2434 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 Techniques for Using MODIS Data to Remotely Sense Lake Water Surface Temperatures JOSEPH A. GRIM AND JASON C. KNIEVEL National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado ERIK T. CROSMAN University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah (Manuscript received 3 January 2013, in final form 8 April 2013) ABSTRACT This study describes a stepwise methodology used to provide daily high-spatial-resolution water surface temperatures from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data for use nearly in real time for the Great Salt Lake (GSL). Land surface temperature (LST) is obtained each day and then goes through the following series of steps: land masking, quality control based on other concurrent datasets, bias correction, quality control based on LSTs from recent overpasses, temporal compositing, spatial hole filling, and spatial smoothing. Although the techniques described herein were calibrated for use on the GSL, they can also be applied to any other inland body of water large enough to be resolved by MODIS, as long as several months of in situ water temperature observations are available for calibration. For each of the buoy verification datasets, these techniques resulted in mean absolute errors for the final MODIS product that were at least 62% more accurate than those from the operational Real-Time Global analysis. The MODIS product provides realistic cross-lake temperature gradients that are representative of those directly observed from individual MODIS overpasses and is also able to replicate the temporal oscillations seen in the buoy datasets over periods of a few days or more. The increased accuracy, representative temperature gradients, and ability to resolve temperature changes over periods down to a few days can be vital for providing proper surface boundary conditions for input into numerical weather models. 1. Introduction Previous studies have shown that large lakes can have a significant effect on the weather and climate of their surrounding areas, driving lake-effect snowstorms (e.g., Eichenlaub 1970; Steenburgh et al. 2000; Laird et al. 2009), downwind precipitation shadows (e.g., Blanchard and L opez 1985), and lake and land breezes (Kopec 1967; Laird et al. 2001; Zumpfe and Horel 2007). Even more moderately sized lakes, such as the Great Salt Lake1 1 The surface area was 3090 km2 as of December 2012. * The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. Corresponding author address: Joseph A. Grim, Research Applications Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3450 Mitchell Lane, Boulder, CO 80301. E-mail: [email protected] DOI: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00003.1 Ó 2013 American Meteorological Society (GSL), are known to produce notable lake-effect snowstorms (e.g., Carpenter 1993; Steenburgh et al. 2000; Steenburgh and Onton 2001; Onton and Steenburgh 2001), as well as lake and land breezes (Rife et al. 2002, 2004; Zumpfe and Horel 2007). Kristovich and Laird (1998) and Wright et al. (2013) have shown that small variations in water temperature over the Great Lakes can have an appreciable effect on the amount of downwind precipitation and cloudiness. For the GSL in particular, Onton and Steenburgh (2001) used the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) sensitivity simulations of a major lake-effect snowstorm to show that varying the lake surface temperature by 628C resulted in an increase (decrease) of maximum downstream precipitation of 32% (24%). Because of its shallow depth2 and its midlatitude arid continental climate within the Great 2 The maximum depth was 9.0 m as of December 2012. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. Basin of the western United States, the response time of the GSL water surface temperature (WST) to solar and atmospheric forcing is particularly short for a lake of its size (McCombie 1959; Lofgren and Zhu 2000; Steenburgh et al. 2000; Crosman and Horel 2009). In addition, it is important that strong horizontal gradients in WST be sufficiently resolved, since they drive air–water interactions that affect patterns of static stability, vertical and horizontal wind shear, and divergence in the planetary boundary layer (Warner et al. 1990; Chelton et al. 2004). Numerical weather prediction models have shown that increasing the resolution of the WST field can improve simulations in the vicinity of water bodies (e.g., Chelton 2005; Song et al. 2009; Knievel et al. 2010). Over the past three decades, satellite-derived estimates of lake WST have been sporadically developed for a number of large lakes around the world (e.g., Bolgrien et al. 1995; Li et al. 2001; Bussieres and Schertzer 2003; Mogilev and Gnatovskiy 2003; Plattner et al. 2006). These include studies of saline and endorheic lakes, such as the Salton Sea (Cardona et al. 2008), Dead Sea (Nehorai et al. 2009), Lake Eyre (Barton and Takashima 1986), and the GSL (Crosman and Horel 2009). Recent understanding of lakes as drivers of regional weather and climate (e.g., Hondzo and Stefan 1991; Austin and Coleman 2007; Liu et al. 2009) and the availability of multidecadal satellite records have renewed interest in using and improving the quality of remote sensing retrievals of WSTs to better understand the temperature trends of inland water bodies (e.g., Schneider et al. 2009; Schneider and Hook 2010; MacCallum and Merchant 2012; Politi et al. 2012). However, the availability and quality of satellitederived lake WSTs are generally lower than satellitederived sea surface temperatures (SSTs), owing to the many unique difficulties involved in remote sensing of lake WSTs, as compared to oceanic SSTs. These difficulties include shoreline contamination of pixels; variations in levels of reservoirs and endorheic lakes; highly variable atmospheric profiles of temperature, water vapor, and aerosols; rapidly changing WSTs of shallow or small lakes; a lack of available data during cloudy periods; and the need for more sophisticated cloudmasking algorithms. In addition, there has been a lack of available in situ measurements over most lakes with which to tune lake-specific WST algorithms. Consequently, satellite-derived WST estimates for lakes continue only to be sporadically incorporated into most regional numerical weather prediction models and climate studies (Zhao et al. 2012). As reviewed by Hulley et al. (2011), there are three primary techniques used to estimate surface temperature from satellite data by correcting for the effects of 2435 the atmosphere on the upwelling thermal infrared radiation (TIR): physics-based algorithms, single-channel algorithms, and split-window algorithms. The vast majority of algorithms use the more practical split-window technique, which uses the difference in radiance between two or more satellite TIR channels as a proxy for atmospheric absorption of the upwelling TIR by water vapor and aerosols. These split-window algorithms employ coefficients that are tuned using in situ observations. Both the level 2 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) and SST products are derived using a generalized split-window algorithm. Efforts are currently underway to derive improved split-window algorithm coefficients for lakes worldwide (Hulley et al. 2011), as well as to improve estimates of WSTs using physics-based algorithms (MacCallum and Merchant 2012). However, in addition to improving the lakespecific algorithms, there exists a need to improve the filtering of WST retrievals from inevitable cloud contamination and other sources of error. In most previous studies of WST, only general bias corrections based on in situ and satellite matchups are employed and no additional efforts are made to further reduce cloud contamination or other errors. Our specific need was for a dataset that can be generated in near–real time and incorporated into operational mesoscale numerical weather prediction; thus, it is necessary for the dataset to be both temporally and spatially complete. Therefore, we also explored methods for spatiotemporal compositing of WSTs in order to achieve a sufficiently accurate, yet complete, final product. In this article, we discuss a stepwise methodology to improve bulk WST estimates through a series of bias correction, land masking, filtering, and spatial and temporal compositing techniques. Since many bodies of water, including the GSL, only have occasional in situ measurements, these techniques were specifically designed not to require near–real-time in situ observations. Rather, only occasional in situ observations are needed for a calibration period. Last, we compare our dataset with other available datasets to show how the presented techniques result in the most accurate nearreal-time GSL WST product that is currently available. 2. Data a. In situ Many large lakes have permanently deployed buoys for obtaining open water WST measurements. This has been impractical, however, for the GSL because of the following factors: a harsh hypersaline environment, 2436 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 FIG. 1. Topography and bathymetry of the GSL area. Blue shades indicate bathymetry/ topography below the lake’s highest level in recorded history, while brown shades indicate topography above the high water mark. A star indicates the location of the USGS buoy used for WST calibration (buoy 1), three triangles indicate the locations of the USGS buoys used for verification (buoys 2267, 2565, and 3510), and a circle indicates the location of the Salt Lake City sounding. wintertime ice flows from the surrounding freshwater bays, and large interannual variations in surface area and depth. WST measurements along the shore of the GSL (such as at the Saltair Boat Harbor) have been obtained in the past (Steenburgh et al. 2000), but these measurements in shallow water (,0.5 m) can consistently see WSTs oscillate by more than 58C in a single day and are often unrepresentative of open water WSTs. What is of greater meteorological interest is obtaining data showing the spatial and temporal characteristics of GSL bulk WSTs so that the entire lake’s influence on atmospheric forcing can be predicted— something that can only currently be accomplished through satellite remote sensing. For calibration purposes, we were able to obtain archived bulk WST data at 0.4 m below surface level from a seasonal U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) buoy moored ;10 km west of the northern tip of Antelope Island3 (see star on Fig. 1 for location of buoy 1). This buoy was deployed from May to December 2010 and from May to November 2011, and temperature data were archived at 10-min intervals. Temperature data 3 The station name is ‘‘Great Salt Lake Station 7 Miles W of Antelope Is’’ and the number is 410342112223201. For simplicity, this will be referred to as ‘‘buoy 1’’ or the ‘‘calibration buoy.’’ Station data were not available in real time, are provisional, and are subject to revision. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. were from a Precision Measurement Engineering T-chain thermistor (http://www.pme.com/HTML%20Docs/ TChain_Temperature.html), with an accuracy of 60.18C over the range of 08–368C. The thermistor is tethered to the buoy so that its temperature should be negligibly affected by the temperature of the buoy material itself. In addition, three other buoy water surface temperature sensors were sporadically deployed between June 2006 and October 2007 at other locations on the Great Salt Lake (see triangles in Fig. 1 for locations of buoys 2267, 2565, and 3510). Temperature data of 6–9 months were obtained from each of these buoys using Onset brand thermistors with an accuracy of 60.28C over the range of 08–558C (Beisner et al. 2009). The thermistors were tethered between an anchor on the lake floor and a buoy floating at or near the water surface. Since lake surface elevations varied throughout the periods of deployment, the depth of the temperature sensors also varied from 0.3 to 1.3 m below the water surface. As a result of their variable depth and short deployment, data from these three buoys are only used for verification purposes. b. MODIS instrument This study employs near-real-time MODIS observations of Earth’s surface and atmosphere, which come in 36 spectral bands in the visible and infrared spectra (0.4– 14.4 mm), located on board the sun-synchronous and polar-orbiting Terra and Aqua satellites (Esaias et al. 1998). The Terra and Aqua orbital paths are designed to cross over the equator at 1.5 h either side of noon local solar time (LT) (1030 LT Terra, 1330 LT Aqua) on the sunward-facing side of the earth, and vice versa with respect to midnight local solar time (2230 LT Terra, 0130 LT Aqua). With a swath width of 2330 km, MODIS is able to view most locations on the globe 4 times each day, with both satellites repeating nearly the exact same orbital paths every 16 days. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) SST product (MOD28) provides cloud-masked and quality controlled (QCed) daytime and nighttime water skin temperature (the top few tens of micrometers of the water surface) datasets. This product is also intended to be provided for inland bodies of water large enough to be resolved by the satellite instruments (1/24th of a degree for the NASA SST product) and has comparable accuracy to this study’s final product (not shown); however, the SST product was not used for this study, since its processing algorithm incorrectly rejected most clear-sky images during the summer and winter months (Fig. 2; Crosman and Horel 2009). Instead, LST data from the level 3 MOD11A1 and the MYD11A1 version 5 dataset will be used, since they are much more frequently available (Fig. 2). It should be noted that 2437 FIG. 2. Availability by month for 2010 and 2011 of at least a single valid pixel over the GSL from the MODIS SST product for daytime (SST day) and nighttime (SST ngt), as well as LST for daytime (LST day) and nighttime (LST ngt). ‘‘land’’ surface temperatures provide an estimate of the surface temperature observed by the satellite instrument, whether this surface be land, water, or clouds. c. RTG data The Real-Time Global (RTG) dataset incorporates satellite-derived SSTs and lake WSTs, bias-adjusted by in situ data from buoys and ships (Thi ebaux et al. 2003). The RTG has global coverage, providing surface temperature estimates for oceans as well as lakes. These data are available in near–real time on time-averaging scales of 1 and 7 days and spatial resolutions of 0.0838 and 18. An advantage of this dataset is that it benefits from both the extensive spatial coverage of the satellitederived SSTs and lake WSTs, as well as the high temporal resolution of the in situ measurements. Unfortunately, as we will later show, the RTG dataset frequently suffers from irregular temporal adjustments to its WSTs over the GSL, so that WSTs are sometimes biased by 38C or more for periods of weeks. It is possible this is a result of infrequent or no adjustments from in situ observations, as well as the improperly applied land mask from the satellite datasets. Knievel et al. (2010), in a study of Atlantic Ocean SSTs off the eastern coast of the United States, determined that near the coast, where water temperature can be more heterogeneous and quickly changing, their MODIS-based product agreed more with buoy observations than did the RTG product. Therefore, we base some of our techniques on those of Knievel et al. (2010), while applying several additional steps to obtain increased accuracy. d. Climatographies Great Salt Lake WST climatographies have been derived from bimonthly manual bucket measurements (Steenburgh et al. 2000), and from MODIS data 2438 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 (Crosman and Horel 2009; Alcott et al. 2012). Alcott et al. (2012) provide the latest WST climatography, employing a Fourier fit between the day of the year and MODIS-observed WSTs between 2000 and 2007, given by the following equation: TCLIMO 5 13:8 2 11:9 cos(0:0172j) 2 4:09 sin(0:017j) 2 0:93 cos(0:0344j) 1 0:677 sin(0:0344j) 2 0:482 cos(0:0516j) 2 0:600 sin(0:0516j) , where j is the day of the year. Climatographies can provide a good first guess for GSL water surface temperatures, although periods of unseasonably cool or warm weather can result in large and persistent errors. 3. Methodology In addition to the cloud masking that has already been applied to the LST field, we use a series of steps to further eliminate potentially erroneous data, correct for biases, and fill in data gaps, in order to create a complete, reliable, and sufficiently accurate final dataset. The steps we employ are depicted in the flowchart in Fig. 3 and are described in this section. a. Obtaining data and applying time-dependent land mask The MOD11A1 and MYD11A1 datasets are obtained from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (Wan 2008). Each MODIS file includes the following scientific datasets (SDSs): LST, sky cover, satellite viewing angle, quality control parameter, and channels 31 and 32 (10.780–11.280 and 11.770–12.270 mm, respectively) emissivity. These fields, originally on a ;1-km-resolution grid, are then subsetted over the GSL and reinterpolated onto a 0.018 3 0.018 grid using a simple inverse-distance-squared weighting method of the four nearest points (see Fig. 4 for examples of each SDS). Next, the nonlake pixels are masked from the MODIS datasets. The GSL surface area has varied widely during the past 50 years (http://ut.water.usgs.gov/greatsaltlake/ elevations/) from 2460 to 8500 km2, with the magnitude of intra-annual variations as much as 600 km2. As a result, it is important to use timely estimates of the GSL area. This is accomplished by first obtaining the median lake surface elevation for the preceding 15 days from the USGS station at Saltair Boat Harbor on the GSL. The lake surface elevation is then used in conjunction with a bathymetric and topographic dataset (Fig. 1) to FIG. 3. Flowchart of steps employed in creating the final WST dataset. determine the current area covered by the GSL. Next, all lake pixels within 4 km of shoreline are masked; this is because mean diurnal WST oscillations of 58–108C are commonly indicated at these locations (not shown). OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. FIG. 4. Preland mask examples from 31 Oct 2011 of MODIS Terra daytime SDS fields used in this study: (a) raw LST; (b) LST after land masking, QC step, and bias-correction step; (c) QC parameter; (d) sky cover; (e) channel 31 (10.780–11.280 mm) emissivity; (f) channel 32 (11.770– 12.270 mm) emissivity; (g) satellite viewing angle; and (h) visible composite. 2439 2440 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 TABLE 1. List of parameters used in processing, QC, and bias correcting the MODIS WST dataset. Symbol c0(Te-dy) c0(Te-nt) c0(Aq-dy) c0(Aq-nt) c1 dTday-max dTday-min dTnight-max dTnight-min Value Parameter description 8 0.01 4 0.01 0.98 0.70 20.36 1.32 20.14 21.18 0.4 21.2 1.9 20.6 5 0.05 No. of days to use in the temporal composite Lat/lon increment to use for GSL subgridded MODIS data Distance from shoreline (km) to use for retrieving valid LSTs QC number must be less than this to be used Sky cover must be greater than this to be used Terra daytime bias compared with USGS buoy Terra nighttime bias compared with USGS buoy Aqua daytime bias compared with USGS buoy Aqua nighttime bias compared with USGS buoy WST correction coefficient for secant of viewing angle Daytime max T change threshold of Terra–Aqua overpasses Daytime min T change threshold of Terra–Aqua overpasses Nighttime max T change threshold of Terra–Aqua overpasses Nighttime min T change threshold of Terra–Aqua overpasses No. of nearest pixels to use in filling holes in the temporal composite Min threshold for the ratio of valid pixels for a given day to the total possible pixels over the lake No. of five-point spatial smoothes to perform on final day/night WST fields 10 Although such extreme skin temperature oscillations may be possible for these locations, they are likely the result of either very shallow water (a few tenths of 1 m or less; Fig. 1) or land contamination of adjacent water pixels near the shoreline, and are therefore not representative of bulk water temperatures at the depths of the buoy temperature sensors. Deeper lakes might allow valid pixels for distances closer than 4 km from shoreline, so this distance should be determined based on what is optimal for the body of water of interest. To determine the appropriate thresholds for masking cloud cover, we visually inspected 120 days (30 from each season) of visible satellite composites from 2010 (an example from 2011 is shown in Fig. 4h) and compared them with the other MODIS datasets. Inspecting only overlake pixels, threshold values were then chosen to eliminate as many of the cloud-contaminated pixels as possible. For the sky cover field, a minimum threshold of 0.98 is used, while a maximum threshold of 0.01 is used for the QC parameter (Table 1). For the channels 31 and b. Quality control using concurrent fields The LSTs, as well as each of these SDSs, have already gone through a QC process. This QC process resulted in valid LST retrievals of pixels over the open water of the GSL 58.0% of the time during 2006–07. For the next step, a series of threshold tests were applied using the MODIS SDSs to filter the LST retrievals for cloud contamination. According to the MODIS Land Surface Temperature Products Users’ Guide (http://www.icess. ucsb.edu/modis/LstUsrGuide/MODIS_LST_products_ Users_guide_C5.pdf), the sky cover SDS is derived from the gross MODIS cloud-masking algorithm, and has values ranging from 0, where there is a high likelihood of cloud contamination, to 1, where there is greater than a 66% chance of clear skies (Fig. 4d). The QC SDS is similar to the sky cover field, except that its values range from 0 to 255, where smaller values are more likely to be unaffected by clouds (Fig. 4c). Channels 31 and 32 emissivity are only available for daytime overpasses and are useful in eliminating clouds that are missed by the sky cover and QC parameters (Figs. 4e,f). The viewing angle is the angle from nadir at which each pixel is viewed (Fig. 4g). FIG. 5. Threshold levels for channels 31 and 32, as a function of viewing angle from nadir. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. FIG. 6. Scatterplots of MODIS–buoy temperature differences vs viewing angle: (a)–(d) unadjusted and (e)–(h) adjusted for viewing angle. Thick solid lines in (a)–(d) indicate the best-fit lines for the secant of the viewing angle, while thick dashed lines indicate the bestfit lines for the oblique column water vapor content. A thin solid line indicates the 08C temperature difference level, which is by definition the best-fit line in (e)–(h). 2441 2442 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY FIG. 7. Scatterplot of MODIS–buoy temperature differences vs the secant of the viewing angle. Thick black line indicates the bestfit line for all four daily overpasses, while thinner colored lines indicate the best-fit line for each overpass. 32 emissivity, visual inspection revealed that the threshold over the saline water of the GSL varies by viewing angle, ranging from 0.458 to 0.480 (Fig. 5). Threshold values over freshwater or ocean water might be slightly different. In addition, on dates when clouds covered most of the lake, inspection of the visible composite images indicated that many of the few remaining ‘‘valid’’ LST pixels were likely contaminated by cloud edges. Therefore, all pixels were eliminated on dates when less than 5% of the lake had valid pixels. The SDS QC steps resulted in a reduction in the number of valid pixels for the entire 2010–11 dataset from 58.0% to 40.4% of the total possible. c. View-dependent bias correction MODIS LSTs over water are typically around 18 cooler than bulk WSTs from the buoy temperature sensors for the following reasons: 1) satellite-retrieved LSTs are an estimate of the skin temperature (the top few tens of mm of the water surface), which are on average 0.18–0.58C (though occasionally several degrees) cooler than the ‘‘bulk’’ water immediately below the surface (Crosman and Horel 2009); 2) the generalized MODIS split-window algorithm undercorrects for atmospheric attenuation in the GSL region (Crosman and Horel 2009, their Fig. 4); and 3) there is a slight cool bias due to the hypersalinity of the GSL (Friedman 1969; Crosman 2005). Therefore, the MODIS LST measurements must be corrected for these VOLUME 30 and any other biases. Since the calibration buoy 1 is located relatively close to, but not on, the water surface (0.4-m depth), the in situ measurements are likely more representative of the bulk lake temperature, and so the MODIS LSTs are bias corrected to this temperature.4 For endorheic saline lakes such as the GSL, salinity varies as the lake volume changes. For example, the GSL salinity has varied between 6% and 29% in the past 50 years, as its volume has changed a comparable amount. This change in salinity results in a slight change in the bias of the MODIS LSTs. This calibration process should be repeated if the salinity of the water body has significantly changed in recent years. Nicl os et al. (2007) developed an equation relating WSTs to channels 31 and 32 brightness temperatures and the oblique column water vapor content W, where W is defined as the product of the vertical column water vapor Wo, and the secant of the viewing angle u: W 5 Wosec(u). The downloaded MODIS LST fields have already been adjusted according to the channels 31 and 32 brightness temperature through the split-window algorithm; therefore, further adjustment is only needed os et al.’s equation requires for u and Wo. Since Nicl channels 31 and 32 brightness temperature estimates, which are not available in near–real time as a SDS, it was simplest to develop an equation to correct for u and Wo. To do this, a 2-yr calibration dataset from 2010 and 2011 was employed using WST data from MODIS and buoy 1. To calculate the MODIS–buoy temperature difference DT, buoy 1 WSTs were extracted at the time nearest to each MODIS overpass, allowing for 1017 MODIS–buoy coincident data pairs in the calibration dataset. Scatterplots in Figs. 6a–d show how DT varies with u; Wo was calculated from the Salt Lake City sounding5 (marked with a circle on Fig. 1) that was nearest in time to the MODIS overpass of interest. Next, linear least squares fits between DT and W, DT 5 c1 3 Wosecu 1 c0, were calculated for each daily overpass. These best-fit lines were overlaind on Figs. 6a–d, showing that they provided inadequate fits at angles .508. The mean RMSE about these best-fit lines was 0.868C. To determine if it might be better to only use the relationship between DT and u, another set of linear least squares fits were calculated between DT and only secu, DT 5 c1 3 secu 1 c0. Since there is no apparent physical reason for c1 to vary with overpass time, the viewing angle and 4 Note that this temperature might be a couple tenths of a degree different than what is most optimal for assessing the lake’s effect on the atmosphere, but this is well within the margin of error of the in situ sensor and the MODIS retrievals, and correcting for this small difference is beyond the scope or intent of this study. 5 Note that this sounding location is on the southeast side of the lake and may not necessarily be representative of the atmospheric column above the lake. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. 2443 FIG. 8. Histograms of daytime and nighttime temperature differences between the Terra and Aqua overpasses, for (top) the buoy at the same time as the MODIS overpasses and (bottom) the MODIS overpasses at the location of the buoy. Thresholds are indicated with dashed vertical lines. Histograms are created using data from 2010 to 2011 only when the buoy was present. temperature difference arrays from all four overpasses were combined into single arrays (Fig. 7). Next, c1 and c0 were calculated using a single best-fit line and found to be 21.18 and 0.38, respectively. Then, c1 was fixed at 21.18 and c0 (effectively the bias) was calculated for each of the four individual overpasses. Values of c0 ranged from 20.36 to 1.32 (Table 1). These best-fit lines are overlaid on Figs. 6a–d, providing improved fits at steep angles and slightly decreasing the mean RMSE about these best-fit lines to 0.848C. Therefore, the LST is adjusted using only secu and the coefficients for these best-fit lines. Figures 6e–h show the scatterplots of DT and u with the biases removed. Figures 4a and 4b show LST from an example case before and after employing the land mask, QC, and bias-correction steps. d. Eliminating errors using LSTs from nearby times To further quality control the WST data for cloud contamination, we developed threshold tests based on comparisons of WST data with those from other recent MODIS overpasses. First, the temperature difference between the times of the Terra and Aqua overpasses during the same diurnal period (dTday and dTnight) was calculated for both the MODIS and buoy 1 data. Figure 8 shows histograms of dTday and dTnight, and for both the 2444 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 FIG. 9. Histograms of (left) buoy and (right) MODIS day-to-day temperature differences from each overpass time for 1–10 days apart. Histograms are created using data from 2010 to 2011 only when the buoy was present. MODIS and buoy 1 datasets. Since the daytime Terra overpass is a couple hours earlier than the Aqua overpass during the daily heating period, most of its histogram is negative. Likewise, since the nighttime Terra overpass is a few hours earlier during the nighttime cooling period, most of its histogram is positive. Comparing the MODIS and buoy 1 histograms with each other shows the MODIS histograms are much wider, indicating that a significant minority of the retrieved MODIS WSTs are suspect. Many of these suspect outliers are likely due to cloud contamination. In addition, some of the large positive and negative temperature changes in the MODIS-derived WSTs observed during the day and night, respectively, likely result from rapid solar heating of the daytime surface layer or nocturnal cooling of the water surface during light winds (Hook et al. 2003). However, despite the fact some of the outliers may be accurate, they are generally very shallow and short-lived, and would introduce errors into multiday temporal composites; thus, they are deemed unrepresentative for the purpose of this operational dataset. Therefore, the buoy dT histograms were used to limit the MODIS data comparisons. For the calibration buoy comparison at the times of the MODIS overpasses, only 1% of the dTs were less than 21.28C, while only 1% of the dTs were greater than 0.48C. Therefore, as part of the operational WST retrieval processing, these subjective thresholds are used to eliminate both Terra and Aqua pixel pairs if they are not within these thresholds. The same was done for the nighttime overpass pairs, using thresholds determined to be 20.68 and 1.98C. This threshold step resulted in a removal of 17.0% of the WST data from the 2010 to 2011 calibration dataset (Fig. 8, bottom). Since not all WST retrievals have valid pairs from its corresponding daytime or nighttime overpass pair, it is also useful to compare WST changes from preceding days. Therefore, histograms were created from 2010 and 2011 MODIS and calibration buoy data at the time of FIG. 10. Mean buoy diurnal temperature oscillation by month, normalized about zero. Solid lines are from the 2010 and 2011 calibration buoy data (see star on Fig. 1), while dashed lines are from buoy 3510 from the winter of 2006–07. There were no buoy data available during the month of April. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. 2445 FIG. 11. Terra daytime WST plots (8C) for 23 Oct–3 Nov 2011. the MODIS overpasses. This was done to assess the range of typical values for multiday temperature changes. Figure 9 shows that with increasing number of days between comparisons, the histograms widen to greater ranges of dT. The calibration buoy data were again used to determine thresholds for the MODIS data, using the 1% upper and lower limits and comparisons for up to eight days apart. (The reason we chose 8 days apart will be given shortly in the discussion of temporal compositing.) In the operational process, if any MODIS dT data pairs are outside of these thresholds, then both the data points in the pair are eliminated. e. Creating temporal composites We now turn our attention to the spatial and temporal compositing of LST data, which requires careful consideration given the shallow, rapidly changing nature of the GSL WSTs and the propensity for multiday cloudy periods when no satellite imagery is available. Our original intent was to create separate daytime and nighttime WST products, since the daytime overpasses are on either side of maximum solar heating, while the nighttime overpasses are on either side of local midnight. To do this, it was important to determine the timing of the overpasses within the diurnal cycle of WSTs. Therefore, the buoy 1 WSTs were averaged for each hour of the day and stratified by month of the year (except April, when no buoy data were available), and then normalized about zero. Figure 10 shows that the averages of diurnal temperature oscillations over the open water of the lake have trough-to-peak amplitudes as large as 1.68C in July and as small as 0.48C in January. (Solid lines in Fig. 10 are from the 2010 and 2011 calibration buoy data, while dashed lines are from buoy 3510 over open water from the winter of 2006/07.) The time of day of maximum WST ranged from 1400 mountain standard time (MST) in January to 2000 MST in June, while the time of minimum WST ranged from 0700 MST in June to 1000 MST in October. (Note that exact magnitudes and timing of these patterns are likely highly influenced by lake location and interannual variability within these small 2446 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY FIG. 12. MODIS vs buoy MAE and availability for temporal composites of 1–20 days. Dashed line indicates MAE without including a lakewide trend. Thick solid line indicates MAE with a lakewide trend. Dotted line indicates availability. Thin vertical solid line marks values for the 8-day composite that was the chosen option. monthly subsets.) Most noteworthy of all though is that the overpass times are near the inflection points of the diurnal cycles, which makes it very difficult to use the MODIS WST data to infer the magnitude of individual diurnal cycles. Therefore, for this study, only a single daily mean WST estimate is calculated from all four overpasses. For the 2010–11 calibration dataset, the QC steps resulted in valid WST retrievals up to 46% of the time for individual pixels over the middle of the lake, decreasing toward zero along the shoreline (not shown). Figure 11 shows the Terra daytime WST retrievals during an example 12-day period in late 2011. Eight of these days had less than half of the lake with valid WST retrievals. Therefore, WST retrievals from the other overpasses and preceding days must be utilized to fill in these missing pixels. Knievel et al. (2010) used a 12-day composite for their study over a portion of the Atlantic Ocean along the eastern coast of the United States, averaging each MODIS SST pixel at a given location during the preceding 12 days. Then, to adjust the average to account for seasonal and intraseasonal changes, half of the 12-day trend was calculated from the coincident RTG dataset. Since our study is focused over a region with a lower frequency of cloud cover than the northwest Atlantic Ocean, we must determine the optimal number of days to use in this temporal composite. To create the temporal composite, the most recent Nd days are compiled for all four daily overpasses. Then, VOLUME 30 the WSTs from each overpass are adjusted by a small amount to account for its median departure from the daily mean of all four overpasses; values ranged from 20.228C for Terra night to 0.218C for Terra day. Next, the 4 3 Nd temperature values are averaged. The extra step was added in this study so that the WSTs were not skewed by more frequent valid data from overpasses at a certain time of day. Figure 12 shows the availability percentage for at least a single valid pixel over the lake, and the MODIS–buoy mean absolute error (MAE), for Nd-day temporal composites ranging from 1 to 20 days. The dotted availability line shows that with increasing Nd, the availability increases rapidly, becoming nearly asymptotic as it nears 100%, so that very little benefit is gained in availability after Nd 5 8 days. The dashed line in Fig. 12 shows that the MAE increase is relatively gradual at ;0.058C day21 between 1 and 20 days. Therefore, an operational dataset such as this one suggests that a temporal composite of around eight days should be used to first maximize availability, while secondarily maximizing accuracy. The choice for the number of days used in the temporal composite is somewhat subjective. For example, a value ranging from 5 to 9 days could be argued for this dataset. For locations with more frequent cloudiness and/or deeper water, a larger number would likely be best. During periods in which the water and air temperatures are quite different, especially during spring and fall, it may be important to also include a trend when creating the composite. The trend is calculated over the entire lake in order to minimize spurious oscillations from single pixels. The lakewide trend is also scaled by the number of valid retrievals divided by the total possible, as well as by the number of days since the most recent retrieval; this was done to avoid large spurious trends following periods of very few valid retrievals. Adding half of the Nd-day lakewide trend to each individual pixel reduces the MAE for composites of 6 days or more (Fig. 12). Since there is a slight improvement for our 8-day composite, the lakewide trend is employed. The temporal composite step fills in nearly all missing pixels. All remaining pixels are then filled in with the mean of the nearest five pixels. Last, 10 passes of a five-point equal-area-weighted smoother are applied to smooth out any unrealistic temperature discontinuities resulting from recent partial lake retrievals. This resulted in valid WST retrievals on all but one day in the 2010–11 calibration dataset. In the rare instances this would occur operationally, the WSTs from the most recent valid day would be used. Figure 13 shows the MODIS WSTs for the entire lake for the same 12-day period as Fig. 11. When compared with the QC-adjusted WST product in Fig. 11, the final MODIS dataset has OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. 2447 FIG. 13. Final MODIS WST plots (8C) for 23 Oct–3 Nov 2011. replicated the major cross-lake gradients, albeit muted somewhat by the compositing and smoothing process. Resolving these cross-lake gradients is important for numerical weather prediction, since they drive air–water interactions that affect patterns of static stability, vertical and horizontal wind shear, and divergence in the planetary boundary layer (Warner et al. 1990; Chelton et al. 2004; Chelton 2005; Song et al. 2009; Knievel et al. 2010). 4. Comparison of WSTs from MODIS with those from other sources Figure 14 presents a time series of WST retrievals at the location of calibration buoy 1 from the final MODIS product, RTG analysis, climatography, and the buoy. Oscillations in the buoy 1 temperature are closely matched by the final MODIS product, demonstrating its ability to represent oscillations in WST for periods of a few days or more. This is particularly important, since the response time of the GSL WST to solar and atmospheric forcing is particularly short for a lake of its size (McCombie 1959; Lofgren and Zhu 2000; Steenburgh et al. 2000; Crosman and Horel 2009). The RTG dataset does a good job at times of matching the observed buoy WST oscillations, but it greatly suffers from long periods of very little adjustment. The climatography provides estimates within 38C a majority of the time, but it can also be erroneous by as much as 78C during periods of rapid cooling in the fall and early winter. It is important to recall that buoy 1 was present mainly during the warm season each year; also, all statistics given in this section are calculated from dates when all four datasets were available. The MODIS product, as would be expected when compared against the buoy 1 data used for calibration, has a very small bias of just 0.018C. The RTG dataset has a bias of 21.478C, while the climatography has a bias of 20.278C. The MAE of the MODIS product compared with the buoy 1 temperature is just 0.668C— by far the best of the three products. (Bias and MAE values are also shown in Table 2). To remove any inherent differences between the datasets, such as that the 2448 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 30 TABLE 2. Bias and bias-adjusted MAE of MODIS, RTG. and climatological (climo) WST compared with those from the buoys. MODIS–buoy 1 RTG–buoy 1 Climo–buoy 1 MODIS–buoy 2267 RTG–buoy 2267 Climo–buoy 2267 MODIS–buoy 2565 RTG–buoy 2565 Climo–buoy 2565 MODIS–buoy 3510 RTG–buoy 3510 Climo–buoy 3510 FIG. 14. (a) Time series of the GSL water surface temperature from different products for 2010 and 2011, at the location of the USGS calibration buoy. Shaded time periods indicate when buoy data were present. (b) Temperature differences between all products and the buoy. (c) Histograms of temperature differences between each product and the buoy. Bias (8C) Bias-adjusted MAE (8C) 0.01 21.47 20.27 0.15 1.04 21.49 0.26 23.23 20.57 0.09 3.97 20.93 0.66 1.75 1.7 1.07 5.09 1.97 0.82 4.38 1.61 0.78 3.53 1.83 tethered thermistors below the water surface varied between 0.3 and 1.3 m because of fluctuating lake surface levels. Two buoys were located over deeper open water, one just south of central Gilbert Bay (buoy 3510, Fig. 1) and the other in southern Gunnison Bay (buoy 2565). A third was located in shallower nearshore water between Fremont Island and Promontory Point (2267). Figure 15 shows that the MODIS product does not suffer from any significant bias using these separate buoy datasets, with biases of only between 0.098 and 0.268C for the three buoys. The older RTG dataset provides results that have not benefitted from more recent improvements in its skill, having a bias of 1.048, 23.238, and 3.978C, while the climatography’s biases were between 21.498 and 20.578C. Bias-adjusted MAE scores for the MODIS product are between 0.788 and 1.078C. However, the RTG bias-adjusted MAE scores are substantially worse between 3.538 and 5.098C. The climatography bias-adjusted MAE scores are between 1.618 and 1.978C. 5. Conclusions RTG product represents a skin temperature instead of a bulk temperature, the bias is subtracted from each platform’s value. The RTG bias-adjusted MAE is 1.758C; the MAE would certainly be worse if buoy measurements had been obtained for the entire period, as the RTG analysis underrepresented the wintertime cold. The climatography’s MAE is 1.708C. Since the MODIS product was calibrated against the 2010–11 buoy 1 data, using the same data for verification does not give a fair measure of its accuracy; therefore, the MODIS datasets are also compared against three other buoys during an earlier period from 2006 to 2007. Temperatures from these other buoys are only used for verification purposes, since the depth of the This study describes techniques used to provide daily high-spatial-resolution water surface temperatures from MODIS satellite data for use nearly in real time for the Great Salt Lake (GSL). Although the techniques described herein were calibrated for use on the GSL, they can also be applied to any other inland body of water large enough to be resolved by MODIS, as long as occasional in situ measurements of water temperature are also available for calibration. A summary of the major steps used in creating the MODIS bulk lake water surface temperature (WST) product is given below. Values for parameters and thresholds will vary by study area and are therefore not repeated here. OCTOBER 2013 GRIM ET AL. 2449 FIG. 15. As in Fig. 14, but for the three verification buoys from 2006 to 2007. 1) Apply the land mask to the land surface temperature (LST) array. 2) Quality control (QC) each LST pixel using these concurrent scientific datasets from NASA: sky cover, QC parameter, viewing angle, and channels 31 and 32 (10.780–11.280 and 11.770–12.270 mm) emissivity (daytime only). 3) Adjust for MODIS bulk WST bias, as well as viewing angle bias. 4) Threshold the MODIS WST pixels using temperature differences between daytime and nighttime overpass pairs, based on limits derived from the in situ buoy calibration dataset. 5) Threshold the MODIS WST pixels using temperature differences between the current and previous days, based on limits derived from the in situ buoy calibration dataset. 6) Create a temporal composite that averages all four daily overpasses over a certain number of days, and that also adjusts for the recent lakewide temperature trend. 7) Fill in all remaining missing pixels using the mean of a certain number of nearby pixels. 8) Smooth the final dataset to remove unrealistically sharp WST gradients. For each of the buoy verification datasets, these techniques resulted in MAEs for the MODIS product that were at least 62% lower than those obtained using the operational RTG analysis. The final MODIS product provides realistic cross-lake temperature gradients that are representative of those from individual MODIS overpasses, and that can be vital in driving air–water interactions. Last, we have shown that this product is able to replicate the temporal oscillations seen in the buoy dataset over periods of a few days or more, which is particularly useful for the GSL since it has such a relatively short response time for a lake of its size. The increased accuracy, and the spatial and temporal consistency achieved with the final MODIS product, make this product appropriate for use in many scientific applications. When used as input into numerical weather prediction models, this product should theoretically result in better weather forecasts and climate reanalyses. Acknowledgments. 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