From:
To:
Subject:
Date:
Attachments:
Master, Sarah L.
Perez, Monte E.
RE: Board Study Session Agenda - 12-18-2013
Monday, December 16, 2013 3:53:39 PM
Data for Dec 18 BOT Study Session.docx
Hello Dr. Perez,
Attached is the data for the Dec. 18 th Board Study Session. In addition to the high school data
(which is on pages 3 and 4), I also included a 10 year history of Fall and Spring enrollments at LAMC
(page 1) and the demographic profile of our students from last fall (page 2). I’d like to point out that
the data on pages 3 and 4 is almost exactly the same – the difference is only in the projections for
high school graduates (for 2012-2013 to 2015-2016) and enrollments (for 2013-2014 to 20152016). In both cases I used the high school enrollment data for 2012-2013 and applied attrition
rates to the number of students enrolled in each grade to predict their enrollment the following
year in the next grade. On page 3 I used attrition rates based on the attrition of students from one
grade to the next between 2011-2012 and 2012-2013 (e.g., I used the percentage of 9th graders in
2011-2012 that continued on to be 10 th graders in 2012-2013, and applied it to the number of 9th
graders in 2012-2013 to predict how many would be 10 th graders in 2013-2014). On page 4 I
instead applied the average of the attrition rates between the grade levels from the 5 previous
years (rather than just from 2011-2012 to 2012-2013). Both ways of doing the projections predict
fewer numbers of high school seniors and graduates in 2013-2014, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016 than
we’ve seen in the past, but the projections on page 4 are lower than those on page 3 because
historically there was greater attrition on average between grade levels than was seen in just the
prior year. I know this is a bit confusing, but hopefully this gets you what you need. Please let me
know if you have any questions.
Best,
Sarah
Sarah L. Master, Ph.D.
Dean of Institutional Effectiveness
Los Angeles Mission College
818.364.7788
[email protected]
From: Perez, Monte E.
Sent: Friday, December 13, 2013 3:15 PM
To: Master, Sarah L.; Allen, Michael K.
Subject: Fwd: Board Study Session Agenda - 12-18-2013
Sarah. As you can see we need data on our high schools. Please provide
this for me
Sent from my iPhone
Begin forwarded message:
From: "Mazariegos, Lilian D. (District Office)"
<[email protected]>
Date: December 13, 2013 at 3:06:52 PM PST
To: #-Presidents <#[email protected]>
Cc: #-Assistant/Secretary to Presidents
<[email protected]>, "Barrera, Adriana D.
(Interim Chancellor)" <[email protected]>, "Jauregui,
Maria Elena" <[email protected]>, "Justiniano, Carol
L." <[email protected]>, "Orozco, Lupe"
<[email protected]>, "Hughes, Janet - District Office"
<[email protected]>, "Green, Laurie"
<[email protected]>
Subject: Board Study Session Agenda - 12-18-2013
LAMC Student Headcount 2003-2013
14000
11,862
12000
10,297
10000
11,145
10,670
10,241
10,571
9,936
10,200
9,355
8,326
Headcount
11,040 10,875 11,219
10,816
8000
7,935
7,512 7,595
7,837
7,496
7,877
8,303
6000
4000
2000
0
Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall Spring Fall
2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013*
Noncredit
459
540
219
315
258
260
315
582
693
952
672
650
677
697
635
Credit
7867
7395
7293
7280
7579
7236
7562
7721
8662
9345 10398 9857 10588 10281 11093 10345 9998
9591
9894
9239
9565
Total Headcount 8326
7935
7512
7595
7837
7496
7877
8303
9355 10297 11040 10875 11219 10816 11862 11145 10670 10241 10571 9936 10200
642
1018
631
535
769
800
*Estimated Headcount for Fall 2013
Note: Headcount figures are based on graded enrollment for credit headcount (i.e., students present past the no-penalty drop date) and any amount of attendance in noncredit course(s) for non-credit headcount.
Prepared by LAMC Office of Institutional Effectiveness - 12/16/13
1
LAMC Fall 2012 Student Profile
Gender:
Male
Female
Total
Gender
4,152 (60.7%)
6,419 (39.3%)
10,571 (100.0%)
Age:
Under 18
18 – 21
22 – 25
26 – 30
31 – 35
36 – 40
41 – 50
Older than 50
Total
Male
39.3%
60.7%
Female
Age
404 (3.8%)
4,480 (42.4%)
2,093 (19.8%)
1,094 (10.3%)
633 (6.0%)
509 (4.8%)
815 (7.7%)
543 (5.1%)
10,571 (100.0%)
4.8%
6.0%
3.8%
7.7% 5.1%
42.4%
10.3%
19.8%
0.2%
Ethnicity:
African-American
Asian/Pacific Islander
Caucasian
Hispanic/Latino
Multi-Ethnic
Native American
Unknown
Total
1.4% 3.5% 3.1% 6.8%
328 (3.1%)
723 (6.8%)
1,130 (10.7%)
7,853 (74.3%)
147 (1.4%)
23 (0.2%)
367 (3.5%)
10,571 (100.0%)
74.3%
Full-Time (12+ Units)
26.4%
9,894 (100.0%)
City
Sylmar
Pacoima
San Fernando
North Hills
Granada Hills
Panorama City
Sun Valley
Mission Hills
Tujunga
North Hollywood
African-American
Asian/Pacific Islander
Caucasian
Hispanic/Latino
Multi-Ethnic
Native American
Unknown
Full-Time/Part-Time Status
73.6%
Top 10 Zip Codes with Highest Headcount Enrollment:
Zip Code
91342
91331
91340
91343
91344
91402
91352
91345
91042
91605
Ethnicity
10.7%
Full-Time/Part-Time Status (Credit students only):
Full-Time (12+ Units)
2,612 (26.4%)
Part-Time (Less than 12 Units)
7,282 (73.6%)
Total
Under 18
18-21
22-25
26-30
31-35
36-40
41-50
Older than 50
Enrollment
from Zip Code
2,435
1,783
872
483
474
463
376
311
280
211
2
Prepared by LAMC Office of Institutional Effectiveness - 12/16/13
Part-Time (Less than
12 Units)
LAMC Feeder High School Enrollment Data
Top High Schools from which LAMC Students Enroll:
1. Sylmar Senior High
2. San Fernando Senior High
3. John F. Kennedy Senior High
4. Francis Polytechnic Senior High
5. Monroe High
6. Granada Hills Charter High
7. Verdugo Hills Senior High
8. Van Nuys Senior High
9. Bishop Alemany High (no enrollment/graduate data available)
10. Birmingham Community Charter High
11. North Hollywood Senior High
The data below are the aggregated enrollment/gradautes data from the 10 high schools above for which data were available (Source: http://dq.cde.ca.gov/dataquest/).
LAMC Feeder High School Enrollment Data 2007-2008 to 2015-2016*
35,000
18,000
30,000
16,000
25,000
14,000
12,000
20,000
10,000
15,000
8,000
6,000
10,000
4,000
5,000
2,000
-
Total Enrollment
(blue bars on graph)
Enrollment in Each Grade and Graduates
(lines on graph)
20,000
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013* 2013-2014* 2014-2015* 2015-2016*
Total HS Enrollment
33,353
32,997
30,982
30,448
28,058
27,346
Grade 9 Enrollment
10,675
11,165
10,133
9,505
8,045
8,198
Grade 10 Enrollment
8,449
8,256
8,231
7,738
7,285
6,620
6,746
Grade 11 Enrollment
7,547
6,928
6,431
6,615
6,330
6,198
5,632
5,739
Grade 12 Enrollment
6,682
6,648
6,187
6,590
6,398
6,330
6,198
5,632
5,739
Graduates
5,981
5,673
5,423
5,625
5,783
5,722
5,602
5,091
5,188
-
*Graduates for 2012-2013 is an estimate and the Enrollment and Graduates figures for 2013-2014 to 2015-2016 are estimated projections based on the enrollment of
students in Grades 9, 10, 11, and 12 in 2012-2013 and applying the rate of attrition between the grade levels from the most recent years (2011-2012 to 2012-2013).
Prepared by LAMC Office of Institutional Effectiveness - 12/16/13
3
LAMC Feeder High School Enrollment Data
Top High Schools from which LAMC Students Enroll:
1. Sylmar Senior High
2. San Fernando Senior High
3. John F. Kennedy Senior High
4. Francis Polytechnic Senior High
5. Monroe High
6. Granada Hills Charter High
7. Verdugo Hills Senior High
8. Van Nuys Senior High
9. Bishop Alemany High (no enrollment/graduate data available)
10. Birmingham Community Charter High
11. North Hollywood Senior High
The data below are the aggregated enrollment/gradautes data from the 10 high schools above for which data were available (Source: http://dq.cde.ca.gov/dataquest/).
LAMC Feeder High School Enrollment Data 2007-2008 to 2015-2016*
35,000
18,000
30,000
16,000
25,000
14,000
12,000
20,000
10,000
15,000
8,000
6,000
10,000
4,000
5,000
2,000
-
Total Enrollment
(blue bars on graph)
Enrollment in Each Grade and Graduates
(lines on graph)
20,000
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2010-2011
2011-2012
2012-2013* 2013-2014* 2014-2015* 2015-2016*
Total HS Enrollment
33,353
32,997
30,982
30,448
28,058
27,346
Grade 9 Enrollment
10,675
11,165
10,133
9,505
8,045
8,198
Grade 10 Enrollment
8,449
8,256
8,231
7,738
7,285
6,620
6,335
Grade 11 Enrollment
7,547
6,928
6,431
6,615
6,330
6,198
5,391
5,158
Grade 12 Enrollment
6,682
6,648
6,187
6,590
6,398
6,330
5,908
5,138
4,917
Graduates
5,981
5,673
5,423
5,625
5,783
5,548
5,178
4,503
4,309
-
*Graduates for 2012-2013 is an estimate and the Enrollment and Graduates figures for 2013-2014 to 2015-2016 are estimated projections based on the enrollment of
students in Grades 9, 10, 11, and 12 in 2012-2013 and applying the average of the attrition rates between the grade levels from the 5 previous years.
Prepared by LAMC Office of Institutional Effectiveness - 12/16/13
4