behaviour guidelines in changing Armenian society CULTURE, VALUES, BELIEFS: BEHAVIOUR GUIDELINES IN CHANGING ARMENIAN SOCIETY NARINE KHACHATRYAN, SONA MANUSYAN AND ASTGHIK SEROBYAN NVARD GRIGORYAN ANNA HAKOBJANYAN Yerevan-2014 UDC 316.6 Approved for publication by the Scientific Council of the Faculty of Philosophy and Psychology, Yerevan State University Khachatryan N., Manusyan S., Serobyan A., Grigoryan N., Hakobjanyan A. Culture, values, beliefs: behaviour guidelines in changing Armenian society. Yerevan, 2014: 140 pages. The book is based on a socio-psychological analysis of values, beliefs, and certain behaviour patterns formed against the backdrop of current socio-cultural changes in Armenian society. The authors trust that the problem analysis and the findings presented herein will be of interest to scholars and students of social science as well as policymakers. ISBN 978-9939-0-0997-1 © Academic Swiss Caucasus Net (ASCN), 2014 © Yerevan State University, YSU, 2014 © Khachatryan N., 2014, Manusyan S., 2014, Serobyan A., 2014, Grigoryan N., 2014, Hakobjanyan A., 2014 This study was conducted with the support of the Academic Swiss Caucasus Net (ASCN). ASCN is a programme aimed at promoting the social sciences and humanities in the South Caucasus (primarily Georgia and Armenia). Its different activities foster the emergence of a new generation of talented scholars. Promising junior researchers receive support through research projects, capacity-building training and scholarships. The programme emphasizes the advancement of individuals who, thanks to their ASCN experience, become better integrated in international academic networks. The ASCN programme is coordinated and operated by the Interfaculty Institute for Central and Eastern Europe (IICEE) at the University of Fribourg (Switzerland). It was initiated and is supported by Gebert Rüf Stiftung. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Gebert Rüf Stiftung and the University of Fribourg. The research project ‘Values, Beliefs, and Social Behaviour: Dynamics and Specifics in Modern Armenian Society’ was conducted by a research team of the Chair of Personality Psychology of Yerevan State University during the 2011-2013 period. Research Team Narine Khachatryan, Associate Professor, PhD in Psychology Sona Manusyan, Assistant Professor, PhD in Psychology Astghik Serobyab, PhD student Nvard Grigoryan, PhD student Anna Hakobjanyan, PhD student ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am first of all grateful to the Academic Swiss Caucasus Net (ASCN), without whose support this research would not be possible. I would also like to thank the international experts from the ASCN for their advice and recommendations in conducting the study and preparing this publication. I also appreciate the support of the Yerevan State University (YSU) administration and the dean of YSU Philosophy and Psychology Faculty, Aleksan Baghdasaryan. I am especially grateful to YSU Philosophy and Psychology Faculty professors Svetlana Harutyunyan, David Amiryan, and Naira Mkrtchyan, as well as all the other colleagues who have helped with their valuable advice. I also appreciate the voluntary participation of our students in this research. I express my deep gratitude to the specialists who conducted the focus groups and interviews, including the members of Socioscope NGO, as well as the research participants for their time and opinions. I also want to thank all those people in the regions who helped us to organise the process of survey and focus groups. Finally, I want to express my gratitude to the research team—the staff members of the YSU Chair of Personality Psychology and Personality and Social Context Lab Sona Manusyan, Astghik Serobyan, Nvard Grigoryan, and Anna Hakobjanyan, as well as to volunteering participants Anush Mkrtchyan and Meri Grigoryan for the interesting and creative work that we performed together. Narine Khachatryan Research Team Leader CONTENT FOREWORD.................................................................................................................9 CHAPTER 1 CULTURE AS A VARIABLE OF SOCIAL PROCESSES Discrepancies in Conceptual Definitions of Culture: Theoretical and Practical Aspects.....................................................................................................................12 Social Change and Culture: Parallel and Converging Paths....................................18 CHAPTER 2 SOCIO-PSYCHOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO STUDYING CULTURAL VARIABILITY Quantification of Cultural Syndromes: From One-Dimensionality to Multidimensionality.................................................................................................25 The Formation of Cultural Syndromes: Combining the Multilevel and Dynamic-Situational Approaches............................................................................31 CHAPTER 3 VALUE ORIENTATIONS, BELIEFS, AND BEHAVIOUR ATTITUDES IN POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC SPHERES: STUDY RESULTS IN ARMENIA Overview of Political and Economic Developments in Armenia: Background Analysis....................................................................................................................35 Research Methodology............................................................................................40 Value Orientations in Armenia: Comparative Analysis by Region, Gender, and Age.....................................................................................................................46 Main Conclusions....................................................................................................53 Cultural Aspects of Social Axioms: Results of Factor Analysis ............................54 Findings of the Social Axioms Survey in Armenia...........................................54 Development of the Armenian Questionnaire of Social Axioms......................57 Values and Beliefs Predicting Political and Economic Behaviour: Results of Regression Analysis................................................................................61 Political Behaviour Patterns and Attitudes.....................................................62 Economic Behaviour Patterns and Attitudes...................................................68 Main Conclusions............................................................................................75 Guidelines for Economic and Political Behaviour in Armenia: Qualitative Analysis......................................................................................................76 Ambiguity in the Rules of the Game and a Sense of Uncertainty ..................77 Mistrust............................................................................................................81 Low Predictability of the Future and Uncertainty in Perspective...................84 Social Injustice Belief.......................................................................................85 Family as a Point of Departure and Reference ...............................................87 Double Determination Theories of Well-Being................................................89 Economic Self-Efficacy ....................................................................................93 Universalist Beliefs of Entrepreneurs...............................................................94 Importance of Fate (Fortune) ..........................................................................96 Lack of Ideological Basis in Political Behaviour.............................................97 Personalised Perception of Politics..................................................................99 Fear of the New and Scepticism of Change.....................................................100 Growing Civil Consciousness and Reflexive Judgements................................102 CONCLUSION...........................................................................................................104 REFERENCES...........................................................................................................107 APPENDICES............................................................................................................115 Appendix 1. Questionnaires..........................................................................................115 Appendix 2. Theoretical model of relations among motivational types of values……………………………………………………………………………….....123 Appendix 3. Comparative Percentages of Political Behaviour Indicators.....................124 Appendix 4. Comparative Percentages of Economic Behaviour Indicators..................133 FOREWORD Today’s Armenian reality is reminiscent of a mosaic in which it is difficult to grasp a clear portrait of society. Armenian society is discussed extensively and described in differing ways: there are divergent and contradictory discourses on the country—from extreme nationalist to radical constructivist views. Despite differences in emphasis or interpretation, common concerns exist: much of the social analysis (whether in sociology, cultural studies or economics) reveals particular problems in the value system of society. The formation and transformation of the value system are influenced by a number of domestic and external socio-political and cultural factors, which are visibly reflected in the beliefs of the youth—the segment of society that is the most sensitive to changes. The culture—or the accepted practices and mindsets in a society—influences the economic and political structure and processes. Change is accompanied by inertial elements of cultural resistance and reproduction. Needless to say, the modernisation process is not linear; rather, it has been known to be an asymmetric and volatile process affected by sociocultural experiences of society resulting in unique manifesttations in various countries. Moreover, change is not tantamount to development. Placing Armenian society in a particular conceptual framework is difficult because some areas are developing, whereas others are ‘thrown back’ relative to past experience. What description is appropriate? Is this a developing, transforming, transitioning, modernising, or post-Soviet society, or would we need another description? Rather than attempting to classify this society, this paper examines the substantive traits of the belief-value system in present-day Armenia. Social change is the result of not only political and economic macro-change but also its reflection in society’s consciousness and behaviour, thus revealing a psychological dimension. Social change is manifested in and through the beliefs, actions, and relationships of individuals. This study does not aspire to cover the entire spectrum of issues related to social change. The goal was to understand the socio-psychological profile of an individual who is constructing his or her ‘private’ reality in the economic and political reality of modern Armenia. This research is an attempt to produce an interconnected and 9 dynamic picture of value orientations, beliefs, and behaviour trends from the standpoint of their individual bearer. The book is based on the results of the ASCN-funded research project ‘Values, Beliefs, and Social Behaviour: Dynamics and Specifics in Modern Armenian Society’ conducted in 2011-2013. This study contains theoretical and research parts. The theoretical part consists of two chapters. The first chapter, titled ‘Culture as a Variable of Social Processes’, seeks answers to conceptual questions regarding the role of culture in social change processes, the interconnection between a country’s culture and its political and economic systems, and whether culture should be viewed as a determinant or as an outcome of social processes. The first chapter focuses on the conceptual definitions of culture, with particular emphasis on divergent interpretations of culture in the scientific and public discourse. The first chapter also examines the interconnection between the cultural value system and social change in a sequential and interdependent process in which the key traits of sociocultural change have been identified. The second chapter, titled ‘Socio-psychological Approaches to Studying Cultural Variability’, was aimed at analysing the various approaches in psychology that may be employed to define and study the psychological dimensions of cultural change. The strengths and limitations of the dimensional approach were analysed in the context of the individualism-collectivism cultural syndromes. The different ways of studying cultural syndromes in cross-cultural and cultural psychology were examined, with a focus on the latest trends. In our theoretical analysis, we also showed that modern studies of cultural syndromes are not confined to the dimensional approach, and multilevel and dynamic-situational models are also applied in these studies to reveal the dynamic nature of cultural syndromes. The third chapter, titled ‘Value Orientations, Beliefs, and Behaviour Attitudes in Political and Economic Spheres: Results of a Study in Armenia’, presents the findings of the research. The chapter opens with the background analysis of the recent politicaleconomic developments in Armenia, combining external evaluations from the perspective of global development and local assessments of internal developments. The second section of the chapter presents the research methodology. The goal of the research was to study value orientations and beliefs against the backdrop of sociocultural change occurring in Armenia as well as their influence on political and economic behaviour. A theoretical model of the interconnection of socio-psychological and socio-cultural factors of behaviour regulation was developed as the choice of methodology and for the interpretation of the findings of the survey. This section also presents the research methods and instruments. The third section presents the results of the survey of value orientations, including the differences between the capital city and the regions, as well as gender and age group specificities. The fourth 10 section presents the results of the factor analysis of social axioms, which assists in developing an understanding of the specificities of intracultural beliefs in Armenian society. The fifth section presents the results of the regression analysis, which helps to capture the value orientations and beliefs that influence political and economic behaviours and attitudes. This section also discusses how specific indicators of political and economic behaviour are manifested in different demographic groups. The sixth section contains the findings of the qualitative survey and analyses the valuenormative and belief guidelines of economic and political behaviour. The book concludes by underlining the main findings of the study, including the value orientations, beliefs, and political and economic behaviour patterns that are typical of Armenian society today. The authors trust that the problem analysis and the findings presented herein will be of interest to scholars and students of social sciences as well as policymakers. 11 CHAPTER 1 CULTURE AS A VARIABLE OF SOCIAL PROCESSES Discrepancies in Conceptual Definitions of Culture: Theoretical and Practical Aspects Culture is discussed in the current public and academic discourse as an important variable for understanding society’s macro (economic and political) and micro (sociopsychological) processes. Comprehending the function of culture becomes more important in the context of modernising societies involving a conflict between the culturally delineated and historically shaped social order embedded in tradition and the global social order resting on the open-society model. Cultural studies have relied on a variety of methodological principles. Hence, definitions of culture are diverse and even contradictory at times. Studies of sociocultural change in recent decades have further complicated the definition and understanding of culture1. Despite the conceptual differences, the shared opinion is that culture is not invariant and is changing, albeit slowly. The contemporary scientific interpretation of culture refers to the changing nature of culture founded upon the principle of historicity. This premise is virtually unquestioned. A more contentious issue relates to the universal versus local nature of culture—whether and to what extent development patterns of different cultures are similar or unique in terms of their underlying historical-cultural processes. This discussion began in the early 20th century and remains relevant to this day, albeit with different emphases. 1 For different definitions of culture, see the discussions, for example, in the following works: Sewell, William H., Jr. 1999. The Concept(s) of Culture. In: Victoria E. Bonnell and Lynn Hunt (eds.) Beyond the Cultural Turn: New Directions in the Study of Society and Culture. (pp. 35-61) Berkeley: University of California Press; Ly, Anh 2006. The (F)utility of a Culture Concept? Conceptualizations of ‘Culture’ From Evolutionism to Post-Modernism, NEXUS 19, 185-211. 12 In cultural anthropology, there are two scholarly traditions pertaining to this matter—the theory of social evolutionism and the theory of historical particularism— which considerably influenced subsequent studies of culture and society. Drawing an analogy with species evolution patterns, proponents of social evolutionism believed that societies and cultural forms change from more simple to more complex forms of civilisation (for example, the transition from animism to polytheism, followed by monotheism). In parallel, human behaviour is also changing, from instinctive to learned behaviour, in line with the linearity of history (Morgan (1877) 2010; Tylor (1873) 2010). This strictly evolutionary approach now has more historical significance; however, being supplemented with Marxism theory, it has influenced subsequent approaches explaining social progress. The new approaches (such as cultural materialism and cultural ecology) view culture as a means of adapting to the environment and efficiently utilising resources (White (1959) 2010). According to these views, societies differ in terms of their cultural capital for materialtechnical and social progress. Such approaches overcome the idea of the linear development of societies, instead substantiating the principle of nonlinear, variative development conditioned by a society’s productivity, technical advancement, and natural conditions (Steward 1990). The proponents of historical particularism believe that each culture is formed in specific social and geographic conditions through adaptation mechanisms and as a result of historical events (Stocking 1966; Goodenough 1996). Each culture can be considered equally self-sufficient in terms of meeting the needs of its members, and in this sense, each culture strives to maintain its integrity. This school of thought implies that there are no objective criteria for ranking cultures and revealing an evolutionary development path and that each culture should be understood on its own merits in the context of its specific history. This notion is the principle of cultural relativism, which has left an important intellectual legacy for the theory of anthropology. In cultural relativism, change is explained through the diffusion and acculturation of cultural patterns as a result of intercultural exchanges. This concept led to the development of other approaches to studying culture, which primarily examined specific cultural configurations (such as patterns of cultural traits, types or areas) (Benedict 1997; Mead 1988; Benedict (1934) 2010; Mead (1928) 2010). The application of the principle of cultural relativism essentially turns culture into a variable that must be considered in understanding current sociocultural processes. These two opposite approaches to the culture phenomenon have brought about corresponding methodologies, which are known as etic and emic studies. However, these contradictions are no longer as acute, as contemporary research has reconciled them. 13 Another significant area of understanding culture is associated with the influence of functionalism. Rather than discussing the development, diffusion, or historicity of cultures, these approaches addressed the functions of cultural artefacts in meeting the basis needs of members of society (Malinowski 1998) and maintaining the structure of social relations (Radcliffe-Brown 2001). Culture is viewed as a comprehensive system with a structure that has the function of self-regulating and maintaining a balance in the social system. Based on this concept, culture is studied through different cultural institutions and their functions (such as family, religion, education, law, and economic systems). This approach began to view culture in close connection with society, facilitating empirical and applied research. As functionalism addressed the dynamic processes of social development, these principles evolved in idiosyncratic paths in future concepts based on either evolutionism or cultural relativism and even succeeded in moderating the antagonism between them. In more contemporary approaches to the study of culture, the focus has shifted from cultural artefacts (material and ideal) to the peculiarities of how the bearers of such culture perceive and comprehend such artefacts, create symbolic meaning or transmit them through social practices. Such studies primarily develop symbolicinterpretative (Geertz 1973), post-structuralist (Bourdieu 2005), and cognitive approaches (Bruner 1977; D'Andrade 1984). Based on a combination of various contemporary interpretations of culture, certain features can be identified for understanding culture: Culture is expressed in learned behaviour patterns (forms) and cognitions. Culture exists in and through material and ideological (spiritual) artefacts, and in this sense, it is intentional. Culture is a symbolic and semantic space that is conventionally shared by the members of a particular society. Culture is expressed through formal and informal practices embedded in cultural and social institutions. Without dwelling on each of these interpretations and recognising the methodological peculiarities of each approach, it would suffice to say that these interpretations prioritise not the cultural artefacts per se but rather the context in which they are created and the symbols through which they are objectified. For example, a study could focus on the culture-specific structure of thought and language, beliefs, cognitive schemes, and processes, social practices, conventional behaviours, and the prevailing explanations of their meaning. These approaches implicitly contain the psychological dimension of understanding culture as well because the subject becomes important in the process of creating cultural artefacts. Culture is no longer an objective reality that can be understood post factum; it exists in the subject’s cognitive process, it is expressed as a result of the mutual interaction between the subject and the social structure, and it should be studied by examining these interaction mechanisms. For 14 example, Lizardo, summarising his analysis and understanding of Bourdieu’s works, concludes that ‘<…> our conceptualisation of how individuals become skillful members of a culture must be consistent with a psychological (bottom-up) account of learning and conceptual development’ (2011: 6). The inclusion of the psychological dimension in the understanding of culture allows the adoption of a new approach to the issue of the universal versus local nature of culture and understanding the level at which to seek universality and the level at which to seek difference and variation (Norenzanyan and Heine 2005). The perspective of socio-cultural psychology allows for studying cultural processes at the level of the individual bearer; this psychological analysis is not an end in itself but rather is aimed at gaining an in-depth understanding of the social, cultural, and group phenomena reflected in the beliefs and behaviours of individuals. The macro-process measurement indicators cannot fully explain the social processes because by the time they ‘reach behaviour’, they lose their causal force as a result of a number of other factors that occur in the middle. Thus, cultural psychology allows for refinements and adjustments of the highly generic judgements regarding cross-cultural differences and for observations of multiplicity, tensions, and asymmetries in cultural change. In particular, the sociocultural-psychological approach relies on the assumption that individuals and their ‘social worlds’ are inseparable and mutually constitutive (Heine 2008; Markus and Kitayama 1991; Shweder 1990) and that the existing value-belief system forms institutions and everyday practices that subsequently create preconditions or ‘cultural affordance’ for the manifestation and reinforcement of such values (Kitayama 2002). Thus, the socio-cultural psychological approach is based on the belief that people and their social reality are interdependent and should thus be analysed in combination. According to Shweder, the aim of cultural psychology ‘is to imaginatively conceive of subject-dependent object (intentional world) and objectdependent subject (intentional person) interpenetrating each other’s identities <….>’ (Shweder 1990: 25). In his analysis of the role of cultural psychology in contemporary social studies, Valsiner (2012) concludes that it provides a novel view of how the macro and micro levels of the social system interact. According to him, an important role between these two levels is played by ‘<…> the agent – the acting, feeling, and thinking human being who is always within a context while moving beyond the very same context by one’s own goal-oriented actions’ (Valsiner 2012: 10). Modern-day interpretations of culture include historical, social, and psychological dimensions, enabling different conceptual definitions of culture. This diversity of definitions and approaches partly results from the plurality of contemporary scientific thought but is, to a greater extent, a result of the complexity of the object itself (i.e., culture). 15 With regard to the practical aspect of culture, culture studies are no longer ‘pure knowledge’ in the beginning of the 21st century. According to the more contemporary, post-modernist, and post-structuralist interpretation, the shift of the interpretation focus from historicity to the subject and the social mechanisms of reproducing cultural forms (such as stratification and power) enable examination from policy perspective as well (Bourdieu 2005). Applied cultural studies and the implementation of their results in public policy are gaining importance. Culture is being studied from the perspectives of economic, political, civic, gender, human development, well-being, and other social processes. In recent decades, culture has become a legitimate object of study and discussion to obtain a better understanding of global political-economic processes and good governance. Experience has shown that social change and modernisation policies in developing nations do not necessarily yield the same results for all: some countries are changing more rapidly than others. To explain this phenomenon, specialists have focused their attention on culture. Many studies have been initiated with the aim of understanding the differences in cultures and cultural values between countries. Against the background of globalisation issues, there is a renewed discussion of the principle of cultural relativism, which prevailed in the 20th century and explained the role of cultures in social development. The question is whether ‘culture matters’ (Harrison and Huntington 2000), whether culture supports social progress, and what should be the underlying values for building social institutions to achieve progress in developing nations. With respect to the first question, there is clearly a consensus: culture plays an important role in social change. However, there are different opinions regarding the second question. As a project of modernisation, globalisation politics dictates its path. The transnational political, economic, and nongovernmental organisations created for this purpose are pursuing the dissemination of universal values deemed typical of ‘Western’ civilisation, such as respect for fundamental human freedoms, freedom of expression, equality, tolerance, and trust in others. The justification is that democracy and a competitive economy can be built only on the basis of these values and that these are the only sociocultural conditions under which social progress, modernisation, increased well-being, human potential development, and a safe and secure social life can be promoted. Many comparative social studies have confirmed that democratic and economic development differences between countries result from the level of development of the aforementioned values. However, other views maintain that the West has specific practices in building social institutions, practices, and beliefs that are not necessarily universal (Huntington 1996). In social studies, proponents of the anthropological focus criticise the universality effect of modernisation, stating that history is not only ‘temporal or chronological but also spatial and relational’ (Sakai, 1989; 106, cited by Featherstone 16 (1995: 88)), while ‘the prioritisation of time over space has been a central feature of theories of modernity’ (Featherstone 1995: 87). Such counterarguments substantiate the idea that many forms of modernity differing from the Western model of modernity may emerge, depending on the cultural peculiarities of a country. There has also been criticism of the use of social development measurements and criteria typical of advanced Western capitalism for gauging progress in other countries. Shweder (2000), for example, who considers himself a cultural pluralist, asserts that social progress does not necessarily mean that all countries must transform their cultures to achieve the living standards of the West, as the cultural comparison intrudes into morality domain and leads to inequality. He questions the belief that a country’s economic and technical development should be an indicator of its social development. Instead, this researcher believes that well-being and economic development can be reached without losing the cultural peculiarities. Furthermore, in his prognosis of the global processes, he is convinced that ‘if economic growth is contingent on accepting the deep or thick aspects of Western culture <…> , then cultures will not converge and will not develop economically because their sense of identity will supersede their desire for material wealth’ (ibid. 171). Thus, the two aforementioned opposing approaches imply the formation of policies based on global versus local cultures. During times of social transformation or change, culture simply becomes a political category (Wedeen 2002; Wright 1998)2 that predetermines the policy-making discourse in various areas. Thus, the procultural discourse is viewed in different ways: some view culture as a precondition of the creation of various political and social institutions, while others believe that it results from the operation of such institutions. However, the pro-cultural discourse of policies contains a discrepancy in terms of the relationship between global and local cultures. The institutionalisation of multiculturalism, for example, is a form of procultural policy. That particular discourse is based on the idea of human rights and fundamental freedoms, which implies some evening, i.e., it is a system of institutional relations created on the basis of universal values in which the peculiarities of local cultures may be left to the sidelines. The post-cultural policy discourse has also emerged in recent years. This discourse focuses on ever-evolving forms of self-expression (which may be diverse and not necessarily associated with ethno-cultural belonging) rather than the dominating global or local culture. An example of post-cultural policy is identity politics, which is a bottom-up approach that stems from groups of individuals with different life experiences rather than from the dominant culture. This discourse is also 2 For analyses related to this issue, refer to discussions, for example, in the following works: Wright, Susan 1998. The politization of culture. Anthropoly Today, 14 (1), 7-15; Wedeen, Lisa 2002. Conceptualizing Culture: Possibilities for Political Science. American Political Science Review, 96(4), 713-728. 17 based on the idea of human rights and fundamental freedoms. To this end, the postcultural discourse enables understanding not only the differences between cultures but also the differences within a culture. We believe that policies that are conducive to social change, whether they are pro-cultural or post-cultural, have different meanings, significance, and expressions for different countries. Although criticism of the post-modernist or post-cultural discourse represents culture as a tool of power represented in the form of history, one must observe that generalised cultural forms are embedded in various areas of human life as formal or informal rules of behaviour. In this sense, processes and conditions facilitating social change ‘are as cultural as political and economic’ (Coombe 1991: 198). This perspective opens a field of rather extensive research to understand the local dynamics typical of developing countries and the ways in which their sociocultural practices are made sense of in response to global political-economic processes. Social Change and Culture: Parallel and Converging Paths A substantial body of literature on social change has been produced since the 1970s. According to the scientific analysis, social change can have various sources, from information technology to production, market development, demographic change, political processes, ideological struggle, civic/social movements, and other sources. There have also been studies into the reasons, vectors, nature, duration, and mechanisms of implementing social change. It is commonly believed that social change has an influence when the structure of social relationships changes, expressed as changes in institutional and everyday practices and behaviour models. Embracing all aspects of social life, from everyday consciousness to government institutions, social change requires interdisciplinary research. Regardless of the methodological scope and sector, culture, especially in its value dimension, has become a core notion for defining the meaning of social change. The value dimension is in turn viewed in middle-level theories in close connection with social and political institutions. Welzel et al. (2003) describe the social change syndrome with three important components: socioeconomic development (the expansion of people’s choice), the transition from values of security to values of self-expression, and democratisation as the protection of rights. The authors believe that the findings of the World Value Survey (WVS) confirm the interconnection between these three processes and their universal nature. In fact, post-materialist values secure the connection between socioeconomic development and democratisation. The value surveys conducted in the 18 framework of modernisation theory show that the formation of values is influenced by a country’s contextual factors, which define and confine the conditions of modern life. Those factors are essentially economic and political spheres in which normative guidelines and behaviour intentions are formed. For example, when security and survival are high on the political agenda, material needs become central, and people’s priorities are shaped around personal and social security and stability. Inglehart and Welzel (2005) maintain that a social context that enables sufficient individual resources and possibilities for an economic, political, and social network expands choice and raises the value of autonomy, which is in contrast with authoritarian values. These studies are consistent, and in a sense, they overlap with the findings of Schwartz’s (2006a: 149-153) studies of cultural values. Schwartz also shows that value orientations are sensitive to social structure, socio-economic processes, political system and ideologies: such orientations reflect but also shape these elements (2006a, 2008, 2009). His research also shows that the capitalist economic system is more competitive in those countries that place great emphasis on values of mastery and less emphasis on harmony (Schwartz 2008: 60). Egalitarianism and autonomy are typical of democratic states and these values negatively correlate with corruption; however, embeddedness and hierarchy, for example, show a positive correlation with corruption (ibid. 59). The need for ingroup integrity and interest may lead to mistrust in state institutions, thereby reinforcing the values of embeddedness and hierarchy and discouraging the values of egalitarianism and autonomy. Thus, cultural value orientations are at the basis of the structural organisation of society; they provide both guidance and justification of the actions of the actors building the social institutions. Social institutions, in turn, reciprocally influence culture: when these institutions succeed, the cultural value orientations that are consistent with their practices are reinforced and strengthened (ibid. 55). Changes in value orientations may, however, be retrograde depending on the degree of socioeconomic development. According to the WVS, societal developments in post-Soviet countries prove these patterns: societies that have transitioned to security values were primarily post-Soviet countries, and it was their response to the collapse of social, economic, and political systems (Inglehart and Baker 2000). Inglehart and Baker (2000) conclude that an increased level of life security is an important mechanism for value change, but such change can be observed only on an intergenerational level. Thus, the WVS shows that although value changes are possible, they occur rather slowly. The fact that social change has a cultural dimension has been explicitly noted by a number of authors (Hofstede et al. 2010; Pejovich 1999; Schwartz 2009; Vagoner et al. 2012). However, the focus is primarily on the relative stability of value orientations, and at times, there is even scepticism towards profound value-cultural transformations. In a section of their book with the very telling title ‘Culture Change: 19 Changing Practices, Stable Values’, Hofstede et al. (2010) write that there is much in society that will not change simply because of technological advances: ‘If young Turks drink Coca-Cola, this does not necessarily affect their attitudes towards authority <…>. In some respects, young Turks differ from old Turks, just as young Americans differ from old Americans’ (19). Based on the same logic, these researchers emphasise that in the field of values, i.e., fundamental feelings about life and other people, a young Turk differs from a young American as much as an old Turk differs from an old American. Picturing culture as an onion with layers that has values at its core, Hofstede asserts that such (intergenerational) differences concern the surface of culture (symbols, heroes, fashion, and consumption forms). The authors believe that there is still ‘no evidence that the values of the present-day generations in different countries are converging’ (ibid: 19). In the same spirit, Schwartz (2008) sceptically poses the following question: ‘Travellers find blue jeans, hamburgers, and rock bands in almost every country they visit. But do such changes also reflect change in the normative value orientations that underlie the functioning of societal institutions, the orientations that provide the basic cultural press to which people are exposed?’ (ibid: 46). This analysis shows that values represent the deepest layer of culture. Values are stable because they are a result of early socialisation (Hofstede et al. 2010). Hence, cultural change may be rapid at the level of practices, i.e., the visible, surface elements of culture; the layers of culture that are acquired in later stages in life are more volatile. Cultural values are stable insofar as they are related to the ethnic value system. Therefore, ‘they should be considered given facts, as hard as a country’s geographical position or its weather’ (Hofstede et al. 2010: 20). Thus, the puzzle is that although cultural change cannot occur without changes in values, values are stable despite changes in culture. This logic apparently loses sight of the fact that a generation socialising during a transition period can internalise the plurality of life and the uncertainty of values. Hence, it is no longer clear what remains stable. This puzzle is partially solved when layers are viewed not only in culture as a whole but also in the different generational groups, each of which, using Hofstede’s analogy, has its ‘onion’. This view may help to explain why social change can be observed in the form of generational dynamics, i.e., how the value priorities of young people differ from those of other generations. To understand the nature of value changes, it is not sufficient to examine generational differences due to the effect of the economic and political systems of society. The modern approach is that societies are examined in terms of their dynamics. Special attention is devoted to social processes that support or hinder social integration, especially in transition societies. To this end, social change is viewed as a permanent, often unpredictable process without a particular ending. Many researchers believe that social change cannot be labelled as good or bad per se; similarly, such 20 change does not always move in one direction, and this direction should not necessarily be identified with improvement. Social change depends on cultural, historical, and social circumstances and, as such, is less predictable (Wagoner et al. 2012). Social change occurs in a preassigned cultural environment in a coherent framework of ready schemes for the meaning making, interpreting, and symbolising of social practices (Sztompka 1996). Beyond clashing with culture, social processes may have areas that are discrepant with social structures and functions inherited from the previous order. Beliefs that are formed as a result of existing communication opportunities and that are based on cultural values may be functional (i.e., may assist in grasping the meaning of change) or may be dysfunctional (i.e., may hinder the adequate understanding, internalisation, and cultural ‘domestication’ of new ideas and realities). The simultaneous presence of different and often inconsistent effects does not allow an individual to rapidly develop flexible belief-value schemes that would be suitable for interpreting any situation. Therefore, there is asymmetry of practices and ideological change, just as there is asymmetry between social processes and culture or between everyday and institutional practices. In search of stability under uncertainty, the circles of trust often shrink in transition countries, and social behaviour is guided by belonging to a more predictable and trusted primary group, such as family or friends. In this sense, many observations from this study are not purely Armenian but rather are variations of the patterns of social behaviour of individuals in many post-Soviet countries. Based on their study of Moldovan young people’s views of citizenship, Abbot et al. (2010) maintain that a prolonged economic and political crisis has alienated youth from political, economic, and social relationships, although they are socially integrated within networks of family and friends, which is how they gain a sense of belonging in Moldovan society. This situation has created a peculiar sense of citizenship, whereby youth consider themselves to be loyal to the nation rather than to the state as a formal system. A close parallel can be drawn between this situation and Armenian reality. In another study concerning political participation and trust in political institutions in Eastern Europe, the authors conclude, based on empirical data, that political participation declines in the case of strong family ties and that this decline is mediated by low trust in institutions. (Alesina and Giuliano 2009: 9). Thus, social and cultural processes influence one another in a number of ways. These processes cause change, especially in the outer layers of culture (lifestyle, practices, and beliefs), challenging cultural integrity. However, culture and the ‘old ethos’ can be a factor restricting social change, predetermining the level and substance of change occurring in the country. This situation is related to the disproportionate change in formal and informal institutions in the country. In his discussion of the relationship between culture and economic institutions, Pejovich (1999) defines 21 informal rules (underlying informal institutions) as the non-material elements of culture, such as traditions, values, beliefs, and other behaviour norms, and emphasises that these elements are stable and reinforced by the test of survival that they have passed and are not, therefore, policy variables. They change primarily by erosion, which is a slow process (Pejovich 1999: 172). Different theories have conceptually analysed these expressions of intracultural asymmetries. The ‘cultural lag’ theory (Ougburn 1922)3 is one of the classical theories, according to which change in one sphere of society is not followed by proportionate changes in other spheres, which disrupts the equilibrium in society and increases societal tension and frustration. According to theory, this mismatch is more evident when the material culture (technologies) changes more rapidly, while the nonmaterial culture in society (social and political institutions and their underlying value system) responds to new realities more slowly. The disruption of equilibrium within society is presently also interpreted as a cultural trauma. Sztompka (2001) reviews various causes and types of cultural trauma, stating that it can occur on the boundary between culture and practice because of the need to adapt to new events or changes or can occur within culture itself, often because of the need to redefine the past. Such change can be considered traumatic for a culture insofar as such change disrupts the social organisation of life and the stability of the social order as well as endangers the basic value system of the culture. Interestingly, however, Sztompka (2001) further writes that the degree of sensitivity and receptiveness to cultural traumas varies among different groups of a society; hence, the types of reactions to such changes are also varied. This reality explains the internal dynamic of social change and, as a result, the potential evolution of social processes. Sztompka (2001) notes that culture, with its value-normative and belief components, acts as an environment in which social change occurs. At the same time, however, culture is also the object of such change. This twofold understanding of culture explains the disproportionate nature of cultural change. In this sense, cultural change does not directly follow social change; rather, social change is a challenge for cultural change. True cultural change can occur only when society has a traumatic cultural experience and seeks new ways of overcoming it. This experience of society is another mechanism of cultural value transformation or change along with the reinforcement of value orientations as a result of intergenerational change. Tension within society, instability, and attempts at overcoming uncertainty that are primarily based on inherited cultural resources create opportunities for transforming cultural values. Effective or ineffective strategies of overcoming uncertainty may be reinforced 3 See Encyclopedia Britannica: http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/425785/WilliamFielding-Ogburn. 22 and subsequently reproduced through socialisation, thus creating a foundation for new cultural forms. Thus, social change and change in the cultural value system can be explained through the principle of reciprocal determinism, whereby at least three determining factors exist: culture (value-normative and belief determinants reproduced through social institutions and practices), agents (individuals, structures, groups, and social movements that bear certain ideas), and the political and socioeconomic system. The reciprocity of these factors explains the concurrent and multidirectional—rather than successive and linear—dynamic of social change. The reciprocal effects of culture and the political-economic system were discussed earlier in this section. However, the agency of autonomous subjects also has an effect on this relationship, as such subjects are quite flexible to new experiences and can act as intermediary links. Hence, an agent’s actions within this reciprocity (which are even more effective when there is collective agency) can cause social change and value system dynamics. However, it is important to understand which agents will become influential as a mediator for transmitting the new cultural experience to the public at large. In transition countries, for example, where the economic-political conditions are unfavourable and there is growing appreciation of the need for change, there may be demand for institutionalising the values of equality. The bottom-up transformative effect becomes more active when the force of the top-down effect is no longer sufficient after a certain point. Thus, according to Schwartz’s (2008) observation, cultural orientations change in response to the changing power relations between different groups of society. In other words, groups with greater resources have a greater imprint on the general value system of society. An argument in favour of this perspective is that the discussion of the value system of society typically implies the value orientations of the dominant groups as reinforced by the social structure rather than the ‘average’ of values of different layers of society. Thus, the understanding of socio-cultural changes that rests on the principle of reciprocal determinism of different factors enables an explanation of the processual nature of these changes. In this sense, the predictability or unpredictability of social change can be examined through the disruption of ties between related processes. Summing this part of the discussion, the following main features of sociocultural change can be identified: Sociocultural change includes institutional (including political and economic) change as well as change in everyday practices, which are mutually reinforcing. The old social order no longer works, but it is not gone completely; thus, the old and new processes and features are layered upon one another. As a process, sociocultural change is lengthy, asymmetric, and heterochronous: the scale, pace, and substance of its influence on various layers of 23 society (generational, socioeconomic, educational, and others) and various institutions are varied. Sociocultural change includes both spontaneous processes and organised action aimed at implementing change. Sociocultural change bears the effect of the cultural foundation of a transforming society and in turn alters this foundation. Social change has a specific course in each country and often encounters restrictions, especially in connection with the limited flexibility of the subjective culture (namely, the value system). Sociocultural change is influenced by interconnected global and local factors and processes, as a result of which it is not necessarily linear and is not very predictable. Sociocultural change is not an impersonal process: it is composed of individuals and groups that have agency, customs, and preferences. Such individuals and groups not only bear but also implement such change and the accompanying new meanings and articulations. Social change is accompanied by the emotional, cognitive, and behavioural-intentional problems of individuals, as well as clashes between them (e.g., revising old behaviour schemes and mindset, losing the sense of security). Cultural change is not merely changes occurring in culture. 24 CHAPTER 2 SOCIO-PSYCHOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO STUDYING CULTURAL VARIABILITY Quantification of Cultural Syndromes: from One-Dimensionality to Multidimensionality Recent decades have witnessed the emergence of a strong tradition of intercultural studies aimed at comparing cultural similarities and differences between countries. The most common approach is the dimensional approach, which seeks to identify cultural variability on the basis of certain cultural dimensions (examples of these dimensions are ‘cultural syndromes’ or ‘cultural values’). According to Hofstede (2001), the tradition of studying cultural dimensions has evolved in anthropological, sociological, and psychological research, which is why differences and similarities have been studied at different levels—at the level of culture, society, and individuals. Early examples of such dimensions were the five ‘behaviour patterns’ proposed by Parsons and Shils (Hofstede 2011), the ‘value orientations’ proposed by Kluckhohn and Strodtbeck (Hills 2002), and the high- and low-context cultures proposed by E. Hall (Hofstede 2011). In the beginning, however, these typologies were not empirically confirmed, and it was not clear at which level they characterised societies—the levels of culture or social institutions or individuals. This approach was subsequently often used in empirical research in which cultural dimensions were viewed as general sets of different traits. These sets are measured by their expression on the continuum and explain the most typical forms of individual and group behaviour in society. Hofstede’s (1980; 2001) works were quite significant in this respect: he studied IBM employees in 53 countries and developed four and subsequently five value dimensions (individualism-collectivism, masculinity-femininity, power distance, avoidance of uncertainty, and long-term/short-term orientation). Among them, studies 25 of the individualism-collectivism (I-C)4 cultural dimensions became quite popular. Therefore, this part of the book examines some findings of the research using I-C dimensions, with a view of identifying the methodological limitations and perspectives of studying cultural syndromes. In his review of the I-C dimensions in the context of the modernisation of countries, Hofstede (1991) notes that individualism develops in industrial and urbanised countries with a high quality of life, whereas collectivism is manifested in traditional and poorer societies and rural communities. Thus, the classical breakdown of societies into ‘actual societies’ (Gesellshaft), where relationships are impersonal and social institutions play a greater role, and ‘communities’ (Gemeinschaft), where relationships are direct and regulated by tradition, can also been considered at the cultural level. The modernisation of societies facilitates the emergence of a complex social structure and social stratification that result in the formation of a society of individuals who have internalised the ideas and values of ‘modernised’’ individualism (Inkeles 1978; Wezlel 2007). Individualism implies a special form of social order that is aimed at the formation of autonomous and self-sufficient individuals. Individualism also implies tolerance towards other lifestyles and new experiences, which is important in a complex social structure in which social cohesion is acquired by following institutionalised rules of behaviour rather than by virtue of tradition. Thus, the cultural dimensions, namely, the tradition of studying I-C, were largely related to the modernisation of societies. Presumably, this convention is the reason that the dimension of collectivism was originally studied as the opposite pole of individualism. According to Hofstede’s (1991) definition, individualism is typical of societies in which the links between individuals are loose and not interdependent, and individuals are expected to control their behaviour and care for their families. Collectivism is typical of societies in which the individual is a part of strong groups from birth, which protect the individual throughout his/her life in return for his/her unquestionable loyalty (ibid: 51). The analysis of various I-C studies shows that these cultural dimensions have been examined at the level of countries and cultures (Hofstede 1980; 2001; Triandis 1990; Schwartz 2006a; 2007) as well as individual behaviour (Hui 1988; Matsumoto 1997; Triandis 1995; 2001a; Schwartz 2006b). Country-level studies are aimed at revealing the I-C link with social characteristics such as social capital, well-being, trust, and political and economic systems. According to some studies, I-C is linked with a country’s economic wellbeing and development. According to Hofstede (2001), there is a clear correlation between individualism and per capita GDP. In another study, the value dimensions developed by Hofstede were compared with the global innovation index of countries. Henceforth in the text, the abbreviation ‘I-C’ will be used to denote the individualism-collectivism dimension. 4 26 The results showed that power distance is negatively correlated while individualism is directly correlated with the innovation index (Rinne et al. 2012). Triandis (1993; 1994; 1996; 2001b) suggests using the notion of ‘cultural syndrome’ when comparing cultures. He defines a cultural syndrome as ‘a pattern of shared attitudes, beliefs, categorizations, self-definitions, norms, roles definitions, and values that is organized around a theme that can be identified among those who speak a particular language, during a specific historic period, and in a definable geographic region’ (Triandis 1996: 408). This understanding of the problem of cultural dimensions opened up new horizons for their study at the individual level. At the individual level, I-C cultural syndrome studies have focused on selfdescriptions and various personal factors, such as motivation, self-construals, selfregulation, and traits. For instance, there has been much research into the links between self-construals and cultural dimensions. Research by Triandis (1989), for instance, has shown that the more complex a culture is, the more salient is the private or public self. The more individualism is expressed, the more the private self is manifested. Greater the collectivism, regulation of relationships and external threats are associated with greater salience of the collective self (ibid). Markus and Kitayama (1991) distinguish between independent self-construal5 for individuals formed in Western culture and interdependent self-construal for those formed in Eastern culture. Comparing various studies, the authors assert that these modes of the self predetermine people’s perceptions of and attitudes towards themselves and others and influence their cognition, emotions, and motivations (Markus and Kitayama 1991). Kagitçibasi (2005) distinguishes relatedness, which is formed on the basis of a family model implying emotional and material attachment, and autonomy, which is formed on the basis of a family model implying emotional and material independence. Other studies also show the I-C link with personal traits. Individualism, for example, is associated with higher self-esteem and optimism (Kitayama et al. 1997) as well as subjective well-being (Diener et al. 1995). Parallel studies of cultural syndromes at the country and individual levels are guided by the logic that the cultural dimensions that are typical of society can explain an individual’s behaviour pattern as a one-way influence. Although individuals with ideocentric character are more common in individualistic cultures while those with allocentric character are more common in collectivist cultures (Triandis and Suh 2002), society is not homogenous in this respect at the intracultural level. Individualistic cultures, which emphasise self-direction, also exhibit high levels of mutual trust, social collaboration, and cohesion, although these behaviour models could be deemed typical of collectivist values. Similarly, aspirations of competition and achievement, which are more typical of individualism, may be 5 Self-construal refers to the set of self-definitions, according to which the self is defined independently of others or interdependently with others. 27 encountered in collectivist cultures. Various studies have shown that behaviours that are typical of individualism or collectivism may be expressed depending on the situation or the social context. For example, competition, which is a behaviour typical of individualism, may be expressed when people are struggling for material interests in a situation of scarce economic resources (Yu and Yang 1994). A one-dimensional IC model would have made it difficult to construe the situation in Armenian society: depending on the area of life, there are examples of both individualism (e.g., difficulties of mobilisation, tough competition) and collectivism (e.g., dependency of the individual’s behaviour on public opinion, discouragement of self-direction). As I-C cultural syndromes are also drawn from intracultural comparisons, it can be concluded that they are orthogonal, i.e., statistically independent on one another (Rhee et al. 1996). Moreover, not all studies necessarily confirm the mutually exclusive nature of individualism and collectivism. This discussion raises another methodological issue related to the onedimensional or multidimensional nature of the I-C construct. Studies by Triandis (1995; 2001a) have shown that collectivism and individualism can be examined through multidimensional models. One of the multidimensional models proposed by includes the horizontal and vertical types of I-C in which forms of power and relationship structures are combined with the main features of I-C. One of the studies shows that the opposite of individualism is not collectivism but is actually authoritarianism, which implies a hierarchical nature of power in relationships (Gelfand et al. 1996). Another study shows that the horizontal and vertical dimensions of individualism and collectivism explain sociopolitical attitudes and beliefs better than merely individualism and collectivism (Strunk and Chang 1999). To study multidimensional models of the I-C construct, Triandis suggests combining the etic and emic approaches to explaining collectivism and individualism. A pertinent example is the local study conducted in Estonia that identified different patterns of collectivism through a comparison of eight various socio-demographic groups (Realo et al. 1997). The multidimensional nature of the I-C construct raises another question: are specific individual-level behaviours corresponding to specific cultural syndromes determined directly by the manifestation of I-C at the cultural level? Researchers state that the causality between the cultural and individual levels is difficult to identify and that conclusions are drawn by combining the results of various studies. A study of behaviours of deception during negotiations, for example, has shown that deception is positively correlated with country-level collectivism, whereas allocentric attitudes at the individual level (which is the typical individual behaviour pattern in a collectivist culture) are negatively correlated with deception (Triandis et al. 2001). Another study has shown that the prevalence of individualism is positively correlated with social capital in intra- and cross-cultural comparisons (Allik and Realo 2004). However, 28 other studies showed that social capital is positively correlated with distinct attributes of individualism and collectivism. The authors conclude that ‘the relationship between individualism-collectivism and social capital are likely to be far more faceted at the individual level when compared to culture level findings’ (Beilmann and Realo 2012: 213). Another telling example is the study of the correlation between corruption and collectivism. In countries with high levels of collectivism, corruption is perceived to be high, according to the international index. The only exception is Singapore, which is a country with a collectivist culture that reports low levels of corruption. This precedent caused researchers to separate the country-level study of corruption from the individual level. Using the manipulative variable of deception in family and organisation scenarios, the authors show that deception in a family’s interests is determined by vertical individualism, namely, competition and the desire to be the first (Li et al. 2006). The conclusion was that in collectivist cultures, people are more self-centred in terms of defending the interests of their own groups (e.g., in the context of Singapore); therefore, obvious individualistic traits can be observed even in collectivist cultures. Thus, the results of this study and many other studies show that the countrylevel patterns identified between study variables are not necessarily confirmed at the level of studying individuals (Ostroff 1993). Many researchers believe that the cultural and individual levels of I-C should be distinguished based on both conceptual and research considerations (Hofstede 2001; Kagitçibasi 1997; Triandis and Suh 2002; Smith and Schwartz 1997) to allow understanding the multidimensional and divergent nature of cultural syndromes manifested within a culture. To this end, Smith (2002) recalls certain dimensions of Schwartz’s value survey at the cultural and individual levels (Smith 2002; 2004). Schwartz views cultural values both as ideals that individuals strive to achieve and as normative behaviour guidelines that individuals should follow. From this perspective, ‘culture is external to the individual; it is not a psychological variable. <…> The value orientations that are the central aspect of societal culture <…> influences the minds of individual people but are not located in the mind’ (Schwartz 2011: 470). Thus, Schwartz emphasises that cultural values are expressed indirectly through various institutional practices (economic, educational, and political) and social practices (e.g., upbringing, relationships, leisure, entertainment). Culture, with its prevailing values, influences beliefs, practices, goals, and mindset by presenting social expectations to people during their socialisation. In psychological terms, the cultural pressure refers to the primes that individuals encounter more or less frequently in their daily life, the primes towards which they consciously or unconsciously focus their attention. However, Schwartz believes that cultural and individual values have various sources: cultural values are formed out of the need to preserve and develop society, 29 whereas individual values are borne from the biological and social needs of individuals. Thus, Schwartz relies on the functionalist interpretation of values. Schwartz (2006; 2011) identifies three problems in relationships with the social structure. The first problem is the nature and boundaries of the individual-group relationship. The second problem is the guarantee of socially responsible behaviour. The third problem is the regulation of people’s relationship with the environment (natural and social). In line with these problems, Schwartz identifies the following bipolar cultural dimensions: 1. Intellectual and Affective Autonomy (including values such as broadmindedness, curiosity, and pleasure) and Embeddedness (including values such as social order, obedience, and respect for traditions) 2. Egalitarianism (including values such as social justice and equality) and Hierarchy (including values such as authority and humility) 3. Harmony (including values such as unity with nature and world peace) and Mastery (including values such as ambition and daring) Individual-level values are basic and trans-situational because they are based on universal human needs. While based on universal human needs, the expression or priority of certain value orientations in different groups depends on culture (Schwartz 2006b). The continuum of the 10 values developed can be viewed as being organised along two bipolar dimensions: (1) Self-enhancement values (power and achievement) that encourage and legitimise the pursuit of one’s own interests oppose Selftranscendence values (universalism and benevolence) that emphasise concern for the welfare of others, and (2) values of Openness (self-direction and stimulation) that welcome change and encourage the pursuit of new ideas and experience oppose Conservative values (security, tradition, and conformity) that emphasise maintaining the status quo and avoiding threats; furthermore, hedonism values share elements of openness and self-enhancement (Schwartz 1996, 2006b, 2011). The circular structure of values relation is presented in Appendix 2. The two-level model of value dimensions proposed by Schwartz (2011) has some advantages over other approaches to studying cultural dimensions. This model, which was developed through multidimensional scaling analysis of data from more than 250 samples, allows for explanation of the possibilities for multiple ties among cultural values, individual values, beliefs, and practices (Schwartz 2011)6. Moreover, at the individual level, the value dimension model allows for observing zones of congruency and tension between values. In this manner, the model allows for 6 For details, see Schwartz, Shalom 2011. In: Fons J. R. van de Vijver, Athanasios Chasiotis, Seger M. Breugelmans (eds.) Values: Cultural and Individual. Fundamental Questions in Cross-Cultural Psychology. (pp. 463-493). New York: Cambridge University press. 30 analysing the correlations between values at specific levels or between levels. Hence, the theory can be widely used for studying different value orientations. The Formation of Cultural Syndromes: Combining the Multilevel and Dynamic-Situational Approaches In addition to the dimensional approach, contemporary socio-psychological study of cultural syndromes includes approaches aimed at identifying the dynamic mechanisms of cultural change. Many researchers have concluded that the dimensional approach to cultural syndromes, which emerged in the context of cross-cultural psychology, does not allow for studying the dynamic nature of the relationship between individuals and the socio-cultural environment. Cross-country comparisons provide statistical evidence that there are differences in cultural syndromes between various cultural groups and that the sociocultural environment and the individual’s psychological structure are interconnected. These comparative studies help to understand the value basis of constructing the social system and can be used as a means of interpretation, but they cannot help to explain how certain cultural patterns of behaviour are formed. However, the patterns identified through cross-cultural studies revealed a new arena for analysing the cultural syndromes. For example, societies are perceived as more homogenous in terms of their cultural syndromes than when they are studied locally, within a culture. Alternatively, the multidimensionality of cultural syndromes is more at the individual level than at the country level. It became necessary to make sense of the cultural syndromes in a dynamic process of interaction between levels rather than at a particular discrete level. Many studies rely on multilevel effect models in which culture is examined not only at the micro- and macro-levels but also at different meso-levels (such as the level of group and organisational culture). These models enable studying the vertical processes, i.e., the top-down effect of macrocultural processes with the bottom-up effect of behavioural change. One example is the proposed model for combining the structural and dynamic dimensions of the multilevel model of culture (Erez and Gati 2004). This model suggests studying the consistency of close levels because they overlap. Top-down change occurs through adaptation. Reciprocally, bottom-up behaviour change influences the formation of behavioural norms and cultural traits as a result of interaction (ibid. 591). Such multilevel models are clearly a step ahead of the comparative country- and individuallevel studies of behaviour but still fail to explain the socio-psychological mechanisms through which such cultural change occurs. Cultural psychology has developed models explaining the mutual effect and construction between culture and the individual. According to Valsiner (2003), crosscultural psychology relies more on the premise that individuals or groups ‘belong to the culture’, i.e., a certain value system accepted in that culture. Cultural psychology 31 relies on the premise that culture ‘belongs to all individuals’, as ‘culture is functioning within the intra-psychological systems of each person’ (ibid: 4). Markus and Hamedani (2007) attempt to classify and analyse various approaches to studying the interdependence between the socio-cultural systems and self-systems that have emerged in cultural psychology. This study focuses on the socio-psychological mechanisms of direct influence to explain how cultural syndromes penetrate into the self-system and are reflected in behaviour. The authors highlight different framing and constructive mechanisms, such as interactions, cognitions, and situational factors with cues. One of the models developed along these lines that is deemed more comprehensive and able to include the aforementioned influence mechanisms is labelled by Oyserman and colleagues as the ‘situated cognition model’ (Oyserman and Lee 2007; Oyserman and Sorensen 2009). According to this model, cultural syndromes influence a particular situation when the cues that are typical of a cultural syndrome are present and significant in a given situation. To examine the actual influence, Oyserman (2009) distinguishes two elements of his model: a situation as the external reality of the direct influence and self-construals as the direct internal reality. When a cultural syndrome (such as collectivism) is institutionally acceptable and accessible and cued in a particular situation, its influence on the individual is immediately observed. The individual mentally constructs and recognises the meaning represented by a situation. According to Oyserman (2009), universal cultural traits are encountered when certain situations have the same semantic load (for example, warfare triggers senses of collectivism and honour) (ibid: 29). Many manipulative studies, which have modelled certain cued situations for triggering specific behaviour attitudes, have confirmed the functionality of this model (Oyserman et al. 1998; Oyserman and Lee 2008). Research by the proponents of this model has concluded that differences between societies should be understood by the ways in which a syndrome is presented, cued, and reinforced rather than by the mere existence or manifestation of specific cultural syndromes. Thus, societies differ in terms of which cultural syndromes are manifested in specific environments and situations, how frequently, and with what meaning load (Oyserman 2009: 27). It is difficult to characterise societies by a comprehensive culture or cultural syndromes or by differences within society (such as subcultural differences or differences between socio-demographic groups). Such cultural syndromes are diverse within the same society, but they are not always discrete; rather, they are often overlapping or even conflicting. The different approaches analysed thus far could be summarised by examining the following integrative model of cultural variability. Oyserman and her colleagues (2002) discuss the social processes (distal, proximal, and situational) through which 32 culture influences and is internalised by the individual (Oyzerman et al. 2002). Elaborating on this integrative model, Oyserman and Uskul (2008) discusses the multilayered influence of culture in terms of social-and individual-level consequences. Figure 1 below presents the adapted version of the model with a chart showing the individual-level consequences. Social Structural Culture (Educational, Legal, Economic Systems and Institutions) Distal Culture (History, Language, Religion) Social Situational Culture (Family Socialisation, Everyday Face-to-Face Interaction) Situation as Subjectively Construed IndividualLevel Consequences (Self-concept, Cognition, Affect, Behavior) Individually Internalised Culture (e.g., Valuing Independence, Valuing Social Connection) Evolution, Natural and Sexual Selection and Adaptation, and Environmental Ecology Figure 2.1. Culture as a multilevel process influencing individual-level outcomes (Oyzerman Uskul, 2008: 149) The primary factors of cultural influence are the environmental conditions (geography, ecological conditions, and availability of natural resources) that influence the distal culture (history, language, and religion) and the value system internalised by the individual. Distal culture, which is formed based on the historicity of a country, influences on the formation of the social structure culture (the legal, economic, and educational systems and institutions), the social situational culture (the peculiarities of children’s socialisation and relationships in the family, school, and workplace), and the internalised culture (value orientations). At this level of influences, the authors assert that the distal culture and the value system have traits of both individualism and collectivism. Although the aforementioned three influences of the distal culture directly bear consequences at the social level (e.g., in the form of social coherence, equity, trust, tolerance, gender equality, and egalitarianism-authoritarianism), the effect of cultural syndromes at the individual level is mediated by subjective construals. At the individual level, for example, the consequences of the I-C effect are manifested not through values, as the latter are only I-C markers, but rather through 33 individual psychological traits and conditions (self-esteem, practices, cognitions, affects, and motivations). The latter are formed through situated cognition, which is based on prevailing attitudes and values. The authors label the effect at this level as the proximal path of culture influence (Oyzerman and Uskul 2008: 148-150). This multilevel model of interdependence among culture, society, and the individual as well as the concept of the distal and proximal influence of culture allows us to explain and identify the multidimensionality and variability of cultural syndromes. Moreover, this model explain the issue of cultural heterogeneity and the divergence in and between different levels of society (social processes and group and individual behaviour), which is more visible against the backdrop of the current social transformation. Cultural syndromes are not independent from social reality. The latter is characterised by fluctuations. Hence, this fact should be considered when studying the variability of culture. Studies of cultural variability at the individual micro-level should combine the manifestations of cultural syndromes with situational factors and individual intentionality. 34 CHAPTER 3 VALUE ORIENTATIONS, BELIEFS, AND BEHAVIOUR ATTITUDES IN POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC SPHERES: STUDY RESULTS IN ARMENIA Overview of Political and Economic Developments in Armenia: Background Analysis After gaining independence, Armenia, similar to many other post-Soviet countries, confronted serious economic difficulties that affected the country’s future social development. The emerging challenges of building a new political system and relations have yet to be overcome. By acceding to global political and economic unions and projects, Armenia undertook various international commitments that implied institutional changes towards democratisation as well as revised standards in social life. While the declared documents regulate many areas of public life in line with democratic principles, the real picture often differs. To make sense of the socio-political and socio-economic framework that emerged in the country under the transformation process, both macro- and microindicators must be examined, combining external assessments in view of global development and local assessments of domestic developments. According to the democratic development study of the Freedom House, which yields the aggregate index of democracy based on expert assessments primarily addressing the former Socialist countries7, the overall average score is 5.36 for Armenia in 2012. Armenia is therefore assessed as a semi-consolidated authoritarian regime8. Among the seven specific indicators of the overall average score (electoral process, civil society, independent media, national democratic governance, local democratic governance, judicial framework and independence, and corruption), civil society is the only indicator that has scored relatively high, which is considered typical 7 8 See Nations in Transit 2013: http://www.freedomhouse.org/report-types/nations-transit. See http://www.freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit/2013/armenia. 35 of a slightly more advanced systems—the ‘hybrid’ regimes. The average score comparison over the years shows that the level of democracy declined in 2008 but slightly improved from 2012 onwards. Armenia’s score is somewhat better than the average score of the Eurasian nations, is lower than that of neighbouring Georgia and exceeds that of Azerbaijan. According to another study assessing the transformation of political and economic processes9, Armenia still has limited possibilities for advancing democracy and a market economy. According to 2012 data, Armenia’s index was 5.56, ranking 66th among 128 countries10. The Transformation Index is measured on the basis of two separate indices: political and economic transformations. Political transformation is primarily viewed as the quality of democratisation, and economic transformation is the transformation to a market economy. Armenia’s Democracy Index is 5.25 (ranking 73rd among 128 countries); thus, the country’s political system can be considered a moderate autocracy. Of the five indicators comprising the index, Stateness receives the highest score, while indicators such as the Stability of Democratic Institutions, Political Participation, and the Rule of Law (especially subindicators such as the separation of powers, independent judiciary, and the prosecution of abuse of office) score far lower. The Market Economy Status Index is 5.93 for Armenia, placing Armenia in 55th place. The market economy of Armenia is assessed as a system with functional flaws. Of the eight indicators of this index, the Private Property indicator scores relatively higher, while Economic Performance and the Level of Socioeconomic Development and Organization of the Market and Competition (both of which are key to equal opportunities), especially the anti-monopoly policy subindicator of the latter, have low scores. This study also produces an index of the effective management of the transformation process by the authorities and civil society actors. For Armenia, this Management Index is 4.70, making the country 74th among 128 countries, i.e., a country with an average level of efficiency of management. Among the indicators used to compile this index, the highest is International Cooperation, and the lowest are Consensus-Building between various politicians11 and Steering Capability. In terms of trends in these indicators in recent years, the Transformation Index has declined quite considerably. In 2008, Armenia was ranked 41st, with a particularly significant change in Democracy Status: in 2008, Armenia ranked 65th, which made it a defective democracy. The effective Governance and Market Economy indices have also declined. 9 See Transformation Index BTI, 2012: http://www.bti-project.org/ueber-das-projekt/goals/ index.nc. 10 Bertelsmann Stiftung, BTI 2012—Armenia Country Report. Gütersloh: Bertelsmann Stiftung, 2012. 11 In 2011, for example, the government adopted new electoral legislation but failed to account for the proposals of the opposition parties. 36 The aforementioned results indicate at least two peculiarities. First, despite the varying degrees of effectiveness of different segments of economic and political systems, the overall system does not reach the threshold of real democratisation. The impression is that goals have been set, but the functional mechanisms for achieving them have not been clarified or appreciated by the key actors. The second observation concerns the dynamic trend: the democratisation process was somewhat derailed in 2008 in both political and economic terms. This change was apparently due to the rising of the people around the 2008 presidential elections and the ensuing political crisis, when those in power used their leverage to quell the political unrest and toughened their actions. The period coincided with the world economic crisis, and the Armenian economy declined in 2009. The Heritage Foundation’s Index of Economic Freedom has ranked Armenia’s economic system as moderately free in recent years.12 Although many of the indicators derived for Armenia point to quite favourable conditions for the formation of a free economy, the scores are rather low for the Rule of Law subindicators, such as property rights and freedom from corruption13, even lower than the average of countries that ranked lower overall. Such scores are typical of countries in which the economy is not free. The research shows that the rule of law indicator has the greatest influence on the increase in per capita GDP, regardless of other factors and the overall index of economic freedom14. Clearly, the foregoing and many other studies (particularly ‘Doing Business’ Armenia 2013)15 show that the economic processes are more favourable than the political processes (e.g., property registration, trading across borders, business startup conditions, resolving insolvency), but the aforementioned drawbacks of the public administration system obstruct economic liberalisation. It is understandable that the political and economic processes of Armenia in recent years have not contributed to the development of civil society and have even undermined it, primarily because of the lack of the rule of law as well as the existing schemes for circumventing the law, such as corruption. Economic and political systems are intertwined and are not transparent. The judiciary is not free. The starting conditions for economic competition are not equal for everyone, despite the relevant 12 Miller, Terry, Kim R. Holmes & Edwin J. Feulner 2013. Index of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The Heritage Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc., 2013): http://www.heritage.org/index 13 The score for this component is derived primarily from Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI). 14 See Kim, Anthony B. Advancing Freedom: The Path to Greater Development and Progress: http://www.heritage.org/index/book/chapter-2#fn-1. 15 See Doing Business 2013: Smarter Regulations for Small and Medium-Size Enterprises. Washington, DC: World Bank Group. DOI: 10.1596/978-0-8213-9615-5. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0. 37 legislative provisions. Under these circumstances, the influence of civic institutions is negligible. It is worrisome that this situation has persisted since Armenia’s early independence. The situation not only severely affects the public mood but also more profoundly influences the layer of beliefs and values. People live and function under social injustice and unpredictable turns in social life, with an increasing prevalence of mutual mistrust and intolerance, as well as the short-term planning of actions and situational adaptive behaviours. Because of these and other factors, social capital indicators also remain low16. Social collaboration is still not based on shared interests (e.g., professional, humanistic, civic) but rather is limited to nepotistic ties and mutually advantageous (often materialist) relationships. Cross-national value surveys also assist in understanding the economic-political fabric in its ties with the value orientations in society. Armenia participated in the World Value Survey (WVS) in 1997 and 2010 as well as in the European Value Study (EVS) in 2008, which uses the same methodology as the WVS. Armenia is still mapped on the WVS website on the basis of the 1997 data, according to which it has an average position on the axis of traditional vs. secular- rational values and is more inclined towards survival values on the survival vs. self-expression axis17. A comparison of the 1997 WVS and 2008 EVS data using the same indicators shows that traditional and survival values have remained unaffected in many areas relative to 1997 and have even become more evident in some areas. Namely, there is a rather obvious change in indicators such as children’s rearing and traditional family values, the sense of national pride and the increased role of religion, lower interpersonal rust, low tolerance of sexual and religious minorities, and a preference for economic and physical security over life quality and the freedom of self-expression. Survival values are becoming stronger because of the imperfect political and economic framework and are orienting individuals who attempt to achieve some predictability in ever-changing life. Many surveys have shown that the economy declined in post-Soviet countries and even underwent an ‘archaic regress’ in some sectors (Poghosyan 2009: 6), which was also manifested in the public consciousness. The analysis of WVS shows that ‘most societies that show retrograde movement are ex-Soviet countries reacting to the collapse of their economic, social, and political systems <…> bringing growing misery, distrust, rejection of out-groups, xenophobia, and authoritarian nationalism’ (Inglehart et al. 2000: 41). To summarise and complete the overview, several groups of factors are identified here as ‘parts’ of the reality that contribute to the formation of the valuebelief sphere in present-day Armenia. 16 According to the Legatum Prosperity Index based on 2012 data, Armenia was ranked 129th on the social capital sub-index: http://www.prosperity.com/#!/country/ARM 17 http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/wvs/articles/folder_published/article_base_54 38 Deficit in the Rule of Law and Enforcement. The overview of the situation clearly highlights this factor as a ‘red thread’ through all areas of public life, causing additional problems in both economic and political fields and taking the form of normative and value uncertainty in the public consciousness, thus leading to perceptions of social injustice. Economic Issues. It is a well-known fact that the country’s economic system is far from perfect, and the aforementioned different indicators of economic development reflect numerous obstacles to access to equal economic opportunities, which further widen the gap in living standards between different segments of the population. This picture is rather evident when comparing the capital city with the regions. Political Realities. The overview of the situation and the assessment of the experts outline a number of components of public life that considerably affect the value-belief sphere. The continuing failure of the institution of elections is considered a fundamental determinant of the ensuing failure of all other social processes as well as citizens’ attitude towards them. Attempts at changing the political situation are not sustained and fail to result in any qualitative change, instead remaining as occasional, episodic outbreaks of protest. The public at large does not believe that a genuine political process can unfold. Neither the government nor the opposition enjoy the trust of the public at large, often because of the ‘invisibility’ of articulate ideologies and clear plans of action. Historical Experience. The value-belief framework is also shaped by elements of the Soviet legacy that affect both mentality and behaviours. The formation of civic positions and state-citizen relations is also hindered by the lack of statehood experience, which is considered a historical factor with deeper roots and earlier origins. Context of International Relations. Today, Armenian citizens have again become concerned about situating themselves in a certain framework of values in the context of the debated international orientation of Armenia. The choice of a political vector and ‘the big partner’ (the ‘significant other’ of the culture in psychological terms) is associated with economic and political opportunities and with desirable and undesirable alternatives of value orientation. The intense discussion of the ‘Europe versus Russia’ topic is a case in point. Cultural Resistance. Social change and westernisation trends are accompanied by signs of cultural resistance. The discourses on social changes include diametrically different perceptions and speculations of what is ‘Armenian’, ‘national’, or ‘civil’. Thus, the country’s own culture is both the object of change (the revised, criticised element) and a factor restraining change. Civil Unrest and New Media. In the last few years, especially since 2008, there has been an increase in acts of social protest and advocacy initiatives. The need to revise values is an essential component of the civic demand discourse and agenda. 39 This trend, however, has not become the prevailing mood in society; it remains at the level of certain groups and subcultures. Various advocacy groups are largely active within the new media space (social networks), which enable self-expression and organisation, but only or primarily within its own domain. Thus, some civic processes are occurring, but their effect remains difficult to measure. An increase in their role and scope in the future could contribute to change, including changes in the values and beliefs of society. Research Methodology The research is aimed at studying the value orientations and beliefs of society against the backdrop of the socio-cultural change occurring in Armenia as well as their role in political and economic behaviour. The analysis is particularly focused on the following research issues: What are the specificities of the basic value orientations typical of various segments of society? What are the substantial features of beliefs about social life in Armenian society? What are the economic and political attitudes and behavioural patterns of Armenian citizens, and which values and beliefs predict them? Based on the premises of socio-cultural psychology, a theoretical model of regulation of social behaviour was developed to demonstrate the reciprocity of internalised values and beliefs and the cultural values prevailing in society and socioeconomic processes. The proposed model served as a basis for developing the survey methodology and for interpreting the findings. The model enables observing the individual as the object and subject of interaction in socio-cultural reality and studying the ties between socio-psychological and socio-cultural factors through which the individual’s behaviour is self-regulated in line with changing social realities. 40 Values Culture Beliefs Learned Experience Social Practices Behaviour Patterns and Attitudes Political and Economic Processes Figure 3.1. Reciprocity model of socio-psychological and socio-cultural factors regulating social behaviour According to this theoretical model, socio-psychological variables predetermining social behaviour are presented at three levels. The first level represents values as normative principles guiding behaviour. Values predetermine the behaviour of individuals in line with the prevalent cultural values in society. Values are relatively stable and difficult to change because they are formed during primary socialisation. For the purposes of this research, the study of values is based on Schwartz’s theory of basic human values (2006b). These values differ in the underlying core motivation, relate to the individual’s desired goals and serve as guides for behaviour. The second level represents beliefs as guiding representations of various phenomena and aspects of life. Beliefs are also quite stable, as they are formed on the basis of values. However, values are more flexible to change because they are formed as a result of consolidating one’s own and others’ experiences and may be revised during secondary socialisation. The study of beliefs is based on the concept of social axioms (Leung et al. 2002; Leung and Bond 2004). ‘Social axioms are generalised beliefs about people, social groups, social institutions, the physical environment, or the spiritual world as well as about events and phenomena in the social world. These generalised beliefs are encoded in the form of an assertion about the relationship between two entities or concepts’ (Leung et al. 2002: 289). The third level represents behaviour patterns, which are the sets and intentions of acting in a certain manner. Formed under the influence of values and beliefs, behaviour patterns and attitudes are directly responsive to the socio-economic and socio-cultural processes occurring in society; hence, they are more flexible to change than other regulators of behaviour are. This research specifically addressed social behaviour patterns as attitudes (sets) and intentions to act in the economic and political/civic domains. 41 Methods The study was based on both quantitative (survey) and qualitative (focus groups and interviews) methods as two separate research components. 1. Survey18 The survey battery included the following instruments (see Appendix 1). Patterns of Political and Economic Behaviour Questionnaire This questionnaire consists of 18 items and subitems that reveal political and economic behaviour intentions and preferences. The respondent must choose from among the proposed options or express the degree of his/her agreement with them. The political behaviour items are grouped into the following indicators: 1) Concern for Political Issues (items 1, 2 (subitems 2.1, 2.2, and 2.3) and 3 (subitems 3.1, 3.2, and 3.3) 2) Voting (participation in elections, motives, and willingness) (items 4 (subitems 4.1 and 4.2), 5, 6, 7, and 8) 3) Political/Civic activity (item 9 with subitems 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, and 9.4) 4) Subjective Prognosis of the Political Situation (item 10) The questions related to economic behaviour are grouped into the following blocks: 1) Concern for Economic Issues (items 11, 12 (subitem 12.1) and 13 (subitems 13.1, 13.2, and 13.3) 2) Economic Risk and Obtaining Loans (items 14 (with subitems 14.1 and 14.2) and 15) 3) Economic Well-being (external or internal reference) (item 16 with subitems 16.1 and 16.2) 4) Subjective Prognosis of Country’s and Family’s Economic State (items 17 and 18) Social Axioms Survey This instrument consists of two distinct blocks. The first block presents the original short version (39 questions)19 of the Social Axioms Survey20, which reveals the following five dimensions of social axioms. 18 The survey was conducted during the period of June-November 2012. This short version of the questionnaire was adapted in frames of cross-cultural research collaboration with Prof. Michael Wu of the Chinese National Academy of Sciences. 20 http://personal.cityu.edu.hk/~mgkleung/sa.htm 19 42 Social cynicism represents a negative view of human nature, especially as it is easily corrupted by power; a biased view against some groups of people; a mistrust of social institutions; and a disregard for ethical means for achieving an end. Social complexity suggests that there are no rigid rules but rather that there are multiple ways of achieving a given outcome and that apparent inconsistency in human behaviour is common. Reward for application represents a general belief that effort, knowledge, careful planning, and the investment of other personal resources will lead to positive results and help avoid negative outcomes. Religiosity asserts the existence of supernatural forces and the beneficial functions of religious belief. Fate control represents a belief that life events are predetermined and that there are ways for people to influence these outcomes. The second block presents a questionnaire developed by us for this study (37 items; see section on page 58 of this chapter for details regarding how the questionnaire was developed). Respondents assess each statement in both questionnaires on a 5-point scale (5 indicating ‘strongly believe’ and 1 indicating ‘strongly disbelieve’). Factor analysis was applied to the data yielded. Schwartz Values Survey (SVS)21 The questionnaire includes 57 values that measure 10 basic values. The values are presented in two lists. The first list includes 30 values that are formulated as nouns (concepts) showing an individual's desirable goals. The values in the second list (27 items) are phrased as adjectives (qualities) that show desirable ways of acting. The respondents rate the importance of each of the values from both lists on a 9-point scale (‘7’ points indicating ‘a guiding principle in my life’, ‘0’ indicating ‘not important’, and ‘ -1’ indicating ‘opposed to my values’). The mean is calculated for each of the 10 values, which are then ranked accordingly. The 10 scales of values are the following: Self-Direction. Defining goal: independent thought and choice of action, creating, and exploring. Stimulation. Defining goal: excitement, novelty, and challenge in life. Hedonism. Defining goal: pleasure or sensuous gratification for oneself. Hedonism includes elements from the values of openness to change and selfenhancement. Achievement. Defining goal: personal success through the demonstration of competence according to social standards. 21 In 2010, the questionnaire was adapted in agreement and in collaboration with the author, Prof. Sh. Schwartz, in line with the requirements of the cross-cultural study of values. 43 Power. Defining goal: social status and prestige, control or dominance over people and resources. Security. Defining goal: safety, harmony, and stability of society, of relationships, and of the self. Conformity. Defining goal: restraint of actions, inclinations, and impulses likely to upset or harm others and to violate social expectations or norms. Tradition. Defining goal: respect, commitment, and acceptance of the customs and ideas that one's culture or religion provides. Benevolence. Defining goal: preserving and enhancing the welfare of those with whom one is in frequent personal contact (the ‘in-group’). Universalism. Defining goal: understanding, appreciation, tolerance, and protection for the welfare of all people and for nature. Sample A quota sample was designed on the basis of the proportions of population distribution by age, gender, and location22. The sample comprised 803 respondents aged between 18 and 65 from the capital city of Yerevan and four marzes23. The sampling margin of error was 4.55%, with a 99% percent confidence interval. Shirak, Syunik, Armavir, and Vayotz Dzor marzes were selected on the basis of the following criteria: Population: the regions with the largest population and the smallest population were selected. Economic situation of the region: unemployment and the production rate. Geographic position of the regions and their distance from the capital city (northern, central, and southern). In each marz, the survey was conducted in one urban and two to three rural settlements. Tables 3.1 and 3.2 present the age and gender composition and sizes of the samples of the four regions and the City of Yerevan. Gender Table 3.1. Sample size by gender Yerevan Marzes Total Male 152 (40.8%) 221 (59.2%) 373 Female 173 (40.2%) 257 (59.8%) 430 325 478 803 Total 22 Data from the website of the National Statistical Service of the Republic of Armenia (www.armstat.am) were used for compiling the sample. 23 Armenian regional units are called marzes. 44 Gender Table 3.2. Sample size by age Yerevan Marzes Total 18-29 98 (40.6%) 146 (59.4%) 244 30-41 87 (38.6%) 141 (61.4%) 228 42-53 82 (43.0%) 111 (57.0%) 193 54-65 58 (42.4%) 80 (57.6%) 138 Total 325 478 803 2. Focus Groups Focus groups were conducted with young adults aged 20 to 29 (with proportionate gender representation). Each group comprised 10 to 12 participants. 6 focus groups were conducted in Yerevan and 8 in the four marzes (2 focus groups per marz). The discussion focused on the following theme categories. Economic Behaviour: Perceptions of well-being, economic paternalism and independence beliefs, economic achievement aspirations, earning and incomeincreasing behaviours, and financial and business risk experience and readiness. Political Behaviour: General interest in political and civic matters, motivation and beliefs underlying (non)participation in elections and political/civil activism and engagement (petitions, protests, demonstrations, and expression of opinions in the mass media, including online media), experiences of interaction with government and political entities, and motivations for political/civil membership and activity. 3. Interviews Interviews were conducted with political and economic experts, politicians (party representatives), and entrepreneurs working in small and medium-sized businesses24. Expert interviews were conducted with three political and three economic analysts. Five interviews were conducted with politicians representing the following parties/alliances: the Republican Party of Armenia (RPA), the Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP), ARF Dashnaktzutyun, the Armenian National Congress (ANC), and the Heritage Party. Interviews were also conducted with four entrepreneurs from Yerevan and four regional farmers. The interviews with experts and sector practitioners were structured around the following questions: overview of political or economic developments of the country and the prevailing values, beliefs, motivations, and factors underlying political and 24 The names of the interview participants, including the experts, are not mentioned in the text citations in view of confidentiality and impartiality concerns. 45 economic decisions and behaviour (of both actors and citizens). A specific block of questions was designed for politicians and entrepreneurs to present their sectorspecific experience. Value Orientations in Armenia: Comparative Analysis by Region, Gender, and Age The value preferences within Armenian culture are both illustrated for the surveyed sample as a whole and distinctly analysed by region, gender, and age. Table 3.3 presents the means for 10 basic values and their respective rankings in the overall sample. Conservative values such as conformity and security are predominant, which imply trends of maintaining social order and stability in relationships and refraining from actions that contradict social expectations. Benevolence, which is the need for attachment with the primary group and manifests in actions for the well-being of others, also ranks high. According to studies by Schwartz (1996; 2006b), these values are primarily oriented towards the group and, as such, have a social focus. The joint emergence of greater values of conformity and benevolence shows behavioural preference to maintain close relationships by complying with normative behaviour and expectations. The concurrently high values of conformity and security indicate a desire to maintain stability, order, and harmony in relationships. These findings are consistent with our society’s appreciation of maintaining relationships with family and relatives. Table 3.3.* Value preferences for the overall sample (N=802) M 5.15 3.69 5.09 4.53 4.55 3.31 3.22 4.98 3.58 5.03 VALUES Conformity Tradition Benevolence Universalism Self-Direction Stimulation Hedonism Achievement Power Security SD .98 1.20 .89 .97 1.01 1.57 1.64 .97 1.23 .87 R 1 7 2 6 5 9 10 4 8 3 α .48 .56 .66 .72 .56 .62 .64 .46 .51 .45 * In this and subsequent tables, the symbols shall have the following meanings: M: medium value, SD: standard deviation, R: ranking, and α: Cronbach’s alpha. 46 Achievements and self-direction, which are individualistic values aimed at one’s own success and augmenting one’s own personal potential, have scored medium rankings. However, these values have different motivational bases. The value of achievement is primarily aimed at the intention to generate tangible results and success, which would satisfy the human need for self-enhancement, whereas selfdirection is primarily aimed at augmenting one’s own potential by means of acquiring new experience, which meets the human need for self-development. Of medium value is also universalism based on concerns for equality and justice. Interestingly, although tradition is a conservative value, it ranks rather low in comparison with other conservative values, such as conformity and security. Power, stimulation, and hedonism did not rank as important priorities. As the author of the theory asserts, the results for each sample should be analysed by combining them with a pan-cultural analysis of values (Schwartz 2001; 2006b). For instance, according to the results of the pan-cultural analysis, the value priorities are expressed in the following sequence: the three high-ranked values are benevolence, self-direction, and universalism. Medium values are assigned to security, conformity, hedonism, and achievements. Power, stimulation, and tradition are generally considered to have lower ranks. The comparison of the survey findings with the pan-cultural picture of value priorities shows the following differences: selfdirection and universalism, which indicate values of openness to change and selftranscendence, respectively, have a medium priority, whereas security and conformity, which are conservative values and are essentially opposed to the values of acquiring new experience, have a high priority. The other difference is that hedonism is a low priority rather than a medium priority. Thus, the Armenian sample is more characterised by values with social focus, such as values of affiliation with one’s own group and maintaining relationships, which safeguards cohesion, adaptation, and reduced uncertainty. Less characteristic are the values underlining individualism, such as the desire to overcome challenges, the significance of sensation and life satisfaction. This medium (rather than low) manifestation of self-direction, achievement, and universalism appears to indicate that such values can grow in either a competitive environment or a transforming social environment that requires the formation of civic positions. The weak expression of hedonism in the sample may be explained by the cultural pressing of conservative values and perhaps by socially desirable responding; hence, the ranking of hedonism by the survey respondents may be affected by its lack of ‘encouragement’ as a value. To capture the value change trends and dynamics, a comparative analysis of the value priorities was conducted for the samples of the capital city and the regions, followed by an analysis by gender and age. Table 3.4 below shows no major differences in the value priorities between Yerevan and the marzes. The only significant difference is that for the Yerevan 47 sample, achievement acquires greater importance and security shows lesser importance. These findings suggest that an urban lifestyle reveals opportunities and fosters competition. Furthermore, the capital city is more sensitive to attitude changes under social transformations, whereas livelihood is based increasingly more on competition rather than on the collaboration scheme that remains more typical of the regions. In Armenia, the urban lifestyle is actually reduced to life in the capital city, which explains the lack of individualistic focus and the predominance of conservative values in regional towns (which actually do not offer a typical urban lifestyle). Table 3.4. Comparative picture of value preferences in Yerevan and regions (marzes) VALUES Conformity Tradition Benevolence Universalism Self-Direction Stimulation Hedonism Achievement Power Security M 5.05 3.45 5.08 4.45 4.61 3.11 3.24 5.04 3.44 4.96 Yerevan SD .96 1.15 .86 .95 .93 1.54 1.56 .89 1.26 .91 R 2 7 1 6 5 10 9 3 8 4 M 5.21 3.86 5.10 4.58 4.50 3.45 3.21 4.95 3.66 5.09 Marzes SD .98 1.21 .92 .98 1.06 1.57 1.70 1.03 1.21 .84 R 1 7 2 5 6 9 10 4 8 3 The comparison of Yerevan and the regions by gender showed no differences in value priorities between males and females in the regions, although there were some differences in the value priorities between males and females in the capital city (see Table 3.5, page 50). The values of conformity, benevolence, and security remain priorities for both women and men in the regions. The situation differs for women and men in the capital city: benevolence remains important for women and men in the capital city, but the value of conformity is markedly different from the regions. In Yerevan, this value is less of a priority for women but still a priority for men. Achievement, which is generally important for the Yerevan sample, is the most prioritised value for women in the capital city, but it ranks as the third highest value priority for men. This finding may be observed because the modern gender equality discourse is more active and accessible in Yerevan than in the regions. In everyday life, women encounter more specific challenges in terms of combining family and career roles and consequently in their aspirations. This result requires further examination from the perspective of changing gender perceptions. The comparison of the four age groups between Yerevan and the regions more clearly indicates the existing differences in dynamics between value priority trends (see Table 3.6, page 51). With respect to the first three most important values 48 (benevolence, conformity, and security), which ranked high for the sample as a whole, two of them—benevolence and conformity—remain important for all age groups in both Yerevan and the regions. This finding indicates that the preference for normative behaviour for maintaining close relations is a key motivator. These values and the value of security remain important for people of middle age and those above middle age (above 40) in the capital city as well as for people above 30 in the regions. For the younger (18 to 29) age groups in both the capital city and the regions as well as for those above the middle age line (under 42 years old) in the capital city, achievement, which is aimed at self-enhancement, becomes important in addition to maintaining close relationships. Interestingly, self-direction, as a trend of accepting new experience, becomes quite visible among young people in the capital city. Thus, the differing value priorities of young adults reflect the natural agespecific need for achievement and self-enhancement, on the one hand, and the valuenormative changes occurring in society, on the other hand. The challenges related to self-enhancement and self-direction are more salient in the capital city, with peculiar social changes occurring there. Hence, the findings suggest that value priorities change more slowly in the regions, with a ‘lag’ of one generation. 49 50 5.14 3.34 5.13 4.41 4.66 3.21 3.32 5.00 3.64 4.92 Tradition Benevolence Universalism Self-Direction Stimulation Hedonism Achievement Power Security M Conformity VALUES .97 1.24 .83 1.52 1.58 .94 .97 .83 1.04 .91 SD Male 4 7 3 9 10 5 6 2 8 1 R 4.99 3.27 5.07 3.17 3.02 4.57 4.49 5.04 3.54 4.98 M Yerevan .85 1.25 .94 1.59 1.50 .92 .92 .89 1.23 1.00 SD female 3 8 1 9 10 5 6 2 7 4 R 5.13 3.78 4.88 3.43 3.74 4.60 4.49 5.01 3.72 5.14 M .84 1.26 .99 1.70 1.47 .99 1.00 .98 1.19 1.03 SD male 2 7 4 10 8 5 6 3 9 1 R 5.05 3.57 5.01 3.03 3.21 4.41 4.66 5.18 3.98 5.28 M Marzes .84 1.15 1.05 1.68 1.61 1.11 .97 .85 1.22 .94 SD female Table 3.5. Comparative picture of value preferences between men and women in Yerevan and marzes 3 8 4 10 9 6 5 2 7 1 R 51 5.30 .80 3.64 1.36 8 3.23 1.28 10 3.72 1.17 7 3.05 1.01 8 3.66 1.36 9 3.69 1.11 4.67 .95 Achievement Power Security 5 4.89 .97 1 4.91 .95 4 5.26 .75 3 5.09 .92 1 5.10 .82 4 4.72 .78 3 5.13 .98 3 4.90 .93 4 5.00 .99 4 5.09 .80 2 4.99 1.04 5 4.44 1.03 5 4.42 1.04 6 4.55 .95 1 5.00 .83 6 4.37 1.01 6 4.73 .97 5 4.48 .87 2 5.22 .82 3.71 1.60 7 3.43 1.49 7 2.88 1.45 9 2.70 1.48 9 3.69 1.58 8 3.22 1.64 10 2.84 1.63 10 2.88 1.82 10 5 4.51 .88 6 4.69 .89 2 5.21 .86 5 3 3 5.25 .71 1 8 3.56 1.11 8 4 4.98 1.01 4 9 3.16 1.61 9 6 4.35 1.10 6 5 4.73 .93 2 5.14 .97 4 3 5.21 .85 2 3.74 1.21 8 4.74 1.06 5 3.18 1.56 9 4.48 1.03 6 4.75 .96 5.21 .86 4.22 1.11 7 1 R Hedonism SD 5.31 .99 M 3.61 1.46 9 3.32 1.66 8 2.79 1.44 10 2.43 1.29 10 3.93 1.45 7 3.37 1.53 4 4.57 .94 2 4.93 .84 7 3.73 1.18 7 2 SD R Stimulation M 1 5.21 .91 R 4.89 .85 SD Self-Direction M IV (54-65) 4.25 1.00 6 4.42 .94 SD R III (42-53) Universalism M 2 5.10 1.08 1 5.29 .94 SD R II (30-41) 5.00 .88 M 3 5.11 .80 SD R I (18-29) Benevolence M 1 5.18 .94 SD R IV (54-65) 3.19 1.23 10 3.31 1.02 9 3.72 1.09 8 3.69 1.14 7 3.60 1.30 10 4.00 1.12 M III (42-53) Tradition SD R II (30-41) 4.90 1.04 3 5.05 .10 M I (18-29) Marzes Conformity VALUES Yerevan Table 3.6. Comparative picture of value preferences between different age groups in Yerevan and marzes The dynamic trends of values are analysed according to the structure of dynamic relations between values proposed by Schwartz (Schwartz 2006b), which can be used to analyse the zones of conflict (also known as tension) between value priorities (see Appendix 2). According to the theory of basic values, values are in conflict when their underlying motivations conflict. A motivational conflict may contribute to behaviour change by opting for passive or active strategies. In both cases, an individual attempts to restore the integrity and coherence of self-experience. An active strategy enables reconsidering behaviour and changing value priorities. In this case, the tension contributes to active search behaviour and the achievement of positive outcomes for the individual. In case of a passive strategy, the choice of value priorities is primarily made with the aim of eliminating psychological discomfort. Active or passive choices are made on the basis of the motivations underlying the values examined here. Studies show that self-enhancement and conservative values are based on the avoidance of threat and self-protection, whereas the values of selftranscendence and openness to new experiences are anchored in self-development and achievement (Schwartz 2006b). To this end, it would be interesting to examine the possible tensions between the motivations underlying the values in our sample. We sought to identify tension between contradicting values that have both scored high for our sample, thus disregarding those with medium priority. Benevolence, which has a social focus and is also aimed at self-transcendence, is in polarity in terms of the underlying motivation with achievement, which has an individualistic focus and is aimed at self-enhancement. Such a conflict between values is more pronounced in the case of young adults (in both the capital city and in the regions) and the residents of the capital city. In other words, when making choices, young adults (as well as men and women socialised in the capital city) encounter a contradiction between the motivation to be caring and helping towards their close ones and the motivation to be a competent member of society to achieve individual success. For our sample, conformity was also a high-priority value, which further exacerbates the conflict between these values because individuals, along with the desire to help close ones, also attach importance to acting in a manner that is consistent with norms and expectations for maintaining harmony in their relationships. In modern society, expectations for self-fulfilment, competition, and information flows, and opportunities for self-actualisation cause young adults to develop ego-centred and individualistic motivations of self-enhancement. The same holds particularly true for women: the picture of gender roles and expectations is gradually changing towards egalitarian attitudes, and women’s need for self-fulfilment and self-enhancement is growing. Some tension can also be observed between the value priorities of young adults socialised in the capital city. As noted previously, this age group, in contrast with all the other age groups, has marked self-direction—the motivating intention to act freely and to acquire new experience. Self-direction, as an individualistic value of being open to new experience, is the opposite of conformity—a socially focused conservative 52 value. That is, when attempting to solve life problems or make choices, young adults living in cities adopting an urban lifestyle currently face a clash between their motivation to behave in accordance with the expectations of their close ones and the motivation to act freely and to express their own thoughts, ideas, and creative aspirations. For young adults, the motivation to be self-directed in their thoughts and actions conflicts with the general environment that bears more conservative values. However, priorities in social life do not contribute to self-direction because given the prevailing feelings of social inequity, double standards, and uncertainty, free conduct aimed at self-development may undermine one’s own security and well-being and that of close ones. Under these circumstances, behaviour that is guided by self-direction becomes increasingly more necessary but also more difficult. Thus, the analysis of value priorities shows that despite prevailing conservative and group-oriented values in society, the value priorities of certain groups are tending to change in view of age, generation, and local (capital city/regional) culture. The selfenhancement values expressed among women in the capital city and young adults in particular can be regarded as dynamic changes in value priorities occurring against the backdrop of social transformation. Main Conclusions The comparative analysis of value orientations in Yerevan and the marzes by gender and age groups reveals the following dynamic trends in values: For the Yerevan sample, there is a clear difference between the respondents under and above 40 years of age in terms of the primacy of values with individual or social focus. For individuals over 40, normative behaviour that meets expectations is important, as it contributes to stability in behaviour and relationships. For those under 40, the values of achievement and personal success are also important. In the regional sample, self-enhancement, a value with individual focus, is marked only among younger adults (under 30). In various age groups above 30, there are no sharp differences, and conservative values and values oriented towards the primary group are prevalent. The comparative results in value preferences in capital and marzes indicate that value change is slower in the regions, with a lag of one generation. The differences in value preferences are more pronounced between women in the capital city and in the regions. The behaviour of women in the capital city focuses more on achievements, whereas women in the regions demonstrate more normative conservative behaviour. There are discrepancies in the value preferences of young people both in the capital city and in the regions as well as of women and men in the capital. Conflict zones are found between the affiliation with one’s own group, normative behaviour, and achievement values. Such intra-individual conflicts are rather pronounced among women in the capital city. Furthermore, there is a visible motivational conflict 53 between conservative values and the values of openness to new experience among young adults in the capital city. Cultural Aspects of Social Axioms: Results of Factor Analysis To understand how social beliefs are manifested in Armenian culture, the study was conducted in two directions using a combination of etic and emic approaches. The Social Axioms Survey was conducted for revealing the five-factor structure of social axioms (39-item version). For drawing typical beliefs consistent with the Armenian socio-cultural context the questionnaire comprising 37 items was developed and included in the survey too. The Social Axioms Survey was conducted in two phases. The sample for the pilot survey included 187 respondents aged 18 to 72, with different levels of education (Mage=33.6, SD=12.92, with male respondents constituting 27% of the sample). The items for the two instruments were revised through this pilot phase, and some questions were excluded from the Armenian-language instrument. In the main phase, data from 796 respondents (Mage=38.6, SD=13.58, with male respondents constituting 46% of the sample) were collected, and a factor analysis was conducted. Principal component analysis was chosen as the Extraction method for the factor analysis, and Varimax was chosen as the Rotation method. Findings of the Social Axioms Survey in Armenia A confirmatory factor analysis yielded the five-component structure of the original questionnaire. Only 36 of 39 items produced a five-factor structure that accounted for 37% of the variance25. The factor loads are presented in Table 3.7. The factor analysis confirms the five-factor structure of the original Social Axioms Survey for the Armenian sample. However, significant differences emerged for certain factors. 1. The religiosity factor, including all seven of its items, was fully yielded. 2. The reward for application factor was also yielded, but only 8 of the 9 items compose this factor for our sample. 3. For the fate control factor, 5 of the 6 items composed a factor, and one question came here from the reward for application factor (‘Failure is the beginning of success’). The combination of these items in the Fate Control factor shows that 25 Two of this items concern the Social Complexity factor, and one concerns Fate Control factor. 54 failure and success take turns and are perceived as regular patterns of life, in contrast with the universal structure derived from the cross-cultural analysis, in which human effort is considered essential in overcoming failure. 4. For the social cynicism factor, seven of the 11 items compose the factor for the Armenian sample, and one item was added from the social complexity factor (‘There is usually only one way to solve a problem’). It is noteworthy that in the original questionnaire, this item is a reverse question in social complexity, whereas for the Armenian sample, it is a direct question that joins the social cynicism factor. This difference could be explained by the fact that in social life, the judgement that alternatives do not exist is connected with pessimism and mistrust. 5. Unlike other factors, the social complexity factor was not yielded fully. Only 3 of its 6 items (‘People may have opposite behaviour on different occasions’, ‘Human behaviour changes with the social context’, and ‘One’s behaviours may be contrary to his or her true feelings’) were included in the factor. Another 4 items were added from the social cynicism factor (‘Kind-hearted people are easily bullied’, ‘The various social institutions in society are biased towards the rich’, ‘Power and status make people arrogant’, and ‘People deeply in love are usually blind’). A combination of these items clearly shows that difficulty and uncertainty of situation, the complexity of human nature and inconsistency in behaviour create mistrust in others and can eventually even be assessed as immoral behaviour or as a pattern of unfair life26. The confirmatory factor analysis shows that the universal structure of the social axioms generally ‘works’ with the Armenian sample. The only exception is the social complexity factor, which overlaps with social cynicism. Thus, for the Armenian sample, the social cynicism factor is divided between two factors that have the following difference: the factor that includes only questions of Social cynicism reflects pessimistic and nihilistic positions to positive change in life in general, whereas the combined social complexity and cynicism factor expresses primarily scepticism towards human and institutional actions under the uncertainty and complexity of social reality. 26 As this factor is equally composed of two factors, the combined name ‘difficulty of social life and cynicism’ will be used in subsequent analysis to avoid suggesting a new name for this factor. 55 Table 3.7. Factor structure of social axioms for the Armenian sample. Social axioms items R Belief in a religion helps one understand the meaning of life. Belief in a religion makes people good citizens. Religious people are more likely to maintain moral standards. Religious faith contributes to good mental health. Religion makes people escape from reality. Religious beliefs lead to unscientific thinking. There is a supreme being controlling the universe. It is rare to see a happy ending in real life. There is usually only one way to solve a problem. Young people are impulsive and unreliable. To care about societal affairs only brings trouble for yourself. Kind-hearted people usually suffer losses. Powerful people tend to exploit others. People will stop working hard after they secure a comfortable life. Old people are a heavy burden on society. Knowledge is necessary for success. One will succeed if he/she really tries. Adversity can be overcome by effort. Hard-working people will achieve more in the end. Every problem has a solution. Competition brings about progress. Caution helps avoid mistakes. One who does not know how to plan his or her future will eventually fail. People may have opposite behaviour on different occasions. Kind-hearted people are easily bullied. SC RA SC/ Cyn FC .765 .761 .699 .680 -.456 -.445 .424 .586 .561 .534 .513 .481 .468 .458 .440 .645 .640 .611 .569 .551 .488 .469 .383 .574 .540 Items that have factor loads above .36 are introduced in the Table 3.7. R: Religiosity, SC: Social cynicism, RA: Reward for Application, SC/Cyn: Social complexity/cynicism, and FC: Fate control. 56 Human behaviour changes with the social context. The various social institutions in society are biased towards the rich. Power and status make people arrogant. One’s behaviours may be contrary to his or her true feelings. People deeply in love are usually blind. There are many ways for people to predict what will happen in the future. Failure is the beginning of success. Good luck follows if one survives a disaster. Individual characteristics, such as appearance and birthday, affect one’s fate. Fate determines one’s successes and failures. Most disasters can be predicted. .521 .495 .469 .385 .374 .563 .531 .523 .413 .391 .368 Development of the Armenian Questionnaire of Social Axioms The Armenian-language questionnaire of social axioms was developed in several phases. During the first phase, common Armenian proverbs were collected and semantically analysed, followed by beliefs about different spheres of life derived on the basis of incomplete sentences. A total of 250 Armenian folk proverbs and folk proverbs of other nations that are used among Armenians were submitted to content analysis using Ghanalanyan’s ‘Aratsani’ (Ghanalanyan 1960) and Ohanyan’s ‘Aratsani, Armenian Folk Proverbs’ (Ohanyan 2009) as sources of collection. The meanings derived from the primary analysis were grouped by categories (themes). As a result, some proverbs that had a unique meaning and were not included in the distinct categories were eliminated from the research. The remaining 180 proverbs underwent a secondary analysis. Eventually, six categories were identified for the following domains of life: cognition, human nature, work, relations, the relationship between the individual and society, and supernatural powers. Incomplete sentences (a total of 28) were prepared according to the aforementioned spheres of life, which the respondent had to complete by expressing his or her belief. A content analysis of the results of 120 questionnaires was performed. The resulting content was grouped by domains of life and the thematic focus of beliefs expressed therein (for instance, the following topics were identified in the domain of work: means for subsistence, means for well-being, a condition of self57 expression and self-development, a social duty, contribution to social development, and a condition for feeling adequate)27. During the second phase, the analysis of the results of the completed unfinished sentences was followed by the development of statement items in line with the identified spheres and themes (initially, a total of 80). Based on the pilot results, the number of items was reduced to 3728. Based on exploratory factor analysis, only 28 of the 37 questions composed the five-factor structure (see the factor loads in Table 3.8). The resulting factor structure explains 38% of the data variance. Below are the social axiom factors that were yielded: 1. Agency: beliefs that emphasise faith in human abilities and the fact that a human being can, if he wants, change and make a positive contribution to his and others’ lives (for example, ‘One can change many things in his/her life if there is the wish to do so’). 2. Fortune: beliefs that emphasise the role of chance and circumstances in a person’s success (for example, ‘One should have luck in order to succeed’). 3. Individual-society tension: beliefs that emphasise that society limits the individual and that the individual acts primarily in his/her own interests (for example, ‘Society suppresses individuality’). 4. Pessimism: beliefs that deny the potential of positive change, and various realities are evaluated from negative and sceptical positions (for example, ‘Bad is found in life more than good is’). 5. Social harmony and humanism: beliefs that emphasise the sense of harmony and cohesion between the individual and the environment as well as humanism and the belief that life phenomena are interconnected by continuity and reciprocity (for example, ‘Anything a person does has an influence on all of humanity’). 27 Because the results of the preliminary stage of developing the Armenian instrument of social axioms have had an auxiliary role in this research project, it is not practical to present them here in their full analytical scope. The authors are preparing separate articles based on the results of the qualitative analysis of beliefs derived from the content of proverbs and incomplete sentences. 28 The questionnaire was reduced in the following manner: items with repetitive meaning and items that did not show a normal distribution were removed. 58 Table 3.8. The factor structure of ‘culture-specific’ social axioms. Social axioms items A One can change many things in his/her life if there is the wish to do so. A person who is good at figuring out the character of people around him or her will act effectively. All people are the masters of their own fate. If they wish, people can make the world better. A kind-hearted person is always appreciated in society. People are appreciated by their deeds. One can become a better person if society helps him/her. One should have luck in order to succeed. Success will find a person. The future is predetermined from above. Important events are the result of chance. Success depends on life circumstances. Society suppresses individuality. Society always restricts people. People always act according to their personal interests. Life circumstances change humans. Power determines one’s place in society. One will not find his/her place in life if he/she is uneducated. Bad is found in life more than good is. Even real friendship is forgotten with time. Living in this world means suffering. One can only rely on him/herself in times of trouble. Anything a person does has an influence on all of humanity. F I-ST P SHar/ Hum .680 .608 .590 .584 .506 .493 .462 .647 .615 .598 .547 .537 .740 .592 .500 .471 .389 .591 .548 .540 .465 .449 .575 Items that have factor loads above .36 are introduced in the Table 3.8. A: Agency, F: Fortune, I-ST: Individual-society tension, P: Pessimism, and SHar/Hum: Social harmony and humanism. 59 .543 A person is like his/her environment. Society gives a person the opportunity to be happy. All people are similar regardless of their nationalities. Regardless of the type of relationship, one should accept imperfections in others. If somebody does not have a job, they should not feel accomplished. .511 .508 .453 .378 Based on the yielded factor structure, the beliefs typically found among Armenians can be characterised by the following aspects. First, there are two somewhat conflicting beliefs concerning agency and success: the individual is considered important as an agent of change, but some beliefs emphasise the role of supra-individual factors and random chance in one’s success. In the context of the relationship between the individual and the world, world phenomena are perceived holistically, and beliefs are based on absolute and universal values. Meanwhile, there are pessimistic positions, denials of positive change, and negativist prognoses. In the individual-society relationship, the beliefs emphasise tension in societal relations. A correlation analysis of the social axiom factors yielded from two questionnaires was applied to understand the beliefs typical of the social-cultural context in Armenian society. Table 3.9 presents the correlations. Table 3.9. Correlations between factors of social axioms. Reward for Application Religiosity Fate Control Social Social Complexity/ Cynicism Cynicism Agency .493** .108* .222** .047 .252** Fortune .053 .175** .394** .404** .249** Individual-Society Tension .171** -.014 .164** .536** .315** Pessimism .124* .010 .124* .384** .421** Social Harmony and Humanism .363** .167** .271** .178** .246** P*≤ .01; P**≤ .001 The Table 3.9 shows many direct correlations. Each correlation can be studied separately to identify interesting trends of correlation between beliefs. However, with the research goal in mind, the analysis here focuses only on the highest correlation coefficients with a 0.1 critical value for each factor. 60 Agency and social harmony and humanism are correlated with reward for applications. The shared semantic load of these beliefs is that human actions have natural consequences. The semantic analysis of composing items also reveals differences: the reward for applications factor reflects the pragmatic consequences of human actions, which is emphasised little within the two other beliefs. Fortune is correlated with fate control and social cynicism. The semantic analysis shows that within fortune, the role of chance and destiny is emphasised more than within fate control. The strong correlation between fortune and social cynicism may initially appear surprising, but it can be interpreted in the following manner: individuals with greater scepticism towards social realities are likely to increasingly rely on external forces in interpreting their behaviour and reality. The individual-society tension factor is correlated with social cynicism, which indicates that there is tension, mistrust, and scepticism in societal relations. One may assume that such beliefs reinforce the marginalisation of the individual from societal processes while emphasising competitive attitudes that overlook the public interest. Pessimism is correlated with the social cynicism and social complexity/cynicism factors. These links show that the pessimistic and sceptical mood grows as social life becomes increasingly uncertain and complicated. Thus, the correlational and semantic analyses of the factors show that although beliefs that are typical of the Armenian culture are similar to the universal social axioms, there are still country-specific trends. The structure of beliefs derived on the basis of the Armenian-language instrument provides a space and plot for future research. The substantive analysis of these beliefs would have special value for understanding the societal processes by discussing them in conjunction with other socio-cultural and socio-psychological variables. Values and Beliefs Predicting Political and Economic Behaviour: Results of Regression Analysis The third component of the research focuses on the influence of value orientations and beliefs on the political and economic behaviour attitudes of Armenian citizens. To this end, a stepwise multiple regression analysis was applied for the interval scales, and binomial logistic regression was used for the nominal scales. All the characteristics defining political and economic behaviour were viewed as dependent variables. The predictor variables were demographic data (age, gender, and place of residence) in the first phase, 10 basic values in the second phase and social axioms in the third phase. The regression analysis results calculated for each combined indicator of political and economic behaviour are presented in Tables 3.10 (pages 66-67) and 3.11 61 (pages 73-74). The comparative percentages of each subindicator are presented in Appendices 3 and 4 (only the histograms that showed statistically significant correlations with demographic variables are included). Political Behaviour Patterns and Attitudes Concern for Political Issues in Armenia The regression analysis model derived for political interest shows that concern for political issues depends on gender, age, and place of residence. Men, older persons, and regional residents are more interested in political matters than women, younger persons, and Yerevan residents (see Appendix 3, Figures 3.1-3.4, 3.7-3.12). The same regression model shows that concern for the political issues in the country depends on the combination of a number of values and beliefs. With regard to values, self-direction (independent thought and action), universalism (care for the equality and welfare of all people), and achievement (the aspiration to attain personal success) lead to increased interest in political issues among Armenians. Given the motives underlying self-direction and universalism values, these values can be assumed to be important guidelines for the formation of civic positions. With respect to the role of the value of achievement in interest in political matters among Armenians, such interest turns into conduct aimed at self-enhancement. Thus, a person may pursue not only civic but also self-centered goals when expressing opinions on political/civic matters. The value of benevolence, which reflects the preserving and enhancing of the welfare of in-group members, has a negative effect on interest in political issues. As family security and ties with relatives are highly appreciated in Armenian society, the aforementioned reverse effect can be interpreted as implication that interest in political matters may undermine the harmony and stability of ties with one’s immediate and extended family. Thus, at the level of values, interest in political matters is regulated by different motives. Research results indicate that in addition to self-direction and universalism, interest in political matters is also reflected in values concerning the relationship between the individual and the referent group (achievements and benevolence). Because the achievement value has a positive effect and the value of benevolence has negative effect on interest in civic matters, it can be assumed that the ‘tension’ between such values causes political interest to have an often covert or passive nature. To shed more light on this picture, let us refer to the survey responses that did not undergo regression analysis. For instance, when asked about the reasons for discussing political matters with family, friends, or colleagues, the respondents most frequently chose the following response: ‘As a citizen, I am concerned about the political issues in the country’. However, when asked about their typical involvement in such discussions, approximately 50 to 60 percent of the respondents stated that they ‘don't 62 initiate but participate in discussions’, and 20 to 30 percent claimed that they ‘are not active but listen to other's opinions’ (see Appendix 3, Figures 3.5, 3.6). The analysis of these additional questions supports the conclusion that interest in political matters is conditioned by conflicts within the value system that prevent people from presenting their civic positions openly and responsibly. There are also conflicts at the level of beliefs predicting political interest. For example, social cynicism, as the lack of faith and trust, reduces interest in political matters, whereas the belief in reward for application increases such interest. People’s beliefs reflect the judgement that interest in political matters is a source of concern and is a thankless occupation as well as the universal belief that no results can be expected without making an effort. Voting The regression analysis model derived for the attitude towards voting shows that the extent of participation is affected primarily by age, followed by the place of residence. Older persons and those living in the regions more actively participate in elections than younger people and those living in Yerevan (see Appendix 3, Figures 3.13-3.19). Other studies also show that demographic features can influence the propensity to participate in elections. For example, people living in rural areas are more likely to participate in elections than those living in an urban culture. Studies also show that adults begin to participate in elections more actively during middle age29. The regression analysis results show that values do not have a statistically significant effect on the decision to participate in elections. According to the same regression model, the following beliefs can potentially influence people’s decisions to vote. The beliefs of Agency and Social harmony and humanism have a positive influence. According to the correlation analysis, these two beliefs are positively correlated with the social axiom of Reward for application. Some responses have been analysed to understand the nature of this correlation. When asked which beliefs formed the basis for the decision to vote, the respondents most frequently (approximately 50 percent) indicated that ‘I express my opinion as a citizen’ (see Appendix 3, Table 3.1). Many people, especially those in the regions, believed that their ‘vote matters in elections’. At first sight, these responses may be perceived as indicating a civic position, but they are actually often declarative. A closer examination of other responses shows that few respondents have stated that they ‘go to vote for the candidate/party with which they sympathise’. This response is more 29 For peculiarities of political behavior conditioned by other demographic indicators, see Krosnick, Jon A., Penny S. Visser & Joshua Harder 2010. The Psychological Underpinnings of Political Behavior. In: Susan T. Fiske, Daniel T. Gilbert, Gardner Lindzey (eds.) Handbook of Social Psychology, Vol. 2 (pp. 1288-1342). John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 63 concrete and objectified. Naturally, the following question arises: if the voter does not like any of the candidates or parties, then whom he or she can trust, and how does he or she come to the decision that his or her vote matters? Thus, individuals appreciate their participation in elections, without a clear vision of what each political force proposes or what is right. According to the regression analysis, the intention to participate in elections is predicted by another belief: social cynicism has a reverse effect on people’s decision to participate in elections. Such a negative correlation is natural: a person who has mistrust or other negative attitudes towards various social realities is likely to refuse to vote. The responses to the additional questions that were used to identify the reasons for not participating in elections in Armenia were also analysed (see Appendix 3, Table 3.2). When asked about the beliefs that cause them to not participate in elections, the respondents most frequently indicated that ‘there is no one whom I can trust’. This response was rather frequent from middle-aged and older respondents in Yerevan. Another frequent response was that they ‘do not believe that elections will change anything’: this response was more common in the regions and among individuals older than middle age in Yerevan. The less frequent was the ‘I do not have any preferred political party’ response, which, unlike the other responses, can be considered a more objective belief reflecting a civic position. Another belief was also consistent with social cynicism in affecting the decision to vote. The frequent response was the behaviour attitude ‘I participate so that my vote is not used’, which appears to be a position of participating in elections, but in terms of the core belief, it is actually an expression of nihilism and scepticism towards elections as an institution. Political/Civic Activity To study the attitudes of political/civic activity, regression models were constructed for four distinct indicators: 1) Participation in petitions, sit-ins, and demonstrations 2) Attempts to contact any public official or party representative (to raise a public/community issue or to express an opinion) 3) Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in the mass media 4) Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in online media, including social networks The regression analysis shows that participation in political demonstrations and assemblies and attempts to contact public officials or party representative are predicted by gender and place of residence, while the expression of opinions in the mass media is determined by age, and the expression of opinions in social media is a matter of age and gender. Thus, men are more likely than women to participate in political demonstrations or assemblies or to attempt to contact public officials. Moreover, attempts at contacting public officials are more frequent in the regions than in 64 Yerevan. Young people are more likely than the other age groups to express their opinions in mass media and social networks (Appendix 3, Figures 3.20-3.24). According to the same regression models, values and beliefs have the following predictive effect. The value of self-direction is a predictor for all four of the behaviour patterns of political activity. However, for the expression of opinions in social or other online media, benevolence joins the aforementioned value of self-direction, although benevolence actually reduces rather than amplifies the extent of political/civic activity. Clearly, for all forms of political/civic activity, the value of self-direction and free expression is a key individual factor. Our findings also confirm some of the findings from Schwartz’s research (2006b) showing that the values of openness to new experience, including the value of self-direction, predict political activity. Among the social axioms, social cynicism negatively affects virtually all forms of political/civic activity examined (signing petitions, participating in demonstrations, attempting to contact public officials, and expressing opinions in the media). The results of the research also show that religiosity is a predictor of expressing opinions in mass media. Subjective Prognosis of Political Situation The regression analysis model for the subjective prognoses of the country’s likely political developments shows that the place of residence influences optimistic or pessimistic evaluations: the respondents in Yerevan were more prone to pessimistic prognosis than other respondents. The values, as estimated in the regression analysis, do not have a statistically significant bearing on the optimistic or pessimistic prognoses of the political situation, but beliefs can predict this prognosis. Beliefs such as social cynicism and social complexity/cynicism are correlated with more pessimistic prognoses, whereas beliefs such as fate control, religiosity, and agency are predictors of optimistic prognoses. Naturally, the lack of trust contributes to the formation of negative political prognoses. However, in addition to scepticism and the lack of trust, perceptions of the complexity of social life, uncertainty, and the diversity of social reality also contribute to pessimistic prognoses. Optimistic prognoses are correlated with belief in agency as well as belief in the effect of supernatural and superhuman forces. Their positive influence on political prognoses can be viewed more as an expression of faith and hope in the future—a general belief that ‘things will be fine at the end’ (not only in political terms). Thus, in our opinion, the positive predictive force of these beliefs for optimistic political perceptions is primarily of a protective and compensatory nature. 65 66 P*≤.05; P**≤.01; P***≤.001 F change R 2 Religiosity 8.143** .094 6.393** .061 4.786* .054 .078* 7.344** .124 -.097* -.103** Social cynicism -.093* .154*** .190*** -.052* -.194*** Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in online media, social networks .207*** .159*** -.100** Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in the mass media Self-Direction .103** -.111** Attempts to contact any public official or party representative -.091* -.155*** Participation in petitions, sit-ins, and demonstrations Political/civic activity Benevolence Place of residence Gender Age 3.10a. Table 3.10. Hierarchical multiple regression: predictors of political behaviour attitudes 67 -.086* .073* .095* .068* -.143*** Benevolence Universalism Self-direction Achievements Social cynicism P*≤.05; P**≤.01; P***≤.001 F change R 6.368** 3.887* 5.255* .071 .076* Social harmony and humanism .132 .086* .066* Agency .104 .078* Religiosity 2 .091* Fate control -.139*** -.140*** Subjective Prognosis of Political Situation -.114** -.096** .130*** .327*** Voting Social complexity/Social cynicism .089* .103** Place of residence Reward for application -.155*** Concern for Political Issues .175*** Gender Age 3.10b. Economic Behaviour Patterns and Attitudes Concern for Economic Issues in Armenia The regression model developed for studying the concern for economic issues shows that the extent of interest in the country’s or community’s economic affairs depends on the place of residence, gender, and age. Men, older individuals, and residents in the regions are more interested in economic matters than women, younger people, and the residents of Yerevan (see Appendix 4, Figures 4.1-4.10). The regression analysis further shows that interest in economic matters increases with the value of self-direction and decreases with benevolence. Thus, the motivation for initiative, the freedom of actions, and the acquisition of new experience are determinants of interest in the economic issues of the country. However, attachment to one’s own group and enhancing its welfare do not contribute to engagement in economic issues. Social axioms such as agency and social harmony and humanism also generate increased interest in economic matters, whereas social cynicism has a reverse effect. It is thus natural that belief in an individual’s abilities and universal patterns of life increases human activity and social engagement, including interest in the country’s economic affairs, whereas the underestimation of such regularities and the lack of trust lead to lower levels of interest. The predictive role of the combination of values and beliefs in economic interest can be drawn from the responses to additional questions regarding the reasons for people’s interest in economic affairs (see Appendix 4, Table 4.1). When asked what motivates them to discuss economic matters with friends or relatives, a significant percentage of the respondents stated that they ‘merely wanted to share financial issues and concerns’. A smaller but still significant percentage of the respondents stated that they wanted ‘to determine how to manage their expenditures’. These responses imply a more passive interest in view of the preventive behaviour strategy, unlike the more active, risky strategy of promotion that implies behaviour focused on financial gain, such as ‘saving and increasing income’ or ‘accessing loans’. These responses were relatively less common in the sample. Economic Risk and Obtaining Loans The readiness to enter into a loan transaction or to undertake economic risk was studied through the following three indicators, for which distinct regression analysis models were implied: 1) Readiness to obtain a loan to improve living conditions (house renovation or acquisition or the acquisition of household appliances or a car) 68 2) Readiness to obtain a loan to start one’s own business 3) Readiness to undertake economic risk (to start a business) in the near future. Although the percentage results for the entire sample show that people are generally not likely to obtain a loan, the regression analysis revealed some differences between the groups. The regression analysis model shows that the readiness to obtain a loan to improve living conditions is dependent on age: younger people are more likely than older people to obtain a loan to improve their living conditions (see Appendix 4, Figure 4.11). The regression analysis also shows that power (i.e., the motivation to acquire social status and exercising control through such status) is an important value for this behaviour to be expressed. Therefore, one can conclude that the improvement of living conditions (for example, the desire to have a nice house or car) is motivated by the need for self-enhancement rather than by hedonism and comfort. Self-enhancement is rather important in a competitive environment and is accompanied by feelings of tension and the desire to prevent threats. According to the regression analysis, the axiom of social harmony and humanism is significantly correlated with the readiness to obtain a loan to improve living conditions. As this factor is strongly correlated with the factor of reward for application, one may conclude that a positive, harmonic affiliation with the environment, which is a precondition of basic trust, contributes to the desire to assume risks to attain improved living conditions. The regression analysis shows that the likelihood of obtaining a loan to start one’s own business depends not only on age but also on gender and place of residence. Younger people, men, and the residents of the regions are more willing to access loans for their initiatives (see Appendix 4, Figures 4.12 and 4.13). The regression analysis of values shows that the likelihood of obtaining a loan is contingent upon the value of stimulation, which shows that the initiative to start a business meets people’s need to boost activity through new experiences. The regression analysis of beliefs also shows that the axioms of fate control and reward for application underpin people’s intention to enter into a loan transaction for starting a business. Interestingly, initiative is driven by the belief in reward for application as well as the belief in the influence of supernatural factors. The regression model for the intention to assume economic risk (to start one’s own business) in the future also confirmed its correlation with gender, age, and place of residence. Once again, young people, men, and the residents of the regions more frequently report an intention to assume economic risk in the near future (see Appendix 4, Figures 4.14 and 4.15). Interestingly, the intention to assume economic risk and to start a business is stronger in the regions than in the capital city, although economic opportunities may be greater in the capital city. One possible explanation for 69 this finding is that the people in regions assume economic risk for purposes of survival rather than to increase their income because the living standards are lower in the regions and occupations are difficult to find, causing people to assume economic risk in view of ‘the absence of any other options’. The regression model also shows that the value of tradition does not contribute to assuming economic risks, unlike the value of power. In other words, conservative and self-enhancement trends of behaviour conflict in the process of assuming economic risk. With regard to the beliefs, religiosity and agency can determine the likelihood of assuming risks, whereas social complexity/cynicism has a reverse effect. Once again, it becomes clear that people who intend to assume economic risk rely on themselves and on superhuman forces, while scepticism and mistrust towards social institutions negatively affects economic initiative and risk taking. Two behaviour patterns are possible under this combination of beliefs. By assuming economic risk, people may rely on fortune and God’s will, thus overlooking potential difficulties and failing to assess risks. However, beliefs in agency, combined with social cynicism, can cause an individual taking an economic risk to circumvent institutional rules and to promote the business through a network of ‘relatives and friends’, thereby relying on the innermost circle of trust. Economic Well-being The attitude towards economic well-being was derived from two distinct attitudes that rely on external (the economic situation in the country) and internal (selfsufficiency and individual efforts) factors of well-being. The regression model developed for the attitude that well-being is contingent upon the country’s economic situation shows that such attitude depends on age and gender. This attitude strengthens with age and is more typical of women (see Appendix 4, Figure 4.16). According to the regression analysis, the values of tradition and power are negative predictors for this position. The regression analysis further shows that the axiom of reward for application negatively affects this position, whereas the individual-society tension affects the position positively. The regression model for ‘well-being depends on one’s efforts’ shows that this position is more typical of younger people and men (see Appendix 4, Figure 4.17). This position of economic independence increases with the expression of reward for application and decreases with individual-society tension. Thus, the greater an individual’s tension with Armenian society, the more the individual connects his or her well-being with the state’s economic development and prosperity, failing to appreciate his or her personal role and responsibility in improving well-being. However, when an individual believes that his or her efforts will generate results, his or her sense of personal responsibility for his or her own 70 well-being grows, and he or she does not place hope on the economic situation in the country. The negative relationship of the values of tradition and power with the mindset that well-being depends on the economic situation of the country and its lack of significant correlation with economic independence could indicate that these values underpin some other behaviour attitude related to the achievement of individual wellbeing. The regulation of behaviour according to tradition and power acquired through public image resembles the vertical collectivism described by Triandis (Triandis 2001a): an individual associates his or her economic well-being with the reference group (clan or extended family), where relations are regulated by tradition and the principle of hierarchic power, which resembles a pattern of economic paternalism. Subjective Prognosis of the Country’s Economic State The regression analysis shows that the place of residence influences changes in the perception of the country’s economic situation. The residents of the regions are more likely to make optimistic prognoses than those of the capital city (see Appendix 4, Figure 4.18). Given that the regions are economically not developed and that standards of living are low, it would be interesting to examine the reasons for these differences. The regression analysis also shows that the value of benevolence is a predictive factor for the positive subjective prognosis of the economic situation: in other words, dependence on relatives and close ones contributes to an optimistic position regarding the country’s economic development. With regard to the beliefs, Social cynicism and the individual-society tension make people more likely to be pessimistic, whereas fate control and agency are likely to make people more optimistic when assessing developments in the country’s economy. The comparison of all the independent variables on the basis of the results of the regression analysis supports the conclusion that optimistic attitudes regarding the country’s economic development are manifested primarily through experiences of hope based on simple human and universal patterns. Pessimistic prognoses are determined by the growth of social tension. This finding explains the more optimistic prognosis in the regions. Social tension is not as acutely manifested in the regions as in the capital city, which has a more complex social structure and more uncertain institutional rules of social behaviour and real ‘rules of the game’. Subjective Prognosis of the Family’s Economic State The regression analysis of the findings related to the prognosis regarding one’s family’s economic situation in the near future shows that although the place of residence remains a predicting factor, age is also relevant. Both the residents of the 71 regions and younger people are more likely to have optimistic prognoses of their economic situation compared with the other groups (see Appendix 4, Figure 4.19). The regression analysis of values does not reveal any significant correlations. However, the regression analysis of beliefs shows that Social cynicism leads to a more pessimistic prognosis of one’s family’s economic situation, whereas reward for application supports a more optimistic prognosis. Interestingly, the comparative percentages of the results of subjective prognoses of the country’s and the family’s economic situation show that people tend to have more optimistic prognoses of their family’s economic situation while being more pessimistic about the country’s economic situation. 72 73 -.091* .103** -.140** Benevolence Self-direction Social cynicism P*≤.05; P**≤.01; P***≤.001 F change R 2 Social Harmony and humanity 4.038* .117 .077* .109** Agency 5.316* .076 -.109** .112** Fate control Individual-society tension -.150*** .069* .113** Subjective Prognosis of the Country's Economic State Social complexity/Cynicism .077* .165*** Place of residence Reward for application .168*** -.123** Concern for Economic Issues 7.066** .065 .094* -.103** .087* Subjective Prognosis of the Family's Economic State -.176*** Table 3.11. Hierarchical multiple regression: predictors of economic behaviour attitudes Age Gender 3.11a. 74 .077* .061 4.299* .104** .084 Economic Well-being Country condition .032*** .436*** -.176* -.286*** -.405** .430*** .073 4.257* .076* .082* .095* .083 .450*** -.453*** .133 6.369** .128** .121** -.089* .096* Assuming economic risks in the next five years -.168*** -.137** .096* -.140** Individual efforts -.026** -.812*** Economic Risk and Obtaining loans Obtaining a loan to Obtaining a loan to start a improve living conditions business -.221*** -.080* -.084* .155*** Cox & Snell pseudo R2 P*≤.05; P**≤.01; P***≤.001 Age Gender Tradition Power Reward for application Individual-society tension Age Gender Place of residence Tradition Stimulation Power Reward for application Social complexity/Cynicism Fate control Religiosity Agency Social harmony and humanism R2 F change 3.11c. 3.11b. Main conclusions The regression analysis results enable identification of the predictive force of various value orientations and beliefs for the political and economic behaviour of Armenians: Individualistic values, such as appreciation of freedom of expression and freedom of action, are important predictors of interest in political issues and active citizenship. The importance of affiliation with the group and enhancement of the welfare of group members negatively predicts people’s interest in political matters and political/civic activity. Given that benevolence and conformity were both highly ranked in the sample (demonstrating the strong close ties with an inner circle), the negative effect of benevolence on political activity perhaps results from the perception that political engagement may endanger the stability and harmony of interpersonal relations. Similar findings of certain studies support this conclusion. For example, the more an individual trusts his or her family as a source of security and opportunities, the lower his or her civic engagement and political participation. According to the same survey, there is also a negative correlation between family bonds and trust in social institutions (Alesina and Giuliano 2009). Faith in human abilities and the belief that human efforts will be duly rewarded increase interest in political matters and the desire to vote. Scepticism of social realities and the lack of trust in social institutions and in human nature are predictors of decreased interest in political matters, voting, and civic/political activity. Interest in political matters and participation in elections are rather pronounced among older people and residents of the marzes, whereas political/civic activity is especially prevalent among younger people who use the mass media, including online media. The residents of the marzes prefer direct contacts as their means of political/civic activity. This trend is rather prevalent among older respondents and among the respondents from marzes. People in Yerevan have a more negative prognosis of political developments in Armenia in the near future compared with the people in marzes. This negative prognoses result from the perception that life is difficult and uncertain as well as from higher levels of mistrust. Optimistic prognoses are predicted by religious faith, belief in the control of fate, and belief in individual abilities. The appreciation of freedom of expression and action as well as the acquisition of new experience are key predictors of interest in economic issues. The appreciation of affiliation with a group and enhancement of well-being negatively affect people’s interest in economic matters. As noted earlier, benevolence and conformity together proved to be rather salient, demonstrating the importance of strong close ties with one’s own group. Here as well, interest in economic matters and activity could be perceived as threats to the stability and harmony of interpersonal relations. Interest in economic issues is stronger among older people, men, and 75 residents of the regions. Interest in economic issues is more prevalent among older people, men, and residents of the marzes. Readiness to undertake economic risks and obtain loans is predicted by the individualistic values of power and stimulation. Economic risk is also dependent on beliefs in agency and supra-personal beliefs (such as religiousness and destiny), while the lack of trust in social institutions and the difficulty of social life negatively affect behaviours that are focused on people’s well-being. Such behaviour trends are more prevalent among young people, men, and residents of the marzes. In terms of their well-being, people rely on the country’s economic situation when the dominant perception is the tension between society and individuals. Such a behaviour pattern grows with age and is more popular among women. However, when an individual believes that efforts will be rewarded, the position that agency is critical to economic well-being is increased. This behaviour pattern is more prevalent among young people and men. The appreciation of affiliation with one’s own group and beliefs in destiny and in agency contribute to optimistic attitudes, whereas social cynicism and scepticism cause people to feel pessimistic about their prognosis of changes in the country’s economy. Such attitudes are more common among the residents of the regions. The prognosis of own family’s economic situation is also negatively affected by social cynicism. The belief that an individual’s efforts will be rewarded contributes to optimistic attitudes in this regard. Such attitudes are also found more markedly in the marzes and among young adults. Guidelines of Economic and Political Behaviour in Armenia: Qualitative Analysis Economic and political spheres are intertwined and interacting. These spheres are both the context and the factors for human relationships and actions occurring at the micro level. As illustrated earlier in the book, social behaviour trends are interconnected with a set of values and beliefs. The latter are affected by certain challenges in present-day Armenia: some are simply emerging in response to the new reality, whereas others are the legacy of the past socio-political and historical-cultural experience and can also be employed for everyday interpretations or justifications of modernity. This chapter is devoted to the analysis of the qualitative component of the survey, which is based on the focus groups and semi-structured questionnaires (see the Methodology section for details). A number of questions could be considered here, such as how and through what judgements people make sense of reality and their actions therein, what values and beliefs drive their choices and decisions(especially 76 political and economic choices), and how such beliefs and actions relate to the present-day reality in terms of reproducing or changing the latter. The analysis is presented through several thematic blocks grouped by their common underlying beliefs. The boundaries between thematic groups are, of course, relative, as they are interconnected by the ‘chain reactions’ or common factors that produce them. The same guiding belief or attitude often emerged in the discussion of different topics, and likewise, several beliefs can be observed behind the same behaviour). For example, young people’s discussions of well-being reflected their beliefs of mistrust in government, trust in their own abilities, and appreciation of family. By contrast, mistrust, as a core attitude, was the red threat appearing across a number of sectors and themes discussed. The analysis of the material further shows similarities and interconnection between the main belief complexes related to political and economic spheres. The beliefs that are specific to either of these two spheres are analysed in distinct blocks. Ambiguity in the Rules of the Game and a Sense of Uncertainty The most common perception of social life that emerged in the focus group discussions of both economic and political issues was the difference between written and unwritten rules, or, in other words, uncertainty of the rules of the game in various walks of public life. Uncertainty in the rules of the game is both a professional assessment and an everyday perception. ‘The law and reality coexist as parallel realities in our country. They do not intersect’. (economic analyst) ‘The problems in towns are mostly due to the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of the written and unwritten laws’. (young man from Shirak) This finding is legitimate because written rules are normally more fragile, whereas informal rules (culture, tradition, and stereotypical behaviour) are more viable in a stage of social transformation. In today’s society, unwritten rules have several layers: they are affected by certain cultural peculiarities (such as close family ties) as well as by the historical-political experience, including the Soviet-era legacy, uncertainty arising from the current transformations, and the insufficient experience of statehood, all of which lead to low trust in formal institutions among Armenians. ‘As the formal institutions were never owned by Armenians but were always imposed by one or another empire, the Armenians always treated them as something external. This trend is manifested in the last 20 years, too <...>. We keep trying to circumvent them by reverting to informal institutions, which is why informal rules have become more decisive in our life’. (economic analyst) 77 Although the young people surveyed often reported their desire and need to live by the rule of law in a country where life is regulated by clear rules, they often expressed the belief that the laws are still—or should be—circumvented in Armenia. ‘I personally have everything here, but I am leaving the country... for a country that lives by laws’. (young woman from Armavir) ‘Those creating the laws think of making such a law that can be circumvented. That is how it is done in Armenia’. (young woman from Vayotz Dzor) Although the rules are circumvented with a view of personal gain, the desired outcome is not necessarily achieved. ‘Our laws outright prohibit transactions in foreign currency. Bank contracts nicely refer to the Armenian dram, but you verbally strike a deal with them in advance and borrow dollars. At the moment, I am losing 60 drams for every dollar’. (young man from Armavir) Another manifestation of the duality of the rules is the difference in government-proclaimed and actual policies, which exacerbates the uncertainty. As neatly put by one of the interviewed experts, this difference is three-fold: the declarations of politicians often do not match the law, while actual practice does not match either the laws or the political rhetoric. The idea underlying the accepted norm is not sufficiently interpreted or conceived by either those enacting or those enforcing it. Here, when the law is truly ineffective, the underlying idea or value that should have been ‘introduced’ with the enacted law is also ineffective. ‘Read the official information. They say, ‘The three-month collection rate must be achieved’. If our country is a market economy, then how can you set a collection rate for the taxman? The tax revenue should be a factor of market activity’. (political analyst) Examples of inadequate internalisation of the idea can be found not only in the dual application of laws but also in the dual exercise of rights. For example, many inhabitants of the regions who participate in rallies bend rather than exercise their political rights because they are actually driven by individualistic or other situational motivations. ‘When they take us to a rally, we say, ‘hey, let’s go to that rally’. But why do we go? To stand there together, so that we go out as soon as it’s over. I never cared what the rally 78 was for. To me, a rally has a totally different meaning. Otherwise, it would be meaningless’. (young woman from Armavir) As many processes and rules are perceived as ‘window dressing’, people find it legitimate and reasonable to use them as a pretext for acting on other motivations. Furthermore, formal and informal rules are ambiguous each in turn. The legislative framework is fluid, and formal rules are frequently revised. Both experts and entrepreneurs have identified this ambiguity as a challenge. ‘When starting a business, people try to think long term, not just two months from now. In our country, though, ‘the rules of the game’ change every month for ordinary people. Over 30 legislative initiatives are enacted annually, and procedures are frequently changed, affecting a large number of people who are trying to operate lawfully’. (economic analyst) ‘Our small and medium-sized business entities are tired of following the legal changes <...>. As a consequence, businesses have to give bribes because they ultimately don’t know what is right’. (economic analyst) This discussion reminds us of Sh. Schwartz’s point that institutional practices reinforce and spread their underlying values. Restated in this context, the ambiguity of the normative values underlying the institutional functioning reinforces ambiguous behaviour and circumvention as a means of coping with this uncertainty. Thus, formal laws do not function as behaviour guidelines. Informal rules (i.e., the socio-cultural ‘adjustments’) are not unequivocal either, as culture is no longer homogenous and is undergoing changes. Thus, under uncertainty and perceived scarce resources, it is difficult to determine which orientations prevail among the belief of an ordinary Armenian: are they the mutual assistance, community affiliation, face saving, shame, and a number of other collectivist values deemed inherent to the Armenian culture, or are they values with a narrow individual focus and at times even actions at the expense or to the detriment of others. Not coincidentally, some young respondents (especially those representing the marzes) spoke of the mentality of ‘villagers’ largely in positive terms, whereas others (especially farmers engaged in business or labour relations with villagers) highlighted their negative attitudes in interpersonal relationships. The manifestation of normative uncertainty in political behaviour has its own features, the most typical of which appears to be the absence of clear guidelines for political behaviour, as reflected in both expert assessments and the judgements of young adults. The senior generation continue, by inertia, to perceive politics along the lines of the previous system, whereas the younger generation have yet to develop a 79 clear vision of politics, although there are some signs that the values underlying political behaviour are germinating within them. ‘We do not believe whatever we hear. We do not believe that anything can be changed. In our consciousness, there are no duties or rights: there is a gap between politics and daily life’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘You talk to a citizen about laws, but he believes what the neighbours and the friends tell him. He is 99 percent sure that it is right, no matter how hard you try to show him that the law provides otherwise. He heard about ‘getting a boost’ from someone, got all inspired, and it matters much more to him than exploring what the law says about it’. (young man from Shirak) In politics as in economics, there is a need but not yet a demand for genuine processes and clarity. Young people complain about both the absence of laws and the existing laws. The laws on paper are often perceived as being aimed against people or as being overly restrictive or flawed. One plausible explanation for this attitude is the mistrust of the law-making process and the institutions and actors adopting the laws, rather than the abstract negative attitudes towards laws in general. Against the background of common mistrust of formal rules, informal rules (or as Kitayama calls them, ‘cultural affordances’) continue to guide behaviour despite criticism. From a psychological perspective, it is important to note that individuals are still not ready to act in accordance with the law, even when the law is present and clear. Individuals respond to the complexity of social life through situational or habitual behaviour (‘doing it the way I am used to’), both of which often imply sidestepping the law. Such individuals think of laws as theoretically correct but fail to recognise its practical benefits for their lives. This situation, coupled with the lack of legal awareness, causes many people (such as entrepreneurs conducting business or citizens voting) to continue acting dually—at times following the laws, at times resorting to the ‘good old’ bribes and ‘fraternal’ deals. In politics, people continue to focus on the real process and to complain about the imperfection of institutions (especially electoral institution), often remaining passive in concrete situations or pursuing short-term goals aiming for the least self-harm or the most self-benefit. An additional justification is the widespread belief that ‘nothing will change, no matter what’. Albeit reluctantly, people have accepted this duality and the rule that formal rules should be sidestepped. The ‘public convention’ is that laws cannot be taken literally, and lawmakers also appear to have adopted this belief. In any event, the surveyed young people, entrepreneurs, politicians, and experts reported a type of dynamic process: people are beginning to appeal, challenge, and cite the law in confrontation with the establishment. Enforcing the law is the process and outcome of a difficult struggle experienced by either a citizen or an official, depending 80 on the area. Meanwhile, normative uncertainty in the economic field is resolved in favour of informal rules, whereas political behaviour is largely limited to formal participation. Mistrust ‘One can never really have trust in anything in our country; you are right’. These are the words of a focus group participant from the capital city, echoing a fellow respondent’s statement about mistrust. The postulate of absolute mistrust is ubiquitous among young people, which is why this section begins with this quote. Mistrust is a problem reflected in virtually all representations of social life. The mistrust trend is exacerbated by the normative uncertainty discussed above. ‘When someone starts a business or even plans other activities, they start predicting the behaviour of others around. And when there is no common ground of rules of the game, the circles of trust start to shrink rapidly’, states an economic analyst. Mistrust is tied to feelings of insecurity and instability: it is a feeling and an attitude, on the basis of which people act or choose inaction. ‘There is also a problem of security, as no one is there to protect you. You could well be accused of something and then imprisoned, even if you’re innocent’. (young man from Yerevan) Young men feel vulnerable to arbitrariness by various institutions, especially law enforcement agencies. Young men may encounter high risk and aggressiveness in the environment more frequently than others in their daily life. Mistrust is demonstrated in various types of economic, political/civic, and everyday relationships. The focus group discussions and interviews reveal a problem of mistrust in relations between individuals and institutions as well as in interpersonal and individual-group relationships. Hence, mistrust has several levels and dimensions. One particular manifestation of mistrust can be observed in the relations between the state and business entities. ‘There are distinct sides - the state and the taxpayer <…>. One might see them as conflicting sides. They try to take it away from you, while you try not to give away’. (economic analyst) ‘The role of a nation’s tax agency should be about helping the businesses ‘to swim in the water, not to make them drown’. One should not constantly control and pressure businesses and treat them with mistrust. You are not there to control crooks. I think it’s the post-Soviet legacy’. (entrepreneur from Yerevan) 81 Entrepreneurs in turn tend to mistrust their peers; they often prefer to organise all the links of their business chain rather than entrusting and delegating any link to a professional entity. This tendency hinders business development. ‘Our economy is very primitive in technological terms. People who grow and want to export vegetables prefer to build their own transportation network. When you ask them why, they say they cannot trust others to deliver or distribute their produce. As a consequence, they become fragmented, unsophisticated, do-it-all businesses’. (economic analyst) Many forms of everyday economic behaviour indicate antagonistic relations, which may be a consequence of unyielding mistrust, whereby the state and the individual perceive one another as mutually impeding. The situation can be illustrated by the following example: many buyers do not demand a cash receipt when the seller fails to issue one; however, in principle, hidden sales revenues of businesses harm them (especially when they are public sector employees). However, people continue to psychologically identify with law-circumventing entrepreneurs, helping them in the struggle against government entities that otherwise should have been the middle link regulating their economic relations. The economic interests of the individual and the state are perceived as mutually exclusive or at least divergent. The antagonism between the government and citizens appears to entail distanced relations between the individual and society at the micro-level, thus becoming interpersonal mistrust. This individual position of alienation from the public further fuels the legitimacy of the pursuit of individual interest. ‘The village and even the village mayor lack a communal, civic way of thinking. As long as he is doing well, he does not care whether the state may fall apart and drown in debt, whether or not the village will develop’. (farmer from Armavir) The mutual perceptions of villagers and urban dwellers provide another example of the distance and communication gap between the individual and society, which is especially manifested in the form of tension in economic relationships. ‘They overfertilise the land, which makes the produce larger, but then, it’s toxic, not good at all. They bring it to the city, and unaware citizens see the large size and buy it. But the villager does not care what the produce will do to the person. As long as it sells <…> One of them even told me once that even if it kills the citizens, he does not care, as long as his produce sells’. (farmer from Armavir) ‘I am sure that even if I give him a thousand dollars a month, he will continue to steal. It does not matter how much they earn. If I pay more, it will not necessarily improve performance either’. (farmer from Armavir) 82 The problem highlighted by the aforementioned farmers is not entirely new, as such attitudes emerged back in Soviet times, when it was psychologically justified to misappropriate the assets of the state—that is, of ‘the other’. In the modern private market economy, the ‘other’ city dweller appears to have replaced the ‘other’ state in the mind of the villager. The villagers’ belief that their life is more difficult than that of city dwellers and the improper social care by the state further legitimise the conduct aimed at improving their economic status. In political behaviour, this mistrust is manifested in the form of distancing from the state. The state (both as a system and as the functioning of specific institutions), at least in citizens’ perceptions, complicates rather than regulates the lives of individuals. ‘Today, I cannot say that I am or you are the Armenian state because we all know that it would be untrue. The state is the government, and we know what the government is like’. (young woman from Shirak) This situation is exacerbated by the conduct and discourses by political entities as reflected in the media, which reinforce the respective attitudes of individual citizens. ‘Unfortunately, political entities often see themselves in an antagonistic relationship with the state, and this holds true not only for the opposition. Politicians in power frequently feel themselves to be independent of the state. When a parliament member, whoever he may be, says that nothing depends on him and he cannot change anything, it is an excuse that directly undermines the image of legislative power... In Armenia, many politicians think that having power only means being in executive power’. (politician/public official) Mistrust is also fuelled by the lack of predictability of political decisions and the regular frustration of citizens regarding the possibility of participating in political decision making through elections. Some young people semantically differentiate between the notions of ‘state’ and ‘government’, but for many of them, the meanings of these notions are identical. The negative discourse regarding the state, when the latter is perceived as identical to the government, affects the discourse regarding the state as homeland, introducing negative connotations into the perception of the latter as well. ‘I definitely see myself outside of Armenia. I love my fatherland. Armenia is a great place. But I am disgusted by the state’. (young man from Vayotz Dzor) ‘I know many smart people that are not in Armenia today. They left for the simple reason that they believe this country sucks the blood of clever people. Clever people are not allowed to live, to work, and to excel’. (young woman from Shirak) 83 The antagonism between the state and the self does not itself demotivate actual electoral behaviour. However, many young people view the election itself as a conscious demonstration of this antagonism—a symbolic act of confronting the system and showing their dissent as well as an opportunity for occasional participation. However, there is reluctance to participate in other forms of political conduct, such as demonstrations and protests, which is subjectively justified by the direct influence of mistrust and scepticism. The latter affect both political and civil behaviour. Many young people not only are reluctant to engage personally but are also inclined to criticise activists. They are sceptical of either the objectives pursued by the activists (the integrity or public significance of such objectives) or the final result of their action (i.e., the likelihood of positive change). ‘The current environmental movements—Teghut or Jermuk—are not worth a penny for me, and they will never succeed because our environmentalists are now in the pursuit of grants, and they do all of this just to make money’. (young man from Armavir) ‘They are doing nothing bad, just good, but still, it is not going to change much’. (young woman from Yerevan) Ultimately, different segments of youth reproduce or overcome prevalent mistrust in various ways or to varying degrees. However, there are two prevalent trends, approach (personal engagement, action, or acceptance of a situation) and withdrawal (self-distancing from political and civil processes as well as nihilism). Reasoning in favour of alienation is most prevalent among youth: non-engagement is frequently justified by indifference, lack of perceived benefits, feelings of insecurity, mistrust, or all of the above. This distinction is relative, as any individual may think of both engagement and alienation as rational. As the sphere is unstable, the beliefs used to make sense of it are also psychologically unstable. The duality of the rules of the game and mistrust are apparently more generic syndromes that entail a number of other perceptions and beliefs, such as low predictability of the future, uncertainty in perspective, social injustice, fear of the new, and reliance on self and family. Low Predictability of the Future and Uncertainty in Perspective The perceived absence of perspective is natural against the backdrop of uncertainty and instability. Young people are uncertain in their outlook in terms of both short- and long-term plans. This belief concerns the low predictability of life in Armenia rather than of life in general. The difficulty of predicting the near future is combined with a negative prognosis of the future of the country. 84 ‘Everyone in Armenia, not just young people, is living in the present day’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘We are now waiting for September to see what new surprises our department holds for us and whether our ‘poor pay’ will remain unchanged or get cut’. (woman from Armavir) ‘In the morning, when a young person opens his/her eyes, he/she should already know their plans for the day and not have to get up and make up a plan. One must have something specific to do, a plan. That is not the case here’. (young man from Shirak) In economic life, uncertainty is overcome by finding reliable acquaintances, friends, or intermediaries in the relevant institutions as well as by building networks of such persons. This trend is quite evident in the field of conducting business, when securing an informal network precedes the starting of a private business. This attitude was reported by both the farmers and the capital city and focus group youth when referring to what they would do before starting a business. These individuals frequently stated that ‘it is not worth starting anything unless you have a person of your own in the system’, because ‘otherwise, the taxman will come over and start abusing you’. In judgements about political life, the sense of unpredictability is manifested as a negative expectation or as scepticism in the spirit of ‘who knows who is coming next’, and specific behaviours of overcoming uncertainty are replaced by a prevailing trend of self-distancing from the process, as discussed within the previous topic. Of course, a frequent assertion is that ‘we know who is going to get elected’, but this type of predictability does not lead to better predictability in one’s own life. Social Injustice Belief A key aspect of the aforementioned duality of the rules of the game is that these rules are segmented rather than consistent for everyone. In the judgements of young people, this aspect is reflected in the beliefs of inequality and injustice. ‘Something will change when everyone plays on the same playground, and the only difference is, say, that one plays football better than the other’. (entrepreneur from Yerevan) Injustice is reported as a problem in reference to both the respondents’ own issues and issues for the general public (but especially vulnerable groups). The sense of injustice is a result of one’s own experience and is observed in the milieu. Young people particularly tend to perceive injustice in their primary areas of activity: education and the labour market. Young people often claim that the relationship in the 85 country is one of ‘the strong and the weak’, exacerbated by scepticism regarding the possibility of excelling in the country on one’s own or on account of one’s intellect. Instead, the respondents, especially those in the regions, tend to believe that success in the country is determined by position, status and nepotistic-cronyistic relations. Although the analysis below shows that this pessimism is balanced with a belief in self-efficacy, the latter is a generic belief about life rather than the means of success in one’s fatherland. ‘The traffic police stop me, but not the Mercedes that broke the rules in front of me. It is the very same discrimination as the inability to find a job without knowing someone; they will tell you that there are no vacancies, or if they do hire you, they will fire you after a week. But if someone else comes, someone who knows someone or has money, they will invite them and tell them the vacancy is exactly right for them’. (young man from Shirak) ‘I am most concerned about injustice in education and employment and, above all, about the indifference towards persons with disabilities and war veterans. People are not appreciated’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘I started to think about leaving after encountering injustice in different places with different people’. (young woman from Yerevan) Despite the dissatisfaction with the ‘uneven rules of the game’, young people attempt to gain a position of strength by finding a crony or by employing other means (money or involvement in political parties) to further their objectives (such as finding a job or circumventing certain laws while conducting business). In other words, although they dislike and become frustrated with the existing socio-political structure, young people largely choose to accept and replicate this structure to meet their own needs and maintain the status quo. Unsurprisingly, the more likely behaviour driven by the belief in social injustice is the aspiration to achieve a privileged position in an unfair game rather than attempts to solve problems by complying with the law. Therefore, the behaviours and beliefs caused by inequality further reinforce that very inequality. This picture is consistent with some findings of the study of social axioms, which constitute another component of the present study. A combination of beliefs such as social cynicism and agency as well as the identification of tension between individuals and society further demonstrates that individuals, while believing in the possibility of excelling through their own activity, see such possibility outside of social institutions or groups or even in conflict with them. 86 Family as a Point of Departure and Reference Against the backdrop of the uncertainty discussed above and its various aspects, family (i.e., the closest circle of trust and the space of ‘us’) becomes the only stable guiding line. Under a deficit of confidence, the predictable environment is reduced to immediate family and closest social circles (friends and relatives). Despite ‘good civic wishes’, people tend to replicate clan- and neighbourhood-type approaches to making concrete decisions. In the judgements of young people, family is important in a number of ways: it is perceived as the value of utmost importance, as an argument for any action, as a primary concern, and as the motivation or facilitator of goals achievement. The notion of family has primacy in young people’s opinions regarding different walks of life in both the regions and Yerevan. Below are some illustrative quotes. ‘Of course, family is the most important value’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘If the family has social problems, you think that you are capable of working and earning the money, but you don’t have to earn if the family doesn’t have such problems’. (young man from Syunik) ‘To me, well-being is above all the health and positive energy of my family and my close ones’. (young woman from Yerevan) Thus, family is reflected in a wide spectrum of topics, such as subjective definitions of well-being, motivation for employment and income generation, political activity or the lack thereof, and individual success criteria. As family is a value that is not questioned, it is often used as an excuse in dilemma situations. For instance, the well-being of family or future children is often cited by young people as a potential reason for emigrating. The culture presumably does not approve of individual motives as sufficient justification for one’s decisions. As a consequence, young people who have not yet formed a family often make the following statement: ‘I would not like my children to live here tomorrow’. Thus, family is both a starting point and a point of reference. In Armenian society, the family focus is reinforced by tradition, while current social life adds to such reliance through instability and narrowed circles of trust. Young people begin expressing needs and behaviours of self-focus and individuation. In this mixture, family somehow becomes the ‘extended self’, which combines self-interest attitudes and expectations of significant others. Family focus is a combination of the current socio-political reality and the cultural foundation, which is a psychologically understandable adaptive strategy, as undesirable as it may be from the perspective of public interests and coexistence. Economic competition under rough capitalism is justified by the culturally acceptable 87 appreciation of the welfare of one’s inner circle and family. In such a country, the sense of competition is essentially based on the legitimacy of preferring one’s family (friends and relatives, in wider terms) over vague perceptions of public interest. The individual-society tension that was derived earlier and discussed as a belief is expressed in the form of a conflict between individual interests and public interests in both economic and political behaviour, where individual interests are largely restated as family interests. This tension is best illustrated by the following quote concerning a formally stated agricultural development plan, which is eventually adapted to family interests. ‘In the framework of making low-cost agricultural machinery accessible to the cooperatives, they lowered the cooperation membership threshold to 14 farmers. As a consequence, many families and extended families purchased machinery under the disguise of a cooperative and left it at home, unused. It did not contribute to development and did not serve the public’. (farmer from Armavir) In this example, economic cooperation was bent rather than promoted, essentially being used for family-clan priorities. The public space is not perceived as the shared space but rather as a place from which one can take assets home to the family. Although young people theoretically recognise the importance of public interests and the need to overcome the narrow mentality, they continue to bear this way of thinking. The legacy of Soviet beliefs, whereby one’s own interests cannot match those of the state, is another factor in undervaluing public interests. Thus, family is a cultural factor that assigns norms or the circumvention of norms for economic and political behaviour. However, the primacy of family is based on not only culture and tradition (as is often claimed by the young people) but also on universal psychological mechanisms as well as hybrid mindsets and practices formed through the capitalist and socialist systems. This dual basis may explain why the competition that is already noticeable in Armenian society remains at the interpersonal level, failing to lead to the expected outcome of social progress. The foregoing can be more easily visualised in economic behaviour. However, in political behaviour, given the absence of specific political beliefs and ideologies, family also becomes a primary guideline. Some political experts and politicians tend to believe that the family focus is a negative consequence of the lack of political culture, whereas other experts view it as a negative factor that inherently hinders the formation of a culture of political behaviour. ‘All values exist in society, but the family value is dominant. This value can and largely does influence the political field. In many cases, it hinders the formation of statehood as a value. Family, friendship, and reputation are all about the family. If the family father, 88 for instance, calls and says that such and such is the such and such of our relative and we must vote for him, it is not even discussed <...>. The words of informal neighbourhood authorities work in the same way. Of course, the situation is changing in recent years, but the mechanism still works, more in the rural communities and less in the larger towns’. (politician) The role of family in political behaviour can be perceived in a narrow sense (close relatives) or in a wider sense (extended family, clan, or other close ones). The family factor can influence political behaviour in different ways through active and passive attitudes. Young people (especially those in the regions) may vote as instructed by their extended family or may take the initiative to engage in political parties or electoral campaigns to secure income for their family or to support a neighbourhood friend or a relative who is a candidate. Despite the negative label attached to politics in society and the low level of political engagement, such indifference is overcome when there is a family or friendship interest. For this reason, perhaps, political involvement has more often been interpreted as a means of ‘taking care of business’ or helping a candidate rather than as undertaking an ideological or civic commitment. In sum, the family focus is more salient in economic behaviour. Political behaviour, especially that of young people in the capital city, is driven by a number of other situational and individualistic determinants. Double Determination Theories of Well-Being Young people make balanced statements about well-being, recalling its material and non-material elements as well as its individual and supra-individual elements. The lay theories of the essence and achievement of well-being could be called two-factor theories and are discussed in several bipolar dimensions. Material and non-material dimensions. Young people in both the capital city and the regions underline the decisive role of the non-material dimension in their subjective definition of well-being. Material well-being is often perceived as necessary but insufficient and by some even as an unnecessary and insufficient precondition. Individuals frequently cite such indicators of material well-being as financial independence from parents’ family (especially girls), sufficient wealth to secure physical comfort, the ability to possess unnecessary items, and other factors. Reported elements of non-material well-being include the possibility of having and interacting with a circle of friends, satisfaction with family life and professional employment, the well-being of the close ones, certainty regarding the future, and the ability to experience well-being as an internal state of mind (satisfaction with one’s current status, appreciation, and building relationships). Some have reported the absence of a 89 direct link between material and subjective well-being. Moreover, young people often use the material aspect to define what well-being is not about. Below are a few examples that help to understand the semantics described here. ‘Well-being is not about a fancy house and car <...>. Not everything is measured in money. Some people are very rich but unhappy. You can never buy happiness. This is very important to understand’. (young man from Armavir) ‘To me, well-being is about living a satisfied life with friends, family, and work, i.e., the creation of an environment where you can freely express yourself’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘If you want to, for example, make your child happy, it is nowadays associated with money; you want to take the child to a little cafe, but you don’t have the money’. (young woman from Armavir) Subjective (individual) and objective (supra-individual) dimensions. In this pair, the subjective element is appreciated more, as understood from a number of perspectives: (a) its achievement depends on the person, (b) its definition and the criterion of the feeling of well-being are also subjective, and (c) it is an ever-growing notion that grows after reaching the next level of well-being and should thus be contained/restrained by will. ‘I think that people are very greedy: the more you give them, the more they will want. Every new achievement is first perceived with enthusiasm, and then it becomes ordinary’ .(young man from Armavir) ‘Living a good life is relative. For instance, those that have a lot of money think that life will be good when they can travel abroad for a vacation once a month. For people like me, life is good when I have the smallest things that I need to feel secure, because when I look around, many don’t even have a house. Now, if I were to complain about my life, they would have the right to complain about not having a life at all’. (young woman from Armavir) Among the supra-individual criteria, the appreciation of public well-being as a precondition for individual well-being is of particular interest. With regard to the differences between the capital city and the regions, this belief is more common among the regional youth. ‘There are so many humanists, aren’t there? Mandela and many others. People feel that if their peers are not feeling well, it will psychologically affect them. If your peers have problems, for instance, if their roof is leaking, then you aren’t living well either’. (young man from Shirak) 90 ‘Well-being should be universal. A businessman in a developed country is different from a businessman in our country: you see that your own well-being here does not solve problems, and you cannot consider yourself really well off’. (entrepreneur from Yerevan) One particular aspect of this supra-individual, contextual view of well-being is living in one’s fatherland as a precondition: it shows that young people’s migration intentions, while widespread, do not necessarily have positive connotations, and there is an ambivalent emotional attitude. Migration is considered critical to material wellbeing, but non-material well-being could be endangered when one is away from one’s fatherland. ‘You may be able to achieve socio-economic well-being by living in a foreign country with greater opportunities, but if you are not in your own country, you are about 50 percent incomplete’. (young woman from Armavir) Independence from the family (financial autonomy) vs. connection with the family (investment). In either case, family is an important aspect of perceptions of well-being. One’s own financial activity is also important for everyone. The nuance is that some young people define individual well-being on the basis of independence from family, whereas others focus on the family’s well-being and appreciate their investment therein. Young women in the capital city are developing autonomy as a component of well-being. The ability to help family and friends is more emphasised in the regions than in the capital city. Being separate, pursuing one’s own interests, and having personal time and space are more important in the capital city than in the regions. Interesting entertainment and pastimes are also considered important in the regions, but collective pastimes are dominant. High levels of economic activity are also desired by young women in the regions, who often articulate goals of starting a business, but the justification is related to finding interesting work and helping the family rather than being independent from their family. ‘I would like a salary that would allow me to organise my life so that I would not depend too much on my parents’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘I would like to have enough money to rent an apartment’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘According to the old mentality, girls are supposed to cook and do work around the house. For this girl, well-being is about having a rich husband who will secure a kilogram of tomatoes and a kilogram of cucumbers and the like every day, so that she can stay at home and happily cook meals. According to the modern mentality, a girl would like to have a job and do her own shopping. To me, the second mentality of wellbeing is more important’. (young woman from Yerevan) 91 ‘I, for example, feel better when I earn my salary and help my parents with even 200 drams. Although I am a student and have homework, I would not sleep at night, but I would dedicate two hours a day to tutoring children in order to make some money’. (young woman from Syunik) According to the quantitative survey of values, self-direction is more widespread among young people in Yerevan than in the regions. The focus groups also confirmed this difference. Present and future dimensions of well-being. Certainty regarding the future is an important measure of well-being in the capital city, especially among female respondents. Young people express two types of somewhat inconsistent wishes: saving for the future and current spending. These two tendencies are based on the seemingly different values of security and an emerging individualistic focus. ‘With my lifestyle, 300 to 400 thousand drams would be enough to visit pubs, buy clothes, and pay rent’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘Certainty of the future is important for me as well, so that my resources are enough not only for living through the month, i.e., satisfying the most basic needs, but also creating something new’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘I should have a job and an opportunity for continuous education rather than just to get an education once and for good. I should be able take private classes somewhere. That’s what well-being is to me’. (young woman from Shirak) Personal and non-personal factors of achieving well-being. Some young people believe that well-being can be achieved through will, and others believe that it is possible through the state, the country’s socio-economic situation, society, or other people. A widespread belief of individuals in the regions is that good employment cannot be found, good education cannot be received, and a position cannot be achieved without knowing someone or paying a bribe. In any case, most young people view well-being as a combination of two groups of factors in which the agency component prevails. ‘What matters here is the situation in the state. You might be a warehouse guard, for instance, but be able to feed your family’. (young man from Syunik) ‘If a person is motivated and has set a goal, then he will achieve it, and nothing can get in the way’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘I think that the country’s socio-economic situation and the person’s individual aspirations are directly correlated. But, in my opinion, the individual factor prevails’. (young woman from Armavir) 92 The factor of state-individual tension also affects beliefs related to the achievement of well-being. Young people do not expect the state framework to provide special care that would be typical of classical paternalism; rather, they expect the state simply to avoid creating obstacles. With faith in one’s own agency and the unfavourable macro-environment, the individual takes initiatives despite rather than because of the social structure. Another belief is that achieving welfare is difficult in Armenia. It is deemed possible but extremely time- and energy-consuming. Earning the money needed for well-being is associated with dishonesty, whereas earning it honestly is associated with excessively hard work, suffering, and deprivation from family and friends. If measured rationally, the required effort is inefficient compared with the reward possible in another country with the same level of effort. This factor also contributes to the choice of emigration, despite the emotional preference for remaining in the country. ‘If I am going to achieve the same elsewhere more quickly, why should I not leave?’. (young man from Yerevan) In sum, young people generally have a positive yet balanced attitude towards material well-being.: they appreciate it as a means rather than as a goal. Few people view well-being through a purely materialist lens. Hence, there is a need to moderate the frequently articulated judgements about the current young generation being highly materialistic. The trend of ‘dematerialising’ well-being is especially typical of young people living in the regions, particularly young men. Economic Self-Efficacy This term is introduced to characterise young people’s overall trust in the ability to achieve economic success through their own efforts. The section above highlighted a number of factors that can potentially limit or demotivate an individual’s economic activity, such as the unfavourable socio-political and legal framework, the fluid rules of the business game, beliefs about social injustice, general mistrust in institutions and groups, and cultural limitations related to experimenting and implementing something new. Nonetheless, young people have demonstrated optimism and readiness to be economically active and to make an effort to achieve well-being. Both young men and young women, especially those in the regions, have a clear desire to conduct business as a means of achieving autonomy and self-development, helping relatives, and accomplishing other goals. When asked what they would do if additional money became available, many young people stated they would prefer to start a business and ‘turn the money around’ in different ways. In fact, young people’s readiness to 93 conduct business is overly high given their current level of economic and legal competence. Economic self-efficacy is based on a number of judgements. The most important considerations include the need to be active and feel ownership in their lives, the appreciation of personal goals, and the belief in rewards for efforts and abilities. A particular example of the latter is the belief that qualified specialists and professional work are valued.30 ‘A good specialist will always find his/her place. Regardless of profession, if you are good, you will get a new job invitation two hours after you quit the previous one’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘We mentioned a lot of problems in the city, but I am personally sure that if I set a goal, even it contradicts the laws of our state and many such things, I will definitely achieve my goal’. (young woman from Shirak) Thus, a problematic and uncertain environment may both undermine and promote business initiatives. Young people who agree to a game without clear rules acquire additional opportunities and confidence to act. However, the belief of self-efficacy does not extend to young people’s political behaviour. This is somewhat natural: economic activity is related to daily life more directly than political activity is. However, this finding also indicates that the positions of self-efficacy and of being an actor have yet to be developed or comprehensively appreciated by young people. Universalist Beliefs of Entrepreneurs The problems of values and beliefs in the economic sphere that were noted by the experts and focus group participants are also applicable to entrepreneurs. In business activities, entrepreneurs experience mistrust, mutual negative attitudes (vis-à-vis the state and consumers), normative uncertainty, and a number of other problems as tangible experience and take all of these into account in their activity. However, discussions with entrepreneurs revealed the beliefs and behaviours that are autonomous with respect to the socio-cultural, legal, and political context and that contribute to progress and results despite this context. For the purposes of this survey, we have labelled them universalist beliefs and behaviours. Such beliefs include the appreciation of will and effort, the individual determination of success and failure, the appreciation of development and the social 30 In parallel, some young people, especially those in the regions, state that education is not appreciated and that success can be reached by means of force and cronyism. However, these beliefs were not prevalent. 94 commitment to contribute to development (not only of one’s own business but also of society as a whole), self-development and self-improvement, patience, maintenance of optimism, caring for business as a standalone value and part of life, devotion, building positive relationships, and honesty. To illustrate this point, below are some comments by entrepreneurs operating in Yerevan. ‘I know from experience that a person is capable and, under objective circumstances, would be able to reap the results of investment and the way he/she treats his/her work. Business is like educating a child: it requires investment, dedication, and creativity’. ‘If sales are not going right, I ask only myself and my staff what happened. We must look for the reason within rather than blame the rain, the sun, the snow and the like’. ‘Business well-being is not about maximising profits in the short run. It is about the constant growth of the business. My philosophy of life is that people must continuously develop’. Interestingly, the dominant motivations for conducting business transcend individual focus and are pro-social (i.e., overcoming egocentric motivations and focusing on others), intrinsic, and process- and substance-oriented. The initial motivators for starting a business are related to becoming independent, embarking on an important endeavour or addressing the situational necessity of assuming responsibility rather than achieving immediate financial gain. ‘If you try just for yourself, nothing will come of it. You are making an effort for your customers’. (entrepreneur, Yerevan) ‘Business means bidding farewell to quiet life and free time. Big bucks should not be expected. There are places for it in Armenia and perhaps any country, but one should not get involved there’. (entrepreneur, Yerevan) Thus, the analysis of the universalist beliefs of entrepreneurs allows for balancing and supplementing the understanding of the limits and potential of an individual’s economic behaviour, beyond the local reality and the everyday judgements of young people. Furthermore, many of the elements of their beliefs could serve as models for improving the efficacy of any social behaviour. This circumstance, coupled with the fact that financial-economic behaviour is more flexible than other forms of social behaviour, means that sensitization of citizens and the promotion of participatory behaviours could be best achieved by improving the forms and awareness of economic behaviour. A comment from a businessman from Yerevan illustrates this situation well: ‘I think that political behaviour should decline and economic behaviour should prevail in society because we live by it, and we spend most of our time doing it. Activities related to economic behaviour should be 95 intensified. Economic competence should be taught as a part of education. Practical and simple economics can be taught as early as at school’. Importance of Fate (Fortune) The belief in the importance of fate also motivates economic activity and generally influences the perception of various aspects of life. As life is not very predictable, reliance on fortune can be helpful for making sense of events and phenomena that cannot be explained by individual or objective factors in a sufficient or psychologically favourable manner. Many young people consider fate to be important for economic success, thereby circumventing the following rational dilemma: ‘does it depend on me or the state?’ ‘It’s not even one’s brains; it’s fate. For example, there was this man who stood next to my brother in a market in Russia. When the taxman came, one out of ten shops had to be closed down, and every time, they would close down this same man’s shop. He was smart, as he had gotten to that point. But if he has no fortune, and if they are going to close it down, what is the point of being clever?’ (young man from Syunik) ‘Fate is important. Everyone aboard the Titanic was healthy and smart, but they had no fortune. What could they do?’ (young woman from Syunik) Generally, reliance on fortune and irrational beliefs and behaviours are especially typical of the economic activity of villagers for a number of reasons. Villagers are more likely to borrow loans to ensure that ‘the land does not stay idle’ and that ‘the neighbour does not blame me for not working’ as well as for a number of other reasons, such as the need to repay older loans. However, agriculture per se is ‘lacking calculations’ and is often unprofitable. Villagers often have inertia and are conservative, which causes them to continue performing their work without using modern methods of agriculture. Villagers are not likely to invest in risk-reducing measures. Their economic literacy is not sufficient, either. Furthermore, villagers do not feel protected or supported by the state; therefore, they must find other means of support. In addition, there is an objective aspect of the unpredictability of agriculture as a result of the weather and other factors. In this sense, the irrational notion of ‘fortune’ has its own rationality. This belief helps to rationalise negative outcomes and to accept the situation, albeit passively. ‘Agriculture is so risky and unprofitable that one mistake can cancel out the benefits. Most of the villagers make not one but dozens of mistakes in their farming practices, and any one of those mistakes can cause great harm. In other words, they can be gainful only if fortune is on their side’. (farmer from Lori) 96 Lack of Ideological Basis in Political Behaviour One of the main problems is the lack of a real ideological foundation for political behaviour. This problem affects the political activity, affiliation and electoral behaviour of both citizens and politicians. Some have reported that this negative trend has worsened in recent years. ‘With very few exceptions, citizens in Armenia do not have the important political grounds for voting, which is why election results in Armenia are very volatile: a party may get 20 percent in one election and zero in the one after. It is not even the generations that are volatile but an individual’s voting over the course of a four-year period between two elections’. (politician) ‘In the recent past, political behaviour was primarily driven by national interests, but now, it is determined more by individual interests’. (political analyst) ‘Many people, for example, have no idea about politics, and they say that they will vote for whoever gives them a little something, but they really do not understand whom they are voting for or what they are doing’. (young woman from Armavir) Some analysts and politicians problematise this situation as the lack of ideological maturity of political relationships and politicians or as the low level of political discourse and political culture in the country. This problem has frequently been discussed within and prior to this study. From the perspective of this study, it is more important that this characteristic of the political landscape is also mirrored in young people’s behaviour, which is essentially guided by situational, individual, community and other reasons rather than by civic position. ‘For example, I like their ideas and programmes. Besides, if I see some help from a party, why should I not be a member of it? We get the free shuttle to the city from them, for example’. (young woman from Armavir) ‘Why should they participate if there is no material benefit in it? They will get involved when the problem touches them and their pockets. The people living near Mashtotz Park should fight for it’. (young man from Syunik) Many young people need a political orientation, but this need largely remains unmet. The focus group participants stated they wanted to join political forces with a convincing ideology. At present, however, they see limited possibilities for such a party. During the discussion, the respondents shared examples of how their own vote or party affiliation had been non-ideological. The ideological deficit, coupled with the profound mistrust in institutions and processes, causes many to engage in more materialistic and economic-oriented political behaviour. 97 ‘People very often do not trust the election process, so they just choose to somehow benefit from the process <...> It is a problem: there is a layer of society for which elections are associated with earning money’. (political analyst) Furthermore, situational factors can act not only as motivators but also as demotivators: some young people do not vote and do not participate in demonstrations because ‘nobody will join’ or because ‘there is no time for it’. Another consequence of the vague ideological basis is that political affiliation is more often based on formal necessity rather than sympathy, and people find this basis for affiliation acceptable. ‘As a public official, I became a member of the Republican Party. But I could not tell you that I did it for myself. I have not gained or lost because of it. I sometimes forget that I am a party member or that I have ever been one’. (young woman from Armavir) ‘I am a member of Party X, but I do not really ‘get along’ with that party. They just said to join, and I became a member, you see. But I have not helped and will not help’. (young man from Syunik) The lack of an ideological foundation, however, gives rise to other behaviours: not everyone ‘derives benefits’ from the situation or depends on the prevailing public opinion. In the absence of a specific orientation, the vote becomes abstract for many people, but it is psychologically a key symbolic act that confirms the fact that they are citizens. Some young people consider it important to perceive themselves as actors in an abstract sense from concrete circumstances and results. Others have more minimalist expectations: they wish to insure themselves against a future sense of guilt for non-engagement and follow the stereotypical cliché of ‘honouring the civic duty when going to vote’. ‘I thought that I am a citizen of the Republic of Armenia; I have the right to vote, so I went there and exercised my right, and it really is irrelevant whether or not that particular candidate will get elected. I went to vote because of the belief that I am not just putting a checkmark but that my vote will really bear great significance’. (young woman from Armavir) ‘You should be able to do what you can, so that you do not blame yourself for indifference later. The people who want you to do nothing are waiting for you to become disillusioned. That’s why everyone should make their little contribution, so they can later claim that they have made a little attempt towards the struggle, even if it failed’. (young woman from Yerevan) 98 Personalised Perception of Politics The lack of an ideological foundation is closely connected with the personalisation of political events. This personalisation has several aspects, including the tendency to vote for the political persona rather than the party line. Culture-driven communal and family guides as well as historical experiences are also essential in this context. ‘In post-Soviet societies like ours, the focus on the leader is important. People focus little on the programme <...>. Wherever we are, right or left, the focus is always on the leader’. (political analyst) However, the personalisation of the political process does not solely or primarily result from the cultural factor. Seeing political reality in a personalised way has its objective reasons in the current reality, and it is a derivative of the personalised relationships and apolitical conduct of the politicians themselves. Personalisation is to an extent justified by citizens’ recurring experience and subsequently reinforced by their subjective interpretations. People become convinced that their life depends less on the ideological platform of the structure than on the individual motivations of the decision makers. In other words, there are still no grounds for viewing politics as an impersonal process. Another aspect reported by young people and deeply rooted in the public is the belief that politics are based on narrow private interests, which causes them to treat politics negatively—as an unclean sector—and to distance themselves from it. ‘I generally have nothing to do with anything. I would not even go to vote, had they not taken me there by picking me up in front of the building. I always end up just voting for someone irrelevant. I live in the Avan district: I know that they are all the people of one man. So who can I vote for? I don’t care for any of them’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘I participate in the election. I am not a member of any party, and I don’t read the newspapers. For me, politics is disgusting’. (young woman from Yerevan) Another aspect of personalisation is related to being guided by friends, relatives, or formal or informal figures when voting or participating in demonstrations or other processes. Politicians and experts have also stated that elections in Armenia are influenced by these considerations, in addition to fear and bribes. This trend is particularly noticeable in the regions and the rural communities, where interpersonal relations and dependency on local partisan or state structures are more tangible. The political collective identity of ‘self’ and ‘other’ is determined by proximity to the inner circle of a candidate or politician rather than by any ideological identification. 99 ‘I took part in all of his demonstrations: I just went because the community mayor or the community chairman of those Armenian Eagles is a relative or a close acquaintance’. (young man from Vayotz Dzor) ‘If a respected person tells them to go and vote for such and such, it is no longer discussed. Although it’s slowly changing and the civil society experience in recent years shows that it may no longer work like that in the near future, it is still there, working, less in the larger towns and more in the rural communities’. (politician) Fear of the New and Scepticism of Change Although economic behaviour is more flexible than political behaviour, some aspects of economic behaviour are also conservative and demonstrate a reluctance to try new things. Farmers and economic experts often state that there is a scarcity of innovative and unique business projects and ideas, which they frequently attributed to the culturally driven conservatism (e.g., villagers are reluctant to switch to new land farming practices, and sole entrepreneurs often replicate what their peers are doing and offer services that are no longer demanded in the market). The ambivalent attitude towards the new is typical primarily of urban perceptions. These perceptions are, of course, coupled with concerns such as ‘it cannot continue like this anymore’ or ‘something has to be changed’, but they have yet to acquire specific substance. Scepticism towards the new is often combined with scepticism towards positive change and success (unlike economic activity, which is more heavily based on optimism). Only some of the young people participating in elections actually believe that change will occur. There is a prevalence of disillusionment and apathy, especially in the rural areas in the regions. ‘Whoever gets to the polling station says ‘nothing will change, no matter what’ before going inside to vote’. (young woman from Vayotz Dzor) ‘Many people go to vote for the lesser evil, choosing ‘the devil’ they know’. (young man from Armavir) There are several possible sources of such beliefs. First, such beliefs are influenced by culturally dominant values and perceptions: the prevailing attitudes towards the new and different are ambivalent and disapproving, and individual activity and rebelliousness are not encouraged. This trend is stronger in the regions and the rural communities, where judgements appreciating the old and relying on the familiar are more deeply rooted in communal relationships. As a consequence, many young people engage in political behaviour despite the prevailing beliefs. New types of social 100 behaviours are not well received in a conservative environment, as confirmed in the following quotation. ‘One of the main problems is the mentality of the citizens of our town, Gyumri. If I work as a volunteer every day, free of charge, for a public cause, then a group of young people may consider me stupid. They think it’s a matter of honour and that they should not do free work for another person. Honour is a positive word, but we’ve gotten it confused’. (young man from Shirak) Another source of scepticism of change is the current socio-political reality and individuals’ recurring negative experience therein (i.e., the negative results or absence of results of political participation). ‘People are sure that nothing can be changed. This is also due to the elections’. (political analyst) ‘It has been the case until now: they can get anyone elected. If people’s vote mattered even once, they would have faith’. (young woman from Vayotz Dzor) ‘If 90 percent are paid up front, then they go and vote. Why should I go? My vote is not going to change anything anyway’. (young man from Yerevan) Clearly, the belief that vote buying is universal is frequently used as a pretext for justifying one’s own passiveness. It may not be a misstatement that the events of the 1st of March specifically contributed to cautiousness regarding change and participation. To date, this fundamental factor continues to influence the social mood and behaviours, especially in the capital city. ‘I used to participate a lot before. Now, I have become passive, after the events of the 1st of March. I hope it will recover. There is mistrust, or rather, disillusionment’. (young woman from Yerevan) ‘After the 1st of March, I was completely disillusioned about all types of demonstrations. You can just never be sure that it will not occur again. I saw with my own eyes what was happening’. (young man from Yerevan) ‘People were there for change of power. They did almost everything to get there. There was one last step remaining. And then, the demonstration leader stepped aside at the very end. I don’t believe in either the outcome of demonstrations or the ones holding demonstrations. I think they are just pursuing their personal interests. I would not go to a demonstration for someone else’s personal interests’. (young man from Shirak) Many young people, especially men, are sceptical about resistance and the change process, which they view as an imitation or as having potentially unpredictable 101 outcomes. Scepticism of change is reinforced by the mistrust of those implementing such changes, including both politicians and civil activists. This issue is further reviewed in the section titled Mistrust on page 81. Thus, sceptical attitudes have a particular bearing on collective actions (demonstrations and rallies), in which people are reluctant to participate. It is an important motivation for an individual to be good and to be considered good as well as to be certain that his or her actions and ideas are right. In this society, it is no longer clear what ‘pro-social’ means and which conduct is right because the expectations that should be met and the beliefs that should be adhered to are unclear. In everyday perceptions, what is considered ‘Armenian’ or what is approved collectively is contradicts one’s civic position. A young woman who is an activist may hear widely used comments of abuse, such as ‘behave decently as a girl should!’ In this sense, any protest is also a cultural clash. Any civil struggle is also a struggle against cultural assumptions, whereas in the West, for example, a struggle and the desire to change are enabled and legitimated by the culture itself. Growing Civil Consciousness and Reflexive Judgements The previous sections of the analysis did not aim to paint a homogenous picture. The beliefs and behaviours presented hold true for different groups of young people to varying degrees. Young people, as in the rest of society, are rather diverse in terms of their mindsets and behaviour, activity or inertness, and sensitivity to change. Active individuals are vocal about the need to redefine and clarify values and social relationships. ‘What we see at first is profound indifference and cynicism: all the political actors are perceived as crooks. The second, conflicting trend is that civil activism is high among some segment of the youth’. (political analyst) ‘Three parts of society can be distinguished, in decreasing order: the first group is the ‘citizens’, i.e., those who are aware of politics and do participate. The second group are the so-called ‘minions’, i.e., those who are aware of politics but do not participate. And the third and the largest group are the ‘dwellers’, whose participation is like a ritual— they regularly go there as a family, show their passports, and drop ballots in the box’. (political analyst) The young people demonstrate civil activity are not homogenous, either. Although their actions may be consistent, their underlying motivations and ideas vary. ‘We saw scores of citizens in Mashtotz Park, but the spectrum there was very broad— from ultranationalists to anti-globalists, all with their different ideologies. Some were struggling against international organisations and the authorities serving them, while others were fighting for green space or even national causes’. (political analyst) 102 The focus groups revealed reflexive and self-transcending as well as passive and distanced segments (the latter were in majority). Moreover, the same individual may well alternate between active and passive positions, which is an indicator of a still evolving and fluid semantic field of being a citizen in Armenia. ‘People are sitting there and complaining all day about a problem not being solved, but they fail to ask themselves what they have done to get it solved. This second mentality should spread among young people, so that they start considering ways of solving those problems’. (young man from Armavir) ‘Mentality has a lot to do with it. There was this discussion once, and someone was complaining about corruption. When he was asked whom he would hire—a relative or someone else, he said he would hire his relative. In other words, we are often not too different from the authorities’. (young man from Yerevan) The main target of the ‘critical’ young people is the still unformed civil consciousness and the cultural-traditional obstacles along the path of its formation, which are referred to as ‘the Armenian mentality’. The downside of the ‘mentality theory’ is that it provides an essentialist interpretation of the situation, finding causes in deeply rooted national features and thereby limiting belief in change. 103 CONCLUSION The values and beliefs prevailing among today’s citizens of Armenia are influenced by a variety of factors at the intersection of universal ideals and past and present experiences (including the national narrative, the post-Soviet heritage, and the transformation of sociocultural and particularly economic-political systems since gaining independence). The consequences of these manifold influences are manifested in how they shape the value system, social practices, and social structure. Our study, however, focused on examining the path of the direct effect (i.e., the ways in which internalised value orientations and beliefs influence the subjective representations of specific situations according to which individuals act). The study captured certain behaviour patterns and attitudes formed in line with the sociocultural changes of Armenian society. The results of the study provide insight into the value orientations and beliefs prevailing among Armenians today as well as their effects on behaviour patterns that are encountered in typical economic and political settings. The prevalent value orientations are the motives of affiliation with the primary group (one’s relatives, family, and inner circle of friends) and displaying accepted normative behaviour to meet expectations. Some dynamics have been observed among young people and females living in cities in terms of a shift towards the values of selfenhancement and achievement. However, values that are conducive to active citizenship attitudes and beliefs are not yet strongly marked. Prevalent beliefs regarding social realities include the lack of rule of law, ambiguity in ‘the rules of game’ and uncertainty, mistrust in social institutions as and groups, social injustice, and a lack of perspective. With these dominant beliefs, people tend to rely on their own strength and on supernatural forces (e.g., fortune, faith) in matters of economic prosperity, for instance. In matters of political and civil participation and affiliation, there is also mistrust in the political processes and political forces, which primarily gives rise to security concerns, leading to further avoidance of the new and scepticism towards change. Given the absence of clear ‘rules of the game’ and uncertainty, the asymmetry of values, beliefs, and practices has become an acceptable approach in everyday behaviour. The value of achievement, for example, is especially dominant in the value 104 orientations of young people, women, and urban dwellers, although the behaviour strategies targeting this value are ambiguous, and different behaviour patterns are possible. There is a risk of failure because the rules of the game are unclear, which demotivates many people’s initiatives and actions. However, those that can accept the idea of playing without clear rules gain additional opportunities for manoeuvring. Self-criticism is a typical behaviour attitude: no one is satisfied with the ambiguity, but they still do not appear to reject it. Security and safety needs become salient against the backdrop of prevailing uncertainty and social mistrust. These needs in turn lead to another typical behaviour pattern that is currently more widespread in society: maintaining stable relations with relatives, close ones, and friends becomes a means for overcoming threats and uncertainty. We believe that this pattern is the reason that values with a group focus, such as conformity and benevolence, continue to be reproduced, thereby obtaining secondary reinforcement. In both economic and political/civil behaviour, acting for the well-being of one’s family members becomes not only a necessity but also a preferred goal. This pattern can partially explain the low levels of trust and social capital in Armenian society. Uncertainty regarding the future does not mobilise people to initiate action for change. On the contrary, this uncertainty helps to reinforce the pro-status quo behaviour pattern. Change, especially in politics, is apparently perceived as a greater uncertainty than the uncertainty of the present, and from these two levels of perceived uncertainty, citizens continue to choose the ‘close-by’ or ‘familiar’ uncertainty in an attempt to maintain the status quo. Although some young people opt for increased civil activity in current challenges, the vivid cultural pressure (which is expressed largely through conservative values compensating for security) still does not view this behaviour pattern of struggling for one’s rights as ‘normative’ behaviour. Another pattern of overcoming uncertainty and social mistrust manifests in migration behaviour as an alternative to the increasing certainty and predictability of life and, therefore, as a means of ensuring security. This behaviour trend is reinforced and justified by various beliefs, such as the absence of prospects, inequality, obstacles to self-fulfilment, and injustice. Thus, individuals in today’s Armenian society are in a continuous state of uncertainty and lack of trust, accompanied by a protracted transition that is manifested in their value orientations, beliefs, and behaviour. Perhaps society is becoming increasingly multilayered as a result of current political and civil processes, but in terms of the maturing of civil consciousness, a society-wide effect has not yet been observed. Individuals still hesitate in terms of defining the meaning of their own actions and formulating attitudes towards them. There is a clear understanding that the current sociocultural conditions do not secure a prosperous life for citizens, but there is still no understanding of the desirable vectors of change and the agents who will implement such change. Furthermore, the outcomes show that change trends are 105 manifested in economic practices more clearly than in political practices. New economic practices and the rules that regulate these practices can be more easily ʻtamedʼ for present-day life than political/civil activity forms and their underlying values because against the backdrop of the current values of survival, whenever the demand for fulfilling security needs is triggered, new behaviour strategies aimed at one’s own prosperity become more effective. Such behaviour strategies are perceived by ordinary individuals as ‘closer’ and more immediate resources for addressing primary needs and realising and demonstrating one’s competences and potential. Perhaps the definition of change policies and messages with respect to changes in beliefs and behaviour attitudes should begin with economic activity. 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The Nature of achievement motivation in collectivist societies. In: U. Kim, H. C. Triandis, C. Kagitçibasi, S.C. Choi & G. Yoon (eds.) Individualism and collectivism: theory, method, and applications (pp. 239–250). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. 114 APPENDIX 1 QUESTIONNAIRES Dear participant, The ‘Personality and Social Context’ laboratory at Yerevan State University is conducting a scientific research on values, beliefs, and social behaviour in Armenia. This questionnaire consists of three parts. Please read the instructions for each section carefully before you answer. Thank you for your support. Part 1. Please answer the questions below by choosing the answer that best suits your opinion. 1. How interested are you in political issues of Armenia? 1. not interested at all 3. somewhat interested 2. not interested 4. very interested 2. When you meet your relatives, friends and colleagues, how often do you discuss issues related to politics in Armenia? 1. never>go to question 3 3. sometimes 2. rarely 4. often 2.1 When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleages, you discuss issues related to politics in Armenia, because 1. as a citizen, I am concerned about the issues in the country. 2. I like talking about different topics with my relatives, friends, and colleagues. 3. other reason (please indicate)_______________________________________________ 2.2 Usually, what’s your involvement in such discussions? 1. I initiate the discussions > go to question 2.3 2. I don't initiate myself, but participate in discussions > go to question 2.3 3. I am not active but I listen to other's opinions > go to question 3 4. I keep neutral and do not participate > go to question 3 2.3 If you have your opinion about these issues, how often do you try to persuade your relatives, friends, and colleagues? 1. never 3. sometimes 2. rarely 4. often 3-4 days in a week Every day 1 1 1 Once or twice a week 3.1 read political articles in newspapers 3.2 watch/listen to political news on TV/radio 3.3 use internet to find political news Not every week Never 3. In general, how often do you 2 2 2 34 3 3 4 4 1 1 1 4.Do you usually participate in elections?(answer each question separately): YES NO Presidential 1 0 Parliamentary 1 0 Local self-government 1 0 115 4.1 If you participate, then why? Select the statement that best expresses the reason you participate in elections (please check no more than two answers): 1. I express my opinion as citizen 2. Participate so that my vote is not used 3. I believe that my vote matters in elections 4. It’s just interesting to participate in elections 5. My friend or relative asked me to participate 6. I go to vote for the candidate or party I sympathize 7. I am a member of that party 8. The candidate is my friend or relative 9. I have to go because of some circumstances 10. Other (please indicate)_________________ 4.2 If you do not participate, then why? Select the statement that best expresses the reason you don’t participate in elections (please check no more than two answers): 1. I am not interested in politics 2. Politics isn’t my business 3. There is no one whom I can trust 4. I express my protest or disagreement by that 5. I don’t have any preferred political party 6. I don't believe that elections will change anything 7. Nobody from my family goes, why should I go? 8. I don't have the time 9. I don't like that situation, it's useless stress 10. Other (please indicate)_________________ 5. Over the last five years (2007-2012), how many times did you participate in elections? 1. 0 2. 1 3. 2 4. 3 and more 6. Did you participate in the last Parliamentary elections? 1. yes 2. no 7. Are you going to participate in the elections of local self-government to take place this autumn? 1. yes 2. no 8. Do you intend to participate in upcoming presidential elections? 1. yes 2. no Will surely participate 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Will not participate Might participate 9. Below are several political and civic actions, in which people usually engage. For each action, please indicate the probability of your involvement. 9.1 Petitions, sit-ins, and demonstrations 9.2 Attempts to contact any public official or party representative (to raise a public/community issue or to express an opinion) 9.3 Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in the mass media 9.4 Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in online media, including social networks 116 10. How do you think the political situation in the country will change in the next 5 years? 1. will become worse 2. will stay the same 3. will improve 11. How interested are you in economic issues of the country or region? 3. somewhat interested 1. not interested at all 2. not interested 4. very interested 12. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleagues, how often do you discuss issues related to economics in Armenia? 3. sometimes 1. never >go to question 13 2. rarely 4. often 12.1 You discuss social-economic issues in order to (please, choose one answer) 1. just share my financial problems, concerns 2. figure out how to best save and/or increase my income 3. figure out how to make use of loan opportunities 4. figure out how to manage my expenses Every day 2 2 2 3-4 days in a week 1 1 1 Once or twice a week 13.1 read economic articles in newspapers? 13.2 watch/listen to economic news on TV/radio? 13.3 use internet in search of economic news? Not every week Never 13. In general, how often do you 3 3 3 4 4 4 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Will probably do it Surely will do it 1 Maybe Probably will not do it 14.1 loan to improve living conditions (house renovation or acquisition or the acquisition of household appliances or a car) 14.2 loan to start one’s own business Will never do it 14. To improve your living conditions, which loans indicated below are you ready to go for? 15. Are you ready to assume economic risks in the next five years (e.g. to start a business) in order to increase your income? 1. no, never 3. maybe 2. probably not 4. yes, for sure 16. Which statement indicated below do you agree with? 16.1. I think well-being depends on economic state of the country. 16.2 I think well-being depends on my efforts. 17. In your opinion, how will the economic situation in the country change in the next five years? 1. will get worse 2. will stay the same 3. will improve 18. In your opinion, how will the economic situation of your own family change in the next five years? 1. will get worse 2. will stay the same 3. will improve 117 Believe 1. Good luck follows if one survives a disaster. 2.Fate determines one’s successes and failures. 3. Individual characteristics, such as appearance and birthday, affect one’s fate. 4. Most disasters can be predicted. 5. There are certain ways to help us improve our luck and avoid unlucky things. 6. There are many ways for people to predict what will happen in the future. 7. Religious faith contributes to good mental health. 8. Religion makes people escape from reality. 9. Religious people are more likely to maintain moral standards. 10. There is a supreme being controlling the universe. 11. Religious beliefs lead to unscientific thinking. 12. Belief in a religion helps one understand the meaning of life. 13. Belief in a religion makes people good citizens. 14. Caution helps avoid mistakes. 15. One who does not know how to plan his or her future will eventually fail. 16. Knowledge is necessary for success. 17. Adversity can be overcome by effort. 18. Every problem has a solution. 19. Competition brings about progress. 20. One will succeed if he/she really tries. 21. Failure is the beginning of success. 22. Hard working people will achieve more in the end. 23. Human behaviour changes with the social context. 24. People may have opposite behaviour on different occasions. 25. One has to deal with matters according to the specific circumstances. 26. There is usually only one way to solve a problem. 27. One’s behaviours may be contrary to his or her true feelings. 28. Current losses are not necessarily bad for one’s long-term future. 29. Young people are impulsive and unreliable. 30. It is rare to see a happy ending in real life. 31. Power and status make people arrogant. 32. Powerful people tend to exploit others. 33. People will stop working hard after they secure a comfortable life. 34. The various social institutions in society are biased towards the rich. 35. Kind-hearted people are easily bullied. 36. Old people are a heavy burden on society. 37. People deeply in love are usually blind. 38. Kind-hearted people usually suffer losses. 39. To care about societal affairs only brings trouble for yourself. 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 118 Strongly believe No opinion 1 1 Strongly disbelieve Disbelieve Part 2.The following sentences are statements related to beliefs. Please read each statement carefully, and check the box that most closely reflects your opinion. No opinion Believe One will not find his/her place in life if he/she is uneducated. People deserve to be respected regardless of circumstances. If somebody does not have a job, they should not feel accomplished. 4. Regardless of the type of relationship, one should accept imperfections in others. 5. One shouldn’t fully trust another person. 6. If you say what you think, you will be misunderstood. 7. One can only rely on him/herself in times of trouble. 8. One should have luck in order to succeed. 9. Life circumstances change humans. 10. Even real friendship is forgotten with time. 11. A person is like his/her environment. 12. Anything a person does has an influence on all of humanity. 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. Living in this world means suffering. Society gives a person the opportunity to be happy. Bad is found in life more than good is. Important events are the result of chance. In any type of relationship, one should count their own desires first. Success depends on life circumstances. Society always restricts people. Success will find a person. People are appreciated by their deeds. All people are similar regardless of their nationalities. Power determines one’s place in society. If they wish, people can make the world better. People always act according to their personal interests. Society suppresses individuality. One cannot live in welfare without having a job. All people are the masters of their own fate. A kind-hearted person is always appreciated in society. A person who is good at figuring out the character of people around him or her will act effectively. One can become a better person if society helps him/her. The rules of universe are unchanging regardless of the development of humankind. In order to have good relationships sometimes you shouldn’t openly express your opinion. In life everything happens for some reasons. One can change many things in his/her life if there is the wish to do so. The future is predetermined from above. If you don’t enjoy life then you live in vain. 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 119 Strongly believe Disbelieve 1 1 Strongly disbelieve 1. 2. 3. Part 3. In this questionnaire, you are to ask yourself: ‘What values are important to ME as guiding principles in MY life, and what values are less important to me?’ There are two lists of values on the following pages. These values come from different cultures. In the parentheses following each value is an explanation that may help you to understand its meaning. Your task is to rate how important each value is for you as a guiding principle in your life. Use the rating scale below: 0--means the value is not at all important, it is not relevant as a guiding principle for you. 3--means the value is important. 6--means the value is very important. The higher the number (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6), the more important the value is as a guiding principle in YOUR life. -1 is for rating any values opposed to the principles that guide you. 7 is for rating a value of supreme importance as a guiding principle in your life; ordinarily there are no more than two such values. In the space before each value, write the number (-1,0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7) that indicates the importance of that value for you, personally. Try to distinguish as much as possible between the values by using all the numbers. You will, of course, need to use numbers more than once. AS A GUIDING PRINCIPLE IN MY LIFE, this value is: Important Opposed to my Not values important -1 0 1 2 3 Very Of supreme important importance 4 5 6 7 Before you begin, read the values in List I, choose the one that is most important to you and rate its importance. Next, choose the value that is most opposed to your values and rate it -1. If there is no such value, choose the value least important to you and rate it 0 or 1, according to its importance. Then rate the rest of the values in List I. VALUES LIST I 1____ EQUALITY (equal opportunity for all) 2____INNER HARMONY (at peace with myself) 3____ SOCIAL POWER (control over others, dominance) 4____ PLEASURE (gratification of desires) 5____ FREEDOM (freedom of action and thought) 6____ A SPIRITUAL LIFE (emphasis on spiritual not material matters) 7____ SENSE OF BELONGING (feeling that others care about me) 8____ SOCIAL ORDER (stability of society) 9____ AN EXCITING LIFE (stimulating experiences) 10____MEANING IN LIFE (a purpose in life) 11____POLITENESS (courtesy, good manners) 12____WEALTH (material possessions, money) 13____ NATIONAL SECURITY (protection of my nation from enemies) 14____ SELF RESPECT (belief in one's own worth) 15____RECIPROCATION OF FAVORS (avoidance of indebtedness) 16____CREATIVITY (uniqueness, imagination) 17____A WORLD AT PEACE (free of war and conflict) 18____RESPECT FOR TRADITION (preservation of time-honored customs) 120 19____MATURE LOVE (deep emotional & spiritual intimacy) 20____SELF-DISCIPLINE (self-restraint, resistance to temptation) 21____PRIVACY (the right to have a private sphere) 22____FAMILY SECURITY (safety for loved ones) 23____SOCIAL RECOGNITION (respect, approval by others) 24____UNITY WITH NATURE (fitting into nature) 25____A VARIED LIFE (filled with challenge, novelty, and change) 26____WISDOM (a mature understanding of life) 27____AUTHORITY (the right to lead or command) 28____TRUE FRIENDSHIP (close, supportive friends) 29____A WORLD OF BEAUTY (beauty of nature and the arts) 30____SOCIAL JUSTICE (correcting injustice, care for the weak) VALUES LIST II Now rate how important each of the following values is for you as a guiding principle in YOUR life. These values are phrased as ways of acting that may be more or less important for you. Once again, try to distinguish as much as possible between the values by using all the numbers. Before you begin, read the values in List II, choose the one that is most important to you and rate its importance. Next, choose the value that is most opposed to your values, or--if there is no such value--choose the value least important to you, and rate it -1, 0, or 1, according to its importance. Then rate the rest of the values. AS A GUIDING PRINCIPLE IN MY LIFE, this value is: Important Opposed to my Not values important -1 0 1 2 3 4 Very Of supreme important importance 5 6 7 31____ INDEPENDENT (self-reliant, self-sufficient) 32____ MODERATE (avoiding extremes of feeling & acti on) 33____LOYAL (faithful to my friends, group) 34____AMBITIOUS (hard-working, aspiring) 35____BROADMINDED (tolerant of different ideas and beliefs) 36____HUMBLE (modest, self-effacing) 37____DARING (seeking adventure, risk) 38____PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT (preserving nature) 39____INFLUENTIAL (having an impact on people and events) 40____HONORING OF PARENTS AND ELDERS (showing respect) 41____CHOOSING OWN GOALS (selecting own purposes) 42____HEALTHY (not being sick physically or mentally) 43____CAPABLE (competent, effective, efficient) 44____ACCEPTING MY PORTION IN LIFE (submitting to life's circumstances) 45____HONEST (genuine, sincere) 46____RESERVING MY PUBLIC IMAGE (protecting my ‘face’) 47____OBEDIENT (dutiful, meeting obligations) 48____INTELLIGENT (logical, thinking) 121 49____HELPFUL (working for the welfare of others) 50____ENJOYING LIFE (enjoying food, sex, leisure, etc.) 51____DEVOUT (holding to religious faith & bel ief) 52____RESPONSIBLE (dependable, reliable) 53____CURIOUS (interested in everything, exploring) 54____FORGIVING (willing to pardon others) 55____SUCCESSFUL (achieving goals) 56____CLEAN (neat, tidy) 57____SELF-INDULGENT (doing pleasant things) BACKGROUND ITEMS Your Sex (circle): 1. Male 2. Female Your age: __________Years In what kind of a place did you grow up? (circle): 1. large city (500,000+) 2. small city 3. rural area Where do you live? city (indicate) __________ rural area (indicate)______ How will you evaluate the economic condition of you family when you were a child (circle)? 1. very bad 2. bad 3. medium 4. good 5. very good What is your education level? 1. secondary 2. high 3. vocational 4. other (indicate)__________ Your Marital status (circle): 1. Single 2. Married 3.Widowed 4. Divorced Your specialization (indicate) ____________________________ 122 123 Figure 1. Theoretical model of relations among motivational types of values (Schwartz 2011: 466-467) APPENDIX 2 Regions Yerevan 124 9.4 10 Male 13.6 13.2 Female Male Female not interested at all 14 21.8 12.7 14.4 not interested 50.7 40.9 53.5 57.6 somewhat interested 15.3 25.3 32.7 14.8 very interested Figure 3.1. How interested are you in political issues of Armenia? 18‐29 10.4 11.2 9.3 30‐41 8.6 42‐53 18.8 54‐65 6.9 12.9 8.2 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 12.7 16.3 11.2 9.3 14.5 10.1 not interested at all 54‐65 APPENDIX 3 31.2 18.1 51.2 59.3 57.9 43.8 50 somewhat interested 49.1 56.9 36.7 not interested 40.5 14.6 15.1 13.2 20 26.2 27.6 28.2 very interested Figure 3.2. How interested are you in political issues of Armenia? Comparative Percentages of Political Behaviour Indicators Regions Yerevan 125 Regions Yerevan 11.6 11.2 Female Male 25.7 23.7 20.4 I like talking about different topics with my relatives, friends, and colleagues as a citizen, I am concerned about the issues in the country other 37 rarely 29 39.4 36.8 sometimes 39.3 12.1 often 28.3 39.4 65.4 Yerevan 30.8 3.8 69 Regions 29.8 12.1 1.2 28.3 Figure 3.5. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleages you discuss issues related to politics in Armenia, because 11.3 Male Female never Figure 3.3. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleagues how often do you discuss issues related to politics in Armenia? Regions Yerevan 20 27.6 19.5 29.3 19.3 17.7 I am neutral and do not participate I am not active but I listen to other's opinions I don't innitiate myself, but participate in discussions 43.9 28.3 32.7 21.5 rarely 41.5 41.4 38.6 sometimes 46 33.8 often 26.5 42.7 50.6 17.2 10.7 28.5 Yerevan 57.4 3.4 14.6 28.9 Regions 51.8 4.8 15.3 16.1 25.6 24.1 27.9 Figure 3.6. Usually, what's your involvement in such discussions? 14.3 10.3 13.4 5.2 20.7 14.3 10.1 4.5 I innitiate the discussions 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 never Figure 3.4. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleagues how often do you discuss issues related to politics in Armenia? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 26.5 25.2 23.4 28.7 37.3 14.6 16.5 18.6 7.3 11.5 13 11.7 26.5 5.3 11.2 23.9 6.9 Female 11.2 8.7 Male Male 10.7 Female 9.6 15.1 17.9 8.3 11.9 13.2 22 16.5 17.1 never once or twice a week every day 17.8 56.9 42.8 41.6 43.7 not every week three or four days in a week 11.6 16.7 16.6 not every week three or four days in a week Figure3.9. In general, how often do you watch/listen to political news on TV/radio? Male 33.1 24.8 Male Female 24.3 Female never once or twice a week every day Figure 3.7. In general, how often do you read political articles in newspapers? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 126 6.9 30‐41 15.3 8.5 42‐53 16.9 12.1 54‐65 1.7 9.5 30‐41 18‐29 5.5 6.4 42‐53 16.1 9.8 11.7 13.8 10.3 not every week 3.8 6.4 18‐29 36.7 33.7 24.1 41.5 22.2 22.2 5.3 13.3 9.8 14.1 16.3 15.7 22.2 18.4 6.1 12.8 7.3 7.4 10.6 13.3 25.5 14.6 24.1 14.1 11.7 11.5 20.7 18.3 19.5 6.9 17.6 18.2 15.5 12.2 67.9 35.9 32.7 39.1 47.6 55.2 48.9 56 three or four days in a week 17.2 14.3 once or twice a week 16.2 14 every day 18.4 22 20.4 26.9 14.8 every day 27.6 4.7 three or four days in a week 34.9 25.5 28.9 29.6 18.4 once or twice a week Figure 3.10. In general, how often do you watch/listen to political news on TV/radio? 54‐65 never 18‐29 30‐41 19.5 27.8 42‐53 54‐65 25.9 30.3 11.1 30.3 not every week 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 never Figure 3.8. In general, how often do you read political articles in newspapers? 127 Regions Yerevan 27.8 35.7 Female Male 33 45.8 Male Female 11.9 17.9 never once or twice a week every day 9.9 24.6 10.1 14.3 9.3 12.9 14.2 11.2 30.7 35.1 8.8 10.4 18.1 18.3 not every week three or four days in a week Figure 3.11. In general, how often do you use internet to find political news? Regions Yerevan 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 20.7 24.7 40.2 33.6 18‐29 54‐65 32.1 20.6 25.3 61 13.3 16.1 10.3 14.9 19.5 8.4 11.7 9.3 19.6 12.6 12.2 15.4 3.7 7.1 8.3 7.8 1.3 18.2 13.9 6.5 35.1 26.4 24.4 12.5 21.9 20.4 23.4 every day 29.4 10.7 three or four days in a week 14.8 once or twice a week 50 42.6 not every week 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 never Figure 3.12. In general, how often do you use internet to find political news? Regions Yerevan 89.7 56.5 18‐29 30‐41 53.6 77.8 72.4 54‐65 42‐53 70.1 18‐29 86.2 84.3 91 30‐41 yes no 29.9 72.3 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 46.4 43.5 91.4 15.7 13.8 9 81.2 77.6 69.1 22.2 27.6 88.9 84.9 42‐53 30‐41 89.7 no 54‐65 yes Figure 3.14. Do you usually participate in elections (Parlamentary)? Figure 3.15. Do you usually participate in elections (Local self‐government)? 8 4.9 10.3 18.6 26.2 12.2 5.5 5.1 42‐53 54‐65 92 30‐41 18‐29 95.1 81.4 73.8 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 87.8 94.5 42‐53 30‐41 94.9 no 54‐65 yes Regions Yerevan Figure 3.13. Do you usually participate in elections (Presidential)? Regions Yerevan 128 30.9 18.8 22.4 27.7 8.6 15.1 11.1 10.3 129 46.4% 18.9% 4.8% 5.5% 18.2% 6.5% .3% 3.8% .7% Participate so that my vote is not used I believe that my vote matters in elections It’s just interesting to participate in elections My friend or relative asked me to participate I go to vote for the candidate or party I sympathize I am a member of that party The candidate is my friend or relative I have to go because of some circumstances Other 49.8% 2.5% 3.4% 1.6% 6.2% 15.1% 2.7% 8.7% 31.7% 33.8% 49.1% Yerevan Regions I express my opinion as citizen Table 3.1. Reasons for participation in elections 23.7% 29.9% I express my protest or disagreement by that I don’t have any preferred political party I don't believe that elections will change anything 41.4% 21.0% 11.5% 26.1% 5.1% I don't like that situation, it's useless stress Other 5.2% 4.1% I don't have the time 2.5% 8.9% .6% 2.4% There is no one whom I can trust 17.2% 13.4% 1.3% 37.1% Politics isn’t my business Regions Nobody from my family goes, why should I go? 6.5% 9.3% I am not interested in politics Yerevan Table 3.2 Reason for not participation in elections Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 4.6 3.7 8.9 6.9 18.4 14.9 9.9 10.5 2 30.3 27.6 28.6 24.7 21.4 1 23.5 63.6 50.6 59.3 23.4 75 75.4 83.5 3 and more 29.6 22.8 86.4 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 53.1 58.3 67.2 79.3 76.6 86.4 30‐41 18‐29 no 94.9 42‐53 54‐65 yes 41.7 46.9 13.6 20.7 23.4 32.8 5.1 13.6 Figure 3.18. Are you going to participate in the elections of local self‐government to take place this autumn? 18‐29 6.2 30‐41 5.3 42‐53 23.4 8.8 54‐65 16.7 18‐29 30‐41 3.6 11.4 42‐53 54‐65 1.36.3 0 Figure 3.16. Over the last five years (2007‐2012), how many times did you participate in elections? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 130 65.5 69.4 84.1 81 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 82.7 89.7 91.5 89.7 84.6 30‐41 18‐29 94.5 92.1 42‐53 no 94.9 yes 54‐65 30.6 31 34.5 5.5 17.3 10.3 8.5 10.3 15.4 7.9 15.9 19 5.1 10.9 10.3 17.1 Figure 3.19. Do you intend to participate in upcoming presidental elections? 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 69 89.1 82.9 42‐53 30‐41 89.7 no 54‐65 yes Figure 3.17. Did you participate in the last Parlamentary elections? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 44 63.2 30‐41 49 74 71.9 61.7 18‐29 31 36 might participate 65.2 57.9 52.1 will not participate 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 35 36 50 might participate 32 36 33 34.7 28.5 32.2 30.9 12.3 18.8 26.2 15.6 will surely participate 10.4 14 16.3 4.6 7.4 15.8 19.4 16 15.8 23 28 will surely participate Figure 3.22. Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in the mass media, social networks Male Female Male Female will not participate Figure 3.20. Participation in petitions, sit‐ins, and demonstrations Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 131 45 57.3 57 62.9 might participate 26.4 28 32.6 21.9 28.6 will surely participate 68.4 might participate 64.4 56.7 Female Male 57.3 Male Female will not participate 21.5 32.7 24.5 21.2 will surely participate Figure 3.23. Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in online media, social networks Male Female Male Female will not participate 14.1 10.5 18.1 10.4 14.6 10.5 15.2 Figure 3.21. Attempts to contact any public official or party representative (to raise a public/community issue or to express an opinion) 132 Regions Yerevan 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 83.6 79.2 might participate 27.6 28.5 29.9 21.7 will surely participate 33.8 25.2 21 36.4 will improve Yerevan 42.6 will stay the same 30.9 Regions 40.3 will become worse 28.8 13.8 1.8 2.5 7.4 10.4 13.1 14.5 22.2 24.5 10.4 Figure 3.25. How do you think the political situation in the country will change in the next 5 years? 48 65.2 63.8 56.3 49.3 67.3 will not participate Figure 3.24. Expression of an opinion regarding political/civic issues in online media, social networks Regions Yerevan 9.1 Male 9.2 Female 3.5 Male 11 Female 4.3 7 9.2 7.8 not interested at all 26.5 52.3 39.5 44.4 not interested 56.6 somewhat interested 33.1 42.1 44.4 very interested Figure 4.1. How interested are you in economic issues of the country/region? 5.1 7 30‐41 18‐29 6.1 54‐65 42‐53 8.3 6.9 18‐29 13.3 9.3 7.3 10.3 13.1 6.4 6.4 4.5 30‐41 3.6 4.3 42‐53 9 not interested at all 54‐65 APPENDIX 4 31 42.1 30.9 19.2 42.8 50 50 48.8 not interested 50 51.7 58.2 65.4 somewhat interested 31.6 33.7 37.8 35.9 very interested Figure 4.2. How interested are you in economic issues of the country/region? Comparative Percentages of Economic Behaviour Indicators Regions Yerevan 133 134 Regions Yerevan 13.3 Female 10.5 10.5 Male Male 8.2 Female 31.8 rarely 26 30.1 often 35.3 43.4 36.3 23 19.7 7.2 30‐41 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 6.9 16.3 13.4 10.3 15.2 5.5 42‐53 18‐29 7.7 54‐65 20.1 16.4 31 34.5 19.5 26.9 never 32.7 29 figure out how to manage my expenses figure out how to make use of loan opportunities figure out how to best save and/or increase my income Yerevan 25.9% 3.5% 18.2% 52.4% 30.9 rarely 32.2 43.9 32.8 27.6 35.3% 7.8% 18.8% 38.1% Regions 31.7 19.2 sometimes 38.8 often 41 47.3 46.2 26.4 23.2 25.9 28.3 12.2 Figure 4.4. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleagues how often do you discuss issues related to economics in Armenia? Table 4.1. Discussing social-economic issues in order to 39.5 sometimes just share my financial problems, concerns 27 20.1 25.4 never Figure 4.3. When you meet your relatives, friends, and colleagues how often do you discuss issues related to economics in Armenia? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 47.9 19.6 31.1 29.7 30.2 19.6 16.6 22.1 11 9.9 10.7 7.6 9.9 9.1 12.1 13.9 Male Female Male 13.7 20.2 23.8 30.6 13.7 never once or twice a week every day 16.2 17.2 17.4 22.1 19.2 11 46.1 25.8 30.1 30.8 10.6 4.7 6.5 not every week three or four days in a week 17 10.4 18.7 not every week three or four days in a week Figure 4.7. In general, how often do you watch/listen to economic news on TV/radio? Female Male 31.8 31.1 Male Female 30.1 Female never once or twice a week every day Figure 4.5. In general, how often do you read economic articles in newspapers? Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 135 31.7 50.6 42.3 33.3 39.2 36.4 27.9 18.5 28.7 25 32.9 25.9 23.8 20.8 34 20.4 27.6 14.8 24.3 19.5 19.5 18.9 12 11.3 9.2 13 15.6 19.6 11.5 30‐41 18‐29 9.8 42‐53 8.6 14.8 18‐29 54‐65 12.2 19.3 12.8 30‐41 42‐53 3.7 54‐65 3.8 20.7 27.6 28 19.7 15.1 6.4 22.3 30.9 8.6 19.3 25.6 never once or twice a week every day 23 24.1 14.6 20.4 12.8 5.7 22 18.3 17.5 14.4 11.3 20.6 25.6 26.8 32.2 37.9 45 36 not every week three or four days in a week 51.3 8 8.5 6.2 6.2 4.6 7.3 13 10.5 13.2 20.4 7.7 9.6 7.8 not every week three or four days in a week Figure 4.8. In general how often do you watch/listen to economic news on TV/radio? 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 never once or twice a week every day Figure 4.6. In general, how often do you read economic articles in newspapers? Regions Yerevan 136 Male Female Male Female 30 43.3 34.7 44 25.3 15.5 24 9.1 19.4 13.3 14.2 12.7 12.3 14.7 7 13.5 13.5 18.7 26.5 8.3 three or four days in a week once or twice a week every day not every week never Figure 4.9. In general, how often do you use internet in search of economic news? Regions Yerevan 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 never 27.8 27.6 30.6 54.5 57.1 27.8 32.2 19.4 13.8 once or twice a week 46.3 37.7 41.7 not every week 16 13.4 3.9 11 5.6 11.7 12.4 9.2 7.3 10.9 11.1 15.2 9.3 14.9 16.4 14.5 18.3 24.1 13 three or four days in a week 9.1 9.1 18.6 16.1 17.1 22.9 18.8 19.4 14.3 every day Figure 4.10. In general, how often do you use internet in search of economic news? Regions Yerevan Male Female Male 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 11.3 21.8 14.7 21.2 16.1 18‐29 24.4 18.1 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 15.3 16.9 36.2 will never do it 34.2 37.8 27.5 32.9 9.6 9.1 probably will not do it 19.5 17.4 36.9 32.2 37.2 17.9 will probably do it 28.4 maybe 18.9 15.4 27.9 29.3 11.1 10.7 3.4 5.81.7 16.5 9.9 36.5 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 13.5 20.6 25.6 25.4 33.9 30.2 23.3 17.4 28.5 30.9 26.4 37 33.3 16 26.9 43.8 23.2 5.71.1 3.7 3.63.6 7.6 8.2 2.1 13.6 15.3 14.6 17.6 13 surely will do it 10.4 17.5 12 35.1 47.1 29.6 10.7 22.1 will probably do it 32.1 7.8 maybe 23.7 10.2 19.5 7.3 58.9 11.8 46.8 probably will not do it 21.5 will never do it 54‐65 28.8 24.6 will probably do it Figure 4.13. Obtaining loans to start one's own business 36.8 22.4 33.3 maybe 37.2 46.5 34.7 21.7 probably will not do it surely will do it Figure 4.12. Obtaining loans to start one's own business will never do it Female Regions Yerevan Figure 4.11. Obtaining loans to improve living conditions Regions Yerevan 137 Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female 37.8 20.5 16.6 21.1 probably not 29.1 37.8 maybe 45 43.8 41.4 48.6 60.5 54.1 economic state of the country 53.3 42.7 my efforts 22.6 30.2 29 29.1 yes, for sure Figure 4.16. Well‐being depends on 24.5 23 28.5 no, never Figure 4.14. Are you ready to assume economic risks (to start a business) in the next five years in order to increase your income? 9.9 4.1 6.6 Regions Yerevan Regions Yerevan 138 23.7 36.7 36.6 52.2 50.6 55.2 17.9 66.7 71.8 economic state of the country 30‐41 18‐29 33.3 22.5 14.5 maybe 51 41.7 26.9 45.9 56.1 45.5 my efforts 36.8 37.8 34.8 37.7 36.8 38.8 17.2 37.3 yes, for sure Figure 4.17. Well‐being depends on 24.5 60.3 18.2 46.2 54.9 22.4 31.2 32.7 probably not 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 18‐29 30‐41 42‐53 23 18‐29 54‐65 18.7 17.5 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 no, never 26.3 9 7.1 6.9 7.5 5.2 13.3 15.8 15.5 20.9 17.2 Figure 4.15. Are you ready to assume economic risks (to start a business) in the next five years in order to increase your income? Regions Yerevan 139 4.1 12.2 6.9 18‐29 3.1 30‐41 42‐53 54‐65 19 14.5 30‐41 18‐29 12.7 16.7 42‐53 54‐65 Yerevan 35.1 will stay the same 29.5 Regions 43.6 will get worse 26.9 26.9 42.9 will improve 60.9 52.4 40.6 44.5 34.6 53.4 will stay the same 69 44.9 27.6 32.2 35.4 42.7 48.7 54.1 will get worse Figure 4.19. How will the economic situation of your own family change in the next five years? 18.2 46.8 will improve Figure 4.18. How will the economic situation in the country change in the next five years? CULTURE, VALUES, BELIEFS: BEHAVIOUR GUIDELINES IN CHANGING ARMENIAN SOCIETY Narine Khachatryan Sona Manusyan Astghik Serobyan Nvard Grigoryan Anna Hakobjanyan Translated from Armenian by Khachatur Adumyan Edited by Sona Manusyan and Narine Khachatryan Cover design by Arsen Makaryan Circulation – 300 copies Printed by: “Legal Plus” Co.Ltd. 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