1 RED-WINGED BLACKBIRD MANUSCRIPT REVIEW HISTORY MANUSCRIPT (ROUND 2) Abstract The use of advertised reference prices in the general form “Regularly $119.99, Sale $39.99” is ubiquitous and effective. A long history of pricing research supports the conclusion that advertised reference prices exert an influence on consumer deal evaluations via changes in the internal reference price. We advance an additional mediator of this process, product thought overlap. Specifically, we hypothesize that the overlap in memory of product-related thoughts (e.g., features, benefits, usage situations) evoked by (1) the advertised reference price (“Regularly $119.99”), and (2) the offering price (e.g., “Sale $39.99”), mediates the influence of the advertised reference price on the internal reference price, thereby influencing consumer deal evaluations. Results also show that product thought overlap varies naturally across product categories (experiment 1), or can be manipulated within product category by manageriallycontrollable context variables (experiments 2 and 3). Implications for theory, practice, and public policy are discussed. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 2 Perhaps no sales promotion technique is used as frequently by retailers as are advertised reference prices (ARPs). An ARP promotional technique entails the pairing of an advertised reference price (e.g., “Regularly $119.99”) with an offer price (OP) (e.g., “Sale $39.99”). An ARP signals that the consumer can pay a lower than market price for the advertised product if s/he purchases it from the retailer (Della Bitta, Monroe, and McGinnis 1981). The use of ARPs is pervasive across merchant types, product and service categories, and media vehicles (e.g. newspapers, radio, direct mail, television, in-store signage). This widespread use of ARPs is motivated by one simple truth: they can and often do exert a powerful influence on consumer purchase behavior. For example, Ortmeyer, Quelch, and Salmon (1991) and Kaufmann, Smith, and Ortmeyer (1994) review instances in which major retailers (e.g., Sears, Macy’s) attempted to move away from ARP advertising in favor of everyday low pricing (ELP). These retailers quickly abandoned the ELP strategy because of the immediate and negative effect on sales. In describing the common experiences of these retailers, Kaufman et al. (1994, 117-118) state: “Given the bump in sales volume that each promotional event inevitably produced, it appeared that consumers responded to the ‘sale’ message even if competitive everyday prices could be found elsewhere. Incorporating greater discounts into the sale events also spurred consumer response. Even with the same net purchase price, consumer response was greater to the retailer offering a greater percentage off the higher original price…Discontinuing a promotional event often meant giving up sales volume to the competitor that did promote.” Consistent with the experiences of these retailers, there is also much academic research evidence that points to the same conclusions; ARPs have been shown to positively influence a range of consumer price-related responses, including perceptions of a fair price, the normal price, the average market price, the lowest available price in the market, perceptions of savings, purchase value, and purchase intentions from the advertiser, and to negatively influence intentions to search the marketplace for a lower OP (e.g., Bearden, Lichtenstein, and Teel 1984; Berkowitz and Walton 1980; Biswas and Blair 1991; Blair and Landon 1981; Burton, Lichtenstein, and Herr 1993; Grewal, Monroe, and Krishnan 1998; Lichtenstein and Bearden 1988, 1989; Lichtenstein, Burton, and Karson 1991; Urbany, Bearden, and Weilbaker 1988). This influence has been shown to hold for ARPs that exceed OPs by both plausible and implausible amounts (Krishna et al. 2002; Monroe 1990; Urbany et al. 1988). Thus, evidence from the collective marketplace and academic research appears unambiguous: ARP advertising is widespread and can have a powerful influence on consumer responses, including sales. Despite this influence, what we now know about the process by which ARPs influence consumer responses is, at its most fundamental level, what we have known for approximately three and a half decades; ARPs influence consumer responses (e.g., deal perceptions, willingness to buy, search intentions) via their influence on consumer internal reference prices (IRPs) (see Monroe 1979; 1990). Researchers have identified moderators of this three-construct process (e.g., Lichtenstein and Bearden 1989; Lichtenstein et al. 1991; Urbany et al. 1988), but to our knowledge, additional mediators of the process have not been identified. The purpose of the present investigation is to propose and test a second mediator of this process. Specifically, based on principles rooted in Norm Theory (Kahneman and Miller 1986), Assimilation-Contrast Theory (Sherif, Taub, and Hovland 1958), and the Selective Accessibility account of anchoring (Mussweiler 2002; Strack and Mussweiler 1997), we advance the construct of product thought overlap and define it as the degree of overlap in product-related thoughts (e.g., attributes, This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 3 benefits, usage situations) evoked in memory by the ARP, and (2) product-related thoughts evoked in memory by the OP. We hypothesize that product thought overlap will mediate the influence of the ARP on the IRP and, thus, subsequent deal evaluations. To illustrate our hypothesis, consider the process model in figure 1. A consumer encounters an advertisement for blue jeans of “Regularly $119.99, Sale $39.99” (see left side of figure 1). Inherent in such an advertisement is an offer price ($39.99) that the consumer recognizes as a bona fide price. That is, the consumer understands that she can purchase the blue jeans at that price. Also in this advertisement is the ARP ($119.99), which represents an explicit claim on the part of the seller that the jeans he is selling for $39.99 have a value of $119.99. Because the OP is a bona fide market price, a consumer should logically anchor on it. The critical issue is the effectiveness of the ARP claim in shifting the IRP toward the ARP, thereby enhancing subsequent consumer deal evaluations. To evaluate the claim, we hypothesize that the consumer simultaneously considers jeans at both price points (the ARP and the OP). Consistent with Norm Theory (Kahneman and Miller 1986), we posit that the consumer considers a pair of blue jeans in the context of the $119.99 ARP (see top of fig. 1). The ARP acts as a mental probe in evoking a set of exemplars (e.g., jeans A, B, C, D) and an associated set of product-related thoughts (attributes, benefits, usage situations) that are characteristic of these exemplars (e.g., denim, high end buttons and zippers, comfortable, fashionable, snobbish, dress occasions A, C, F, and G). We posit that the consumer also considers jeans in the context of the $39.99 OP (see bottom side of fig. 1). The OP acts as a mental probe in evoking a set of exemplars (e.g., jeans E, F, G, and H) and an associated set of product-related thoughts that are characteristic of these exemplars (e.g., denim, comfortable, fading, rugged, dress occasions A, B, C, and E). The thesis of the present investigation is that the influence of the ARP claim on the IRP and deal evaluations is mediated by the degree of overlap in the sets of product-related thoughts evoked by the ARP and OP (see shaded region of fig. 1). The region of overlap is the mediator we label “product-thought overlap.” -------------------------------------------------------Insert figure 1 about here ------------------------------------------------------We should note that our hypothesis is silent as to if the exemplars evoked by the ARP and OP come from a single product category (e.g., moderately-priced jeans) or two different product categories (e.g., value-priced jeans, fashion jeans). To some degree, this would be contingent on how product category boundaries are conceptualized and is not germane to our prediction. Rather, our prediction focuses on the overlap in product-related thoughts associated with the two sets of exemplars, regardless of the category or categories in which the evoked exemplars reside. This perspective is consistent with Norm Theory where Kahneman and Miller (1986, 137) note “the probe recruits an evoked set of individual elements (exemplars), each of which is described by several features. The evoked set is described by an aggregate of individual features.” Consequently, it is the set of individual exemplars that the probes (ARP and OP, respectively) recruit from memory that define the evoked sets. Thus, for our hypothesis, the critical issue is the overlap in the product-related thoughts associated with the respective exemplars – from whatever categories those exemplars happen to reside, be it the same or different categories. THEORY AND HYPOTHESES This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 4 Background Adaptation-Level (Helson 1964) and Assimilation-Contrast (Sherif et al. 1958) Theories are most often cited as principle frameworks to account for the process by which ARPs influence consumer responses (Lichtenstein and Bearden 1988, 1989; Monroe 1979, 1990; Urbany et al. 1988). Adaptation-Level Theory advances the simple notion that consumers have or construct internal reference prices (IRPs) that serve as neutral reference points for the evaluation of selling prices for products under purchase consideration. According to this theory, prices below/above the IRP are viewed more/less favorably. Thus, to the extent there are factors that exert influence on the IRP, these factors will necessarily affect price evaluations. Principles from Assimilation-Contrast Theory have been applied to the domain of price perception in a complementary fashion to account for the process by which the introduction of price anchors influences IRPs. As the offering price (OP) represents a bona fide market price, it is hypothesized to be a very strong anchor in influencing the level of consumers’ IRP. In cases where OP is accompanied by a second price anchor, i.e., the ARP, consumer IRPs may assimilate towards to the ARP making the OP appear more favorable. Couched in terms of Assimilation-Contrast Theory, assimilation effects are evidenced when the introduction of a context stimulus (e.g., an ARP) is used as a perceptual anchor such that the target stimulus (e.g., an IRP for the target product) is perceived as closer to the context stimulus than had the contextual stimulus not been present (Herr, Sherman, and Fazio 1983; Lynch, Chakravarti, and Mitra 1991). For example, if exposure to an ARP/OP of “Was $119.99, Now Only $39.99” results in a higher IRP than would be the case after exposure to an OP of “Now Only $39.99,” that would be evidence that the IRP was assimilated towards the ARP. As noted in the introduction, there is an abundance of research showing that ARPs influence purchase evaluations via their assimilative influence on IRPs. Consequently, we offer the oft-supported H1–H2 (shown in fig. 2a) only as a baseline for testing for the hypothesized mediators and moderators in H3-H7. H1: ARPs exert a positive (assimilative) influence on IRPs. H2: IRPs exert a positive influence on consumer evaluations of the deal. -------------------------------------------------------Insert figure 2a and figure 2b about here --------------------------------------------------------- The Mediating Role of Product Thought Overlap A focus on product category differences. Herr and his colleagues (Herr 1989; Herr et al. 1983) contend that the extent of feature overlap between a context cue (e.g., a context product) and a target object (e.g., a second, focal product) determines whether assimilation occurs. To the extent features of the context cue and the target object share considerable overlap, the target object will be categorized as a member of the same category as that activated by the context cue, and an assimilation effect is likely to occur. Note that couched in terms of product perception, the definition of assimilation of Herr and his colleagues entails the presence of both a context and target product. In an ARP scenario, there is only one product. However, according to Norm Theory (Kahneman and Miller 1986), when evaluating a single product, the product is evaluated against the evoked set of exemplars that the product itself recruits from memory. For example, when evaluating a purchase offer for a This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 5 pair of jeans for $39.99, the $39.99 pair of jeans is hypothesized to act as a probe in recruiting alternative exemplars from memory and this evoked set of exemplars serves as the context set for evaluating the purchase offer for the target jeans. In cases where the features of the target product are perceived to have more overlap with the recruited exemplars, the target object is assimilated into the set of evoked exemplars and evaluated as a member of this set (Schwarz and Bless 1992). Extending this explanation to the case of a single product with two prices (the OP and ARP), we hypothesize that the consumer evaluates the product separately in the context of both prices. Thus, by the same process described above, the result is two sets of recruited exemplars, one for the product at the level of the OP and one for the product at the level of the ARP. Whereas Schwarz and Bless (1992) speak to the overlap in features between the single target object and the recruited exemplars, our theory speaks to overlap between two sets of productrelated thoughts, one associated with recruited exemplars at the level of the ARP, the other associated with recruited exemplars at the level of the OP (see shaded area of fig. 1). To the extent there is more/less overlap in the these two sets, we hypothesize that the consumer will perceive the ARP to be more/less relevant to the product offered for sale at the OP, resulting in stronger/weaker assimilation of the IRP for the target product to the ARP. This noted, a central premise of the present research is that for a given ARP and OP, the degree of overlap in product related thoughts associated with exemplars recruited by the ARP and OP varies naturally across product categories, and therefore can be manipulated via product category. For product categories where a given ARP and OP evoke more thought overlap, there will be stronger assimilation of the IRP toward the ARP (H3) which will result in more favorable deal evaluations (H4). H3: The assimilative influence of ARPs on IRPs noted in H1 is moderated by product category. Specifically, assimilation will be greater for product categories in which consumers perceive more (versus less) overlap in product related thoughts evoked by the ARP and OP. H4: The interaction of product category with ARP presence has an indirect effect on deal evaluations through IRPs. A focus on similarities vs. differences within product category. We also predict that holding product category constant, upon exposure to a given ARP and accompanying OP, people who have a mindset to focus on similarities as opposed to a mindset to focus on differences will perceive more overlap in product-related thoughts at the level of the ARP and OP, and thus demonstrate larger assimilation effects of the IRP toward the ARP. This prediction follows Strack and Mussweiler’s (1997) theoretical account of anchoring, a phenomenon defined as “the assimilation of a numeric estimate towards a previously considered standard” (Mussweiler 2002, 67). According to their Selective Accessibility Model, Strack and Mussweiler (1997) conceptualize the anchoring phenomenon as dependent on two fundamental principles of social cognition research: hypothesis-consistent testing and knowledge accessibility. The former principle rests on the premise that when mentally testing a hypothesis, people are prone to attempt to confirm, rather than disconfirm, the hypothesis (Trope and Liberman 1996). In so doing, they are more likely to recruit hypothesis-consistent information than hypothesisinconsistent information, giving hypothesis-consistent information an accessibility advantage in memory. Consequently, when people are exposed to some standard and then asked to provide a response in the domain of that standard, information consistent (rather than inconsistent) with that standard is more likely to be recruited and used as a basis for developing responses. As such, This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 6 people are said to use the previously encountered standard as an “anchor” in formulating subsequent responses. Strack and Mussweiler (1997) test their Selective Accessibility predictions of anchoring using the two-question sequence developed by Tversky and Kahneman (1974). The first question presented to participants is one that is comparative in nature (e.g., “Is the Mississippi River longer or shorter than 10,000 miles?”). This question is followed by a second that is absolute in nature (e.g., “How long is the Mississippi River?”). A very robust finding is that the value provided to participants in the comparative question (e.g., 10,000 miles) acts as an anchor in influencing their response to the subsequent absolute question such that higher values in the comparative question result in higher response values to the absolute question. Mussweiler (2002) notes that the phenomenon of hypothesis-consistent testing may result from a basic human propensity to focus on similarities rather than differences whenever two entities are compared (Gentner and Markman 1997). As such, Mussweiler suggests that any contextual factor that promotes/inhibits a focus on similarities should result in stronger/weaker assimilation effects. As a test of this prediction, Mussweiler (2002) had participants engage in two seemingly unrelated tasks. In the first task, he primed similarities or differences by having one half of the participants list all the similarities they could identify between two scenes, and the other half list all differences. After completing this task, they completed the comparativeabsolute two-question anchoring task. Consistent with the hypothesis that the value provided in the comparative question would recruit more value-consistent information when preceded by a similarity prime than a difference prime, Mussweiler found stronger assimilation effects under the similarity prime. Of relevance to the current research, there is reason to believe that the moderating influence of a similarity mindset on the strength of assimilation effects as theorized by Mussweiler acts in a manner consistent with how a similarity mindset would influence the strength of assimilation effects as theorized in the present research. That is, to the extent that consumers focus on similarities/differences between sets of product exemplars that come to mind when considering product versions at the level of the ARP and OP, we hypothesize there will be more/less overlap in product-related information available in memory (H5), which in turn will result in a larger/smaller degree of assimilation of the IRP to the ARP (H6). This implies a sequential mediation in which product-related thought overlap and IRP mediate the relationship between consumer mindset when exposed to an ARP (a mindset of similarities vs. differences) and deal evaluations (H7) (see fig. 2b). H5: Consumers primed to focus on similarities in the presence of an ARP will perceive more thought overlap than those who are not primed to focus on similarities. H6: Consumers who perceive more thought overlap will show stronger assimilation of the IRP toward the ARP than consumers who perceive less thought overlap. H7: A focus on similarities exerts a positive indirect effect on deal evaluations through an increase in product related thought overlap which itself increases IRPs. We test H1-H4 (fig. 2a) in experiment 1 using product categories pretested to vary in degree of product thought overlap at a given level of ARP and OP. Evidence consistent with H3 will be provided if there is more assimilation of the IRP to the ARP for product categories pretested to have more product thought overlap at the levels of the given ARP and OP. We test H5-H7 (fig. 2b) in experiments 2 and 3 by: (1) manipulating managerially controllable variables within product category that prime a focus on similarities vs. differences in the presence of an This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 7 ARP, thereby affecting product thought overlap, and (2) measuring product thought overlap in order to assess its mediating role in influencing the IRP and deal evaluations as hypothesized in H5-H7. Evidence consistent with H5-H7 will be provided if there is a higher level of thought overlap for the similarity (vs. difference) mindset condition, resulting in stronger assimilation of the IRP to the ARP, thereby influencing more favorable deal evaluations. At this point, it may be helpful to note that the models in figure 2a and 2b both represent conceptual models used to provide evidence for our process model shown figure 1 (Spencer, Zanna, and Fong 2005). Specifically, the model provided in figure 2a represents a test of our presence of an ARP product thought overlap assimilation of IRP deal evaluations sequence process depicted in figure 1 via a “moderation-of-process” approach in which the hypothesized mediator (depicted by the dashed box in fig. 2a) is not directly measured. However, as product category is hypothesized to moderate the influence of ARPs via this unmeasured variable, evidence of moderation will be taken as evidence consistent with the process model (see Spencer et al. 2005). The necessary conditions specified by Spencer el al. (2005) for taking these moderation-of-process results as evidence of mediation for an unmeasured mediator are discussed further in the discussion of experiment 1 results. The model provided in figure 2b represents a test of this same process via a “measurement-of-mediation” approach where the hypothesized mediator is directly measured. PILOT STUDY In order to test H3 and H4 (in conjunction with H1-H2), it was necessary to find product categories that (1) vary in the degree to which the set of product related thoughts evoked at a given OP and ARP overlap and (2) would be relevant to a student-subject population such that product knowledge would be accessible in memory. We hypothesized that product categories that exhibit more discernible, tangible, and identifiable attribute differences between product versions at the level of the ARP and at the level of the OP would also exhibit larger differences in overlap in product-related thoughts at the two price levels. For example, our a priori belief was that jeans, a wardrobe staple for students, provide similar functionality whether they are high or low priced (and thus should possess high thought overlap at the two price levels). However, cordless phones should have differing functionality based on price (and thus should possess low thought overlap at the two price levels). While we sought student-relevant product categories that would all have product versions at one common ARP and OP level, the given ARP/OP level we selected needed to have an ARP that exceeded the OP by an amount large enough that it would allow for participants to perceive more or less thought overlap. Based on our review of the literature, the largest percentage that we found an ARP to be manipulated relative to an OP was by a factor of 2.86 (Urbany et al. 1988). Even at this “implausibly high” level, the ARP was found to influence consumer price perceptions. Considering these factors, we selected the 15 product categories (see table 1), and tested them at an OP of $39.99 and an ARP of $119.99 (i.e., an ARP that exceeded the OP by a factor of 3). -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 1 about here ------------------------------------------------------For each of the 15 product categories, we created a survey that had the following introduction: This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 8 Imagine a (product name inserted here, e.g., “pair of jeans”) that normally sells for $39.99. Think of all the features that you might expect (product name inserted here) at this price to have. Now, imagine a second (product name inserted here) that sells for $119.99. Think of all the features that you might expect (product name inserted here) at this price to have. After being prompted to consider these two product/price combinations, participants responded to the following product feature overlap question, “How many features would you expect the two (product category) to have in common?,” anchored by “very few” and “very many.” Next was a seven-point knowledge question, “Compared to other college students you know, how knowledgeable do you think you are about (product category)?,” anchored by “Less Knowledgeable Than Others – More Knowledgeable Than Others.” For ease of survey administration, we split the 15 products into three groups of five products so that each pretest participant responded to only five of the 15 product categories. Surveys presenting each of the three sets of five product categories were administered to a group of n = 24 pretest participants (total pretest n = 72). Based on the pretest results, we sought to identify four product categories to carry through to experiment 1; two that could be characterized as low feature overlap and two that could be characterized as high feature overlap. We also wanted to have categories for which the mean level of subject knowledge was high. In addition, to the extent possible, we strived to ensure that feature overlap would not be confounded with other variables (e.g., the low feature overlap conditions also being more or less technological than the high overlap condition). Based on the results of this pilot study, we selected backpacks and cordless telephones as the low feature overlap product categories and sunglasses and jeans as the high feature overlap categories. As shown in table 1, the measure of overlap is among the highest for sunglasses and jeans, and much lower for backpacks and cordless phones. Further, product knowledge ranks first, second, third, and fifth highest for these four categories. Finally, the two product categories that operationalize the two product overlap conditions do not appear to be obviously confounded with some other salient product category classification with perhaps one exception; the high overlap items are more fashion related. However, there is always the possibility that some other influence that we have not identified is confounded with product category (e.g., price variability in the product category). This potential limitation is addressed in experiments 2 and 3. EXPERIMENT 1 Method Two hundred and twenty-eight undergraduates from a U.S. university were randomly assigned to one of eight conditions in a 2 (ARP presence: ARP/OP vs. OP only) × 4 (product category: jeans, sunglasses, backpack, cordless phone) between-subjects design. In the ARP/OP condition, participants saw one of the four products offered at “Regularly $119.99, Store X Sale Price $39.99.” In the OP only condition, they saw one of the four products at “Store X Sale Price $39.99.” As noted above, two of the four product categories used in the present study operationalized low feature overlap (backpack, cordless phone), and two operationalized high feature overlap (jeans, sunglasses). Experimental sessions were run in groups of 12-16 and participants were randomly assigned to one of the eight experimental conditions within the experimental session. Participants were told that the experimenters were working with a local retailer “who is interested in gathering information on how consumers perceive prices on products that they may discount in the future, depending on feedback gathered in this survey.” This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 9 The instructions stated that the brand would be referred to as “Brand ABC” and the retailer would be referred to as “Store X” in order to maintain anonymity. Participants were then instructed to turn to the next page where they saw an advertisement for one of the four products. Below the ad image, participants saw either “Regularly $119.99, Store X Sale Price $39.99” or “Store X Sale Price $39.99.” In order to allow for variance in perceptions of product thought overlap, no product descriptions were included in the advertisements. The ARP/OP ad for the backpack is provided as appendix A. After considering the price advertisement, participants turned to the next page and responded to a range of dependent variables. The first variable assessed average selling price perceptions and was used to operationalize the IRP (Grewal et al. 1998; Mazumdar, Raj, and Sinha 2005; Urbany et al. 1988). Specifically, participants in the ARP condition saw the following: There are 16 different department and specialty stores in the (city) area that sell the (product category) identical to that shown on the previous page, one of which is Store X. The (product) is offered on sale at Store X for $39.99. According to Store X’s advertisement, the regular selling price of the Brand ABC (product) is $119.99. Suppose you checked prices at the remaining 15 stores that sell this same (product). What would you assume to be the average selling price of the (product) at the 15 stores? For participants in the OP only condition, the third sentence in this average selling price measure was deleted. Then participants responded to a series of four 7-point scales designed to assess the value of the price offer (“I believe the (product) would be a good value at the advertised selling price of $39.99,” anchored by “Disagree” and “Agree”), attitude toward the offer (“My attitude toward the advertised deal is,” anchored by “Unfavorable” and “Favorable”), perceived quality (“The quality of this (product) is,” anchored by “Poor” and “Excellent”), and purchase intentions (“If you were in the market to purchase a (product) in the price range of $40.00 (for yourself or as a gift), how likely would you be to purchase the advertised (product),” anchored by “Very Unlikely” and “Very Likely”) (Lichtenstein et al. 1991). A principle components analysis showed that these four scales loaded on a single factor (eigenvalue = 2.46) explaining 62% of variance in the data. Thus, we combined the four items into an additive multi-item scale to operationalize evaluations of the deal (α = .79). Results Prior to analyses, we removed data from fourteen participants who responded to the average price perception measure (IRP) with a value of less that $1 or greater than the ARP of $119.99, resulting in an effective sample size of 214. An analysis of variance indicated that within each of the two overlap conditions, product category did not interact with the price manipulation in affecting either of the dependent variables. Thus, in order to formally test H1H4, we collapsed product category cells to create a high overlap (jeans and sunglasses) category that was coded as 1 and a low overlap (backpack and cordless phone) category that was coded as 0. For the ARP presence manipulation, the OP only condition was coded as 0 and the ARP/OP condition was coded as 1. Cell sizes, means, and standard deviations for both dependent variables across the eight experimental cells are shown in table 2. -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 2 about here ------------------------------------------------------- This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 10 Internal Reference Price. A two-way analysis of variance revealed a significant interaction between product category and ARP presence on internal reference price (F(1, 210) = 3.70, p = .056; see fig. 3a) such that the difference in internal reference prices between the OP only and ARP/OP conditions was greater for products with high overlap (MOP only = 40.79, MARP/OP = 75.44) than the difference in internal reference prices for products with low overlap (MOP only = 41.66, MARP/OP = 67.73). That is, ARPs had a greater assimilative influence for high overlap product categories than low overlap product categories. In addition, the difference between the high and low overlap product categories was significant in the ARP/OP condition (F(1, 210) = 6.09, p = .014), but not in the OP only condition (F(1, 210) = .074, p = .785). This suggests that the effect of product category influenced the assimilation of the internal reference price to the ARP, and not internal reference prices in general. Deal Evaluation. A two-way analysis of variance on deal evaluations also revealed a significant interaction between product category and ARP presence (F(1, 210) = 6.12, p = .014; see fig. 3b) such that the difference in deal evaluations between the OP only and ARP/OP conditions was greater for products with high overlap (MOP only = 16.38, MARP/OP = 21.33) than for products with low overlap (MOP only = 17.08, MARP/OP = 18.84). In addition, the difference between the high and low overlap product categories was significant in the ARP/OP condition (F(1, 210) = 7.65 p = .006), but not in the OP only condition (F(1, 210) = .56, p = .453), suggesting that product category only influenced deal evaluations when an ARP was present and not more generally. -------------------------------------------------------Insert figure 3a and 3b about here -------------------------------------------------------Mediation. Next, we tested for mediational evidence. The relationships predicted in H1H4 jointly represent mediated moderation, as shown in figure 4. That is, the effect of the ARP manipulation on evaluations of the deal is moderated by the product category, and this moderation is mediated by the internal reference price. As such, we followed procedures consistent with Hayes (forthcoming) and Preacher and Hayes (2008) for jointly testing these hypotheses. The ARP presence x product category interaction positively influenced internal reference prices (b = 8.59, t(210) = 1.92, p = .056), which in turn positively influenced deal evaluations (b = .10, t(209) = 5.07, p < .001; see table 3 for regression results). The indirect effect of the ARP presence x product category interaction on deal evaluations through internal reference price was 0.82 (95% CI: .058 to 1.901). There was also a significant direct effect of the interaction on deal evaluations (b = 2.37, t(209) = 1.92, p = .056). We conclude that the moderation of the effect of ARP on deal evaluations by product category is mediated by the internal reference price. -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 3 and figure 4 about here ------------------------------------------------------Discussion Across four product categories, experiment 1 provides evidence consistent with the hypothesis that the degree of influence that an ARP exerts on consumer price response is dependent on the degree of overlap in (1) the set of product-related thoughts associated with versions of the product at the level of the ARP and (2) the set of product-related thoughts This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 11 associated with versions of the product at the level of the OP. Consistent with our hypothesis, greater assimilation effects were found for product categories where the overlap was greater. We note that the evidence of process of the mediating role of product thought overlap was provided without direct assessment of the mediator. Rather, we provide evidence of mediation using a “moderation of process” approach. Spencer et al. (2005, p. 847) argue that moderation of process designs provide strong evidence of a psychological process if they meet two assumptions. First, there has to be evidence that the moderator does indeed affect the proposed psychological process, and second, that the only way that the proposed moderating variable exerts its influence is through its influence on the unmeasured mediator. That is, there can be no alternative explanation for the observed moderation. Regarding the first criterion, the hypothesized moderation was obtained. Regarding the second criterion, consideration of several factors suggests that this criterion was also met. First, the product categories that served as the high and low product overlap operationalization were specifically pretested and selected on the criterion of high and low overlap. Second, while it is possible that some other variable was also manipulated by our product category operationalization (e.g., high overlap items being more fashion-oriented and low overlap items being more functional, high or low overlap categories having more/less price variability within the product categories) and is responsible for the moderation we find, the nature of the interaction we obtained makes this rival account unlikely. Specifically, there were no product category differences in the OP only condition; product category differences existed only in the ARP/OP condition where assimilation effects were more pronounced for the high overlap product categories than the low overlap product categories. Thus, any alternative explanation would have to be able to account for this interaction. EXPERIMENT 2 In experiment 2, we wanted to investigate the possibility that a third variable, related to product category, was responsible for the effects found in experiment 1. Our approach to addressing this possibility was to use a single product category and given level of ARP and OP while manipulating executional ad elements designed to prime the perception of “similarities” (hence, high overlap) or “differences” (hence, low overlap) between the exemplars brought to mind by the ARP and OP, respectively. Additionally, we directly measured thought overlap and tested its mediating role in the relationship between the manipulated condition (similarity vs. difference mindset when viewing an ARP) and downstream consumer responses (i.e., internal reference prices and deal evaluations). This allowed us to assess mediation using a “measurement of mediation” approach. The conceptual model we used to assess measurement of mediation is provided in figure 2b. Method One hundred and twenty residents of the United States were recruited from mTurk and paid a small amount to participate in this experiment. The experiment was a simple two cell design where two versions of an ARP advertisement were created to prime either a similarity or difference mindset. Males viewed an advertisement with a male model while females viewed an advertisement with a female model. The gender of the model in the advertisement was matched to the gender of the participant to increase relevance of the ad and involvement in the purchase scenario and was not of theoretical interest. There were no significant differences between males and females nor were any of the gender by prime interactions significant, so all reported analyses were conducted collapsing across gender. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 12 On the first screen, participants read the same cover story as in experiment 1. The second screen showed the advertisement containing the manipulation (see Appendix B for the female similarity prime version of the advertisement and the male difference prime version of the advertisement). Principles of perceptual organization propose that people are more likely to perceive two objects as a single unit when they are proximally located, share a common region and are similar in shape and color (Palmer and Rock 1994). Therefore, to promote a mindset of similarity, we designed an advertisement in which the ARP and OP were displayed in close proximity with a box around them and used the same font style and color. We further primed similarity by placing the following slogan in the advertisement: “The same classic construction that you’ve always known. Because good things stay the same.” To promote a focus on differences, the ARP was placed further apart from the OP (the ARP was located above the photo while the OP was located below the photo), there was no box around the two prices, and the two prices used different font colors and styles. The tagline for this advertisement further primed differences by using the following text “A uniquely different construction from what you’ve known in the past. Because being different is what our jeans are all about.” After viewing this advertisement, participants responded to the dependent variables of interest. First, they responded to the same average price operationalization of the IRP used in experiment 1.Participants next provided their evaluations of the deal. This was assessed using the value of the price offer and attitude toward the price offer items from experiment 1, and a new item assessing how long participants believed the sale would be on offer for (“Based on your best guess, how long do you think a retailer would offer a sale such as the one above?” anchored by “Very small amount of time” and “Very large amount of time”). We included this measure on the belief that if participants believe a deal is particularly good, they will believe it to be offered for a limited time only. This measure is consistent with “time tests” many enforcement agencies across states (e.g., Massachusetts) and countries (e.g., Canada) employ to operationalize if an ARP is a bona fide bargain (Kaufman et al. 1994). That is, if the ARP is offered beyond some specified period of time, it may be legally deceptive, hence not a good deal. These three items were combined into an additive multi-item scale to operationalize deal evaluations (α = .71). (Recognizing that this operationalization of deal evaluation is partially different from that employed in experiment 1, we employ both in experiment 3 to demonstrate equivalency.) Following this, we assessed perceived feature overlap associated with ARP and OP. While viewing the ARP/OP “Regularly $119.99, Now Only $39.99” advertisement, participants were provided with a list of 15 product features and told “A typical $120 pair of jeans has the features listed below.” From this list, they were then asked to check off the features they believe are also possessed by the pair of jeans available at the $39.99 OP shown in the advertisement. We summed the number of features checked off to create a measure of product-thought overlap. Results Prior to analyses, we removed data from eight participants who indicated that they were familiar with or had taken a similar survey previously (we had conducted a similar survey for a study reported in a prior version of this paper), four participants who spent less than five seconds on each webpage in the survey, one participant who spent more than 32 minutes (more than 10 SD from the mean) on the page assessing internal reference price and 1 participant who spent more than 16 minutes on the page assessing feature overlap (more than 10 SD from the mean). Thus, 106 participants were used in this analysis. Cell sizes, means and standard deviations are reported in table 4. -------------------------------------------------------- This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 13 Insert table 4 about here ------------------------------------------------------We proposed that a similarity mindset would lead to greater thought overlap than a focus on differences, and that this thought overlap would in turn influence average price perceptions (the IRP) and subsequently deal evaluations (see fig. 2b). To assess whether the relationship between the manipulated condition and deal evaluations was mediated by a sequential process that influenced thought overlap and subsequently the IRP, the PROCESS macro (model 6) was used (Hayes, forthcoming; Hayes and Preacher, forthcoming). The mediation model tested is provided in figure 5. We coded the low overlap condition (difference prime) as 0 and the high overlap condition (similarity prime) as 1. Participants who were exposed to the similarity prime perceived marginally more feature overlap than those who were exposed to the difference prime (b = 1.20, t(104) = 1.75, p = .083; see table 5 for regression results), those who perceived more feature overlap had higher internal reference prices (b = 1.86, t(103) = 3.41, p < .001) and those with higher internal reference prices had more positive evaluations of the deal (b = .06, t(102) = 3.13, p = .002). Although the total effect of prime on deal evaluations did not reach conventional levels of statistical significance (b = 1.16, t(104) = 1.59, p = .116), we nonetheless find support for our proposed mediational process (Hayes, forthcoming; Zhao, Lynch, and Chen 2010). A bias-corrected bootstrap confidence interval for the indirect effect of prime on deal evaluations through thought overlap and then internal reference price based on 5,000 bootstrap samples was .12 (95% CI: .0057 to .4488). There was no evidence that the similarity versus difference prime influenced deal evaluations independent of the effect of thought overlap and internal reference price (b = .31, t(102) = .43, p = .665). We conclude that relative to those in the low overlap condition, those in the high overlap condition perceived more feature overlap, which in turn was associated with a higher internal reference price and that this increase in internal reference price translated into a more favorable deal evaluation. -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 5 and figure 5 about here ------------------------------------------------------Discussion These results support our hypothesis that the ARP exerts a stronger influence on the IRP when people perceive greater overlap in product related thoughts, and that this increase in the IRP subsequently influences deal evaluations. We held constant the product category and manipulated aspects of the advertisement to promote a similarity versus differences mindset. Thus, results of the first two experiments, the first using a moderation-of-process approach, the second using a measurement-of-mediation approach (Spencer et al. 2005), provide convergent evidence that the degree of overlap in product-related thoughts mediates the degree to which IRPs are assimilated toward ARPs. Whereas experiment 1 entailed a more inductive approach in which we conducted a pilot study to find products that participants believed to vary on overlap, experiment 2 used a more deductive approach where a similarity vs. difference mindset in the presence of an ARP was manipulated, resulting in downstream effects on product thought overlap, the IRP, and finally deal evaluations. Experiment 2 results provide added confidence that product-related thought overlap, and not some other variable, mediates the influence of an ARP on an IRP and, subsequently, the This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 14 evaluation of the deal. Our next experiment seeks to provide additional evidence for this process by manipulating another managerially controllable variable that has direct implications for perceived overlap. For instance, consider that a reference price offer for one product (the focal product in this example) is frequently accompanied by a reference price offer for a second product in the same advertisement (the context product). We hypothesize that the relationship of the context product to the focal product can influence the degree of thought overlap for the focal product. To expand on this idea, a context product (e.g., dining table A) may either be a substitute for the focal product (e.g., dining table B), a complement (e.g., dining chairs matching dining table B) to the focal product, or a product that is unrelated (e.g., a nonmatching rug) to the focal product. By definition, substitute and complement products are related (i.e., there is some level of cross-elasticity), whereas unrelated products are not (i.e., cross-elasticity is zero). When consumers are asked to evaluate an ARP and OP on a focal product (e.g., dining table B), the presence of another related product should put consumers in a relationship mindset that encourages a similarity focus and, thus, encourages higher levels of thought overlap. That is, the presence of related products should encourage a person to think in terms of common and/or shared attributes, benefits, and uses across products. This mindset should persist and be applied to exemplars recruited at the levels of the ARP and OP for the focal product. Thus, to the extent substitute and complement products encourage a focus on relationships across products whereas unrelated products do not, the consumer should be put in a similarity and dissimilarity mindset, respectively. As found in experiment 2, under a similarity mindset, the exemplars evoked by the ARP and OP should be perceived as having more overlap and the ARP should more effectively influence the internal reference price and deal evaluations. EXPERIMENT 3 In experiment 3, we manipulated the relationship of a context product (substitute, complement, unrelated) to the focal product of evaluation. Two other design and procedural changes were made as robustness checks and/or to address alternative explanations for results of the first two experiments. First, we used a deep discount (ARP/OP of $119.99/$39.99, a 3/1 ratio) in experiments 1 and 2 in order to allow for variability in product thought overlap and thus, variance in the downstream consumer responses (the IRP and deal evaluations). However, as a check on the robustness of the effect, we moved to an ARP/OP of $699/$549 (1.27/1 ratio) in this experiment. In terms of prior literature, discounts in experiments 1 and 2 would be classified as implausible, while that in experiment 3 would be classified as plausible (Krishna et al. 2002; Urbany et al. 1988). Regarding the second design change, because we were manipulating overlap between the ARP and OP for the focal product (table) via the presence of an ARP/OP for a second related (table, chairs) vs. nonrelated (rug) context product in the advertisement, we were concerned that consumers may use the discount for the context product as a reference point in evaluating the ARP/OP discount for the focal product, thereby exerting an additional influence on responses. We could have addressed this by matching the discount for the context product with the focal product, but we were concerned that would lack realism and raise suspicions. Therefore, we decided to use ARP/OP combinations for the context products that were both less than, and greater than, the ARP/OP discount for the focal product. Thus, if the discount offered for the context product influenced responses to the focal product, our manipulation would capture this influence. Consequently, the OP of the context product was varied: ARP of $699 and OP of $659 versus ARP of $699 and OP of $299. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 15 Method Four hundred and twenty-eight residents of the United States (mean age = 34 years) were recruited from mTurk and paid a small amount to participate in a 3 (relationship of the context product to the focal product: substitute, complement, unrelated) x 2 (discount level on context product: high [ARP/OP = $699/299], low [ARP/OP = $699/659]) online experiment. Participants were randomly assigned to condition. At the outset of the survey participants were told that: We are working with a (City) area retailer who is interested in how consumers perceive products that are on sale. The retailer wishes to remain anonymous and for that reason the advertisement we are going to ask you to evaluate is very simple and contains no identifying clues about who the retailer might be. We have also substituted the name “Store X” for the actual name of the retailer. The advertisement shows two products that are on sale. One of the products is the "Santiago Dining Table." That is the product we are going to ask you about and the one we want you to focus on in responding to the questions that follow. Now please go to the next screen and view the advertisement for the Santiago Dining Table, then answer the questions that follow. Participants then saw an advertisement for two products, both with an ARP and OP. The focal product, a dining table with an ARP/OP of $699/$549 was shown at the bottom of the advertisement. This was constant across all conditions. At the top of the advertisement, the context product – a dining table (substitute), chair set (complement), and rug (unrelated) varied across conditions as did the ARP and OP for the context product. (See Appendix C for the three versions of the context product manipulation for the high discount condition.) In the high discount condition, the context product was offered at “Regularly $699, Sale $299,” whereas in the low discount condition the ARP and OP was $699 and $659. Thus, the discounts across the high and low levels of the context product were much higher and lower than the discount offered on the focal product. After viewing the advertisement, respondents advanced to the next screen. With both the context and focal products and associated ARP/OPs still on the screen, participants provided an internal reference price estimate modified to fit the cover story in experiment 3: There are 3 different stores in the (city) area that sell the Santiago Dining Table identical to that shown above, one of which is Store X. As you can see, the table is offered on sale at Store X for $549.00. According to Store X’s advertisement, the regular selling price of the Santiago table is $699.00. Suppose you checked prices at the remaining 2 stores that sell the same Santiago table, knowing that each of these stores can set its own price for the table. What would you assume to be the average selling price of the Santiago table at those 2 stores? The average price of the Santiago table would be: ____________. Participants also responded to measures of overlap and evaluations of the deal. Again, both products remained on the screen while these measures were taken. Regarding overlap, participants responded to the following: “Select the image you feel best represents the similarity in thoughts that come to mind when thinking about the Santiago Table that is being offered for This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 16 sale at $549.00 and a dinner table that would typically sell for $699.00.” The seven-point scale was a modified version of an item developed to measure the overlap in perceptions of one’s self and a target organization (Bergami and Bagozzi 2000). The seven scale positions were accompanied by two circles that were far apart on one end (and labeled as “far apart”) and by two circles that were totally on top of each other at the other end (and labeled as “complete overlap). The five intermediate scale positions showed circles that increasingly overlapped to a larger degree, as in a Venn diagram, with each scale positions individually labeled (e.g., “close together but separate,” “small overlap,” “large overlap”). Participants chose the set of two circles that indicated their perceived overlap in thoughts. Given the differing operationalizations of deal evaluations across experiments 1 and 2, in experiment 3 we sought to provide evidence that results would be robust across both operationalizations. Therefore, we assessed the five items used to form the two operationalizations in experiments 1 and 2 (i.e., the four scale items used in experiment 1, and the additional sale length scale item in experiment 2 that was combined with two of the four items from experiment 1). As results were invariant across the experiment 1 and experiment 2 operationalizations, we only report results relevant to the same four-item operationalization used in experiment 1. We provide results for the experiment 2 operationalization in the web appendix. Results To check whether the effect of the context product on thought overlap, internal reference prices or deal evaluations differed depending on the discount level of the context product, we first regressed these dependent variables on context product, discount level and the interaction of context product by discount level. Context product did not interact with discount level in affecting any of the dependent variables, so we collapsed across discount level and used a planned contrast coding of the related (hypothesized to prime a similarity mindset) versus the unrelated (hypothesized to evoke a differences mindset) context products (i.e., substitute = .5, complement = .5, unrelated = -1) for further analyses. Cell sizes, means and standard deviations are provided in table 6. -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 6 about here ------------------------------------------------------The PROCESS macro (model 6; Hayes, forthcoming; Hayes and Preacher, forthcoming) was used to assess whether the influence of the context product (related vs. unrelated) on deal evaluations was mediated by a sequential process of product thought overlap and updating of the focal product IRP. The mediation model tested is provided in figure 6. First, participants who were exposed to a related context product perceived more feature overlap than those who were exposed to the unrelated context product (b = .37, t(426) = 2.41, p = .016; see table 7 for regression results). Second, participant who perceived more feature overlap had higher internal reference prices (b = 6.63, t(425) = 2.33, p = .020). Third, participants with higher internal reference prices had more positive evaluations of the deal (b = .006, t(424) = 7.62, p < .001). The total effect of context product on deal evaluations was significant (b = .40, t(426) = 2.49, p = .013). A bias-corrected, 5,000 sample bootstrap confidence interval for the indirect effect of prime on deal evaluations through feature overlap and then internal reference price was .014 (95% CI: .0015 to .0383). There was no evidence that the relatedness of the context product influenced deal evaluations independent of the effect of feature overlap and internal reference price (b = .10, t(424) = .68, p = .499). We conclude that, relative to those in the unrelated context This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 17 product condition, those in the related context product condition perceived more feature overlap, which in turn was associated with a higher internal reference price and this increase in internal reference price translated into a more positive deal evaluation. -------------------------------------------------------Insert table 7 and figure 6 about here ------------------------------------------------------- GENERAL DISCUSSION The process of ARP perception has been the focus of much research over the past 35 years (see meta-analysis by Krishna et al. 2002). Within this time frame researchers have adopted the three construct presence of an ARP assimilation of IRP deal evaluation sequence as given, and have focused their efforts on identifying moderators of this process. This approach has identified some useful insights. For example, semantic cues (Lichtenstein et al. 1991), past merchant promotion practices and the promotion history of competing merchants (Lichtenstein and Bearden 1989), and individual differences in terms of consumer skepticism (Urbany et al. 1988) are just a few examples of variables that have been shown to moderate the ARP’s influence on the IRP, hence deal evaluations. Importantly, it was only by the identification of the IRP as a mediator of ARP perception did variables that may moderate the influence of the ARP by affecting the IRP become evident. Following this logic, a premise of the present study is that identification of additional mediating variables operating within the presence of an ARP assimilation of IRP deal evaluation sequence would increase the chances of discovering other yet-to-be-identified moderators. Thus, the purpose of the present investigation was to advance a new mediator of the process of ARP perception, that being product-thought overlap. Three studies provide support that product-thought overlap does indeed mediate ARP perception; specifically, evidence supports a presence of an ARP product thought overlap assimilation of IRP deal evaluations sequence. The evidence comes from three studies of very differing natures, the first one being a demonstration of “moderation-of-process,” the second two being demonstrations of “measurement of mediation” (Spencer et al. 2005). Further, within the second two studies, the operationalization of product-thought overlap was very different in nature, yet results were consistent. The theoretical value of identifying this mediator is illustrated by results of the three experiments. For example, based on results of experiment 1, we have evidence that product category serves as a moderator of the ARP’s influence on IRPs and subsequent deal evaluations via its influence on product thought overlap. Simply stated, ARPs will be more effective when used with some product categories as opposed to others. Identification of product thought overlap also led to the question motivating experiments 2 and 3 regarding if product thought overlap elicited by an ARP could be manipulated by context variables within product category such that ARPs would be more or less influential. Results of these two experiments provide affirmative support for this question. By the ad layout that retailers use, and/or by the nature of accompanying products retailers place in an advertisement, they can affect how successful an ARP will be for a focal product. Of note, the manipulations in these studies would not have become apparent had the mediator not first been identified. Implications for Theory Although Assimilation-Contrast Theory is the most oft-cited theory for explaining the influence of ARPs, limited theoretical elaboration exists on the process mechanisms behind this This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 18 effect within the ARP domain. By linking the degree of product thought overlap evoked by exemplars at the levels of the ARP and OP for a single product (in the present research) to product feature overlap for two different products as theorized in basic assimilation-contrast literature (see Herr 1989; Herr et al. 1983), our research connects the application of Assimilation-Contrast Theory in the ARP domain to its more general theoretical domain, allowing for process-related insights into consumer assimilation of ARPs. In so doing, we provide the first empirical support in the pricing literature for a theoretically-based mediator beyond the IRP of ARP influence. We should note that finding assimilation of the IRP towards the ARP given the provision of two external anchors, an ARP and an OP, differs in a fundamental way from the findings of assimilation of Strack and Mussweiler (1997) and Mussweiler (2002) cited earlier. In those studies, participants are provided with one external anchor in the “comparative” question (e.g., “Is the Mississippi River longer or shorter than 3000 miles?”) that influences responses to the subsequent “absolute” question. Seemingly, given one anchor with relative uncertainty as to the accuracy of that value to the unknown correct value (approximately 2,340 miles), there is reasonable malleability in consumer response such that anchoring effects are observed. In the present research, consumers encounter a bona fide OP that they know is valid and are provided with an ARP claim where they know the retailer has a profit motive to make the ARP claim. In some sense, we view our study context as one where, like Strack and Mussweiler (1997) and Mussweiler (2002), participants are provided with an “influencing” anchor (the value in the comparative question in their case, the ARP in our case), but one where the perception (IRP) we are attempting to influence is more “nailed down” by the provision of a second bona fide anchor (OP). Thus, relative to the study context of Strack and Mussweiler (1997) and Mussweiler (2002), the present study setting would not seemingly lend itself to strong assimilation effects. However, under contexts that promote a perception of high product thought overlap, the ARP claim was effective in promoting the belief that the product’s average selling price (IRP) was higher thereby resulting in more favorable deal evaluations of the product at the OP. Viewed in this light, we see our findings of assimilation as even more meaningful. Implications for Practice While generalizing from lab studies to field settings is often a risky endeavor, to the extent our findings do generalize, the implications appear fairly direct. The experiment 1 results suggest that, assuming ARPs are indeed valid, marketers would be well advised to consider the product categories for which they use ARPs. Using ARPs indiscriminately may lessen their credibility, whereas restricting their use to a subset of products, those that generate higher levels of overlap in product-related thoughts at the level of the ARP and OP, may result in higher levels of consumer responsiveness. Also, the similarity-difference mindset manipulation in experiment 2 suggests some interesting possibilities. For instance, to the extent marketers can employ tactics to put consumers in a “similarity” mindset, their ARPs may be more effective. On the other side of the coin, our results provide evidence that the common marketer practice of differentiating an advertised reference priced-product with ad slogans that focus on the word “difference,” may in fact be having an adverse effect on consumer responses relative to wording that primes the perception of similarity. Finally, while it is common for marketers to simultaneously promote multiple products, the relationship for how the presence of one product may affect the perception of another, to our knowledge, has not been investigated. Our results suggest that promoting context products that share a relationship with the focal product, be it complement or substitute, This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 19 may promote higher levels of product thought overlap, hence more favorable perception of ARPs. However, because the present research was not conducted in a field setting, it is premature to draw firm conclusions regarding the external validity of our findings. Public Policy Implications We believe that there are also public policy implications relating to our findings. Consistent with much prior research and marketplace evidence, our research also supports the significant influence that ARPs can have on consumer perceptions. For example, a comparison of consumer responses between the ARP/OP and OP only conditions in Experiment 1, once again, shows the influence that ARPs can have. However, this has been found numerous times before and is “not news.” What is news is that the influence of the ARP was moderated by product category (experiment 1) and influenced by perceptual context (ad layout in experiment 2, context product in experiment 3). These findings have implications for the implementation of “per se” rules for establishing criteria for a legal finding of deception for ARPs. One of the authors has served as a testifying and consulting expert in several litigation matters in both the U.S. and Canada relating to ARP deception. Across all cases, one issue that arises is the standard of evidence needed to support a legal finding that a retailer has engaged in deceptive ARP behavior. Arguments frequently center on the legal applicability of some “per se” rule, or alternatively, a “rule of reason” approach. Per se rules impose an absolute threshold that retailers must meet to ensure that they meet a standard of nondeceptive ARP behavior. For example, Kaufmann et al. (1994) note that Massachusetts enacted ARP regulations in 1990 stipulating that an ARP is legitimate if at least 30% of the sales occurred at that price (i.e., a volume standard) or if the ARP is established as the selling price for at least 15 days prior to the reduction of the selling price to the new OP and that the item is not “on sale” for more than 45% of a 180-day period (i.e., a time standard). Several other states and other countries (e.g., Canada) have similar volume and time tests for per se rules. While these rules clearly give retailers set criteria to meet in order to avoid being prosecuted for deceptive price advertising, and while they also give those in the enforcement community a means to achieve efficient prosecution of violations, we believe that these per se rules may not align in the most isomorphic manner with consumer deception. Findings of the current study support this. Such “one size fits all” per se rules would be totally insensitive to how consumers perceive ARPs differently across different product categories (experiment 1) or contextual influences (experiments 2 and 3) that influence consumer price perceptions. Consequently, findings from the present study would support the adoption of a “Rule of Reason” approach to support a legal finding of deception. Such an approach would require a focus on retailer operations and behavior, consumer perceptions, industry characteristics, characteristics of the product in question, and contextual factors surrounding the pricing behavior in order to make an informed finding regarding consumer deception (Kaufmann et al. 1994). While this approach lacks the nicety of efficiency from an enforcement perspective, the present study results suggest that it may align better with issues relating to consumer perception and deception. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 20 APPENDIX A Backpack Manipulation in Experiment 1 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 21 APPENDIX B Similarity (Female) Prime Condition in Experiment 2 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 22 APPENDIX B (continued) Difference (Male) Prime Condition in Experiment 2 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 23 APPENDIX C High Discount Complement Context Product Condition in Experiment 3 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 24 APPENDIX C (continued) High Discount Substitute Context Product Condition in Experiment 3 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 25 APPENDIX C (continued) High Discount Unrelated Context Product Condition in Experiment 3 *By mistake, our advertisement indicated that this circular rug had dimensions of 8 x 10. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 26 WEB APPENDIX The experiment 3 data were reanalyzed using the composite evaluation measure from experiment 2. The results remained largely unchanged because the two measures were correlated at .93. Again, the hypotheses were tested using a planned contrast coding of the related versus the unrelated context products (i.e., substitute = .5, complement = .5, unrelated = -1). For deal evaluation, there was a significant main effect of the relationship of the context product (F(1, 422) = 8.73, p < .05), but a nonsignificant main effect of the discount level of the context product (F(1, 422) = 1.81, p > .05) and the interaction of the two variables (F(1, 422) = 2.34, p > .05). Test for the mediators showed similar patterns. For product thought overlap, there was a significant main effect of the relationship of the context product (F(1, 422) = 5.99, p < .05), a nonsignificant main effect of the discount level of the context product (F(1, 422) = .22, p > .05), and a nonsignificant interaction (F(1, 422) = 1.57, p > .05). For the IRP, there was a significant main effect of the relationship of the context product (F(1, 422) = 10.24, p < .05), a significant main effect of the discount level of the context product (F(1, 422) = 20.70, p > .05), and a nonsignificant interaction (F(1, 422) = 2.33, p > .05). The PROCESS macro (model 6; Hayes and Preacher in press) was used to assess whether the influence of the context product (related vs. unrelated) on deal evaluations was mediated by a sequential process of product thought overlap and updating of the focal product IRP. First, participants who were exposed to a related context product perceived more feature overlap than those who were exposed to the unrelated context product (b = .37, t (425) = 2.41, p = .02). Second, participant who perceived more feature overlap had higher internal reference prices (b = 6.63, t(424) = 2.33, p = .02). Third, participants with higher internal reference prices had more positive evaluations of the deal (b = .007, t(423) = 7.60, p < .001). A bias-corrected, 5000 sample bootstrap confidence interval for the indirect effect of prime on deal evaluations through feature overlap and then internal reference price was above zero (95% CI: .0026 to .0461). There was no evidence that the relatedness of the context product influenced deal evaluations independent of the effect of feature overlap and internal reference price (b = .21, t(423) = 1.31, p = .19). We conclude that, relative to those in the unrelated context product condition, those in the related context product condition perceived more feature overlap, which in turn was associated with a higher internal reference price and this increase in internal reference price translated into a more positive deal evaluation. This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 27 REFERENCES Bearden, William O., Donald R. Lichtenstein, and Jesse E. Teel (1984), “Comparison Price, Coupon, and Brand Effects on Consumer Reactions to Retail Newspaper Advertisements,” Journal of Retailing, 60 (Summer), 11-34. Bergami, Massimo and Richard P. 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It should be used for educational purposes only. 30 TABLE 1 Experiment 1 Pilot Study: Product Category Selection Results Product Category Jeans Men's tie Sunglasses Men’s Sports watch Tennis racket Frying pan Hiking boots Camping tent Backpack Cordless telephone Bookshelf Coffee maker Binoculars Hockey jersey Microwave oven Product Knowledge Mean Product Feature Overlap ($39.99 vs. $119.99) 4.77 4.02 4.60 2.85 2.94 3.76 3.23 3.75 4.71 4.16 3.69 4.23 3.60 3.85 3.92 5.92 5.33 5.08 5.08 4.92 4.92 4.75 4.67 4.42 4.33 4.17 4.07 3.92 3.75 3.58 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 31 TABLE 2 Experiment 1: Dependent Variable Cell Sizes, Means, and Standard Deviations Dependent Variable Product Category Phone Internal Backpack Reference Jeans Price Sunglasses Phone Backpack Deal Evaluations Jeans Sunglasses N 28 25 26 26 28 25 26 26 OP ($39) Only Standard Mean Deviation 43.28 14.91 39.84 9.24 42.69 8.97 38.88 12.28 16.96 5.41 17.20 4.59 17.77 4.27 15.00 5.71 ARP/OP ($119/$39) Standard N Mean Deviation 26 64.50 22.46 29 70.62 18.38 27 75.52 17.06 27 75.37 22.88 26 18.42 4.81 29 19.21 4.20 27 21.78 3.19 27 20.89 4.95 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 32 TABLE 3 Experiment 1: Regression Analyses Dependent Variable Independent Variable ARP Presence Product Category Interaction IRP Constant A1 A2 A3 b 26.07 -.87 8.59 - IRP SE 3.14 3.19 4.46 - p <.001 .785 .056 - 41.66 2.24 <.001 R2 = .48 F(3,210) = 63.59 C'1 C'2 C'3 B Deal Evaluation SE b p -.73 .99 .461 -.61 .87 .486 2.37 1.23 .056 .10 .02 <.001 13.09 1.00 <.001 R2 = .24 F(4,209) = 16.23 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 33 TABLE 4 Experiment 2: Dependent Variable Cell Sizes, Means and Standard Deviations Dependent Variable Thought Overlap Internal Reference Price Deal Evaluations N 54 Difference Prime Standard Mean Deviation 5.80 3.81 Similarity Prime Standard N Mean Deviation 52 7.00 3.81 54 60.57 18.16 52 72.94 22.99 54 14.28 3.74 52 15.44 3.82 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 34 TABLE 5 Experiment 2: Regression Analyses Independent Overlap Variable SE b p Prime A1 1.20 .69 .083 A2 Overlap D21 IRP Constant 5.80 .48 <.001 R2 = .03 F(1,104) = 3.07 Dependent Variable IRP SE b p 10.12 3.88 .011 1.86 .55 <.001 49.77 4.15 <.001 R2 = .18 F(2,103) = 11.05 C' B1 B2 Deal Evaluation SE b p .31 .72 .665 .13 .10 .200 .06 .02 .002 10.13 1.16 <.001 R2 = .15 F(3,102) = 6.15 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 35 TABLE 6 Experiment 3: Dependent Variable Cell Sizes, Means, and Standard Deviations Dependent Discount N Variable Level On sale 70 Thought $299 Overlap On sale 69 $659 On sale Internal 70 $299 Reference On sale 69 Price $659 On sale 70 Deal $299 Evaluations On sale 69 $659 Unrelated Standard Mean Deviation N Substitute Standard Mean Deviation Complement Standard N Mean Deviation 3.13 1.54 74 2.99 1.49 74 3.64 1.54 2.94 1.25 75 3.48 1.47 66 3.53 1.54 533.67 135.66 74 577.03 82.58 74 573.80 72.41 589.30 75.83 75 601.35 72.50 66 606.85 49.27 3.57 1.77 74 3.60 1.54 74 3.86 1.42 3.38 1.49 75 4.13 1.67 66 3.91 1.45 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 36 TABLE 7 Experiment 3: Regression Analyses Independent Overlap Variable SE b p Context A1 .37 .15 .016 A2 Overlap D21 IRP Constant 3.04 .13 <.001 R2 = .01 F(1,426) = 3.07 Dependent Variable IRP SE b p 25.59 9.04 .005 6.63 2.84 .020 541.16 11.35 <.001 R2 = .03 F(2,425) = 7.60 C' B1 B2 Deal Evaluation SE b p .10 .14 .499 .40 .04 <.001 .01 .001 <.001 -.94 .44 .034 R2 = .28 F(3,424) = 55.45 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 37 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 38 FIGURE 2 Conceptual Models for Studies 1-3 for the Mediating Role of Product Thought Overlap on Advertised Reference Price (ARP) Perception FIGURE 2a Study 1: The Moderating Role of Product Category on ARP Perception FIGURE 2b. Studies 2 and 3: The Mediating Role of Thought Overlap on Advertised Reference Price (ARP) Perception This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 39 FIGURE 3a Results of Experiment 1: Product Feature Overlap x ARP presence on Internal Reference Price FIGURE 3b Results of Experiment 1: Product Feature Overlap x ARP presence on Deal Evaluations This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 40 FIGURE 4 Experiment 1: Conceptual Model Experiment 1: Statistical Model *p<.10; **p<.05; ***p<.01 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 41 FIGURE 5 Experiment 2: Statistical Model *p<.10; **p<.05; ***p<.01 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only. 42 FIGURE 6 Experiment 3: Statistical Model *p<.10; **p<.05; ***p<.01 This document is part of a JCR Manuscript Review History. It should be used for educational purposes only.
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