household employment and income morbidity and mortality from heat and cold R5 + fuel poverty R5 fuel poverty: The more energy is needed to achieve optimal household temperatures (for wellbeing), the less affordable temperature optimisation becomes (the energy efficiency of dwellings influences this). likelihood of temperature extremes indoors + a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - household employment and income - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold time s pent i n home + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature R7 R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home fuel poverty + - the burden of illness from extremes of temperature reduces people’s ability to go out to work (R7 people out of work spend more time at home). a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - likelihood of temperature extremes indoors , the burden of illness from extremes of temperature also increases the time people spend in their homes (R6 people who are unwell spend more time at home) - physical health and fitness R6 peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + R7 R5 fuel poverty peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home - + a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home R6 - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + R7 + - total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home fuel poverty - + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - level of household crowding total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures + proportion of rooms heated likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home R6 - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + R7 + - total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature R5 fuel poverty peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures - a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - level of household crowding total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures proportion of rooms heated + + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm cheaper heating and cooling it was proposed that households have been shifting their patterns of heating and cooling from only living areas to all the rooms in the house, with shifting societal expectations (R8). - likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home R6 - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + + - total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home + - - level of household crowding total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - proportion of rooms heated + - + R9 - rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) fuel poverty likelihood of temperature extremes indoors physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures with increasingly available heating and cooling it was people’s expectation of indoor temperature variability was considered to reduce (R9), enhanced by other factors, such as patterns of heating and cooling in workplaces. R5 R7 R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home R8 - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + R9 + - total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature R7 fuel poverty peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home - - level of household crowding + proportion of rooms heated + - - + R9 rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) - + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures likelihood of temperature extremes indoors R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home + - total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature R7 R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home fuel poverty + - R4 - level of household crowding + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures R9 - proportion of rooms heated + - + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion + - + Increasing energy use for heating and cooling does not allow this physiological adaptation to a range of temperatures to happen (R4) physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures R6 R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - - physical health and fitness peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home household employment and income time s pent i n home R6 - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature - + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures R7 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home - R4 - level of household crowding total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - R9 - + proportion of rooms heated + - + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) fuel poverty + tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion + R5 R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - physical health and fitness R6 peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home The total energy used to heat and cool homes also contributes to the urban heat island (UHI) effect in cities (although it is only one contributor of many). In turn, the UHI creates increased energy use in summer R2 ). household employment and income time s pent i n home energy required to optimise household summer temperatures + - R7 + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature ambient outdoor summer temperatures - fuel poverty + + + - R4 R2 tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng - level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures + morbidity and mortality from heat and cold + + urban heat island effect - total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - R9 - + + proportion of rooms heated + + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm - a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - The total energy used to heat and cool homes also contributes to the urban heat island (UHI) effect in cities (although it is only one contributor of many). In turn, the UHI creates reduced need for heating energy in winter – B2) - physical health and fitness ambient outdoor winter temperatures energy required to optimise household winter temperatures peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home B2 household employment and income - urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting time s pent i n home - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + + energy required to optimise household summer temperatures + R7 + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature ambient outdoor summer temperatures R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home fuel poverty + + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures + - R4 R2 urban heat island effect R6 tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng + - level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - R9 - + + proportion of rooms heated + + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm - a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - energy required to optimise household winter temperatures - - physical health and fitness ambient outdoor winter temperatures peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home B2 household employment and income urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting time s pent i n home + + - + - tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng + cl i ma te cha nge a nd need for s ummer cool i ng - level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + + + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures R1 (climate change and need for summer cooling), where increasing ambient summer temperatures lead to greater energy required (and used) to cool houses, generating further greenhouse gas emissions fuel poverty + R4 R2 housing greenhouse gas emissions peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures urban heat island effect R5 + + R1 morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - R7 + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature ambient outdoor summer temperatures + - + energy required to optimise household summer temperatures expected climate change R6 - R9 - + proportion of rooms heated + - + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - B1 (climate change and winter heating), where over time the need for winter heating is expected to significantly reduce. energy required to optimise household winter temperatures - - physical health and fitness ambient outdoor winter temperatures peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home - + B2 B1 - urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting time s pent i n home energy required to optimise household summer temperatures + + + + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature ambient outdoor summer temperatures + - physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures R1 R7 R5 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home fuel poverty + R4 - tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng - housing greenhouse gas emissions likelihood of temperature extremes indoors + R2 urban heat island effect morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - + + cl i ma te cha nge a nd need for s ummer cool i ng - + cl i ma te cha nge a nd wi nter hea ting expected climate change household employment and income R6 level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + + + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures R9 - + proportion of rooms heated + - + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - + disruption may also mean that households are not able to access energy for their needs (B3). B3 s i gni fica nt i nfra s tructure fa i l ures di s ruption to da i l y l ea vi ng keeps peopl e a t home energy required to optimise household winter temperatures - - physical health and fitness ambient outdoor winter temperatures + peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home - B2 B1 expected climate change urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting cl i ma te cha nge a nd wi nter hea ting + + + + ambient outdoor summer temperatures cl i ma te cha nge a nd need for s ummer cool i ng + physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures R2 urban heat island effect + urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng - housing greenhouse gas emissions peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home R4 + - tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion level of household crowding - + + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures R9 - + fuel poverty - total urban human heat generation + morbidity and mortality from heat and cold R7 + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature + - R5 energy required to optimise household summer temperatures R1 household employment and income time s pent i n home R6 + proportion of rooms heated + - + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion - likelihood of temperature extremes indoors + B3 In the absence of adequate climate change mitigation, more extreme effects may cause infrastructure failures, which could keep people at home and increase household energy requirements (R3). s i gni fica nt i nfra s tructure fa i l ures di s ruption to hous ehol d energy s uppl y energy required to optimise household winter temperatures - R3 - ambient outdoor winter temperatures + physical health and fitness di s ruption to da i l y l ea vi ng keeps peopl e a t home peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home - B2 B1 + energy required to optimise household summer temperatures + + + + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature ambient outdoor summer temperatures + R7 peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures R4 - tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng - housing greenhouse gas emissions level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + + fuel poverty: + R2 + R5 + R1 urban heat island effect morbidity and mortality from heat and cold - - + cl i ma te cha nge a nd need for s ummer cool i ng - + cl i ma te cha nge a nd wi nter hea ting expected climate change - time s pent i n home urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting household employment and income R6 - total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - + + proportion of rooms heated + + rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) R9 - societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) R8 + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion likelihood of temperature extremes indoors - s i gni fica nt i nfra s tructure fa i l ures + B3 di s ruption to hous ehol d energy s uppl y energy required to optimise household winter temperatures - - - - <household crowding> - extremes of age level of ventilation - + - + + + peopl e who a re unwel l s pend more time a t home R6 + of thermal mass housing stock <solar gain> <area and quality of greenspace> NHS costs physical health and fitness + - - <expected changes to Britain's weather patterns from climate change 2> population aging - ambient outdoor winter temperatures + R3 household employment and income - - morbidity and mortality from heat and cold time s pent i n home - B1 expected climate change urba n hea t a nd need for wi nter hea ting B2 cl i ma te cha nge a nd wi nter hea ting - + energy required to optimise household summer temperatures - - cl i ma te cha nge a nd need for s ummer cool i ng housing greenhouse gas emissions + peopl e out of work s pend more time a t home likelihood of temperature extremes indoors R4 physiological adaptation to ambient temperatures - urba n hea t a nd s ummer cool i ng + sleep deprivation a fforda bi l i ty of tempera ture optimi s a tion + financial stress + level of household crowding total urban human heat generation + - + total energy used to optimise indoor temperatures - + + proportion of rooms heated + thermal comfort rebound effects of a fforda bi l i ty i ncrea s e energy us e (B for s ummer, R for wi nter) R9 - + - mental and emotional wellbeing happiness and homeliness + - strength of attitudes of frugality family violence + - personal actions to acclimatise (e.g. clothing) ability to have visitors 2 - - + tempera ture a nd phys i ol ogi ca l a da pta tion greenhous e ga s i ntens i ty of energy s uppl y - fuel poverty + R2 urban heat island effect R7 + + total energy required to achieve optimal household temperature + R1 R5 + + ambient outdoor summer temperatures + children's educational attainment + + - R8 + interaction between household members + societal expectations of thermal comfort (behavioural adaptation) + societal expectation of number of rooms used and warm elevation availability and affordability of central heating and cooling systems workplace indoor temperature ranges proportion of houses with southerly orientation - shading from other buildings use of drapes and shutters + - - sun exposure of housing stock - + + solar gain + levels of natural light indoors + vitamin D exposure + mental and physical wellbeing - shading from trees albedo/reflectiveness of houses number and size of windows adequacy of task related light - level of artificial light required household energy use
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