The R²D²-2050 project: Risk, water Resources and sustainable Development within the Durance river basin in 2050 Eric SAUQUET Cemagref, Hydrology-Hydraulics Research Unit, 3 bis quai Chauveau, CP 220, F-69336 Lyon cedex 09, France 1 Study area The Durance River is one of the major rivers in the Southern French Alps. River flow regimes within the basin are influenced by distinct climate forcings (from mountainous conditions in the upper part of the basin to Mediterranean conditions in the low-lands) and highly altered by water management (abstractions, reservoirs). The severe droughts observed recently in the Southern part question the evolution of water resources in the XXIst century and the sustainability of water supply in the next decades. Economic development as well as population growth will probably modify needs for water supply, irrigation, energy consumption, tourism activities, etc. with consequences on water demand evolution. In parallel, the European Water Framework Directive and the French policy on water management (Loi sur l’Eau et les Milieux Aquatiques) impose to reach or to warrantee good ecological status, restricting water availability for water uses. 3 Partnership This multidisciplinary project is coordinated by Cemagref (French institute for agricultural and environmental engineering research). The project R²D²-2050 also involves CNRS (National Centre for Scientific Research), the research and consultancy company Actéon specialized in the development and implementation of environmental policy and two major water stakeholders in the catchment, the Société du Canal de Provence (SCP) and Electricité de France (EDF). R²D²-2050 is partially funded by the French Ministry in charge of Ecology and the RhoneMediterranean and Corsica Water Agency. Stakeholders will be involved in a steering committee to provide feedbacks on hypotheses retained by the research team. R²D²-2050 is an opportunity for water users through their engagement to develop a deep understanding of issues related to climate change, to support local initiatives on water management planning as well as to integrate the limitations of the predictive models. Cemagref / Eric SAUQUET EDF / Bruno CONTY EDF / Frédéric HENDRICKX EDF / Julien GOLDSTEIN 4 EDF / Frédéric HENDRICKX Cemagref / Thibault DATRY Objective The Durance river basin will have to face two major evolutions concerning water management: on the one hand climate change and on the other hand socio-economic development. The combined effects of increase in water demand and impact of climate change on available water resources have not yet been studied in this area. This issue is addressed by the national project R²D²-2050 (start date: 2010-12-01, end date: 2013-11-31). The main objective is to assess future water availability and risks of water shortage in the 2050s by taking into account changes in both climate and water management. The Durance river basin upstream to Mallemort was divided into 16 sub-basins to study the hydrological N sensitivity to global change R²D²-2050 is organised into six work packages: WP Title Task 1 Coordination Administrative and scientific coordination 2 Past and present conditions Data collection. Naturalization of river flows. Calibration of rainfall-runoff models and specific tools developed to simulate water management 3 Climate scenarios Development of downscaling methods to provide future climate projections. Uncertainty assessment on climate change scenarios 4 Water resources and ecohydrology Analysis of water balance at various scales and sub-basins. Uncertainty assessment on the evolution of each component of the water cycle. Evaluation of the impact of climate change on aquatic ecosystems along the Asse river network 5 Water demands Development of territorial socio-economic scenarios including the evolution of water needs expressed by stakeholders. Uncertainty assessment on future water demands 6 Risk assessment of water shortages Evaluation of water sustainability and implication for water management in the 2050s (discussion of possible options including business-as-usual practices) 30 3 0 10 The Durance River at Briançon (548 km²) with minor influences QM( m s ) 40 50 X0100010 The same framework for evaluation of the different hydrological models applied on a common set of sub-basins will be considered to assess and - possibly - reduce uncertainties due to methodological choices. 20 2 Project organisation R²D²-2050 will develop an integrated multi-disciplinary approach to represent accurately the Durance river taking into account main biophysical processes, water management policy and decision-making aspects, and their interaction in time and in space. 1 2 3 4 The Durance River at Meyrarges (12500 km²) influenced by hydropower production and water diversions 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 MONTH (1 - JAN. ; 12 - DEC.) X1424010 QM(m 6 3 s) 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 MONTH (1 - JAN. ; 12 - DEC.) 5th HyMeX workshop - Menorca (Spain), May 2011 50 km gauging station main river network ( major reservoir 0 20 2 40 60 Mallemort 4 80 The Asse River at Beynes (375 km²) with minor influences 3 QM( m s) 100 120 10 X3200010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MONTH (1 - JAN. ; 12 - DEC.) 10 11 12 More information available on the website: http://r2d2-2050.cemagref.fr/ Contact: Eric SAUQUET ([email protected])
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