Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ © Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Modeling the transport of very short-lived substances into the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere J. Aschmann1 , B.-M. Sinnhuber1 , E. L. Atlas2 , and S. M. Schauffler3 1 Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, USA 3 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA 2 Rosenstiel Received: 14 August 2009 – Published in Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss.: 9 September 2009 Revised: 16 November 2009 – Accepted: 17 November 2009 – Published: 7 December 2009 Abstract. The transport of very short-lived substances into the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere is investigated by a three-dimensional chemical transport model using archived convective updraft mass fluxes (or detrainment rates) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast’s ERA-Interim reanalysis. Large-scale vertical velocities are calculated from diabatic heating rates. With this approach we explicitly model the large scale subsidence in the tropical troposphere with convection taking place in fast and isolated updraft events. The model calculations agree generally well with observations of bromoform and methyl iodide from aircraft campaigns and with ozone and water vapor from sonde and satellite observations. Using a simplified treatment of dehydration and bromine product gas washout we give a range of 1.6 to 3 ppt for the contribution of bromoform to stratospheric bromine, assuming a uniform mixing ratio in the boundary layer of 1 ppt. We show that the most effective region for VSLS transport into the stratosphere is the West Pacific, accounting for about 55% of the bromine from bromoform transported into the stratosphere under the supposition of a uniformly distributed source. 1 Introduction Recent studies have shown the importance of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) to stratospheric halogen loading and their contribution to ozone depletion (e.g., Correspondence to: J. Aschmann ([email protected]) WMO, 2007). In particular brominated VSLS are found to contribute significantly to stratospheric ozone depletion (e.g., Sinnhuber et al., 2009). However, measurements of VSLS are scarce and the estimations of abundance and source strength still remain uncertain. In this paper we focus mainly on brominated VSLS, particularly bromoform (CHBr3 ). According to the estimations published in the WMO (2007) report it is the most abundant VSL bromocarbon. The major part of this compound is emitted naturally from the ocean by maritime lifeforms such as macroalgae, ice algae and phytoplankton groups (Quack and Wallace, 2003). Average bromoform mixing ratios in the marine boundary layer (MBL) are estimated to be in the range of 1 to 2 parts per trillion by volume (ppt) (WMO, 2007) but Quack and Wallace (2003) noted that local mixing ratios can be much higher, especially in tropical coastal regions or in areas which show strong upwelling. The most important sinks of bromoform are photolysis, which dominates at the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS), and reaction with the hydroxyl radical at lower altitudes. The average lifetime of bromoform is about 26 days (WMO, 2007). Various studies were performed to investigate how VSLS are able to reach the stratosphere even though their lifetimes are relatively short in comparison to typical atmospheric transport times (e.g., Nielsen and Douglass, 2001; Warwick et al., 2006; Sinnhuber and Folkins, 2006; Kerkweg et al., 2008; Gettelman et al., 2009). It is generally assumed that the most important pathway of air entering the stratosphere is in the tropics through the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) via convection (e.g., Sinnhuber and Folkins, 2006). Here, the level of zero clear sky radiative heating (at an altitude of about 15.5 km) marks the transition from large-scale subsidence to large-scale ascent, as diagnosed from diabatic Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union. J. J. Aschmann Aschmann et et al.: al.: Transport Transport of of very very short-lived short-lived substances substances organic bromine (Bry ) is actually HBr and HOBr, which are both highly soluble. There have already been several modeling studies of VSLS. 400For example, Nielsen and Douglass (2001) supposed a uniformly distributed bromoform emission over the oceans of approximately 500 Gg/yr which corresponds to a surface 390 concentration between 1 and 2 ppt in their three-dimensional (3-D) model. They concluded that roughly one third of Bry in the UTLS is due to the destruction of CHBr3 . Warwick et 380 conducted 3-D model runs with various emission al. (2006) scenarios for bromoform and compared them with observational data. According to their results a scenario which con370 bromoform emissions of the 500 Gg/yr suggested centrates by Nielsen and Douglass (2001) in the tropical oceans is able to reproduce the observed data thus strengthening the impor360 tance of the tropical oceans as source regions for bromine VSLS. Sinnhuber and Folkins (2006) used a 1-D model to give350 estimations about the amount of bromine reaching the ECMWF detrainment stratosphere taking into account a convective rate that was calculated by balancingDessler(2002) the diabatic CO heating Dessler(2002) O3 rate 340 and washout of Bry due to TTL dehydration. They con50 100 strained0the contribution of bromoform to 150 stratospheric200 Bry convective turnover time [days] to 0.5 to 3 ppt for an assumed ground level mixing ratio of 1 ppt. More recently, Kerkweg et al. (2008), Gettelman et and Hossaini et al.averaged (2009) convective further investigated the al. (2009) Fig. 03. Comparison of tropical turnover times transport ofthe VSLS withdetrainment detailed chemistry convective derived from ECMWF rate (solid) and and those calcuparametrizations (seefrom Sect.CO 4).(dashed, circles) and O3 (dashed, lated by Dessler (2002) triangles) In our measurements. model experiments we use a 3-D chemical transport model (CTM) to simulate the transport of bromine VSLS into the stratosphere. The novelty of our approach is to use an isentropic model with a parameterization of deep convective transport. In contrast to the fast and localized convective mass flux we calculate the slow large-scale vertical motion from diabatic heating rates. With this tool we have studied the effect of dehydration on VSL tracers and investigated the relative importance of different source regions using several 80oN o emission scenarios. 60 N θ [K] 8 9238 01.Schematic Schematic relevant transport processes in the TTL. BeFig. 1. ofof relevant transport processes in the TTL. Beside sidelarge-scale the large-scale vertical transport is by driven by diabatic the vertical transport which which is driven diabatic heating heating and localized convective rates ωr rates thereωisr athere fast is anda fast localized convective mass fluxmass ωc . flux The ωc . Theof amount of airthe leaving the convective by the amount air leaving convective cloud is cloud given is bygiven the convecconvective detrainment . Note airdetraining parcels detraintive detrainment rate dc .rate Notedcthat onlythat air only parcels above ing level aboveofthe level of zeroheating, radiative thebetween transition between the zero radiative theheating, transition large-scale large-scale to subsidence to ascent, large-scale ascent, are able to reach the subsidence large-scale are able to reach the stratosphere. stratosphere. At 17temperature km the TTLprofile temperature reaches a minAt 17 km the TTL reachesprofile a minimum (see also imum Fig.traversing 07). Air parcels traversing altitude Fig. 7).(see Air also parcels this altitude are likelythis to be subjectare to likely to be subject to dehydration. dehydration. Heating rate [K/day] Altitude [km] heating rates (e.g., Corti et al., 2005) and thus representing −1 0 1 2 3 a natural border for air parcels (see Fig. 1). In general, air masses have to be lifted by deep convection above this border to leave the troposphere, which is considered to be the 20 common pathway into the stratosphere. Since air lifted by convective clouds is able to rise several kilometers within a 18 few hours this transport mechanism is fast enough for VSLS cold point whose life times are rather in the order of weeks. Another important process to be considered here is the de16 hydration of the TTL. At an altitude of about 17 km the averlvl. of zeroaradiative heating(cold point). Air age temperature profile reaches minimum 14 masses entering the stratosphere must be dehydrated to mixing ratios that correspond roughly to the saturation mixing ratio12 at this level. This process of dehydration is not fully understood and is still subject to current discussions. Studies indicate (e.g., Holton and Gettelman, 2001; Fueglistaler 102005) that during the relatively slow ascent through et al., the TTL it is highly probable that air masses are transported horizontally into the coldest areas of the tropical tropopause 8 0 residing 0.02 over 0.04 0.06 Continent 0.08 0.1 0.12 typically the Maritime and Western Detrainment rate [1/day] Pacific regions. The so called cold trap hypothesis states that a major parts of the whole TTL air gets dehydrated in these particular areas. Along with the dehydration of air this Fig. 02. Zonally averaged profiles of ECMWF ERA-Interim deimplies specificand amount of heating solublerate species residing in trainmentthat ratea(dashed) diabatic (dotted) between ◦ TTL could ◦ the eventually be washed out by falling ice. This 20 N and 20 S. These profiles are temporally averaged from 2000 process to 2005. is important for modeling bromine compounds since model calculations indicate that a large fraction of total inAtmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 40oN o 20 N 2 o 0Model description 20oS o 40 SThree-dimensional chemical transport model 2.1 60oS o 80 S The model used here iso an updated version of our CTMo de180oW 120oW 60 W 0o 60oE 120oE 180 W scribed by Sinnhuber et al. (2003). It is forced by temperatures and horizontal windfields from TT5 VMR [ppt] ERA-Interim reanalysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Fore0.075 0.1 0.125 0.15 0.175 0.2 0.225 0.25 0.275 0.3 0.325 cast (ECMWF). The spatial resolution of our runs were 2.5◦ ◦ lat.×3.75 lon. with a vertical resolution of 29 isentropic levels 330 and 2700 K (about 10Ito 55 km). We used a Fig.between 04. Snapshot of TT5 (idealized CH 3 tracer) distribution at timestep of 15 min for all model runs. 380 K (about 17 km altitude in the tropics) on 1 August 2003 Transport on isentropes is calculated from the meteorological wind fields while the large scale vertical motion is derived from diabatic heating rates. In contrast to the before-mentioned earlier CTM version which used www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ large-scale subsidence to large-scale ascent, are able to reach the stratosphere. At 17 km the TTL temperature profile reaches a minimum (see also Fig. 07). Air parcels traversing this altitude are likely to be subject to dehydration. J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances −1 Heating rate [K/day] 0 1 y 2 3 20 18 Altitude [km] cold point 16 lvl. of zero radiative heating 14 12 10 8 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 Detrainment rate [1/day] Fig. 03. Comparison of tropical averaged convective turnover times derived from the ECMWF detrainment rate (solid) and those9239 calculated by Dessler (2002) from CO (dashed, circles) and O3 (dashed, triangles)(Br measurements. bromine ) which is assumed to be the degradation prod- 0.1 0.12 uct of bromoform (ref. to Sect. 2.4). The ozone tracer is calculated by a linearized ozone chemistry which is an updated version of LINOZ (McLinden et al., 2000); treatment of water vapor is described in detail in Sect. 2.3. We have conducted three modeling experiments with an integration time of 6 years (2000 to 2005) each. The first experiment concentrated on comparison between model calculations and observational data for specific tracers in order 80oN o N our approach (Sect. 3.1). As next step we used our to 60 test 40oN to study the effect of dehydration on the transport model o N of 20 short-lived tracers and their soluble byproducts into the 0o stratosphere (Sect. 3.2). Since convection plays a keyrole o S in 20 these processes, we also conducted a sensitivity run with o S the40same setup but with convection switched off above 380 K 60oS (for ofurther details on our convective transport please refer 80 S o 2.2).120 Finally, we applied0othe mechanisms to Sect. 180oW W 60oW 60oE 120ointroduced E 180oW in the second experiment to several emission scenarios to inTT5 VMR of [ppt]specific source regions vestigate the relative importance (Sect. 3.3). 0.075 0.1 0.125 0.15 0.175 0.2 0.225 0.25 0.275 0.3 0.325 2.2 Fig. 02. 2. Zonally averaged profiles of ECMWF ERA-Interim detrainFig. Zonally averaged profiles of ECMWF ERA-Interim dement rate (dashed) and diabatic heating rate (dotted) between 20◦ N trainment rate (dashed) and diabatic heating rate (dotted) between ◦ ◦ S. These and profiles are temporally averaged from 2000 to 20 N20 and 20◦ S. These profiles are temporally averaged from 2000 2005. to 2005. interactive heating rate calculation from an ozone tracer, the current version relies on the ECMWF data for tendency of clear sky long and short wave radiation. They are found to be more accurate in the tropopause region and are (at least in principle) consistent with the large-scale wind fields and convective mass fluxes. However, the ERA-Interim radiative heating rates lack a feedback to interactive ozone (Fueglistaler et al., 2009). Figure 2 shows a zonally averaged profile of the heating rate in tropical latitudes (20◦ S to 20◦ N). Fueglistaler et al. (2009) found in the diabatic heat budget of ERA-Interim a residual diabatic cooling in the lowermost stratosphere over the Maritime Continent, most likely due to the model’s turbulent mixing parameterization. It remains to be shown if this is a real feature or an artefact and whether or not this is related to cooling by overshooting deep convection. This diabatic tendency is not considered in our CTM calculations. In addition to the relatively slow vertical heating rate-driven advection we have also included a fast convective transport mechanism in our model that will be further discussed in Sect. 2.2. The tracers which are modeled are ozone, water vapor and two idealized tracers with different chemical lifetimes (5 and 20 days) to resemble typical VSL halogen substances such as methyl iodide (CH3 I) and bromoform (CHBr3 ) which will be further referred to as test tracer 5 and 20 (TT5 and TT20), respectively. Furthermore, there are two tracers for inorganic www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ Convection Fig. 04. Snapshot of TT5 (idealized CH3 I tracer) distribution at 380 K (about 17 km altitude in the tropics) on 1 August 2003 As a novel feature of our model we have included a parameterization of convective transport. As noted above, isentropic coordinates have significant conceptual and practical advantages for modeling the large-scale transport in the UTLS. However, because it is difficult to extend a purely isentropic model into the lower troposphere and down to Earth’s surface, so far isentropic models either did not include any parameterization of convection at all, or have used a hybrid coordinate where isentropic surfaces are blended with terrain following surfaces in the lower atmosphere (e.g., Rasch et al., 1997; Chipperfield, 2006). Instead of using an interactive convective parameterization, we have parameterized convective transport by using archived convective updraft mass fluxes from the ERA-Interim reanalysis. This approach has the additional advantage that the convective mass fluxes are calculated during the assimilation process in a consistent way. In contrast, when using a convective parameterization inside a CTM, there is always the potential problem that the driving large-scale temperature and pressure fields from the meteorological analysis have already been stabilized by a convective parameterization within the assimilation. Here we have used the 6-hourly updraft convective mass fluxes from ERA-Interim, or more specifically the updraft detrainment rates, which are the vertical divergence of the updraft convective mass fluxes. An example is shown in Fig. 2. The detrainment rate dc gives the convective flux of mass into a grid box per time (unit 1/s). It is derived from the original ECMWF updraft detrainment rate by integration over the model grid box divided by the air density inside the box. Convective injection of tracers is then modeled by specifying a detrainment tracer mixing ratio [X]c that multiplied Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 9240 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances derived from ECMWF dc with calculations made by Dessler (2002) based on CO and O3 observations show excellent agreement up to 380 K (Fig. 3). To assess the influence of detrainment above the coldpoint on our model calculations we have conducted a sensitivity run where we cut off the convective transport above 380 K (Sect. 3.2). 400 390 380 θ [K] 2.3 370 360 TL. Bediabatic ass flux by the detrainetween ach the a minude are 350 340 0 ECMWF Dessler(2002) CO Dessler(2002) O3 50 100 150 convective turnover time [days] 200 Fig. 03. 3. Comparison Fig. Comparison of of tropical tropical averaged averaged convective convective turnover turnover times times derived from from the the ECMWF ECMWF detrainment rate (solid) and those calcuderived Dessler (2002) (2002) from from CO CO (dashed, circles) and O33 (dashed, lated by by Dessler lated triangles) measurements. measurements. triangles) 3 with the detrainment rate dc and the total grid box mass m gives the convective tracer flux fX,c into the grid box: fX,c =dc · m · [X]c 0.12 rim deetween m 2000 (1) We assume that the detrainment mixing ratio [X]c is simio N the tracer mixing ratio in the planetary boundary layer, lar80to 60oin N general entrainment of mid tropospheric air during but 40oN convective updrafts may also influence the detrainment mixo 20 ratio. N ing 0o With this model approach we are able to simulate the slow 20oS large-scale transport constrained by diabatic heating rates o 40 S with fast updrafts taking place quasi instantaneously as a sub60oS grid scale process. However, this approach is not strictly o 80 S o mass 180conserving, W 120oW which 60oWis the0ocase also 60oEin other 120oE isentropic 180oW CTMs even without convective transport. To force mass conTT5 VMR [ppt] servation the total mass inside a grid box after advection and convection steps is set to the calculated mass from large0.075 0.1 0.125 0.15 0.175 0.2 0.225 0.25 0.275 0.3 the 0.325 scale meteorological analysis. Tracer masses are scaled proportionally to keep the calculated tracer mixing ratios constant. Fig. 04. Snapshot of TT5 (idealized CH3 I tracer) distribution at 380Note K (about in the tropics) on 1tropics August above 2003 the that17dckm is altitude still significant in the level of zero radiative heating and even above the coldpoint at 380 K as it can be seen in Fig. 2. With our approach of convective transport this means a considerable amount of air is detrained at relatively high altitudes and it is unclear, whether this frequent high reaching transport is a realistic representation. However, comparisons of the convective turnover time Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 Treatment of water vapor Water vapor plays an important role in our calculations because we need an adequate representation of atmospheric humidity to model possible loss of soluble Bry due to washout (Sect. 2.4). Furthermore its distribution in the atmosphere is another convenient means to validate the model assumptions since there are plenty of measurements of this quantity that can be considered. The treatment of the H2 O tracer is based on three simplistic assumptions: (1) For the convective transport, the source term [H2 O]c in Eq. (1) is set to the saturation mixing ratio of water vapor over ice of the particular model box, following Dessler and Sherwood (2004). This corresponds to the assumption, that air detraining from a convective cloud is fully saturated. The saturation mixing ratio is calculated after the formula of Marti and Mauersberger (1993). (2) Likewise, if the relative humidity of a box exceeds 100%, all surplus water is removed immediately thus modeling precipitation as instantaneous fallout of ice particles. (3) Finally there is a second water source in the stratosphere implemented by a simple methane oxidation scheme as described in the ECMWF Integrated Forecast System documentation (IFS Documentation, 2007). The basic supposition is, that the sum of methane and water is constant in the stratosphere and can be approximated by: 2[CH4 ]+[H2 O]=6.8 ppm (2) Therefore the production of water via methane oxidation can be expressed as: d [H2 O] (6.8 ppm−[H2 O]) = dt τ (3) Here τ denotes a pressure dependent chemical lifetime of methane which is set to 100 days at 50 pa pressure and increases roughly linearly to ≈6000 days at 10000 pa. Above this mark the lifetime is set to infinity, i.e. the H2 O production due to methane oxidation is zero at lower altitudes. 2.4 Bry production and loss processes As for VSL bromine substances we focus mainly on bromoform (CHBr3 ) and its role in taking bromine to the stratosphere, since it is one of the most abundant VSL bromine species. Stratospheric bromine loading due to bromoform can be divided into processes called source or product gas injection (WMO, 2007). Either the bromine atoms enter the stratosphere directly as bromoform or as its inorganic degradation products, summarized here as Bry . The distinction www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ 20 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 9241 18 cold point Altitude [km] between source and product gases is important, because unlike 16 CHBr3 itself a major part of its degradation products is highly soluble, in particular HBr and HOBr. Therefore prezero radiative heating cipitation may removelvl.a ofsignificant amount of bromine from 14 the atmosphere. To investigate these processes we use a simplified approach, however one that is more physically motivated than 12 the use of a fixed washout lifetime used in most of the previous modeling studies. Bromoform is approximated by an 10 idealized tracer (TT20) which has a constant chemical lifetime of 20 days and a constant detrainment mixing ratio of [TT20]c =1 ppt. At each timestep, the amount of TT20 is re8 duced the assumed represents 0 according 0.02 to0.04 0.06lifetime 0.08which0.1 0.12the Detrainment rate [1/day] loss of CHBr3 caused by photolysis and oxidation. For each unit of TT20 destroyed there are three units of Bry produced in the same grid box thus ignoring the detailed chemistry of Fig.bromoform’s 02. Zonally averaged profiles of ECMWF degradation products, which isERA-Interim according todethe trainment rate (dashed) and diabatic heating rate (dotted) between Hossaini et al. (2009) a valid approximation. recent study of ◦ 20◦ N and 20 S. other These source profilesof areBrtemporally averaged from 2000 There is no y in our model. The only sink to 2005. of Bry is supposed to be through washout by falling rain or ice. To avoid the complexity of cloud and aerosol microphysics we investigate the two extremal cases using two different Bry tracers: one is not affected by washout at all, the other is removed completely if dehydration occurs in the particular model grid box. This will give an estimation of the upper and lower limit of stratospheric bromine loading due to bromoform. 3 Results 3.1 Comparison with observational data In order to test whether our new approach in modeling convective and large-scale vertical transport produces realistic results we compared the model output with different observational data. In this particular experiment we used the following tracers: Ozone, water vapor and two idealized VSL tracers. 3.1.1 Very short-lived source gases The model tracers TT5 and TT20 are idealized VSL tracers that resemble CH3 I and CHBr3 regarding to their chemical lifetime, which were assumed to be 5 and 20 days, respectively. Due to their short lifetime the distribution of these tracers in the UTLS is mainly localized at distinct areas where significant convective activity occurs. However, even for very short-lived tracers horizontal transport can be very important in the TTL. Figure 4 shows an example of the distribution of the idealized methyl iodide VSL tracer (TT5). Profiles of TT5 and TT20 are presented in Fig. 5 together with observational data of CH3 I and CHBr3 from NASA WB57 high-altitude aircraft measurements during two Aura Validation Experiment (AVE) campaigns. Both campaigns, Pre-AVE and Cr-AVE, were performed around 80–90◦ W at www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ 80oN 60oN 40oN o 20 N 0o 20oS o 40 S 60oS o 80 S 180oW 120oW 60oW 0o 60oE 120oE 180oW TT5 VMR [ppt] 0.075 0.1 0.125 0.15 0.175 0.2 0.225 0.25 0.275 0.3 0.325 Fig.04. 4. Snapshot Snapshot of of TT5 TT5 (idealized (idealized CH CH33II tracer) tracer) distribution Fig. distributionatat 380KK(about (about17 17km km altitude altitude in 380 in the the tropics) tropics) on on11August August2003 2003 latitudes between 20◦ N and 3◦ S in January/February 2004 and 2006, respectively. The profiles show the mean, the range between minimum and maximum values and the standard deviation over all measurements at the particular altitude. Likewise, the model data from January/February 2004 was averaged over the same area allowing a direct comparison to the Pre-AVE campaign. There is in general good agreement between model calculations of the 5 and 20 day tracers and the Pre-AVE observations of CH3 I and CHBr3 if we assume a uniform detrainment mixing ratio of 0.3 ppt and 0.75 ppt, respectively. There is in general also good agreement with the 2006 Cr-AVE observations, although there are also notable differences. These may either reflect real interannual changes or could (in particular for the CH3 I measurements during Cr-AVE) indicate a small high bias in the observations due to a possible residual artifact observed in new canisters that were used during Cr-AVE. 3.1.2 Ozone Ozone, albeit itself not our primary subject in this paper, is quite suitable to test whether our modeling approach works properly, because there are a lot of observational data available for comparison. In Fig. 6 we compare modeled ozone data with sonde measurements from the Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozonesondes (SHADOZ) project (Thompson et al., 2003). For comparison, we picked measurements from two stations, Watukosek, Java (7.5◦ S, 112.6◦ E) and San Cristóbal Island, Galapagos (0.9◦ S, 89.6◦ W) and the corresponding model grid boxes. We kept the detrainment mixing ratios [O3 ]c constant for all locations at 20 ppb. Even with this relatively simple treatment of ozone, the model reproduces generally well the observed profiles. The difference in convective activity and therefore the different ozone profiles of the two stations are well reproduced by the model. However, especially the modeled profile over the Java region show too low ozone mixing ratios in Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 9242 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 10 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 9 35 20 8 Model 0.75 ppt Pre−AVE WB57 Cr−AVE WB57 a) 18 6 0 16 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 CHBr3 VMR [ppt] 1 30 1.2 25 Altitude [km] 20 14 Model 0.3 ppt Pre−AVE WB57 Cr−AVE WB57 18 12 Altitude [km] Altitud 12 14 12 15 35 8 10 a) 6 0 30 0.2 10 20 0.4 0.6 0.8 CHBr3 VMR [ppt] 1 1.2 5 −8 10 25 Model 0.3 ppt Pre−AVE WB57 Cr−AVE WB57 8 18 b) Altitude [km] 6 016 0.1 0.2 CH I VMR [ppt] 0.3 0.4 3 14 Fig. 05. Comparison between modeled CHBr3 (a) and CH3 I (b) 12 tracers (TT20 and TT5, resp.) and aircraft measurements from PreAVE and Cr-AVE campaign. The observations were performed at about1080-90◦ W, 20◦ N - 3◦ S during January/February 2004 and 2006, respectively. Both measurements and model data were averaged over this area. Please note that for this comparison we used 8 only model data from January/February 2004 therefore the modeled profile fits b) especially well to the Pre-AVE campaign observations. The red 6curves mark modeled profiles while for the observations 0 0.1 of the individual 0.2 0.3 0.4 a symbols denote the mean measurements within CH I VMR [ppt] 1 km altitude range. Thick and3 thin horizontal lines represent one standard deviation and the range between minimum and maximum values of the measurements and the model data, respectively. The detrainment mixing ratio of TT20 was CHBr assumed 0.75 and Fig.5.05. Comparison between modeled CHBr (a)beand (b) 3to 3 I tracFig. Comparison between modeled and CH I ppt (b) 3 (a) 3CH 0.3 ppt for(TT20 TT5. tracers and TT5, and aircraft measurements Preers (TT20 and TT5, resp.)resp.) and aircraft measurements fromfrom Pre-AVE AVE and Cr-AVE campaign. The observations were performed and Cr-AVE campaign. The observations were performed at about ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ at about 80-90 W, 20 N 3 S during January/February 80–90 W, 20 N–3 S during January/February 2004 and2004 2006,and re2006, respectively. Both measurements model were over avspectively. Both measurements and modeland data were data averaged eraged this note area. that Please for this comparison wemodel used this area.over Please for note this that comparison we used only only model data from January/February 2004 therefore the modeled data from January/February 2004 therefore the modeled profile fits profile fitswell especially to the campaign Pre-AVE campaign observations. especially to the well Pre-AVE observations. The red The red curves mark profiles modeledwhile profiles for the observations curves mark modeled forwhile the observations symbols symbols denote the mean of the individual measurements within a denote the mean of the individual measurements within a 1 km al1 km altitude range. Thick and thin horizontal lines represent one titude range. Thick and thin horizontal lines represent one standard standard deviation and the range between minimum and maximum deviation and the range between minimum and maximum values of values of the measurements and the model data, respectively. The the measurements and the model data, respectively. The detraindetrainment mixing ratio of TT20 was assumed to be 0.75 ppt and ment mixing ratio of TT20 was assumed to be 0.75 ppt and 0.3 ppt 0.3 ppt for TT5. for TT5. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 −7 10 −6 −5 10 O VMR 10 3 Altitude [km] Altitude [km] 16 10 20 Fig.2006. 6. Comparison Fig. Comparison between between modeled modeled ozone ozone profiles profiles (red) (red) and and SHADOZ measurements measurements (blue). (blue). Shown Shown are are yearly SHADOZ yearly averages averages from from 2004. The The solid solid and and dashed dashed lines lines mark mark profiles profiles from 2004. from Watukosek, Watukosek, ◦◦ S, 112.6◦◦ E) and San Cristóbal Island, Galapagos (0.9◦◦S, 15 Java (7.5 Java (7.5 S, 112.6 E) and San Cristóbal Island, Galapagos (0.9 S, 89.6◦◦W), W),respectively. respectively. 89.6 10 the TTL. This could indicate an overestimation of convective transport in our model but may also be a consequence of too little5 chemical ozone production. −8 −7 −6 −5 10 3.1.3 10 Water vapor O VMR 10 10 3 Our06.modeled waterbetween vapor modeled agrees generally well(red) withand meaFig. Comparison ozone profiles SHADOZ measurements Shown are yearlyinaverages from In surements despite the(blue). simplistic treatment our model. 2004. The solid and linesprofile mark profiles from humidity Watukosek, the troposphere thedashed averaged of relative with ◦ ◦ ◦ Java (7.5 S, 112.6 E) and San Cristóbal Island, Galapagos S, respect to ice (RH) is in qualitative agreement with(0.9 observa◦ 89.6 W), respectively. tions (e.g., Folkins et al., 2002), in particular the decrease of RH with decreasing altitude in the lower TTL (Fig. 7). This decrease in RH results from the large-scale subsidence and associated adiabatic warming of air that was initially saturated at convective detrainment. The successful representation of this effect is thus only possible with the separation of slow large-scale descent and fast isolated convective updrafts in the model. In the stratosphere the modeled water vapor shows a clear tape recorder signal in the stratosphere (Fig. 8). Comparison with HALOE measurements (Grooß et al., 2005) show in general excellent agreement in the dry phases and also the speed of the tape recorder signal is well reproduced (Fig. 9). But these comparisons reveal also that in our model too much water (on average by about 1 ppm) is transported into the tropics at altitudes above 17 km during Northern Hemisphere (NH) summer. In our calculations the www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ 10 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances Altit Fig. 07. Zonally averaged profiles of modelled relative humidity of water vapor with respect to ice (dashed) and temperature (dotted) between 20◦ N and 20◦ S. These profiles are temporally averaged J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances from 2002 to 2005. 9243 20 18 190 200 Temperature [K] 210 220 30 230 16 240 28 24 14 2000 26 22 24 Altitude [km] Altitude [km] 20 18 cold point 22 Fig. 09 recorde HALOE 20 16 18 lvl. of zero radiative heating 30 14 16 28 12 10 20 30 40 50 Relative humidity [%] 60 2001 2002 Fig.07. 7. Zonally Fig. Zonally averaged averaged profiles profiles of of modelled modelled relative relative humidity humidity of of water vapor vapor with with respect respect to to ice (dashed) and temperature (dotted) water (dotted) between 20 20◦◦NN and and 20 20◦◦S.S. These These profiles profiles are temporally averaged between averaged from2002 2002 to to 2005. 2005. from 2003 Date 2004 2005 H O VMR [ppm] 70 2 24 Altitude [km] 10 0 14 2000 26 2 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 6 22 Fig. 08. 8. Modeled Fig. Modeled distribution distribution of of tropical tropical water water vapor vapor mixing ratio (“tape recorder”)temporally temporallyaveraged averagedfrom from2000 2000 to to 2005. 2005. (‘tape 20recorder’) 18 Altitude [km] 30 “moist head” of the tape recorder is located at about 18 km which is not supported by the HALOE observations. How28 other measurements do show high water vapor mixing ever, ratios at 17 km and above in NH summer above mid-latitudes (Dessler and Sherwood, 2004; Hanisco et al., 2007). It is not 26 clear if the discrepancy in water vapor between our model and24HALOE observations are a result of too much convective transport above the cold point or whether our assumption that air detrains with 100% RH overestimates the flux of water 22 into the stratosphere. Moreover, a more realistic treatment of dehydration (e.g., Gettelman et al., 2002a; Read et al., 2008) 20 lead to an improved water vapor representation. may 3.218 The effect of dehydration on soluble gases In 16 the second experiment we introduced a pseudo chemistry scheme for our idealized bromoform tracer as stated in Sect. 2.4. Since the product gas tracer Bry was modeled to 14 2001 2002plays an 2003 2004 role in 2005 be 2000 soluble, dehydration important the quesDate tion which amount of bromine compounds reaches the stratoH O VMR [ppm] 2 sphere. 7 shows profiles of modeled relative humidity (RH) Figure 2 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 6 and temperature averaged zonally over 20◦ N and 20◦ S. Mean RH peaks with 60% at around 16 km which is slightly lower the important level minimum temperature, the Fig. 08.atModeled distribution of of tropical water vapor mixing ratio cold point, at around 17 km. However, local areas show much (‘tape recorder’) temporally averaged from 2000 to 2005. www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ higher values for RH, especially during NH summer over the Indian Monsoon and West-Pacific regions. Our model 16 suggests that a significant part of TTL dehydration occurs at these areas which is on the line with the results of Gettelman et al.14 (2002a)2001 and Fueglistaler et2003 al. (2005). 2000 2002 2004 2005 Under these circumstances, Date our model suggests an additional bromine loading dueH2to an[ppm] idealized VSL tracer in O VMR the range of 1.6 to 3 ppt as shown in Fig. 10. Here we as2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 mixing 4 4.4 5.2 source 5.6 6 sume a 2constant detrainment ratio4.8of the gas TT20 (CHBr3 ) of 1 ppt. Due to the fact that our soluble Bry tracer is subject to dehydration and is therefore directly Fig. 09. Distribution of tropical water vapor mixing ratio (‘tape linked with the water vapor tracer we see also a tape recorder recorder’) temporally averaged from 2000 to 2005 measured by signal in its stratospheric mixing ratio (Fig. 11). ConsiderHALOE (Grooß et al., 2005). ing the differences of the tape recorder phases and comparing the TT20 and soluble Bry profiles we estimate that about 1.2 to 1.3 ppt of the soluble Bry is formed above the coldpoint (about 17 km or 380 K) and is thus not significantly affected by dehydration. The remaining 0.3 to 0.4 ppt were most likely produced at lower altitudes and are consequently subject to periodical dehydration as seen in the tape recorder plot. Note that these results are not dependent on significant convection above the coldpoint, since our sensitivity run with no convective transport above 380 K produces virtually identical results (Fig. 10). For the estimations we have made above this means that a significant amount of source gas reaches the stratosphere via the slow large-scale upward motion, even if we don’t consider deep convection above 380 K. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 9244 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 30 26 28 24 26 22 Altitude [km] t 24 22 20 18 70 Altitude [km] idity of (dotted) veraged Altitude [km] 24 22 20 16 2000 20 18 16 Fig. 01 rally av soluble 18 14 16 CHBr3 Bry insoluble Bry soluble 12 14 2000 2001 2002 2003 Date 2004 2005 10 0 H O VMR [ppm] 2 2 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 2 VMR [ppt] 3 4 6 9. Distribution Fig. 09. Distribution of of tropical tropical water water vapor vapor mixing mixing ratio ratio (“tape (‘tape recorder”) temporally temporally averaged averaged from from 2000 to 2005 measured by recorder’) HALOE (Grooß et al., 2005). 3.3 1 Transport efficiency for different source regions Fig. 010. 10. Averaged Fig. Averaged tropical tropical profiles profiles of of idealized idealized bromoform bromoform (dots) (dots) and insoluble/soluble insoluble/soluble Br Bryy tracers (upward/downward facing and facing triantriangle,resp.). resp.). The Thetwo two Br Bry tracers constrain the stratospheric bromine gle, bromine loading to to 1.6 1.6 to to 33 ppt given the assumption that the loading the source source gas gas CHBr3 has a ground-level mixing ratio of 1 ppt. CHBr ppt. The The dashed dashed proprofilesare are derived derived from from aa sensitivity sensitivity calculation where the convective files convective detrainment above above 380 380 K (about 17 km) detrainment km) was was switched switched off. off. o 80 o 60 o 40 o 20 0 o 20 o 40 o 60 o 6 ng ratio In a third experiment we applied the approach of CHBr3 degradation into Bry product gas (ref. Sect. 2.4) to different emission scenarios to investigate their relative importance for stratospheric bromine loading. As shown in Fig. 12 we introduced nine source areas which roughly correspond to Earth’s oceans and continents. Each region is associated with a group of three tracers: one source gas tracer (TT20) and the upper and lower limit product gas tracers (insoluble and soluble Bry , resp.). The detrainment mixing ratio parameter [TT20]c for a particular region is 1 ppt inside and zero outside the corresponding area. Note that this approach only takes the different transport efficiencies into account. In general there will of course be variations in the source strengths between the different regions as well, which is not considered here. Our model results show clearly that even tracers with a lifetime of only a few days can travel vast horizontal distances in the TTL. Figure 13 illustrates this fact in showing an arbitrary snapshot of the Western Pacific source gas tracer distribution: of course the highest concentrations are located above the emission region but there are also significant mixing ratios thousands of kilometers away above Central America and the Atlantic. Considering this fact it is interesting to return again to the Pre-AVE measurements above Central Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 America conducted in early 2004 (ref. to Sect. 3.1.1). We already showed in Fig. 5, that our model is able to reproduce the observed profile of bromoform in this particular region. We now use our individual source regions approach to investigate their relative contribution to this profile. Figure 14 shows the contribution of the different source regions to the total amount of TT20 in the before mentioned Pre-AVE area drawn against altitude. It indicates that the Western Pacific (WPa) is clearly dominating all other regions, interestingly also the American (Ame) and Eastern Pacific (EPa) sources, in whose areas the observation took place. At lower altitudes, the WPa, EPa and Ame tracers contribute roughly one third of total CHBr3 each. At the UTLS, however, the influence of the latter diminish and the WPa tracer makes up about 70%. As generalization, Fig. 15 shows the relative contribution of the investigated source regions to TT20 for the whole tropics (note that the plot looks virtually the same if made for Bry instead). The picture is similar to the local example presented above: At lower altitudes the relative contribution is roughly equal for most of the source regions whereas at the UTLS the Western Pacific is clearly identified as the most important area which contributes about 55% to the total TT20 abundance. Apparently, the Western Pacific and the Maritime Continent are the only regions where substantial www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ 80 1 Fig. 01 model. Americ Arabian tralia pl 40oN tances 4 ts) uble nble ne 4 as ove m (dots) g trianbromine rce gas ed pronvective 11 26 20oN o Altitude [km] 0 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances 24 20oS 9245 40oS 60oS 30 oo 8080 NS o o180 W 60 N 22 120oW 60oW 0o 60oE 120oE 180oW o 40 N 28 West−Pacific TT20 VMR [ppt] 20oN o 20 0 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 o 20 S 26 40oS Fig. 60oS013. Snapshot of the Western Pacific source gas tracer (TT20) distribution at 380 K on 4 December 2005. 80oS Altitude [km] 18 24 180oW 16 200022 2001 2002 2003 Date 2004 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.6 0o 60oE 120oE 180oW West−Pacific TT20 VMR [ppt] 0.1 1.4 60oW 2005 Bry (soluble) VMR [ppt] 20 120oW 1.8 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 2 Fig.013. 13. Snapshot Fig. Snapshot of of the the Western Western Pacific Pacific source source gas gastracer tracer(TT20) (TT20) distributionatat380 380 K K on on 44 December December 2005. distribution 2005. 18 Fig. 011. Modeled distribution of tropical Bry mixing ratio tempo16 2000 2001 2000 2002 2005 here to be rally averaged from to 2005. 2003 Since Br2004 y is assumed Date soluble the distribution shows also a ‘tape recorder’ shape. Bry (soluble) VMR [ppt] 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 Fig. 015 gions to from 8- 11. Modeled Fig. 011. Modeled distribution distribution of of tropical Br Bryy mixing mixing ratio temporally averaged from 2000 to 2005. Since Bry is assumed here to be soluble the distribution shows also a ‘tape recorder’ shape. o 80 N o 60 N o 40 N Eur Med o 20 N o 0 EPa Afr Ame o 20 S Fig. 01 gions from 8 WPa Atl Ind Aus o 40 S80oN o 60 S60oN o 80 S40oN oo 180 20 W N o 0 o 20 S o 120 W EPa o Med o 60 W Ame 0 Eur o 60 E o o 120 E Afr 180 W WPa Atl Ind Aus Fig. 14. 014. Relative Relative contribution contribution of of individual individual source source regions to the total amount of TT20 (idealized bromoform tracer) in January/February 2004 above W, 20 20◦◦NN–3 above 80–90 80-90◦◦ W, - 3◦◦ S (area of Pre-AVE campaign, see also Fig. 5). 05). o Fig. 12. 40 SMap of the nine different source regions used in our model. o The regions are from left to right: Eastern Pacific (EPa), America 60 S o 80 SAtlantic (Atl), Mediterranean (Med), Africa plus Arabian (Ame), 4 Discussion and conclusions o o o o o o o W 120 the W nine 60 W different 0 60 E 120 E 180 W in our Fig.Peninsula 012. 180Map of source regions used (Afr), Indian Ocean (Ind), Eurasia (Eur), Australia plus model. The Continent regions are from left toPacific right:(WPa). Eastern Pacific (EPa), We have successfully implemented deep convective transport Maritime (Aus), Western America (Ame), Atlantic (Atl), Mediterranean (Med), Africa plus Fig. into014. an isentropic This allows us to study the transport Relative CTM. contribution of individual source regions to Arabian Peninsula (Afr), Indian Ocean (Ind), Eurasia (Eur), Aus- the of total VSLSamount into the UTLS inbromoform a physically motivated of tropical TT20 (idealized tracer) in Janhigh-reaching (i.e. above the levelWestern of zero radiative heating) ◦ tralia plus Maritime (Aus), Pacificused (WPa). uary/February 2004large-scale above 80-90 W, 20◦ N - 3◦ S (areaby of diabatic Pre-AVE framework with transport constrained Fig. 012. Map ofContinent the nine different source regions in our convection occurs. Thus these regions represent the most imcampaign, see also 05). transport taking place in fast isoheating rates and Fig. convective model. The regions are from left to right: Eastern Pacific (EPa), portant transport pathway into the stratosphere, in agreement America (Ame), Atlantic (Atl), Mediterranean (Med), Africa plus lated updrafts. In this study we focussed on two idealized with earlier studies (e.g., Gettelman et al.,Eurasia 2002b; Liu Ausand Arabian Peninsula (Afr), Indian Ocean (Ind), (Eur), tracers whose chemical lifetime roughly corresponds to broZipser, 2005). tralia plus Maritime Continent (Aus), Western Pacific (WPa). moform and methyl iodide but this approach can be easily extended to other VSLS as well. An initial validation of the model with observations of the VSLS bromoform and methyl iodide, ozone and water vapor shows in general good agreement (Figs. 5, 6, 8, resp.). There www.atmos-chem-phys.net/9/9237/2009/ Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 80oW 6 9246 (TT20) ons to n Jane-AVE Fig. Averaged relative contribution of individual source reFig. 015. 15. Averaged relative contribution of individual source regions gions theamount total amount TT20 (idealized bromoform tracer) to the to total of TT20of(idealized bromoform tracer) from 8– from kmtropics. in the tropics. 20 km8-20 in the is some evidence from the ozone and water comparisons that could indicate too much convective transport into the 16 to 18 km altitude region. However, a comparison of the convective turnover time scales in the TTL from our model with estimates from Dessler (2002), based on O3 and CO observations, shows excellent agreement (Fig. 3), so it may also be that existing deviations from ozone and water vapor observations are a consequence of our simplified approach in the treatment of these species. Furthermore, a sensitivity calculation with convective detrainment set to zero above 380 K altitude shows that our main results are not dependent on the amount of convective transport to altitudes above the coldpoint (Fig. 10). Comparisons with recent model studies show also in general good agreement with our results taking into account the differences in the modeling approaches, source strengths, lifetimes and other parameters. Estimations of the amount of bromoform reaching the tropical stratosphere (CHBr3 abundance at 18 km altitude) are ranging from 0.1 ppt (Warwick et al., 2006) over 0.15 ppt (Hossaini et al., 2009) up to 0.5 ppt (Gettelman et al., 2009) with our results of 0.1 ppt residing at the lower bound. Our main result is an estimation of the impact of dehydration on Bry from VSLS entering the stratosphere. Given the commonly used assumption of a bromoform mixing ratio of 1 ppt at ground-level, we constrain the stratospheric bromine loading due to bromoform (TT20) to 1.6 to 3 ppt (Fig. 10). Note that complete solubility and instantaneous washout only removes about 50% of the Bry transported into the stratosphere compared to the insoluble tracer. Considering the lower limit of bromine loading due to the soluble Bry tracer of 1.6 ppt we estimate that about 1.2 to 1.3 ppt is Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, 9237–9247, 2009 J. Aschmann et al.: Transport of very short-lived substances originated from source gas injection whereas the remaining 0.3 to 0.4 ppt are from product gas injection. Comparing the estimations for bromine loading due to VSLS with previous work is difficult because of some significant differences between the conducted studies. Warwick et al. (2006) give an estimation of 6 to 7 ppt of additional inorganic bromine due to VSL bromocarbons at about 18 km (for bromoform only about 3.4 to 4 ppt). Gettelman et al. (2009) give a range of 1.1 to 4.1 ppt (bromoform only: 0.3 to 2.1 ppt) for the same quantity. Our estimations of additional bromine loading due to bromoform (1.6 to 3 ppt) are in between. Finally we applied the bromoform degradation approach to different emission scenarios. We have identified the regions with most effective transport, e.g. the Western Pacific with a relative contribution of 55% (Fig. 15) assuming a uniform source. Along with the evidence that horizontal transport plays an utterly important role in the TTL (Fig. 13) we can confirm that the Western Pacific and the Maritime Continent are the most important pathways into the whole TTL and finally the stratosphere especially for short-lived substances. With our current study we have established a modeling tool to further investigate the transport and transformation of VSLS into the stratosphere. The comparison with VSLS measurements indicates that we can successfully reproduce the source gas input of VSLS into the tropical UTLS. A next step would be a more sophisticated treatment of Bry uptake on ice with subsequent sedimentation and the inclusion of more realistic VSLS emission scenarios. Acknowledgements. J. A. acknowledges financial support by the University of Bremen through project VSLS. 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