American Journal of Epidemiology Copyright ª 2006 by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health All rights reserved; printed in U.S.A. Vol. 165, No. 3 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwk018 Advance Access publication November 28, 2006 Original Contribution Factors Associated with Prevalent and Incident Urinary Incontinence in a Cohort of Midlife Women: A Longitudinal Analysis of Data Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation L. Elaine Waetjen1, Shanmei Liao2, Wesley O. Johnson3, Carolyn M. Sampselle4, Barbara Sternfield5, Siobán D. Harlow6, and Ellen B. Gold7 for the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation 1 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of California, Davis, CA. Department of Statistics, University of California, Davis, CA. 3 Department of Statistics, University of California, Irvine, CA. 4 School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI. 5 Kaiser Permanente Department of Research, Oakland, CA. 6 Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI. 7 Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA. 2 Received for publication February 1, 2006; accepted for publication July 5, 2006. To compare the characteristics of and baseline factors associated with prevalent and incident urinary incontinence in a diverse cohort of midlife women, the authors analyzed the baseline and first five annual follow-up visits of the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation (SWAN), 1995–2001. From responses to annual questionnaires, the authors defined prevalent incontinence as at least monthly incontinence reported at baseline and incident incontinence as at least monthly incontinence first reported over follow-up. They used multiple logistic regression for their comparison. The mean age of their cohort at baseline was 45.8 (standard deviation: 2.7) years. Prevalent incontinence was 46.7%, and the average incidence was 11.1% per year. Most women reported stress, but a higher proportion developed urge incontinence (15.9% vs. 7.6% at baseline). African Americans (29.5%) and Hispanics (27.5%) had the lowest prevalence of incontinence; African Americans (11.6%) and Caucasians (13.4%) had the highest average annual incidence. Parity, diabetes, fibroids, and poor social support were associated with prevalent incontinence, while high body mass index, high symptom sensitivity, and poor health were associated with incident incontinence. In midlife women, incident incontinence is mild with different characteristics and baseline risk factors; overweight women have a higher risk of developing incontinence. cohort studies; incidence; middle aged; prevalence; urinary incontinence; women Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; SWAN, Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation. The prevalence of urinary incontinence in women peaks in midlife, between the ages of 45 and 55 years (1), yet the epidemiology of incontinence in this age group is understudied relative to research in women aged 60 years or more. Incontinence that develops in midlife is not well character- ized, and little is known about factors that may predispose women to the different clinical types of incontinence during this time. Most large, community-based, epidemiologic studies of female incontinence have been cross-sectional or retrospective Correspondence to Dr. L. Elaine Waetjen, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, 4860 Y Street, Suite 2500, Sacramento, CA 95817 (e-mail: [email protected]). 309 Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 310 Waetjen et al. and conducted predominantly in older women of European descent (1–5). Additionally, most have assessed risk factors for prevalent incontinence in these populations with uncertainty as to the duration of incontinence. Yet, incontinence that develops in midlife may have unique characteristics and risk factors. The purpose of this study was to compare prevalent stress, urge, and mixed incontinence with incontinence that developed over 5 years of follow-up in a racially and ethnically diverse cohort of midlife women. We used data from the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation (SWAN), a community-based, prospective cohort study of women from five different racial/ethnic groups, to determine whether risk factors for prevalent incontinence such as parity, high body mass index, and diabetes were also associated with incident incontinence. We also examined whether factors associated with prevalent and incident stress, urge, and mixed incontinence varied by race/ethnicity. MATERIALS AND METHODS This analysis used data from the baseline and first five annual follow-up visits from the prospective cohort of SWAN, 1995–2001. SWAN is a multicenter, multiethnic, and multidisciplinary prospective cohort study of the menopausal transition. Details of the study’s methodology have been published previously (6). At seven clinical sites (Boston, Massachusetts; Chicago, Illinois; the Detroit area, Michigan; Los Angeles, California; Newark, New Jersey; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Oakland, California), 16,065 communitybased women, aged 40–55 years, were identified by random digit dialing, snowball, and/or list-based sampling and interviewed for a cross-sectional screening survey. From this large sample, each of the sites recruited about 450 women to include a Caucasian group and one designated minority group (African American at four sites and Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic at one site each) for a total longitudinal cohort of 3,302 women. Eligibility criteria for the SWAN longitudinal cohort were age 42–52 years and self-identification as one of the five racial/ethnic groups to be studied. The exclusion criteria were inability to speak English, Spanish, Japanese, or Cantonese; no menstrual period in more than 3 months before enrollment; hysterectomy and/or bilateral oophorectomy prior to the onset of the study; and current use of oral contraceptives, estrogens, progestins, or luteinizing hormone agonists. The institutional review boards at each clinical site and the coordinating center approved the study protocol, and all participants gave written, informed consent. For this analysis, to compare factors associated with prevalent and incident incontinence in the same cohort, we excluded 599 women who dropped out of the study before year 5. We considered women to have dropped out of the study when they were missing 3 or more consecutive years of outcome data. Covariates At baseline, participants completed both interviewadministered and self-administered questionnaires so that demographic, medical, lifestyle, quality of life, and other information could be obtained. Race and ethnicity were selfdefined as Black or African American, non-Hispanic Caucasian, Chinese or Chinese American, Japanese or Japanese American, and Hispanic (including Central American, Cuban or Cuban American, Dominican, Mexican or Mexican American, Puerto Rican, South American, Spanish, or other Hispanic). Socioeconomic status was assessed by income and level of difficulty in paying for basics. Interviewers obtained medical history, obstetric history, gynecologic history including self-reported diagnosis of fibroids, smoking history and medication use, educational level attained, and general health status. SWAN used an adaptation of the 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) (7) to assess quality of life, the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D) Scale (8) to evaluate depressive symptoms, the Baeke questionnaire (9) to assess physical activity, and the Medical Outcomes Study (MOS) Social Support Survey (10) and Life Stressors and Social Resources Inventory (LISRES) (11) to estimate social support. Finally, at year 1, women responded to a series of questions assessing their sensitivity to physical sensations (heat, cold, noise, hunger); the responses were combined into a Symptom Sensitivity Scale (12). Each woman underwent weight, height, and waist circumference measurements by certified staff that used calibrated scales and a stadiometer. We calculated body mass index (weight (kg)/(height (m)2) and measured waist circumference in centimeters. Outcomes The self-administered questionnaire assessed incontinence at baseline and at each annual follow-up visit. Women were asked the question: ‘‘In the past year (or since your last study visit), have you ever leaked even a small amount of urine involuntarily?’’ The frequency of incontinence was recorded as ‘‘almost daily/daily’’ (daily), ‘‘several days per week’’ (weekly), ‘‘less than one day per week’’ (monthly), ‘‘less than once a month,’’ or ‘‘none.’’ We classified the responses indicating weekly or daily incontinence as ‘‘frequent’’ and the responses indicating monthly as ‘‘occasional.’’ We defined ‘‘any incontinence’’ as at least monthly incontinence. Because we considered incontinence that occurred less than once a month not to be clinically significant with a higher misclassification rate, we combined this category with none as ‘‘no incontinence’’ or no regular incontinence. We categorized type of incontinence as ‘‘stress’’ if participants reported at least monthly leakage with ‘‘coughing, laughing, sneezing, jogging, jumping, with physical activity, or picking up an object from the floor’’ or as ‘‘urge’’ if participants reported at least monthly leakage ‘‘when you have the urge to void and can’t reach the toilet fast enough.’’ Affirmative responses to both circumstances of at least monthly incontinence in the same visit were categorized as ‘‘mixed.’’ We classified incontinence that did not fit these three types as ‘‘other.’’ We defined prevalent incontinence as incontinence occurring at least monthly that was reported by women at baseline. Prevalence was calculated as the number of women reporting incontinence (by frequency and type) at baseline Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 Prevalent and Incident Urinary Incontinence divided by the total baseline cohort. Women who had no incontinence at baseline but reported at least monthly incontinence at any of the five annual follow-up visits were considered to have incident incontinence at their first report. We calculated cumulative incidence as the the number of women reporting new-onset incontinence in the 5 years of follow-up divided by the number of women at risk during those 5 years. For the average annual incidence, we then divided this by five. Finally, we defined our reference group narrowly: Only women who did not report incontinence occurring at least monthly at baseline and over all 5 years of follow-up were considered to have no incontinence. For 169 women who were missing incontinence data at one of the first five visits, we imputed values for incontinence frequency and type by randomly assigning the individual participant’s reported frequency and type from either the previous or subsequent year to the missing year. Statistical analysis After univariate exploration of our variables, we performed bivariate analyses. Variables associated with incontinence in the literature or with p values of 0.10 or less in our data were entered into multivariable analyses by use of a forward stepwise process. Additionally, because race, parity, and body mass index (3, 13–15) have all been associated with incontinence, we forced these variables into most of our models. Because we wanted to compare baseline factors associated with prevalent and first reported incident incontinence within the same cohort, we used multiple logistic regression for our analyses of the dichotomous outcomes: any incontinence versus none; frequent (daily or weekly) incontinence versus none. Our primary models to evaluate factors associated with at least monthly incontinence by type used the following outcomes, each compared with none: urge, stress, or mixed incontinence. When sample size permitted, we developed separate models for prevalent and incident incontinence. We also developed separate models for each racial/ ethnic group to study whether factors associated with incontinence varied by race/ethnicity. Because of small numbers in the Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic cohorts, prevalent and incident factors associated with the individual types of incontinence could not be evaluated separately in these three models. We assessed model fit with the HosmerLemenshow goodness-of-fit test. To explore the robustness of our results, we developed other models to compare with our primary ones reported here. For urge and stress symptoms, we developed secondary models comparing the following: urge and mixed incontinence (any urge symptoms) versus stress incontinence and none (no urge symptoms), and stress and mixed incontinence (any stress symptoms) versus urge incontinence and none (no stress symptoms). Additionally, because the distributions of body mass index were significantly different among racial/ethnic groups, we explored a number of methods to handle the differences in distributions. First, we entered body mass index by each race/ethnicity as interaction terms into our models. Second, we ran our models categorizing body mass index by quantiles specific to each racial/ Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 311 ethnic group to evaluate body mass index independent of race. Finally, we removed data from all women in the top 5 percent of the body mass index distributions. Although we observed no large differences in our point estimates in each of these methods, model fit by the Hosmer-Lemenshow goodness-of-fit test was generally better when all women remained in the analysis. For all our analyses, we used SAS, version 9.1, software (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina). RESULTS Study sample Of the 3,302 women in the cohort at baseline, 599 (18.1 percent) either dropped out of SWAN or had not completed the incontinence questions at baseline and in all 5 years of follow-up. Table 1 displays the characteristics of the baseline participants and compares the women who remained in the study at year 5 with those women who dropped out of the study or were missing incontinence data. As expected, we found a number of differences between the follow-up and drop-out cohorts. Women who remained in the study were more likely to be Caucasian, to have gone to college, and to be financially secure. Our follow-up cohort was also thinner and had lower parity. Importantly, we also found differences in incontinence reporting. Women who remained in the study were more likely to report any incontinence and more likely to report frequent incontinence. However, the distribution of incontinence type did not vary between follow-up and drop-out cohorts. Prevalent and incident incontinence The prevalence and cumulative incidence by frequency and type of incontinence for all racial/ethnic groups are displayed in tables 2 and 3. At least monthly incontinence prevalence was 46.7 percent overall and 15.3 percent for incontinence occurring several days per week or more. The average 1-year incidence of at least monthly incontinence was 11.1 percent per year, but only 1.2 percent per year was reported to be frequent. African-American and Hispanic women had the lowest prevalence of incontinence, while African-American (11.6 percent) and Caucasian (13.4 percent) women had the highest average annual incidence. Therefore, African-American women had the highest proportional difference in reporting incident compared with prevalent incontinence at baseline. Incontinence that developed over the 5 years was less frequent (5.8 vs. 15.3 percent had frequent incontinence) and less bothersome (3.2 vs. 4.8 on a Likert scale). Although stress incontinence was the most frequent type of both prevalent and incident incontinence, women of all racial/ethnic groups reported twice as much urge incontinence at follow-up than at baseline (15.9 vs. 7.6 percent at baseline). For both prevalent and incident incontinence, Japanese and Hispanic women were the most likely to report stress incontinence, while AfricanAmerican women were the most likely to report urge incontinence. 312 Waetjen et al. TABLE 1. Baseline characteristics and differences between women who followed up and dropped out* of the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation over 5 years between 1995 and 2001 Baseline characteristics Age, years (mean (SDz)) Baseline cohort (n ¼ 3,301) Follow-up cohort (n ¼ 2,702) Drop-out cohort (n ¼ 599) 45.8 (2.7) 45.8 (2.7) 45.6 (2.7) Caucasian 1,550 47.0 1,313 48.6 237 39.6 Black 934 28.3 709 26.2 225 37.6 Chinese 250 7.6 237 8.8 13 2.2 Japanese 281 8.5 266 9.8 15 2.5 Hispanic 286 8.7 177 6.6 109 18.2 p valuey 0.04 Race <0.001 Menopausal status Premenopausal 1,498 46.5 1,201 45.4 297 49.6 Early perimenopausal 1,726 53.5 1,446 54.6 280 46.7 High school or less 819 25.1 594 22.2 225 37.6 College or higher 2,451 74.9 2,087 77.8 364 60.8 0.12 Education 0.00 Marital Single 439 13.5 352 13.2 87 14.5 Married, living as 2,148 66.1 1,813 68.0 335 55.9 Separated/divorced/widowed 660 20.3 500 18.8 160 26.7 >25th percentile 2,214 67.1 1,849 68.4 365 60.9 25th percentile 1,087 32.9 853 31.6 234 39.1 0.01 Social support 0.05 General health status Excellent 694 21.4 599 22.5 95 15.9 Very good 1,179 36.3 1,010 37.9 169 28.2 Good 945 29.1 744 27.9 201 33.6 Fair 368 11.3 265 9.9 103 17.2 Poor 62 1.9 48 1.8 14 2.3 <0.001 Difficulty paying for basics Not at all hard 1,968 60.0 1,693 63.0 275 45.9 Somewhat hard 1,005 30.7 784 29.2 221 36.9 Very hard 306 9.3 209 7.8 97 16.2 <0.001 Table continues Factors associated with prevalent and incident incontinence In our multivariable analyses, we found some differences in the factors associated with any or frequent prevalent incontinence compared with any or frequent incident incontinence (table 4). For example, compared with Caucasians, African-American, Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic women had lower odds of reporting frequent prevalent incontinence, while we observed no significant trend in the reporting of any or frequent incident incontinence by racial/ethnic group. Parity, diabetes, uterine fibroids, depressive symptoms, and poor social support were significantly associated with prevalent incontinence but not incident incontinence. We found a significant interaction between education and both Chinese and Japanese ethnicity. A lower level of education was associated with less prevalent incontinence (for Chinese: odds ratio (OR) ¼ 0.33, 95 percent confidence interval (CI): 0.17, 0.69; for Japanese: OR ¼ 0.48, 95 percent CI: 0.25, 0.97). Being either a current or past smoker was associated with increased odds of incident incontinence in AfricanAmerican women but not in other racial/ethnic groups. Factors associated with frequent prevalent or incident incontinence are similar to those for any incontinence, but the odds ratios tended to be higher for frequent incontinence. Diabetes was the strongest risk factor that we identified for prevalent incontinence. The estimated probability that a parous woman with a normal body mass index had incontinence Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 Prevalent and Incident Urinary Incontinence 313 TABLE 1. Continued Baseline characteristics Body mass index, kg/m2 (mean (SD)) Baseline cohort (n ¼ 3,301) 28.2 (7.2) Follow-up cohort (n ¼ 2,702) 27.9 (7.2) Drop-out cohort (n ¼ 599) p valuey 28.9 (7.2) 0.01 85.6 (16.1) 87.7 (15.9) 0.01 1.9 (1.4) 2.5 (1.3) 0.01 7.5 (1.8) 0.06 0.00 Waist circumference, cm (mean (SD)) 86.4 (16.1) Parity (mean (SD)) 2.0 (1.4) Total physical activity, score (mean (SD)) 7.7 (1.8) 7.7 (1.8) Smoking history Never smoked 1,904 57.7 1,601 59.3 303 50.6 Current smoker 828 25.1 694 25.7 134 22.4 Past smoker 569 17.2 407 15.1 162 27.0 Medical conditions Diabetes 163 5.0 126 5.0 37 6.2 0.20 Hypertension 642 19.8 506 19.6 136 22.7 0.09 Fibroids 670 20.7 546 21.3 124 20.7 0.60 Depression 804 24.4 613 23.5 191 31.9 0.01 Quality of life (mean (SD)) Physical role 75.0 (36.7) 75.4 (36.3) 74.0 (34.9) 0.20 Vitality 54.7 (20.6) 54.9 (20.2) 53.5 (21.1) 0.06 Social functioning 79.8 (22.5) 80.5 (21.9) 77.2 (24.6) 0.00 1,804 1,439 365 0.00 Incontinence frequency None 54.7 53.2 60.9 Occasional (monthly to weekly) 996 30.2 850 31.5 146 24.4 Frequent (>weekly to daily) 496 15.1 413 15.3 83 13.9 Stress 1,007 55.4 871 55.6 136 47.7 Urge 302 16.3 249 15.9 53 18.6 Mixed 456 24.6 373 23.8 83 29.1 Other 86 4.7 73 4.7 13 4.6 Incontinence type Symptom sensitivity (mean (SD)) 10.19 (3.6) 10.14 (3.58) 10.42 (3.72) 0.25 0.14 * Reported as number and percent, except where noted otherwise. y Comparison of follow-up cohort and drop-out cohort only, using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. z SD, standard deviation. at baseline increased with diabetes for each racial/ethnic group, but it was highest in Caucasians (without diabetes: p ¼ 0.51; with diabetes: p ¼ 0.68) and lowest in Hispanics (without diabetes: p ¼ 0.17; wth diabetes: p ¼ 0.29). Although the odds of having incontinence at baseline increased with waist circumference, a high body mass index was associated with developing incontinence during follow-up. The estimated probability of a parous woman’s developing incident incontinence with a body mass index of 30 or more was 0.41 for Caucasians, 0.50 for African Americans, 0.39 for Chinese, 0.31 for Japanese, and 0.30 for Hispanics, while for a normal body mass index of 19– 24.9, it was 0.33 for Caucasians, 0.42 for African Americans, 0.31 for Chinese, 0.24 for Japanese, and 0.23 for Hispanics. Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 Factors associated with stress, urge, and mixed prevalent and incident incontinence Factors associated with prevalent and incident incontinence differed when analyzed by type of incontinence (table 5). Although parity was associated with increased odds of prevalent stress incontinence, it was not associated with incident stress incontinence. Diabetes and waist circumference also were associated with increased odds of prevalent stress incontinence, but body mass index was associated with incident stress incontinence. Prevalent urge incontinence was negatively associated with higher education (college or more compared with high school or less) 314 Waetjen et al. TABLE 2. Prevalence* of at least monthly incontinence reported at baseline by racial/ethnic group, Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation, 1995–2001 Incontinence characteristics All women (n ¼ 2,702) Caucasian (n ¼ 1,263) African American (n ¼ 719) Chinese (n ¼ 249) Japanese (n ¼ 264) Hispanic (n ¼ 207) Prevalent incontinence 1,263 46.7 722 57.1 284 29.5 87 34.9 113 42.8 57 27.5 No incontinence 1,439 53.3 541 42.9 435 60.5 162 65.1 151 57.2 150 72.5 Occasional (monthly to weekly) 850 31.4 473 37.4 188 26.1 70 28.1 85 32.2 34 16.4 Frequent (>weekly/daily) 413 15.3 249 19.7 96 13.3 17 6.8 28 10.6 23 11.1 p value 0.04 Incontinence frequency 0.6 Incontinence typey Stress 681 25.2 402 31.8 94 13.1 58 23.3 82 31.1 44 21.2 <0.01 Urge 205 7.6 98 7.7 85 11.8 8 3.2 10 3.8 3 1.4 0.02 Mixed 335 12.4 196 15.5 93 12.9 18 7.2 18 6.8 10 4.8 0.60 Other 42 1.6 26 2.1 12 1.7 3 1.2 3 1.1 0 0 0.98 Bothersomenessz (mean (SD§)) 4.8 (2.9) 4.6 (2.9) 4.8 (3.1) 3.9 (2.5) 4.7 (2.6) 7.9 (2.6) <0.01 * Reported as frequency and percent, except where noted otherwise. y p values are from chi-square tests evaluating differences in proportions of each incontinence type across racial/ethnic groups. z Likert’s scale from 0 to 10 among women reporting any incontinence. § SD, standard deviation. and had a strong positive association with diabetes. Incident urge incontinence was associated with increasing waist circumference. Prevalent mixed incontinence was associated with predictors of both stress and urge incontinence, as well as with unique factors. In particular, low social support, depressive symptoms, and a high symptom sensitivity score were associated with prevalent mixed incontinence symptoms. Incident mixed incontinence was associated with diabetes, a high body mass index, and a high symptom sensitivity score. Race/ethnicity categories could not be forced into this mixed incontinence model because of poor model fit. The proportional increase in African-American women reporting incident incontinence can largely be explained in our multivariable models by their higher odds of developing urge incontinence, not stress incontinence. Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic women had less stress, urge, or mixed incontinence compared with Caucasian women; although not statistically significant, they tended to have less incident incontinence of all types as well (table 5). TABLE 3. Cumulative rates* of first reported at least monthly incident incontinence by racial/ethnic group over 5 years, Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation, 1995–2001 Incontinence characteristics All women (n ¼ 1,439) Caucasian (n ¼ 541) African American (n ¼ 435) Chinese (n ¼ 162) Japanese (n ¼ 151) Hispanic (n ¼ 150) p value Incident incontinence 801 55.7 353 65.2 253 58.2 71 43.8 73 48.3 51 34.0 No incontinence 638 44.3 188 34.8 182 41.8 91 56.2 78 51.7 99 66.0 0.07 Occasional (monthly to weekly) 717 49.8 328 60.6 221 50.8 65 40.1 65 43.0 38 25.3 Frequent (>weekly/daily) 84 5.8 25 4.6 32 7.4 6 3.7 8 5.3 13 8.7 Stress 364 25.2 179 33.1 66 15.2 40 24.7 47 31.1 33 Urge 230 15.9 92 17.0 101 23.2 14 8.6 5 3.3 7 4.7 0.27 Mixed 171 11.9 64 11.8 70 16.1 16 9.8 11 7.2 11 7.3 0.87 Other 36 2.5 18 3.3 16 3.6 1 0.6 0 0 0 0 Incontinence frequency 0.68 Incontinence typey Bothersomenessz (mean (SD§)) 3.2 (2.8) 2.8 (2.6) 3.3 (2.9) 2.8 (2.5) 3.7 (2.8) 22 5.7 (2.7) 0.02 0.67 <0.01 * Reported as frequency and rate/100 per 5 years. y p values are from chi-square tests evaluating differences in rates of each incontinence type across racial/ethnic groups. z Likert’s scale from 0 to 10 among women reporting any incontinence at annual follow-up in years 1–3. § SD, standard deviation. Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 Prevalent and Incident Urinary Incontinence 315 TABLE 4. Adjusted* odds ratios for any and frequent prevalent and incident urinary incontinence, Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation, 1995–2001 Prevalent incontinence Any (at least monthly) Characteristic Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Incident incontinence Frequent (>weekly/daily) Odds ratio Any (at least monthly) 95% confidence interval Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Frequent (>weekly/daily) 95% confidence interval Odds ratio Race/ethnicity Caucasian Referent Referent Referent Referent African American 0.36 0.27, 0.48 0.31 0.21, 0.46 1.33 0.89, 1.99 1.66 0.67, 4.14 Chinese 2.35 0.76, 7.33 0.26 0.14, 0.47 0.81 0.50, 1.30 1.28 0.31, 5.22 Japanese 0.24 0.03, 2.17 0.62 0.09, 0.29 0.64 0.36, 1.13 2.15 0.62, 7.48 Hispanic 0.18 0.11, 0.30 0.16 0.11, 0.35 0.63 0.36, 1.13 2.96 1.06, 8.18 1.05 1.02, 1.07 1.12 1.06, 1.19 Social support >25th percentile Referent 25th percentile Referent 1.39 1.06, 1.81 1.87 1.32, 2.66 Body mass index, kg/m2 (per unit increase) 1.02 0.97, 1.07 1.02 0.96, 1.04 Waist circumference, cm (per cm increase) 1.03 1.01, 1.05 1.05 1.02, 1.07 Parity Nulliparous Parous Referent Referent Referent 1.43 1.00, 2.03 1.70 1.05, 2.73 2.34 1.21, 4.55 3.10 1.43, 6.74 1.33 0.99, 1.81 Referent 1.31 0.88, 1.96 1.25 0.96, 1.61 2.57 0.58, 11.48 Medical conditions Diabetes Fibroids 1.31 1.00, 1.72 Depressive symptoms 1.28 1.02, 1.61 General health status Good to excellent Referent Fair to poor Symptom severity score Age 1.03 Hosmer-Lemenshow goodness of fit 0.99, 1.06 1.06 0.52 2.99 1.35, 6.62 1.09 1.00, 1.19 1.01, 1.12 0.62 0.55 0.39 * All factors with values for odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are included in each multiple logistic regression model. Factors associated with incontinence by race We had sufficient numbers to evaluate factors associated with incontinence type by race/ethnicity in women with prevalent incontinence for our two largest groups, Caucasian and African-American women. Interestingly, parity was significantly associated with prevalent stress and mixed incontinence in Caucasian women (for stress: OR ¼ 1.85, 95 percent CI: 1.18, 2.92; for mixed: OR ¼ 2.51, 95 percent CI: 1.35, 4.69) but not in African-American women (for stress: OR ¼ 0.46, 95 percent CI: 0.11, 1.91; for mixed: OR ¼ 0.51, 95 percent CI: 0.11, 2.41). Although low social support was important only in the reporting of mixed incontinence for Caucasian women (OR ¼ 2.49, 95 percent CI: 1.41, 4.38), African-American women with low social support were more likely to report stress and mixed incontinence (for stress: OR ¼ 2.32, 95 percent CI: 1.21, 4.45; for mixed: OR ¼ 2.35, 95 percent CI: 1.19, 4.66). Finally, self-reported Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 diagnosis of uterine fibroids was associated with urge incontinence in African-American women only (OR ¼ 1.95, 95 percent CI: 1.07, 3.54), while poor health status was associated with stress and urge incontinence in Caucasian women only (for stress: OR ¼ 4.49, 95 percent CI: 1.03, 19.64; for urge: OR ¼ 9.27, 95 percent CI: 1.72, 49.97). DISCUSSION This study is among the first to examine the prevalence and incidence of urinary incontinence in a racially/ethnically diverse, community-based sample of midlife women followed longitudinally over 5 years. Nearly half of the women reported having at least monthly incontinence at baseline, while half of those who did not have incontinence at baseline reported developing at least monthly incontinence over the 5 years of observation. The characteristics of and factors Prevalent incontinence Stress Risk factor Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Incident incontinence Urge Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Mixed Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Stress Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Urge Odds ratio 95% confidence interval Mixed Odds ratio 95% confidence interval 1.09 1.04, 1.13 Race/ethnicity Caucasian Referent Referent Referent Referent Referent African American 0.26 0.19, 0.36 0.98 0.65, 1.48 0.35 0.23, 0.53 0.44 0.28, 0.68 1.91 1.22, 2.99 Chinese 0.47 0.31, 0.70 0.43 0.22, 0.84 0.38 0.21, 0.70 0.68 0.39, 1.17 0.22 0.07, 0.72 Japanese 0.77 0.55, 1.12 0.37 0.18, 0.74 3.19 0.55, 18.29 0.88 0.52, 1.48 0.37 0.14, 0.97 Hispanic 0.27 0.17, 0.42 0.10 0.03, 0.34 0.12 0.05, 0.27 0.45 0.25, 0.81 0.33 0.11, 0.95 Education College or more Referent High school or less 0.72 0.51, 1.03 Social support >25th percentile Referent 25th percentile 1.95 1.32, 2.89 1.42 0.96, 2.09 1.04 0.97, 1.11 1.06 1.03, 1.10 1.03 1.01, 1.06 1.04 1.01, 1.07 1.44 0.87, 2.40 0.92 0.51, 1.68 Body mass index, kg/m2 (per unit increase) 0.99 0.95, 1.04 Waist circumference, cm (per cm increase) 1.04 1.02, 1.06 1.03 1.00, 1.06 Referent Parity Nulliparous Parous Referent 1.91 Referent 1.31, 2.79 0.80 0.50, 1.29 2.16 1.26, 3.71 Medical conditions None Am J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 Diabetes Referent 2.11 Referent 1.09, 4.09 Referent Referent 3.62 1.45, 9.01 Fibroids 1.53 1.08, 2.27 1.46 0.99, 2.15 Depressive symptoms 1.42 1.01, 2.01 1.45 1.04, 2.03 1.06 1.01, 1.11 Symptom sensitivity score 3.02 1.12, 8.10 1.07 1.01, 1.14 Health status Good to excellent Referent Poor to fair Hosmer-Lemenshow goodness of fit 0.42 0.61 0.31 0.41 0.40 * All factors with values for odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals are included in each multiple logistic regression model. 0.18, 0.99 0.92 0.29 316 Waetjen et al. TABLE 5. Adjusted* odds ratios for at least monthly prevalent and incident stress, urge, and mixed urinary incontinence, Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation, 1995–2001 Prevalent and Incident Urinary Incontinence associated with prevalent and incident incontinence differed. Although Caucasians reported the highest incontinence prevalence and incidence, African-American women had the highest proportional difference between reporting incident and prevalent incontinence; they also had the highest proportion of urge incontinence. Incident urinary incontinence that developed in this racially/ethnically diverse longitudinal cohort of midlife women was infrequent, occurring less than weekly, compared with the prevalent incontinence reported at baseline. Although stress incontinence symptoms were more frequently reported, the proportion of women reporting urge incontinence symptoms was greater in women with incident compared with prevalent incontinence. Incontinence described as occurring less than weekly is responsible for the midlife prevalence peak of incontinence in previous epidemiologic studies (1). Whether we captured an early stage of incontinence that will worsen over time or whether incontinence that develops in midlife is more likely to remain mild or even to resolve is not known at this time and will be the subject of future investigations in SWAN. The prevalence of urge incontinence is low in premenopausal women (1) and increases with age (3, 15, 16); the timing of changes in that distribution has been unclear. Our study suggests that this rate begins to change in midlife. Some factors associated with incident incontinence appeared to be unique. Most important, while parity was associated with increased odds of prevalent stress and mixed incontinence, it was not an important factor in the development of any type of incident incontinence over the 5 years of follow-up. This novel observation suggests that the impact of parity on incontinence presents in the reproductive years, while incontinence that develops in midlife is not related to child-bearing, but rather may be related to other factors to be explored in future studies, such as weight gain and change in hormone status. We also found that, although a higher waist circumference was associated with prevalent incontinence at baseline, higher body mass index was associated with incident incontinence. While this may be, in part, an artifact of our model, it may also relate to the increased proportion of urge symptoms in incident incontinence. We found that a higher waist circumference was associated with stress incontinence; perhaps greater central obesity increases stress incontinence symptoms because of increased intraabdominal pressure, but it has no impact on urge incontinence symptoms for which simply being overweight is a risk factor. Some factors associated with prevalent stress, urge, and mixed incontinence differed between the two largest racial/ ethnic groups: Caucasians and African Americans. In particular, incontinence of any type in African Americans was not associated with parity, while parity was an important factor in Caucasian women. We found that urge incontinence in African Americans was associated with self-reported fibroids, while incontinent Caucasians, but not African Americans, were more likely to report a fair-to-poor health status. African Americans have been reported to have a lower prevalence of incontinence (14, 15, 17), but they report a higher proportion of urge incontinence (18, 19) compared with other racial/ethnic groups. We found that a higher proportion of African-American midlife women reported inciAm J Epidemiol 2007;165:309–318 317 dent than prevalent incontinence. One possible explanation for this finding is the association between urge incontinence and fibroids, which are more prevalent in African-American women in this age group (20, 21). Because urinary urgency is thought to be a symptom of fibroids, the association between fibroids and urge incontinence may simply reflect a higher rate of diagnostic studies in African-American women, rather than a direct effect of fibroids. On the other hand, the space-occupying effects of fibroids on the bladder and urethra may indeed be a cause of urge incontinence. Another explanation for the higher reporting of incident incontinence is that the African-American women in our sample had the highest average body mass index compared with the other racial/ethnic groups. Our study also has important limitations. First, as expected, African-American and Hispanic women, women with less education, and women with a lower socioeconomic status were more likely to have dropped out of SWAN. Women who had higher body mass indexes and who reported poorer health, factors associated with incontinence, were also more likely to be lost to follow-up. Most important, women who reported any and frequent incontinence were more likely to have stayed in SWAN. These differences, though relatively small in absolute numbers, limit the generalizability of our study. In particular, we have likely overestimated the prevalence and incidence of incontinence in midlife women. However, our estimates of factors associated with prevalent incontinence are similar to those previously reported in an analysis of the entire baseline cohort in SWAN (13). Second, we defined prevalent incontinence as incontinence that was reported to be at least once per month and present at baseline. We do not have information to determine the duration of this incontinence, which may have been present for only a few months or for many years. Third, some of our analyses were limited by small numbers. For example, because of small sample sizes, we were unable to evaluate factors associated with the different types of incontinence in our Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic cohorts. That we identified fewer factors associated with incident incontinence may be, in part, explained by smaller numbers in this group. Fourth, because our incontinence questions have not been validated in diverse populations, reporting bias for incontinence based on varying sociocultural interpretation of these questions may have occurred. For example, our finding that poor social support was associated with urge incontinence in African Americans may reflect psychosocial circumstances that lead to the higher reporting of urge incontinence in this group. Finally, although of greatest interest is the effect of the menopausal transition and other time-varying factors on the natural history of incontinence in midlife, the first 5 years of SWAN do not provide sufficient numbers of women in each stage of the menopausal transition to allow a robust analysis of this effect. Nonetheless, SWAN has provided a unique opportunity to describe and evaluate incident incontinence in a racially/ ethnically diverse, community-based cohort of women over time and had a number of advantages. This longitudinal cohort has had good retention (80 percent) over the first 5 years of follow-up. The same incontinence questions were asked on an annual basis; these questions, which allowed 318 Waetjen et al. classification of incontinence by clinical type (stress, urge, and mixed), were similar to those that have been used widely in other epidemiologic studies and that have been associated with different risk factors (3, 15). Finally, although selfreport reflects the symptoms rather than the diagnosis of stress and urge incontinence, the experience of incontinence is of more direct clinical and public health importance than the presence or absence of urodynamic abnormalities. Our study evaluating the baseline factors associated with incontinence in the cohort of midlife women provides novel and clinically relevant epidemiologic information about urinary incontinence that develops in this age group. First reported incident incontinence is infrequent, with a higher proportion of the urge type, and childbearing does not appear to be an important risk factor. Overweight women appear to be at a higher risk of developing incontinence in midlife. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS SWAN has grant support from the National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, through the National Institute on Aging, the National Institute of Nursing Research, and the National Institutes of Health Office of Research on Women’s Health (grants NR004061, AG012505, AG012535, AG012531, AG012539, AG012546, AG012553, AG012554, AG012495). The supplemental funding source for this secondary analysis from the University of California Davis Health System Research Award is gratefully acknowledged. Clinical Centers: University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan—MaryFran Sowers, Principal Investigator; Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts— Robert Neer, Principal Investigator 1995–1999; Joel Finkelstein, Principal Investigator 1999–present; Rush University, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois— Lynda Powell, Principal Investigator; University of California, Davis/Kaiser, California—Ellen Gold, Principal Investigator; University of California, Los Angeles, California—Gail Greendale, Principal Investigator; University of Medicine and Dentistry–New Jersey Medical School, Newark, New Jersey—Gerson Weiss, Principal Investigator 1995–2004; Nanette Santoro, Principal Investigator 2004–present; and the University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania— Karen Matthews, Principal Investigator. 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