INTRODUCTION Both coasts of the Pacific Ocean will be as populated and open to commerce and as industrialized as the coast from Boston to New Orleans is now. Then the Pacific Ocean will play the same role as the Atlantic Ocean does now as the Mediterranean did in antiquity and in Middle Ages. The role of the great water highway of world commerce and the Atlantic Ocean will decline to the level of an inland sea, as the Mediterranean is now. Karl Marx and Fredrick Engels on the probable consequences of the California gold rush. 1 Throughout history, global economic activity has revolved around three oceans. The Mediterranean was probably the most accomplished lake of commerce, but with the rise of the Americas in the 19th Century the Atlantic rose to prominence. The economic development of East Asia in the second half of the twentieth century has prompted the speculation that the Pacific may well eclipse the Atlantic in the projected volume of trade. It is interesting to note that the first person to use the term 'Pacific age' was the Japanese political economist lnagaki Manjiro (1861-1908).2 Inagaki studied during the late 1880s at Cambridge University, under the guidance of British historian Robert Seeley. lnagaki compared his country to Great Britain. For him Japan: a few small barren islands far away from glittering Europe would someday be like Great Britain. The recipe for success taught by Seeley - commercial and industrial expansion and refraining from wasteful military adventures - could be applied to Japan's case. lnagaki was optimistic, wholly confident that his country, which at that time exported coal, raw silk, tea, and rice, would be able to rise to the top rank of manufacturing nations. 3 However, he cannot be regarded as the absolute originator of the vision. Some roots could probably be found in seventeenth and eighteenth century utopian writing regarding China and Japan. According to Australian lore about the origins of the idea, Henry Copeland, who painted visionary images of the Pacific in 1882, had been mentioned. 4 In America, Senator William H. Seward, who later became President Abraham Lincoln's secretary of state, has 1 Cited in H. Edward English, 'The Pacific Formula, Institutional and Other Variables', Paper presented at the Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS) Affairs FoiUlll; Malaysia, April13 1989. 2 w~.tanabe Akio, Ajia-TaJJe)O no kokusai kan1x:i to Nihon Uapan and the Asia-Pacific Relations], (Tokyo: Tokyo University Press, 1992), pp. 98-102. 3 Inagaki Manjiro, japan and the Pacific: A japanese view of the Eastern Q.iestion, (London: T. Fisher Unwin, 1890), pp. 54 - 6. 4 Brunsdon C. Fletcher, 7he New Pacific: British piicyand German Aims, (London: Macrnillan, 1917), p. 39. 2 been credited with having uttered the following prophecy during the California gold rush sometime in the 1850s. European thought, European commerce, and European enterprise, although actually gaining in force, and European connections, although becoming more and more intimate, will nevertheless relatively sink in importance in the future, while the Pacific Ocean, its shores, its islands, and adjacent territories will become the chief theatre of human events and activities in the world's great hereafter.s When the process of economic development began in Japan in the 1950s, it was thought to be a great exception that a non-Western country had attained the levels of modernization and economic development. However, this spread to other parts of Asia including the Newly Industrializing Economies (NIEs), such as the Republic of Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong, the states of ASEAN (Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei and NIEs) and then to China. These countries have often sustained for a decade or more average annual growth rates of 8-10 percent or more. The speed of this economic transformation has been overwhelming. As Kishore Mahbubani has pointed out, it took Britain and the United States fifty-eight years and forty-seven years, respectively, to double their per capita output, but Japan did it in thirty-three years, Indonesia in seventeen, South Korea in eleven, and China in ten. 6 An equally ci.ramatic expansion of trade has occurred first between Asia and the world and then within Asia. Simultaneous to the rise of East Asia and the subsequent change in the global economic balance of power, has been the consolidation of the East Asian regional identity. Samuel Huntington points out that economic success has led East Asia tc trumpet the distinctiveness of their culture and superiority of their values as compared to the West.7 This in tum led to a trilateral consolidation of power with North America and Europe. According to Richard Higgot, the three regions do not make three distinct 'trade blocs', but are in the process of consolidation.8 Hence for regional openness to continue, there is the need for regional and multilateral institutions. 5 Nicholas Roosvelt, 7he Restless Pacific, (New York: Charles Scribner's Sons, 1928), p. 3. Kishore Mahbubani, "The Pacific Way," Foreif!Z Affairs, Vol. 74, January/Februai)' 1995, pp.100-103; World Bank, Global Eroncmic Prospa:ts and the DeuJoping Countries 1993, (Washington: 1993), pp. 66-67. 7 Samuel P. Huntington 7he Gash ofC~ and the Remaking ofthe World Order, (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1996), pp. 103-4. 8 Richard Higgot, "The Pacific and Beyond: APEC, ASEM and Regional Economic Management," in Grahame Thompson (ed.), Eronanic Dynami!m in the Asia~Pacific: 7he GruuAh of Integration and ~s, (London: Routledge, 1998), p. 335. 6 3 Subsequently, this has led to the post war surge in the building of institutions for regional cooperation. It began with institutions like Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC) in 1967 and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) which started the same year. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) followed the next year. Besides this, Pacific Trade and Development (PAFTAD) came into being in 1968. Subsequently, in 1980 and 1989, the Pacific Economic Cooperation Conference (PECC) and Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) were set up. Amitav Acharya points out that multilateral institution building in the region is process-driven to a large extent. 9 In other words, by avoiding grand institutional designs demanding finn obligations and reciprocity and focusing instead in the development of a slow-moving consultative process based on existing regional norms and practices, regional actors have grown comfortable with the idea of multilateralism. Multilateral institution - building in the Asia-Pacific region is thus a sociological and intersubjective dynamic, rather than a legalistic and formalistic one. It is an attempt to contrive and construct a regional identity through the development of a long-term habit of consultations. However, the fundamental goals of the multilateral institutions are not peculiar to the region. As Paul Evans has argued, institution building in the Asia-Pacific region, rather than following the pattern established in Europe and North America, is instead 'emerging from unique historical circumstances and will likely evolve in its own particular way'. 10 The origin of what is increasingly being referred to as the 'ASEAN way', 'Asian way' or 'Asia-Pacific way' of multilateralism is to be found in the conscious rejection by Asian leaders and policy elites of 'imported models' of multilateralism. Satoh Yukio, a senior Japanese Foreign Ministry official closely involved in the formative stages of regional security dialogues, provided one of the most forceful arguments as to why 'European concepts and processes would not fit the conditions of the Asian and Pacific region well.' He offered four reasons: Asia lacked the strict bipolarity of Europe because of the presence and ro1e of China and because many Asian states adopted a non aligned foreign policy posture. Secondly, military conditions in the respective regions were quite 9 Amitav Acharya, "Ideas, Identity, and Institution-Building: From the 'ASEAN way' to the 'Asia-Pacific· way'?," 7he Pacific Re-view, Vol. 10, No.3, 1997, p. 324. 10 See Paul M. Evans, "The dialogue process on Asia-Pacific security issue: inventory and analysis", in Paul M Evans (eel), Swdying Asia·Pacific Security, (Toronto & Jarkata: University of Toronto-York University Joint Center for Asia-Pacific Studies and Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1994). 4 different. Thirdly, Asia had a larger number of unresolved conflicts and disputes and fourthly, while Europe during the cold war was preoccupied with nuclear war, Asia's main concern was with economic development. Thus the primary aim of regional cooperatwn to date had been economic, not political or security. 11 More recently, proponents of the 'Asia-Pacific way' have emphasized the strategic culture and negotiating styles to account for the apparent uniqueness of institutional characteristics and decision making processes within Asia-Pacific multilateral institutions. In addition to the multilateral institutions, Takenaka Heizo points out that there is a third phase of sub-regional integration assuming shape in place of the earlier framework of growth led by national or quasi-national units-Japan, the Asian NIEs, and the United States. Typical examples include the economic integration of South China and Hong Kong (the South China economic sphere) and of China's Fujian Province and Taiwan (the Taiwan Strait economic sphere). Another example is Indo-Chinese economic integration centered on Thailand (the baht economic sphere). 12 The in1petus for regional cooperation can be traced to the years immediately before and after the World War I. 13 Increasing international economic growth, expansionism, competition, and disorder sparked the search for ways to ensure the peaceful settlement of disputes. Tllis was true not only in Western Europe, the major battleground of the First World War, but also in East Asia and the Pacific, where Sin~-Japanese and RussoJapanese conflicts had already signaled regional unease and imminent danger14 • Organized governmental action in response to regional concerns was first taken in 1907 with the founding, in Honolulu, of the Pan-Pacific Union, which sought to bring 'greater unity to the region through the development of communities in microcosm.' 15 Several efforts led to the establishment of functional but nonofficial fora. It was only in the 1925 that Pacific Union was able to establish the Institute of Pacific Relations (IPR). The Satoh Yukio, "Asian-Pacific Process for Stability and Security", Paper prepared for the Manila Conference on Regional Security, 6-7 June 1991, pp. S-6. 12 Takenaka Heiw, "Can Japan Glue Together Asia and the Pacific?," Japan Echo Vol. 22, No.4, Wmter 1995. Available at http:/ /www.japanecho.co.jp/docs/html/22CH07.html 13 Lawrence T. Woods, Asia-Pacific IJiplanacy: Non~ Orgpnizatiazs and Intemational Relations, (Vancouver: UBC Press, 1993), p. 29. 14 See Christopher Thome, 1he Limits of Fareigz Policy: 7he West, the League ani the Far Eastern Crisis of 193133, (New York: Capricorn), 1973. 11 5 organization's stated purpose was 'to study the conditions of the Pacific peoples with a view to improvement of their mutual relations'. 16 Discussions of the regional cooperation idea can also be found in the proceedings of the IPR conferences. The body was finally disbanded in 1960 - 61. However, the interest generated by it continued principally in business and academic circles and later tentatively in official quarters. It is interesting to note the centrality of Japan on the issue of Pacific Cooperation. In addition to its own failed attempts at creating a Pacific community, Japan was one of the founding members of IPR.. In the post \XTorld War II era, Japan still continues at the fulcrum of the proposals for regional economic cooperation. The country's ties with the region go back into history. It was through China and Korea that much of its traditional culture including writing system and early forms of political organization were imported. But following the Meiji Restoration in 1868, Japan made a conscious effort to distance itself from Asia. Later Japan reached for grander ambitions; while mouthing the rhetoric of an East Asian "Coprosperity Sphere," it sought to replace Western domination with its own. Tne World War II chastised Japan for its aggression but also reinforced its dependency on the West. In the 1950s and 60s, the Japanese government hesitated the mention of an 'Asia Policy' for fear of offending the countries victimized by Japanese aggression. But as the county's economy developed, its relations with the region also improved. After the mid 1980s, relations with East and Southeast Asia improved dramatically. Investment and the establishment of offshore production bases accompanied this. By mid-1990s more Japanese direct foreign investment was going to the Asia than to North America or Europe. Japan's initial direct investments were concentrated in the NIEs but gradually shifted to the ASEAN countries and then to China. This trend further endorsed a policy of "disengaging from America and engaging Asia." 17 This involved a ts George S. Kanaheb and Michael Haas, "ProspectS for a Pacific Community," Pacific Gmmunity, No.6 , 1974, p. 87. !6 J.B. Condliffe, (ed.), Prollons of the Pacific, 1929: Prrxmling of the Third O:Jnfore;ue of the Institute of Pacific Relatinns, Nara and Ky;to Japan, 23 G:tokr-9 Nawnb.:r 1929 ,(Chicago: University of Chicago press 1930), pp. 660. 17 Alex Kerr, Japan Trmes, 6 November 1994, p. 10; Ozawa Kazuhiko, "Ambivalence in Asia," Japan UJXlate, 44 (May 1995), 18-19. 6 re-identification with Japanese cultural traditions and renewed assertwn of 1t. Additionally, it also led to efforts to 'Asianize' Japan and identify it with a general Asian culture. There have been several calls for Japan to play a more active role in the AsiaPacific. Within the country, ultra nationalists like Ishihara Shintaro speak increasingly of the country's "return to Asia". 18 Some even argue that Japan's foothold is in Asia and it should catch up with the train of "Asian Community'' to play a leading role. 19In addition to this, regional leaders like Mahatir Bin Mohammad of Malaysia have also emphasized the need for Japan to assume the leadership of the region. On the other hand there are countries like China which has expressed concern over Japan's regional ambitions. 20 Here it is important to take a look at the Asia-Pacific region in order to assess Japan's position in it. THE CONCEPT OF ASIA-PACIFIC The region known as Asia-Pacific or Pacific Basin has been variously defined. Michael Oborne and Nicolas, Fourt distinguish between the two.21 They define Pacific Basin as the collection of nations washed by the Pacific Ocean including North and South America, the Asian continent and the island states east and north of Indonesia. On the other hand, the term Asia-Pacific has a more restrictive implication. This groups together the market economy nations on the Pacific slope of the Asian side of the Pacific and is more often referred to as Pacific Asia. The region represents a mosaic of cultural, social, economic and political entities. The western core comprises the economically 18 This theme is echoed in a book which Ishihara co-authored with Dr. Mahatir Mohammad entitled, The A si.a That Can Say No: A Card Against the West, it argues among other things, that Japan should return to its Asian roots and join the EAEC. 19 Toh Lam Seng, "Japan's Asianism a Cause for Concern", Straits Trmes, 17 May 1995. zc Many Chinese commentators compare Japan to a migratory bird and see Japan's recent 're-Asianization' as indicative of Tokyo's opportunistic response to the cultural, power and economic shift from the West to Asia. The flying geese format enunciated by the Japanese is considered to be Tokyo's means of dominating Asia. According to this format, Japan as the 'head goose' would gradually transfer less advanced industries and technologies backward to other following 'geese.' Chinese commentators unanimo.JS}y express disapproval of this format. One observer writes, 'Japan's move to "dissociate Europe and Return to Asia" attempting to be the head goose has attracted the attention of countries concerned Asian countries that suffered immensely from the Japanese "Great East Asia Co prosperity Sphere" welcome Japan's technological transfers and investment, and are willing to develop equal economic and trade relations. But they have no intention whatsoever to become markets for Japan to dump its outdated industries ...Other Asian countries are catching up, and are demonstrating themselves as 'group geese'.' Yong Deng, 'Chinese Relations with Japan: Implications for Asia-Pacific Regionalism' pp. 388-9. 7 developed nations, of Japan, Australia and New Zealand, the four Asian NIEs such as the Republic of Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong, the states of ASEAN including Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei and Vietnam. The socialist economies of the People's Republic of China, Laos, Cambodia and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea complete grouping. The numerous microstates of the Pacific stich as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia make up another part of the region. On the eastern core, the Asia-Pacific is flanked by USA, Canada, Mexico apart from the South American economies of Chile, Peru and Ecuador and Columbia. Some of the societies of the region are among the world's most ethnically homogenous like Japan and Korea, in part because of long periods of isolation. On the other hand, parts of Southeast Asia have always been commercial crossroads and are mixing bowls of cultures and peoples. The Malaysia-Singapore area astride the Straits of Malacca probably best typifies the ethnic and cultural diversity of this part of Pacific Asia. However, diversity can also be a basis for community building when combined with common features and interests. Despite the diversity, there are several shared features in the region especially in Pacific Asia. A notable factor is the centrality of China. Historically China's impact has been mainly through the movement of culture, goods, and people. Culturally the strongest impact was on Vietnam, the Korean peninsula and Japan. The Chinese diaspora has the biggest impact in Southeast Asia, where the colonial powers welcomed Chinese traders and laborers. Secondly, the region's experience with imperialism has been another common aspect. The West first appeared in the 15th and 16th Centuries, occupying key ports particularly along the spice trade route to Southeast Asia. In Northeast Asia the governments reacted to the European presence by trying to shut out foreign influences and control interaction. Korea prohibited all interactions, while Japan provided an extremely narrow window through the Dutch trading post at Deshima Island in Nagasaki. These policies were difficult to enforce and broke down completely in the 19th century. By the end of the 19th century, virtually all the countries in the region had either lost sovereignty or were subject to unequal treaties and de facto foreign control in commercial areas. 2! Michael West Obome and Nicolas Fourt, Pacific Basin EconanicOXJperatioo, (Paris: OECD, 1983), p. 4. 8 Further, the restoratiOn of sovereignty in years following World War II are among the most important experiences shaping the modem histories of the region. The region's economic performance over many years has given it a sense of self-confidence and pride despite the recent currency and fmancial difficulties in Southeast Asia. Morisson et al point out that this has· in tum encouraged poor performers and stimulated startling changes in economic policy in such countries as the Philippines and Vietnam in the hope that they too will become high performance economies. 22 However, merely shared features in the region often do not inspire the consolidation of a regional identity. Buzan points out that by many of the yardsticks of understanding - based on one or more of the criteria of ethnicity, race, language, religion, culture, history, economic or political cohesiveness - the states of East Asia lack a record of regional consciousness. 23 To this end, some scholars have challenged the idea of the Asia-Pacific region. Gerald Segal contencb that the Pacific is no more than a notional artifact and not a coherent region deserving the hyperbole that it is subject to? 4 "There is no Pacific community in a linguistic, religious, cultural, political, or ideological sense, nor historically is there much evidence of regional consciousness". 25 Pekka Korhonen points out that 'Pacific Asia' or 'Asia-Pacific' denotes the gradual orientation of Asian countries towards the Pacific, whereby they derive a measure of group identity from this orientation.26 It is more a functional than a spatial concept hence a specific list of countries cannot be given. Some countries oriented themselves early and strongly to the Pacific, like Japan; some did it later, like China. Economic interdependence, which has been described as the binding force of the Asia-Pacific region, does not ipso facto imply development of a greater sense of region. According to Higgot, the yardsticks of 'regionness' also vary according to the policy issues or what the dominant actors in a given group of countries at a given time see as 22 Charles E Morrison, Kojima Akira, Hans W. Maull, OxJperatianand Carmunity Buildingwith Pacific Asia: A Report to 7he Trilateral Cmmission (New York: The Trilateral Conunission, 1997), pp.ll. 23 See Bany Buzan, "The Asia-Pacific: What sort of region in what sort of world?" in A. McGrew & C. Brooks (eds.), 7he Asia -Pacific in the New World Order, (London: Routledge, 1998). 24 Gerald Segal, Rethinking the Pacific, (Oxford: Oarendon Press, 1990). 25 Lawrence Krause, "The Pacific Economy in an Interdependent World: A New Institution for the Pacific Basin," in John Crawford and Greg Seow (eds.), Pacific Ecrmunic Cooperation: Su~ far Action, (Kuala Lumpur: Heinman Asia, 1981). 9 their political priorities.27 In order to understand the proliferating multiple interpretations of region, we need to distinguish between de facto structural e::onanic regionalization (regional integration) and de jure institutiond e::onanic co-operation which is at the core of understanding the events in the Asia-Pacific.28 Growing intra-regional trade and foreign direct investment drives regionalization in East Asia. For this reason it can also be seen as · structural. It is not necessarily policy driven by governments. Instead, the most important driving force is the globalization of production networks. This has led to a web of production, sourcing and distribution that is likely to accelerate. This is a stmctural or defacto explanation of regionalization. The globalization of technology, finance and production networks, in which Japan has had a central role, is the key to understanding this process. On the other hand de jure institutional cooperation refers to the forums which influence governmental policy. This can take the form of loosely agreed or institutionally sanctioned trade commitments between states to enhance cooperation in a range of areas. There have been several such forms of cooperation in the Asia-Pacific including bodies such as the PECC, PBEC the PBF and APEC. Inoguchi Takashi attributes the consolidation of the Asia-Pacific region to several intemat:ional forces. 29 He points out that while the Vietnam War, Watergate scandal, the dollar crisis and the oil crisis exhausted the United States in terms of political will and economic health, the Asia-Pacific region prospered in the aftermath of the war. 30 The upward tum of the world economy coincided in the 1960s with the emergence of the NIEs. It was during this period that they were able to switch from import substitution to export-led industrialization, with open access to the US export market and Japanese capital goods for import. In that direction, Taiwan started off early in the 1960s and South Korea in the mid-1960s. Second, as the first oil crisis hit every country hard, the Asia-Pacific region was particularly affected since most of those countries were not rich 26 Pekka Korhonen,]ap:m and Asia-Pacific Integration: Pacific Rcmances 1968-1996, (London: Routledge, 1998), p. 3. 27 Higgot, n. 8, pp. 338-339. 28 See Yoshida M., Akimune I., Nohara M., Sato K., "Regional economic integration in East Asia: special features and policy implications" in Vincent Cable and D. Henderson (eds.), Trade Blocs? 1he Future of Regional lnter}"ation (London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1994). 29 Inoguchi T akashi, Japans Forei[F Policy in an Era of Global a,tl1lf!!, (London: Pinter Publishers, 1993), pp. 169-70. 30 See Robert Gilpin, War and O:ung! in Wortd Politics, (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1981); Robert Gilpin, 1he Political Ecotvny of International RelaJions, (Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1987). 10 in energy resources. But contrary to the expectation, the NIEs began to flourish in the post-oil crisis period. They were able to make full use of their comparative advantage as latecomers with low wages, long working hours, technological momentwn, intensive capital utilization and good developmental planning. Thus, by the late 1970s, when the NIEs joined Japan, the emergence of the Asia-Pacific region was visible and tangible. 31 Inoguchi further points out that the increasing integration of the regional economies with the US economy in the 1980s has influenced the emergence of the AsiaPacific region. 32 Manufacturing patterns have become truly cross Pacific, with capital technology, resources and labor factors all flowing freely across national borders. Trade has thrived, with Japan-United States activity annually registering the largest transoceanic volume and the NIEs-United States commerce steadily catching up. International monetary interdependence became extraordinary in the 1980s. The acceleration of capital movements between the United States and Japan in particular was enormous. The economic management of both countries would have been difficult to conceive without fuller coordination between· them. Despite the often-insurmountable problems, the reality of inexorable economic interdependence and penetration is dearly evident. All in all, the phrase 'the Pacific economy' has come to take on an authentic character. Not only Japan and the United States but also the NIEs and the ASEAN countries have begun to do more business with each other. Pacific dynamism has also attracted the attention of Communist neighbors, including China, the Soviet Union, Vietnam and North Korea, encouraging economic reforms and the opening to the West. Besides this, the Cold War divisions too were gradually eroding in the region, which influenced the international alignment patterns. In 1969 China and the Soviet Union clashed on their common borders. In 1971 the United States and China normalized diplomatic relations. In 1973 the United States and North Vietnam negotiated an armistice agreement. In 1975 Vietnam was unified. In 1978 Japan and China concluded a treaty of peace and friendship. In 1979 the Sino-Soviet treaty of peace and mutual assistance was automatically terminated. Also in 1979 Vietnam occupied 31 See Frederic Deyo (ed.), The Political Ecorumy of tk New Asian Industrialism, (Ithaca, New York: Cornell University Press, 1986). 32 Cf. Inoguchi. n. 29, p. 170. 11 Cambodia and China invaded Vietnam, two incidents involving Communist neighbors. These developments complicated or blurred the image of the traditional cold war antagonism between the Communist and the anti-Communist blocs in the Asia-Pacific region. Though political uncertainties continue, economic vigor has become the foremost feature of the region. 33 On the other hand, Charles Morrison points out that as compared to the \X'est, regional cooperation in East Asia was a delayed event. He attributes this to the crisis of leadership in the region.34 It was during the Cold War, that neither the United States nor the Soviet Union was in a position to push Asian regional cooperation, although each made prop6sals. Such efforts were inevitably seen as efforts to advance their own political interests in a region where nonaligned countries were regarded as essential participants in any credible regional schemes. Morrison further points out that the two leading indigenous powers, China and Japan too were unable to advance credible regional institutional schemes. In the case of China, the Cold War and some of its own policies (economic self-sufficiency, support for communist insurgents in some neighboring countries and the Cultural Revolution) predetermined its policies towards the region. On the other hand, Japan's prewar promotion of a perverted form of Asian regionalism undermined its credibility in Japan and made Japan suspect elsewhere in Asia as a regionalleader.35 Some scholars however consider Japan as the focal point around which the idea of the Asia-Pacific developed. Peter Drysdalt:: emphasizes that the initial impetus to growing Pacific economic interdependence came from Japan's post war recovery, its heavy industrialization, and its final emergence as a major economic power.36 In the last 15 years, vigorous economic development in the other market economies of East Asia, and the cohesion of the ASEAN into an important regional force, have further strengthened regional economic relationships and the · idea of 'Pacific economic See Inoguchi Takashi, Tadanori to iklooku hanei shugj o lwete (Beyond Free Ride and One-CountryProsperity), (Tokyo: Toyo keizai shimposha, 1987); Inoguchi Takashi and Daniel I. Okamoto, (eds.), 7he Political Econany ofJapan, Vol. II: 7he 01anging Jrztemat:imal Context, (Stanford,: Stanford University Press, 1988). H Morrison et al., n. 22, p. 24. 33 Js Ibid 12 cooperation' .37 At the heart of Pacific economic interdependence was a vast new trade in raw materials, reciprocal trade in manufactured goods, and the facilitation of investment flows. The exchange of manufactures between countries at different stages of economic development within the region was also an important but essentially secondary element in the structure of regional interdependence until recent years. If it is acknowledged that interdependence is the key factor in promoting AsiaPacific Cooperation, then it may be asked why an international organization is necessary to manage this interdependence. Proponents have advocated two main reasons for this. Firstly, they point to certain national policies put into effect by several countries in the region. For instance America's soybean embargo in the 1970s, Korea's devaluation of its currency in 1974 and Australia's tariff hikes on labor intensive manufactures as indications that national policy makers may adopt policies that could have disastrous consequences on the economies of other states.38 Thus there is a need to consult in order to avoid such policies. Secondly, the establishment of a Pacific Community would help to counter the worldwide trend towards protectionism.39 This trend has been particularly damaging for the advanced developing nations since access to the markets of the industrialized countries for labor-intensive manufactures will continue to be increasingly restricted. Many proponents believe that multilateral negotiations on import concessions could succeed where bilateral bargaining has failed. The expectation, or at least the hope, would be that the political economy of trade in each western pacific country could accommodate import policy assurances and concessions more easily when they were linked by international agreements to opportunities for ftnher expansion of the country's most productive industries. Vested interest in export expansion could be brought into direct conflict, and so help to balance vested interests in protection.40 Peter Dtysdale, International Econanic Pluralism: Ecanonic Policy in East Asia and the Pacific, (Sydney: Allen & Up.win, 1998) p.60. 37 Kiichi Saeki, (ed.), Kokusao kanky;m henka ni nil.on no taio: Nijuichi seki e no teig?n [The Search for Japan's Comprehensive Guideline in the Changing World- National Priorities for the 21st Centwy1 (Kamakura: Nomura Research Institute, 1978), p. 41; Kojima Kiyoshi has stressed this point in his writings on the Pacific economy over the years. See Kojima Kiyoshi, Japan and a Pacific Frre Trade A ret, (London: Macmillan, 1971). 38 John Crawford and Saburo Okita (eds.), Raw Materials and Pacific Ecanonic lnugration, (London: Croom Helm, 1978), pp. 148-166. 39 Ross Gamaut, "Australia in the Western Pacific Economy," paper presented to the Wmter Schooi of the New South Wales branch of the Economics Society of Australia and New Zealand, Sydney, August 1980, p. 9. Cf. Rhondda M. Nicholas, "ASEAN and the Pacific Community Debate: Much Ado About Something? Asian Suney, Vol. XXI, No. 12, December 1981, p. 1201. 36 13 Drysdale focuses on two other factors, which intensified the identity of the AsiaPacific region. 41 They include the slide towards slower growth in Western Europe. In the 1950s and 1960s Western Europe enjoyed rapid economic growth and structural overhaul. But the oil crisis caused the Western European economies to stagnate. The second factor includes the increased importance of economy in the trade and industrial growth of developing countries of Northeast and Southeast Asia. This in tum was stimulated by Japan's trade and economic growth and its impact on regional trade. Countries such as the resource-rich group in Southeast Asia alongside Australia, benefited from the opening up of these new trading opportunities. 42 The second influence was the move towards the deliberate adoption of outward-looking, ·tradeoriented industrialization strategies to replace earlier protectionist strategies, first in the Northeast Asian market economies, and more recently in some Southeast Asian countries.43 The rapid industrial growth of South Korea and Taiwan dates from policy initiatives taken between the late 1950s and mid-1960s and Singapore and Hong Kong had little choice but to follow the same course. Trade orientation in Southeast Asian industrial development strategies had come a decade later. Between 1965-1973, Singapore was the fastest-growing non-oil producing economy in the world; South Korea was the third and Taiwan was the fifth after Japan, all recording an annual real income growth of more than 10 per cent. Even the Philippines, the slowest growing developing country in the region enjoyed an annual rate of growth of 5.8 per cent which was on the top third of the World growth league. It is significant to note the extent to which East Asian growth has been sustained despite the oil crisis in the 1970s and the recessions that followed. Considering this background, we should now examine the scope of this study. SCOPE OF THE STUDY This study takes a look at the phenomenon of regional cooperation in the Asia-Pacific and Japan's role in these attempts. It seeks to review the Japan's approaches to regional Ibid, p. 12. Cf. Drysdale, n.36, p.63. 42 Ross Gamaut, "The Importance of Industrialization to ~utheast and East Asia to an Open Australian Economy," in Peter Drysdale and Kojima Kiyoshi (eds), Australia- Japan Econanic Relations in Intemationd O:mtext: Recent Experierue and tlx Prospects Ahead, (Austrilia-Japan Economic Relations Research Project: Australian National University, 1978), pp ..98-111. 43 Lawrence B. Krause, "The Pacific Economy in an Interdependent World," in Kermit Hanson and Thomas Roehl (eds), 7he Unit«1 States and the Pacific Econarry in the 1980s, (Seattle: University of Washington, 1980), pp. 7-9. 40 ~~ 14 cooperation in the Asia-Pacific from the end of the World War II to the formation and working of APEC in the 1990s. It incorporates several attempts made by Japan to establish a regional body and the reasons for such a policy. Additionally, it would incorporate Japanese attitudes, policies and contributions to organizations preceding APEC; the political considerations governing Japanese involvement with APEC. This would include domestic and foreign policy motivations for its approach to regional cooperatiOn. The study will wager that Japan's interest in APEC can be linked to its desire to offset the antagonism that the Asian nations felt following the World War. It also seeks to secure its economic interests in the region through a combination of bilateralism and multilateralism. However, the country's approach to APEC has dilemmatic dimensions. It i~ anxious that the emergence and possibilities of APEC will not militate against its relations with the ASEAN countries which it has cultivated assiduously. Besides this, Japan's hamstrung approach to APEC affairs is related to the compet~tion between the Ministry of International Trade and Industry and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The politics of bureaucracy is in turn related to a system of quotas on which Japanese business thrives. This will be the main bottleneck as regards the embrace of full trade liberalization which APEC aims at from Japan's viewpoint. Hence, domestic considerations which do not allow the opening of its markets will throttle Japan's enthusiasm for APEC. This study is divided into several sections. The first chapter looks at Japan's relations with the region in the pre-World War II era. This includes an assessment of the country's policies towards the region throughout the ancient times from Kofun, Nara and Muromachi periods. Following this, the study continues into the T okugawa, Meiji, T aisho and Showa periods. It seeks to establish the roots of Japan's relations with the Asia-Pacific. The country's desire to establish a regional status can be traced as early as the Meiji period when ideas for territorial acquisition began. A continuation of it is evident in the Showa period with the establishment of the Greater East Asia Coprosperity Sphere. Since this study seeks to demonstrate that the current Japan's diplomatic conduct has its historical base, an overview of its political memory is not without purpose 15 The second chapter focuses on Japan's post war era, namely its role m institutionalizing regional economic cooperation till 1976. Following the postwar reconstruction and the reparations, a surge in regional initiatives was evident. Several Prime Ministers like Sato Eisaku to Miki T akeo took personal interest on the issue. Hence, the non governmental organizations established in this era included the Ministerial Conference for Economic Development of Southeast Asia (MCEDSEA) & the Asian and Pacific Council (ASPAC). Prime Minister Sato also visited the ASEAN countries and tried to establish a cordial relationship with the region. His efforts further witnessed the setting up of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) which is considered a landmark in Japan's Asia-Pacific Cooperation efforts. Among other proposals, the Business community too took interest on the issue and succeeded in establishing the Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC). It was also in this period that Professor Kojima Kiyoshi's Pacific Free Trade Area (PAFTA) proposal was presented. Following Sato, Tanaka Kakuei too tried to establish Japan's relationship with the ASEAN, however his visit to the region was marked by anti Japanese riots which was a set back for the country's efforts. Though Japan's resource diplomacy exposed its serious inadequacies, Prime Minister Miki T akeo persisted advocating an Asia-Pacific Policy and even proposed the Pacific Trade and Development Conference (PAFTAD). The third chapter examines Japan's regional role between 1975 to 1988. Prime Minister Fukuda who succeeded Miki gave importance to the ASEAN and outlined his policies with the Fukuda Doctrine. In addition to Japan's search for an economic role, this chapter also examines its attempt to play a political role in the Indochina crisis. In the midst of turmoil in the region, another regional cooperation initiative, Organization for Pacific Trade and Development (OPTAD) is also taken into account. Like Miki and Fukuda, Ohira Masayoshi also expressed keen interest in the concept. His efforts led to the establishment of the Pacific Basin Cooperation Concept (PBCC) which led to the Canberra Conference in 1980 and the establishment of PECGthe following year. It further coincided with Kojima's proposal to establish the ASEAN-Pacific Forum. Meanwhile, other groups like PAFTAD continued their meetings. It is interesting to note that Japan propagated its Flying Geese Theory of development both at the PECC and PAFTAD meetings which caused considerable furore. The Post Ohira phase was 16 marked by unprecedented economic growth of the country or the bubble economy. This had some serious impact on the region with large scale hollowing out of the industries from Japan and their re-establishment in Southeast Asia. Chapter four deals Mth the establishment of Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC). It covers the changing international scenario with the end of the cold war and the need to establish an alternative structure. In this scenario, Japan's economic policies in the region have been analyzed. Subsequently, the country's role in establishing APEC has been mapped including the efforts of Japan's Ministry for International Trade and Development (MITI) and its cooperation with Australia. Thereafter, its responses and contributions to APEC have been studied till1999, which reveals severe dilemmas both within the body, and within the Japanese bureaucracy. APEC seems to be divided between the Asians and Neo Liberals who differ on the goals of the body. This in tum has led to the proposal for an alternative organization the East Asian Economic Group (EAEG) by the Malaysian Prime Minister Mahatir Mohamad. Additionally, Japan's policy towards .APEC for instance seems to be marked by an element of caution. In addition to economic interests, it can be linked to the desire to offset the antagonism that the Asian nations experienced in history, which incidentally was a fallout of Japan's self-identity. Hence bilateralism and multilateralism that dominate Japan's policy towards the region is essentially an emotional palliative for the excesses of its past. Besides this, discord is further evident within the Japanese bureaucracy. The differences between the Asianists and the pro West school of thought evident within the bureaucracy continued throughout the Meiji era. These internal differences have intensified skirmishes with the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MITI). The study reckons that inter-ministerial differences have constrained Japan's approach towards APEC. The politics within the bureaucracy and domestic considerations is an impediment to trade libe:alization and will throttle Japan's enthusiasm for APEC. Lastly, Japan's policy towards APEC is characterized by much ambivalence. It does not want the relations with APEC to affect its relations with ASEAN, which is far more important than the former. This study reveals how Japan has tried to balance its p0licies between the two orgaruzattons.
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