Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 Modelling the Crossing Behavior of Pedestrian at Uncontrolled Intersection in Case of Mixed Traffic Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System Harsh J. Amin Department of Civil Engineering, IIT Guwahati, Guwahati-781039, India Email: [email protected] Rutvij N. Desai and Priyesh S. Patel Department of Civil Engineering, L.D College of Engineering, Ahmedabad-380015, India Department of Computer Engineering, Nirma University, Ahmedabad-382481, India Email: {rd271989, priyesh.jas26}@gmail.com Abstract—Critical gap is the most important parameter associated with gap acceptance study especially in case of delay and capacity estimation. Many studies are reported on gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian but most of them confined to developed country where traffic is homogeneous and traffic rules are strictly followed. Uncontrolled intersections in case of developed countries control the traffic and pedestrian movements based on priorities but in India, no one follows the stop and yield signs, even the rules of zebra crossings. It creates more conflicts and increases delay to both. This paper systematically analyzes the behavior of pedestrian during the gap acceptation at two four legged TWSC intersection located at Ahmedabad in state of Gujarat, India. Data on gap acceptance behavior is obtained by video recording technique and analyzed the various parameters relate to crossing behavior of pedestrian. The critical gaps for pedestrians estimated by raff method and results shows that values of critical gap estimated are as low as 3.20 sec. which is smaller than reported in other studies. An Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been established to estimate the possibilities of accepting a given gap or lag considering the combinations of different parameters which affects the crossing behaviors of pedestrians. Nine different combinations are considered. However, the age of the pedestrian is found to be most important variable in crossing behavior compared to other. Now these days, many passengers are diverted to public transports and increase in the use of public transportation trips. Public transport trips are normally connected to walk trips either destination or origin or both and sometimes at mode transfer points. Therefore passengers may need cross the road either at intersections or at mid-block sections for many reasons. Now these days, many variety of vehicles are available in India like car, scooter, bike, auto rickshaw as fast moving vehicles and cycle, pedal rickshaw etc. as slow moving vehicles. All these vehicles share the same roadway width without any physical separation and resulted in heterogeneity condition in India. The effects of heterogeneity and reckless walking behavior of pedestrian creates sever conflicts and fatalities. It has resulted in reduction of pedestrian’s safety. As per data from National crime records bureau, 10,125 pedestrian deaths were reported for the year 2007 in India. The precise number of pedestrians injured and killed is difficult to get and could be approximately 40,000 deaths annually in India. More than half of injured and killed pedestrians were young men in 16 to 45 age group [1]. In spite of these fatalities and accidents, limited studies are reported on gap acceptance behavior of pedestrians in Indian condition. This paper attempts to model the gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian at TWSC intersections in order to analyze and evaluate the performance of TWSC intersections. Before starting the gap acceptance study, the term of gap should be clarified. Ashworth and Green [2] measured gap from front of following vehicle to rear of the first vehicle. Polus [3] defined it as the time interval between two successive vehicles in road stream. Along with term of gap comes another term lag. Lag is defined as the time interval between the arrivals of pedestrian at a stop line and the arrivals of the first vehicle at upstream side of the conflicts zone [3]. Critical gap is most Index Terms—pedestrian, gap acceptance, critical gap, anfis, mixed traffic, TWSC intersection I. INTRODUCTION Urbanization and traffic growth rapidly increasing in Indian cities as increasing in economic growth of India. It has resulted in increase in delay to vehicular traffic and occurrences of fatalities. Manuscript received February 20, 2014; revised December 11, 2014. ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing doi: 10.12720/jtle.2.4.263-270 263 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 ANFIS given in Section 4 & 5 respectively. In section 6 development of the model is discussed and in Section 7 discussed the validation of model. Section 8 concludes the paper by presenting important conclusions, and pointing the directions for further research. important parameter in gap acceptance behavior. Critical gap is the minimum gap time that is acceptable to a pedestrian, intending to cross a conflicting stream. For a consistent pedestrian its value lies between largest rejected gap and accepted gap. It is very difficult to measure the critical gap in field. Its value differs from pedestrian to pedestrian, time to time, intersection to intersection, type of movement and traffic situations. All these factors make an estimation of critical gap a complex and tedious process. Various literatures defined the term of critical gap in different manners. Greenshield defined critical gap is the gap range that has equal number of rejection and acceptance. Raff and Hart [4] defined it as size of gaps whose number of rejected gap longer than it is equal to number of accepted gap shorter than it. The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM 2000) [5] defines the term of critical gap as “the time in seconds below which a pedestrian will not attempt to begin crossing the street”. It is assumed that if the given gap is greater than the critical gap, the pedestrian will cross, but if the given gap is smaller than the critical gap, pedestrian will not cross. The term adequate gap is used in the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) and is assumed to be the same as the critical gap in the HCM (2000) [5], [6]. Estimation of critical gap under heterogeneous traffic condition is more complex than that under homogeneous traffic conditions. Gap acceptance process becomes complex due to non-adherence to the rules of priorities, improper parking facilities, weak lane discipline, improper lane marking, and variation among the static and dynamic characteristics of vehicles types. In India more than 60% of pedestrians creates forcefully gaps in traffic stream. It affect the natural behavior of traffic stream and cause delay and decline the capacity of network with increase in accidents and fatalities. Model of gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian, considering more realistic scenario and behavior, have attempted in this paper by using different combinations of pedestrian and traffic parameters. The evaluation of set of explanatory attributes in decision process is affected by imprecision and uncertainty. Fuzzy logic plays an important role in the human ability to make decision in an environment of uncertainty and imprecision. For the present study, we use neuro-fuzzy approach to establish the model of gap acceptance of pedestrian at TWSC intersection. MATLAB is used to develop an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), which provides an optimization scheme to find the parameters in the fuzzy system that best fit the data. A network-type structure is similar to a neural network [7]. The present study attempt an estimation of critical gap by Raff method and develop a model to estimate possibilities of accepting a given gap or lag based on different traffic and pedestrian attributes using ANFIS. This paper is organized in 8 sections, including this section. Section 2 discusses the background and the literature review on the gap acceptance studies while the data collection and extraction is discussed in Section 3. Estimation of critical gap and the detailed structure of ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing II. BACKGROUND LITERATURE REVIEW Large number of studies has been reported on gap acceptance behavior of driver since last three decades but only limited studies are reported on behavior of pedestrian. Several procedures have been developed in literature to estimate the critical gap as closely as possible. Normally, accepted or rejected gaps, age, gender and speed of pedestrian as well as speed of the conflicts vehicles are used as the basis for estimation of critical gap. Moore [8] found the relation between walking speed and gap acceptance. He noticed that the pedestrians who accepted longer gaps decreased their crossing speeds and concluded that those who accepted long gaps like 7 s walked at a speed of 1.20 m/s while those accepting gaps smaller than 3 s walked at 1.57 m/s. Cohen et al. [9] noticed that no one accepting a gaps smaller than 1.5 s and everyone accepting a gaps longer than 10.5 s while they also noticed 92% of pedestrians crossed a 7.0 m wide road when the available gap was 7 s. DiPietro and King [10] concluded that if the waiting time on the curb is increases, accepted gaps becomes longer. Palamarthy et al. [11] noticed that pedestrians preferred an overall gap than separate gaps in individual traffic streams. Das et al. [12] collected the data with using video recording of a crossing in India, and found the gaps rejected by older pedestrians were accepted by young pedestrians, but it was not found any difference between male and female pedestrians in gap acceptance. Brewer et al. [13] have collected data of pedestrians crossing from 42 study sites of seven different country and they evaluated the gap acceptance behavior of crossing pedestrians based on a two-part analysis: behavioral analysis and statistical analysis. Zhao [14] analyzed gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian at two way stopped controlled intersection and established micro simulation model using VISSIM and CORSIM and concluded that compared to CORSIM model, the VISSIM model provides more detailed information, such as the individual pedestrian characteristics and behavior, the length of crosswalks, and even the marking length on the crosswalks. Grebert [15] observed pedestrian waiting time at the curb before crossing a road plays a key role in decision and it was found that very long waiting time lost patience of the pedestrians and resulted in illegal crossing. Wang et al. [16] modeled the gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian when they jaywalk outside crossing facilities, based on non-intrusive observations from real pedestrian vehicle interaction scenarios, using binary logit technique. Yannis et al [17] analyzed the gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian for mid-block street in urban areas and concluded that pedestrians’ decision to cross the street depends on the traffic gap, the waiting time, type of the 264 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 areas of Ahmedabad in state of Gujarat. Gujarat is located in western part of India. Both intersections were almost similar in geometry with four lanes on major street approach and two lane on minor street approach. Geometry of the intersections are shown in Fig. 1. All sites were located in plain terrain and adequate sight distances were available for each movement. It was not possible to conduct the videography of both roads therefore we conducted the videography only for major road as pedestrian movement on major road was more than that of minor road. The total approach traffic on major stream was in the range of 800 vehicles per hour (vph) to 2500 vph and on the minor stream were in the range of 350 vph to 1100 vph. Video recording technique was adopted for data collection. Data were collected on first week of January 2014 during as this month do not present extreme weather conditions in western India. Video recording was done during morning peak time (9.00-12.00 A.M) on weekdays. Six video cameras had used to find out various parameters like vehicle arrival rate, accepted and rejected gap/lag time, age of pedestrian, speed and type of conflict vehicle and speed of the pedestrian. Four video cameras were placed on roof of the building nearby intersection in such a way that possible to catch various traffic attributes like speed of the conflicts vehicle, speed of the pedestrian, type of conflicts vehicle and gap/lag time. Two video cameras were placed at road level with using tripod of around 4 feet long to obtain age of pedestrians. Lags/gaps were measured with an accuracy of 0.01th of second. Age of the pedestrian is grouped in three category: young (below 30 years), middle (30 to 50 years) and old (more than 50 years). The data extraction resulted in observations for 254 pedestrians, and the total lags/gaps (both accepted and rejected) are 433. The total data set extracted of 254 pedestrians includes 191 male and 63 female; 72 young pedestrian, 134 mid-age, and 48 old pedestrians. incoming vehicle and the presence of illegally parked vehicles. Ottomanelli et al. [18] made model based on decision of pedestrians during gap acceptance at midblock section using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System and concluded that ANFIS model allow to reproduce human approximate reasoning, providing reliable and useful results within soft computing environment with low data requirements. Kadali and Vedagiri [19] modeled the behavior of pedestrian during road crossing at the uncontrolled midblock location in India under mixed traffic condition using multiple linear regression (MLR) technique and concluded that increase in the pedestrian waiting time at curb or at median they may loses their patience and lead to increase in rolling gap behavior and accepted gap size will increase when they accept the lag. They also concluded that speed of the conflicts vehicle plays major important role in gap acceptance behavior. Chandra et al. [20] analyzed gap acceptance data collected at 17 locations in five cities of India and demonstrated the effect of carriageway width (number of lanes), directional movements, traffic volume and pedestrians’ characteristics on the gaps acceptance study. A critical review of available literature indicates that the gap acceptance is function of the accepted and rejected gaps, age, waiting time, gender and speed of pedestrian, speed and type of conflicts vehicles. Many of above literature conducted their study in developed country but only few of them conducted for mixed traffic condition as same as in India. The present study attempt an estimation of critical gap by Raff method and develop a model to estimate possibilities of accepting a given gap or lag based on realistic attributes of traffic and pedestrian using ANFIS. III. DATA COLLECTION AND EXTRACTION Data for this study were collected at two right angle two way stopped controlled intersections in semi-urban (a) (b) Figure. 1. Schematic diagram of intersection 1 (a) and intersection 2 (b) IV. From the set of collected data, it is observed that minimum accepted lag is 1.27 second and minimum MEASUREMENT OF CRITICAL GAP ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing 265 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 accepted gap is 1.08 second. From the observation of the data, it is concluded that young pedestrian accepted smaller gaps than old age pedestrian. Aggressiveness behavior of the young pedestrian is clearly reflected in collected data. While old age pedestrians are accepting longer gaps compared to other two category. Almost no gap is rejected by young pedestrian longer than 6.5 sec. but around 12 % of old age pedestrian reject a gap of 6.5 sec. Furthermore, it was observed from collected data that if speed of the conflict vehicle is high, pedestrian searching for higher gap. TABLE I. CRITICAL GAP OF PEDESTRIAN IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES Year Author’s name Country Critical gap in second 1953 Moore United Kingdom 3.00 to 7.00 1955 Cohen et al. United Kingdom 1.50 to 7.00 1970 DiPietro and King United States of America 3.00 to 10.00 2003 Zhao and Wu China 5.79 2005 Das et al. India 8.00 Brewer et al. United States of America 5.30 to 9.40 2006 Source: Chandra et al. [20] TABLE II. CRITICAL GAP FOR BOTH INTERSECTIONS Critical gap in second Intersection 1 Intersection 2 Overall 3.20 3.45 Young pedestrian 3.05 3.30 Old pedestrian 3.40 3.65 V. An Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System uses two fuzzy logic and neural network approaches. When these two systems are linked, they may qualitatively and quantitatively obtain an appropriate result that will include either calculative abilities of neural network or fuzzy intellect. This makes it possible to combine the advantages of neural network and fuzzy logic. A network obtained this way could use excellent training algorithms that neural networks have at their disposal to obtain the parameters that would not have been possible in fuzzy logic. ANFIS structure is organized of two part same as Fuzzy system; First is introductory or antecedent part and second is concluding parts which are connected together by a set of rules. We may recognize five different layers in the structure of ANFIS which makes it as a multi-layer network. A kind of this network, which is demonstrated in five different layers, is shown in Fig. 1. This system contains two inputs (x and y) and one output (Z) which is associated with the following rules: Rule 1 If (x is A1) and (y is B1) then Z1=p1x+q1y+r1 Rule 2 If (x is A2) and (y is B2) then Z2=p2x+q2y+r2 where A and B are the input, Z is the output and p, q and r is a set of consequent parameters of rule. If we consider the output of each layer in the ANFIS network as (ith node output in jth layer) then we may explain the various layers functions of this network as follows. (a) (b) Figure 2 (a) and (b): Critical gap estimated by raff method for both intersections The values of the critical gap is calculated using Raff method proposed by Raff in 1950 [4]. Raff method is based on macroscopic model and it is the earliest method for estimating the critical gap which is used in many countries because of its simplicity. According to Raff method, sum of cumulative number of accepted gaps 𝐹𝑎 and rejected gaps 𝐹𝑟 is equal to 1 then a gap of length t is equal to critical gap 𝑡𝑐 . It means the number of rejected gaps larger than critical gap is equal to the number of accepted gaps smaller than critical gap. Raff method gives the median value of the critical gap [21]. The separate analysis for critical gap, combining gap and lag data, for both intersections is given in Table II. These values are quite smaller than the critical gaps reported in other studies, given in Table I. The present study develops a model to estimate possibilities of accepting a given gap or lag using different combinations of collected parameters. Data for this study were collected at two right angle two way stopped controlled intersections in semiurban areas of Ahmedabad in state of Gujarat. ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing ARCHITECTURE OF ANFIS Figure 3. Structure of ANFIS (Source: maharani et al. [22]) 266 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 Layer 1 is the fuzzification layer where every node i in this layer is an adaptive node with a node function, O1,i Ai ( x), for i = 1, 2 (1) O1,i Bi ( y), for i = 1, 2 age of the pedestrian, speed and type of conflict vehicle, speed of pedestrian and one output variable i.e. gap/lag acceptance or rejection are considered. Size of lag/gap (sec) is divided by a set of five linguistic fuzzy values viz; very low, low, medium, high, and very high. In similar manner speed of the conflict vehicle and pedestrian divided by five and three linguistic fuzzy values respectively. Membership function of gap/lag size and speed of conflict vehicle are shown in Fig. 2. It was not possible to get actual age of the pedestrian hence it is taken as crisp variable, 1- Young, 2 - Middle, 3 – Old pedestrian. In similar manner, we considered type of conflict vehicle as crisp variable (1- Car, 2- 2 Wheeler, 3Bus, and 4- Auto Rickshaw). where Ai is the membership grade of x in Ai is fuzzy set and Bi is the membership of y in Bi fuzzy set. In this model, fuzzification nodes have a bell activation function. A bell activation function, which has a regular bell shape, is specified as, A ( x) 1 2b x ci 1 ai (2) where (ai, bi, ci) is the parameter set. The bell-shaped function varies with these parameters, thus exhibiting various forms of membership function for fuzzy set A. Parameters in this layer are called premise parameters. Layer 2 is the rule layer. Each node in this layer corresponds to a single Sugeno-type fuzzy rule whose output is the product of all the incoming signals: O2,i i Ai ( x) Bi ( y) , for i = 1, 2. (3) (a) Each node output represents the firing strength of a rule. Layer 3 is the normalized layer. Every node in this layer is a fixed node labeled N. The ith node calculates the ratio of the ith rule's firing strength to the sum of all rules' firing strengths: O3,i i i , 1 2 for i = 1, 2. (4) Outputs of this layer are called normalized firing strengths. Layer 4 is the defuzzification layer. Every node i in this layer is an adaptive node with a node function: O4,i i f i i ( pi x qi y ri ) (b) Figure 4 (a) and (b): Membership functions of input using in model 2 Nine different combination of attributes are used to construct nine different models. A network-type structure similar to that of a neural network, which maps inputs through input membership functions and associated parameters with it, and then through output membership functions and associated parameters to outputs, can be used to interpret the input or output map. Three main steps are required to develop ANFIS model in MATLAB. First one is build the Sugeno type FIS, second is train the FIS with using given input – output data set and last one is validation of the model with using independent data [7]. Major important part of the generating model is application of rules. Fuzzy rules are a collection of linguistic statements that describe how the FIS should make a decision regarding classifying an input or controlling an output. Different rules cannot share the same output membership function, namely the number of output membership functions must be equal to the number of rules. Number of rules applied in each model is given in Table II. Shape of the membership function is may be Trapezium and Triangle or any other based on judgment from collected data. It depends on parameter associated with that function and it can be change through learning (5) where ANFIS is a normalized firing strength from layer 3 and (pi, qi, ri) is the parameter set of this node. These parameters are called consequent parameters. Layer 5 is represented by a single summation node. Which computes the overall ANFIS output as the summation of all defuzzification nodes: O5,i i f i i f i i i (6) i i Briefly, second layer executes the fuzzy AND of the antecedent part of the fuzzy rules, the third layer normalizes the membership functions (MFs), the fourth layer executes the consequent part of the fuzzy rules, and finally the last layer computes the output of fuzzy system by summing up the outputs of layer fourth [7], [23], [22]. VI. DEVELOPMENT OF ANFIS An Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Interface System (ANFIS) has been developed using Fuzzy Logic toolbox in MATLAB. Five input variables i.e. size of lag/gap(sec.), ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing 267 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 VII. process. The computation of these parameters (or their adjustment) is facilitated by a gradient vector, which provides a measure of how well the fuzzy inference system is modeling the input/output data for a given set of parameters. Once the gradient vector is obtained, any of several optimization routines could be applied in order to adjust the parameters so as to reduce some error measure. An ANFIS uses either back propagation or a combination of least squares estimation and back propagation for parameter estimation. Associated parameter can be changed and adjusted automatic with using training data. This training process is used out to reduce and minimize the error between the actual observed output (Field data) and estimated output by model. Around 75 % extracted data is used to calibrate the models. Error Tolerance which is related to size of error is used to create a training stopping criterion. In this case, behavior of error is unknown hence, it was set to 0. Notice how the checking error decreases up to a certain point in the training and then it increases. This increase represents the point of model over fitting. ANFIS chooses the model parameters associated with the least checking error. Least error is found on 40th epoch hence it is set with 40. VALIDATION OF MODEL In general, this type of modeling works well if the training data presented to ANFIS for training (estimating) membership function parameters is fully representative of the features of the data that the trained FIS is intended to model [7]. This is not always the case, however. In some cases, data is collected using noisy measurements, and the training data cannot be representative of all the features of the data that will be presented to the model. This is where model validation comes into play. Validation data set is used to control the potential for the model over fitting the data. When testing data is presented to ANFIS as well as training data, the FIS model is selected to have parameters associated with the minimum checking data model error. Testing error of nine different models is given in Table. Model 3 has least error difference between testing error and training error while model 1 has least training and testing error. In case of output one assumption is considered that the values greater or equal to 0.5 indicates the acceptance of gap and smaller than 0.5 indicates the rejection of gap. Around 75 % extracted data is used to calibrate the models and 25% data is used to validate the models. (a) (b) Figure. 5. Output of model 2 before training process (a) and after training process (b) TABLE III. RESULTS OF MODELS WITH DIFFERENT COMBINATION OF VARIABLES WITH TRAINING & TESTING ERROR Model No Input for ANFIS Model Number of Rules Training Error Testing Error Difference between errors 1 Lag or Gap size (sec) 5 0.31138 0.36842 0.0570 2 Lag/Gap (sec), Conflicting veh. Speed 25 0.32066 0.39843 0.0778 3 Lag/Gap (sec), Ped. Age 15 0.32457 0.37071 0.0461 4 Lag/Gap (sec), Ped. Speed 15 0.38157 0.43854 0.0570 5 Lag/Gap (sec), Conflicting Veh. Speed, Ped. Age 75 0.34589 0.43247 0.0866 6 Lag/Gap (sec), Ped. Speed, Ped. Age 45 0.40451 0.47743 0.0729 7 Lag/Gap (sec), Type of conflict Veh. Ped. Age 60 0.34541 0.40146 0.0561 8 Lag/Gap (sec), Type of Conflict Veh. 20 0.37541 0.46891 0.0935 9 Lag/Gap (sec), Type of Conflict Veh, Ped. Speed 60 0.41843 0.49327 0.0748 VIII. The main aim of this paper is development of gap acceptance behavioral model for crossing pedestrian at CONCLUSION ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing 268 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 [11] S. Palamarthy, H. Mahmassan, and R. Machemehl, "Models of pedestrian crossing behavior at unsignalized intersection," Center for Transportation Research, Austin, 1994. [12] S. Das, C. F. Mansk, and M. D. Manuszak, "Walk or wait? An empirical analysis of street crossing decisions," Journal of Applied Economics, vol. 20, pp. 529-548, Mar. 2005. [13] M. A. Brewer, K. Fitzpatrick, J. A. Whitacre, and D. Lord, "Exploration of pedestrian gap-acceptance behaviour at selected locations," Transportation Research Record, Washington, D.C., pp. 132-140, July 2006. [14] Y. Zhao, "Exploration of pedestrian gap acceptance at twsc intersections using simulation," in Proc. ITE Western District Annual Meeting, Mar. 2012. [15] J. Grebert, "Pedestrian safety consideration enhancement," SICA Project Proposal Report, SIMBA Project, Jan. 2008. [16] T. Wang, J. Wu, P. Zheng, and M. McDonald, "Study of pedestrians’ gap acceptance behavior when they jaywalk outside crossing facilities," in Proc. 13th International IEEE Annual Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Madeira Island, Portugal, Sept. 2010. [17] G. Yannis, E. Papadimitriou, and A. Theofilatos, "Pedestrian gap acceptance for mid-block street crossing," in Proc. 12th WCTR, Lisbon, Portugal, July 2010. [18] M. Ottomanelli, L. Caggiani, G. Iannucci, and D. Sassanelli, "An adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for simulation of pedestrian’s behaviour at unsignalized roadway crossings," Advance in Intelligent and Soft Computing, vol. 75, pp. 255-262, 2010. [19] V. P. Kadali B R, "Modelling pedestrian road crossing behaviour under mixed traffic condition," European Transport\Trasporti Europei, vol. 55, no. 3, Dec. 2013. [20] S. Chandra, R. Rastogi, and V. R. Das, "Descriptive and parametric analysis of pedestrian gap acceptance in mixed traffic conditions," KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 284-293, Jan. 2014. [21] A. Gavulová, "Use of statistical techniques for critical gap estimation.," in Proc. 12th International Conference Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication, Lomonosova, Oct. 2012. [22] V. S. Ghomsheh, M. A. Shoorehdeli, and M. Teshnehlab, "Training anfis structure with modified pso algorithm," in Proc. 15th Mediterranean Conference on control & Automation, Athens – Greece, July 2007. [23] M. Mehrabi and S. M. Pesteei, "An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (anfis) modelling of oil retention in a carbon dioxide air-conditioning system," in Proc. International Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Conference, Iran, July 2010. four legged two way stop controlled intersection using an ANFIS. Video recording technique was adopted for data collection & extraction. The various parameters that are used in making of model including accepted and rejected gap/lag time, age and speed of pedestrian, speed and type of conflict vehicles. Nine different combinations of attributes are used to construct nine different models. By observing the testing and training errors value Model 1 has minimum errors. Also the difference between the training and testing error for Model 1, Model 3, Model 4 and Model 7 is minimum as compared to others. But Model 4 and Model 7 have more training and testing error as compared to Model 1 and Model 3. Model 8 has highest error difference while Model 9 has highest training and testing error. The value of critical gap is 3.55 sec. which is obtained from Model 1. In other words 50% decision is more than 3.55 sec. However the age of the pedestrian is most effective parameter of pedestrian crossing behavior while type of conflicting vehicle producing least effect on decision process compared to other variables. Limited studies in the past have conducted on the gap acceptance behavior of pedestrian at four legged TWSC intersection under mixed traffic condition. Walking trips of passengers day by day increasing as increasing public transport modes (BRTS, Metro, Mono rail etc.). Thus understanding the behavior of pedestrian is necessary in constructing delay models. In this study we collected data from only two intersections located at Ahmedabad. We plan to collect data at more number of intersections located at different region of India and develop the models which include the waiting time, number of rejection, travel time and more, to obtain the realistic behavior. REFERENCES [1] Special Report. Pedestrian Safety. NIMHANS BISP Fact Sheet. [Online]. Available: http://www.nimhans.kar.nic.in/epidemiology/epidem_who2.htm [2] R. Ashworth and B. D. Green, "Gap acceptance at an uncontrolled intersection," Traffic Engineering and Control, vol. 7, no. 11, pp. 676-678, March 1966. [3] A. Polus, "Gap acceptance characteristics at unsignalised urban intersection," Traffic Engineering and Control, vol. 24, no. 5, pp. 255-258, May 1983. [4] M. S. Raff and J. W. Hart, "A volume warrent for urban stop signs," in Eno Foundation For Highway Traffic Control, Saugatuck, Connecticut, 1950. [5] HCM, Highway Capacity Manual, SR 209, Transportation Research Board, National Research Counsil, Washington D.C., 1985, 1994, 2000. [6] J. L. Gattis and S. T. Low, "Gap acceptance at typical stop controlled intersection," Journal of Transportation Engineering, vol. 125, no. 3, pp. 201-207, July 1999. [7] J. P. Sangole, G. R. Patil, and P. S. Patare, "Modelling gap acceptance behavior of two-wheelers at uncontrolled intersection using neuro fuzzy," Procedia Social and Behavioral Science, vol. 20, pp. 927-941, Aug. 2011 [8] R. L. Moore, "Pedestrian choice and judgment," Journal of the Operational Research Society, vol. 4, pp. 3-10, Mar. 1953. [9] J. Cohen, E. J. Dearnaley and C. E. M. Hansel, "The risk taken in crossing a road," Journal of the Operational Research Society, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 120-128, Sept. 1955. [10] C. M. DiPietro and L. E. King, "Pedestrian gap-acceptance," in Highway Research Record, Washington, D.C, 1970, pp. 80-91. ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing Harsh J. Amin holds a degree of bachelor of Civil Engineering from Gujarat University located at Ahmedabad, India in 2011. He is pursuing in his final year of M.Tech from Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, India in Transportation System Engineering. His M.Tech thesis is related to gap acceptance study at uncontrolled intersection in case of mixed traffic condition and weak lane discipline. He is engaged in this study since last one year. Mr. Amin has student memberships of Institute of Transportation Engineering (ITE) and American society of Civil Engineering (ASCE). Rutvij N. Desai holds a degree of bachelor of Civil Engineering and master of Engineering in Transportation from Gujarat University located at Ahmedabad, India in 2011 and 2013 respectively. He has conducted research during his masters on pedestrian modelling. Since few months, he is engaged with one of the leading Transportation Company of India as an Asst. Engineer. He is student member of Indian Road Congress (IRC). 269 Journal of Traffic and Logistics Engineering Vol. 2, No. 4, December 2014 Priyesh S. Patel is pursuing his Bachelor of Technology in Computer Engineering from Nirma University located at Ahmedabad, India. His project is on Neural Network and optimization technique. He is engaged with his project since last few months. He developed this skills during his project time and he is awarded by some leading companies of IT sectors for his works and technical skills. ©2014 Engineering and Technology Publishing 270
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