Improving Household Travel Survey Quality Through Time and Distance Data Checking Presentation Summary Laurie Wargelin, Vice President MORPACE, International 31700 Middlebelt Road Farmington Hills, MI 48334 Phone: 248 737 3210 Fax: 248 737 5326 Email: [email protected] Karen Faussett, Project Manager Michigan Department of Transportation P.O. Box 30500 Lansing, MI 48901 Phone: 517 335 2956 Fax: 517 373 9255 Email: [email protected] Lidia Kostyniuk, Research Scientist University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute 2901 Baxter Road Ann Arbor, MI 48109 Phone: 734 763 2466 Fax: 734 936 1076 Email: [email protected] This presentation addresses the problem of the accuracy of travel time and travel distance collected in current household travel surveys, including the 2001 NHTS, and proposes a method that could help alleviate the problem in the next NHTS survey. The problems with the accuracy of travel time and travel distance data in household travel surveys stem from several sources including respondent errors, geocoding errors, and interviewer errors. Respondents in travel surveys frequently err when reporting both the distance between locations traveled and the time that the travel took. Studies that have compared at selfreported travel distance against actual distance traveled, find that drivers in urban areas are not very good at reporting accurate distances of their trips (e.g., 1). Obtaining travel distance from geocoded trip’s origins and destinations helps to decrease the reliance on self-reported trip distances. However, even 1 though the proportion of locations that can be geocoded has increased, and the accuracy of geocoding has improved through Internet look-ups and interactive geocoding software, considerable error still occurs. For, example, if the same street name appears in two cities within a targeted area and the respondent supplied a different city/village name, there is likelihood that the geocoded point selected will be incorrect. Interviewer error also contributes to the problem. Training and experience in conducting household travel surveys help reduce error in recording time and location information. Up-to-date Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) or Internet systems can be programmed with checks to assure that time is sequentially recorded. However, neither the CATI nor the Internet system can prevent an interviewer from recording an incorrect arrival time at a destination. The error will be identified by the CATI or Internet system checks only if the respondent reports leaving a location at a time prior to the recorded arrival time. Otherwise the error will remain in the data file. Considerable time and effort are spent trying to correct or eliminate cases with these time and distance problems, which significantly increases the time that passes before the data can be used. To date, the most prevalent suggestion for improving the quality of travel time and distance in household surveys has been to use GPS in respondents’ vehicles as a supplement or replacement to CATI/Internet household travel diary data collection. The expectation is that GPS systems will accurately record both the time and distance between locations. However, while GPS technologies are improving in their ability to meet the task, the cost of deploying GPS in a household travel survey is currently above $500/ household. This high cost has prohibited the use of GPS for all households in the travel survey sample and has limited GPS data collection to small subsamples. Furthermore, at this time there are no standards or agreement on how to expand the GPS data from the subsample to the main or stratified 2 sample, and use of correction factors derived from the subsample GPS data has had only limited applications. It is most likely inevitable that GPS systems will keep improving, become less expensive, and at some point in the future be part of standard practice in household surveys. Until then, however, there is a still a need for a cost effective method to minimize the errors in travel time and distance variables in data from household travel surveys. A method was developed to improve the quality of travel time and distance data in the Michigan Department of Transportation’s (MDOT) MI Travel Counts household travel survey that is currently underway1. The approach is based on checking time and distance data using the capabilities of TransCAD software. Time and distance outliers are identified while the survey is in progress so that respondents can be quickly called back to clarify suspect information. As questionable information is identified, the entire household’s travel records are reviewed for logic, and are corrected or eliminated, (labeled incomplete) allowing recruitment of replacement households on a continuing basis. The method was tested during the pilot of MI Travel Counts, conducted in January and February 2004 and with interim samples of 2,000 households in the spring and summer of 2004. First, all non-vehicular trips were removed from the file as well as all trips that were non-geocoded. TransCAD automatically converted the corresponding geocoded coordinates for each record into a standard geographic file with points located onto the network file. Average private vehicle travel speed was then calculated for each trip using TransCAD shortest route distance and respondent travel time. Checks were conducted on calculated distances, calculated travel time, and respondent travel time: Average 1 MI Travel Counts is collecting 48-hour travel (using diary) from a statewide sample of 14,280 households, with retrospective long distance (over 100 mile) travel collection for the prior 3 months. Data collection began in March 2004 and will continue through March 2005. See MI Travel Counts website at www.michigan.gov/mitravelcounts 3 private vehicle travel speed was calculated for each trip using TransCAD shortest route distance and respondent travel time. A private vehicle trip was flagged if the average travel speed was less than 5 miles per hour (mph). If a private vehicle trip was greater than 30 miles in length, the trip was flagged if the average travel speed was greater than 80 mph; otherwise it was flagged if the average speed was greater than 65 mph. Private vehicle trips that were flagged then have 10 minutes added and subtracted from the trip time and a new speeds were computed. If at least one of the new speeds still was not within the speed parameters, the record was flagged and reviewed. The example provided here is for the July interim MI Travel Counts Report.2 There were 1,979 new households in this file with 33,230 new trip records (without including change in mode locations). The following records were disregarded/removed due to the following reasons (in this order): • • • • • 373 records did not make a trip 864 records were removed due to type of trip (walk) 204 records were removed due to type of trip (bicycle/moped) 3,600 records had either the origin or destination not geocoded 217 records had the origin and destination geocoded as the same point (turn-around trips). Thus, of the original 33,230 records, 5,258 were removed, leaving 27,972 trips, which is approximately 84%. A total of 1,502 trip records (4.5% of total) were flagged for the following reasons: • • • same city/township with trip over 60/90 minutes: 63 records travel time difference over 60 minutes: 976 records average travel speed above or below threshold: 1,385 records The 1,502 identified trip records were further examined. It was found that 909 trip records (2.7% of total) were geocoded incorrectly. For example, an origin/destination would be listed as one city but geocoded to a different city. The remaining 593 records (1.8% of total) needed further investigation for 4 discrepancies in travel time. Of these (593 trip records), it was found through further review and callbacks to respondents that the information on 124 trips was correct based on reasons given for extended travel time, such as traffic congestion or weather conditions; 305 needed to have their location or departure/arrive time checked; and 164 were still questionable. Of the 164 that were still questionable, 140 had a trip time that was too long for the distance of their trip and 24 had a trip time that was too short for the distance of their trip. Thus overall, 469 trips or 1.4% of trips in this file need either further investigation or reconsideration of their inclusion in the final dataset. While this proportion of trips ultimately found to be questionable is small, the 1,502 records originally identified, investigated, and mostly corrected through this process, represent 453 households or 22.9% of the new households in this interim data file. This method is straightforward and simple. By monitoring the quality of the data as it is coming in, there are more opportunities to identify problem data, and either correct them or eliminate them and still be able to recruit replacement. Most states have TransCAD of similar network models and can easily apply this audit methodology to monitor the quality of their household travel data. The full methodology can be found in the MI Travel Counts quality control (2) and geocoding manuals (3). Monitoring the quality of the travel time and travel distance data during the implementation of the survey is efficient. More resources would are required to find the outliers at the end of the survey, and opportunities to recruit replacement households would be lost. 2 7/24/04: As subconsultant to MORPACE International, Inc., PB Consult provided the TransCAD audit review. 5 References: 1. Kostyniuk, L. P, Eby, DW, Kristoff, C., Hopp, M.L., Stress, F. M., 1997, The FAST-TRAC Natural Use Leased-Car Study: An Evaluation of User Perceptions and Behaviors of Al-Scout by Age and Gender, Report UMTRI-97-09, University of Michigan Transportation Institute, Ann Arbor, Michigan. 2. MDOT, MORPACE International, Inc., MI Travel Counts Quality Control Manual, 2004. 3. MDOT, MORPACE International, Inc., MI Travel Counts Geocoding Manual, 2004. 6
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