Physiol Genomics 48: 175–182, 2016. First published January 12, 2016; doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015. CALL FOR PAPERS Review Systems Biology and Polygenic Traits Sports genetics moving forward: lessons learned from medical research X C. Mikael Mattsson,1,2 Matthew T. Wheeler,1,3 Daryl Waggott,1,3 Colleen Caleshu,1,3,4 and Euan A. Ashley1,3,5 1 Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California; Åstrand Laboratory of Work Physiology, The Swedish School of Sport and Health Sciences, Stockholm, Sweden; 3 Center for Inherited Cardiovascular Disease, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California; 4Division of Medical Genetics, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, California; and 5 Department of Genetics, Stanford University, Stanford, California 2 sports genetics; individual differences; genetic testing; sports medicine; precision medicine THE FIRST EVER SEQUENCING of the human genome was completed in year 2000. It took many years and several research teams from around the world, and the cost was approximately $3 billion US. Since then, we have seen dramatic advances in technology and reduction in cost. By the end of 2015, an estimated 400,000 human genomes will be sequenced at a reagent cost of $1,000 per genome. Human genetic studies have led to improved understanding of the genetic variation present in all human genomes and definition of the genetic underpinnings of many rare single-gene disorders. The genetics of most common diseases and traits have been harder to fully explain than was initially expected. Genome-wide asso- Address for reprint requests and other correspondence: C. M. Mattsson, Stanford Univ., Falk CVRB, 870 Quarry Rd Ext., Stanford, CA 94305 (e-mail: [email protected]). ciation studies (GWAS) have now identified thousands of typically common genetic variants associated with a diverse array of intermediate and disease phenotypes, while resequencing studies (now generally exome or genome sequencing) have expanded the range of genes and variants associated with disease phenotypes. Despite substantial advancements, the heritability explained by current genetic knowledge is in general a fraction of the total heritability for most traits as estimated by twin studies (8). Sports genetics would benefit from leveraging lessons learned from human disease genetics, both to avoid past mistakes and also to increase and improve the breadth and depth of knowledge in the field. The scope of this review article is to address some of the problems facing sports genetics and to discuss them in light of experiences from medical research. We will use cardiovascular medicine and endurance sports as specific instructive examples, but the principles dis- 1094-8341/16 Copyright © 2016 the American Physiological Society 175 Downloaded from http://physiolgenomics.physiology.org/ by 10.220.33.6 on June 14, 2017 Mattsson CM, Wheeler MT, Waggott D, Caleshu C, Ashley EA. Sports genetics moving forward: lessons learned from medical research. Physiol Genomics 48: 175–182, 2016. First published January 12, 2016; doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015.—Sports genetics can take advantage of lessons learned from human disease genetics. By righting past mistakes and increasing scientific rigor, we can magnify the breadth and depth of knowledge in the field. We present an outline of challenges facing sports genetics in the light of experiences from medical research. Sports performance is complex, resulting from a combination of a wide variety of different traits and attributes. Improving sports genetics will foremost require analyses based on detailed phenotyping. To find widely valid, reproducible common variants associated with athletic phenotypes, study sample sizes must be dramatically increased. One paradox is that in order to confirm relevance, replications in specific populations must be undertaken. Family studies of athletes may facilitate the discovery of rare variants with large effects on athletic phenotypes. The complexity of the human genome, combined with the complexity of athletic phenotypes, will require additional metadata and biological validation to identify a comprehensive set of genes involved. Analysis of personal genetic and multiomic profiles contribute to our conceptualization of precision medicine; the same will be the case in precision sports science. In the refinement of sports genetics it is essential to evaluate similarities and differences between sexes and among ethnicities. Sports genetics to date have been hampered by small sample sizes and biased methodology, which can lead to erroneous associations and overestimation of effect sizes. Consequently, currently available genetic tests based on these inherently limited data cannot predict athletic performance with any accuracy. Review 176 SPORTS GENETICS MOVING FORWARD cussed are applicable to most domains of disease and sports genetics. can be contrasted by the median amount of six variants being analyzed in direct-to-consumer tests marketed for sport performance (68). Physiological Traits Instead of Athletic Performance Effect Sizes In all individuals, common variants will affect disease risk and athletic potential; delineation of the impact and effect of these variants is and will be the subject of many ongoing and future studies. However, common variants typically have small effects (8). An athletic genome interpretation could delineate rare variants with negative or positive effects, such as a truncated erythropoietin receptor (20) or a genetic variant leading to the lack of myostatin and subsequent muscular hypertrophy (57), suggesting inborn advantage in endurance or strength sports, or on the other hand mutations associated with underlying cardiomyopathy, which, if present, could lead to restriction from athletic activity (48). Although there are many more rare variants of small to no effect, the impact of these variants is difficult or impossible to determine with standard methods and even very large sample sizes. So far, most studies of sports-related performance have looked at common variants. To get a more complete profile of a person’s intrinsic fitness level, impactful rare and common alleles associated with response to activity and physiological potential must be integrated. In medicine a commonly used approach is to design a custom genotypic array specific for the area of interest. One example is the Metabochip for genetic studies of metabolic, cardiovascular, and anthropometric traits, analyzing 200,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (66), a number that Intrinsic, Response, and Potential Many studies have addressed the response to training, e.g., strength, power, or endurance (e.g., 11, 39). However, while genetic determinants of response to training, as shown in sedentary populations, are likely one component of the genetics of athletic ability, there are additional aspects affecting ability that are known to have high heritability, including the intrinsic baseline level and the maximal potential of ability. It is known that there are different genetic variants involved in intrinsic fitness level and response to endurance training (measured as improved V̇O2 max) (12, 13). There are not yet any studies looking at all three levels combined in sports genetics. A corresponding example from medicine is Duchenne (DMD) and Becker (BMD) muscular dystrophy. Even though they both are caused by mutations in the same gene (the dystrophin protein coding gene) the outcome differs. DMD is usually established between ages 2 and 5 yr, whereas only half of the patients with BMD demonstrate muscle weakness at the age of 10. Patients with DMD typically lose independent ambulation before 12 yr of age, but BMD patients typically remain ambulatory into their third or fourth decade (69). In sports genetics, one might hypothesize that an athlete with the highest maximal genetic athletic potential might well begin with a low intrinsic level and have a slow response to training. A person with such a genetic profile will likely have to train for a longer period of time (years) before reaching athletic success. It is empirically well known that some athletes have a quick response to training but rather soon reach their limit, while other athletes have a slow response but continue to improve their ability over the course of many years and can reach very high performance levels. For example, we hypothesize that there will be differences in the impactful genetic variants of athletes reaching extremely high V̇O2 max (maximal potential) at an early age (i.e., as teenagers) compared with athletes reaching the same value at an older age (i.e., after 30 yr old). Continuum from Health to Disease An overall hypothesis is that human physiology exists as a spectrum from disease to health. While this may not be valid for many diseases where onset may be in late middle age or older, elite athletes are often held up as the epitome of health. This thought is supported by findings that elite athletes live longer than the general population and also that endurance athletes live longer than strength/power athletes (18, 55). Even though physical exercise is beneficial for overall health, it is not necessarily so that the training of elite athletes is the most beneficial (42). A possible way forward is interrogating the tails of distribution of continuous phenotypes, such as V̇O2 max, to identify individuals with extreme “positive” phenotypes who may inform prevention, cause, and treatment of pathogenic disease states. Studying these extremes will help identify genes and pathways that contribute to both disease and extreme health states (13, 15, 22, 28). The most probable relevance will be by rare variants with large effects (e.g., 20), since the effect of common variants with small effects might be overridden by Physiol Genomics • doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015 • www.physiolgenomics.org Downloaded from http://physiolgenomics.physiology.org/ by 10.220.33.6 on June 14, 2017 It has been known for more than 30 yr that several physiological traits important for sports performance have a substantial genetic component [e.g., cardiorespiratory fitness (10, 17, 46)]. In the early days there were great hopes to find THE sports gene (indeed this remains an attractive concept to the popular press); however, due to the wide range of traits and factors contributing to athletic performance (e.g., physiological, anthropological, psychological, nutritional, environmental, as well as serendipity), such a quest is inevitably bound to fail. Even the pursuit to find THE gene(s) for performance in a more defined sport setting, such as sprint running or endurance cycling, has slim chances of real success, likely because even these more clearly defined phenotypes are the combination of multiple biological phenotypes, and probably because there are several paths to the same level of athletic performance. Each of these phenotypes and pathways may have a polygenic inheritance underlying, with major environmental interaction determining phenotype. An alternative way to address the situation is to investigate each more narrowly defined piece of the physiological traits involved in sports performance. For endurance sports, pertinent, measurable traits could include maximal oxygen uptake (V̇O2 max), blood volume, capillary density, or mitochondrial efficiency in addition to anthropomorphic traits. As an analogy, “performance” is to sport as “heart disease” is to medicine. It should be effective for sports geneticists to investigate more detailed traits that contribute to performance in the same way medicine has studied atherosclerotic heart disease by, for example, investigating the various heritable traits that contribute to coronary artery disease risk (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, inflammatory response). Review SPORTS GENETICS MOVING FORWARD Analytical and Statistical Challenges for Sports Genetics Small sample size. To date, the genetic study of sportsrelated traits has been limited to sample sizes of tens to several hundreds (e.g., 9, 22, 39, 53). The evolution of GWAS in medical research has clearly demonstrated that for common variants [minor allele frequency (MAF) ⬎ 5%] with modest effects [odds ratio (OR) ⬍ 1.2], truly massive sample sizes are required on the orders of tens of thousands (58). In fact, meta-analyses of ⬃100,000 people are still identifying novel common genetic variants with impact on disease and anthropometric phenotypes (2, 41, 50, 56). While reduced power for discovery in small sample sizes is generally intuitive, there is also an issue of failure to replicate. These observations are explored at length in seminal papers by Ionnaidis (36, 38), including “Why most published research findings are false” and “How to make more published research true.” The failure to replicate is due to an inflation of false positives and an overestimation of effect sizes. False positives can result from technical issues related to statistical assumptions such as inflated variance when analyzing sparse data. For example, a SNP with an MAF of 1% within a cohort of 200 is predicted by Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium to have four heterozygotes vs. 196 common homozygotes. Even a 5% SNP within a cohort of 500 will have on average only one subject with a rare homozygote. In a genome-wide association study, sparse genotype classes will co-occur (by chance) with trait outliers or confounders such as population subpopulations, which will bias or even invalidate results. Similarly, exaggerated effect size estimates result in an underestimation of the required replication sample size and subsequently a failure to replicate (37). False positives and exaggerated effect sizes are particularly prevalent among top ranked results when a significance threshold is applied. This quantitative conundrum has been explored through the application of the winner’s curse phenomenon (71). That is, what is top, i.e., “wins,” is more likely to be an outlier aspect of the sample and not reflect the general population. In fact, correction methods for results from modest sample sizes (n ⫽ 500-1,500) have shown a dramatic (50 – 90%) reduction in effect size (61). There is obviously a contradiction in the quest for increasing samples size and the fact that the number of athletes at the highest level is very limited. A lesson learned from medical research regarding rare cancers, where the numbers are small so that any lost patient is a loss to science, is that this requires a focused development on infrastructure within hospitals and across borders. Even though the numbers are limited the first step is to formalize the infrastructure around athlete testing and genetics so that it is standardized, integrated, and global. That way, as many athletes as possible participate, and we capture multiple phenotypes and covariates. Compared with other genetic studies the numbers will still be low, but in only including the outlier athletes our general hypothesis is that we will be able to find rare variations of large effect. An effort of this type has recently been launched (54). Another method is to focus on tails of general populations, such as national registries, e.g., UK Biobank with 500,000 participants genotyped. For outliers discovered in large cross-sectional registries, we hypothesize that common variation of small or modest effect is sufficiently powered for discovery. Combined, both methods are hypothesized to identify similar genes or pathways. Generalizability. To both confirm relevance and assess effect size accurately, it is imperative that replication in an independent cohort and subsequent populations is undertaken. For pragmatic reasons this has been limited in the genetics of athletic physiology. Currently, there is an entire industry focused on generalizing genetic findings from effects measured in small underpowered, unvalidated, athlete discovery sets. That this is scientifically unsound and ethically dubious has recently been addressed in a consensus statement (68). These data should be treated as hypothesis-generating starting points, and not for consumer interpretation or actionability. Applying the stringency and oversight of device and medical regulatory bodies would improve legitimacy in this area. It’s important to emphasize that genetic association, regardless of how robust, does not infer causality. Causality inference requires specific experimental and analytical methods (21, 24). Therefore, utility for predicting sport proficiency or injury likelihood has little merit. Examples of spurious association include indirect associations through linkage disequilibrium and confounder intermediates. Confounders of athletic performance could include variants associated with obesity, depression, or ethnicity. Penetrance. While not specifically penetrance, one analytical challenge with physiological traits related to athletic performance is the latent presence of relevant variation in the general population. A subset of the population that does not undergo training for a host of socioeconomic, behavioral, and biological reasons will harbor the same genetic variation as trained athletes and thus dilute observed effects with direct comparison with athletes. Athletic performance is a prominent example of gene ⫻ environment interaction. In medicine, this interaction is beginning to be studied, for example between SNPs associated with Type 2 diabetes and environmental factors (such as pollutants and nutrients) (52). The environmental factors are detected with a model analogous to GWAS Physiol Genomics • doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015 • www.physiolgenomics.org Downloaded from http://physiolgenomics.physiology.org/ by 10.220.33.6 on June 14, 2017 environmental effect. In a study comparing common diseasecausing variants elite athletes did not differ from controls (31). There are a few examples where genetic variation in the (super)healthy has been utilized in the prevention of disease. An incredible example of the success of this hypothesis is work identifying the cholesterol therapeutic target PCSK9. The method of identification involved combining family studies of hypercholesterolemia (high LDL) with population studies at the extreme tails of LDL distribution (low LDL) to identify contributing genes (1, 19, 33). A similar earlier example resulted from the work done on the role of 5-alpha reductase in enlarged prostates with a group of Caribbean androgen-insensitive hermaphrodites with small prostates (35). Since the salutogenic approach (defined as focusing on factors that support health and well-being, rather than on factors that cause disease) is inherent in sports science and sports genetics but just recently has evoked interest in medical research, collaborations might be fruitful for both entities. In medicine there is a national initiative in the US to advance precision medicine, including through use of genetics at the bedside, to tailor therapies to subcategories of diseases (4). Exercise could also be one of the precision therapies that, after extensive additional sports genetic research, can be tailored to every individual based on for example genetic profile, training response, and optimal dose (14). 177 Review 178 SPORTS GENETICS MOVING FORWARD Different Adaptations and Profiles Sex differences. The physiological path to athletic performance is in several aspects different among men and women, and these differences cannot suitably be accounted for by adjusting for body size and composition. Traits with published sexual dichotomy include metabolism (fat metabolism and lactate threshold), heat management, work efficiency, and V̇O2 max adaptation (3, 32, 59, 60). Interesting work by Spina et al. (60) studied exercise intervention in sedentary older men and women. Both sexes increased V̇O2 max by ⬃20%; however, each achieved it through a different mechanism. Men improved primarily through increasing maximal cardiac output due to enlarged stroke volume. In contrast, women increased oxygen consumption by means of improving oxygen extraction of working muscles due to greater capillarization and numbers of mitochondria. To date, the fact that studies of the physiology of sports performance have almost exclusively been conducted on men underlines the importance of studies of both men and women. Ethnic differences. Up to the present time, the majority of sports genetic studies, especially training studies, have investigated male Caucasian athletes with a few additional studies on East African, Jamaican/African American, and East Asian (Japanese and Chinese) cohorts (53). The anatomically modern human evolved in Africa ⬃200,000 yr ago and migrated throughout the world. One branch reached Europe some 40,000 yr ago, another branch reached East Asia about the same time, and South America was inhabited ⬃10,000 yr ago (40). Over the years, population bottlenecks associated with migration have led to the evolution of different genetic profiles. An area with some relevance for endurance performance is the adaptation to altitude. It has been shown that Andean, Tibetan, and Ethiopian highlanders each have different physiological patterns of adaptation to cope with high altitude. Andean natives living at high elevation have increased hemoglobin concentration, but Tibetans on the other hand can tolerate lower oxygen saturation. In those aspects, high altitude-adapted Ethiopians have similar levels as lowlanders but instead have superior work efficiency (6). A relatively large volume of research has addressed the genetic profiles of these adaptations and found that genetic variation in different pathways are responsible in each population (7, 60, 64, 65). If differences between ethnicities also holds true for physiological adaptations, such as increase in V̇O2 max, optimal exercise training would most likely also differ, suggesting a more distinct athletic individualization. In sports genetics, it is for example already known that the frequency of the X-allele of the ACTN3 R577X polymorphism is higher in the Caucasian population, and it has been suggested that this mutation appeared when humans migrated to Eurasia and that it has prevailed because it facilitated adaptation to the new environment (23). Multiomic profiles. The field of sports genomics has thus far focused predominantly on genetic variants within the inborn genome. High-throughput techniques now allow interrogation of the human multiome, including the epigenome, transcriptome, proteome, metabolome, and inflammasome, both within and across tissues and cell types. Integration of tissue-specific multiomic profiling with genomic and physiological data will allow a more comprehensive understanding of the biological effects of physical activity and the biological underpinnings of athletic ability. From a genetics perspective, multiomic profiling of individuals or families with unique athletic attributes may facilitate the discovery or biological validation of genes and/or variants implicated in the genetics of athletic ability. For instance, increase in an aerobic exercise facilitating a gene’s expression together with change in its binding or regulatory partners identified through proteomic profiling may confirm that gene’s role as a key actor in the athletic pathway, while hypothesisdirected or agnostic (e.g., network modelling) approaches to multiomic data may identify genes or pathways to consider for variant analysis and interpretation (5). An advantage or limitation, depending on context, of much of the multiome is the tissue and temporal specificity of a large portion of the multiomic profile. While it is possible to sample blood (and to a more limited extent muscle biopsy) multiomic Physiol Genomics • doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015 • www.physiolgenomics.org Downloaded from http://physiolgenomics.physiology.org/ by 10.220.33.6 on June 14, 2017 called EWAS (environment-wide association study) (51). A similar approach in sports genetics, for example investigating the association between gene variants or genetic profiles and response to different training regimes, would have great potential. However, from the statistical point of view, in almost all situations, modelling interactions requires larger sample sizes than main effects (49, 70). This further emphasizes the need for substantially larger samples sizes, or effects, in sports genetics than the current norm. Heterogeneity. Performance is a qualitative phenotype, not a physiological measurement. As discussed earlier it is advantageous to measure specific physiological traits, such as endophenotypes and subclinical traits, which are more likely to have direct genetic underpinnings. In medical genetics, it is very difficult to uncover broad disease spectrum phenotypes, such as cardiovascular disease, because of the large number of converging physiological influences. Beyond trait heterogeneity, any single trait is likely to have genetic (different genes) and allelic (different SNPs in the same gene) variability. Analytically modelling the joint effects of multiple genes or allele features without exhaustive multiple testing is an active area of research (27, 62). Moreover, interpretation of variation in regulatory regions including the potential for epistasis and epigenetics will be an ongoing effort for the community. Leveraging network approaches to define key hubs and communities will be terrifically valuable in making sense of emerging disjoint results in this field (26, 30, 44). The key point is that for a single observable trait there are multiple correlated physiological and genetic underpinnings within an individual and among a group of individuals. Genetic architecture. Analytically, combining variants across a gene is challenging if the effect of individual variants is in the opposite direction. Generally, in disease cohorts the expectation is a preponderance of deleterious rare variant burden within genes. If the same genes are involved in athletic physiology, then that leads to the hypothesis that we are looking for either a paucity of burden or independent variants that confer an opposite effect. The complexity of the genetic architecture is further likely to be different among different genes making a single analytical approach unlikely. Current evolution in burden testing tools that allow dynamic weighting of variants within genes will be crucial in solving these issues (43). Review SPORTS GENETICS MOVING FORWARD Translation and Interpretation Challenges One of the ultimate goals of sports genetics research is translation of its findings to improve the training of athletes. In fact, such application is already occurring, with some groups using commercially available genetic tests to guide the training, and even selection, of athletes (67). Yet such application is dependent on the rigor and robustness of the existing research, which currently faces the many challenges that we have outlined here. Translation of the data to training of athletes is also dependent on how the genetic data are interpreted. The particulars of how to interpret and apply those data arise from the fact that sports performance and its various components are ultimately determined by a complex interplay of multiple genetic variants and multiple nongenetic factors. This is similar to the genetics of diseases like diabetes and coronary artery disease. A decade of work and thousands of publications have disclosed that revealing the genetic basis of such diseases and traits is far more elusive than we had hoped. For example, approximately 100 locations in the genome have been implicated in coronary artery disease, yet in combination they explain only a quarter of the genetic portion of the etiology and only a tenth of the etiology overall (63). This inability to explain the majority of the genetic etiology has been seen for the vast majority of diseases and traits. To date the genetics of sports performance has been subject to far less extensive and less rigorous investigation than diseases like coronary artery disease. As such, we understand an even smaller proportion of the genetic etiology, and we are not as confident in that understanding. This makes the application and interpretation of current sports genetic tests challenging. The currently available genetic tests assess a handful of common variants purportedly associated with athletic ability (such as ACTN3, ACE, NOS3) or injury (such as COL5A1, COL1A1, MMP3) (67). Given the available data, we can be quite confident in some of these associations (e.g., ACE for endurance and ACTN3 for power events) (47), while most others are somewhat suspect since these associations have not been replicated and, at a minimum, need further investigation before any clear conclusion can be drawn. However, interpretation of an athlete’s genetic test results for even the robust associations needs to be done cautiously, taking into account the fact that any one genetic variant explains only a small fraction of performance and that we do not test for the majority of the genetic variants that contribute to performance since they have not yet been discovered. Thus, while there are robust data showing that ACTN3 genotype is associated with potential in power events, such as sprinting, they predict only a small portion of overall athletic performance, both in sprinting and in general. Also, bear in mind that even for the absolutely highest level of sprinting performance, i. e., 100 meter running, this gene variant, perhaps the best studied in sports genetics, is neither predictive nor necessary for participation elite-level competition. Given how few genetic associations are known and how small their effect size likely is, the ability of current sport genetic tests to predict the performance of an athlete is so vastly limited that their use is fairly dubious. In medical genetics the incorporation of genetic counseling has proved to be a necessary tool in patient care. Genetic counselors are master’s-level trained healthcare providers that specialize in evaluating the genetic components of disease and disease risk. Genetic counselors provide both education and brief psychotherapeutic counseling with the goals of improved client understand, coping, adaptation, and informed decision making. Without guidance, the layperson patient cannot easily discern the difference between the types of mutations, for example between a variant of unknown significance and a likely benign mutation, much less understand the significance of either a truncating or frameshift variant. Often patients may misinterpret the effect size or miscalculate the heritability of a mutation or not consider the genetic implications for past and future generations. Integration of genetic counseling practices into routine care removes these burdens and sources of confusion from the patient and instead repurposes the raw genetic data into an meaningful learning opportunity for the patient (16, 25). Both medical genetic tests and sports-related genetics involve careful interpretation and application. If sports genetic testing reaches its promise then, much like medical genetic testing, it could have potential significant effects on an individual’s life trajectory. As such, genetic counseling should be provided alongside any sports-related genetic testing. Future Directions As the body of knowledge in sports genetics expands and is refined, the ability to apply it to athletic training in a valid and meaningful way will increase. Much work is being done to develop valid methodology in the application of genetic knowledge to the prediction of multifactorial, polygenic diseases and traits (29). To get a comprehensive picture large studies are needed to find common variants, in combination with family studies to discover rare variants. Once genetic associations and their OR have been identified in a robust and valid manner, a genetic score can be developed by building a predictive model that includes each genotype, weighted by its effect size. The model then needs to be validated in a prospective cohort that includes both genotyping and detailed phenotyping information. The ability of the genetic score to predict the trait better Physiol Genomics • doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00109.2015 • www.physiolgenomics.org Downloaded from http://physiolgenomics.physiology.org/ by 10.220.33.6 on June 14, 2017 profiles at multiple time points, even from elite athletes, other pertinent human tissues of import (e.g., heart, lung, brain) in the processes of training and athletic fitness are not practically available for research from athletes. Autopsy studies of athletes who die from other causes may provide some opportunity, but issues of sample preservation and validity for transcriptomics in particular become limiting. On the other hand, repeated measures of blood or muscle omics from the same individuals can greatly reduce the search space within the genome and allow for focused inquiry into one or a few putative causal pathways that are altered by a given intervention. Recent work has shown the power of this repeated-measures method to look at the epigenome in association with endurance exercise training (45). Going forward, blood-borne biomarkers of training effects or potential that are the synthesis of a genomic profile may be identified through multiomic profiling. In cardiovascular disease, a few key biomarkers are clinically relevant for a number of distinct disease processes, for example serum troponin for myocardial infarction, myocarditis, or risk of heart failure. Multiomic profiling may help identify a set of biomarkers associated with athletic potential, training effects, or expected response to a particular training regime. 179 Review 180 SPORTS GENETICS MOVING FORWARD Conclusion The scope of this article is to highlight some of the challenges facing sports genetics as the field moves forward. As described above, some of the most important aspects are: 1) Since sports performance is very complex and a result of a combination of many different traits and aspects, it is necessary to base analyses and conclusions of genetic profiles on more detailed phenotyping. 2) To find valid common variants sample sizes must increase dramatically. To identify rare variants with large effects, ethnicity-specific and family studies are needed. 3) Personalized genetic and multiomic profiles are prominent goals of precision sports science. To confirm relevance and effect sizes, it is imperative that replications in specific populations are undertaken. Sex- and ethnicity-specific analyses will be required to refine sports genetics. 4) Sports genetics to date has been hampered by small sample sizes and biased methodology, which can lead to erroneous associations and overestimation of effect sizes. As a consequence, commercial genetic tests currently available cannot predict performance with any accuracy. Collaboration and collation of larger cohorts, together with improved study design, are required to overcome these limitations. DISCLOSURES 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. E. A. Ashley is cofounder of Personalis Inc., which performs DNA sequencing and interpretation of human exomes and genomes. 11. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS 12. Author contributions: C.M.M., M.W., D.W., C.C., and E.A.A. conception and design of research; C.M.M., M.W., and D.W. interpreted results of experiments; C.M.M. drafted manuscript; C.M.M., M.W., D.W., C.C., and E.A.A. edited and revised manuscript; C.M.M., M.W., D.W., C.C., and E.A.A. approved final version of manuscript. 13. REFERENCES 1. Acton S, Rigotti A, Landschulz KT, Xu S, Hobbs HH, Krieger M. Identification of scavenger receptor SRWBI as a high density lipoprotein receptor. Science 271: 518 –520, 1996. 2. 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