Release of result for first three quarters of 2015 November 30th, 2015 Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company or any member of its group nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase any securities of the Company or any member of its group or any commitment whatsoever. This document may not be distributed and may not be reproduced in any manner whatsoever. Any distribution or reproduction of the attached document in whole or in part is unauthorized. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and no reliance should be placed on it. None of the Company, their advisers or any other person accepts any liability for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from the issue of this document or its contents. This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those included in the forwardlooking statements due to various risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to changes in business, economic and competitive conditions, regulatory reforms, foreign exchange rate fluctuations, uncertainties in litigation or investigative proceedings and availability of financing. Today’s presenters Mr. Hrvoje Habuš Executive Director for Strategy and Capital Markets Mr. Zdravko Marić Executive Director for Strategy and Capital Markets 2 1. Results for the first three quarters of 2015 2. Recent developments 3. Business guidelines for 2015 4. Q&A Key highlights – first three quarters of 2015 1 TOTAL SALES increased by 64.1% to HRK 36,889.2 million 2 EBITDA increased by 56.0% to 3,340.2 million Core KPIs 3 EBITDA MARGIN decreased from 9.5% to 9.1% 4 CAPEX increased by 27.5% to HRK 942.0 million 5 OPERATING CF BEFORE CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL increased by 85.2% to HRK 3,394.0 mn 4 Understanding better what has happened Topline evolution Strong top line growth of 64.1 per cent, from HRK 22,474.0 million to HRK 36,889.2 million, is predominantly related to the Mercator acquisition. EBITDA increased by 56.0 per cent, from HRK 2,141.5 million to 3,340.2 million, while EBITDA margin decreased from 9.5 per cent to 9.1 per cent. Decrease in EBITDA margin is the result of the consolidation of Mercator which has a lower profitability when compared to that of the rest of the Restricted Subsidiaries. Profitability performance In Retailing and wholesale the EBITDA increased from HRK 1,088.9 million to HRK 2,182.8 million representing a 100.5 per cent increase with EBITDA margin increasing from 6.1 per cent to 6.7 per cent, on an unconsolidated basis. Strong growth in EBITDA was predominantly driven by the Mercator acquisition and synergy realization. In Food manufacturing and distribution the EBITDA increased from HRK 1,076.0 million to HRK 1,195.6 million representing a 11.1 per cent increase. EBITDA margin increased from 13.1 per cent to 14.1 per cent, on an unconsolidated basis, predominantly due to better performance of Ice Cream and Frozen Food and Water and Beverages. Operating cash Operating cash flow before changes in WC increased from HRK 1,833.1 million to HRK 3,394.0 million or 85.2 per flows cent predominantly due to the Mercator acquisition. 5 Strong growth in topline and net profit In HRK million 30.09.2014 % total sales 30.09.2015 % total sales 2015/2014 22,059.9 414.1 22,474.0 98.2% 1.8% 100.0% 35,584.8 1,304.3 36,889.2 96.5% 3.5% 100.0% 61.3% 215.0% 64.1% 191.1 0.9% 242.1 0.7% 26.7% -53.6 -15,818.2 -1,834.7 -2,080.1 -793.3 -1,037.0 0.2% 70.4% 8.2% 9.3% 3.5% 4.6% 132.2 -26,285.0 -2,957.4 -3,500.9 -1,229.8 -1,185.3 0.4% 71.3% 8.0% 9.5% 3.3% 3.2% n/a 66.2% 61.2% 68.3% 55.0% 14.3% 1,014.1 -25.1 -20,436.7 4.5% 0.1% 90.9% 1,279.5 -5.2 -33,509.7 3.5% 0.0% 90.8% 26.2% -79.3% 64.0% 344.4 -1,518.0 -1,173.6 1.5% 6.8% 5.2% 496.5 -1,861.0 -1,364.5 1.3% 5.0% 3.7% 44.2% 22.6% 16.3% Profit before tax 863.7 3.8% 2,014.9 5.5% 133.3% Taxation -126.4 0.6% -246.8 0.7% 95.2% Profit/(loss) for the year 737.2 3.3% 1,768.1 4.8% 139.8% -99.0 0.3% n/a CONTINUING OPERATIONS: Sales Revenue Sales of services Total sales Other income Change in inventories of finished goods and works in progress Cost of material and goods sold Cost of services Staff cost Depreciation and amortization Other costs Excess of fair value of net assets over the cost of aquisition, net of written-off goodwill Sale of properties, net Financial income Financial expense Share of gain/loss of associates DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS: Loss after tax for the year from discontinued operations PROFIT/(LOSS) FOR THE YEAR Attributable to Equity holders of the parent Minority interest 737.2 3.3% 1,669.1 -4.5% 126.4% 665.7 71.5 3.0% 0.3% 1,409.8 259.3 3.8% 0.7% 111.8% 262.7% 6 Same growth trends seen in Q3 In HRK million CONTINUING OPERATIONS: Sales Revenue Sales of services Total sales Other income Change in inventories of finished goods and works in progress Cost of material and goods sold Cost of services Staff cost Depreciation and amortization Other costs Excess of fair value of net assets over the cost of aquisition net of writen-off goodwill Sale of properties, net Financial income Financial expense Share of gain/loss of associates Profit before tax Taxation Profit/(loss) for the year DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS: Loss after tax for the year from discontinued operations PROFIT/(LOSS) FOR THE YEAR Attributable to Equity holders of the parent Minority interest Q3 2014 % of total sales Q3 2015 % of total sales 2015/2014 8,333.9 154.5 8,488.4 98.2% 1.8% 100.0% 13,108.2 438.3 13,546.5 96.8% 3.2% 100.0% 57.3% 183.8% 59.6% 53.5 0.6% 70.9 0.5% 32.6% 1.8 -5,978.8 -719.5 -722.5 -291.0 -302.9 0.0 1,014.1 -34.7 -6,980.0 0.0% 70.4% 8.5% 8.5% 3.4% 3.6% 0.0% 11.9% 0.4% 82.2% 92.5 -9,641.1 -1,044.7 -1,191.3 -438.7 -482.9 0.0 1,279.5 -2.3 -11,358.0 0.7% 71.2% 7.7% 8.8% 3.2% 3.6% 0.0% 9.4% 0.0% 83.8% 5088.3% 61.3% 45.2% 64.9% 50.8% 59.4% n/a 26.2% -93.4% 62.7% 85.9 -599.2 -513.2 1.0% 7.1% 6.0% 82.1 -782.0 -699.9 0.6% 5.8% 5.2% -4.4% 30.5% 36.4% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% n/a 995.1 11.7% 1,488.6 11.0% 49.6% -44.0 0.5% -134.7 1.0% 206.0% 951.1 11.2% 1,353.9 10.0% 42.4% 0.0 0.0% 99.1 0.7% n/a 213.9 2.5% -315.1 2.3% -247.3% 246.1 633.5 2.9% 7.5% -187.1 1,281.8 1.4% 9.5% -176.0% 102.3% 7 First three quarters 2014/2015 - total sales revenues evolution 40.00 +0.12 35.00 30.00 +0.30 +13.99 25.00 20.00 36.89 15.00 10.00 22.47 5.00 0.00 Q3 2014 Total sales Retailing and Wholesale Food Manufacturing and Distribution Other* Q3 2015 Total sales * In HRK bn; Including Agrokor d.d. 8 Divisional overview for the first three quarters of 2015 Food manufacturing and Distribution 30.09.2014. 30.09.2015. (HRK million) Sales to external customers Intersegmental sales Total sales 4,429.1 3,768.0 4,547.8 3,908.5 Retailing and Wholesale 2015/2014 2.7% (HRK million) Sales to external customers 3.7% Intersegmental sales Total sales 81.4% 64.6% 80.7% Operating profit 644.6 1,298.2 101.4% Operating profit margin (%) 3.6% 4.0% 0.4% -1.6% Depreciation 444.4 884.7 99.1% EBITDA 1,088.9 2,182.8 100.5% 6.1% 6.7% 0.7% 749.4 874.3 16.7% Operating profit margin (%) 9.1% 10.3% 1.2% EBITDA margin (%) 31,172.5 1,335.6 Operating profit 321.4 17,179.8 32,508.0 3.2% 326.6 2015/2014 811.2 8,456.3 EBITDA 30.09.2015. 17,991.0 8,197.0 Depreciation 30.09.2014. 1,076.0 1,195.6 11.1% 13.1% 14.1% 1.0% Food Manufacturing and Distribution Unconsolidated sales in this division increased by 3.2 per cent compared to the same period last year, from HRK 8,197.0 million to HRK 8,456.3 million. EBITDA increased, from HRK 1,076.0 million to HRK 1,195.6 million representing a 11.1 per cent increase. EBITDA margin increased from 13.1 per cent to 14.1 per cent, on an unconsolidated basis, predominantly due to better performance of Ice Cream and Frozen Food and Water and Beverages segments. EBITDA margin (%) Retailing and Wholesale Retailing and Wholesale division in first three quarters of 2015 posted an increase of 80.7 per cent compared to the previous year with unconsolidated sales increasing from HRK 17,991.0 million to HRK 32,508.0 million. EBITDA increased from HRK 1,088.9 million to HRK 2,182.8 million representing a 100.5 per cent increase. EBITDA margin increased from 6.1 per cent to 6.7 per cent. Strong growth in both sales and EBITDA was predominantly driven by the Mercator acquisition and realisation of synergies. 9 Divisional overview for Q3 2015 Retailing and Wholesale Food m anufacturing and Distribution (HRK million) Sales to external customers Q32014. Q32015. 2015/2014 Q32014. Q32015. 2015/2014 6,506.2 11,278.3 73.3% 327.8 488.3 49.0% 6,834.0 11,766.5 72.2% 1,730.6 1,850.8 6.9% (HRK million) Sales to external customers Intersegmental sales 1,448.4 1,521.1 5.0% Intersegmental sales Total sales 3,178.9 3,371.9 6.1% Total sales Operating profit 300.4 372.3 23.9% Operating profit 297.3 563.6 89.6% Operating profit margin (%) 9.4% 11.0% 16.9% Operating profit margin (%) 4.3% 4.8% 10.1% Depreciation 110.4 108.0 -2.2% Depreciation 173.0 323.2 86.8% 470.2 886.7 88.6% 6.9% 7.5% 9.5% EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) 410.8 480.2 16.9% EBITDA 12.9% 14.2% 10.2% EBITDA margin (%) Food manufacturing and distribution Unconsolidated sales in this division recorded an increase of 6.1 per cent compared to the same period last year, from HRK 3,178.9 million to HRK 3,371.9 million. EBITDA also incresed by 16.9 per cent from HRK 410.8 million to HRK 480.2 million, predominantly due to better performance of Ice Cream and Frozen Food and Water and Beverages segments. EBITDA margin increased from 12.9 per cent to 14.2 per cent. Retailing and wholsale Retailing and Wholesale division in Q3 2015 posted an increase of 72.2 per cent on the unconsolidated basis, compared to the same period last year, increasing from HRK 6,834.0 million to HRK 11,766.5 million. EBITDA increased from HRK 470.2 million to HRK 886.7 million representing a 88.6 per cent increase. EBITDA margin increased from 6.9 per cent to 7.5 per cent. Strong growth in both sales and EBITDA was predominantly driven by the Mercator acquisition, whilst the increase in EBITDA is also the result of the realization of synergies. 10 Cash flow HRK mn 1-9 2014 1-9 2015 2015/2014 Result from operating activities before changes in working capital Changes in working capital 1* Changes in working capital 2** 1,833.1 (178.3) 108.7 3,394.0 (1,085.8) (683.5) 85.2% 509.1% -728.8% Net cash inflow from operating activities before interest and taxes 1,763.5 1,624.7 -7.9% (1,370.6) 54.2 (1,745.1) 95.7 27.3% 76.5% 447.1 (24.7) -105.5% Gross investments in Long Term Assets (Capex) Proceeds from disposals of Long Term Assets (738.7) 78.2 (942.0) 283.8 27.5% 262.7% Free operating cash flow (213.4) (683.0) 220.0% Interest and taxes Dividends and interest received Net cash provided from operating activities * relates to receivables, inventory and suppliers ** relates to other short term assets and liabilities Overview Cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital had a 85.2 per cent increase predominantly due to the Mercator acquisition. Capex and acquisitions 4,000,000 3,200,000 2,400,000 The increase of operating cash flows were offset by changes in working capital 1 and 2. Working capital 1 was negatively impacted by further reduction of accounts payable and by the regular increase of inventories as a result of the harvest season 1,600,000 800,000 0 Q3 2009 Q3 2010 Q3 2011 Q3 2012 Addition to propert ies Figures in HRK ‘000 Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Acquisitions 11 Balance sheet HRK mn 31.12.2014 30.9.2015 2015/2014 ASSETS Non-current assets Inventory and live stock and crops Accounts receivable Cash and cash equivalents Other assets 31,148.9 7,730.0 6,258.7 2,681.3 2,584.7 32,374.1 8,284.6 6,381.8 2,639.4 3,169.2 3.9% 7.2% 2.0% -1.6% 22.6% TOTAL ASSETS 50,403.6 52,849.1 4.9% TOTAL EQUITY 7,192.4 8,609.5 19.7% LIABILITIES Long term financial liabilities Short term financial liabilities Accounts payable Other liabilities 20,827.7 2,860.5 15,946.4 10,769.0 20,132.0 5,304.7 15,412.7 11,999.7 -3.3% 85.4% -3.3% 11.4% TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 50,403.6 52,849.1 4.9% 12 Debt structure Capitalization structure as of 30 September 2015 (EUR mn) Agrokor Consolidated Leverage (Consolidated) Leverage (Restricted) Senior Notes 2019 297 0.51x 0.68x Senior Notes 2020 589 1.02x 1.36x Sberbank Term Loan 595 1.03x 1.37x VTB Term Loan 358 0.62x 0.82x Club Term Loan 300 0.52x 0.69x Other bank debt 132 0.23x 0.30x Short term debt 182 0.32x 0.42x 2,453 4.25x 5.65x Total Agrokor Restricted Debt Mercator debt Leverage (Mercator) 900 1.56x n/a 6.27x Total Consolidated debt 3,333 5.77x n/a n/a Total Consolidated Net Debt 2,987 5.17x n/a n/a Total Agrokor Restricted Net Debt 2,150 n/a 4.95x n/a 866 n/a n/a 6.04x Mercator net debt As of 30 September 2015 net leverage of the consolidated and restricted group amounted to 5.17x and 4.95x respectively This is yet another quarter where the Group experienced deleveraging. Net leverage as at 31 March 2015 amounted to 5.82x on the consolidated level and 5.33x for the restricted group. Approximately 20% of our debt is short-term (including current portion of long-term debt) 13 1. Results for the first three quarters of 2015 2. Recent developments 3. Business guidelines for 2015 4. Q&A Recent developments FINANCING • We signed in October 2015 €200 million club term loan facility with BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan. This facility matures in April 2017. • Sale of other non-core businesses and assets is ongoing. We are currently exploring the sale of Mercator’s: (i) Intersport – sports goods stores, (ii) Modiana – fashion apparel stores, (iii) M Tehnika – technical goods stores, and (iv) Mercator–Emba – food company. M&A • Konzum acquired Kozmo in November, a drugstore chain with approximately 70 stores. • Sale of other non-core businesses and assets is ongoing. MONETIZATION • We commenced the sale and leaseback process of Mercator’s real estate properties in Slovenia in May. After receiving non-binding bids we selected a preferred partner with whom we entered into exclusivity agreement. We expect the transaction to close by the end of the year. 15 1. Results for the first three quarters of 2015 2. Recent developments 3. Business guidelines for 2015 4. Q&A Business guidelines for 2015 Synergies Operating profitability Realization of synergies arising from the combination of Mercator and Agrokor Focus on the efficiency of operating businesses (increasing profitability) Sale of non-core assets Sale of assets which are not used in the operations of the core businesses Sale of non-core operations Sale of stakes in companies whose businesses do not represent the core activity of the group Indebtedness Prolonging maturity profile Investments Capital discipline Business development Online platform with the potential of becoming a significant value driver going forward 17 1. Results for the first three quarters of 2015 2. Recent developments 3. Business guidelines for 2015 4. Q&A Thank you! Q&A
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