Apr15_Layout 1 04/03/2015 08:52 Page 44 44 CHAPTER HEADING ACCOUNTANCY IRELAND APRIL 2015 VOL.47 NO.2 OPPORTUNITY AFRICA Positive images of Africa are replacing the negative ones as Irish businesses now look to this vast continent as the land of opportunity, reports Colm O’Callaghan. S ceptics may debate its progress and potential, but Africa offers a wealth of opportunity for Irish businesses looking to expand.The continent is increasingly economically driven and achieving year on year growth. Sub-Saharan Africa's GDP is projected to reach $2.3 trillion by 2020 and many African countries are growing at 7% per annum (Figure 1). By 2020,Africa will account for seven out of the ten fastest growing global economies. The bulk of this growth is being driven by megatrends sweeping the continent, each representing both an opportunity and a challenge to Irish businesses looking to Africa. African leaders are consciously working towards improving the economic health of their countries and actively engaging with foreign investors to achieve this. Governments are also improving the infrastructure of their countries as evidenced by the emergence of mega cities and mega corridors.The political situation in African countries is also stabilising – with efforts from the international community to bring peace to war-torn nations such as Somalia. Africa’s population is expected to double by 2050, while Europe’s is expected to shrink. An estimated 50% of Africa’s population will be under 24 years old by 2050 and with this comes a change in consumer b e h av i o u r. Nowhere is this more apparent than in m o b i l e communications with almost 900 million mobile phone connections across a (mostly poor) population of 1 billion. Africa has the highest mobile broadband growth rate across the world, and with this comes a population that is increasingly willing to accept change, new products and/or new concepts. The use of social media and various other platforms readily available on most mobiles used by the African population has heavily influenced recent consumption trends. The development of payment transactions through mobile is disrupting the banking industry in many African countries. As an illustration of this in action , the MPesa system in Kenya allows 18 million people (out of a population of 25 million over the age of 15) to pay their taxi fares, electricity or restaurant bills, to transfer money to relatives or to withdraw cash at Apr15_Layout 1 04/03/2015 08:52 Page 45 CHAPTER HEADING ACCOUNTANCY IRELAND APRIL 2015 VOL.47 NO.2 local kiosks with their mobile phones. Eight million transactions are completed every day, creating a parallel banking system, which is extremely useful in a country where almost everybody has a mobile phone but not everyone has a bank account. Broadband access is triggering a radical transformation of African society and each sector of the economy will be impacted by this development, while the expected change will be faster and more radical than elsewhere due to a low level of development. Africa has the fastest growing middle class population in the world and the continent currently has over 313 million middle class citizens. Rapid urbanisation is a key driver of economic change with an additional 350 million people expected to live in Africa’s cities over the next 15 years. Nigeria, which is seen as being at the forefront of economic development, plans to transform Lagos into a megacity with the construction of the Eko Atlantic urban district, an ambitious project that shows Africans are thinking big. In the future, it is predicted that Africa will house some of the largest cities in the world, including Lagos, Kinshasa and Abidjan. OPPORTUNITIES FOR IRISH BUSINESSES On the back of these positive changes, many “ OPPORTUNITIES EXIST FOR IRISH BUSINESSES TO PARTICIPATE IN AFRICA'S SEARCH FOR GROWTH AND DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION. ” Irish businesses are for the first time considering a move into Africa. In particular, opportunities exist for Irish businesses to participate in Africa's search for growth and digital transformation. This includes opportunities not only for technology companies but also for financial services providers, payment providers, food companies, infrastructure and pharmaceutical operations and research and development companies. While the opportunities are significant, there are also considerable challenges. Cultural nuances, poor infrastructure, unfamiliar tax and regulatory regimes, and profit repatriation often impose significant up-front barriers for new market entrants. Corruption is still considered a threat to Irish-African trade, with most African Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa GDP to Reach USD $2.3 trn by 2020 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 GDP Source: IMF Regional Economic Outlook 2012 45 countries still in the lowest quartile of the World Bank's transparency index. Despite this, many Irish businesses operating in Africa say that the perceived risk is greater than the real risk, and once risk comes down, so too will the returns on offer. Other challenges include increased competition from local companies who are beginning to develop the financial capital to engage new market entrants in price wars. When coupled with a lack of local consumer awareness to demand quality products, this can represent a significant threat to overseas businesses especially in the consumer goods sector. Education is a major issue.While primary education coverage has improved across the continent, overseas companies still struggle to find the right quality of local human capital. Many failed cases involve companies that lack transition strategies when they seek to move from expatriate human capital to local talent. STRUCTURE AND EXIT The most immediate and obvious differences show up in the regulatory, legal and tax systems when compared to more traditional markets.They can appear alien to an Irish business and require up-front planning to understand and navigate. In particular, key decisions are required regarding the type of legal entity to be used, the appropriate business model and the overall tax strategy. Local partnerships and acquisition led entrants are the most popular strategies for the African market, and each is important for medium-term growth and gaining a local supply chain. Local advice is essential to understand the pitfalls of the local commercial and legal systems. A golden rule is to also formulate your exit strategy when your expansion is being Apr15_Layout 1 04/03/2015 08:52 Page 46 46 CHAPTER HEADING ACCOUNTANCY IRELAND APRIL 2015 VOL.47 NO.2 Subscribe to ACCOUNTANCY IRELAND Vol.45 No.4 AUGUST 2013 €6.19 (incl. VAT) Doing Business in Africa : 10 Top Tips 1. Desk research is not enough. Develop 2. 3. For Only ½ one year app subscription ½ one year print subscription ½ one year Accountancy Ireland app and print subscription Subscribe online at www.accountancyireland.ie 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. or ring +353 1 637 7392 to subscribe over the phone Any personal data provided by you to Chartered Accountants Ireland will be held in accordance with the Data Protection Act, 1988 and the Data Protection (Amended) Act, 2003. 10. a practical understanding of the local tax and regulatory environment while working with partners and advisors who do. Ensure that the company holding structures as well as the operating and exit strategies provide sufficient flexibility, substance and tax efficiencies to/access tax treaties. Keep a tight control on the cash taxes deducted at source in the form of withholding tax.Where the tax is not legally due, strive to avoid paying it as it is often difficult to get refunds. When having discussions or negotiations with the tax and regulatory authorities engage appropriate senior officers at the authorities and ensure that you are accompanied by knowledgeable and pragmatic advisers who understand the local business culture/environment. Do not conclude tax settlements outside set formal procedures. Ensure you receive appropriate supporting documentation for taxes paid and/or agreements reached with regulatory authorities. Understand the applicable rules relating to exchange control and immigration regulations in order to avoid having trapped funds. When reorganising a group structure that overlaps multiple jurisdictions, seek advice to ensure any related tax implication triggered in other territories is well understood and managed. Get reliable access to changes in the tax and regulatory landscape and manage how these affect your business in the local territory and as a group. Transfer pricing is now being practically implemented across Africa; therefore, ensure that profits are allocated to the appropriate entities and all relevant transfer pricing policies are duly supported with appropriate documentation. Keep up to date with tax compliance and ensure that you receive proof of the returns filed and all payments made. planned, not after it has taken place. TAX AND INCENTIVE In a newly established business in Africa, the local entity may have commercial relationships not just with the head office but also with other affiliates. The basis for allocating profits between these entities presents both a risk and an opportunity. In general, corporate tax rates in Africa are higher than in Ireland and the temptation might therefore be to attribute as much profit as possible to Ireland. This, however, is not a straightforward matter since Transfer Pricing and how this is impacted by the location of business functions, trademarks and intellectual property comes into play. Appropriate structuring of the relevant business functions and location of intangibles will, in principle, produce the best after tax result. Some African countries, however, do not follow the standard OECD Transfer Pricing guidelines, while others impose restrictions on the tax deductibility of royalty payments which can have a very significant impact on the after-tax result. Common commercially efficient business models can easily be eroded in jurisdictions such as Kenya and Nigeria where there are significant withholding tax regimes which, while creditable and nominally refundable locally, may result in a permanent tax credit but restrictions on cash flow. FINANCE AND CASH Funding the new local business is a question that needs attention from the outset. In some countries, the choice between debt and equity will be dictated by regulatory and banking rules stipulating minimum debt equity ratios. Others impose additional restrictions, in the form of local banking or legal requirements to restrict the movement of capital, giving rise to significant foreign currency and cash flow issues that may not be foreseen initially. In Africa, as elsewhere, good planning is the key to successful overseas expansion. Take the time to design an appropriate structure and strategy for your African business and make sure that it is capable of flexing as each new border is crossed. This will ensure you are poised to successfully exploit the opportunities afforded by Africa as an emerging economic powerhouse. Colm O’Callaghan, ACA, is a Director in PwC’s Private Business Services Group.
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