SEISMIC ATTENUATION Ray paths from Vrancea zone earthquakes to four stations on two portions of the stable East European Platform, color coded according to the Qs estimates for the event-station pairs. Paths to EEP stations are consistently low attenuation (high Qs), consistent with the cratonic nature of the EEP, both the Moldavian portion north of the Trotus Fault, and the Schythian Platform portion to the south. Red Q<200 300<Q<350 Cyan Orange 200<Q< 250 350<Q<500 Blue Yellow 250<Q< 300 White = complete S wave blocking Green 500<Q SEISMIC ATTENUATION Ray paths from Vrancea zone earthquakes to five stations in the Vrancea zone region, the Carpathian chains or the Transylvanian basin, color coded according to the Qs estimates for the event-station pairs. Note that paths to these stations are consistently high attenuation (low Qs), and note particularly the high frequency of S wave blockage to the stations in the Southern Carpathians and Transylvanian basin. These stations are closest to the most recent volcanic activity in the Carpathian region. High attenuation at these stations confirms the long-term belief, on the basis of surface geology, that the inner Carpathian region is a back-arc. Red Q<200 300<Q<350 Cyan Orange 200<Q< 250 350<Q<500 Blue Yellow 250<Q< 300 White = complete S wave blocking Green 500<Q SEISMIC ATTENUATION ULTIMATE GOAL: to map the distribution of lithosphere and asthenosphere in Vrancea PRELIMINARY RESULTS: provide a strong indication that it will be possible to meet this goal SEISMIC ATTENUATION SEISMIC ATTENUATION SEISMIC ATTENUATION Color-coded ray paths to three stations shown in the previous slide projected onto NW-SE cross section. Tectonic units (adapted) assuming a delamination horizon (heavy black-white dashed line) at 70 km, consistent with mantle xenolith composition in Persani basalts. High-Q paths to LUC and GRE cross presumably low-attenuation continental mantle lithosphere and crust. Not all the low Qs rays to station OZU can be explained by this model, since many do not travel through highly attenuating asthenosphere. Either attenuation occurs at shallow depths beneath OZU, or the model should be modified. SEISMIC ATTENUATION One possible modification to delamination model that would make it consistent with our results: raise the delamination horizon (heavy black-white dashed line) to a shallower depth so low-Q paths to OZU cross a significant thickness of asthenosphere. DISTRIBUTION OF LITHOSPHERE AND ASTENOSPHERE Attenuation is low (high Qs) at stations east and north of the Vrancea zone on the East European platform, the Scythian Platform, and in the easternmost portion of the Moesian Platform. Inconsistent results at stations west of the Intramoesian fault, including those in and around Bucharest, probably reflects strong site effects in several locales. Attenuation at stations above and near the Vrancea zone, and at stations in the Transylvanian Basin is high (low Qs), most likely due to the presence of hot asthenosphere in these areas. GPS GPS Horizontal Velocity Estimates GPS Vertical Velocity Estimates NATO campaigns included excluded mm/yr To early to draw any conclusions, more data necessary! GPS Conclusions • Horizontal crustal motions as measured by GPS clearly give indications for active faults and tectonic structures in the area • Vertical motions as measured by GPS currently are influenced by yet unexplained artefacts, and as such are not accurate enough for interpretation; further measurements will be necessary GPS OVERALL CONCLUSIONS Major variations of the lithosphere’s structure led to • strength decrease • localization of strain in adjacent basins Pannonian Basin = hottest -> weakest basin in continental Europe Significant Q movements => • seismic hazards • landscape and slope instability • rapid evolution of drainage systems Cloetingh et al., 2005 ONTONG-JAVA AEGEAN KAMCHATKA INDOCHINA PERU-CHILE
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