Land Development N at i o n a l A s s o c i at i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s v o l . 24 , N o . 4 , Fa l l 2 0 1 1 The Pinehills A Rural Setting for a Mixed-Use Community Published by the National Association of Home Builders www.nahb.org Plus: Retooling Neighborhoods Private Water/Wastewater Systems A Successful Land Trust Project Future for Re positioning Neighborhoods Success B y M ichael K. M edick T he market for housing and residential develop- ment remains stubbornly anemic. Unsure where the bottom of home prices lurk, many potential homebuyers are playing a wait and see game. Other buyers seek a bargain in this shaky market, but cannot qualify for a mortgage or sell an existing home. Due to these anemic conditions, builders and developers are still struggling with the existing market conditions. Some are doing extensive soul searching as they seek out new pathways to success, and one of those pathways is looking at current plans and repositioning them to fit better into the current desires of home buyers. The Markets Consumer traffic levels vary by region as well as intra-regionally in some areas of the country. Some positive signs of home sales are being seen in these smaller areas, but sales are down significantly across the country in other areas. When qualified buyers do commit, they want significant price concessions and inventory that is available immediately. Unfortunately for the builder, carrying too many speculative homes on the balance sheet is not a strategy for making bankers comfortable. Recent census data published by USA Today illustrates changes in the last decade’s suburban growth patterns. The outermost ring of suburban growth in a region, which is often referred to as the exurbs, added approximately 6.7 million people during the past decade, making it the fastest growing segment of the metropolitan region. Despite trends towards urban infill and smart growth, these figures reconfirm America’s six-decade-long growth phenomenon of development along the farthest reaches of many metropolitan regions. Still, in some regions, the rash of residential foreclosures has hit the outer-ring suburbs hardest. Many developments, begun during the latter half of the last decade (since 2006) have simply stopped, leaving an abundance of partially constructed homes The wide-shallow lot allows a house to appear larger on the streetscape. The lot square footage may be the same—e.g., 64 feet by 78 feet as opposed to a long lot of 40 feet by 125 feet—but what can be seen from the street is much greater—38 percent more of these houses is visible than what could be seen with the narrow-long configuration. 10 FA L L 2 0 1 1 L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s A Better Plan for the New Economy A BEFORE AFTER property located in Louisiana shows what can be done by rethinking the way the property is laid out to take advantage of the changed market. The original site plan had 377 lots that were similar in width and depth (about 80 feet by 180 feet). All lots were conventional, front-loaded properties with garages and no alleys. A parkway would have passed through the center of the property. The houses backed to that parkway and a fence ran along each side. Detention ponds met site minimum requirements of 66 acres, but were isolated to the north of the site with some on high ground. A school, church and YMCA were located in the center of one of the residential areas. The after image shows repositioning to include 725 dwelling units comprised of 295 front-loaded lots (ranging from 75 feet by 180 feet to 60 feet by 130 feet), 357 alley-loaded lots (ranging from 40 feet by 120 feet to 60 feet by 130 feet) and 73 townhomes (ranging from 20 feet by 110 feet to 28 feet by 120 feet). The variety of lot sizes and types provided a better assortment of product offerings and multiple price points, allowing the developer to sell in a range of prices. The parkway remains in the proposed location, but was redesigned to allow houses with alleys to front onto the street. The lanes run along one path of travel and have parking along the street and a planted medium. The ponds have been reconfigured to use the lowest ground on the site and to work more naturally into the existing contours. The requirement for 66 acres of pond area is maintained. The new arrangement enhances the neighborhood plan by providing greater public access to the waterfront and maximizing the number of lots with water views. A trail system around the ponds will tie into the pedestrian network of sidewalks throughout the community. The green space is the same minimum requirement, but it has been reconfigured and distributed throughout the community to create a series of neighborhood parks. The church, school and YMCA have been relocated to front on the parkway and create a civic presence within the community. The wide-shallow lot configuration can also accommodate front-loaded garages along the perimeter of the property. N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT FA L L 2 0 1 1 11 The Village of Magnolia Square is designed as a Traditional Neighborhood Development with narrow lots, which is being retooled to accommodate wide/shallow lots to address marketplace conditions. The aesthetic, overall density and neighborhood design remain intact, while modifying the master plan to address the buyers’ requirements. and vacant lots. One of the pathways developers are looking at in reaction to the markets is rejuvenating stalled projects and responding to development opportunities as economic conditions improve. However, to take advantage of this pathway requires community repositioning and new ways to respond to the stagnation of the marketplace. Despite the constraints and obstacles the market is facing, there is much a land developer can do to reposition an area and make neighborhoods stand out. This home, which won a builder's showcase award, illustrates the traditional lots. What’s Being Done Within the development industry, there seems to be two divergent thoughts on where to go. One idea is to stay the course and wait the market out—the thinking being, now is no time to begin experimenting. However, to engage in this line of thought belies a certain reality. That reality is that many homeowners today have realized their house may not be the cash machine they once envisioned. The sheer abundance of comparable resale houses in the marketplace has sapped the equity from residential investments. Some also believe the recent turmoil in the housing and financial markets has changed consumers’ desires and tastes considerably—changes that may be here to stay. That’s why to succeed today and into the near future may require new home communities that have adapted to the recent changes in consumers’ desires as well as the market constraints. In fact, a land plan created over eight years ago is most likely now obsolete. For example, attempts to put smaller houses on larger, upscale lots is not a sustainable 12 FA L L 2 0 1 1 L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s building program anymore; however, given the expense and headaches associated with replanning these neighborhoods, some developers tend to avoid the unavoidable necessity of repositioning. The tools to be successful in almost anything begin with the ability to acknowledge the problems and seek common-sense solutions based on time-tested principles. Although no one has a crystal ball to accurately predict where the housing market will be ten years from now, we do know that based on the experiences of the past several years, getting back to a robust sales pace will be an ongoing process of improvement. That ongoing process needs job growth, a reduction in the unemployment rate, selling through the foreclosure glut and an easing of lender requirements because these are all significant im- The site plan for a portion of The Village of Magnolia Square has been repositioned to allow wider lots and more lakefront properties. Existing lot configuration of The Village of Magnolia Square is narrow and long. pediments to a healthy housing industry. Housing has historically been the prime driver of economic recovery in prior downturns. This time, however, conditions seemed to be stacked against housing with exceptions in certain bright spots on the horizon. Meanwhile, pent up housing demand continues to grow. Daniel Levitan’s article “A New Reality for Creating Successful Residential Communities,” in the Summer 2010 issue of Land Development suggested the “Millennials” or “Echo-Boomers” will “replace their parents’ generation in size of housing market demand.” Levitan correctly reports that this new influx of potential homebuyers will be significantly “different from their predecessors.” Success in the future will require that the marketplace fulfill housing desires in value-driven locations with creative, multidimensional lot and product offerings. Prior formulas for development will not have great success without significantly retooling the components of planning a residential neighborhood. The value of the property must be built through the diversity of the community design, offering multiple products at varied pricing; basically, something for everyone. A Project Example The Village of Magnolia Square, a 510-unit Traditional Neighborhood Development (TND) in Central, Louisiana is one community that is rethinking its original strategy. The town founders, Jimmy Nunnally and Steele Pollard, are responding to both the changed market conditions and new buyer preferences while maintaining an initial goal of developing a multi-faceted, mixed-use community. They are also expanding their sales and marketing opportunities by offering a wider range of product options and price points. For example, a recent release of lake lots at The Village of Magnolia Square raised the bar for upper-end lot prices to $97,000, a move that was tremendously successful—all 12 lots were immediately sold. Given the purchaser’s obvious desire for waterfront homes, then, the developers are redesigning the next phase of the master plan to add a significant lake feature. The lake creates a water amenity as the focus for new lot opportunities within the next phase, including “opening” the land plan up to lots that remained unsold from an earlier phase. N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT FA L L 2 0 1 1 13 Each new lot is individually priced to reflect its inherent value based on size, location and access/view to the lake. With this wide range of price points and product offerings, The Village of Magnolia Square appeals to a spectrum of potential buyers with a multitude of income levels. Prototype houses and lot types at The Village of Magnolia Square have been repositioned to accurately attract a significant portion of the Central, Louisiana market, which is the family buyer. With an excellent public school system within the development’s jurisdiction, plans for a new series of homes illustrates how families can envision life in their new houses and neighborhood. The plans for the houses work in concert with the lots. For example, using the garage as a privacy barrier from adjacent lots created a useable rear yard. Meanwhile, driveway space is being marketed as possible patio, pavilion and basketball court. In this way, a family-buyer can imagine how a flexible plan/lot configuration can accommodate a growing family for years to come. Finding the Value As the Magnolia Square project shows, today’s market requires maximizing the potential value of each individual lot within a master-planned community. Both the square footage of homes and those of lot sizes are decreasing to drive down prices. As single-family lot widths shrink to 40 feet and less, the house itself is forced to become exceedingly deep and narrow. Yet no matter how large the house may be, the perception of size along the streetscape appears small in such a configuration. To attract potential customers through the front door, the street presence must match the asking price. Meanwhile, using a wide, but shallow lot configuration rather than the conventional narrow lot provides many benefits to the developer and homebuilder. While it may appear that a narrow lot fixes the need to maximize density and lower costs, the narrow lot configuration often requires an equivalent amount of land to achieve the same density. But the wide/shallow lot allows the footprint of the house to be more compact and economical as compared to the deep foundation necessitated by narrow limitations on the lot width. The exact same square footage of house and lot can be achieved on the wide/shallow configuration, providing a significantly larger first impression along the streetscape. In the new economy, that could be vitally important to maximizing the perceived value of the home. For such lot configuration, the housing product should offer maximum flexibility. For example, lot sizes must allow a variety of floor plan options. Developing a “base” floor plan to allow multiple consumer options is the next generation of production efficiency. A sales team armed with the ability to “grow a house” through flexibility can reduce the portfolio of individual floor plans necessary to initiate development in a new or repositioned community. How to Provide that Flexibility Reinventing a portfolio of home plans suitable for today’s real estate market requires a commitment to The base plan serves as the catalyst to generate multiple options based on square footage, buyer’s needs and other considerations. Multiple options reconfigure the basic plan with an owner’s suite as either a ground floor or second floor option. 14 FA L L 2 0 1 1 L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s No matter how large the home is, the perception of size is affected by what is seen at the street. becomes 2,700 square feet. A full secre-evaluate yesterday’s products. Simply ond floor and the base plan evolves to shaving square footage from a pre-exista five-bedroom, four-and-a-half bath ing plan series in an attempt to downfamily home of approximately 3,200 size for the market is not enough to sucsquare feet. And all of this could be ofceed in the new building environment. fered on the same lot size. Potential buyers are even more careA portfolio of four base plans with ful today with how they spend their five options for each base can create a homeownership dollars. At the same series of 20 different plans. Add three time, consumer studies show that most front elevations for each of those opconsumers still want maximum space; A neighborhood gathering place within Magnolia tions and the portfolio expands to 60 but they look very carefully at how Square will ultimately become a village commercial different homes. much square footage they can acquire center. A sales team provided with a series for the lowest possible price. While it is clear that square footage must be reduced to get prices to of these “growing base plans” has a tremendously advantageous marketable levels, that may mean more focus on maintaining way to show the customer how that builder or developer has just neighborhood quality and aesthetics. Builders should respond the right plan, on the appropriate-sized lot, to suit their family to the square footage problem by creating floor plans that can needs at a value other communities may not be offering. While we all know there are no design solutions that are always transform with customer’s needs and desires. But they also need guaranteed to work, creating new planning and architectural opto pay attention to the communities where the houses lie. As an example of what can be done, the base floor plan of tions gives a builder/developer a competitive edge. We may not a new plan series could begin with a modest single-story, two- be able to predict what is happening with the housing market in bedroom, two-bathroom plan of approximately 1,500 square the near future, but consistently outperforming the competition feet. The simple addition of a third bedroom on the main level is always the best way to survive and thrive in a new economy. LD would transition the plan to a three-bedroom, two-and-a-half Michael Medick is an architect and town planner at CSRS, bathroom, single-family home of approximately 1,800 square Inc. where he leads the firm’s land planning and urban design feet. Add a partial second floor under the roof and the base plan studio. CSRS has successfully consulted with builders and becomes a four-bedroom, three-and-a-half bath, 2,400-square- developers to reposition communities. Reach Medick at foot house. With an addition of a bonus/flex space, the house [email protected] N a t i o n a l A s s o c i a t i o n o f H o m e B u i l d e r s L A N D D E V E L O P M ENT FA L L 2 0 1 1 15
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