Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria Final Report June 2013 20120275 SGS Final Report and User Manual.docx This report has been prepared for Rural Councils Victoria to document the activities and outcomes of the financial costs of different settlement patterns under the Networked Rural Councils Program. Rural Councils Victoria is the collective voice for Victoria’s 38 rural councils and is a collaborator on the reform agenda for Victoria’s small towns contributing to the development of evidence based policy and strategy. As a thought leader in developing liveable rural communities with sustainable economies, Rural Councils Victoria builds the capability of local councils to plan and support their community to adapt to change and address future challenges. The Victorian Government has recognised that the 38 rural councils are often better able to understand and meet challenges by working in collaboration and this project underpins a policy of empowering rural councils to plan and adapt to change in a more sustainable way and participate in decision making processes that impact on their region through coordinated, collaborative and networked approaches. This project was supported by Rural Councils Victoria with funding from the Victorian Government. The funding commitment for the Networked Rural Councils Program is $3.3 million over four years commencing 1 July 2011 through to 30 June 2015. This project was prepared alongside Rural Councils Victoria by SGS Economics and Planning in partnership with Aurecon. In conjunction with: For more information contact Rural Councils Victoria at: Level12/ 60 Collins Street Melbourne PH. 03 9667 5555 www.ruralcouncilsvictoria.org.au © Copyright Municipal Association of Victoria, June 2013 The Municipal Association of Victoria is the owner of the copyright in this publication. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior permission in writing from the Municipal Association of Victoria. All requests to reproduce, store or transmit material contained in the publication should be addressed to The Chair, Rural Councils Victoria, GPO Box 4326, Melbourne VIC 3001 20120275 SGS Final Report and User Manual.docx TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 INTRODUCTION Project background Project brief Project methodology Stage One – Plan Stage Two – Research Stage Three - Analyse and Develop Stage Four - Pilot Stage Five - Refine and deliver 1.4 This report 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 2 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS & INFRASTRUCTURE REQUIREMENTS 2.1 Defining settlement patterns Greenfield development Dispersed development Infill development 2.2 Council–provided infrastructure and services Typical infrastructure and services provision 2.3 Drivers of infrastructure costs The scale and needs of new development Distance from existing settlements The level of existing development Community demographics Residential density 2.4 Infrastructure requirements of settlement patterns 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 11 12 12 13 13 13 15 3 THE COSTS OF SETTLEMENT PATTERNS TO COUNCILS 3.1 Approach Database of infrastructure costs Types of infrastructure provided to each settlement type Typical infrastructure quantities of infrastructure 3.2 Default infrastructure items Roads Paths19 Stormwater drainage Open space Community infrastructure Environmental management 3.3 Default infrastructure items for settlement types Dispersed development Greenfield development 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 20 20 20 21 21 21 23 Infill development 3.4 Default infrastructure quantities for settlement types Approach Community infrastructure 3.5 Findings Scenario 1: 100 additional dwellings over 30 years Scenario 2: 20 additional dwellings over 50 years 3.6 Concluding remarks 24 25 25 28 28 28 31 34 USER GUIDE Welcome Menu Input Sheet Assumption sheet 1. Infrastructure items and quantities Assumption Sheet 2: Infrastructure items (detailed) Assumption Sheet 3: Maintenance and operation of infrastructure Assumption sheet 4: Rates Revenue Revenue streams Key results Financial Impacts 35 35 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 REFERENCES 44 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria FIGURES F I G U RE 1. F I G U RE 2. F I G U RE 3. F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G UR E F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE F I G U RE 4. 5. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. T H E 3 8 R U R A L C O U N C I L S O F V I C TO R I A 2 P R O J E C T P R O CE S S 3 R U R A L A N D G R E E N F I E L D / E S TA B L I S H E D A E R I A L P HO TO G R A P H Y A N A LY S I S 25 S C E N A R I O 1 T OTA L C O S T S A N D R E V E N U E S C O M PA R I S O N 29 S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( E X C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) 31 S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( I N C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) 32 S C R E E N S HO T O F M E N U 35 S C R E E N S HO T O F I N P U T S HE E T 36 S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 1 37 S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 2 38 S C R E E N S HO R T O F A S S U M PT I O N S H E E T 3 39 S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 4 40 S C R E E N S HO T O F R E V E N U E S T R E A M S 41 S C R E E N S HO T O F K E Y R E S U LT S 42 S C R E E N S HO T O F F I N A N C I A L I M PA C T S 43 TABLES TA B L E 1 . C O U N C I L - P R O V I DE D I N F R A S T R U C T U R E F O R R E S I DE N T I A L D E V E L O PM E N T 10 TA B L E 2 . O N G O I N G M A I N T E N A N C E A N D O PE R AT I O N A L R E S P O N S I B I L I T I E S F O R L O C A L G O V E R N ME N T 11 TA B L E 3 . E S T I M AT E D A N N UA L C O S T P E R H O U S E HO L D 14 TA B L E 4 . G R E E N F I E L D D E V E L O PM E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E P R O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I BI L I TY 15 TA B L E 5 . D I S P E R S E D D E V E LO P M E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E P R O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I BI L I TY 16 TA B L E 6 . I N F I L L D E V E LO PM E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E PR O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I B I L I TY 17 TA B L E 7 . D E FA U LT R O A D T Y PE S 19 TA B L E 8 . D E FA U LT PAT H T Y PE S 20 TA B L E 9 . D I S P E R S E D D E V E LO P M E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O N S 22 TA B L E 1 0 . G R E E N F I E L D D E V E L O PM E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O NS 23 TA B L E 1 1 . I N F I L L D E V E LO PM E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O N S 24 TA B L E 1 2 . G I S A N A LY S I S F I N D I N G S 26 TA B L E 1 3 . D E FA U LT Q U A N T I T Y O F I N F R A S T R U C T U R E 27 TA B L E 1 4 . S CE N A RI O 1 I NP UT S 28 TA B L E 1 5 . S C E N A R I O 1 R E S U LT S 30 TA B L E 1 6 . S CE N A RI O 2 I NP UT S 31 TA B L E 1 7 . S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( I N C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) 33 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION Project background The cost of providing, maintaining and operating infrastructure and services can vary substantially between local governments in rural locations. Often faced with limited or declining levels of population, new development is often welcomed as not only an additional source of rates revenue, but as a contribution to a town or region’s vitality and social and economic prosperity. However, the shape of this new development can impact upon council budgets in varying ways. Over recent years the Municipal Association of Victoria (MAV) identified an emerging gap between the costs faced by rural councils and the revenue which is collected through additional population growth. Based on feedback from rural councils at various forums and seminars, the role different settlement patterns may play in infrastructure provision was highlighted as an area for further research. In 2011 MAV engaged SGS Economics and Planning (SGS) to explore the relationship between infrastructure costs and settlement patterns. Whilst this study did not produce definitive cost comparisons between settlement types, it did identify that rural councils acknowledge different settlement types can drive varying cost patterns over time. The study also highlighted that limited population growth means that formal agreements, such as development contributions plans, do not exist in many rural locations. This places pressure on councils to negotiate with developers to recoup capital costs. The study’s key findings were: A significant information gap exists around the cost of different settlement types That non-contiguous development is more expensive to service Ongoing costs were higher than the initial capital overlay over the life of the asset. The study also highlighted that closing the ‘information gap’ needed: Expert input around costs of different settlement patterns Council input to ensure outputs were relevant and useful Involvement from councils which had experienced growth in recent years, as they were better placed to provide insights into development and cost pressures. The findings from Where and How Should We Grow shaped this current brief. 1.2 Project brief SGS, together with Aurecon, were engaged by MAV on behalf of Rural Councils Victoria (RCV) to investigate the financial impacts of different forms of residential development in rural Victoria. The project aimed to: Improve the understanding of the costs of capital, maintenance and service provision of different rural settlement typologies and the cumulative effect of development decisions over time Create a modelling tool that can be easily used and adapted by councils Ensure key metrics can be easily updated for tailoring to local circumstances Make more obvious the financial (and other) benefits of development in areas with under-utilised infrastructure and latent service capacity. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 1 The project’s key success indicators were: Builds capacity amongst rural councils to understand the costs and benefits of different settlement patterns and utilize the tool in strategic planning, infrastructure planning, rating strategies and population attraction initiatives Is informed by and aligned to the regional settlement hierarchy and the Infrastructure Design Manual and relevant state government policy Distinguishes different levels of infrastructure and service provision applicable to rural settlement types Identifies, accesses and documents cost data to inform councils of the costs of different settlement typologies based on typical infrastructure and service provision Highlights the likely longer term financial implications (rates and budgets) of different rural settlement typologies Assists councils’ understanding of unit cost data to enable them to update the tool over time. Source: Project Brief, page 3 F I G U R E 1 . T H E 3 8 R U R A L C O U N C I L S O F V I C TO R I A Source: S GS Economics and P lanning Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 2 Project methodology 1.3 Four questions framed the project methodology. 1. 2. 3. 4. How can we define settlement patterns? What types of infrastructure do councils provide for residential development and does this vary between settlement patterns? What are the typical costs of different infrastructure items and services that council are responsible for? What can vary these costs? What are the typical quantities of infrastructure required for different settlement patterns and what can vary these quantities? To answer these questions, SGS applied an approach that focused on information and data collection through council consultation, expert input from Aurecon, and GIS analysis. F I G U R E 2 . P R O J E C T P RO CE S S Inception meeting Expert Reference Group Confirmed councils and settlement types Project plan Council briefing and consultation Data collection Draft Electronic Tool Pilot of tool and evaluation period Final Electronic Tool Expert review of data Database development and tool framework Expert Reference Group Expert Reference Group Wider briefing Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 3 Project completion meeting Stage One – Plan Task 1.1 Inception meeting An inception meeting took place between SGS and MAV which provided the opportunity to clarify and confirm the project’s objectives and the proposed methodology and timing. Members of the Expert Reference Group were also identified, including representatives from: MAV RCV Rural local governments, and SGS/Aurecon project team. Task 1.2 Convene an Expert Reference Group Following the inception meeting, a workshop was organised with members of the Expert Reference Group. The purpose of this workshop was to: Acquaint the Expert Reference Group with the project and its objectives Set out the proposed approach for discussion, and Establish expectations for the Group’s ongoing involvement with the project. Case Study Councils SGS’s involvement in the Where and How Should We Grow project highlighted the limited capacity of some rural councils to provide detailed input around cost data. As a result, the local governments selected for the case study were those which: Were expecting high growth in population, relative to other rural councils, and Had undertaken detailed planning (for example, had completed DCPs) in the past and could therefore more readily access relevant data. To ensure realistic costs were presented in the tool, the selection of these councils was informed by state government DCP benchmarking work, in-house developer contribution plans, and Aurecon’s previous work. Case study councils selected for the project were Macedon Ranges, Baw Baw and Surf Coast. Settlement Types From an infrastructure provision perspective, there are four variables which affect the quantum and unit cost of infrastructure: The proximity of new development from existing infrastructure networks The density of the new development The location of development, noting regional variations in costs, and Location-specific variables, such as soil type and gradient. Therefore, there are a substantial number of possible settlement types in rural locations. To ensure a simple tool was created for the end user, and to enable efficient collection of data, three settlement types were adopted: Residential Infill, Greenfield and Dispersed. Task 1.3 Detailed project plan Based on the outcomes of the Expert Reference Group workshop, SGS prepared a detailed project plan that was circulated to all members of the Group. This plan outlined the project approach and project timing. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 4 Stage Two – Research Task 2.1 Approach councils SGS arranged telephone conversations with respective local government CEOs to introduce the project, explain expectations and outline the benefits of the project. CEOs of all case study councils nominated another council officer to provide input to the project and to be the first point of contact for the project. Task 2.2 Council consultation Following the telephone briefing, SGS sent information about the project to the case study councils. Information was developed with the assistance of Aurecon. SGS convened meetings with high level representatives from case study councils, including property/finance, strategic planning, engineering and asset management, to describe the project, outline what was needed and the benefits that it would bring. The data collection focussed on: The type, quantity and unit costs of infrastructure that councils pay for up front and on an ongoing/maintenance basis The factors which can increase/decrease this cost, for example, negotiations with developers, DCPs The variables in the cost equation. On a settlement type basis, this involved: total land area covered/serviced gradient soil type density, and existing infrastructure networks/proximity to networks. Any other elements that were identified in the Expert Reference Group stage and by Aurecon. Councils were asked to provide any relevant data to help develop the database and to allow costs and quantities of infrastructure to be determined for each settlement type. Stage Three - Analyse and Develop Task 3.1 Development of a database SGS compiled benchmark data provided by Aurecon and collected and incorporated additional data provided by councils into the database informing the tool. The database was created in a way that ensured it could be updated and that the tool could remain up to date. Importantly, a simple layout ensured that local government users could update background data themselves. Task 3.2 Cross checking of collected data To address any gaps in the data collected from councils, Aurecon provided benchmark data on the costs of local government-provided infrastructure items, including both capital and ongoing costs. An understanding of how variables could shift these costs was included. For example, certain slopes of land, soil types or even regions of Victoria may have higher or lower materials and labour costs. Aurecon’s inputs helped to define these variations and to fill in the gaps of local government-provided data. Specifically, Aurecon: Reviewed the existing information collected from councils Provided input into the types of infrastructure that could be considered Provided typical infrastructure costs, and Compared recent council construction values to standardise for rural areas. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 5 Task 3.3 Developing electronic tool framework SGS developed a framework for the electronic tool which set out its layout and functionality. The framework and model were provided to the Expert Reference Group for comment and feedback. Task 3.4 Develop a draft electronic tool SGS developed a draft version of the electronic tool, with a view to user functionality. Task 3.5 Draft electronic tool user manual SGS prepared a draft user manual for the tool. Stage Four - Pilot Task 4.1 Expert Reference Group meeting/ pilot council electronic tool workshop The pilot stage of the project aimed to test and ‘ground truth’ the model to ensure it was relevant and realistic. A workshop with the Expert Reference Group was held in Melbourne to demonstrate how the tool is used and its functionality. SGS presented the draft electronic tool and draft user manual. The meeting was used to obtain high level feedback on the outputs so that edits could be made prior to the pilot tool being sent to councils. The workshop also provided the opportunity to explain the evaluation process and the types of feedback being sought. Task 4.2 Evaluation period The three councils involved in the data collection process were provided with the draft tool to test. Councils were encouraged to compare some of the tool’s outputs to past examples of development to see how costs matched up. It was envisaged that council would test the tool against real life scenarios, which might not be comparable across councils. It was recommended that councils test the draft tool with staff across departments (planning, engineering, asset management etc) to ensure that the data informing the tool was accurate, that the tool was easy to use and that the tool’s outputs were relevant. Councils were also encouraged to provide SGS with additional data during the review process. Stage Five - Refine and deliver Task 5.1 Refined electronic tool and user manual Taking on board feedback from the Expert Reference Group and case study councils, SGS and Aurecon made required changes to the electronic tool and manual. Based on the findings from the evaluation period and feedback from MAV several changes were made. These findings were: 1. 2. 3. Councils were unable to provide data around the quantities of infrastructure required for different settlement patterns. Some feedback suggested the draft tool was too complex, whilst other feedback highlighted that the assumptions were over simplified. The potential usefulness of the tool was unclear for councils. Based on these findings, several revisions were made to the project. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 6 To address the existing data gap, SGS devised a case study approach which would allow broad level assumptions to be made around infrastructure quantities. The approach involved using GIS analysis to identify typical length of road and drainage infrastructure in dispersed and greenfield locations. Whilst these assumptions close the information gap, the case studies highlighted a degree of variability between locations. This suggests that councils would derive most value from using the tool by varying assumptions to suit local conditions. The tool was revised in two ways. Firstly, the information around assumptions made was bolstered, and secondly, the format of the tool and the ability to vary assumptions was made simpler. Using some hypothetical development examples, SGS tested the tool to report on the findings in this report. Task 5.2 Wider briefing SGS participated in a wider briefing (to rural councils, and other stakeholders as identified by MAV) on the tool on Wednesday 15 May. The purpose of the briefing was to increase awareness of the tool. Task 4.3 Expert Reference Group briefing on final electronic tool After comments were collated, an Expert Reference Group briefing was held to present group members with the final model and user manual. 1.4 This report This report is framed around the four key questions: Section 2: Settlement patterns and infrastructure requirements This chapter identifies settlement patterns. This chapter examines the types of infrastructure and services provided by council and how this can vary by settlement type. Section 3: Costs of settlement patterns to Councils This section outlines the infrastructure assumptions made in the electronic tool and presents high level results. Appendix: Electronic tool user manual This chapter provides instruction for using and updating the electronic tool. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 7 2 2.1 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS & INFRASTRUCTURE REQUIREMENTS Defining settlement patterns Residential development can take on a variety of forms in rural locations. Patterns of settlement vary by residential density, ranging from concentrated or high density development to low density, dispersed development. Related to this is the rate of development, ranging from incremental development to large-scale delivery of multiple dwellings. From a development cost perspective however, the proximity of existing infrastructure networks (with sufficient capacity) and the responsibility of different parties to provide infrastructure are the main factors which differentiate settlement patterns. In defining settlement patterns, there is a need to balance simplicity and to define settlement types that are applicable across rural locations. As such, three general settlement patterns have been identified, noting that there are variations within these. These settlement patterns are: Greenfield Dispersed, and Infill development. Greenfield development Greenfield development is defined as development of multiple dwellings which takes place on undeveloped land and is typically of a low to average density. It can be defined as the development of planned communities on previously undeveloped (green) land. In rural locations, greenfield development often occurs on the outskirts of towns or as satellite suburbs along highways and coastal regions. Some examples of current greenfield development include the outskirts of regional centres and towns, such as Ararat, Wangaratta, Bairnsdale and Lakes Entrance surrounds, Benalla, Wodonga, Warrnambool, Hamilton, Shepparton, Swan Hill and Mildura. There are also multiple examples of greenfield development occurring in peri-urban locations, just outside of metropolitan Melbourne. These include Wallan, Gisborne, Bannockburn, Kyneton, Lancefield, Inverloch, Wonthaggi and Whittlesea, among many others. Greenfield development usually requires completely new infrastructure networks to be constructed and the volume of development places additional ‘at once’ pressure on service provision. The case study councils consulted as part of this project (Baw Baw Shire, Macedon Ranges Shire and Surf Coast Shire) indicated that most of the development occurring within their municipality was greenfield development on the outskirts of existing settlements. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 8 Greenfield development is typically delivered by private developers, often a single developer for an entire estate. Local governments plan for residential development through usually applying the Low Density Residential Zone or the Rural Living Zone. Tools such as developer contributions (when developer contribution plans are in place) and negotiated agreements help to take the burden off councils by requiring developers to provide infrastructure and contribute towards required upgrades which occur upstream (such as road and intersection expansions). From this perspective, greenfield development is seen as a cost effective settlement type. However, consultation in the Where and How Should We Grow project identified that ongoing maintenance costs, which are the responsibility of councils, can be quite significant for greenfield development locations over time. Dispersed development Dispersed development is usually incremental and takes place gradually as large rural lots are subdivided, often at some distance from existing development. This type of development is evident through growth of hobby farms. For a single development, dispersed development is usually inexpensive to service as it can utilise nearby infrastructure, and any works to connect the development to existing infrastructure networks are usually provided for by the property owner. As there is typically less infrastructure provided in rural locations, costs are also reduced. However, over time, dispersed development can result in significant costs to councils. High levels of dispersed development can be difficult to efficiently service with community infrastructure and environmental management (for example, rubbish collection), due to distance. Potential issues around dispersed development were highlighted in the RCV funded project on small rural lots. A survey undertaken as part of this project highlighted pressure placed on rural planners to approve dwelling development on small lots. At the same time, a high level review of planning schemes as part of this project showed that many rural councils discourage development on small lots unless there is good proximity to existing infrastructure (highlighted in Clause 21.04-1 of Moorabool PS; 22.01.4 Murrindindi PS; Clause 22.02 Wellington PS). Infill development Infill development usually takes place within established locations. Examples include the development of a vacant lot within a town or on a former development site. Generally, infill development sites are surrounded by existing development, which means that infrastructure is usually already in place and can be utilised by the new infill development. Typically infill development costs the least to council, but this is dependent on the capacity of existing infrastructure to accommodate growth and the number of new dwellings. Depending on capacity, additional development in an infill location may require the upgrade of existing infrastructure , as well as additional maintenance. Infill development is not common in rural locations, as the cost of developing ‘in town’ is often higher to proponents than developing on the outskirts of a town. In rural locations, the development of a vacant lot in town is the most common example of infill development. Here there is limited incentive to build in-town, as lots are generally smaller, residents aren’t necessarily employed in town and there are relatively low levels of traffic. 2.2 Council–provided infrastructure and services Councils face a range of upfront and ongoing infrastructure and service costs for residential development. This section details typical upfront and ongoing infrastructure costs, responsibility for infrastructure provision and maintenance and funding mechanisms. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 9 Typical infrastructure and services provision There are a variety of upfront costs that local government can face in servicing new development. Table 1 contains a summary of infrastructure items which can be provided by local government, based on previous research. It is a comprehensive list of all items that would generally be required for a new community. As noted earlier in Section 2, there are instances, particularly for large-scale development, where a private developer will incur costs for infrastructure provision. As such, the following table should be viewed as the ‘upper limit’ of infrastructure items that council would need to provide. TA B L E 1 . C O U N C I L - P R O V I D E D I N F R A S T R U C T U R E F O R R E S I DE N T I A L D E V E L O PM E N T Infrastructure type Roads Provision of new local and collector roads, roundabouts, pathways, bicycle lanes (may include land acquisition). Upgrade of existing road network in terms of material (gravel to asphalt) or in terms of capacity should vehicles per day increase by certain levels. Paths Provision of new paths on either one or both sides of street. Drainage Provision of new stormwater drainage infrastructure (may include land acquisition). This includes connecting to existing pipes, provision of new pits and grates, and kerbside drainage infrastructure whether underground or on land (i.e. table drain or open flow channel). Street furniture and signage Provision of street lighting, street furniture, signage, bus shelters. Open space Creation of new public open space, landscaping, wetlands and parks. Community infrastructure Provision of new libraries, recreational facilities, community facilities, neighbourhood houses, men’s sheds. Also, council-run childcare facilities, kindergartens, aged care facilities, community care facilities maternal and child health, youth outreach centres. Community transport (community bus). Source: Trubka et al (2006), SGS Economics and Planning (2002), University of Canberra (2001) Unlike upfront costs, which can be borne by other parties, local government usually pays for all ongoing cost items. For example, a developer may pay for new local roads and drainage for a new subdivision, however local government will typically pay the ongoing maintenance costs of these new assets . Table 2 lists the typical ongoing costs faced by local government. One particular thesis (Lovell 1996) examined the economic impacts of converting farmland into hobby farms in Strathfieldsaye in the City of Greater Bendigo. The thesis found that, following development in rural locations, the maintenance of roads was one of the largest costs borne by councils; maintenance costs for maintaining gravel roads in most hobby farm locations and maintaining urban residential streets on a per property basis are comparable, while costs increase when roads are long, steep or have Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 10 high volumes of traffic. The thesis highlighted the risk of even higher maintenance costs once vacant lots are developed. The findings of this work bring to light the possible fiscal pressures faced by local government, particularly in instances where there is a gap between costs and rate revenues. Table 2 outlines the ongoing maintenance and operational responsibilities for local government. TA B L E 2 . O N G O I N G M A I N T E N A N C E A N D O PE R AT I O N A L R E S P O N S I B I L I T I E S F O R L O C A L G O VE R NM E NT Ongoing costs Roads Maintenance of local road network, including resealing, gravel re-sheeting, routine maintenance and rehabilitation. Paths Maintenance of paths, including resealing, gravel re-sheeting, routine maintenance and rehabilitation. Drainage Maintenance of drainage infrastructure from legal point of discharge to network. Stormwater which is captured within a private property must be directed from/to a legal point of discharge which is typically either an underground council drain, or at a kerb and channel or open earth drain. Councils are responsible for maintaining from this point forward, which for open drains can include clearing blockages, excavating debris and removing or maintaining vegetation. For underground drains, councils are responsible for the barrel drain and associated pits. Street furniture and signage Maintenance of street lighting, street furniture, signage, bus shelters. Open space Ongoing maintenance of open space, including landscaping, mowing, weeding, etc. Community infrastructure Maintenance of building assets as well as operating council-run facilities. Environmental management Rubbish collection (labour, truck hire), operation of landfill and transfer stations. Source: Trubka et al (2006), SGS Economics and Planning (2002), University of Canberra (2001) 2.3 Drivers of infrastructure costs In the Where and How Should We Grow study, a significant information gap was identified around the understanding of infrastructure requirements and costs in rural locations in Australia. Whilst some studies examining the link between settlement types and infrastructure have been undertaken, these largely focused on metropolitan locations. A review of these studies was undertaken to try and distil any higher level principles and take home messages that could be applicable to rural locations. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 11 Some research, looking at the drivers of infrastructure requirements and costs, has been completed by Roman Trubka of Curtin University in Western Australia, who has produced two key reports. The research is focused on urban locations; however the drivers of cost variation are not restricted to metropolitan areas. Future Perth - Costs of Urban Form (2001), prepared for the Western Australian Planning Commission, considers past studies to determine how the location and pattern of settlement may affect development costs. The analysis considers a large range of previous studies conducted in Australia, Canada and the United States. Following on from this initial study, Trubka prepared a report on Assessing the Costs of Alternative Development Paths in Australian Cities with Peter Newman and Darren Bilsborough in 2006. The key finding from Trubka’s research is that non-contiguous development can attract higher costs. Non-contiguous development is defined as development which takes place at a distance from existing development (such as ‘leapfrog’ development). Consequently, it is less able to utilise existing infrastructure and services, requiring new investment. Non-contiguous development is typically of a dispersed, ad-hoc nature; however greenfield subdivisions that are not located near existing development may also be thought of as non-contiguous. The key characteristics of a new development which may lead to a variation in fiscal costs are outlined as follows. The scale and needs of new development A key driver in the cost of providing new infrastructure is the size of a new development. A larger development area or site is more likely to have a formal developer contributions plan associated with it. If one has not been prepared, it is likely council will be able to negotiate the terms of infrastructure provision with the developer through a Section 173 agreement. Typically greenfield subdivisions are the largest type of development and are the easiest to apply a developer contributions plan to. In greenfield developments, the capital outlay for new roads, footpaths, street furniture, drainage and other new assets is usually covered, in full or in part, by the developer. Ribbon-type, infill and dispersed development usually occurs on an incremental basis, relying on existing infrastructure and services where possible. Incremental development is more difficult to charge development contributions for, as smaller developers are often involved, and it is difficult to establish new infrastructure requirements or expansions in an established area. Lovell (1996) identified that, in Strathsfieldsaye, the upgrading and maintenance of infrastructure and provision of services (particularly of collector roads and garbage collection) greatly exceeded the rates they generated, leading to an uneven share of direct services without sufficient contribution. Distance from existing settlements A number of municipal services are provided by local councils. These include rubbish collection, street cleaning and weeding/mowing of council-owned open space, drainage, recreation reserves. Development which occurs at a significant distance from existing settlements can lead to greater costs for councils. For example, dispersed, isolated development will attract higher costs due to the distance that needs to be covered for those services to be provided. Local government will generally collect costs for waste management through Section 162 of the Local Government Act. However, these charges do not usually vary for households throughout a municipality, leading to a potential gap in charges collected and actual costs where distances covered are significant. Distance between settlements can also raise the cost of local government-provided emergency services. Under the Emergency Management Act 1986, councils have a number of emergency management roles in their municipality. These include co-ordinating emergency responses and recovery, appointing a Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 12 Municipal Emergency Planning Committee, and preparing a Municipal Emergency Management Plan (Department of Justice 2011). Trubka et al (2006) identifies that the capital costs of providing emergency services are considerably lower in locations that have existing capacity. For operating and maintenance costs, the recurrent annual cost per additional dwelling is higher in non-contiguous locations that require new capacity. However, these costs are linked to population levels and location-specific factors such as risk of fire, crime rates, and emergency rates. Generally the cost of emergency response is higher as a result of increased distances. This can also have implications for service levels. Generally however, residential growth can increase the cost of service provision regardless of distance. This ‘cost of growth’ includes required additional open space and drainage reserves and the maintenance of these assets. Additional housing will boost the quantum of assets that require maintenance and service provision by local government. The level of existing development The level of existing development in a location, and whether it is urbanised, is a key driver of costs. Development in rural locations will often rely on different road and drainage systems. For example, many rural locations have gravel roads and open-cut drainage systems. These can attract different, sometimes higher ongoing maintenance costs than sealed roads and underground drainage systems. Further to this, a number of developments taking place in a rural location may necessitate upgrading of infrastructure (sealing of roads, placing drainage systems underground), which would require upfront investment by councils. Community demographics The cost of providing social services, such as education, health and commu nity facilities, is largely driven by demographic characteristics rather than settlement patterns. For example, a higher population of school-age children will increase demand for schools, while an ageing population might result in higher demand for health and medical services. The cost of providing these services is therefore tied to levels of demand. However, significant development in locations with limited access to existing capacity may necessitate new investments in social infrastructure and services at a cost to council. Residential density A study undertaken by the Halifax regional municipality in Canada (2005) sought to gain a better understanding of the cost implications of different patterns of growth. The study looked at nine services provided by the municipality including roads, transit, water, wastewater and stormwater, solid waste, parks and recreation, libraries, police and fire. It considered the impact of nine different residential settlement patterns, ranging from larger rural lots to low/ medium density suburban and high density urban patterns, on the costs of delivering these services. The study considered the operational and capital replacement costs required for each service. The overall costs for each settlement pattern identified some clear trends between density and costs. Most notable was the influence of density on service costs, with per unit costs decreasing as neighbourhoods increased in density. The rural low density settlement pattern was found to be nearly three times more expensive than the urban settlement pattern. The table below shows a summary of the estimated annual costs per household by settlement type. Low density settlement patterns are located in the left columns and density increases towards the right columns in the table. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 13 TA B L E 3 . E S T I M AT E D A N N UA L C O S T P E R H O U S E HO L D Source: Halifax Regional Municipality (2005) p11 An additional study (Smart Growth America 2013) conducted in the United States compared the cost of ‘smart growth development’ and ‘conventional suburban development’. In this context, smart growth development is development that includes buildings located close to each other, walkable neighbourhoods, better connected streets, more choice regarding dwelling types and more transport options. Conversely, conventional development has a greater reliance on private vehicles, fewer transport options, less dwelling density and less connected streets with longer distances to destinations. The study reviewed and analysed 17 different United States studies that compared the two development types. The study looked at the costs associated with the two development patterns, as well as the revenue potential of each. The headline finding was that smart growth strategies can help any town or city improve its finances. Specifically: Smart growth development costs one third less than conventional suburban development for upfront infrastructure. The study found that smart growth development saves an average of 38 per cent on upfront costs for the construction of roads, sewers, water lines and other infrastructure. Other studies have found this to be up to 50 per cent. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 14 Compared to conventional suburban development, smart growth development saves an average of 10 per cent on the ongoing delivery of police, ambulance and fire services costs. Compared to conventional suburban development, smart growth development generates 10 times more tax revenue per acre. This means that smart growth development can lead to municipalities operating development at a surplus, as opposed to a deficit. 2.4 Infrastructure requirements of settlement patterns The discussion in Section 2.3 identifies a series of drivers of infrastructure requirements and costs. These drivers tend to vary by settlement type. This sub-section synthesises research findings to identify typical infrastructure provision and maintenance requirements by council for different settlement types (see Tables 4 to 6 below). TA B L E 4 . G R E E N F I E L D D E V E L O PM E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E P R O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I BIL ITY Infrastructure Item New local roads, required upgrades, intersections and roundabouts within the development site Provision Developer pays proportion or entire cost Maintenance Council Required road upgrades, intersections and roundabouts around the development site Council usually pays entire cost Council New/upgraded drainage Developer pays proportion or entire cost Council New footpaths, cycle paths and shared paths Developer pays proportion or entire cost Council Street signage, furniture and lighting Developer pays proportion or entire cost Council Environmental management Not applicable Council Open space, recreation, reserves, playgrounds Developer pays a proportion via open space levy or DCP Council Community facilities Council usually pays cost. Funding is sometimes obtained from State or Federal Government. Council Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 15 TA B L E 5 . D I S P E R S E D D E V E LO P M E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E P R O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I BIL ITY Infrastructure Item New local roads, required upgrades, intersections and roundabouts within the development site Provision Not often required unless traffic reaches a certain threshold. Council will pay. Maintenance Council Required road upgrades, intersections and roundabouts around the development site Not often required unless traffic reaches a certain threshold. Council will pay. Council New/upgraded drainage Developer/resident pays for new or upgraded infrastructure from property to street. Council Council pays for new/upgraded infrastructure otherwise. New footpaths, cycle paths and shared paths Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Street signage, furniture and lighting Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Environmental management Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Open space, recreation, reserves, playgrounds Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Community facilities Council usually pays cost. Funding is sometimes obtained from State or Federal Government. Council Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 16 TA B L E 6 . I N F I L L D E V E LO PM E N T I N F R A S T R U C T U R E PR O V I S I O N A N D R E S PO N S I B I L I T Y Infrastructure Item New local roads, required upgrades, intersections and roundabouts within the development site Provision Not often required unless traffic reaches a certain threshold. Council will pay. Maintenance Council Required road upgrades, intersections and roundabouts around the development site Not often required unless traffic reaches a certain threshold. Council will pay. Council New/upgraded drainage Developer/resident pays for new or upgraded infrastructure from property to street. Council Council pays for new/upgraded infrastructure otherwise. New footpaths, cycle paths and shared paths Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Street signage, furniture and lighting Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Environmental management Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Open space, recreation, reserves, playgrounds Not often required. Otherwise, Council. Council Community facilities Council usually pays cost. Funding is sometimes obtained from State or Federal Government. Council Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 17 3 3.1 THE COSTS OF SETTLEMENT PATTERNS TO COUNCILS Approach To estimate the relative costs councils face for different settlement patterns, an electronic tool was developed which enables the upfront and ongoing costs of a range of land areas and densities to be tested. Appendix A details the structure and use of this model. Importantly, there are three key sets of data which drive the model. 1. Database of infrastructure costs 2. The types of infrastructure typically provided to each settlement type, and 3. The quantities of infrastructure typically provided within a set area of each settlement type. Database of infrastructure costs Per unit costs of infrastructure items were obtained by reviewing past projects undertaken by Aurecon. A series of infrastructure-related projects, including road provision in various locations in Victoria, were reviewed and per unit costs of infrastructure extracted. Rawlinsons Construction Handbook was used as the industry guideline to supplement the findings and establish a database of over 400 in frastructure items. Where possible, averages were determined using costs from a variety of projects. During the evaluation period of the draft tool, some councils provided additional cost data. This information has been included into the overall cost database. A comprehensive list of infrastructure items is provided in the electronic tool. Types of infrastructure provided to each settlement type After a comprehensive database of infrastructure items was prepared, the next step was to identify which items were typically used in residential development in rural locations. This was done by reviewing infrastructure design and provision manuals. The costs of items were aggregated to produce overall costs. For example, provision of an asphalt path includes spreading and compacting crushed rock, mesh reinforcement and asphalt. These costs were added to create an overall per square metre cost for asphalt paths. For roads, materials and the need to cut/fill depths were added. Asset management plans from a range of rural councils were used to identify typical maintenance requirements. Typical infrastructure quantities of infrastructure To enable the costs of different settlement types to be tested, a standard ‘basket of infrastructure’ was determined for each settlement type. Using findings from the literature review, previous work, council consultation and expert input from Aurecon, a series of default assumptions were established for each settlement type. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 18 The types of infrastructure provided for different development can vary, even within specific settlement types. Factors which can vary the types of infrastructure provided include: Location in Victoria Council-specific standards for infrastructure provision, and The age, quality and capacity of existing infrastructure. As such, the standard basket of infrastructure provided as a default in the model is not exactly applicable to all development scenarios. For this reason, councils are able to vary these assumptions in the model and select from the range of over 400 items which have been costed. Councils are also able to add new items as required. 3.2 Default infrastructure items This sub-section details the ‘summary infrastructure items’ developed for the electronic tool. The items here are intended to represent the majority of infrastructure requirements associated with residential development in rural Victoria. The items here have a purposely ‘local’ slant, that is, the model does not consider upstream implications of growth. To predict upstream infrastructure requirements, a very detailed understanding of the capacity of infrastructure networks across Victoria is required. Roads A range of typical roads found in rural locations was developed through review of infrastructure design manuals. These roads are shown in the table below. TA B L E 7 . D E FA U LT R O A D T Y PE S Road Type Maximum traffic volume Dimensions (vehicles per day) Rural living access road 1000 Reserve of 20m, 6.2m width, 1.5m shoulder Rural living collector road 6000 Reserve of 25m, 6.6m width, 1.5m shoulder Rural living/low density residential court bowls n.a Reserve of 32m, 10m width, 1.5m shoulder Low density residential access road 1000 Reserve of ~17m, 6.0m width, 1.5m shoulder Low density residential collector 6000 road Reserve of ~18m, 6.0m width, 1.5m shoulder Rural access – gravel 0-50 Reserve of 20m, 4.0m width, 1.5m shoulder Rural access – asphalt 51-150 Reserve of 20m, 4.0m width, 1.5m shoulder Rural access - asphalt 150+ Reserve of 20m, 6.2width, 1.5m shoulder Paths In most rural locations, if a path is provided alongside a road, it is typically gravel. In low density residential locations, a concrete path is provided Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 19 TA B L E 8 . D E FA U LT PAT H T Y PE S Path Type Asphalt path, one or both sides of road Asphalt path, one or both sides of road (shared use) Gravel path, one or both sides of road Widths 1.25m, 1.5m 2.5m 1.25m, 1.5m Gravel path, one or both sides of road (shared) 2.5m Stormwater drainage Stormwater drainage infrastructure is highly variable to suit local conditions, such as gradient, soil type and typical run off. At a high level however, stormwater drainage is either underground or at ground level. In most rural locations, drainage is provided at ground level. The capacity of drainage used is dependent on the maximum flow rate of water, which is linked to levels of permeable surface and local climate conditions. For this reason, estimating drainage is highly localised. A list of typical drainage types is shown below: Street based Brick Drain 300-600mm wide Barrier Kerb - concrete Concrete open drain 300, 400 and 1200mm Concrete kerb and channel 450-600mm Kerb of timber construction Laid back kerb 900mm Open drain (earthen) Plinth kerb concrete 15mm Semi-mountable kerb and channel 300-600mm Semi-mountable kerb and channel 600mm, and Semi mountable kerb, no channel. Underground Semi mountable kerb (300mm), no channel, + underground drainage, Inspection opening to house and standard house drain. As shown, the items listed above relate to quite localised infrastructure. However, significant development can trigger upstream infrastructure upgrades. These items have not been included in the model due to the complexity of catchment areas and existing infrastructure and its capacity. Open space Open space can range from preserved natural environments to highly cultivated, landscaped gardens. Two types of open space have been used as defaults: Landscaped parks/gardens (including clearing of site and planting), and Retention of a natural reserve. Community infrastructure A range of community infrastructure is provided by local government. In growth area planning, ratios are often used to determine likely community infrastructure needs. These ratios are usually linked to the projected population of an area and the characteristics of that population, such as its age and needs profile. However, providing community infrastructure in rural locations is more complex, particularly in locations which are established and see incremental levels of growth. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 20 In more established locations, a community infrastructure needs assessment is usually undertaken which will include an audit of infrastructure and take into consideration prevailing provision of infrastructure, infrastructure which may be accessible in nearby locations outside of the municipality, and the capacity for infrastructure to be repurposed to suit current and future needs. For this reason, whilst a list of typically provided community infrastructure items is included in the model, users are required to select items individually for consideration. The items which are included are: Childcare Centre Youth Centre Senior Citizen Centre Civic Centre Multipurpose Centre Community and Neighbourhood Centre Performing Arts/Exhibition/Convention Centre Main Library Branch Library Sport field (local active open space) District Parks and Facilities Aquatic Centre, and Playground. Further to this, councils are required to check the cost assumptions around each community infrastructure asset. The costs of these assets is highly variable, due to a detailed design process and variables such as overall size, quality of materials used, location attributes, the re-use of existing materials, etc. Where possible, councils are recommended to use known cost estimates if including community infrastructure in the model. Environmental management Environmental management includes rubbish collection and recycling. A review of council budgets in rural Victoria identified that approximately six to 10 per cent of rates go towards environmental management. The 2012 Rates Survey (MAV) identified typical rates charged across Victoria. Based on this, the average charge for recycling and landfill was approximately $122 per dwelling per /year. 3.3 Default infrastructure items for settlement types To understand the costs of different settlement patterns, a series of assumptions was required around the types of infrastructure typical to each settlement pattern, and the quantity of infrastructure required. Within the electronic tool, all assumptions can be varied by councils. This is important as the default assumptions are high level and may not be suited to all locations. Through this project we have attempted to define typical requirements and costs to enable conclusions to be drawn but it is important that these assumptions be reviewed by councils prior to use for their local area. Dispersed development Dispersed development can be a concern to councils due to its incremental nature, loss of agricultural land, incompatibility with agricultural uses and distance from existing infrastructure networks. However, dispersed development usually requires limited, if any, new infrastructure provision on behalf of council. This is because connections from the property to street-based infrastructure are the onus of the owner. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 21 The following table summarises the infrastructure items typically used in dispersed development. TA B L E 9 . D I S P E R S E D D E V E LO P M E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O N S Infrastructure Type Roads Paths New infrastructure provision Ongoing maintenance requirements Assume no new roads are provided, with Assume additional maintenance subdivisions taking place off existing equivalent to the length of road roads and any private roadways which typically associated with each connect to existing roads being at the hectare of development. owners cost. Assume the existing road is a Rural Assume council responsible for renewal. Living Access Road (Asphalt) Assume no path provided. In most rural Not applicable. locations, there is no footpath along the side of a road. Assume council responsible for renewal Drainage The developer of a new dwelling will Council may incur additional incur costs to connect drainage from the maintenance costs associated with dwelling to the street. Council does not increased infrastructure utilisation. provide drainage infrastructure. Assume the dispersed development Assume council responsible for renewal would induce additional maintenance requirements equivalent to drainage associated with the area of development. Open Space Assume no new open space provision. Environmental Management No infrastructure required. Significant Assume recycling and rubbish population increases may trigger the collection for each new dwelling. need for upgrades to landfill and recycling sites and transfer centres. Assume no open space provision. Source: S GS Economics and P lanning, 2013 As shown in the above table, councils typically face quite low upfront costs for dispersed development. This is because it often takes place in the form of subdivision of existing lots with a dwelling, and existing infrastructure such as roads and street-based drainage are already in place. Developers typically face costs of connecting the new dwelling to existing infrastructure. The challenge for councils is in managing the total amount of dispersed development. As it often takes place on an incremental basis, it is at times difficult to track. Large amounts of dispersed development can necessitate infrastructure upgrades downstream, or convert existing infrastructure into types that are more suitable for heavy usage (for example, an asphalt road from a gravel road). Identifying where upgrades might be required involves detailed examination of the capacity of existing infrastructure. If this knowledge is within councils, then the model can easily be updated to inc lude these items. It is difficult to apply a generalised assumption around the need for infrastructure upgrades. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 22 Greenfield development Greenfield development typically requires all infrastructure be supplied ‘from scratch’. However, as it is developer-driven, council typically does not pay for upfront infrastructure requirements. In some cases, councils are able to have the developer contribute towards upgrades that are required upstream as a result of the greenfield development. The following table highlights assumptions made around greenfield development. TA B L E 10 . G R E E N F I E L D D E V E L O PM E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O N S Infrastructure Type New infrastructure provision Roads Assume this is provided for by the developer. Assume council responsible for renewal. Ongoing maintenance requirements Assume additional maintenance equivalent to the length of road typically associated with each hectare of development. Assume the existing road is a Low Density Residential Access Road (Asphalt). Paths Drainage Open Space Assume concrete footpath provided Council face costs of repairs, to both sides of all roads and is ongoing maintenance and provided by the developer. replacement. Assume council responsible for renewal. Assume the path is a concrete path on both sides of road (1.5m in width). Assume standard house drains and property junction pits, inspection openings and new stormwater drainage pipes are provided by the developer. Councils responsible for maintenance and repair of drainage infrastructure network, excluding from the legal point of discharge to the property. Assume council responsible for renewal. Assume the greenfield development would induce additional maintenance requirements equivalent to drainage associated with the area of development. Assume open space to be provided Council faces ongoing maintenance by the developer, therefore no requirements for open space. assumptions are made around land acquisition and property purchase requirements. It is assumed that around half of the open space will be natural reserve, the rest will be landscaped (for playgrounds, etc). Environmental management No infrastructure required. Assume recycling and rubbish Significant population increases may collection for each new dwelling. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 23 Infrastructure Type New infrastructure provision Ongoing maintenance requirements trigger the need for upgrades to landfill and recycling sites and transfer centres. Source: S GS Economics and P lanning, 2013 Infill development In rural settings infill development typically takes place on vacant lots within town centres. It is not common for large scale, high density infill development to take place in rural locations. Infill development is able to utilise existing infrastructure networks and the owner has the onus of paying for connections to street-based infrastructure. TA B L E 11 . I N F I L L D E V E LO PM E N T D E FA U LT A S S U M PT I O N S Infrastructure Type Roads Infrastructure requirements No additional roads required. Maintenance requirements No additional maintenance required. Assume council responsible for renewal. Paths No additional paths required. Assume council responsible for renewal. Council face costs of repairs, ongoing maintenance and replacement. Assume the infill development would induce additional maintenance requirements equivalent to a concrete path on one side of the road (1.5m in width). Drainage Assume drainage only required from Some additional maintenance required. legal point of discharge to property which is paid for by the owner. Assume the infill development would induce additional maintenance Assume council responsible for requirements equivalent to drainage renewal. associated with the area of development. Open Space No new open space required. Environmental management No infrastructure required. Assume recycling and rubbish collection for Significant population increases may each new dwelling. trigger the need for upgrades to landfill and recycling sites and transfer centres. Source: S GS Economics and P lanning, 2013 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 24 Not applicable. 3.4 Default infrastructure quantities for settlement types Approach GIS analysis of rural dispersed and greenfield settlements was undertaken to understand the typical quantities of infrastructure provided for set areas. Three case studies of greenfield and dispersed development were respectively studied. These were the greenfield locations of Trafalgar (Baw Baw), Woodend (Macedon Ranges) and Winchelsea (Surf Coast), as well as rural parcels of land in those three councils. The approach involved tracing over roads to determine typical rates of provision of roads, paths and street-based drainage infrastructure. The following series of maps highlight the GIS analysis and tracing method used. F I G U R E 3 . R U R A L A N D G R E E N F I E L D / E S TA B L I S H E D A E R I A L P HO TO G R A P H Y A N A LY S I S Baw Baw Shire – Greenfield/Established Town Baw Baw Shire – Rural/Dispersed Macedon Ranges – Greenfield/Established Town Macedon Ranges – Rural/Dispersed Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 25 Surf Coast Shire – Greenfield/Established Town Surf Coast Shire – Rural/Dispersed TA B L E 12 . G I S A N A LY S I S F I N D I N G S Study area (Ha) Dwellings Average lot size Total length (approximate) (Ha) of road (km) km of road per Ha km of road per dwelling Rural/Dispersed Baw Baw Shire 5578 64 87 36 0.006 0.565 Macedon Ranges Shire 5560 43 129 33 0.006 0.774 Surf Coast Shire 5560 24 232 26 0.005 1.082 Average 0.006 0.807 Greenfield/Established Towns Baw Baw Shire Trafalgar Macedon Ranges Shire Woodend Surf Coast Shire Winchelsea 308 1361 0.226 28 0.092 0.021 309 818 0.377 26 0.083 0.031 366 621 0.589 27 0.073 0.043 Average 0.083 0.032 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 26 TA B L E 13 . D E FA U LT Q U A N T I T Y O F I N F R A S T R U C T U R E Roads Paths Drainage Open Space Dispersed No roads provided by council. Greenfield No roads provided by council. Infill No new roads provided by council, assuming existing. For maintenance purposes, assume a Rural Living Access Road is being maintained, with each Ha of development equivalent to 0.6km of road. For maintenance purposes, assume a Low Density For maintenance purposes, assume a Low Density Residential Access Road, with each dwelling equivalent Residential Collector Road, with each dwelling to 0.033km of road. equivalent to 0.021km of road, reflecting the lower band of provision of roads per dwelling (see Table 12). Assume renewal every 30 years. Assume renewal every 30 years. Assume renewal every 30 years. No paths associated with dispersed development. No paths provided by council. No new paths provided, assume path already exists. Maintenance not applicable. For maintenance purposes, assume a concrete path For maintenance purposes, assume a concrete path 1.5m wide is provided to both sides of road, with each 1.5m wide is provided to one side of the road with each dwelling equivalent to 0.066km of road. dwelling equivalent to 0.021km of road. Assume renewal every 60 years. Assume renewal every 60 years. Assume renewal every 60 years. No drainage provided by council. No drainage provided by council. No drainage provided by council. For maintenance purposes, assume earthen open drains exist with each hectare equivalent to 1.2km of drainage. For maintenance purposes, assume underground drainage equivalent to 0.066km per dwelling, with an inspection opening and standard house drain also provided per dwelling. For maintenance purposes, assume underground drainage equivalent to 0.033km per dwelling, with an inspection opening and standard house drain also provided per dwelling. Assume renewal every 50 years. Assume renewal every 50 years. Assume renewal every 50 years. None provided. No open space provided by council. No new open space provided by council. For maintenance purposes, assume around 50 square metres of open space per dwelling, half of which is landscaped, half natural reserve. Environ’l Mgt Assume standard rubbish and recycling collection. Note: Renewal of infrastructure assumed to be at same rate as provision. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 27 Assume standard rubbish and recycling collection. Assume standard rubbish and recycling collection. Community infrastructure In estimating needs for community infrastructure, standard rates of provision per population cannot be used in rural locations. Consultation suggested that there opposing forces at play. Firstly, the full provision of community infrastructure, which is aligned to the population (say at rates of provision similar to metropolitan growth area rates) is unlikely to be financially feasible. In these instances, councils may explore regional provision of infrastructure or shared facilities. Secondly, some types of infrastructure may be provided at higher rates to counteract significant distance. For this reason, no assumptions have been made around the need for any community infrastructure associated with settlement types. Users are able to add in community infrastructure items and related costs in the electronic tool. 3.5 Findings As part of this project, an electronic tool was developed (See Appendix A for the user manual). This section provides the results of two scenarios tested in the model. Scenario 1: 10 additional dwellings over 30 years This scenario looked to compare the cost difference between settlement types in delivering 10 dwellings over varying timeframes and land areas (see Table 14). The average rates charged per household across all of Victoria for 2012 was used. TA B L E 14 . S C E N A R I O 1 I N P U T S USER INPUT S Dispersed Greenfield Infill Number of dwellings 10 10 10 Area (Hectares) 20 1 0.5 0.5 10 20 Start year of development 1 1 1 End year of development 5 5 5 Resultant average gross density Timeframe of analysis>> 30 YEARS Source: Financial Costs of Settlement Patterns in Rural Victoria (2013) The following chart highlights the impacts of: - Cyclical maintenance schedules - Shorter development timeframes allowing quicker revenues (from rates) Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 28 F I G U R E 4 . S C E N A R I O 1 T OTA L C O S T S A N D R E V E N U E S C O M PA R I S O N Total Costs and Revenues Comparison $20,000 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 -$20,000 -$40,000 -$60,000 -$80,000 -$100,000 DISPERSED GREENFIELD INFILL The following table displays the results of Scenario 1. Over a 30 year timeframe, it is expected that dispersed development would result in the highest costs for council, followed by Greenfield, whilst Infill would result in a positive net position. However, this scenario excludes: - Renewal of assets which occur at 30+ year cycles - Community infrastructure assets and services. The table overleaf delves into the results on a per dwelling and per hectare basis. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 29 TA B L E 15 . S C E N A R I O 1 R E S U LT S SUMMARY RESULTS Results (over timeframe) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 2,335,640 $ 582,334 $ 387,380 Total revenues $ 427,305 $ 427,305 $ 427,305 1,908,335 -$ 155,029 $ 39,925 Net position -$ Results (per dw elling) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 233,564 $ 58,233 $ 38,738 Total revenues $ 42,730 $ 42,730 $ 42,730 190,834 -$ 15,503 $ 3,992 Net position -$ Results (per hectare) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 116,782 $ 582,334 $ 774,760 Total revenues $ 21,365 $ 427,305 $ 854,609 95,417 -$ 155,029 $ 79,850 Net position -$ Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 30 Scenario 2: 20 additional dwellings over 50 years This scenario compares the costs of 20 additional dwellings over a 50 year period. The average rates charged per household across all of Victoria for 2012 were used again. See Table 16. TA B L E 16 . S C E N A R I O 2 I N P U T S USER INPUT S Dispersed Greenfield Infill Number of dwellings 20 20 20 Area (Hectares) 20 4 1 1 5 20 Start year of development 1 1 1 End year of development 5 5 5 Resultant average gross density Timeframe of analysis>> 50 YEARS The following chart highlights that over a long timeframe, cyclical maintenance costs is one of the larger costs councils face. The peaks of expenditure are not counteracted by rate revenue alone, with a deficit shown in each year after maintenance and operation of infrastructure kicks in. F I G U R E 5 . S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( E X C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) Total Costs and Revenues Comparison $20,000 $10,000 $0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 -$10,000 -$20,000 -$30,000 -$40,000 -$50,000 DISPERSED GREENFIELD INFILL The following figure also includes asset renewal. As shown, this is a significant cost. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 31 F I G UR E 6 . S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( I N C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) Total Costs and Revenues Comparison $200,000 $0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 -$200,000 -$400,000 -$600,000 -$800,000 -$1,000,000 -$1,200,000 -$1,400,000 DISPERSED GREENFIELD INFILL The following table shows that over 50 years, the costs generated by dispersed and greenfield development are considerable when asset renewal is taken into consideration. Over a 50 year period, it is estimated that a net loss of $2M would arise for council for dispersed development, with this reduced to -$512,000 for Greenfield development. Infill development results in a positive net position of $292,000. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 32 TA B L E 17 . S C E N A R I O 2 R E S U LT S ( I N C L U D I N G R E N E W A L ) SUMMARY RESULTS Results (over timeframe) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 6,507,200 $ 1,977,939 $ 1,172,526 Total revenues $ 1,465,045 $ 1,465,045 $ 1,465,045 5,042,155 -$ 512,895 $ 292,518 Net position -$ Results (per dw elling) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 325,360 $ 98,897 $ 58,626 Total revenues $ 73,252 $ 73,252 $ 73,252 252,108 -$ 25,645 $ 14,626 Net position -$ Results (per hectare) Dispersed Greenfield Infill Total costs $ 325,360 $ 494,485 $ 1,172,526 Total revenues $ 73,252 $ 366,261 $ 1,465,045 252,108 -$ 128,224 $ 292,518 Net position -$ Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 33 3.6 Concluding remarks This study attempted to correlate certain infrastructure items and quantities to hypothetical settlement patterns. The purpose of this was to demonstrate the impact of rural form on council budgets and confirm (or otherwise) a growing belief of a widening gap between infrastructure costs and revenues. Based on the assumptions detailed in this report, it is evident that councils do face a substantial gap between costs and rates revenue. This work has made no assumption around other potential sources of revenue for council, or the fact that rates revenue is unlikely to be solely dedicated to the maintenance and operation of infrastructure and services. The key conclusion from this work, and based on the high level assumptions which are applied, is that settlement patterns do indeed generate different costs over time. Even if councils are not providing new infrastructure to service growth, maintenance and operational costs over time vary significantly between settlement patterns. The vast infrastructure network required for dispersed development (despite its more basic standard) generates considerable cost to local government. In contrast, infill development, that is development which takes place on vacant parcels of land within existing infrastructure networks, generates considerably less cost to local government. Most interestingly, greenfield development and its high level of infrastructure provisioning (typically paid for by developers) lumps councils with exorbitant ongoing costs. This is significant given the growing emergence of greenfield development in rural locations. Comparing the costs at a high level over time indicates that over varying time periods, dispersed development tends to be the most expensive to councils. The findings suggest that councils should consider financial implications in setting settlement policy. Whilst proximity to infrastructure networks is often highlighted within rural planning schemes, the effects of incremental dispersed development over time can be quite detrimental to council budgets, particularly in councils where there is limited growth otherwise. This highlights the need for proximity to infrastructure to possibly be a stronger objective in assessing planning applications. It is acknowledged that the cost implications of development to councils is only one aspect, and other criteria such as environmental impact, effects to agricultural and the ability to provide important community services need to also be considered alongside financial criteria. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 34 USER GUIDE Welcome The Welcome Sheet includes a disclaimer around the use of the model. It should be noted that the spreadsheet-based tool has been developed for rural councils to enable high level scenario testing of the costs of settlement patterns over time. The assumptions contained herein reflect high level analysis undertaken by SGS Economics and Planning (2013) and should be altered to suit local conditions. Please refer to the accompanying report and user manual for further information on how assumptions were derived and on how to use the model. This model is not intended to replace advice from engine ers and cost surveyors, and should be treated as an investigative tool only. SGS and its associated consultants are not liable to any person or entity for any damage or loss that has occurred, or may occur, in relation to that person or entity taking or not taking action in respect of any representation, statement, opinion or advice referred to herein. Menu The Menu provides a one-stop directory to the sheets contained in the model. Users are only required to enter data into two sheets: Data Input and Rates Assumptions. There are various other sheets where users are able to vary assumptions as they see fit. F I G U R E 7 . S C R E E N S HO T O F M E N U Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 35 Input Sheet Users must enter data into the input sheet. This essential data includes the number of dwellings, area, and start and end year of development across all three settlement patterns. If a user does not wish to test a particular settlement type, zero dwellings and hectares can be inputted into the table. A timeframe of analysis must also be selected from the drop down menu. This varies the timeframe across key metrics such as total costs over time and net position over time. F I G U R E 8 . S C R E E N S HO T O F I N P U T S HE E T Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 36 Assumption sheet 1. Infrastructure items and quantities This sheet enables users to: - Select infrastructure items for each settlement type - Distinguish between whether council is providing and maintaining/operating, or simply maintaining/operating the infrastructure - Enter in average provision ratios per hectare (for dispersed) or pre dwelling (for greenfield and infill). A button ‘reset defaults’ changes all values back to default assumptions outlined in this report. F I G U R E 9 . S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 1 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 37 Assumption Sheet 2: Infrastructure items (detailed) Assumption Sheet 2 allows users to vary the types of infrastructure that have been included in the model. The sheet clearly sets out which individual items are used (from Aurecon’s database of items), and the estimated costs per unit. It is recommended that users add new infrastructure items to the sheet named ‘Full detailed costs’ and link the cells to that new data to ensure transparency. F I G U R E 10 . S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 2 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 38 Assumption Sheet 3: Maintenance and operation of infrastructure Assumption Sheet 3 allows users to vary assumptions made around maintenance and operation. The cells which list items are linked to Assumption Sheet 2 (so any changes in that sheet should flow through). The sheet includes high level maintenance benchmarks and also working out of maintenance costs over time. F I G U R E 11 . S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 3 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 39 Assumption sheet 4: Rates Revenue Assumption Sheet 4 allows users to select their council from a drop down menu to bring up average rates revenue for 2012. The data is from MAV Rates Survey and is in some parts, incomplete. Users are encouraged to update data as it becomes available. F I G U R E 12 . S C R E E N S HO T O F A S S U M P T I O N S H E E T 4 Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 40 Revenue streams This sheet allows users to: - Enter rates revenue in as an overall revenue stream - Enter developer contributions - Enter funding sources and other revenue items. Users are required to fill out all cells across the timeframe they are analysing. F I G U R E 13 . S C R E E N S HO T O F R E V E N U E S T R E A M S Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 41 Key results This sheet displays key high level results, including a table and several charts. F I G U R E 14 . S C R E E N S HO T O F K E Y R E S U LT S Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 42 Financial Impacts This sheet provides more detailed results, including: - Total cost/revenue over varying timeframes - Net surplus/deficit - Average annual costs, revenues and surplus/deficit - Present value of costs, revenues and the net position. Users are able to vary the discount rate as appropriate. Importantly, users can also elect to include or exclude renewal costs through a drop down menu. These options are both highlighted in light green. F I G U R E 15 . S C R E E N S HO T O F F I N A N C I A L I M PA C T S Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 43 REFERENCES Department of Justice (2011) ‘Local Government and Emergency Management’ website accessed 3 November 2011, via: http://www.justice.vic.gov.au/wps/wcm/connect/justlib/DOJ+Internet/Home/Safety+and+Emergency+ Management/Emergencies/Planning+for+Emergencies/JUSTICE++Local+Government+and+Emergency+Management Halifax Regional Municipality (2005) Settlement Pattern and Form with Service Cost Analysis, Canada. Lovell, R.A., (1996) The conversion of farmland to hobby farming: Regional environmental and economic costs. Thesis for the degree of Master of Arts (Town Planning), Victoria University of Technology. SGS Economics and Planning (2011) Where and How Should We Grow? Short and Long Term Impacts of Different Settlement Patterns, prepared for the Municipal Association of Victoria. Trubka, R. (2001) Future Perth – Costs of Urban Form. Working Paper 2. Prepared for the Western Australian Planning Commission. Trubka, R., Newman, P., and Bilsborough, D. (2006) Assessing the Costs of Alternative Development Paths in Australian Cities. Report commissioned by Parsons Brinckerhoff Australia. Smart Growth America (2013) Building Better Budgets: A National Examination of the Fis cal Benefits of Smart Growth Development, Washington. Viewed at http://www.smartgrowthamerica.org/buildingbetter-budgets, May 2013. Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 44 Contact us CANBERRA Level 1, 55 Woolley Street Dickson ACT 2602 +61 2 6262 7603 [email protected] HOBART Unit 2, 5 King Street Bellerive TAS 7018 +61 (0)439 941 934 [email protected] MELBOURNE Level 5, 171 La Trobe Street Melbourne VIC 3000 +61 3 8616 0331 [email protected] SYDNEY Suite 12, 50 Reservoir Street Surry Hills NSW 2010 +61 2 8307 0121 [email protected] Financial costs of settlement patterns in rural Victoria 45
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