DOI: 10.1007/s00267-001-0058-3 PROFILE River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services: A Basis for Comparing Desired and Undesired Effects of Large Dam Projects ANNA BRISMAR* Department of Water and Environmental Studies Linköping University 581 83 Linköping, Sweden ABSTRACT / In developing countries, large dam projects continue to be launched, primarily to secure a time-stable freshwater supply and to generate hydropower. Meanwhile, calls for environmentally sustainable development put pressure on the dam-building industry to integrate ecological concerns in project planning and decision-making. Such integration requires environmental impact statements (EISs) that can communicate the societal implications of the ecological effects in terms that are understandable and useful to planners and decision-makers. The purpose of this study is to develop a basic framework for assessing the societal implications of the river ecological effects expected of a proposed large dam project. The aim is to In developing countries, large dam projects continue to be launched as central means to realize largescale irrigated agriculture, industrialization, and overall socioeconomic development. In semiarid subtropical regions, large dam projects are implemented primarily to secure a time-stable freshwater supply for irrigation and to generate hydroelectricity. In monsoonal regions, their primary purpose is often to protect against flooding. Additionally, commercial fish hatcheries are sometimes set up by the reservoir to increase the utility of the dam. In the last decade, a growing worldwide awareness of the environmental risks associated with large dam projects have led to increased calls for proper consideration of potential adverse ecological effects in planning and decision-making (WCD 2000). However, despite the introduction of national laws and regulations and international conventions that serve to protect enKEY WORDS: Large dam project; Ecosystem goods and services; Environmental impact assessment; Flow regulation; River ecology *Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; email: annbr@ tema.liu.se Environmental Management Vol. 29, No. 5, pp. 598 – 609 facilitate a comparison of desired and potential undesired effects on-site and downstream. The study involves two main tasks: to identify key river goods and services that a river system may provide, and to analyze how the implementation of a large dam project may alter the on-site capacity and downstream potentials to derive river goods and services from the river system. Three river goods and six river services are identified. River goods are defined as extractable partly man-made products and river services as naturally sustained processes. By four main types of flow manipulations, a large dam project improves the on-site capacity to derive desired river goods, but simultaneously threatens the provision of desirable river goods and services downstream. However, by adjusting the site, design, and operational schedule of the proposed dam project, undesirable effects on river goods and services can be minimized. vironmental interests, large dam projects continue to be planned and implemented without proper attention to the ecological effects (Swales and Harris 1996). Since its introduction in the United States in 1969, environmental impact assessment (EIA) has become a major tool for ensuring environmentally sound management practices (Ebisemiju 1993). EIA is a procedure used to predict, assess, estimate, and communicate the environmental consequences, both beneficial and adverse, of a proposed development project and to ensure that these consequences are taken into account in project design, implementation, and management (OECD 1992, Glasson and others 1999). The EIA report or environmental impact statement (EIS) should function as a crucial document to decide whether to proceed, modify, or reject a proposed project (Glasson and others 1999). It also should be used as a basis for comparing desired and undesired effects of alternative development projects and to clarify some of the conflicts of interests involved. In developing countries, the progress of adopting EIA as a practical tool has been extremely slow (Ebisemiju 1993). In those countries where EIA has been formally embraced, its practical performance still re© 2002 Springer-Verlag New York Inc. River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services mains poor and the EIA is often seen only as a postscript to planning (Ebisemiju 1993). It is here argued that an important reason for the poor performance of EIA is that conventional EISs do not effectively communicate the societal implications of the ecological effects. Predicted adverse ecological effects are often presented in a fragmented and technical manner that makes a comparison with the desired effects of the project more difficult. As a result, the EIS cannot significantly influence the site, design, and operational schedule of a proposed dam project, and the project is planned mainly on political, economic, and technological grounds. In order to increase the usefulness of the EIS, adverse ecological effects need to be identified and translated into a terminology that is comprehensible and relevant to the decision-makers (Firth 1998). This would facilitate a comparison of desired functions and undesired effects expected from the proposed dam project and help to support compromise building among conflicting interests. In the field of ecological economics, the concept ecosystem goods and services has been developed to facilitate a dialogue between economists and ecologists. An ecosystem good or service is defined as any natural phenomenon that has a perceived societal function or value (e.g., Daily 1997). Ecosystem goods and services are fundamentally generated by ecosystems (e.g., rivers, forests, lakes, or wetlands), but their provision can be enhanced or weakened by human intervention. Many ecosystem goods and services provide the basis for human existence (Daily 1997, Dasgupta and others 1994), while some contribute to enhance human welfare and societal development (Costanza and Folke 1996). Attempts have been made to identify the various goods and services that river systems may provide (Meyer 1997, Postel and Carpenter 1997, Strange and others 1999). However, no study has been found that addresses how the capacity of a river system to provide such goods and services is influenced by the implementation of a large dam project. The purpose of this study is to develop a basic framework for assessing the societal implications of key river ecological effects that large dam projects may induce, in order to facilitate comparison of desired and undesired effects of dam project proposals. The study involves two main tasks: to identify key river goods and services that a river system may provide, and to analyze how the implementation of a large dam project may alter the on-site capacity and downstream potentials to derive river goods and services from the river system. The paper focuses on developing countries, where large dam projects for irrigation and hydroelectric 599 power generation will continue to be motivated by the overall need for socioeconomic development and by high seasonal and annual variations in precipitation and runoff. By definition, a large dam has a height of 15 m or more from the foundation, or a height of 5 m or more but a reservoir volume of more than 3 million m3 (WCD 2000). Viewing the River System as a Provider of Goods and Services The river system can be viewed as a potential provider of so-called river goods and services, which are of importance for human life and the functioning of society. The provision of river goods and services fundamentally depends on the natural characteristics of the river ecosystem. It also is affected by the presence of man-made river structures and by natural and human forces acting upon the river system. A large river system is naturally composed of channels, banks, floodplains, inland and coastal deltas, estuaries, and associated groundwater aquifers. As a result of societal development, most river systems also contain such man-made structures as dams, hydroelectric power plants, and irrigation canals. Defining River Goods River goods are defined as products that are of societal use when extracted or diverted from the river system. Although the generation of river goods fundamentally is determined by the natural river system, in part, it also depends on human interventions and technologies. Worldwide, the most desired river goods are fresh water, hydroelectric power, and fish. Fresh water. River systems constitute important sources of fresh water for traditional and modern societies all around the world. River water is used for all types of freshwater-dependent activities, including domestic, municipal, industrial, and irrigation uses. In semiarid subtropical regions, where rainfall is low, erratic, and seasonally highly varied (Falkenmark and Chapman 1989), rivers function as indispensable sources of fresh water for irrigated agriculture. Water is diverted from the river channel with or without obstruction of the river flow. Without flow obstruction, fresh water is diverted by canals, shunts, furrows, and natural stone cracks, or by means of pumping. Often, the river flow is stored behind dams, weirs, or barrages before diversion. Hydroelectric power. A large river system also provides the potential for the generation of hydroelectric power. Hydroelectric power is also a highly demanded natural 600 A. Brismar resource and is often preferred as an alternative to the energy produced by coal-fueled, oil-fueled, or nuclear power plants. High flow rates and large elevation differences increase the potential to generate hydroelectric power. The main stream, therefore, often provides the most favorable locations for hydroelectric power plants. There are three main types of hydroelectric power plants: storage, run-of-river, and pumped storage plants (Novak and others 1996, Gulliver and Arndt 1991). A storage plant presupposes a storage dam to effectively regulate the flow in response to the electricity demand. In contrast, a run-of-river plant does not involve a storage dam and thus cannot regulate the flow. Instead, it relies upon the natural flow of the river. In most parts of the world, a weir or barrage is used to concentrate the flow and to raise the upstream river level sufficiently to generate power. Only a day or week’s water volume can generally be stored above the weir or barrage; thus the electric output varies with the seasonal fluctuations in flow and is unevenly generated over the year. In some cases, water is diverted from the river into a canal or a long penstock installed with a weir and power station. A pumped storage plant is the least common type of plant and is a net consumer of electricity. Similar to a run-of-river plant, it does not utilize a storage dam. Instead, the water is pumped through a pipe from a lower reservoir during off-peak hours when the price of energy is low. During peak hours, the water is released through the pipe to generate electricity at a higher price. A storage plant connected to a large storage dam is the most common type of hydropower facility and has the greatest capacity for power generation (Novak and others 1996). Native and stocked fish. Most healthy river systems constitute important sources of fish for society (Welcomme 1989). Fish is harvested for various reasons, e.g., consumption, recreational purposes, ecological studies, and as environmental indicators. Native fish species are adapted to the natural flow regime and are often migratory, which means that they utilize the entire river continuum, including the headwaters, floodplains, and estuary to complete their life cycles (Welcomme 1989). Examples of migratory fish species are carp, salmon, and eel (Rosenberg and others 1997). The abundance and diversity of the native fish stock can be deliberately enhanced or complemented by stocking of desired exotic fish, either in the river channel or in dam reservoirs. Defining River Services River services are here defined as processes that are of societal value and that are naturally generated and maintained by the river system. Most river services operate over the river’s entire length and generally depend on the natural dynamics of the river system. Although naturally generated, technical devices, dam operations, and other practices can be used to artificially enhance their generation. For example, transportation and dilution of pollutants can be enhanced by the release of artificial high flows from dam reservoirs. Transportation and dilution of pollutants. A river has a natural capacity to transport and dilute polluted discharges and runoff and to transport the pollutants downstream, sometimes all the way to the delta and coastal zone (e.g., Stanley and Warne 1998). This river service is widely relied upon by governments, cities, companies, industries, and private persons for disposing of untreated or residual wastes. The transportation rate of pollutants depends on the flow rate and on the presence of suspended particles to which the pollutants can adsorb. High flows, especially flood pulses, and high concentrations of suspended silt particles accelerate their transportation rate. Partial water purification. The river system has a natural capacity to purify the river water from pollutants. Pollutants can be categorized into acids and acidifying agents, nutrients, degradable organic compounds, inert organic compounds, metals, and metalloids (Falkenmark and Allard 1991). When pollutants are released into to the water, they can either become diluted, suspended in the water, adsorbed onto particles and various material, assimilated into living organisms (Strange and others 1999), embedded into the sediments, or decomposed by biochemical reactions. Their actual fate depends on their chemical properties and on the physical, chemical, and biological conditions in the river. Sedimentation and assimilation into organisms temporarily remove pollutants from the water, whereas by biochemical decomposition they are transformed and possibly detoxified. Thus, various natural processes can temporarily or partially purify the river water. Riverbank stabilization. The river system is also capable of maintaining riverbank stability (Patten 1998). Riverbank stability is supported by the continuous deposition of silt along the riverbanks. It also is favored by riparian vegetation adapted to the recurrence of seasonal and annual floods and elevated groundwater tables (Naiman and Décamps 1997). With strong and flexible stems and root systems, the riparian vegetation can stabilize riverbanks and effectively protect them from erosion by water currents. The plants can also contribute to holding the shoreline material in place by slowing the flow of the river. With little or no riparian vegetation, riverbanks can be highly unstable and subject to large soil losses and River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services significant channel widening. According to a study by Beeson and Doyle (1995), extensive bank erosion can be 30 times more prevalent on nonvegetated banks exposed to currents than on vegetated banks. Soil wetting and fertilization of floodplains and deltas. Since ancient times, seasonal floods have been utilized to irrigate and fertilize agricultural land on river floodplains and deltas. In the developed world, almost all larger river floodplains and deltas have been isolated from seasonal flood pulses by levees and barrages (Sparks and others 1998). In the developing world, a number of large river floodplains and inland and coastal deltas still remain (Adams 1993). Apart from providing important fishing grounds, cattle grazing land, sources of fuel wood, and groundwater recharge areas, floodplains and deltas also constitute extensive farming areas. Today, flood-dependent farming is practiced on most major West African wetlands, such as the River Senegal floodplain, the Hadejia-Jama’ are River floodplain in northern Nigeria, the Niger inland delta, and the Logone-Chari system in Cameroon (Adams 1993). Floodplain and delta farming relies on the recurrence of floods in the rainy season (Adams 1993). When the river overflows, the riparian soil becomes inundated and replenished with water, silt, and nutrients. The duration of the flood season varies, but can last for a couple of months. While the floodwater is still high, so-called flood cropping is practiced and watertolerant crops are planted. On the Niger Inland Delta, rice is planted in the rainy season in July and August, before the floodwater rises, and is harvested when the floods recede, between December and February. When the floodwater has drained off the land, the residual moisture is utilized for farming of less water-tolerant crops, such as sorghum, cassava, and groundnuts. This practice is called flood recession farming (Adams 1993). Although floodplain and delta farming generally constitute sustainable ways of managing river systems, these practices are also associated with great uncertainties related to the timing and magnitude of floods (Barbier and Thompson 1998). Flood flow storage on floodplains. The river system also has a natural ability to control flooding. The presence of a well-vegetated alluvial floodplain reduces the risk for downstream flooding (Covich 1993), by slowing the movement of floodwater and providing a shallow but extensive natural spongelike reservoir that absorbs a substantial part of the floodwater (Sparks and others 1998). When the river channel overflows, the floodwater is stored in the soil, taken up by the vegetation, lost as evapotranspiration, assembled in floodplain lakes, or percolates into the groundwater aquifers below the 601 floodplain. In order to provide an effective flood control system, the floodplain vegetation must be subject to the seasonal flow variations to which it is adapted. Changes to the water level and to the timing, duration, and frequency of seasonal floods can disturb the regeneration of vegetation and reduce the vegetative cover and thereby the natural capacity for flood storage (Sparks and others 1998). Delta erosion control. Due to its high natural soil fertility, the coastal delta area often functions as an important agricultural zone. The presence of a delta area, however, depends on the continuous transportation and deposition of sediments from upper reaches to withstand erosion by coastal currents (Stanley and Warne 1998). On its downstream journey, the river water carries excess sediments from its headwaters and eroding upper reaches and deposits the sediment downstream, on the riverbed, banks, floodplains, delta, and at the coast (Hay 1998). The sediment transport capacity is affected by the sediment load, the flow volume, and the gradient (Hay 1998). High flows, particularly flood flows, are responsible for most of the sediment transportation downstream, and largely determine the degree to which sediments are deposited on deltas or discharged at the coast. In temperate regions, flood flows cause a dramatic increase in sediment deposition both at the delta or estuary and coast. In subtropical and tropical regions, a large share of the annual sediment deposition at the delta and estuary comes from just a few intensive rainfalls and flood events (Milliman and Syvitski 1992, Vaithiyanathan and others 1992). Because the flood flow is so strong, a relatively high percentage of the transported silt is discharged at the coast, leaving a smaller share to be deposited on the estuary (Eyre and others 1998). Table 1 summarizes the river goods and services here addressed. Assessing Functions and Effects as Altered Potentials for Goods and Services Dam Project Involves Manipulation of River Flow Regime A large dam project, intended for irrigation and hydroelectric power purposes, necessitates four main types of manipulation of the river flow regime: blockage, storage, regulation, and withdrawal of the river flow. These flow manipulations are necessary to achieve the intended project functions, i.e., to enhance the capacity to derive river goods on-site (such as fresh 602 Table 1. A. Brismar Goods and services that may be derived or maintained by a river systema River goods Fresh water diverted without flow obstruction or by means of dams or weirs1 Hydroelectric power generated by run-of-river, pumped storage, or storage plants2 Fish reproduced naturally in the river (native river fish) or sustained by stocking in the reservoir (exotic pelagic fish)3 River services Transportation and dilution of pollutants in the river water4 Partial water purification by adsorption, sedimentation, assimilation, chemical transformation, or decomposition5 Riverbank stabilization by silt deposition and riparian vegetation6 Soil wetting and fertilization of floodplains and inland and coastal deltas7 Flood flow storage by soil infiltration, evapotranspiration, and groundwater recharge within floodplains8 Delta erosion control by transportation and deposition of sediments9 a Sources: 1Keller and others (2000), 2Novak and others (1996), 3Welcomme (1989), 4Stanley and Warne (1998), 5Strange and others (1999), Naiman and Décamps (1997) and Patten (1998), 7Adams (1993), 8Covich (1993) and Sparks and others (1998), 9Hay (1998) and Stanley and Warne (1998). 6 water, hydroelectric power, and hatched pelagic fish). The character of the flow manipulations depends on the site, design, and operational schedule of the dam project, as well as on the natural flow regime. Modifications to the natural flow regime or hydrology also induce geomorphic and biological effects that together change the potentials to derive river goods and maintain river services downstream. Each flow manipulation has its particular effect on the river system and on the potential to generate river goods and services in the basin. For multipurpose dam projects, the operational schedule is a compromise between the different project objectives. Dam operations designed for irrigation purposes generally imply that water is stored in the highflow season for use in the hot and dry season. Dam operations adjusted for hydroelectricity generation generally imply that water is stored at night and over weekends when the demand for electricity is lower; relatively more water is released during the day when the electricity demand is higher (Cushman 1985). On-Site Improvements in Generation of River Goods Storage and withdrawal of fresh water. In river basins characterized by high seasonal and interannual variations in river flow and recurrent periods of critically low flows, a large dam may significantly enhance the on-site capacity to utilize the river as a fresh water source. The reservoir capacity of a large dam may be sufficient to supply water for large-scale irrigation, even after several consecutive years of low flow (Keller and others 2000). In contrast, the reservoir capacity of small dams is suited to meet the water demands for periods of only a few months and for smaller sized farmlands (Keller and others 2000). By replenishing the reservoir in periods of high flows, reservoir water can be withdrawn during months, seasons, and years of below average flows. Thus, natural seasonal and annual fluctuations in the availability of river water are overcome and a relatively time-stable availability of fresh water is attained. In the semiarid and arid subtropics, storage of river flow is generally associated with high evaporation losses and high rates of reservoir siltation. Moreover, agricultural chemicals such as pesticides, insecticides, and fertilizers easily leak into the reservoir body and pollute the reservoir water. Pollution-induced physiochemical changes to the reservoir water may create unpleasant odors and tastes and make the reservoir water unfit for drinking and recreational purposes (Cogels and others 1997). Generation of hydroelectric power. By means of a storage power plant, a large dam project enables the generation of hydroelectricity at a relatively constant rate over the year (assuming sufficiently high inflow rates). With a large dam, river water can also be stored for periods of several years in order to meet future electricity demands. In cases where the dam project is used for water diversion purposes, the generation of hydropower is also adjusted to the demands for fresh water. Although a large reservoir takes a longer time to deplete, it also takes longer time to refill. A longer period of below-average inflow rates may necessitate breaks in the power production, in order to raise the reservoir water level above the minimum operational level. Thus, even a very large dam may fail to produce electricity at a constant rate, especially if the demands of fresh water for other purposes are great. Over time, the power generation capacity generally declines due to reservoir siltation, which reduces the reservoir volume available for water storage. Reservoir River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services siltation is particularly high in erosion-prone watersheds, such as the Chinese Yellow River basin, which continuously receives large amounts of sediment from the Loess Plateau (Douglas 1989). Stocked exotic and native fish in the reservoir. A large dam reservoir also provides the opportunity for stocking of fish species that can thrive in lake environments. Fish stocking is often promoted by commercial interests but can also be intended for local subsistence fishing. Because the physiochemical properties of the reservoir lake closely resemble those of a natural lake, pelagic fish populations can be established rather easily. With high reproduction rates, fish yields can be substantial. If the stocked fish is properly selected and managed, yields can remain high for several years or decades. According to Covich (1993), however, the stocked fish populations rarely remain stable in the long run. In many cases, exotic pelagic fish species have been found to compete with and predate on native fish species, sometimes to the extent that the latter are eliminated within a few years (Strange and others 1999). The capacity of native river fish species to survive in the reservoir varies. Migratory white fish are the earliest to disappear from the reservoir body, while black and gray fish species tend to colonize littoral areas and the main reservoir body, respectively (Welcomme 1989). Downstream Threats to Provision of River Goods and Services Fresh water. Effects on the downstream availability of fresh water depend on the manner in which the river flow is stored, regulated, and diverted. Storage of river flow in the reservoir accelerates the evaporation of river water by increasing the evaporating surface area. This lowers the annual average flow available downstream, as does withdrawal of water from the reservoir. Flow regulation has both positive and negative effects on the availability of fresh water in downstream reaches. In general, flow regulation increases minimum monthly flows and average monthly flows during the low-flow season (Casado and others 1989). In seasons of natural high flows and flood flows, peak and average monthly flows are reduced (Liu and Yu 1992). This results in reduced availability of water in downstream reaches during these periods. However, flow stabilization by upstream dams is desired in areas where the existing storage capacity is not sufficiently high to protect against flooding. The downstream water availability is also influenced by dam operations for hydroelectric power generation. Such operations generally result in rapid daily fluctuations with higher daily flows than night flows and re- 603 duced weekend flows (Casado and others 1989, Cushman 1985). Daily fluctuations can be neutralized by construction of a reregulating dam closely downstream. Hydroelectricity. Dam-related flow manipulations for irrigation and hydroelectricity generation affect the potential for hydroelectricity generation in downstream reaches. Generally, reservoir replenishment in the high-flow season results in reduced average monthly flows and peak flows, which together reduce the potential for hydroelectricity generation downstream. In the low-flow season, however, increased minimum monthly flows would generally improve downstream hydropower potentials as more water can be stored and released from downstream reservoirs to generate power. Yet, the actual effects downstream depend on the manner by which the river flow is stored, regulated, and diverted upstream, as well as by the natural flow regime. Native fish. Dam-related manipulations of the natural flow regime can threaten the diversity and abundance of native fish populations (e.g., Brooker 1981, Rosenberg and others 1997, Swales 1989). The natural timing of high and low flows provides important cues for migratory fish to initiate new life-cycle stages, such as spawning, egg hatching, rearing, or migration (Poff and others 1997). When the flow regime is regulated, these natural cues are eliminated and the natural reproduction system of native fishes is impaired (Poff and others 1997). Reduction of high flows and flood flows also threatens the quality of the floodplains of large alluvial rivers, which constitute important grounds for feeding, spawning, and rearing (Sparks and others 1998). Stored water undergoes important changes in temperature, turbidity, and concentrations of dissolved oxygen, silt, and nutrients (Petts 1984). As water is released from the reservoir, these physiochemical changes are transmitted downstream, thus altering the living environment of downstream fish populations (Casado and others 1989, Liu and Yu 1992). Effects on fish populations have been identified in the form of altered spawning behavior and reduced growth rate of individual fish (Zhong and Power 1996). The fish stock is also affected by changes in the distribution of aquatic plants and invertebrate communities that depend on the natural flow regime (Petts 1990). Moreover, blockage of the river flow isolates upstream spawning areas, impedes ascending fish migration, and kills descending fish individuals that are too big to pass through the turbines. The effects on a particular fish species also depend on its adaptive capacity. Thus, some species are exterminated, while others recover slowly, and still others are able to grow and spawn (Liu and Yu 1992). 604 A. Brismar Transportation and dilution of pollutants. Dam-related flow manipulations generally reduce a river’s capacity to transport and dilute polluted water (Petts 1990, Barodawala and others 1992). The greatest impact on the river’s transportation capacity is caused by flow regulation. While discharges above the normal dry-season flow increase the transportation capacity of the river, in the rainy season, neutralization of natural high flows greatly reduce the transportation rate. High flows are particularly important for the discharge of coarser particles from the delta into the coastal water (Vaithiyanathan and others 1992). Coarser particles are heavier and thus more difficult to flush out than lighter finer particles. Many heavy metals, for example, iron, lead, copper, zinc, nickel, chromium, and arsenic, are dominantly present on finer silt and sand particles with sizes less than 20 m (Vaithiyanathan and others 1992) and are thus more easily flushed out. Similarly, water withdrawal and subsequent reductions in average monthly flows shorten the transportation distance of sedimentattached pollutants, especially those attached to coarser particles. Flow blockage and storage also modify the downstream transportation of pollutants. Pollutants are often attached to sediment particles of various sizes. In the reservoir, coarser particles and attached pollutants settle on the reservoir floor, while pollutants attached to finer particles tend to stay in solution. Pollutants attached to finer particles thus have a greater chance of being released from the reservoir. Partial water purification. A large dam project may also alter the capacity of the river system to partially or temporarily purify the water. When river flow is stored behind the dam and little or no vertical mixing occurs, the waterbody in the reservoir undergoes stratification (Petts 1984). This means that two distinct water layers develop, with different temperatures and dissolved oxygen concentrations. In the bottom layer, organic matter from the in-flowing water is decomposed under the consumption of dissolved oxygen. If no mixing with the upper, more oxygen-rich layer occurs, the bottom water layer eventually becomes anoxic. In the warm season, the bottom layer also has lower temperatures than the upper layer. As a result, water drawn from the bottom layer of stratified reservoirs generally has lower concentrations of dissolved oxygen and lower warm-season temperatures than the incoming water to the reservoir (Zhong and Power 1996). Reduced water temperatures and concentrations of dissolved oxygen both lower the rate of aerobic decomposition of organic pollutants (Petts 1984). Flow stabilization may also lower the concentration of dissolved oxygen in downstream waters, by reducing mixing with the air. Moreover, a reduction of the flood flows lowers the decomposition and assimilation of pollutants on downstream floodplains, by reducing the inundated area. Riverbank stabilization. Manipulation of the natural flow regime also disrupts the natural capacity of the river to maintain riverbank stability (Petts 1984, Cushman 1985). A reduction in the amount of sediment that can be transported downstream (due to reservoir sedimentation) and a reduction in the transport capacity of the river (due mainly to flow regulation) lower the deposition of sediment along the riverbanks and increase their susceptibility to erosion. In addition, rapid daily variations in the water level have an eroding impact on the riverbanks. Higher-than-normal water levels can cause flooding of the upper banks and subsequent degradation of the riparian vegetation. This also increases the susceptibility of the banks to erosion. Destabilized riverbanks, in turn, may undermine bridges, culverts, and road embankments (Petts 1984). In some places, the new neutralized flow regime may encourage the establishment of new species on the riverbank that can take over the role as stabilizing agents (Petts 1984). Soil wetting and fertilization of floodplains and deltas. Dam-related flow manipulations can drastically reduce the fertility of floodplains and deltas. Flow regulation alters the timing and reduces the area, depth, and period of floodplain inundation (Adams and Hughes 1986). The repression of high flows in the rainy season, which normally would carry large amounts of water, silt, and nutrients downstream, weakens the transport capacity of the river and reduces the amount of silt and nutrients that are deposited on the floodplains. Reservoir siltation also contributes to lower the amount of silt and nutrients that are transported downstream (Stanley and Warne 1998). Yet, the actual concentration of nutrients in the release water depends in part on the position of the outlet gates; water releases through bottom outlets are higher in total dissolved solids (Petts 1984). Although erosion and resuspension of sediments from the riverbed could partially offset the effects of reservoir siltation and repressed high flows, the result of a large dam project is still generally a net reduction in the amount of silt and water that inundates the floodplain (Petts 1984). Flood flow storage. Reductions in average water flows and repression of flood flows may threaten the capacity of floodplains to function as natural flood control systems. If the flood flow and average water level are sufficiently reduced, the floodplain may desiccate. When the old vegetation dies, new adaptive plant species may emerge and become established on the flood- River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services plain. Yet, the new vegetation is less tolerant to flooding and less capable of absorbing excess water of future floods. In recent years, losses of floodplains have been shown to aggravate the consequences of floods (Rapport and others 1998). In flood prone areas, the recurrence of great floods has promoted the construction of large dam projects to reduce the extent of downstream flooding. While large dam projects would introduce man-made flood protection measures, they would simultaneously jeopardize the natural capacity of the river system to mitigate flooding. Delta erosion control. As a result of widespread dam construction during the twentieth century, the net amount of suspended load reaching the oceans has been dramatically reduced in many places (Hay 1998). By trapping sediment in the reservoir and reducing the transport capacity of the river, large dam projects have significantly accelerated delta erosion at the coast. A large reservoir can trap a significant share of the suspended sediment load and most of the bed load, particularly the coarser particles (Vaithiyanathan and others 1992). The reservoir hereby substantially reduces the amount of sediment that is transported to the coastal delta (Stanley and Warne 1998). The trapping efficiency depends on the position of the outlet gates and on the presence of flushing operations (Hassanzadeh 1995). In Egypt, the High Dam at Aswan traps more than 125 million tons per year, which is more than 98% of the incoming sediment load (Stanley 1996). The Low Dam, High Dam, and downstream barrages have together trapped substantial sediment loads, reduced sediment deposition at the delta and coastline, and caused a significant retreat of the shoreline (Stanley 1996). Flow regulation may also increase the risk for coastal delta erosion. A reduction in high flows, in particular, may significantly shorten the distance by which sediments are transported downstream, resulting in early deposition within the basin (Stanley and Warne 1998). This is particularly the case in river basins where most of the annual catchment runoff is delivered during short flood periods of less than a month (Eyre and others 1998). The transport capacity is also weakened by reduced daily average flows (Benn and Erskine 1994) and by reduced annual average flows (Stanley 1996). When more sediment is eroded than is deposited at the delta shoreline, net erosion and shoreline retreat set in. Table 2 below summarizes the identified river goods and services and their key characteristics before and after dam project implementation. 605 Discussion and Conclusion In the last decade, calls for environmentally sustainable development have put pressure on the dam-building industry to integrate ecological concerns in dam project planning and decision-making. Yet, environmental impact statements (EISs) of potential adverse ecological effects of large dam projects are often presented in technical terms that have limited practical use to planners and decision-makers. Most ecological effects are diffuse, intangible, and difficult to evaluate economically, and thus are not easily compared with the desired functions and expected societal benefits of the project. As a result, ecological interests rarely have any significant influence over the choice of dam site, design, and operational rules, and the dam project is planned primarily or exclusively with regard to political, economic, and technological concerns. In planning large dam projects, EIA consultants have an important role to play in predicting, assessing, and communicating potential adverse on-site and downstream effects to planners and decision-makers, and the present usefulness of the EIS in planning and decision-making needs to be improved. Based on an interdisciplinary language that integrates ecological and economic perspectives, the EIS could communicate the societal implications of predicted ecological effects and thus function as a basis for comparing desired functions and undesired effects of the proposed dam project. Ultimately, the EIS could be used to support compromise building between conflicting interests. This study has attempted to develop a basic framework for assessing the societal implications of key river ecological effects that large dam projects may induce, in order to facilitate comparison of desired and undesired effects of dam project proposals. The framework is based on a view of the river system as a provider of river goods and services. It can be used as a tool for assessing the desired functions and undesired ecological effects of a proposed dam project in terms of altered potentials to derive river goods and services on-site and downstream. This approach differs from conventional EIA procedures, in which the environmental impacts are assessed in terms of changes to the flora, fauna, hydrology, geology, climate, archaeology, settlements, human health, etc (OECD 1992). This paper defines river goods as products that are generated or made accessible partly by human means. They are of societal use when extracted or diverted from the river system. River services are defined as processes that are naturally generated in the river system but that can be enhanced by human means. Three 606 Table 2. project A. Brismar Potentials to derive river goods and maintain services before and after implementation of a large dam After implementation Character River goods Fresh water Hydroelectric power Fish River services Transportation and dilution of pollutants Partial water purification Riverbank stabilization Soil wetting and fertilization Flood flow storage Delta erosion control Before implementation Can be provided by pumping or diversion through canals, furrows, etc, often with support of smaller dams Can be generated by run-of-river or pumped-storage plants or by storage plants connected to smaller dams Can naturally produce native river fish that are adapted to predam habitat conditions in the river Provided particularly by high flows which can transport pollutants all the way to the delta and coast Provided by adsorption, sedimentation, assimilation, chemical transformation, or decomposition in the river channel and on the floodplains Provided by silt deposition and by the roots and stems of riparian vegetation Provided by high flows that inundate floodplains and deltas and replenish the soil with nutrients, organic matter, and water Provided by soil infiltration, evapotranspiration, and groundwater recharge within floodplains Provided by continuous deposition of silt at the coastal delta, which counteracts delta erosion by currents key river goods and six key river services that could be provided by a river system are identified here: The river goods are fresh water, hydroelectricity, and fish; the river services are transportation and dilution of pollutants, partial water purification, riverbank stabilization, soil wetting and fertilization, flood flow storage, and delta erosion control. Since the identification of any river good or service depends on what features of the river system are perceived as valuable to human societies, the list of river goods and services presented does not claim to be complete. For any specific dam project, attempts should be made to identify the river goods and services that are of societal value in the concerned river basin. Implementation of a large dam project involves four main types of flow manipulations or interventions. Together, these flow manipulations are to some extent necessary to provide or increase the on-site capacity to generate hydroelectricity, to secure a time-stable supply of fresh water, and to provide opportunities for hatching of pelagic fish. At the same time, these flow manipulations induce river ecological effects that threaten the provision of and potential for river goods and services downstream (Figure 1). Because the river system is On-site Downstream Increased and more time-stable water availability in dry season and in years with below-average annual flow Increased capacity to attain a higher and more time-stable hydroelectric power generation Increased and more time-stable water availability in the dry season but reduced annual averages and rainy season flows Reduced generation potentials in the rainy season, but increased in the dry season Enables stocking of pelagic fishes in the reservoir, but the native fish stock may be reduced Risk for reduced abundance and diversity of native fish species, especially migratory species — — — — — — Reduced transportation and dilution of pollutants in the rainy season, but increased in the dry season Risk for reduced rate of decomposition and biological assimilation, due to reduced water temperatures and oxygen concentrations Risk for reduced stability along erosion-prone and nonvegetated riverbanks Reduced soil wetting and fertilization on deltas and floodplains in general, particularly in the flood season, but possibly increased in the dry season Risk for reduced capacity to store or divert flood water, if floodplains become desiccated Risk for increased delta erosion at the coast, due to lowered sediment deposition over the year characterized by complex physical, chemical, and biological interactions in time and space, it is not possible to maximize the on-site production of river goods while simultaneously maintaining the downstream provision of river services unaffected. In other words, unavoidable conflicts of interest prevails: whereas the achievement of intended project functions requires stabilization of the natural flow regime, maintenance of existing river services is favored by flow operations that mimic the natural flow regime. Moreover, river services are provided naturally and free of charge and often operate over the entire river basin. As a result, their economic values are difficult to appreciate and they often become neglected in dam project planning and decision-making. In order to minimize the risk for reductions in the potential to derive valuable river goods and services from the world’s river systems, dam projects should be planned with careful consideration to the likely on-site and downstream effects on perceived river goods and services in the basin. The site, design, and operational schedule should be chosen with knowledge of how the four main types of flow manipulations, i.e., blockage, storage, regulation, and withdrawal of river flow, may River Systems as Providers of Goods and Services 607 Figure 1. The diagram illustrates how a large dam project, by four main types of flow manipulations, may alter the on-site capacity and downstream potentials to derive river goods (in light gray) and river services (in dark gray) in the river basin. The diagram provides a basic framework for comparing desired and undesired effects of large dam projects designed for irrigation and hydroelectric power generation. affect the on-site capacity and downstream potentials for river goods and services. This requires knowledge of how the generation of river goods and services is naturally influenced by changes in the hydrology, geomorphology, and biology of the concerned river system. Dam project planning of course also necessitates information on the natural flow regime, i.e., the timing, magnitude, and duration of natural high and low flows, as well as monthly and annual average flows (Poff and others 1997). Ultimately, making necessary dam project adjustments demands political will to sacrifice the extent to which intended project functions are attained, i.e., the capacity and rate by which hydroelectric power can be generated and river water can be stored and withdrawn. Compromises between the on-site provision of river goods and the downstream provision of river goods and services are thus needed. Mitigation and compensation measures should be identified to promote a minimum of adverse effects and a maximum of positive effects on the provision of river goods and services in the basin at large. To continue work along this line, future studies should be initiated to apply the developed framework to specific dam project situations. This would involve attempts to identify methods for quantitatively evaluating the societal benefits or opportunity costs of protecting certain river goods or services by making necessary adjustments to the site, design, and/or operational schedule of a proposed dam project. Some related work along this line has already been made. According to Bathia (2000), in the Subernarekha River basin in eastern India, attempts have been made to estimate the reduction in aggregate economic benefits when part of 608 A. Brismar the reservoir water is reserved for protecting certain ecosystem services in downstream reaches. Acknowledgments The author is grateful to all those who have been of help in the working process. Particular thanks go to Malin Falkenmark, Jan Lundqvist, and Hans Bergh for valuable discussions. This article has also benefited from comments of referees on an earlier draft. The study has been made with the financial support of the Bank of Sweden Tercentenary Foundation. 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