Letters to the Editor Ozone Hole Split Letters to the Editor The Southern Hemisphere Ozone Hole Split in 2002 Costas Varotsos University of Athens, Department of Applied Physics, Panepistimiopolis, GR-157 84 Athens, Greece ([email protected]; [email protected]) Among the most important aspects of the atmospheric pollution problem are the anthropogenic impacts on the stratospheric ozone layer, the related trends of the total ozone content drop and the solar ultraviolet radiation enhancement at the Earth's surface level. During September 2002, the ozone hole over the Antarctic was much smaller than in the previous six years. It has split into two separate holes, due to the appearance of sudden stratospheric warming that has never been observed before in the southern hemisphere. The analysis of this unprecedented event is attempted, regarding both the meteorological and photochemical aspects, in terms of the unusual thermal field patterns and the induced polar vortex disturbances. Introduction. The total ozone content (TOC) observations currently performed by the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) flown on the NASA Earth Probe satellite and the NOAA-16 Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet instrument (SBUV/2) showed that the size of the Antarctic ozone hole was around 15 million km2 during the last two weeks of September 2002, which is well below the morethan 24 million km2 seen during the last six years in this season. Apart from the smaller size (as it was in 1988), the Antarctic ozone hole split into two holes during late September, an event seen for the first time since global maps for the stratosphere of the southern hemisphere became available (Kondratyev and Varotsos 2000). According to the September 30 Press Release from NASA and NOAA (NASA/NOAA 2002), this year's warmer-thannormal temperatures around the edge of the polar vortex over Antarctica are responsible for the smaller ozone loss (Varotsos 2002) [Fig. 1]. This note attempts a better insight into this exceptional event through an analysis of the thermal field patterns over the Antarctic in late September; it proposes a plausible mechanism of this appearance. Results and Discussion. According to the analysis of the climatological data, the coldest temperatures over Antarctica typically occur in August–September (depletion of the ozone layer), while temperatures usually begin to warm by early October (the ozone layer starts to recover). However, the corresponding data analysis shows that in late September 2002 (especially during 21–26/09/2002) some unusual synoptic features have occurred regarding the stratospheric weather patterns over Antarctica. In particular, an inspection of the polar stereographic charts (10 hPa geopotential height) shows that the basic polar vortex in the stratosphere of the southern hemisphere was step-by-step elongated up to the occurrence of a dramatic change the polar vortex split into two centres. To be more concrete, on September 21 the basic polar vortex elongated (as shown by the roughly elliptical height contours) and centered just off the pole. On September 22, this structure rotated eastward and elongated further with a weakening of the polar vortex (accompanied by a quasi-stationary anticyclone which appeared much earlier than normal) at the middle. On September 23 and 24 this rotation and elongation continued, and the weakening became gradually stronger. On September 25, an opposite to the first, secondary anticyclone started to develop, and Fig. 1: What a difference a year makes. Southern hemisphere ozone image September 26, 2001 and 2002 (Source: http://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/news/press_release_2002.html) ESPR - environ Sci & Pollut Res 9 (6) 375 - 376 (2002) © ecomed publishers, D-86899 Landsberg, Germany and Ft. Worth/TX, USA • Tokyo, Japan • Mumbai, India • Seoul, Korea Ozone Hole Split event occurred with the vortex splitting into two cyclonic centers. From the temperature field data it is evident that relatively warm air extended to the South Pole, which indicates a polar stratospheric major warming. In this respect, the amplitude of the zonal wave-number 2 (derived from the Fourier analysis of the isobaric height and temperature fields) reached the peak when the polar vortex split into two circulations (reversal of the zonal mean wind). The latter has also been interpreted by using dynamical diagnostics suggested by the wave, mean-flow interaction theory (e.g. Eliassen-Palm flux). It is worth recalling that such a sudden stratospheric warming is usually accompanied with 'blocking events'; these are characterised by quasistationary distortions of the tropospheric flow. It should be emphasised that the above-described meteorological situation, which prevailed during 21–26/09/2002 and led to the split of the southern ozone hole, is not identical with that during the period of 5–13/09/2002, when a first trial of the ozone hole to split was observed. Thus, according to the aforementioned analysis, the polar vortex in the stratosphere of the southern hemisphere split in two, due to a major warming, leading to a corresponding split of the ozone hole. It should be mentioned that such an event has never been reported in the literature before. Conventionally, major warming events only occur in one of two northern winters, and they do not occur in the southern hemisphere. So far, the total absence of major warming events in the southern winter seasons was partly attributed to: 1) the fact that the winter vortex is stronger in the southern than in the northern hemisphere, and thus more deceleration (more wave forcing) would be required to reverse it, and 2) the comparative lack of the large-amplitude quasi-stationary waves in the southern hemisphere (Andrews et al. 1987). However, it is concluded from the analysis that in September 2002 the latter was not the case. As far as the photochemical aspects of the ozone hole in the Antarctic winter of 2002 are concerned, the existing understanding of photochemical ozone-depletion processes is adequate to assess the timing and magnitude of the chemical ozone loss which is proportional to the exposure to sunlight (von der Gathen et al. 1995, Rex et al. 1998, Reid et al. 1998, Schulz et al. 2000). Conclusions. The data analysis performed for this note led to the following conclusions which provide a plausible observational explanation of the unusual behaviour of the ozone hole over Antarctica this year: 1) The basic polar vortex in the stratosphere of the southern hemisphere in late September 2002 was gradually elongated and up to the splitting into two centres, which resulted in a corresponding split of the ozone hole. 2) The meteorological situation during 21– 376 Letters to the Editor 26/09/2002 which led to the split of the southern ozone hole, is not exactly identical with that during the period of 5–13/09/2002, when a first trial of the ozone hole to split was observed. 3) Relatively warm air extending to the pole indicates that a polar stratospheric major warming was taking place. The amplitude of the zonal wavenumber 2 reached the peak when the polar vortex split into two circulations (reversal of the zonal-mean wind is observed). 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