An Area of Opportunity? Using Clinical Trials to Evaluate Positive Financial Incentives for Patients to Improve HIV and TB Diagnosis, Care, and Treatment Bruce A. Larson, PhD Center for Global Health and Development, Department of International Health—School of Public Health, Boston University June 20, 2010 Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office HE RO 2 Wits Health Consortium University of the Witwatersrand Introduction: Two roles for economics in clinical trials with randomized designs • Cost-effectiveness analysis for the evaluation of biomedical interventions • Draw on economics as a social/behavioral science for the design and evaluation of behavioral interventions 2 Basic insights from economics for the design of behavioral interventions • Standard economics = neoclassical economics – people are rational and know what they want, they are good at processing information and making decisions but constrained by income and prices – so, lower a price and/or provide better information to stimulate demand (adopt behavior change, compliance) • Types of interventions amenable to RCT design based on this logic? – provide transport vouchers to patients to reduce the cost of clinic visits 3 Additional ideas from economics for the design of behavioral interventions? • behavioral economics incorporates information from psychology and other social sciences, such as – Individuals have self-control problems – Individuals have problems with processing information – Individual preferences may not be stable over time and may not be based solely on self-interest • Interventions amenable to RCT design? – targeted, modest, positive financial incentives may overcome self-control and information processing problems 4 Opportunities for randomized controlled trials of behavioral interventions in HIV and TB • Intervention use positive financial incentives (direct or indirect payments in cash or close alternatives) to encourage patients to complete various steps in diagnosis, care, and treatment. • Positive incentive programs have been widely used in health care as well as other areas of social policy including education and labor. 5 For example: • When HIV-infected patients provide blood samples for CD4 testing, they are asked to return in a few days to obtain results (and continue with appropriate care and treatment depending on result) • In South Africa, perhaps 50% of patients actually return within a several-month period to obtain their results • How do we encourage more patients to return for their CD4 count results in a timely manner? 6 Example (continued): • Intervention – provide positive financial incentive to patient if he/she returns for results. • Key – intervention must be known to patient in advance (e.g. when blood sample obtained), with payment conditional on future appropriate behavior. • Appropriate to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of such interventions with a randomized clinical trial design. 7 Are positive financial incentives for patient behavior ethical? • Does the positive incentive support behavior that is socially preferred? • Does the positive incentive support what an individual might want to do in the absence of barriers to adopting the behavior? – Barriers financial, social pressure, information processing, self-control (short-term/long-term preferences) – Experience that modest incentives can work (not large enough to be coercive). 8 When do positive financial incentives work? • Positive financial incentives can change behavior when – The definition of compliance is clear (what people need to do to receive payment) – Compliance involves a specific time limit – The required behavior is relatively simple (e.g., keeping appointments) – People trust that the payment will be made • Conversely, incentive programs are less effective when – Behavioral change is complex – Requires long term adherence – Examples: smoking cessation, lifestyle change, weight loss, etc. • But, newer behavioral economics research suggests sometimes effective for more complex situations (Lussier, Heil et al. 2006). 9 Opportunities for incentive-based interventions for HIV and TB care • HIV – Early diagnosis of high-risk, asymptomatic populations – Completion of staging and enrollment in appropriate care – Adherence to pre-ART or ART visit schedule • TB – Completion of treatment – Diagnosis of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic high-risk populations – Contact tracing (incentivize patient to bring contacts for testing) • Each of these interventions could be evaluated with a randomized evaluation design. – Effectiveness = change in compliance – Cost = additional cost of implementing incentive program 10 Detailed structure of the intervention clearly matters • amount of the incentive payment • when and where the intervention is explained to patients • criteria for compliance clear (trust payment made, excludes cheaters) • the method of payment (cash, voucher, other) • when, where, and from whom the patients receive the payment (nurse, counselor, pharmacy, elsewhere) • details as important as level of payment 11 Final Remarks • Potential for incentive-based behavioral interventions to improve outcomes when patient compliance required – amenable to evaluation within RCT design • Potential to target such interventions to health workers as well (and evaluate in RCT design) 12 Final Remarks • Levels of randomization? – patient, clinic, community, or other units feasible (not feasible to randomize incentive within same facility) • Policy relevance – intervention feasible to implement outside study setting – avoids unwanted behavior (cheating, perverse incentives) • Substantial experience in economics with evaluation of randomized interventions – at least a few hundred randomized controlled evaluations have been conducted on a range of interventions 13 References Jochelson, K., Paying the Patient: Improving Health Using Financial Incentives. 2007, King's Fund. Sindelar, J.L., Paying for performance: the power of incentives over habits. Health Economics, 2008. 17(4): p. 449-451. LUSSIER, J., HEIL, S., MONGEON, J., BADGER, G. & HIGGINS, S. (2006) A meta-analysis of voucher-based reinforcement therapy for substance use disorders. Addiction, 101, 192-203. Acknowledgements • Boston University and the Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, University of the Witwatersrand – – – – – – Sydney Rosen Lawrence Long Gesine Meyer-Rath Matthew Fox Bibi Ndibongo Ian Sanne • Right to Care • U.S. Agency for International Development / South Africa • PEPFAR
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