UGANDA NATIONAL PANEL SURVEY
2013/14 (WAVE IV)
FINDINGS
May 2015
By
JAMES MUWONGE
Uganda Bureau of Statistics
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
• Background
• Objectives of the survey
• Findings from the survey
• Way Forward
BACKGROUND
• The UNPS 2013/14 is the fourth in the series of Panel
Household Surveys that uses the 2005/06 Uganda
National Household Survey (UNHS) as the Baseline.
• The UNPS is a multi-topic household survey that is
undertaken annually over a twelve-month period.
• The UNPS produces annual estimates of outcomes in
key policy areas as well as providing a platform for the
experimentation and assessment of national policies
and programs.
BACKGROUND-CONT’D
UNPS is part of:
•
UBOS’ Long term Census and Survey Plan covering a
10-year period which in turn is part of:
•
The Plan for National Statistical Development (PNSD)
that provides a framework for statistical
improvement across Ministries, Departments and
Agencies (MDAs)
• The UNPS compliments other data collection
efforts (e.g. UNHS, UDHS, NSDS etc.)
OBJECTIVES OF THE UNPS
Overall objective
• To collect high quality data on key outcome indicators
such as Poverty, Service Delivery and Employment among
others; in order to monitor Government’s development
programmes.
Specific Objectives
• To provide information for monitoring the NDP and other
development frameworks like the MDGs as well as
specific programs such as the National Agricultural
Advisory Services (NAADS) among others.
SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES CONT’D:• To provide high quality nationally representative
information on income dynamics at the household level
as well as annual Consumption Expenditure estimates to
monitor poverty in years between the Uganda National
Household Surveys (UNHSs)
• To supply regular data on agriculture in order to
characterize and monitor the performance of the
Agricultural Sector.
SURVEY DESIGN
• Out of the 7,400 households interviewed during the
2005/06 UNHS, 3,200 households were selected for
the panel survey. Consequently, the same sample
survey design was maintained in 2009/10, 2010/11
and 2011/12 rounds of surveys.
• In 2013/14 UNPS (Wave IV), one-third of the 2011/12
sample was dropped and replaced with a ‘fresh’ one
while two-thirds was retained.
SURVEY DESIGN- CONT’D
• In 2013/14 round(Wave IV), all Core Household
Members (Head, Spouse and Biological children
(15+yrs) were tracked; incase any such household
member had moved; either to form a new household
or join another existing household.
• The 2013/14 UNPS provides estimates reliable at the
rural-urban level and regional levels.
UNPS SAMPLE ALLOCATION
Regions
Kampala
Sampled EAs by Residence
Urban
Rural
Total
34
14
58
72
14
58
72
Northern
14
58
72
Western
14
58
72
Uganda
90
232
322
Central
Eastern
34
SURVEY COMPONENTS
The 2013/14 UNPS administered the
following modules:
• Household (Core module)
• Woman
• Agriculture
• Community/ Facility module
SURVEY
FINDINGS
Sample Attrition
Some households could not be traced/
interviewed due to various reasons:
Household (Core module)
• Death
• Moved to unknown location
• Refused to respond
Selected characteristics
of household population
PANEL HHs by SEX OF HEAD (%)
120
Male Head
Female Head
100
80
32
34
28
68
66
72
Rural
Urban
39
31
35
69
65
27
33
73
67
% 60
40
61
20
0
Kampala
Central
Eastern
Western
Northern
Rural/Urban
Region
Total
Average Household size of Panel HHs
7
6
6.2
5.6
4.9
5
5.2
5.5
5.3
5.5
4.4
4
3
2
1
0
Rural
Urban Kampala Central Eastern Northern Western
Total
Movers by Age group (%)
15-25
120
100
14
16
26-34
35-44
13
12
13
13
32
38
38
37
55
50
49
50
80
% 60
54
37
40
20
32
47
0
Kampala
Central
Eastern Northern Western
Total
Movers by Literacy Status (%)
Literate
Illiterate
120
100
11
24
80
30
22
17
22
70
78
83
78
60
40
89
76
20
0
Kampala
Central
Eastern
Northern
Western
Total
Movers by Education Level (%)
Primary
Secondary+
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
45
35
28
55
65
72
30%
20%
0%
41
58
59
94
40%
10%
42
6
Kampala
Central
Eastern
Northern
Western
Total
Movers by Employment Status (%)
Employed Gainfully
Unemployed
120
100
80
%
29
29
71
71
36
19
33
30
67
70
60
40
64
81
20
0
Kampala
Central
Eastern
Western
Northern
Total
Highlights of Labour force
characteristics
Working Status by Sex and Year (%)
Not working
Working
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
87
85
86
13
15
14
Male
Female
Total
76
77
76
24
24
24
Male
Female
Total
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2011/12
2013/14
Changes in Activity Status (14-64 yrs)-(%)
100%
90%
80%
70%
Not Working (13/14)
Paid Employee (13/14)
8
Self-Employed (13/14)
7
13
77
64
16
23
Self-Employed
(11/12)
Paid Employee
(11/12)
34
60%
50%
40%
30%
58
20%
10%
0%
Not Working (11/12)
Changes in Sector of Work (%)
Agriculture (13/14)
17
Services (11/12)
Production (13/14)
6
76
38
Production (11/12)
Services (13/14)
41
21
88
Agriculture (11/12)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3 9
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Changes in Form of Employment (%)
Formal (13/14)
Informal (13/14)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
59
50%
88
40%
30%
20%
10%
41
0%
Formal (11/12)
12
Informal (11/12)
Median Nominal Income (UGX)
2011/12
2012/13
% change
Male
200,000
240,000
20
Female
210,000
250,000
19
Public
285,000
350,000
23
Private
150,000
181,000
21
Total
210,000
245,000
17
Education and Health
services
Availability, Adequacy & Condition of Facilities In
Gov’t Primary Schools (%)
No (13/14)
Yes (13/14)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
65
57
92
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
35
43
8
0%
Classrooms (11/12)
Teacher's houses
(11/12)
Toilets/latrines
(11/12)
Stock-Out of Six Tracer Drugs (%)
68
66
Last 2 months (13/14)
Day of Visit (13/14)
67.1
65.4
67.4
66.2
Last 2 months (11/12)
Day of visit (11/12)
67.3
66.7
64
61.8
62
62.1
61.8
61.7
60.5
60.3
60
58
56
HC II
HC III
National
Provision of Mama Kits By Gov’t HF (%)
33
35
29
30
25
20
19
16
15
10
5
0
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2013/14
Household expenditure and
Poverty dynamics
Share of Household Expenditure-2013/14 (%)
New sample (1/3)
Panel HHs (2/3)
All
47.4
18.2
9.7
46.1
16.0
12.0
46.6
17.0
11.0
6.1
7.1
6.7
6.1
5.3
5.7
Health
Non-consumption
expenditure
3.9
4.8
4.4
2.4
2.5
2.5
Clothing & footwear
2.5
2.1
2.3
Drinks & tobacco
Other consumption
expenditure
1.9
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.8
1.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
Food
Rent, fuel & energy
Education
Transport &
communication
Household & personal
goods
Total
Household Poverty Dynamics [2011/12 & 2013/14]
Chronically poor
Moved out of poverty
Slipped into Poverty
Uganda
17.7
20.1
11.1
51.0
Male Headed
17.5
19.1
11.3
52.0
Female Headed
18.0
22.3
10.7
Urban 7.8 17.4 6.8
20.6
Rural
0%
10%
30%
49.0
68.0
21.0
20%
Never poor
12.4
40%
50%
46.0
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Poverty Dynamics from 2009/10 through to 2013/14 (%)
Chronically poor
Moved out poverty
Uganda
8.9
Moved in poverty
Never poor
20.3
36.6
34.2
2.4
Urban
9.7
Rural
10.8
0%
10%
49.5
23.5
20%
38.4
32.8
30%
40%
50%
32.9
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Household Poverty Dynamics by Region (%)
Chronically poor
Moved out of poverty
Slipped into Poverty
Never poor
9.2
Western
24.1
Northern
26.3
Eastern
24.4
Central
4.7
0%
6.6
21.5
22.0
60.1
14.9
14.0
9.6 6.7
10%
20%
37.3
39.6
79.0
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Poverty Dynamics by Education of HH Head (%)
Chronically poor
Slipped into Poverty
Secondary and above
Moved out of poverty
Never poor
7.7 15.5 8.0
Completed primary
17.4
Some primary
16.3
15.3
0%
9.7
25.1
32.8
No formal education
68.9
10%
20%
57.5
13.0
19.1
30%
40%
45.7
12.1
50%
60%
35.9
70%
80%
90%
100%
Nutritional status of children
below 5 years
Stunted [below –2 SD] Children (6-59 Months) (%)
2009/10
40
2013/14
36.1 35.5
35
31.3
30
29.2
33.7 32.4
25
20
15
10
5
0
Male
Female
Total
Under- weight [below – 2 SD] Children (6-59 Months) (%)
2009/10
18
16.8
16.6
16.4
16
14
2013/14
12.7
10.4
12
11.5
10
8
6
4
2
0
Male
Female
Total
Stunted Children by Region (%)
2009/10
45
40
34.3
35
30
26.9
2013/14
42.2
36.8
36.3
31.1
30.4
27.9
25
20
15
10
5
0
Central
Eastern
Northern
Western
Under-Weight Children by Region (%)
2009/10
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
17.9
16.9
15.3
2013/14
16.8
14.4
11.3
10.0
10.7
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
Central
Eastern
Northern
Western
Agriculture and related
services
Panel Households Engaged in Agriculture (%)
2005/06
2009/10
2011/12
90
2013/14
82
79 76
74
80
70
59 57
59
53
60
50
40
30
20
22
18 16 20
2 3 1 2
10
0
Grew crops only
Reared
Livestock only
Mixed
Farming
Agricultural
HH
Changes in Agricultural Activities (Panel HHs)-%
Grew crops only (13/14)
Mixed Farming (13/14)
Reared Livestock only (13/14)
1
20
Mixed Farming (09/10)
Reared Livestock only (09/10)
79
7
43
50
1
59
Grew crops only (09/10)
0%
20%
40
40%
60%
80%
100%
Acquisition of Agricultural Land (Panel HHs)-%
Purchsed
Inherited/Received As Gift
Others
100%
90%
80%
70%
46
60%
82
50%
56 56 52 65 61
61
87 79 80 81
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
54
15
40 39 46 33 36 36
13
19
18
18
Land Use by Panel Households (%)
Cultivated
Fallow
Pasture
Others
82
2013/14
9
8
2
1
85
2011/12
11
3
2
82
2009/10
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
11
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
5
100%
Use of Irrigation by Panel HHs (%)
0.80
0.75
0.70
0.54
0.60
0.50
0.42
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2009/10
2011/12
2013/14
Use of Improved Seeds by Panel HHs (%)
Traditional
100%
90%
Improved
18
9
8
82
91
92
2009/10
2011/12
2013/14
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Use of Fertilizers by Panel HHs (%)
2009/10
6.0
2011/12
2013/14
5.1
5.0
4.0
3.9
3.7
3.5
4.0
3.1
3.0
2.0
1.0
1.0
1.5 1.5
0.0
Organic
Feritilizers
Inorganic
Fertilizers
Pesticides
Way Forward
• Hard copies of the report will be shared in July
2015
For More Information
Contact: Director Socio-Economic Surveys
Email: [email protected]
Tel: +256-414-706069
THANK YOU