Can Stable Isotopes Indicate Water Source of Major Indian Rivers? Location: Figure 1: Himalayas Mountains, Northern India (Figure 1) Main Problem Illustrated: How can we use isotope tracers to quantify glacier melt contribution to river flows in the Himalayas? How may this water supply be in jeopardy in the future? Summary: Going into the future, vanishing glaciers have the potential to adversely affect the water supply to a huge population in southern Asia. Figureof1.the MapHimalayas of the Himalayas Region. Map Region In this region, where many of the rivers emanate from the ice capped Himalayas mountains (the third biggest ice cap on the planet), glacier melt plays a large role in maintaining river baseflows, so quantifying the affect of a reduced ice mass is of great concern for a great many people. As a first step, it is important to accurately determine how much of the rivers’ flows depend on the existence of these glaciers. Isotopically based hydrograph separations will prove to be vital to quantifying the importance of glacier meltwaters to streamflow. Once we have an understanding of the current glacial contributions to the flows of these rivers, we can begin to make predictions of future stream flows. Tracers Used: δ18O, δ2H People Affected, Environmental, Ecological Impacts: Rivers emanating from the Himalayas/Hindu Kush region provide water for hundreds of millions of people in India. Loss of the Himalaya’s ice mass, could pose a significant problem for the people who depend on these rivers for drinking water, especially in the summer. There has already been a notable decline in nearly all of the ice mass in the Himalayas/Hindu-Kush region, and this trend is forecast to accelerate. For now, flows in many of the rivers emanating from the Himalayas are normal or even above normal because of the melting ice, however, once the ice mass declines enough, flows may decrease dramatically, and possibly abruptly. It is important, today, to attempt to quantify the importance of this contribution to river flows in the region. Stable isotopes of water can be useful indicators of water source, especially when combined with other measurements. Hydrogeological Setting: Many of the mountains of Southeast Asia, including the Himalayas, are a direct result of the collision of the IndoAustralian Plate and the Eurasian Plate. They are among the youngest and fastest growing mountains on earth (averaging about 5 mm/yr). They are also some of the fastest eroding, accounting for nearly a quarter of the earth’s sedimentary budget due to the erosive effects of water and ice in a very tectonically active region. Lithologies are generally variable in the Himalayas, however a few general trends can be observed. Starting at the base of the mountains, Miocene and Pleistocene sediments from the eroding mountain mass dominate. Moving further into the range, there are older Cambrian age sediments, which become increasingly metamorphosed towards the core of the Himalayas. Lastly, in the north, there is a suture zone, or joining of the plates, which is made up of a variety of facies ranging from marine sediments to ophiolites to volcanics. There are also dramatic climate variations within the Himalayas. The most notable trend is that higher precipitation amounts are found in the south and the east, while it is drier in the north and west. Also, precipitation largely falls as rain at lower elevations, and as snow at higher elevations, even during the summer (especially above 5,000 m where there are permanent snow fields). The range also has a large influence on the climate of Southern Asia. Notably, it prevents cold-arctic winds from penetrating into the subcontinent region, and it stops the advance of storms from the west and moisture from the south, thus contributing to the formation of vast central Asian deserts. Its presence (and that of the high Trans-Himalayan region to the north), has also been linked to the strength of the South Asian Monsoon due to its affects on regional circulation. Water Sampling and Analysis Summary: So far, a number of studies have focused on trying to determine isotopic signatures and trends of both precipitation and river water in the Himalayas region. To date, most of these studies have involved a broad generalization of the isotopic effects of various factors such as altitude, location, and moisture source. Specifically, the studies have examined rainout affects across the Indian subcontinent, major river isotopic compositions, and the effect of evaporation on the stable isotopes of river water. There has also been sampling for other variables such as conductivity and dissolved chemical species (anions+cations) to get a general idea of how different sources can be labeled differently. However, despite these studies, robust hydrograph separations (which are necessary to determine the contribution from glacial melt) are still lacking. Results of Tracer Studies: The isotopic trend of rainfall in India shows that there is a northeast/southwest gradient of precipitation, with the lightest (most depleted in heavy isotopes) isotopic values in the northeast, and the heaviest (most enriched in heavy isotopes) values in the southwest. In addition, there is considerable seasonality, and unexpected spatial variations. Many of these variations can be attributed to the affects of evaporation and rainout. Notably, lower elevation sites are generally subject to more evaporation, while higher elevation sites have less evaporation. Also, there is more rainout in certain areas, and also during certain years. One particularly interesting finding that is related to rainout is that during wetter monsoons, the rainfall is isotopically heavier than during monsoons that are drier. This is depicted in Figure 2, next page, which shows that there is a negative correlation between precipitation intensity and how isotopically heavy the precipitation is. The stable isotopic composition of rivers generally reflects the contributions from the various inputs (snowmelt, glacier melt, and rainfall), although, because the rivers integrate these inputs over time, the isotopic signals within the rivers are significantly dampened. Again, there is a general northeast/southwest gradient across the region, with the most depleted values in the trans-Himalayan region (see Figure 3, next page). Also, it has been shown that river water from very cold, high altitude regions have a very high deuterium excess and steeper local meteoric water line (see Figure 3, next page), indicating very little evaporation there. There is also considerable isotopic variability of Himalayan Rivers, with δ18O signatures ranging from -12‰ to 6‰ (see Figure 4, next page). It is also noted that in the Himalayas, the isotopic composition of river water is sometimes negatively correlated with its conductivity (an easy to measure parameter in the field) - higher conductivity values correlate with lighter, and thus more glacial, isotopic values (see Figure 5, next page). a b Findings and Conclusions: Initial estimates are that glaciers contribute about 30 percent of the streamflow in typical large Himalayan Rivers. However, these numbers are not very precise because there are many unknowns. In addition to the welldocumented spatial and temporal patterns of isotopic variability in the region, there is also small-scale variability that must be taken into account, even within individual river systems. Studies have also indicated that it is useful to combine stable isotope measurements with other river measurements. For example, a)Figure Measured b) simulated between precipitation intensity and 2. a)and Measured and b) correlations simulated correlations between precipitation conductivity appears to be a powerful intensity and δ18O over the Indian Ocean. Both actual and modeled results indicator for differentiating between snowmelt reveal that there is a negative correlation between intensity and δ18O. contributions and glacier melt contributions (meltwater coming off of glaciers has a higher conductivity than snowmelt). Also, other chemical indicators (such as sulfate and chloride) may become useful when the stable isotopes, themselves, do not reveal much information. Take Home Message: So far, there have been a number interesting studies that try to characterize spatial and temporal isotopic variability in the streamflow of major Himalayas rivers, as well as attempts to interpret the isotopic signatures in interesting ways (e.g. by looking at the deuterium excess) or by combining these with other measurements (such as conductivity). These studies are a good start, but other studies, perhaps involving localized measurements that are more telling of glacial contributions in specific watersheds will also be useful. In the end, there should be robust isotopically based hydrograph studies that attempt to quantify how much of the rivers’ flows are dependent of glacial melt water. Further Reading: Lambs L (2000), Correlation of conductivity and stable O18 for the assessment of water origin in river system. Chemical Geology 164: 161–170. Lambs L, Balakrishna F, Brunet, Probst JL (2005). Oxygen and hydrogen isotopic composition of majorIndian rivers: a first global assessment. Hydrol. Process. 19, 3345–3355 (2005) Vuille M, Werner M, Bradley MS, Keimig F (2005), Stable isotopes in precioitation in the Asian monsoon region, J. Geophys. Res, 110, D23108, doi:10.1029/ 2005JD006022. Pande K, Padia JT, Ramesh R, Sharma KK. 2000. Stable isotope systematics of surface water bodies in the Himalayans and trans-Himalayan (Kashmir) region. Proceedings of the Indian Academy of Sciences 109: 109–115. Ma Figure 3. Plot showing are related at aatnumber of locations sampling sampli Plot showing how how δD δD andandδ δ18OOare related a number of locations locations in the trans-Himalayan (Kashmir) region (Fig. 2, Kanchan Pande et. al 2001). Note that the local meteoric water line is steeper than the world meteoric water line. Figure 4. Visualization of the seasonal effects of the δ18O for the Himalayan rivers; Ganga: rhombus; Brahmaputra: square; Indus: triangle (Fig. 4, Lambs et. Al 2005). Marked variability exists both within and between rivers. Correlation conductivity oxygen 18 foroxygen the surface in a high Indian Figure 5.between Correlation between and conductivity and 18 forwater the surface water in aHimalayas high Indian Himalayas valley (Fig. 7, Lambs 1999). Higher conductivities are correlated with lighter isotopic signatures, indicating the presence of more glacial meltwater.
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