Chapter Two: COMPARISON OF PRODUCTION SYSTEMS Kenneth Foster, Chris Hurt, and Jeffrey Hale Introduction The approach used in much of this book is to present systems of hog production. The systems are models or simulations of “real world” situations. These systems can then be used for comparison with each other or to examine changes within systems. More specifically, the economic analysis in this text is concerned with the effects of size and technology on cost of swine production. This chapter will serve as an explanation of the budgeting done throughout the book, a comparison of the assumptions used in building various systems, and a summary of the results found. Two broad categories of budgets are presented in this book, enterprises and technologies. The enterprise systems are designed to capture the difference in cost of production that may result from size differences. In Chapters Three through Six, four different sized farrow-to-finish swine production enterprises are developed: 1200 sow, 600 sow, 300 sow, and 150 sow. Two systems are developed in the 150 sow chapter, high and low technology. The information on technology presented in Chapters Seven through Thirteen is designed to assist smaller producers considering the adoption of various technologies commonly employed by larger enterprises. More specifically, the technology systems are designed to show both how smaller producers can implement the technology and how implementation might impact cost of production. The technologies examined include: Split-Sex and Phase Feeding, Artificial Insemination and Enhanced Genetics, All-In/All-Out Production, Segregated Early Weaning, Marketing, and Financial Management. A diagram of how the budgets used in this book relate to each other is presented in Figure 2-1. 1200 Sow High Technology System The first system modeled is a 1200 productive sow farrow-to-finish farm. The 1200 sow system is large enough to capture the full benefits of most technology and is assumed to be the smallest size at which the most efficiency can be gained with respect to building-space and flow management. The 1200 sow unit is actually comprised of 1,412 females. This number is required to provide for replacement gilts and open sows. In the 1200 sow operation, a group of 60 females farrows each week in one of four farrowing rooms. The 9.5 pigs weaned, under segregated early weaning protocol, from each of these farrowings provide a group of 570 pigs each week. All In/All Out technology is employed by room and age group through the nursery and grow-finish facilities. The site plan is designed to mimic three-site production by maintaining separate structures for the farrowing, nursery, and grow/finish buildings, and by maintaining strict bio-security. 15 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry The genetics assumed in the 1200 sow unit have superior high lean growth attributes combined with excellent maternal traits. Breeding is completed using first a natural service and then artificial insemination. The market hogs are fed a set of phased diets and are fed separately according to sex. A three-stage lagoon combined with irrigation is employed for waste disposal. The shallow pits under the rooms are flush cleaned in a pit-recharged system. The site consists of the breeding/gestation, farrowing, and finishing units spread over 16 acres. Systems Conceptualized in this Book 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow 150 Sow Chapter 4 Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Chapter 3 High Technology System High Technology System High Technology System Systems to Implement Technologies High Technology Low Technology Chapters 7-12 Figure 2-1 600 Sow High Technology System Chapter Four details the model of a 600 productive sow farrow-to-finish enterprise. The 600 sow operation is essentially one-half of the 1200 sow high technology system. All of the technologies assumed in the 1200 sow high technology system are in the 600 sow enterprise. A total of 706 total females are required. A group of 30 females are farrowed each week and wean 9.5 pigs per litter. Therefore, a group of 285 market hogs are produced each week. In order to maintain cost efficiency in construction, 570 pig finishing and nursery rooms are used. As a result, two weeks of pigs are combined after weaning. Thus, the 600 sow unit still utilizes All-In/All-Out production techniques, but now only by room and not by farrowing group, as was the case in the 1200 sow unit. 16 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry 300 Sow High Technology System The 300 sow unit is close to one-half of the 600 sow high technology system, with some exceptions. In the 600 sow high technology system, each farrowing room consists of 30 crates; halving this would yield an odd number of crates at the 300 sow level. So in the 300 sow high technology system, sows are farrowed weekly in a farrowing facility consisting of four rooms of 14 crates each. This operation requires 329 females in order to maintain full production. Market hogs are reared using All-In/All-Out practices by room. Pigs are segregated early weaned before 21 days of age. The enterprise mimics three-site production on one site. It has been assumed that larger producers have greater access to the best genetics. Therefore, in the 300 sow analysis the budgeted quality of genetics is slightly lower than in the two larger systems. This line yields 9.2 pigs weaned per litter. Market hogs are fed using both splitsex and phase feeding protocols. Prior research has shown that enterprises above the 300 sow size can reduce costs by using a lagoon waste handling system. However, in units of 300 sows and smaller, it appears to be more cost effective to utilize deep-pits. Under the deep-pit scenario, waste is pumped out and injected into crop land. The 300 sow high technology system modeled here employs a deep-pit waste management system. 150 Sow High Technology System Many of the producers with pork operations around the 150 sow size are also involved with cropping operations. Therefore, the high technology 150 sow operation assumes an eight times per year farrowing schedule. A weekly system could be conceptualized for this scale of operation, but the labor constraints of farrowing 6 to 8 sows weekly would probably be prohibitive. To size the eight-times-per-year schedule efficiently, 180 females are required. The breeding herd is in four groups of 45 sows each, which farrow 36 litters approximately every 39 days. Females are assumed to be bred on the second heat after weaning. Skipping an estrus allows the operation to employ segregated early weaning and allows more down-time for labor needed for field work in the cropping operation. The genetics used in the 300 sow high technology system are also found in the 150 sow high technology system. This line provides 9 pigs weaned per litter. Each group farrowed produces 324 market hogs. This quantity allows the 150 sow high technology system to be AllIn/All-Out by room and age group. Split-sex and phase feeding are also assumed. Three-site mimicking is accomplished in the 150 sow high technology by maintaining separate structures for farrowing, nursery, and finishing, and as before, following the Segregated Early Weaning protocol. Breeding and gestation are modeled using an open lot and breeding shed, thus the slight reduction in pigs produced per litter. The nursery and finishing are confined buildings with deep pits. Waste is handled through the use of the deep-pit system and injection into cropland. 17 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry 150 Sow Low Technology System In the Midwest, the last major capitalization in swine production was in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Additionally, most of the hog producers in the region have diversified farming operations. Therefore, many of the production facilities in the Midwest are of smaller size and older technology, and utilize labor in combination with a cropping operation. It is the managers of these operations who are currently interested in much of the technology discussed in this book. For these reasons, a model called the 150 sow low technology is included. The 150 sow low technology system is the base model used in Chapters 7 through 12 to show the economic impacts of the adoption of various technologies. However, while the implications of technology adoption are examined in terms of the 150 sow low technology system, they likely apply to both smaller and larger size operations using similar technology. The 150 sow low technology system assumes farrowing 36 litters every 51 days. This scenario requires 135 females in three groups of 45 sows each. The genetics used is assumed to be the same as those in the 300 and 150 sow high technology systems. Due to the system of production employed, 8.5 pigs are assumed to be weaned with each litter. An in-line building plan is assumed in this scenario. This type of construction is still quite commonly in use in the Midwest. Continuous flow production is assumed with this in-line system. Market hogs are weaned at 39 days. Systems to Implement Technology Chapters Seven through Twelve of this book are designed to describe and to provide methods of adopting many of the major technologies currently available to producers. Additionally, the technology chapters provide the results of quantifying the possible economic effects of technology adoption. In these technology chapters, the 150 sow low technology system is used as base into which each of the technologies is integrated. Methodology The budgets for each of these systems were constructed using an engineering budget method. The systems were built with information provided by and conversations with: researchers, industry experts, producers, and input suppliers. The information provided by these individuals was compared, contrasted, and integrated into a framework, from which the most realistic models possible were produced. Care must be taken in reading the information in the budgets. All budgets are based on specific scenarios. Therefore, the systems will not coincide exactly with any given individual firm. They are intended to provide a benchmark for comparison and to demonstrate the methodology for making cost comparisons. They are not the cost for any specific enterprise. The systems are designed to be employed as examples into which individual producers can project their own situation and examine the possible effects of a change in technology. 18 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry Summary of Assumptions and Budget Results Specifications and Assumptions The information presented in Table 2-1 shows the specification for the overall systems created in this analysis. The row entitled Actual Sows provides the number of productive females assumed, or in the case of the 150 sow systems, the number of farrowings per year. Table 2-1: Unit Specifications Unit Type High Tech. High Tech. Unit Name 1200 600 Actual Sows 1200 600 Farrow 4rm/60cr 4rm/30cr # of Groups 20 20 Sows/Group 71 35 High Tech. 300 280 4rm/14cr 20 16 High Tech. 150 8x 1rm36/cr 4 45 Low Tech. 150 7x 1rm36/cr 3 45 Production Assumptions Assumptions regarding efficiencies for the breeding herd and market herd for the five systems are shown in Table 2-2 and Table 2-3. Table 2-2: Production Herd Assumptions 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow 150 Sow Unit High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. Females in Herd number 1412 706 329 180 Farrowings/Sow/Year number 2.24 2.24 2.24 1.87 Farrowing Rate percent 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.80 Sows/Boar number AI AI 18 18 Total Boars number 35 18 18 10 Sow Replacement percent 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Boar Replacement percent 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Price of Gilts dollars 250 260 180 180 Price of Boars dollars 1,500 1,500 500 500 Female Cull Weight pounds 375 375 375 375 Farrowing Crates number 224 108 56 36 Sows in Gestation number 1129 565 264 135 Production Mortality percent 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 150 Sow Low Tech. 135 1.92 0.80 15 12 0.50 0.50 180 500 375 48 90 0.075 As shown in Table 2-2, the farrowing rate is .85 for the 1200, 600, and 300 sow systems. However, this rate decreases to .80 for both of the 150 sow systems. This decrease is due to the system of production and lower intensity of management assumed at the 150 sow level. Artificial insemination is assumed in place at the 1200 and 600 sow level only. This assumption was made to reflect current adoption patterns. 19 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry The 600 sow system is assumed to pay $10 more per gilt than the 1200 sow unit, for the same genetic line, due to quantity discounts. The sharply higher cost for gilts and boars in the two largest systems reflects the higher quality genetics assumed to be in place. The last row in Table 2-2 shows the assumed annual breeding herd mortality for various systems. This rate remains constant at 5% for all units except the 150 sow low technology system, which is 7.5%. This is because it does not employ SEW, All-In/All-Out, or three-site production. Shown in Table 2-3 are the market herd assumptions in each of the systems. The annual number of farrowings is a calculation completed by the PIGFLOW computer program, again based on the set of assumptions made. The PIGFLOW computer program is a space management and building capacity design software. Table 2-3: Market Herd Assumptions 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow 150 Sow 150 Sow Unit High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. Low Tech. Annual Farrowings number 3,197 1,599 746 337 259 Maximum Weaning Age days 21 21 21 21 39 Pigs Weaned/Litter number 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.5 Pigs/Crate/Year number 133 133 129 89 55 Market Hogs/Litter number 9.025 9.025 8.648 8.46 7.905 Market Hog Weight pounds 245 245 245 245 245 Average Days/Market days 155 155 165 168 198 Maximum Days/Market days 162 162 172 175 205 2 2 Ft /Pig (finishing) ft 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Capacity (finishing) number 7,200 3,590 1,800 1,030 1,230 Ft2/Pig (nursery) ft2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 Capacity (nursery) number 4,100 2,050 1,160 350 400 Herd Feed Efficiency rate 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.5 Market Herd Mortality rate .05 .05 .06 .06 .07 The maximum weaning age and the number of pigs weaned per litter are assumptions that were made in the creation of the systems. These in turn drive the numbers generated for the number of pigs per crate per year and the number of market hogs per litter. The number of hogs marketed per litter was found by taking the assumed number of pigs weaned per litter and adjusting by the herd mortality rates shown in the last row of Table 2-3. The market hog weight, average and maximum day to market, and square feet of space in the nursery and finishing space all represent assumptions made about the enterprises. The capacities of the nursery and finishing space were calculated by PIGFLOW, based on the above assumptions. The whole herd feed efficiencies for each system were based on field experiences of industry experts and researchers. The same methodology was used in determining the assumed herd mortality rates. 20 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry Economic Assumptions The capitalization of the five operations is based on the current cost of new construction. The costs assumed are shown in Table 2-4. The figures in Table 2-4 are a composite of information from actual field experience and engineering estimates. Table 2-4: Construction Costs ($ per headspace except shed costs) 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow Unit High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. Breeding/Gestation $/sow 440 451 462 Breeding Shed Total $ N/A N/A N/A Farrowing $/crate 1,950 2,010 2,050 Nursery $/head 80 82 85 Finishing $/head 125 125 150 150 Sow High Tech. N/A 10,000 2,100 88 150 150 Sow Low Tech. N/A 10,000 2,100 88 150 The 1200, 600, and 300 sow systems are assumed to employ a confined breeding and gestation facility. The figure in Table 2-4 is the dollar amount assumed per female capacity. The 150 sow operations assume an open front breeding shed with pasture gestation. The amount shown in Table 2-4 is for the cost of the shed. The dollar amount for farrowing represents the construction cost per crate. The figure for nursery and finishing space is dollars per headspace. In addition to the basic cost of facility construction, a number of other capital items are required. In Table 2-5, some of the larger capital expense items are presented for comparison. The sources of the price for the feed systems, site preparation, driveway, and land opportunity are explained in the chapters pertaining to each system. The 1200 and 600 sow systems utilize a lagoon waste disposal system, whereas the 300 and 150 sow systems employ deep-pit and pump systems. Thus, the charge for the lagoon is separated out and shown in Table 2-5, and the cost of the deep-pits is embedded in the construction costs for the 300 and 150 sow systems. Table 2-5: Other Costs Feed System Site Preparation Driveway Land Opportunity Lagoon & Irrigation Unit dollars dollars dollars dollars dollars 1200 Sow High Tech. 115,000 32,000 10,500 1,627 268,315 600 Sow High Tech. 115,000 24,000 9,750 1,220 142,701 300 Sow High Tech. 67,500 15,000 9,000 763 N/A 150 Sow High Tech. 48,750 10,000 9,000 509 N/A 150 Sow Low Tech. 48,750 5,000 9,000 254 N/A 21 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry Capitalization The total capitalization for each system is shown in Table 2-6. Table 2-6: Capitalization Land Buildings Equipment Production Inventory Market Inventory Unit dollars dollars dollars dollars dollars 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow 150 Sow High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. 22,400 16,800 10,500 7,000 1,489,366 780,220 334,789 158,091 1,536,377 860,729 482,320 257,535 425,775 221,088 71,631 39,270 344,021 172,010 86,487 43,902 150 Sow Low Tech. 3,500 147,798 251,943 33,110 44,568 Results A summary of the costs of production for each system is provided in Table 2-7. The cost for the 150 sow low technology system, at $47.88 per hundredweight, appears very high. However, this system has a slow turn-over of sows and a modest total throughput. In addition, the budgets are based upon new building costs, with full depreciation and labor costs assigned. Most would agree that one could not afford to build a new set of facilities and turn them this slowly. On the other hand, a number of grain-hog farms do turn facilities this slowly, but they operate more highly depreciated facilities. The technology and advantages of size in the 1200 sow system allow it to operate at a sharply lower cost compared to smaller systems. This cost difference ranges from about $1.50 per hundredweight, in the 600 sow system, to about $6.00 per hundredweight in the 150 sow high technology system. Table 2-7: Comparison of Cost of Production ($/cwt) 1200 Sow 600 Sow 300 Sow High Tech. High Tech. High Tech. Feed Cost 18.56 18.56 19.80 Direct Cost 22.07 22.07 23.37 Indirect Cost 12.17 13.64 15.26 Total Cost 34.25 35.72 38.63 150 Sow High Tech. 19.80 23.29 17.25 40.54 150 Sow Low Tech. 21.66 25.33 22.55 47.88 Detailed specifications of each of the sow systems are provided in this publication. The “cost gap” between the 1200 sow system and the 150 sow low technology system is substantial. Chapters 7 through 13 will examine many different alternative technologies and business organizations for finding ways to help close this “cost gap.” 22 Positioning Your Pork Operation for the 21st Century Chapter Two: Comparison of a Changing Pork Industry
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