Ourpolicypositiononalcoholtaxation Alcoholplacesanintolerablestrainonourhealthservice.Everyyear,onemillionhospitaladmissionsarerelatedto alcoholi,andalcoholaccountsfor10%oftheUKburdenofdiseaseanddeathii,makingalcoholoneofthethree biggestlifestyleriskfactorsfordiseaseanddeathintheUK.iiiTheGovernmentestimatesthatalcoholrelatedharm currentlycoststheNHS£3.7billioneveryyear(equalto£120foreverytaxpayer)andwiderUKsocietymorethan £21billioniv-morethandoublethe£10billionrevenuegeneratedfromalcoholtaxes.v WithourNHSincrisis,weneedthealcoholindustrytopayafairersharetowardsthecostofalcoholharmtothe UKeconomy. Taxcutsgiventothealcoholindustryin2014and2015wereestimatedbytheTreasurytototalacosttothepublic purseof£2.4billionoverfiveyears.viOverthenextfiveyears,thisamountcouldcovertheannualsalariesofover 12,000nurses,nearly10.5millionemergencyambulancecalloutsormorethan10millionhospitalbeddays. While a minimum unit price remains the most effective and targeted intervention in tackling alcohol related harm,alcoholtaxesunquestionablycontributetopublichealthtoday.Alcoholtaxationhasanimportantroleto playinreducingharmfulconsumption,particularlyalongsideapolicyofminimumunitpricing.Raisingthepriceof cheap alcohol is internationally recognised as one of the most powerful tools at a government’s disposal to addressharmscausedbyalcohol.viiIntheUK,whereliverdiseaserateshaveincreasedinsomegroupsbyupto 400%overthelastdecade,viiitacklingharmfulconsumptionmustbeapriorityforGovernment. WearecallingontheGovernmentto: 1. Reinstatethedutyescalator.AlcoholsoldintheUKis54%moreaffordablethanitwasin1980.ixWeknowthat price drives consumption; duty levels should continue to increase year on year to counter the trend of increasingaffordabilitythathasbeenassociatedwithrisingconsumptionandharm. 2. Increasedutyonhighstrengthcider.Duetoanomaliesintheexcisesystem,highstrength7.5%ABVcidersare availableforthelowestpriceperunitofanydrink.Asaresult,theyareoverwhelminglyfavouredbydependent, streetandyoungdrinkers.Restructuringciderdutysothattheseproductscanbetargetedwithhighertaxrates wouldsubstantiallyreducetheharmsassociatedwiththem. 3. Ensure spirits are taxed at a higher rate than wine and beer. In comparison to beer and wine, spirits are generallymuchcheapertoproduceanddistribute.Thesamerateofdutyforallbeveragetypeswouldmean thatdistilledspiritscouldbesoldmuchmorecheaplythanwineorbeer,whichisapublichealthconcernas theyaremuchstrongerandcarryagreaterriskofhealthandsocialharm. 4. LobbyforchangeatEUlevelsothatdrinksinallcategoriescanbetaxedaccordingtotheirstrength.The structure of UK alcohol taxes is governed by European Directives in a way that means that under current structures, it is not possible to tax wine or cider in proportion with their strength. However, changing the structureonciderduty,toallowgreatervariationintaxlevels,ispossible. 5. Implementaminimumunitpriceforallalcoholicproducts.MUPisneededtodealwiththeparticularproblem ofthecheapeststrongestdrinksfavouredbytheheaviestdrinkersandiscompatiblepromotingalcoholduty structureforotherproducts. 1 Changestoalcoholdutyrateshavebeenshowntoimpactonconsumptionlevelsandalcoholharms.Decreasesin alcoholtaxesinFinlandin2004,forexample,ledtoa10%increaseinoverallconsumptionanda46%increasein liver disease deaths. x It therefore follows that tax increases may have the reverse effect of improving health outcomesthroughreducedincidencesofexcessiveconsumption.Thereportonethicalissuesinpublichealthby the Nuffield Council on Bioethics argues that higher taxes on alcohol are an “effective strategy for reducing consumption.”xi Theeffectivenessofreducingalcohol-relatedharmthroughchangestoexciseduty,suchasincreaseddutyonhigh strengthalcohol,willofcoursedependonwhetherretailersfullypassanyincreasestoconsumersintheformof increasedprices.CollaborativeresearchfromthreeuniversitiesinEnglandfoundthattaxincreasesledtolower than expected price increases for cheaper products and higher than expected tax increases for more expensive products–inotherwords,cheapalcoholstayedcheap.Inordertooffsetthis,theresearchersconcludedthatduty riseswouldbemoreeffectiveifimplementedalongsideotherinterventions,inparticularminimumunitpricing.xii Ourrecommendations 1. Reinstatethealcoholdutyescalator Scrappingthealcoholdutyescalatorhasallowedcheapalcoholtobecomemoreaffordabletoheavydrinkerswhile atthesametimeunfairlyincreasingtheburdenonthepublicpurse,withanestimatedcosttothetaxpayerofover £1.2billionoverfouryears.Theneedfordutyonalcoholtocompensatefortheburdenofalcoholrelatedharmto societieshasbeenacceptedintheUKandelsewhereforcenturies–thedutyescalatorwasappropriateandfair. TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommends: • Thedutyescalatorshouldbereinstatedat2%aboveinflation Alcoholis54%moreaffordablethanitwasin1980.xiiiWeknowthatpricedrivesconsumption;dutylevelsshould continue to increase year on year, above inflation and in line with disposable incomes, to counter the trend of increasingaffordabilitythathasbeenassociatedwithrisingconsumptionandharm. 2 TheAlcoholDutyEscalatorwasintroducedin2008andsawdutyonalcoholrise2%aboveinflationeachyearuntil itwasscrappedforbeerinthe2013budgetandremainingproductslastyear,afteranintenselobbyingcampaign fromthealcoholindustry.Alongsidealcoholbecoming54%moreaffordablethanitwasin1980xiv,alcoholdutyas ashareoftotaltaxreceiptshasmorethanhalvedsince1978.xvParliamentwasrighttosupportthealcoholduty escalator–itwasappropriateandfairandshouldbereinstatedtocompensatefortheburdenofalcoholrelated harmtooursociety. LatestresearchfromtheUniversityofSheffieldcomparesarangeofdutyscenarios, both separately to and in combinationwith,minimumunitpricing.Inthisdiagram,TheUniversityofSheffieldhavecomparedtheeffectsin EnglandofthedutychangesintroducedbytheChancelloroftheExchequerintheSpringBudgetof2015tothose ofahypothetical60pminimumunitprice.FollowingtheBudgetchangesoflastyear,theprojectedriseinhospital admissionsisclearfromthediagrambelow,amongstallthreegroups,withthemostsignificantrisebeingforthe ‘highriskdrinkers’. 2015 budget 60p MUP Changeinannualhospital admissions(fulleffect) 10000 5000 0 -5000 -10000 -15000 Moderate drinkers Increasingrisk drinkers Highriskdrinkers -20000 -25000 -30000 Source:UniversityofSheffieldxvi 2. Increasedutyonhighstrengthcider High strength ‘white’ cider is a product that causes disproportionate levels of harm. It is closely associated with dependent,streetandunderagedrinking.Thisproducthaslargelydevelopedbecauseofanomaliesinthetaxsystem whichmeanthathigh-strengthciderhasthelowestcostperunitofalcoholofanyproduct.TheGovernmentshould rationalisethedutystructureforciderandendthisharm. TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommends: • Ciderdutyshouldbesplitintofourbands,withhigherstrengthbandssubjecttohigherratesofduty • Highstrengthcidersshouldattractsimilarratesofdutytohighstrengthbeers • TheGovernmentshouldconsiderintroducingdutyreliefforsmallciderproducers 3 Inrecentyears,doctors,alcoholtreatmentservicesandhomelesscharitieshaveexpressedincreasingconcernabout highstrengthcider(typically-butnotalways-‘white’i.e.colourless,soldinlarge2-3litreplasticbottlesatrelatively low prices) [see appendix on White Cider]. xvii According to Thames Reach, which works with rough sleepers in London,“Super-strengthdrinkshavebecomeoneofthebiggestcausesofprematuredeathofhomelesspeoplein the UK, and our figures indicate that super-strength drinks are doing more damage than both heroin and crack cocaine”. 78% of the deaths in Thames Reach hostels are attributed to high strength alcohol.xviii25% of alcohol treatmentservicespatientsinGlasgowandEdinburghdrinkwhitecider,andofthese45%drinkitexclusively.xix Moreover,theseproductshaveoftenbeentargetedatyoungpeople:FrostyJack’s,theleadinghigh-strengthcider brand,hasconsistentlybeenamongthetopfivemostconsumedbrandsbyunderagedrinkersintreatment.xx Theprominenceofhigh-strengthcideramongstthesegroupsisprimarilyduetoitscheapness.Studiesofwhite ciderdrinkershaveindicated75-85%favouritforitslowprice.xxiAlcoholConcern’sresearchhasfoundthatthough “Itisoftenarguedthatraisingpriceswouldnotchangethedrinkinghabitsofthisgroup.Itwasveryapparentduring interviews that most of them have a very detailed knowledge of price variations”. xxii High strength cider has a particularlydamagingpositionrelativetootherdrinks,withevidenceitisseenasa‘bufferdrink’,aidingharmful drinkersinmaintainingtheirconsumptionevenwhentheirfinancialcircumstancesdecline.xxiii Itistheidiosyncrasiesofthedutysystemthatallowwhitecidertobesoldsocheaply.Thechartbelowdemonstrates thatciderof7.5%ABVattractsthelowestlevelofdutyofanyalcoholproductatanystrength.Forexample,a500ml canofcideratthisstrengthgenerates19pofduty,lessthanathirdofthedutyonacanofbeerofequivalentsize andstrength(69p).Itisnosurprise,then,thatanumberofcidersareproducedatexactlythisABVtofullyexploit thedutystructure. Source:HMRevenue&Customs,AlcoholHealthAllianceanalysis Therearetwofundamentalreasonsforthisanomaly.Firstly,cideristaxedatalowerlevelthanotherdrinks categories.Secondly,cideristaxedbyvolume,ratherthanalcoholcontent,meaningthatstrongerdrinkswithin 4 thesamedutybandaretaxedexactlythesame. Atpresent,dutyratesforcideraresplitintotwobands:1.2%to7.5%ABV,and7.5%to8.5%ABV.Thelower bandisextremelywide,particularlyinlightofthefactthatcideristaxedbyvolume(andsothereisnovariation indutywithinbandseither)–withtheeffectthattheweakestcidersonthemarket(around2.5-3%)attractthe exactsamedutyas7.5%whiteciders,forcomparablecontainers(£38.87perhectolitre). Whileintheshorttermdutycannotbemadedirectlyproportionatetostrength(duetoEuropeanregulation, see recommendation 4), the Government can restructure the duty system so that tax better corresponds to strength.TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommendsfourbandsforciderduty,assuggestedbelow: Band A B C D Strength (ABV %) 1.2 - 2.5 2.6 - 5.5 5.6 – 7.5 >7.5 Current Rate (per Hectolitre) £38.87 £38.87 £38.87 £59.99 Suggested change 2% reduction In line with duty escalator 20% increase In line with duty escalator Suggested xxiv Rate £38.09 £40.11 £46.64 £60.75 Inparticular,wewouldurgeasignificantincreaseinthedutyrateassociatedwithbandC,whichwouldraisethe price of the cheapest alcohol, and represent a significant step towards addressing the social harms linked to productsofthisstrength.Atthesametime,werecommendanewbandAforlow-strengthcider,andareduction of duty for drinks within this band, to incentivise producers to develop and market lower-strength ciders. For bands B and D, we recommend that duty should increase in line with a revised duty escalator, at 2% above inflation. Thisreviseddutystructurewouldrepresenttargetedandproportionateactionontheproductsthatcausethe mostharm,byrationalisingciderdutytoreduceperverseincentives.Thechartbelowshowsaselectionofthe leadingciderbrands,andthedutybandstheywouldfallinto.Thefirstpointtonoteisthatthevastmajorityof householdciderbrandswouldfallintobandB,andsowouldnotseeasubstantialincreaseinduty.Marketresearch data indicates that around 80% of the total cider market falls into this band.xxvThe second point is that while certainproductsthatwouldnotbeconsidered‘white’ciders–suchasScrumpyJackandThatchers-mightbe capturedinbandC,andsufferdutyincreases,thesearetypicallyontheboundaryofthedutycategoryataround 6%ABVandsoshouldbeabletoavoidthedutyincreasebyreformulatingtolowerstrength.Suchmoveswould bringadditionalpublichealthbenefits.Thethirdpointisthatthereareveryfewlow-alcoholciderproducts,in contrasttothelargenumbersoflow-strengthbeersinthemarket.IntroducingalowdutybandA,ascurrently existsforbeer,wouldincentivisethedevelopmentofsuchproducts. 5 Thereiscompellingevidencethatalteringdutybandscaninfluencemanufacturerbehaviour.Theintroductionof thecurrenttopbandforcidersover7.5%ABViscreditedwithshrinkingthemarketforcidersabovethisstrength from20%in1996tolessthan2%today.xxviSimilarly,themarketforsuper-strengthlagerdeclinedby18%between theintroductionofahigherrateofdutyforlagersover7.5%in2011and2014.xxviiAttheotherendofthespectrum, withinayearoftheannouncementofataxbreakforlowerstrengthbeersin2011,salesoftheproductsgrewby 40%nationwide.xxviii AnequivalenttoSmallBreweriesRelief,wherebyreduceddutyofupto50%isappliedtobrewersproducingless than60,000hectolitres,isnotpresentlyavailabletociderproducers.Thisseemsunfair:toillustrate,dutypayable by a small brewer per hectolitre on the first 5,000 hl for a 2.8% ABV will be £11.34, but a small cider maker producingtheequivalentamountatthesamestrengthwillpay£38.87(afterthefirst70hl)–overthreetimes more.ThecidermarketintheUKismuchsmallerthanbeer,sothedefinitionofasmallciderproducershouldbe adjustedaccordingly.Nevertheless,havingreachedasuitabledefinition,theGovernmentshouldconsiderfinding amechanismtooffersimilarrelieftosmallciderproducers,boostingthetraditionalciderindustryandmitigating adverseeffectsoftheproposalsaboveonsuchproducers. 3. Ensurespiritsaretaxedatahigherratethanwineandbeer. Incomparisontobeerandwine,spiritsaregenerallymuchcheapertoproduceanddistribute.Thesamerateofduty forallbeveragetypeswouldmeanthatdistilledspiritscouldbesoldmuchmorecheaplythanwineorbeer,whichis apublichealthconcernastheyaremuchstrongerandcarryagreaterriskofhealthandsocialharm. TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommends: • Araiseddutyescalatorforspiritsshouldbeintroduced,raising4%aboveinflation 6 Withthedutyratesonspiritsfrozenfor10years,untiltheintroductionofthealcoholdutyescalatorin2008,alcohol taxesforspiritsarehistoricallylow.Yetconsumptionlevelsarehistoricallyhighwithparticularconcernsaroundthe consumptionrateamongyoungwomen. ‘Historicandforecastreal-termsalcoholdutyindices1982-2014. Takenfrom‘Alcoholpricingandtaxationpolicies’,InstituteforFiscalStudies,2011 Fatalalcoholpoisoningsandaggressivebehaviouraremorestronglyassociatedwithspiritsthanwithothertypes ofalcoholicdrinks.xxixResearchalsosuggeststhatthosedrinkingspiritsathometendtounderestimatehowmuch theyaredrinkingandpourmuchgreateramountsthantypicalsinglemeasures.xxxIncreasedconsumptionofspirits thereforerepresentsapublichealthconcernandcaremustconsequentlybetakenastohowthesebeveragesare taxed. Giventhehighpotencyofspirits,plusthefactthattheirproductionanddistributioncostsaremuchlowerthanfor otherbeveragetypes,xxxiitisimperativethatspiritscontinuetobetaxedatahigherratethanbeer,ciderandwine. We recommend that, in recognition of the burden of harm that spirits consumption poses, the duty on spirits should,intheshorttomediumterm,increase4%aboveinflationasaresultofraisingthealcoholdutyescalator onspirits. 4. LobbyforchangeatEUlevelsothatdrinksinallcategoriescanbetaxedaccordingtotheirstrength ThestructureofUKalcoholtaxesisgovernedbyEuropeanDirectivesthatmeanundercurrentstructures,itisnot possibletotaxwineorciderbasedontheirstrength,althoughchangingthestructureonciderduty,asoutlined underrecommendation2,toallowgreatervariationintaxlevelsispossible.Thismeansthatcurrentlythereisno taxincentiveatanEUlevelforwineandcidermanufacturerstoproducelowerstrengthproductswithintherelatively wideexistingtaxbands. 7 TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommends: • The British Government should lobby the EU to change tax directives to allow different categories of drinkstobetaxedbasedontheirstrength Thedutyonwinebetween8.5%and15%ABVisaflatrate,andnoproductscanbemarketedas‘wine’intheEUif theyarebelow8.5%ABV(withtheexceptionofwineofProtectedDesignationofOrigin).Furthermore,currentEU rulesprohibittheuseoftechnologytoreducethestrengthofwinebymorethan2%ABV. LobbyingforchangeattheEUlevelshouldbealong-termgoalfortheGovernmentinordertohavegreaterfreedom overdomesticpricingpoliciesthatcanincentiviseswitchingfromhighstrengthalcoholproductstolowerstrength alternatives. Care must be taken however when making changes to the duty system to avoid incentivising the productionoflowstrengthwinesinadditiontohigherstrengthproducts,creatingabroadermarketandpossibly encouragingmoredrinkingoccasionsforconsumers.TheAHAstronglyrecommendsthatwheretaxreductionsare offeredforlowerstrengthwines,thesearematchedbytaxincreasesforhigherstrengthwines. 5. Implementaminimumunitpriceforallalcoholicproducts Minimumunitpricingandthealcoholdutyescalatorarecomplementarypolicies,thatworktogethertoreducelevels ofalcoholrelatedharmintheUK. TheAlcoholHealthAlliancerecommends: • Aminimumpriceof50pperunitofalcoholshouldbeimplementednationally While increasing taxes in the ways outlined above will have an effect on consumption levels, taxes on stronger products would have to rise by several hundred per cent to produce a significant reduction in levels of alcohol relatedharm,andproducersorretailersmaychoosetoabsorbtheriseratherthanpassitontocustomers.Itwould alsopenalisetheon-tradeandtheoff-tradeindiscriminately,negativelyimpactingonthealreadystrugglingpub tradeandwouldmakehigherpricealcoholmoreexpensivethanitalreadyis. Minimumunitpricingallowsallalcoholicbeveragestobepricedbasedonstrength(perunitofalcohol)sothat strongerbeverageshaveahigherpricethanweakeralternatives.Thepolicytherefore: • Targets cheaper, stronger drinks known to be consumed by harmful/young drinkers. It focuses on the problemscausedbycheap,high-strengthalcoholandonthosewhosufferthegreatestharms • Protects important and socially responsible local pubs by addressing irresponsibly low prices in the offtrade.Pricesinpubsarelikelytobeunaffectedasthiswouldbetheequivalentofapintbeingsoldat£1 • Protectssociallyresponsiblelocalindependentretailersbytargetingalcoholpromotionsuseda‘lossleader’ inlargerchain ModellingdataproducedinJuly2013bytheUniversityofSheffieldAlcoholResearchGroupforecastedthata50p minimumunitpricedwouldseea2.5%overallreductioninalcoholconsumptionwhichinturnwouldleadto50,700 fewer crimes in year one, 960 fewer deaths and 35,100 fewer hospital admissions by year 10 and a total cost reductiontohealth,crimeandworkplaceabsenceof£5.1bninthefirst10years.xxxii 8 AbouttheAlcoholHealthAlliance TheAHAUKbringstogetheroverfortyorganisationswhoshareaninterestinreducingthedamagecausedtohealth byalcoholmisuse. Membersincludemedicalbodies,charitiesandalcoholhealthcampaigners.Weworktogethertohighlighttherising levelsofalcohol-relatedhealthharm,proposeevidence-basedsolutionstoreducethisharmandinfluencedecision makerstotakepositiveactiontoaddressthedamagecausedbyalcoholmisuse. MembersoftheAHA: AcademyofMedicalRoyalColleges,ActiononAddiction,alcoHELP,AlcoholActionIreland,AlcoholConcern,Alcohol ConcernCymru,AlcoholFocusScotland,BalanceNorthEast,BeatingBowelCancer,BritishAssociationfortheStudy oftheLiver,BritishLiverTrust,BritishMedicalAssociation,BritishSocietyofGastroenterology,CentreforMental Health,CollegeforEmergencyMedicine,FacultyofDentalSurgery,FacultyofOccupationalMedicine,Facultyof Public Health, Institute of Alcohol Studies, Medical Council on Alcohol, National Addiction Centre, National OrganisationforFoetalAlcoholSyndromeUK,OurLife,RoyalCollegeofAnaesthetists,RoyalCollegeofGeneral Practitioners,RoyalCollegeofNursing,RoyalCollegeofPhysiciansofIreland,RoyalCollegeofPhysiciansLondon, Royal College of Physicians and Surgeons, Glasgow, Royal College of Psychiatrists, Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh, Royal College of Surgeons of England, Royal Pharmaceutical Society, Royal Society for Public Health, Scottish Health Action on Alcohol Problems, Scottish Intercollegiate Group on Alcohol, SHAAP (Scottish Health ActiononAlcoholProblems),SocietyfortheStudyofAddiction,SpinalInjuriesAssociation,TobaccoFreeFutures, TurningPoint,UKCentreforAlcoholandTobaccoStudies,UKHealthForum,ViolenceandSocietyResearchGroup 9 iHSCIC (2011) ‘Alcohol related hospital admissions top 1 million, new report shows’, available at http://www.hscic.gov.uk/article/1656/Alcohol-relatedhospital-admissions-top-1-million-new-report-shows[lastaccessed19/01/2016] ii Balakrishnan R et al (2009): the burden of alcohol-related ill health in the United Kingdom, Journal of Public Health, Vol 31, No 3, 366-373. As cited the th DepartmentofHealth’swrittensubmissiontotheHealthCommittee(GAS01,prepared19 July2012) iii GovernmentAlcoholStrategy2012k iv HomeOffice(2012)AMinimumUnitPriceforAlcoholImpactAssessment.London:HomeOffice,p5. v HMRevenue&Customs(2015),AlcoholBulletinNovember2015. vi HMTreasury(March2014),Budget2014,p57.;HMTreasury(March2015),Budget2015,p64. vii Sassi,F.etal(2013)TheRoleofFiscalPoliciesinHealthPromotion,OECDHealthWorkingPapers,No66,OECDPublishing. viii Balance North East (2013) ‘Worrying rise in young people with alcohol-related liver disease’, available at http://www.balancenortheast.co.uk/latestnews/worrying-rise-in-young-people-with-alcohol-related-liver-disease[Accessed22/01/16] ix Health&SocialCareInformationCentre(2015),StatisticsonAlcoholEngland,2015. x Mäkelä,P.andÖsterberg,P.(2009)Weakeningofonemorealcoholcontrolpillar:areviewoftheeffectsofthealcoholtaxcutsinFinlandin2004,Societyfor theStudyofAddiction,104,pp554-563. xi NuffieldCouncilonBioethics(2007)PublicHealth:EthicalIssues,London,NuffieldCouncilonBioethics,pxxvii. xii Ally,K.A.etal.(2014)Alcoholtaxpass-throughacrosstheproductandpricerange:doretailerstreatcheapalcoholdifferently?,SocietyfortheStudyof Addiction,109,pp1994-2002. xiii Health&SocialCareInformationCentre(2015),StatisticsonAlcoholEngland,2015. xiv Health&SocialCareInformationCentre(2015),StatisticsonAlcoholEngland,2015. xv InstituteforFiscalStudies(2011)Alcoholpricingandtaxationpolicies xvi School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield (2015) The Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model [Poster]. Research impact and Parliament, 2 November,PortcullisHouse,HousesofParliament,London. xvii Goodall,T.(2011)WhiteCiderandstreetdrinkers–Recommendationstoreduceharm.London,AlcoholConcern,pp6-7. xviii ThamesReachstatement xix Black,H.etal(2014)WhiteCiderConsumptionandHeavyDrinkers:ALow-CostOptionbutanUnknownprice.AlcoholandAlcoholism49:6,pp675-80. xx AlcoholConcern(2015)AlcoholBrandsConsumedbyYoungPeopleinTreatment2015. xxi Black,H.etal(2014)op.cit. xxii Goodall,T.(2011)op.cit. xxiii Black,H.etal(2014)op.cit. xxiv AssumesRPIof1.2%(RPI12-monthrateof1.2%toDecember2015).OfficeforNationalStatistics(2016),ConsumerPriceInflation,December2015. xxv NHS Health Scotland (2015), MESAS alcohol and sales price update 2015 [online]. Available at: http://www.healthscotland.com/documents/25918.aspx [Accessed26/01/2016]. xxvi NationalAssociationofCidermakers(2010)AResponsetotheAlcoholTaxationReview[online].Availableat: http://cideruk.com/files/PDF/NCGBRE.PDF[Accessed28/01/2016]. xxvii NHSHealthScotland(2015),op.cit. xxviii Roberts,G.(2012)Low-alcoholbeersshowtheircalibre,TheIndependent,online,availableathttp://tinyurl.com/n8e2xwn[Accessed11/02/2014]. xxix Mäkelä,P.etal.(2007)Doesbeveragetypematter?,NordicStudiesonAlcoholandDrugs,24,pp617-31. xxx Seehttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/8434905.stm[Accessed12/1/2016]. xxxi BritishBeerandPubAssociationresponsetoGovernmentreviewofalcoholtaxation,referencedinInstituteofAlcoholStudiesTheimpactofabolishingthe alcohol duty escalator, online, available from http://www.ias.org.uk/uploads/IAS%20briefing%20The%20Impact%20of%20Abolishing%20the%20Alcohol%20Duty%20Escalator.pdf[Accessed12/1/2016]. xxxii Yang,M.,Brennan,A.,Holmes,J.etal(2013)Modelledincomegroup-specificimpactsofalcoholminimumunitpricinginEngland2014/15:Policyappraisals usingnewdevelopmentstotheSheffieldAlcoholPolicyModel(v.2.5).Sheffield:SchoolofHealthandRelatedResearch,UniversityofSheffield 10
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