They are either 1) new players looking to increase their racing stock, and assume that a horse who hasn’t done well on dirt or turf should be ok on all weather, or 2) veteran players who assume that all weather hasn’t evolved much over the last 20 years. Way way back when all weather was first introduced (Y20 W11 to be precise) it was very much a last ditch effort surface, similar to chasing. Essentially, if you had an underperforming dirt or turf horse, you stuck it on all weather for a few starts. If it liked it, it stayed. If it didn’t, it was turned into a chaser for a few more starts or sent to Greener Pastures (for those of us with less patience). I actually had a lot of fun with all weather at this time. It was very much all about finding that one “diamond in the rough” type horse who was 8:0-0-0, dumped unceremoniously into AJ’s barn, waiting to burst forth onto the all weather scene in all of it’s stakes winning glory. Granted, I only had one horse do that (Show Me That Smile), but I found several other horses who didn’t show any inkling on the surface but actually panned out to be decent AW horses. Slowly I built my breeding around these types, keeping their best daughters and breeding them back to newfound sires. That stopped being the case about 5-7 SIM years ago. By that point, the sires who switched from a different surface to AW now had full AW sons standing to replace them, and most mares had at least 2 generations of sole AW racing pedigree. As a result, today’s AW pedigrees are highly specialized (though not very diverse - another topic, another day). You can immediately tell if a horse is an AW horse simply by its pedigree, and chances are it won’t run well on a surface that isn’t AW. Which is precisely why, in most instances, AW isn’t a viable option for an underperforming dirt/turf horse anymore. Even if it were to compete against low quality AW horses, it still ends up at a disadvantage because today’s AW horse will have a higher natural AW ability compared to the pure dirt or turf pedigreed horse. So what about working your way into all weather with outside, non-AW stock? I suppose you could, but it would be a very time intensive and thankless process. I’ve been building my AW barn on non-AW pedigrees since Y28, and I haven’t really started seeing success until recently. That was 10 years of selective breeding, all while the division went through a growth spurt. If you’re planning on starting that way now, not only are you fighting well established AW pedigrees but the next 10 years of growth in the division. AD: I’m really terrible at managing my horses lately. I’m actually looking forward to other people’s tips here. AMAAAW: Continued Now, all of these doesn’t mean it’s impossible for a horse to transition to AW from a different surface. The obvious exception, of course, are the top multi-surface type horses who just excel at everything. Colorado, Magician, West, Quidditch...these are just a few examples. But these horses are really really rare (and usually colts). But if you’re set on trying a horse on AW, there are a few things I might suggest: First, if the horse is doing so-so, but still picking up checks on their native surface, I would strongly recommend just keeping them there, for the reasons stated above. On the other hand, if the horse is consistently off the board, then you have a bad horse period and surface isn’t going to make a difference. Just get rid of it! Before starting your horse on AW, give it a trial AW workout beforehand. That would be a 2 furlong work for a sprinter, 4 furlong work for a miler and a 5 furlong work for a router. If the horse scores within the top 25% of work times, then you’re usually ok to make the switch. If it scores above average, but not quite the top 25%, then weigh your options. Most of the time it’s as I mentioned before - the horse is running decently on dirt/turf already, and it’s not worth the switch. If the horse works slower than average, then AW isn’t going to work at all; the horse just doesn’t have any AW ability. You can check out Abe Froman’s workout stats on the forum. His Y39 times are still a viable measurement! Year 42, Week 1 MG: Ok then, how about any goals for the new year? AD: Enter my horses. Our division needs a lot of support I think, and I feel kind of guilty lately for not helping out more. Who’s Who with Ara Davies I got to sit down this week with the trainer who hasn’t made a public appearance in what feels like decades. Or at least it would be that if SIM time equaled real time. However, she’s recently surged back into action and I took advantage of her renewed energy to ask her a few questions. Please welcome Ara Davies! MG: Do you have a favorite AW horse? AD: Colorado. He only had three AW starts, but this was back in the early days of AW so his wins were pretty good! All three of his stakes had to be sponsored by AW enthusiasts, so I’m pretty pleased the division has been able to grow past that. MG: Any favorites in your barn right now? AD: I haven’t been racing much lately, so my two favorites are unfortunately retired: Sunbledore and Sunscape. I have a foal from them this year though that I have high hopes for! MG: Ah yes, the aptly named Sunsnape. I’m keeping an eye on that one! Tell me about the rest of your barn. Any tips, tricks or practices you may have regarding your AW horses? MG: Which really is a shame, because I think you’re an inspiration to our newer players. I mean, you’ve been in the SIM since 1999! But since you, as you said, haven’t been around much lately, are there any trainers whom you see helping the division? AD: Honestly I’m a big fan of ANYONE who runs horses on AW. We need as many enthusiastic players as possible so I value every single one of them. MG: That’s very diplomatic of you, but true. I think a lot of recent activity and promotion has generated interest in the division, and I’ve talked with more people joining AW in the last few weeks than I ever have before. But there’s still a long road ahead of us. What would you like to see in the future for AW? AD: An expansion in the bloodlines. Breeding horses is really difficult because they’re all so closely related to each other. I just know there’s some outcross out there that would be good on AW that we don’t know about. I also want to see a lot more participation from new people! AW is a lot of fun! We even have our own forum! And you can win AW races with horses that are much worse than you’d need to win a lot of dirt races, so it’s a nice place to break in. Come and join us! page 2 Trainer Highlights with Garrett Folsom Our top route trainers for Year 41 included: Madelene Gilbert (113), Bernard Kwok (63), Danny Warren (53), Garret Folsom (44) and Lee Cara (34). Heading into Year 42, our current top route trainers include: Madelene Gilbert (797), Lee Cara (428), Ricky Stamm (363), Lucas Davenport (310) and Leigh Ann Anderson (307). Madelene should hit 800 career wins quickly, becoming the first trainer to reach that number. Other approaching milestones - Nena Olsen is very close to hitting 300, with just 299 career wins; Jolene Danner and Arthur Cutler should hit 200 soon, with 199 and 196 wins respectively. Stakes Report Preview of the Rocky Mountain Stakes D ispite the Steward’s Cup running just the week before, this race seems to be drawing all sorts of class. Not to mention a full field of twelve! This listed stakes is 1 1/8 m at Artificial Arena. A Bird in Hand, the aging 6yo horse best known for his precociousness and early stakes win, didn’t do much at 5. He won the W3 Deserves a Shot Stakes but only finished in the money two other times in 4 starts, and finished 4th at best. Arrows of Agony drank something late last year! He began his 4yo year with an 11th and remained out of the money in his next two starts. Then he suddenly decided to win, churning out 3 straight to finish the year with a win in the W15 Claiming Cup Classic. Discovery Moment was certainly missed in the SC Classic last year, his owning forgetting to nominate him. Instead, he ran on dirt for the first time in W15 and hated the surface, finishing 7th. However his sweep of the W6 All Weather Derby (G1) and W13 Plastics Classic (G1) earned him the Champion AW 3YO Male Simmy. Frontier Doctor was another missed presence in the SC. He ran an incredible race in the W13 CHRTB Stakes, winning spectacularly by 2 1/4 lengths and a 90 SR, a personal record. He was a late blooming 3yo, breaking his maiden in W1 and slowly moving up with an NWL win W4. Year 42, Week 1 Hippogryph, now 4, was another colt who vastly improved towards the end of his 3yo year. Despite the slow start, he backed down to non-claimers after a 5th in the W2 All Weather Conditioner. He was back to winning by W8 though and spit out two more wins, including the W14 Keep It Stakes. Perfect Eyes looked like he would be a nice colt after 2 juvenile wins, but started his 3yo year in the money twice GBR stakes. Sent back down to non-claimers, he won easily in an NWL. He won nicely in his return to stakes competition, taking the W14 All Weather 2000 Guineas. Wealthy Error, a 4yo gelding, had a very respectible record as a 3yo. He had a stakes win early on, and was stakes placed including a 3rd in the W10 Instant Horse Stakes. He picked up an easy confidence building win last out in an NWL W15. Other entries include Great Bay, I Keel You, Inextricable, Oral Hygiene and Perfect Panda. Honestly this should be an easy win for Discovery Moment, provided his foray in the dirt hasn’t completely devastated him. Otherwise it might go to Frontier Doctor, who seems to really want to be 4. page 3 She might not look like it, but she’s responsible for three early AW prospects in Downpour (8 winners), Driving Rain (3 winners) and Fox in Socks (3 winners and another son of Inspired Fox). And while it doesn’t technically count, she does come from the female line of Priceless Forever, Rivalry, Serena Success and a bunch of other Serenas that can be found further back in AW route pedigrees. Sire Profile Plane P lane is already an established sire, both as a dirt sprint and all weather sprint producer. However, since he’s currently listed as a Dirt Sprint sire I want to make sure he doesn’t get passed up and forgotten, because his sire stats are on par with the top all weather sprint sires and he’s a great outcross to the majority of current sprint lines. Let’s put aside his phenomenal career for a second and look at why he’s such a great AW sire prospect. His pedigree is chock full of early all weather potential, and the best part is it comes from deep female lines past the 3rd generation, which is pretty uncommon for all weather. Take a look at his sire side first. Look Danger definitely isn’t an AW sire (he only has 2 winners out of 210), but his dam Look Dreams has ability. Her son Look Eagles had 62 AW winners compared to 119 dirt winners, and his sire, Inspired Fox, was one of the early AW sire prospects, getting 21 winners on the surface. On his damside, go to Hailstorm. Year 42, Week 1 Even better, he’s 3x4 to Inspired Star. She’s the undefeated 10 for 10 dam of not only Inspired Dream (sire of Look Dreams) and Compelling (sire of Jet) but also of Cherish, who’s the dam of Tycoon (8 winners) and Treasured, who in turn gave us Esteemed (7 winners) and Inspired Doxa (3 winners). Compelling himself isn’t too bad; his son Dance Amore was also an early prospect and had 3 AW winners. So what can you learn from all this history? If you notice, the most successful all weather talent comes from the same cross - namely, any time this family was bred to Lost Soldier or one of his sons (Lost or Lost in the Fog). And which son of Lost was (and arguably still is) the most prolific AW sprint sire? Yep, that’s right - Seraph. Seraph mares have been bred to Plane 66 times. Only 43 of those offspring raced on the track, but 36 of them came back winners. 7 are stakes winners. That’s an 84% win rate and 16% stakes win rate! At $20,000 he’s priced the same as Barrack Street, Formidable Fager and Rocket Launch, but if you want a complete outcross for your copious amounts of Seraph and sons-lined mares, he’s definitely worth it. Rising Stars Check back next week for our first update! PLP Highlight James Selby gets the first week with his allowance Wizarding War filly out of Defend Your State. This unnamed filly is a half sister to SC Matron winner and millionaire Tamriel and graded stakes placed Cyrodiil. Defend Your State’s last 3 foals haven’t been the greatest; the 4yo is still a maiden and the 3yo hasn’t raced yet. The 2yo is a “productive” with average works, and will hit the track later this year. However, the two half-sisters mentioned earlier were the dam’s other “stakes”/”allowance” gallopers, so here’s hoping this filly will follow in their footsteps! TBS Auction Preview This one isn’t technically a yearling preview, but good news for future prospects! The Steward had the opportunity last year to lease both Drowsy, multiple graded stakes winning sprint mare, and her daughter Bleary for fillies to add to her broodmare band in the future. Drowsy’s filly is named Soporific and is by GP sire Variety Club. Bleary’s filly is named Cloudy and is by GP sire Shea Shea. Cloudy is also Bleary’s first foal. Look for both to hit the track early Year 43! page 4 Claimer Hidden Gems The first edition filly choices were a bit unwhelming, but gem Rocchetta, 3yo sprint filly owned by Johanna Stk, is the standout pick this week. The filly debuted in a $50k claimer and won by 1 1/2 lengths with a 75 SR. Keeping in similar company, she then finished 3rd and 2nd before nabbing her second win in her 4th start. She then finished 4th in her last start as a 2yo. Stars of Yesteryear T his week is all about the multisurface prospects, so what better way to start than with THREE awesome multi-surface horses who killed it on all weather. totaled 12 wins in 25 starts over 4 surfaces, including 3 for 3 on all weather. I can only assume Johanna got frustrated with her to put her in such a low claiming tag. At $8k she’ll win the race and some confidence too boot. Why pick her? The drastic claiming tag drop makes for a very fortuitous pick, and while I doubt this filly will leave the claiming ranks, she will definitely be able to earn that back and in the higher tags too. She’s also at least a “productive” gallop, based on her works and speed figures, so she’s an above average purchase at $8k. The males looked a bit more appealing as a whole, as they usually do in the lower tags. With a nod to 3yo sprint gelding Talk to It, this week’s gem is 4yo route gelding King of Nada, owned by Lucas Davenport. King of Nada just started hitting his stride last year as a 3yo, winning 3 of 5 starts, including last out at 1 3/16 m by a length with a 76 SR. He’s been very consistent in the lower tags, and should continue to run just as well as a 4yo if placed well. For just $3.5k, he should earn that back before mid-year and keep going well into his older years. Year 42, Week 1 Four A.M. Miracle first debuted on all weather in the Y21 Week 2 All Weather Trial, where she stormed away easily, winning by 3 1/2 lengths over Cumbria (she actually debuted on dirt first at 2). She won two more stakes, this time on turf, before returning to all weather for the Week 12 All Weather Ladies Classic (G1). There she won by 1 1/4 lengths over miler sensation Gelandesprung and Chincoteague. Magician actually debuted on all weather, something that probably raised a few eyebrows at the time (they did mine). He started at 7 furlongs in Y21 Week 8, winning handedly by 3 1/2 lengths, before winning the Juvenile Bound Stakes by 5 3/4 lengths and an 80 SR (extremely high at the time). She’d go on to win 4 more stakes on both dirt and turf, finishing her career with 9 total wins in 13 starts, and 2 for 2 on all weather. Colorado was a super star long before he started on all weather, winning multiple G1 races including the Long Island Classic. Actually, he didn’t make it to AW until 6, but won convincingly by 3 3/4 lengths in the G3 Lil Sis Stakes in Y21 Week 3. His next two starts were also wins (G3s). He retired from the flat after that, moving on to chasing for 3 starts before retiring to stud. His career He lost his all weather debut at 3 to Chat by a length; that would be the last time he’d see the surface until he was 5. He entered the Y24 Week 13 Plastics Classic (G1) and won by 3 lengths over Eastern Dynasty. Of course, he’s better known for his Desert World Cup win in Y23 and Steward’s Cup Turf win in Y24. He retired with 16 wins in 19 starts, with 3 wins in 4 starts on all weather. page 5
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