Estimation of Tailings Dam Break Discharges Arvind Dalpatram USSD Workshop on Dam Break Analysis Applied to Tailings Dams August 24-26, 2011 Overview • Dam break analyses for water storage dams • • • • Relatively simple Lots of guidance available in literature Often covered by regulatory guidelines Well established numeric modelling tools/software available • Dam break analyses for tailings storage dams • • • • More complex than water storage dams Tailings more viscous than water, and not as free flowing Not all tailings released from impoundment Numeric modelling tools/software difficult to use or not reliable Overview • Difference between water storage and tailings storage impoundments • Use of methodology/tools for water storage dams Water and Tailings Storage Impoundments Water Storage Tailings Storage Free Water (supernatant pond) Water Dam Tailings Beach Tailings (solids & water) Dam After Dam Breach Tailings Storage Water Storage Dam Water Dam Breach Bottom Breach Bottom Tailings Tailings flow downstream of dam Breach to Foundation Level Tailings Storage Water Storage Dam Breach Bottom Dam Breach Bottom Tailings All water released Not all tailings released Tailings flow downstream of dam Volume of Tailings Released Tailings Released No. of Dams Dam Heights Range Average Lucia (1981) 11 15m to 46m 14% to 100% 40% USCOLD (1995) 16 20m to 61m 1% to 100% 29% Garga and Khan (1995) 19 ? 3% to 100% 28% USCOLD (1995) and www.tailings.info 31 12m to 61m 1% to 100% 26% M. Rico et al. (2007) 28 5m to 66m 3% to 100% 33% Azam and Li (2010) 72 ? ? 20% Source Outflow Volume (106 x m3) Volume of Tailings Released (M. Rico et al.) VF = 0.354VT1.01 Where: VF = Outflow volume VT = Stored volume Impoundment Volume (106 x m3) Source: M. Rico et al. (2007) Steps for Tailings Dam Break Analyses • Establish dam break scenario • Estimate volume of tailings released • Review flows in downstream river and potential for transport of tailings • Assume released tailings behave like water • Estimate dam breach parameters • Run numeric dam break and inundation model • Carryout sensitivity analyses for estimated/assumed values Dam Break Scenarios • “Sunny-day” Failure • Supernatant pond at max. normal operating level • Normal flows in river(s) downstream of the dam (e.g., average annual flow) • Caused by earthquake, seepage, foundation failure, etc. • “Rainy-day” Failure • Flood-induced failure • Supernatant pond at design flood level, or higher • Flood flows in river(s) downstream of the dam (i.e., flows most likely to occur coincident with the breach event) • More water than sunny-day failure; more tailings mobilized Amount of Tailings Mobilized • Impoundment Characteristics • Stage/storage curve • Shape of impoundment • Water in the Impoundment • Free water above the tailings • Water retained within the tailings (i.e., water content) • Flows in the rivers downstream of dam Impoundment Characteristics Tailings surface after failure Free Water Dam Tailings Tailings surface after failure Free Water Tailings Dam Water in the Impoundment and River Sunny-day Failure Free Water Dam Tailings (solids & water) Rainy-day Failure Water in river Free Water Tailings (solids & water) Dam Breach Parameters • Breach Geometry • Breach depth • Breach width • Breach side slopes • Breach Formation Time Dam Break and Inundation Modelling • Conventional dam break and flood routing models • Sensitivity analyses: • Assumed tailings release volume • Breach geometry • Breach formation time • etc. References Azam, Sahid and Li, Qiren (2010). Tailings Dam Failures: A Review of the Last One Hundred Years, Geotechnical News, December. Garga, V.K. and Khan, M.A. (1995). Review and Comparison of a deterministic Model for estimating Flow Out Distance of Breached Tailings, report submitted to Resources Canada, Mining Research Laboratory. Lucia, P.C. (1975). Review of Experiences with Flow Failures of Tailings Dams and Waste Impoundments. Lucia, P., Duncan, J., and H.B. Seed (1981). Summary of Research on Case Histories of Flow Failures of Mine Tailings Impoundment”, mine Waste Disposal Technology Proceedings Bureau of Mine Technology Transfer Workshop, Denver, July 16, 2981. Lucia, P.C. (1981). Review of Experiences with Flow Failures of Tailings Dams and waste Impoundments, PhD dissertation, University of California, Berkeley. Rico M., Benito G., and Diez-Herrero A. (2007). “Floods from Tailings Dam Failures”, Journal of Hazard Management. References USCOLD (1995). Tailings Dam Incidents. Vick, S. (1992). “ Inundation Risk from Tailings Dam Flow Failures, Proceedings, IX Pan-American Conference, Van del mar, Chile, Vol. 1, pp. 1137-1158. Wahl, T. L. (1998). Predicting Embankment Dam Breach Parameters – A Literature Review and Needs Assessment, Dam Safety Research Report DSO-98-004, US Bureau of Reclamation, Dam Safety Office, July. www.tailings.info Estimation of Tailings Dam Break Discharges Questions / Comments?
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