Autumn 2016 OUR VIEW ON LONDON OFFICES London suffers most in post Brexit vote The recent Lloyds Bank PMI survey found that London had suffered the most significant deterioration in business activity following the decision to leave the European Union. The Lloyds Bank survey looks at both manufacturing and service sectors, with the UK index falling to its lowest level since April 2009 (47.4), whilst London recorded a survey figure of 44.4. Readings below 50 signifies a contraction in business activity. London’s share of UK GVA increases to 22.5% The London economy accounts for 22.5% of overall UK GVA, according to the ONS’s latest estimates for the UK’s regions. The importance of the London economy has increased over the past decade, when its overall contribution was below 20%. The most recent estimate for London’s total GVA is £364.3bn (2014), with inner London contributing 68% of the total. Inner London accounts for almost 20% of the UK’s digital workforce London is Europe’s leading Tech Hub, providing employment for more than 328,000 workers. The London digital businesses are estimated to generate £62.4bn of turnover, which accounts for almost 39% of the UK’s digital company revenue (Tech Nation – 2016). THE FACTS London’s economy hardest hit by Brexit vote. London provides 22.5% of overall UK output. £364bn Estimate of London GVA (2014) London’s businesses set for a £48.5bn boost from increased digitalisation Oxford Economics recent report for Virgin Media, ‘The UK’s £92bn Digital Opportunity’ (2016) highlighted the benefits to be gained by the UK’s economy from the increase of digital capabilities over the next two years. Almost 20% of UK’s digital workforce is in London’s tech clusters. The leading beneficiary was the London economy, which the report estimates will see business revenues enhanced by £48.5bn and a net increase in jobs of 130,000 employees. £62.4bn Contact Details London Andrew Groves 020 7297 6274 [email protected] www.bidwells.co.uk Increased digitalisation set to boost London economy over next two years. Size of London's digital economy West End Office Take up is down, registering its lowest total in three years at 1.8m sq ft. London prime rents Location Prime headline rent (£psf 6/2016) Bankside 65.00 }| City 75.00 }| Clerkenwell 65.00 }| Docklands 47.50 p Hammersmith 55.00 }| King’s Cross 75.00 }| Midtown 75.00 }| Paddington 65.00 }| Shoreditch 62.50 }| Stratford 40.00 }| Victoria 75.00 }| 125.00 }| West End Office supply (June 2016) Average take up per annum in West End market since 2010) 12.5% p.a Growth in secondary West End rents over past five years (2011-16) Office demand (June 2016) Office rents (June 2016) Take up Grade A 2nd hand good 10 yr average Grade A 2nd hand good Available rate (rhs) Availability 000’s sq ft Availability rate 4.2m sq ft 4.3m p 5% p (h2 2016) Take up 000’s sq ft 1.8m q Prime £psf Secondary good £psf Secondary poor £psf Annualised growth rate £125.00 }| £90.00 }| £70.00 }| 1.7% p.a Our view on London Offices | Page 2
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