DECEMBER 2013 OREGON TRAVEL BAROMETER Travel Oregon has partnered with Dean Runyan Associates to provide the Travel Industry with a monthly "Oregon Travel Barometer." The Barometer is a quick-read dashboard of key travel indicators designed to show changes in the metrics that affect Oregon's tourism industry. Where applicable there is a deeper dive available for each indicator, so you can review the data in greater detail. December 2013 Report Highlights Following are a few observations from the December 2013 Oregon Travel Barometer report: Oregon’s statewide lodging trends continue to show positive growth vs. December 2012 (Lodging Demand: +6.9%; Lodging Revenue: +12.0%). o Year-over-year growth in Oregon’s lodging demand and revenue was higher than that of the national and regional averages. o Willamette Valley experienced the highest growth in lodging demand and revenue vs. December 2012. Oregon’s average gasoline prices reached a 22-month low, dropping to $3.30/gallon (1.5% vs December 2012). o NOTE: Data goes back to February 2012 Employment in Oregon’s Accommodation & Food Services sector was up +4.4% Year to Date. Domestic air visits to Oregon grew in Q3 2013 (+2.6% vs. Q3 2012). The Oregon Index of Leading Economic Indicators for December 2013 was at 98.46, which represents a 2.8% increase from December 2012. The Oregon Travel Barometer will be updated on a monthly basis (with lag time to compile the indicators). We will notify you via the Travel Oregon Industry eNewsletter as each new report becomes available (go to www.traveloregon.com/industry to subscribe). To see an archive of past Travel Barometers, click here. Many thanks, The Travel Oregon Research Team Tanya Mamchik, (503)226-2973 [email protected] (503)226-2984 Page 1 of 3 Michael Sturdevant [email protected] (503)967-1560 DECEMBER 2013 OREGON TRAVEL BAROMETER OREGON LODGING TRENDS1 Yr/Yr Change in Lodging Demand Dec 2013 Yr/Yr Change in Lodging Revenue Dec 2013 Error! Not a valid link. Oregon Coast 5.8% Oregon Coast Greater Portland Mt Hood/Gorge Willamette Valley Southern Oregon Central Oregon Eastern Oregon Oregon Pacific Region* US Total 5.9% Greater Portland 14.8% 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 4.0% 3.6% 10% 11.9% Mt Hood/Gorge Willamette Valley Southern Oregon Central Oregon Eastern Oregon Oregon Pacific Region* US Total 0.7% 0% 8.0% 4.7% 20.5% 8.8% 13.7% 12.7% 12.0% 9.5% 7.6% 0% 20% 10% 20% 30% Yr/Yr Change in Lodging Demand Dec 2013 (YTD) Yr/Yr Change in Lodging Revenue Dec 2013 (YTD) Oregon Coast Greater Portland Mt Hood/Gorge Willamette Valley Southern Oregon Central Oregon Eastern Oregon Oregon Pacific Region* US Total Oregon Coast Greater Portland Mt Hood/Gorge Willamette Valley Southern Oregon Central Oregon Eastern Oregon Oregon Pacific Region* US Total 4.2% 3.7% 3.1% 5.8% 6.1% 9.1% 5.8% 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 0% 5% 10% 6.5% 10.7% 5.9% 8.8% 8.8% 16.7% 8.2% 9.8% 8.8% 6.2% 0% 15% 10% 20% 30% OREGON DOMESTIC AIR TRAVEL2 Top 5 Origin Markets: Q3 2013 Data Yr/Yr Change in Air Arrivals: Q3 2013 Los Angeles Oregon 2.6% SF Bay Area Portland 2.3% Denver Eugene Phoenix -9.8% 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 New York 0 50 100 Arrivals in Thousands 13.7% Medford Bend 150 -20% Data 0% Percent 8.4% 20% *The Pacific Region includes the states of Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington. Tanya Mamchik, (503)226-2973 [email protected] (503)226-2984 Page 2 of 3 Michael Sturdevant [email protected] (503)967-1560 DECEMBER 2013 OREGON TRAVEL BAROMETER PRICES TRANSPORTATION Oregon Gas Prices ($ per gallon) Monthly: 2yrs PDX Airfares Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) $3.30 -1.5% Portland Metro Room Rates Monthly: 2yrs 3 1 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 99.36 5.7% 6.7% Data 4 Q3 2013 Q3 (%) YTD (%) $32,666,316 7.8% 5.4% 5 Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 239.491 2.3% 3,961.6 1.1% 1.4 % 2 Data 4 Q3 2013 Q3 (%) YTD (%) 941,319 2.6% 4.2% 8 Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 661,350 10.2% 4.5% International Deplaned Passengers at PDX Monthly: 2yrs 4 YTD (%) 8 Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 16,383 8.9% 1.4% NATIONAL AND STATE INDICATORS Leisure & hospitality Employment Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 178,200 3.4% Traveler Sentiment Index (TSI) Quarterly: 2yrs 4.2% Accommodation & Food Services Employment Monthly: 2yrs Monthly: 2yrs Data Nov (%) Total Deplaned Passengers at PDX 2.1% OREGON EMPLOYMENT6 (Seasonally Adjusted) Monthly: 2yrs Quarterly: 2yrs 7 Nov 2013 Domestic Air Visitors to Oregon West Urban CPI Food Away From Home Monthly: 2yrs Monthly: 2yrs -4.7% 2 Quarterly: 2yrs Oregon Gasoline Volume (000 gals/day) Data 4 Dec 2013 Dec (%) YTD (%) 155,900 3.5% Data Q3 2013 Q3 (%) 98.8 7.2% OR Index of Leading Economic Indicators (OILI) Monthly: 2yrs 4.4% Sources and Notes: 1. Lodging metrics are based on Smith Travel Research reports. 2. Domestic Air Travel data is based on the Origin and Destination Survey of the U.S. Department of Transportation. This survey represents a 10 percent sample of the ticket itineraries of domestic passenger flights of U.S. air carriers. 3. www.pricelock. 4. YTD Year-over-Year Change is based on last available value for each metric. 5. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 6. Oregon Employment Department. 7. U.S. Energy Information Administration 9 10 Data 11 Dec 2013 Dec (%) 6Mo (%) 98.46 2.8% 2.4% 8. 9. Port of Portland, Aviation Statistics U.S. Travel Association. TSI is a quarterly metric of consumer attitudes toward leisure travel based on available time and finances, interest, affordability, safety of travel and quality of service. The TSI is released in February (Q1), April (Q2), July (Q3) and October (Q4). March 2007 = 100. 10. Oregon Office of Economic Analysis. The OILI applies the Conference Board’s methodology for the U.S. National Leading Index to Oregon-specific components. Jan 2005 =100. The OILI value is subject to change due to the standard deviation changes. Learn More… 11. 6 Month Annualized Change. This report does not imply Travel Oregon’s participation in any increase or decrease in the various metrics offered. Tanya Mamchik, (503)226-2973 [email protected] (503)226-2984 Page 3 of 3 Michael Sturdevant [email protected] (503)967-1560
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