Topic 2: Why do we care about GDP? PRINCIPLES OF MACROECONOMICS Dr. Fidel Gonzalez Department of Economics and Intl. Business Sam Houston State University Why is GDP important? During this semester we will be talking about GDP almost any class. If we are going to pay so much attention to GDP we may need to know why GDP is important. First, we need to derive a new concept: GDP per capita or GDP per person. GDP per capita: usually when we want to compare the living standard in a country we do not use just GDP but rather GDP per capita. The reason is that sometimes the GDP in two countries can be different just because one country has higher population. For example, the GDP of India is the equivalent to $1.5 trillion USD whereas Mexico’s GDP is $1 trillion USD. That is, India’s production is 50% higher than Mexico’s. Does that mean that India has a similar standard of living than Mexico? Well not necessarily, an important difference between Mexico and India is population. India has 1,210 million people while Mexico has only 112 million. Therefore, we need to account for the fact that countries have different population sizes. GDP per capita We do this by computing the GDP per capita: GDP per capita = GDP/population Hence, from our previous example we obtain that the GDP per capita in India and Mexico may be different because the GDP per capita are very different: India GDP per capita: $1.5 trillion/1,210 million = $1,239.7 Mexico GDP per capita: $1 trillion/112 = $8,928.6 The GDP of Mexico is about $8,928.6 USD whereas for India is $1,027. Therefore, despite India having a higher GDP when we look at the GDP per capita we observe that Mexico has a higher standard of living that India. Now, consider Australia. The GDP of Australia is $1.2 trillion USD. This is somewhat similar to Mexico. Does that mean that Australia and Mexico have a similar standard of living? Well, to answer that questions we need to look at the GDP per capita. Australia’s population is 23 million: Australia GDP per capita: $1.2 trillion/23 million = $52,173.9 GDP per capita Since the GDP per capita is much higher in Australia we can say that the standard of living is higher in Australia than in Mexico. Thus, remember that to compare standard of living across countries we need to look at GDP per capita. What about the US? The GDP in the U.S. in 2010 was $14.6 trillion and the population was 312 million GDP per capita U.S. = 14.6 trillion/312 million = $46, 795 This means that if income was divided equally among all the people that live in the US each person will get around $46,795. Why is GDP per capita important? From previous lectures remember that GDP is a measure of the production and income for a region or country. Why do we care about GDP? Because income per person (measured as GDP per capita) is positively related with the standard of living in a region. In general, the higher the GDP per person the better off people are. But we have learned from the movies that money is usually bad and it cannot buy happiness. Well, the answer to that a little bit ambiguous. As I will show you in the next slides, increases in income are important when you have low or middle income but not so important when you are very rich. The next slide shows the relationship between life expectancy at birth and GDP per capita. Life expectancy at birth is the amount of years a person born in that year is expected to live. This is a good indicator of development of living standard. Usually, people with high living standard live more years because they can afford education, health care, have access to basic sanitation like clean running water, sewage system and so on. Life Expectancy at Birth and GDP per person 2008 40 50 60 70 80 Life Expectancy at Birth and GDP per person 2008 4 6 8 log of GDP per capita 10 12 Why is GDP important? The previous slide shows that there is clear positive relationship between life expectancy and GDP per capita. We can divide the previous graphs in two sections. In section I, we have a very positive relationship. When GDP per capita increases Life Expectancy at Birth also increases and by a large amount. This is true for countries that are in the left of the graph. That is, for countries with low incomes, increasing income per person (measured as GDP per capita) produces important In the section II of the graph we can see that increases in GDP per person do not produce that much of a change in life expectancy at birth. That is, for rich countries changes in income per capita are not that important because they are already rich (Think about how much an extra million dollars will affect Bill Gates, not much. However, think how that million dollars will affect the typical US family, a lot). I like to call these two sections as follows: Section I, I call it the “HBO documentary” where people are poor or middle income so more money affects people’s life in a significant way. Section II, I call it the “Disney movie” where money does not make you better off by much. 70 80 Life Expectancy at Birth and GDP per person 2008 50 60 Section II: Disney Movie 40 Life expectancy at birth (years) both sexes Life Expectancy at Birth and GDP per person 2008 (1/2) 4 6 8 log of GDP per capita 10 12 The graph above show the two section I mentioned in the previous slide. Why is GDP important? But what about well-being? What if we consider other things like housing, crime, jobs and other things? Are things different then? The next slide shows the relationship between income (measured as GDP per capita) and a well-being index. The well being index includes: housing, income, jobs, community, education, environment, governance, health, life satisfaction, safety and work-life balance. This data comes from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The OECD is an international organization that includes the richest countries in the world. So, the data do not include information for poor countries. The graph is very clear, for most countries there is a positive relationship between income and well-being. Again, there are some exception for the very rich countries where more money does not necessarily mean better well-being, but this is mostly for the very very rich. Well-being and GDP per person 2009 (selected countries) Why is GDP important? But what about happiness? May be people live less but happier in place with low income per person. The next slide shows the relationship between income (measured as GDP per capita) and happiness. Happiness is measured as an index where people from different countries stated how happy they feel with the lives. You can see in that graph that as income per person increases, in general there are happiness also increases. Of course, it is not true across all countries. Some countries are relatively poor but very happy. For example, Mexico and Colombia are two countries where people are much happier than countries with similar income per person. In fact, according to the graph Colombian people are one of the happiest people in the world. Also, people in Russia are unhappy compared to countries with similar levels of income per person. So, it is not a perfect correlation but we can say that in general higher income per capita leads to higher happiness. Happiness and GDP per person 2003 H a p p in e s s an d G D P p e r p e rso n 2 0 0 3 D e n ma rk S wit ze rlan d 8 C o lo m bia Au st riaIc ela n d A u stra Fin Sliala w ende d n Ir elaNnodrw a y N e t he rla n ds N e w Ze a lanU d nit ed St at e s B e lg ium G e rm a n y M e xico El Sa lva d o r Arg BVraeenzilnt ezu inae la C h ile In d o ne s ia N ig e ria 6 In d ia Sp a in G re e ce C h in a P e ru B an g la de sh I srae l P o lan d B o livia H u n g ary M oro cco P o rt u ga l Ko re a S ou t h Afr ica TuLrke eb ya n on 5 K en ya G h a na R us sia 4 B ulg a ria Zim b ab w e 3 H ap pi n e s I nd e x 7 H o n du ra s 6 7 8 Log o f G DP 9 10 11 Why is GDP important? Ok, so we know that GDP, specially GDP per capita is important. The next questions would be: how different is GDP per capita across countries? The following two graphs, show that GDP per capita actually differs substantially between countries. This makes Macroeconomics an important matter. 0 Luxembourg Switzerland Ireland USA Australia France Canada UK Spain New Zealand Portugal Korea Latvia Poland Libya Russia Mexico Panama Costa Rica South Africa Peru Thailand China Ecuador Guatemala Ukraine Egypt Iraq Bhutan Bolivia Cameroon Nicaragua Yemen Senegal Pakistan Cambodia Chad Lesotho Burkina Faso Bangladesh Tanzania Mozambique Nepal Madagascar Niger Malawi GDP per Capita (USD) GDP per person in US Dollars for selected countries 2010 (1/3) 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Luxembourg Norway Switzerland Qatar Denmark U.A.E. Ireland Netherlands USA Austria Australia Finland Belgium Sweden France Germany Canada Japan Iceland Singapore UK Italy Spain Kuwait Cyprus Greece New Zealand Israel Slovenia Portugal The Bahamas Malta Bahrain Czech Korea Slovak Saudi Arabia GDP per capita (USD) GDP per person in USD for selected countries 2010 (2/3) 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Iran 0 Liberia Malawi Sierra Leone Niger Ethiopia Madagascar Afghanistan Nepal Zimbabwe Mozambique Uganda Tanzania Rwanda Bangladesh Gambia Burkina Faso Haiti Lesotho Mali Chad Kenya Cambodia Mauritania Pakistan Zambia Senegal India Yemen Vietnam Nicaragua Nigeria Cameroon Ghana Bolivia Philippines Bhutan Honduras Iraq Indonesia Egypt Republic Ukraine Syria Guatemala Turkmenistan Ecuador El Salvador China Belize Thailand GDP per capita (USD) GDP per person in USD for selected countries 2010 (3/3) 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Why is GDP important? SUMMARY: Lets provide a summary of main findings in this set of slides. 1) GDP per capita is a measure of income per person and it is a measure of living standard in a country. 2) In general, GDP per capita is positively related with living standard. 3) In general, GDP per capita is positively related with life expectancy at birth (a measure of living standard). 4) For poor and middle income countries GDP per capita and life expectancy are stronger positively related. 5) For rich countries GDP per capita and life expectancy are positively related but this relationship is not very strong particularly for the very very rich countries. 6) In general GDP per capita is positively related with happiness. However, there are countries where things are different. 7) GDP per capita varies widely across countries.
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