Developing Multi-Scale Inventory Methods that Link Land Surface Processes to Tundra Ecosystems and Ecological Change Arctic Change Conference, Quebec City, December 2008 EI and PCA Legislation EI Monitoring Parks Canada Legislation “Maintenance or restoration of ecological integrity, through the protection of natural resources and natural processes, shall be the first priority of the Minister when considering all aspects of the management of parks.” Section 8. (2) Canada National Parks Act (2001) Ecological Integrity “….’ecosystem integrity’ means, with respect to a park, a condition that is determined to be characteristic of its natural region and likely to persist, including abiotic components and the composition and abundance of native species and biological communities, rates of change, and supporting processes”. Section 2. (1) Canada National Parks Act (2001) EI Monitoring and Parks Management SOPR (5 years) Scoping Document (5 years) Ecological Integrity Monitoring National SOPHA Report (2 years) Annual Implementation Report Management Plan (5 years) EI INDICATORS by BIOREGION The North Pacific Coastal Interior Plains Great Lakes Quebec Atlantic Montane Cordilleran Forest Forests and woodlands Forest Forest Forest Terrestrial Ecosystems Tundra Non-forest Grasslands Non-forest ‘Barrens’ Wetlands Lakes and wetlands Wetlands Wetlands Wetlands Aquatic Ecosystems Freshwater Streams and rivers Lakes Lakes Freshwater (Lakes) Native Biodiversity Glaciers Islets/shorelines Streams Streams Freshwater (Streams) Geology and landscapes Coastal Inter-tidal Great Lakes Shore Coast Climate and atmosphere Marine Sub-tidal Marine support for EI Modeling, Monitoring and Reporting Scaled down models Climate models predict key changes Refine Models/Program Expert input (State and transition) models identify potential ecological effects based on modeled changes Ecosystem inventories Monitoring Program Design Select focal ecosystems and EI measures sensitive to predicted changes Implement Monitoring Program Monitor park ecosystems at 2 scales – local and landscape/regional Report State of the Park Assess and report ecosystem and climate changes - refine models Wapusk NP 2009 Ivvavik NP 2008 Torngat Mountains NPR 2008 Sirmilik NP 2010 Pilot Arctic National Parks for Terrestrial Ecosystem Inventories Multi-Scalar Terrestrial Inventory • Goal to develop a cost effective terrestrial inventory approach that is useful for establishing baseline conditions for park EI monitoring and other park management needs – cost a major issue • Merge ‘top down’ satellite-based land cover mapping with ‘bottom up’ air photo based TEM • Approach is to develop a multi-scalar product where; – Detailed TEM is completed in a focal watershed; identify and characterize watershed Ecotypes; establish ecotype – ecoprocess relations – Merge TEM with SPOT5 data using ancillary data and ecological rules to produce a park-wide PEM product – link to arctic wide assessments, e.g., MODIS NDVI, AVHRR biomass/LAI TUNDRA ECOTYPES 1. 2. C. membranacea Wetland Shrub Tundra Zone Subhygric Alnus crispa Shrub Shrub Tundra Zone tundra community composition and structure changes across the landscape in relation to changes in ecological drivers terrestrial ecosystem inventory needs to identify, delineate and interpret these changes to capture tundra biodiversity Vaccinium-Ledum Mesic Tundra Dwarf Shrub Tundra Zone Terrestrial Ecosystem Mapping – Delineating Ecotypes climate change By relating tundra vegetation community composition and structure to soils, landform, and ecological process, we can predict ecological change given different climate scenarios – links to habitat vegetation composition and structure active layer soils and landforms Similar ecological conditions affecting Ecotypes results in similar plant communities that can be classified into vegetation associations E c o t y p e Revised FGDC Hierarchy Example Upper Level Level 1 – Formation Class Cryomorphic Shrub and Herb Vegetation Level 2 – Formation Subclass Polar Tundra Shrub and Herb Vegetation Level 3 - Formation Polar Dwarf Shrub Tundra Mid Level Level 4 – Division North American Dwarf Shrub Tundra Level 5 – Macrogroup Southern Arctic Dwarf Shrub Tundra Level 6 – Group Southern Arctic Dwarf Shrub Tundra – Edmonson Plain Lower Level Level 7 – Alliance Dwarf Birch-Labrador tea Alliance Level 8 – Association Dwarf Birch-Labrador tea- Arctostaphylos Association Zonal Ecotype Shrub Tundra Zone Zonal Classification 1. 2. Ecotype composition and structure on equivalent average (zonal) sites changes with elevation as climate changes This relationship is used to identify and delineate major changes in bioclimatic and lifezone B glandulosum-V. uliginosum Mesic Shrub Zonal Ecotype Dwarf Shrub Tundra Zone V. uliginosum – L. decumbens Dwarf Shrub Zonal Ecotype Arctic Alpine Zone Alpine Rhacomitrium lanuginosum Periglacial Processes solifluction glacial melt effects Ecotype classification and mapping relates composition and structure of tundra ecotypes to key periglacial processes high centered polygons C. bigelowii Subhygric Ecotype R. lanuginosum Mesic Ecotype – Alpine Arctic Zone Coastal (Estuarine) Ecotypes Potential changes in : • sea level • freshwater flows • salinity and conductivity • sea water temperature • marine and freshwater sedimentation Carex ursina Salt Marsh Deschampsia-Agrostis Brackish Meadow FLUVIAL ECOTYPES Fluvial processes determine community composition, structure and function 1. 2. 3. flood frequency and phenology; flood duration, and; amount and composition of sediment A. crispa– S. planifolia high fluvial terrace E. latifolium low Fluvial terrace Riparian Ecotype – Stream Reach Classification inventory provides spatial link between tundra riparian ecotypes and stream reach habitats Interaction of EI Indicators GLACIERS stre a lo ep gi ag c re e/ gi de m tr i e t us adva nce/ in reces pu s ion local ts clima t es TUNDRA PF seepage nutrients mi npu ts effec ts org a n ic inp uts se hy dr o s s input d et r i t u m t el r te a w LAKES tidal STREAMS stream inputs lake outputs MARINE COASTAL WETLANDS PREDICTIVE ECOSYSTEM MAPPING •predictive ecosystem mapping (PEM) links TEM to mediumscale SPOT5-based mapping using relationships between ecotypes and selected ancillary data (Decision Tree approach) to extend ecotype mapping to entire park and GPE using satellite imagery •DEM data • soil wetness • slope, aspect, elevation • landscape segmentation, cost analysis •Ecological rules for ecotypes • elevational boundaries, limits of arctic alpine ecotypes • aspect limitations, e.g., north facing nivation ecotypes • proximity rules, e.g., riparian ecotypes Visual Comparisons TEM vs. PEM (for pure TEM polygons only) TEM (upper Firth) PEM (Decision Tree) Monitoring Strategy (1) Arctic National Parks Focal Watersheds • Park staff select watershed as an example of an interactive and dynamic ecological arctic ecosystem that includes all park EI Indicators, has management significance, and is feasible to access over the long term • Focus majority of park monitoring effort within focal watershed; 2nd stage to entire park (mostly by remote sensing) • PCA to maintain suite of core ground and RS EI measures for focal watershed that meet objectives of park co-managers and research partners (“What is the state of park EI?”) • Research partners provided with logistic support, detailed baseline inventories, and ongoing monitored baselines to inform and facilitate ground-based research Monitoring Strategy (2) Arctic National Parks Strong Emphasis on Remote Sensing • large parks in remote areas with high access costs means RS data has the potential to provide useful information on ecological change at an acceptable cost • 2 key RS programs for Arctic national parks – IPY funding to develop operational methodologies to conduct terrestrial ecosystem inventories – ParkSPACE PCA partners with CCRS and uses GRIP/CSA funding to develop operational EI measures for Arctic parks • Key to optimize monitoring information by linking long term plot data to RS data Ecotypes – ‘Mapping EI’ biodiversity Ecological Integrity 1. 2. 3. plant species lists – α diversity link to fauna – Habitat Suitability abundance and distribution of terrestrial communities – β diversity 1. ecological site processes that control the distribution and function of terrestrial communities, e.g., seepage, flooding and sedimentation, erosion, wind, nivation, cryoturbation disturbance, succession/retrogression fragmentation/connectivity ecological processes 2. 3. Typical Toposequence of Terrestrial Ecosystems Southern Arctic Ecozone – Edmondson Plains Ecoregion Saxifrage esker Riparian Shrub Cottongrass Tussock Sedge-Horsetail Mesic Dwarf Birch permafrost Pendant Grass Ecological processes determine ecosystem boundaries persistent growing season seepage mean high spring flood level Cottongrass Tussock Sedge-Horsetail Pendant Grass mean summer lake level Focal Ecotypes • • ground sampling is expensive and park area large and ecologically variable – cannot sample all of this variability on the ground approach to focus ground sampling into 2-3 ‘focal ecotypes’ selected to track most important local-scale ecological change 1. 2. 3. 4. select focal ecotypes to best reflect predicted change in ecological drivers, esp climate for arctic parks, e.g., zonal tundra ecotypes, sub-arctic forest ecotypes at treeline, mesic shrub ecotypes, wetland ecotypes for each focal ecotype, develop a parsimonious suite of conceptually-related EI Measures that can be feasibly monitored in the long term replicate focal ecotypes to develop robust experimental designs that establish park-wide ecological trends in EI Measures; provide basis for inference to focal watershed/park (use ecotype mapping inventories) link measures to remote sensing based EI Measures, e.g., active layer and soil temps link to NEST (Zhang et al 2003) Focal Ecosystems EI Measures in Long Term Ground Plots changes in floristic composition, alien species, and relative species dominance frost tubes/ buried thermisters measure change in active layer depth and ground temperatures Decay sticks measure change in annual rate of soil decomposition Surface thermisters measure snow duration Cottongrass Tussock Landscape Scale EI Measures Tundra • Change in area of tundra ecotypes • Change in tundra vegetation biomass/LAI • Change in tundra growing season length • Change in tundra snow phenology Freshwater • Change in lake ice phenology • Change in river ice phenology • Change in lake surface area Wetlands • • • • Change Change Change Change in in in in area of wetland ecotypes wetland physiognomy/structure wetland vegetation biomass/LAI wetland snow phenology Tundra EI Indicator Models Measures Data Concerned Healthy Local Level Tundra EI species (α) diversity, species relative abundance, alien invasive species, soil decomposition, active layer depth, soil temperature, soil arthropods, small mammals Critical ASSESSMENT Landscape Level Tundra EI tundra community (β) diversity, tree line shifts, shrub increase, tundra productivity (NDVI/NPP), snow depth and phenology, Thank You Donald McLennan ([email protected]) Sergei Ponomarenko ([email protected]) Parks Canada Agency Hull, QC
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