MEXICO AS AN EMERGING ECONOMY AND ITS INTERNAL PROBLEMS Francisco Villarreal 859696 AGENDA 1. In what consists Mexican economy? 2. What are the most known companies and products (globally and nationally)? 3. Emerging Economies 4. How Mexico achieved to be one? 5. Energy industry relation with Mexican economy 6. PEMEX exports oil and imports fuel! 7. Social problems (Drugwar, corruption, economic inequality) 8. What is coming for Mexico in the following years MEXICO MÉXICO MEXICO Population : 113,423,047 (most populous spanish speaking country) Area Total : 1,972,550 km2 Nominally Roman Catholic 89% Historic Data: Highly developed cultures, including the Olmec, Maya, Toltec, and Aztec, existed long before Spain conquered Mexico in 1521. GDP: US$ 1,034,804 millions (2010) #13 GDP Composition by sector: agriculture: 3.9% industry: 32.8% services: 63.4% (2011 estimate) MEXICO Other figures: MEXICAN ECONOMY Tourism Industrial Activity Mining (9th place in mining production globally; it represents 1.5% of the PIB) Agriculture Remittance from the Mexican emigrants in USA Oil Sector Exports. México is the country that has signed more international treaties of free trade. However, USA is the country that receives most of the exports. The principal products that are exported are: oil, machinery, textiles, coffee, chemical products, etc. MEXICAN ECONOMY Tourism 31 places declared as cultural and/or natural world heritage of UNESCO MEXICAN ECONOMY Tourism Industrial Activity Mining (9th place in mining production globally; it represents 1.5% of the PIB) Agriculture Remittance from the Mexican emigrants in USA Oil Sector Exports. México is the country that has signed more international treaties of free trade. However, USA is the country that receives most of the exports. The principal products that are exported are: oil, machinery, textiles, coffee, chemical products, etc. MEXICAN ECONOMY Industrial Activity Leading in building material, worldwide presence 60% of the beer market in Mexico, worldwide presence FEMSA is the second world's largest bottler of Coca Cola in the world. The most important Baking Company in the world on the basis of brand positioning, production volume and sales. Grupo Carso: One of the most important conglomerates of Latin America MEXICAN ECONOMY Tourism Industrial Activity Mining (9th place in mining production globally; it represents 1.5% of the PIB) Agriculture Remittance from the Mexican emigrants in USA Oil Sector Exports. México is the country that has signed more international treaties of free trade. However, USA is the country that receives most of the exports. The principal products that are exported are: oil, machinery, textiles, coffee, chemical products, etc. EMERGING ECONOMIES As developed markets struggle to recover, big emerging countries are racing ahead – not only boosting their own living standards, but stimulating growth in the rest of the world. With much more rapid growth than the developed world, these countries have become significant players in the global economy. Moreover, as they grow, their middle classes are rising in importance and attracting the lion’s share of attention from many of the world’s biggest companies. Global Economic Outlook: A Deloitte Research Publication “Emerging Market Lead recovery” EMERGING ECONOMIES EMERGING ECONOMIES Its physical closeness to the US has some companies looking to invest in Mexico as Chinese costs rapidly increase. Industry in the country is growing but its internal problems are still keeping US and European countries from committing to the nation. MEXICO AS AN EMERGING ECONOMY * What has been done right? Public investment: reaching 5% of GDP, compared to 3.3% annually during the previous decade. Improved infrastructure More competitive salaries compared to China (manufacturing sector), it is expected that Chinese salaries are going to increase in the following years making it more expensive Mexico's foreign reserves surpassed $150 billion for the first time ever. (April 2012) More open market The government has eliminated more than 2,000 administrative procedures and 16,000 regulations that were suffocating the entrepreneurship capacity. An online office was created to facilitate the procedures of exportation and importation. In 2011 electronic invoicing was introduced MEXICO AS AN EMERGING ECONOMY * Still a lot of work to do The congress is not closing some agreements needed (example energy reform, labour reform (it is 90 years old!) Energy sector is facing some problems There is almost 30% of the economy as informal economy which is not being taxed. Drug cartels had created an atmosphere of insecurity 46% of the population is poor ENERGY SECTOR Petroleos Mexicanos Is a public decentralized entity. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2173rank.html ENERGY SECTOR Petroleos Mexicanos Is a public decentralized entity. There is an economical and political crisis regarding PEMEX The proven resources, production and exports had been reporting a decrease for the last years The imports of gasoline from USA had resulted in an increase in gasoline prices ENERGY SECTOR Labor union of Pemex PEMEX doesn’t have enough resources to invest PEMEX imports 4 of every 10 liter of gasoline Corruption PEMEX pay taxes over sales If this would be produced internally more jobs would be created Bureaucracy Not enough resources to develop new technologies Gasoline demand is growing faster compared to the economy Lack of competitiveness and efficiency 40% of the income of the government comes from PEMEX For the next 20 years it would be necessary to build a new refinery every 3-4 years MEXICO AS AN EMERGING ECONOMY * Still a lot of work to do The congress is not closing some agreements needed (example energy reform, labour reform (it is 90 years old!) Energy sector is facing some problems There is almost 30% of the economy as informal economy which is not being taxed. 46% of the population is poor Drug cartels had created an atmosphere of insecurity POOR PEOPLE IN MEXICO % The rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer MEXICO AS AN EMERGING ECONOMY * Still a lot of work to do The congress is not closing some agreements needed (example energy reform, work reform (it is 90 years old!) Energy sector is facing some problems There is almost 30% of the economy as informal economy which is not being taxed. 46% of the population is poor Drug cartels had created an atmosphere of insecurity DRUG WAR The geographic location of Mexico, its closeness to the United States one of the principal consumer of drugs had converted Mexico in being not just a route for the drugs but also in a producer and a consumer country. According to the World Drug Report 2011, U.S. is the number 1 consumer of cocaine with 36% of world consumption. Approximately 80,000 people had lost their lives in this war. FUTURE FOR MEXICO It is expected a growth between 3.5% and 4% in the GDP At least one refinery will be built during the following years This year a new president will be elected Levels of insecurity, we don’t know where this is going. Wealth distribution, by now not any reform has been signed to promote equity. REFERENCES: Las Empresas mas grandes de Mexico. http://www.explorandomexico.com.mx/about- mexico/6/62/ http://www.countrywatch.com/country_profile.aspx?vcountry=114 http://databank.worldbank.org/databank/download/GDP.pdf http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS/Resources/GNIPC.pdf http://cec.itam.mx/medios_digitales/documentos/Estudios_sectoriales/Resumenes_Ejecutivos/Mineria.p df http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DATASTATISTICS/Resources/GDP_PPP.pdf https://www.deloitte.com/assets/DcomGlobal/Local%20Assets/Documents/Deloitte%20Research/dttl_dr_geoQ111_250111.pdf http://es.latintrade.com/2012/03/reformas/ http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=15598&Itemid=43 http://www.emergingmarkets.org/Article/2997100/Mexico-hails-shift-towards-domestic-economicgrowth.html http://www.marketwatch.com/story/mexicos-foreign-reserves-at-record-15026-bln-2012-04-03 MEXICO THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION. GRACIAS
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