This article was downloaded by: [University of Navarra] On: 10 June 2013, At: 01:38 Publisher: Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Nutrition and Cancer Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/hnuc20 Association Between the Mediterranean Diet and Cancer Risk: A Review of Observational Studies Lisa Verberne a b c d , Anna Bach-Faig , Genevieve Buckland & Lluís Serra-Majem a c a Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain b Wageningen University, Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen, Netherlands c Mediterranean Diet Foundation, Barcelona, Spain d Unit of Nutrition, Environment, and Cancer, Cancer Epidemiology Research Programme, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO-IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain Published online: 04 Oct 2010. To cite this article: Lisa Verberne , Anna Bach-Faig , Genevieve Buckland & Lluís Serra-Majem (2010): Association Between the Mediterranean Diet and Cancer Risk: A Review of Observational Studies, Nutrition and Cancer, 62:7, 860-870 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01635581.2010.509834 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.tandfonline.com/page/terms-and-conditions This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae, and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. 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Nutrition and Cancer, 62(7), 860–870 C 2010, Taylor & Francis Group, LLC Copyright ISSN: 0163-5581 print / 1532-7914 online DOI: 10.1080/01635581.2010.509834 Association Between the Mediterranean Diet and Cancer Risk: A Review of Observational Studies Lisa Verberne Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain and Wageningen University, Division of Human Nutrition, Wageningen, Netherlands Anna Bach-Faig Mediterranean Diet Foundation, Barcelona, Spain Genevieve Buckland Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 Unit of Nutrition, Environment, and Cancer, Cancer Epidemiology Research Programme, Catalan Institute of Oncology (ICO-IDIBELL), Barcelona, Spain Lluı́s Serra-Majem Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain and Mediterranean Diet Foundation, Barcelona, Spain The aim of this article was to summarize the evidence concerning the association between Mediterranean dietary pattern and cancer risk in observational epidemiological studies. All the studies that met the following criteria were reviewed: human cohort and case-control studies that examined the effect of the Mediterranean diet as an entire food pattern (the combined effect of individual components of the Mediterranean diet) and whose results were published in English. Out of the 12 reviewed studies (7 cohort and 5 case-control), 10 studies (6 cohort and 4 case-control) provided some evidence that the Mediterranean diet was associated with a reduced risk of cancer incidence or mortality. Although the reviewed studies varied according to certain study characteristics, such as being set in different populations and studying different cancer outcomes, the existing evidence from observational studies collectively suggests that there is a “probable” protective role of the Mediterranean diet toward cancer in general. Specific results for several outcomes such as different cancer sites deserve additional evidence. This favorable effect of the Mediterranean diet on cancer reduction is of public health relevance, given the tendency of modern societies to shift toward a more U.S. and Northern European dietary pattern. Submitted 27 February 2010; accepted in final form 16 July 2010. Address correspondence to Lluı́s Serra-Majem, Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, P.O. Box 550, 35080 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. Phone: +34928453476/+34928453477. Fax: +34928453475. E-mail: [email protected] INTRODUCTION Cancer is currently one of the most important public health issues; each year approximately 11 million new cases of cancer and almost 7 million cancer deaths are recorded globally, and projections expect this to double by 2030 (1). Despite the heavy global cancer burden, few cancers are due to an inherited high susceptibility, and environmental factors (that are largely modifiable) play a major role in the cancer etiology. As a consequence, a large proportion of cancers are in principle preventable. Historically, the incidence of overall cancer was lower in Mediterranean countries compared to northern European countries, the United Kingdom, and the United States (2). This difference has been linked to the Mediterranean food pattern consumed in the Mediterranean countries. Although there are variations in the components of the traditional Mediterranean diet (MD) between and within countries, the diet is generally characterized by abundant plant foods (fruit, vegetables, cereals, potatoes, beans, nuts, and seeds); fresh fruit as the typical daily dessert; olive oil as the principal source of fat; dairy products (principally cheese and yogurt); fish, poultry, and eggs consumed in low to moderate amounts; red meat consumed in low amounts; and wine consumed in low to moderate amounts, normally with meals. As a result, this dietary pattern is low in saturated fat (less than or equal to 7–8% of energy), with total fat ranging from <25% to >35% of energy throughout the Mediterranean region (3). The classic reductionist approach of studying individual foods or nutrients has been limited by the fact that food 860 CANCER AND THE MEDITERRANEAN DIET 861 62 articles identified through database search (Pubmed and Scopus) 45 articles excluded on basis of title/abstract 17 articles 2 articles included after consulting references of selected articles Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 19 articles 9 cohort studies 10 case-control studies 2 articles excluded after reading whole article 5 articles excluded after reading whole article 7 cohort studies included 5 case-control studies included FIG. 1. Selection of articles. components are not consumed in isolation, and their health effects are often synergistic (4). As a result, it has been difficult to isolate their individual health benefits. Therefore, in the past two decades, scientists have started focusing on measuring multiple dietary exposures simultaneously, such as the health benefits of the MD as a prudent dietary pattern. (4). Component and cluster analysis (5) and many a priori MD indexes (6) have been used to study the relationship between the MD pattern and health parameters such as mortality or chronic disease risk relationships. Most of the studies have used a priori indexes or scores that are conceptually similar to define and evaluate the adherence to the MD pattern among the study populations. There has been a decrease in the adherence to the MD in Mediterranean countries in the past half century (7) as well as an increase in sedentary lifestyles among other lifestyle factor changes. It is not clear how these changing dietary and lifestyle patterns could influence cancer risk of these areas. In addition, it is difficult to study the health effects of the MD, since it is not only a dietary pattern but also represents a way of life and a cultural model. It is also difficult to separate out the specific effect of a single component of the MD in relation to a disease. There is increasing epidemiological evidence of the health benefits of the MD, which have been summarized in several literature reviews (8–12). Although the MD is historically most famous for its cardio-protective effect, there is increasing research on its relationship with cancer. This article will systematically review observational studies that assess the adherence to a MD as a single exposure in relation to risk of cancer. No isolated study or study type can provide evidence that any factor is a cause of, or is protective against, any disease (1). Thus, as the World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) state, the causation of diseases can be more accurately deduced if they are based on a variety of epidemiological studies. In order to objectively evaluate diet–cancer risk relationships, systematic reviews such as this are needed, and they should be used to provide evidencebased dietary guidelines that support public health recommendations and policies. METHODS The literature review focused on observational studies that have investigated the association between adherence to a MD and cancer. A systematic search was conducted in PubMed and 862 United States; Nurses Health Study Sweden; Uppsala Health Care Region United States; National Institutes of Health (NIH); AARP Greece; EPIC study Lagiou et al. 2006 (15) Mitrou et al. 2007 (16) Benetou et al. 2008 (17) M/F M/F F F Country/Study Population Sex Belgium, Denmark, France, M/F Greece, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland, Finland; HALE project Fung et al. 2006 (14) Author/Year of Publication Knoops et al. 2004 (13) 20–86 yr 50–71 yr 30–49 yr 30–55 yr Age at Entry 70–90 yr 7.9 yr 10 yr 12 yr 18 yr Follow-up 10 yr 851/25,623 5,985/380,296 280/42,237 3,580/71,058 Cases/Total 233/2,152 Outcome Overall cancer mortality Results –HR of adhering to a MD (≥4 points): 0.90 (95% CI = 0.70–1.17) –HR of a combination of 4 low factors: adhering to a MD, moderate OH consumption, at least 30 min of PA/day and nonsmoking: 0.31 (95% CI = 0.19–0.50) Breast cancer risk –ER+: RR of Q5 vs. 9-item MDSc: (+): 1. Vegetable (without potatoes). (postmenopausal) Q1:1.05 (95% CI = 2. Legumes. 3. Fruit. 4. Nuts. 0.91–1.18), P for trend = 5. Whole grain cereals. 6. 0.23 –ER−: RR. MUFA/SFA. 7. Fish. (−): 8. –ER−: RR of Q5 vs. Q1: 0.79 Red and processed meat (95% CI = 0.60–1.03), P (+m). 9. OH. for trend = 0.03. Overall cancer –HR of high vs. low MDS: 9-items MDSb: (+): 1. Vegetables. 2. Legumes. 3. mortality; main cancers: 0.80 (95% CI = 0.57–1.13), Fruits and nuts. 4. Cereals. 5. breast and lung P = 0.200 For a 2 point Fish and seafood. 6. increase in score: –Subjects MUFA/SFA. (−): 7. Meat. 8. <40 yr: T3 vs. T1 1.07 Dairy (+m). 9. OH. (95% CI = 0.79–1.43) –Subjects ≥40 yr: T3 vs. T1 0.84 (95% CI = 0.71–1.01) b Overall cancer mortality –HR of high vs. low (MDSc) 8-items MDS : (+): 1. MUFA/SFA. 2. Legumes. 3. –Men: 0.83 (95% CI = Grains. 4. Fruits and nuts. 5. 0.76–0.91), P < 0.001 Vegetables (without potatoes). –Women: 0.88 (95% CI = 8. Fish. (−): 6. Meat. 7. Dairy. 0.78–1.00), P = 0.04 9-item MDSc: (+): 1. (similar results with the Vegetable (without potatoes). MDSc indexes). 2. Legumes. 3. Fruit. 4. Nuts. 5. Whole grains. 6. Fish. 7. MUFA/SFA. (−): 8. Red and processed meat. (+m): 9. OH. 9- items MDSb: (+): 1. Overall cancer incidence –HR of high vs. low MDS: Vegetables. 2. Legumes. 3. (nonmelanoma skin –Total: 0.78 (95% CI = Fruits and nuts. 4. Cereals. 5. cancer excluded). Main 0.64–0.94) –Men: 0.83 Fish. (−): 6. MUFA/SFA. cancers: –Men: Lung (95% CI = 0.63–1.09) (−): 7. Meat. 8. Dairy. (+m): and prostate –Women: –Women: 0.73 (95% CI = 9. OH. Breast and large bowel 0.56–0.96) MD Definition (components) 8 items MDSb (+): 1. MUFA/SFA. 2. Legumes, nuts, and seeds. 3. Grains. 4. Fruit. 5. Vegetables and potatoes. 8. Fish. (−): 6. Meat. 7. Dairy. TABLE 1 Overview cohort studiesa Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 Age, years of education, smoking, BMI, height, PA, supplement use, total energy intake, consumption of eggs, confectionary, and nonalcoholic beverages Age, race, total energy intake, BMI, education, marital status, PA, hormone therapy, smoking Age, BMI, PA, age at menopause, hormone therapy, smoking, energy intake, family history, weight change since age 18 yr, supplement use, history of benign breast disease. Age at enrolment, height, BMI, smoking, PA, education, energy intake, potato intake, egg intake, polyunsaturated lipid intake, sweet and sugar intake, nonalcoholic beverage intake Adjustments OH, PA, smoking, age, sex, years of education, BMI, study, region, center, occupation, waist circumference, marital status, and energy intake. 863 Europe (United Kingdom, France, Denmark, Sweden, Germany, Italy, Spain, The Netherlands, Norway, Greece) Buckand et al. 2009 (19) M/F M/F 35–70 yr 50–71 yr 8.9 yr 5 yr 449/485,044 3,110/492,382 9-items MDSb: (+): 1.Whole grains. 2. Vegetables. 3. Fruit. 4. Fish. 5. Legumes. 6. Nuts. (-): 7. MUFA/SFA. 8. Red meat and processed. (+m): 9. OH. 9-item MDSd: (+): 1. Fruit, nuts, and seeds. 2. Vegetables (without potatoes). 3. Legumes. 4. Fish and seafood (fresh or frozen, excluding fish products and preserved fish). 5. Cereals. 6. Olive oil. (-): 7. Meat. 8. Dairy. (+m): 9. OH. –RR of Q1 vs. Q5: –Men: 0.72 (95% CI = 0.63–0.83) –Women: 0.89 (95% CI = 0.72–1.11) –HR of high vs. low MDS: 0.67 (95% CI = 0.47–0.94), P = 0.020. No evidence of heterogeneity between subsites or subtypes. Colorectal cancer Gastric adenocarcinoma Subsites: Cardia, noncardia Subtypes: Intestinal and diffuse Age, center (strata), sex, BMI, education level, smoking, energy intake Age, ethnicity, education, BMI, smoking, PA, menopausal hormone therapy, and energy intake e a Abbreviations are as follows: MD, Mediterranean Diet; M, male; F, female; MDS, Mediterranean Diet Score created by Trichopoulou et al. (b) and variations of it (c,d and ); MUFA/SFA, ratio of monounsaturated to saturated fat; Meat, meat and meat products; Dairy, milk and dairy products; (+), positive components; (-), negative components; (+m), components positive in moderation; HR, hazard ratio; OH, alcohol consumption; PA, physical activity; CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index; P, P for trend; ER+, estrogen receptor positive, ER–, estrogen receptor negative; RR, relative risk; Q: quartile; T, tertile; AARP, American Association of Retired Personas; EPIC, European Prospective Investigation into Cancer. United States; NIH AARP Diet and Health Study Reedy et al. 2008 (18) Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 864 United States; F The Four Corners Breast Cancer United States; M/F The Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial Murtaugh et al. 2008 (23) Dixon et al. 2007 (24) 55–74 yr 25–79 yr 25–74 yr 35–79 yr Age 1. <78 yr (median age: 57 yr); 2. <77 yr (median age: 60 yr); 3. <79 yr (median age: 61 yr) 3,592/3,3971 Hispanic: 757/867; non-Hispanic: 1,524/1,598 1,248/1,148 488/461 Cases/Controls 1. 598/1,491; 2. 304/743; 3. 460/1,088 Cancer Outcome 1. Oral/pharyngeal cancer; 2. Esophageal cancer; 3. Laryngeal cancer Breast cancer Distal colorectal adenoma 8-item MDSb: (+): 1. Vegetables. 2. Legumes. 3. Fruit and nut. 4. Cereals. 5. Fish. 6. MUFA/SFA. (−): 7. Meat. 8. Dairy. (+m): 9. OH. Via factor analysis: MD pattern included high factor loadings for liquor consumption, poultry, seafood, vegetables, salad greens, and high-fat salad dressings. Endometrial cancer 9-item MDSb: (+): 1. MUFA/SFA. 2. Grains. 3. Legumes. 4. Fruits. 5. Vegetables. 6. Fish. (−): 7. Meat. 8. Dairy. (+m): 9. OH 11-item Goulet (24) score and a variant of it (9): (+): 1. Cereals. 2. Legumes. 3. Fruits. 4. Vegetables. 5. Olive oil. (−): 6. Meat. 7. Dairy. 8. Poultry. 9. Red meat. 10. Eggs. 11. Sweets. Incident breast cancer 10-item MDSc: (+): 1.Vegetables. 2. Legumes. 3. Fruit/nuts. 4. Cereals. 5. Fish and seafood. 6. MUFA/SFA. (−): 7. Meat. 8. Dairy. 9. Carbohydrates. 10. OH. MD Definition (components) 8-item MDSb: (+): 1. MUFA/SFA. 2. Cereals. 3. Legumes. 4. Fruits. 5. Vegetables. (−): 6. Meat. 7. Dairy. (+m): 8. OH. Age, race/ethnicity, use of oral contraceptives, parity, energy intake, PA, use of hormone therapy, BMI Adjustments Age, sex, study center, education, smoking, BMI, total energy intake Age, specific ethnicity, education, birthplace, years of residence in the United States, PA, marital status, parity, age at menarche, type of menopause, age at menopause, BMI and energy intake OR of Q4 vs. Q1 = 0.76 (95% Age, medical center, CI = 0.63–0.92), P trend < education, ethnicity, 0.01 menopausal status, family history, smoking, total activity, energy intake, dietary fibre, dietary calcium, height, parity, BMI, Hormone exposure –OR of high MD adherence Center, age, energy intake, (≥6 points) vs. low (≤2 ethnic origin, education, points): –Men: 0.79 (95% CI BMI, PA, smoking, aspirin = 0.68–0.92), P trend < 0.001 use, ibuprofen use, calcium –Women: 0.99 (95% CI = supplement use, and 0.81–1.23), P trend = 0.302 hormone replacement therapy RR of scoring ≥8 vs. 0–3: 0.65 (95% CI = 0.44–0.95), P = 0.009. RR = 0.7 (0.48–1.04), P trend = 0.033 after fully adjustment Results –With 1 point increase MDS: 1. OR = 0.77 (95% CI = 0.71–0.83). 2. OR = 0.72 (95% CI = 0.65–0.81). 3. OR = 0.71 (95%CI = 0.65–0.78), P < 0.001. OR for a modified scoring method based on the 3 indexes, for the Q5 vs. Q1: 0.92 (95% CI = 0.59–1.4) a Abbreviations are as follows: MD, Mediterranean diet; M, male; F, female; MDS, Mediterranean Diet Score created by Trichopoulou et al. (b) and variations of it (c); (+), positive components; MUFA/SFA, ratio of monounsaturated to saturated fat; (−), negative components; Meat, meat and meat products; Dairy, milk and dairy products; (+m), components positive in moderation; OH, alcohol consumption; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index; Q, quartile; PA, physical activity; RR, relative risk. F United States, Asian Americans Wu et al. 2009 (22) F Sex 1. M/F; 2. M/F; 3. M/F United States Country Italy Dalvi et al. 2007 (21) Author/Year of Publication Bosetti et al. 2003 (20) TABLE 2 Overview case control studiesa Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 CANCER AND THE MEDITERRANEAN DIET Scopus. In PubMed, the following MesH terms were used: diet, Mediterranean, neoplasms, cohort studies, and case control studies. The search was limited to human studies and restricted to articles in English. In Scopus, an advanced search was conducted within title, abstract, and keywords. The search terms used were Mediterranean diet, cancer, case control, and cohort. This initial search resulted in 62 articles. The search was then refined to include articles only if they examined the effect of the MD pattern as a single exposure, and thus the combination of its components on cancer risk, and excluded research on the isolated effect of individual components or nutrients within the MD. This resulted in an initial exclusion of 45 articles after reading the titles and abstracts of these articles (Fig. 1). Two additional publications were then identified through the bibliography cited in the original search, giving a total of 19 articles, 10 case-control studies, and 9 cohort studies. After reading the full text of these articles, 5 case-control studies were excluded; 4 only assessed components of the MD as exposure, and the other article was actually a review. Of the cohort studies, 2 articles were excluded because of the existence of multiple articles for the same study. Key methodological features of the cohort and case-control studies that could influence the outcome have been detailed in Tables 1 and 2: characteristics of study sample (country of origin, age, gender, and size of the sample), length of follow-up (in cohorts), definition of the MD (components), and confounding variables. RESULTS Study Characteristics A total of 12 studies were identified that met all the search criteria (13–24). The studies were classified as cohort (13–19) or case-control (20–24) studies. The methodology and the results of the studies are summarized in Table 1 and Table 2. All studies were published between 2003 and 2009. Most of the studies were carried out in non-Mediterranean populations despite the fact that the main exposure of interest was the Mediterranean-like dietary pattern. In fact, most of the studies (7 studies) were from the United States. Two studies were conducted in Mediterranean countries—in Greece and in Italy (17,20). The study by Bosetti et al. (20) conducted in Italy included 3 different case-control studies. Three studies were carried out in Sweden (15) or in several European countries including Mediterranean countries (13,19). In total, 5 studies were conducted in females only and 7 in men and women of which 2 studies showed the results for men and women separately. Definition of the MD Almost all cohort studies included in this review assessed the adherence to the MD applying the Trichopoulou et al. (25) Mediterranean diet score (MDS), although in some studies, various modifications were made. In the studies of Fung et al. (14), 865 Buckland et al. (19), and Mitrou et al. (16), potatoes were excluded from vegetable intake. Knoops et al. (13) combined the group of legumes and nuts to one group, and Buckland et al. (19) used tertiles as cut-offs instead of medians and olive oil instead of the dietary lipid ratio. The case-control studies have used different methods to assess the adherence to the MD. Bosetti et al. (20), Dalvi et al. (21), Dixon et al. (24), and Wu et al. (22) used the key components of the definition of Trichopoulou et al. (25), although with some modifications. For instance, Bosetti et al. (20) only used 8 items, excluding fish. Dalvi et al. (21) added some components such as olive oil, eggs, sweets, and poultry, and Wu et al. (22) incorporated a low consumption of carbohydrates as a detrimental component. Generally, most of these dietary indexes are based on assigning a score according to the daily intake of the components. The medians of the sample, specific for sex, were used as cut-off points in most of the studies (25). For beneficial components presumed to fit the traditional MD (vegetables, legumes, fruits and nuts, cereal, fish, etc.), subjects whose consumption was below the median were assigned a value of “0,” and subjects whose consumption was at or above the median were assigned a value of “1.” The scoring was inversed for components presumed to be detrimental and not fit the MD pattern (meat and meat products and dairy products). For ethanol, a value of “1” was commonly assigned to moderate consumption. In general, healthy intervals were defined as 10 and 50 g/day for men and 5 and 25 g/day for women. Finally, in general, for lipid intake, a value of “1” was assigned to individuals with a monounsaturated to saturated lipids ratio at or above the median. Main Outcomes Out of the cohort studies, 4 studies assessed overall cancer (13,15–17), and 3 studies looked specifically at breast (14), gastric (19), and colorectal (18) cancers. In the Nurses’ Health study, no significant association of the MD and postmenopausal breast cancer risk was found (18). However, when the analyses were separated into estrogen receptor positive and negative tumors, there appeared to be a 7% reduction in breast cancer risk (P = 0.02) for an increase of 10% in the MD score in the receptor negative tumor group. In the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer (EPIC) study, a high compared to a low MD score was associated with a 33% reduction [95% confidence interval (CI) of 6–53%] in gastric adenocarcinoma (19). In a cohort study set in the United States (18), a 28% reduced risk of colorectal cancer was observed in men who consumed a more Mediterranean-like dietary pattern. Two out of the four cohort studies that looked at overall cancer found a significant inverse association with the MD (16,17). A 2-point increase in the MDS resulted in a significant reduction in overall cancer incidence by 12% in the Greek EPIC cohort (17) and by 6% in men in the National Institute of Health study in the United States (16). In an earlier study in the Greek EPIC cohort, a 2-point increase in the MD score was associated with Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 866 L. VERBERNE ET AL. a 24% reduction in overall cancer mortality, with a 95% CI of 2–41%. The 2 other cohort studies that assessed overall cancer mortality did not find significant results, but some borderline or partial evidence (within subgroups) was observed (13,15). For instance, among women less than 40 yr old at enrollment, there was no association of the MD with cancer mortality, mainly focusing on breast and lung cancer (15). However, among women 40 to 49 yr old at enrolment who were followed up for approximately 12 yr, a 2-point increase in the MD score was associated with reduced mortality from cancer of 16% (95% CI = –1 to 29%) (15). In the European HALE study (13), the MD did not significantly reduce overall cancer mortality. However, the effect of the MD together with a healthy lifestyle [(moderate alcohol consumption, nonsmoking, and being physically active) was inversely related to cancer mortality even at ages 70 to 90 yr (HR of 0.31 (95% CI = 0.19–0.50)]. The cancer outcomes of the case-control studies were breast, endometrial, oral/pharyngeal, esophageal, colorectal, and laryngeal cancer. The 3 case-control studies from Italy (20) found strong significant inverse associations between the MD and 3 upper aero-digestive tract cancers. A 1-point increase in the MDS was associated with a reduced risk of oropharyngeal, esophageal, and laryngeal cancer by 23% (95% CI = 17–29%), 28% (95% CI = 19–35%), and 29% (95% CI = 22–35%), respectively. For colorectal cancer, a case-control study (24) found that following the current U.S. dietary recommendations or a Mediterranean dietary pattern was associated with a 21% reduced risk in men. The 2 case-control studies on breast cancer found a reduced risk of breast cancer with increasing adherence to a MD (22,23). A 24% lower incidence of breast cancer was observed among American Hispanic and non-Hispanic women in the highest quartile of MD consumption analyzed via factor analysis (23). Similarly, a 35% lower risk of breast cancer was observed among Asian American women with highest MD scores (more than 8 points) compared to the lowest (0–3 scores) (22). One out of the 5 case-control studies found no evidence of an association between the MD pattern and endometrial cancer risk among the American adult female population at their level of consumption of the MD (21). These results were the same regardless of the MD definition or score used to assess the adherence to the MD (25,26). DISCUSSION Although research on the beneficial role of MD on health began in the early 1970s in the classic Seven Countries Study by Keys et al. (27), epidemiological studies have only started investigating the protective role of the MD on cancer relatively recently, with most research conduced within the last 5 yr. This current review summarizes the observational studies to date that have investigated the role of the Mediterranean dietary pattern on cancer incidence and mortality. We found that out of the 12 studies reviewed (7 cohort and 5 case-control), 10 studies (6 cohort and 4 case-control) provided some evidence that the MD was associated with a reduced the risk of cancer incidence or mortality. Collectively, the evidence from these observational studies suggests that the MD is a cancer-preventive dietary pattern. If the strength of evidence for this relationship is assessed according to criteria set out in the WCRF/AICR 2007 report (1), it appears most of criteria for a “probable” relationship are met; 1) the evidence comes from at least two independent cohort studies. In fact, the results from 6 cohort studies have been summarized in a meta-analysis by Sofi et al. (12), providing a pooled relative risk of 0.94 (95% CI of 0.92–0.96) for risk of occurrence of or mortality from cancer for each 2-point increase in the MD score (25). Four case-control studies also provided some evidence of an association; 2) although there was no substantial unexplained heterogeneity within or between study types or different populations (i.e., European vs. United States and Mediterranean vs. non-Mediterranean), the associations varied somewhat depending on the populations’ characteristics, status, and cancer-sites; 3) there is evidence from good quality studies that can exclude the possibility that the observed results are due to random or systematic error. For instance, there are several large prospective cohort studies with a long follow-up time (around 10 yr) studying incident and mortality end points, depending on the study. In addition, 2 of the EPIC studies calibrated the dietary measurements using data from 24-h recalls, and 4) presence of plausible biological gradient—many of the studies reported a dose-response relationship, with a greater reduction in risk of cancer as adherence to the MD increased from low to high. However, there is a lack of evidence from randomized control trials in humans, the main source of evidence to be able to establish a causal relationship. The number of years an individual needs to be able to obtain such a beneficial effect is also unknown, and only 1 intervention study, the Lyon Heart randomized control trial (28), has investigated the effect of the Mediterranean-like diet (rich in oleic and alpha-linolenic acid) and cancer incidence. The results are only suggestive because of the relatively few numbers of cases (n = 24) that occurred during the 4-yr follow-up. However, the MD group had significantly lower risk of cancer, RR 0.39 (0.15, 1.01), compared to the control group (following a Step-1 AHA prudent diet). Studies that have investigated the effect of the MD on overall cancer mortality have found some evidence that greater adherence to a MD was associated with a reduced risk of cancer, ranging from 14% to 27% depending on the increment in MD measured (16,17). Several studies have assessed specific cancer sites separately, which is of interest, as different cancer sites may be etiologically heterogeneous. Although the magnitude of the effect is related to the increment in the MD measured and the study type, a high adherence to the MD was associated with reduced risk of breast cancer, ranging from 21–55% (22,23) and a reduced risk of colorectal cancer ranging from 21–28% was observed only in men (18,24). The range of risk reduction against Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 CANCER AND THE MEDITERRANEAN DIET some respiratory tract, gastric, and oral cancers was around the 20–30% for those individuals whose diet was closest to the MD pattern (19,20). Moreover, various aspects of the MD were linked to a decreased risk of several cancers in a review by Trichopoulou and Vasilopoulou (29). It was estimated that up to 25% of colorectal; 15% of breast; and 10% of prostate, pancreas, and endometrial cancer incidence could be prevented by following a MD-like pattern (2). In this systematic review, the variability in the observed associations and strength of the relationship between adherence to a MD and risk of cancer could be linked to the inherent variability in study populations, designs, end points (different cancer sites and incidence vs. mortality), or subtle differences in the MD definition. Also, secular trends in food supply, which are causing Mediterranean countries to lose some of their dietary characteristics, make it difficult to assess the health effect of the traditional MD in observational studies. Studying the relationship between diet and cancer is complex and requires adjusting or stratifying by multiple confounding variables and careful interpretation. In addition, unlike coronary heart disease, which is more of a homogenous end point, cancer is better described as a constellation of several diseases, with various different risk factors (WCRF) (1). Therefore, it follows that the extent of the reduction in risk obtained by following a MD will vary depending on the cancer site. The cancer-protective effect of the MD also seems to vary according to the population’s characteristics and status: smoking (16,19), age groups (14,19), premenopausal or postmenopausal status (14,21), BMI status (16), gender (17,18,24), and so forth. For instance, more pronounced effects of the MD pattern were observed among smokers with high adherence to the Mediterranean dietary pattern (16). Additionally, the increased risk of death associated with obesity may mask the inverse association of the MD with all-cause mortality (16). There also appears to be differential results by sex: The results for overall cancer reduction were exposure-dependent and stronger among women in one study (17) and only significant in men for colorectal cancer studies (18,24). Moreover, some subtypes of cancers may be differentially associated with diet, such as the breast cancer tumors with different hormone receptor status (14) or different subsites or subtypes of gastric cancer (19) compared to estrogen receptor positive tumors (14). Furthermore, specific cancer subsites may be etiologically heterogeneous and may be differently affected by the components and dose of the MD, which could also make the results difficult to interpret, especially as most studies have not analyzed the different cancer subsites separately. The few studies that found no clear evidence or a borderline inverse MD–cancer association had some particular study and population characteristics that should be discussed in order to accurately interpret the results (13–15,21). Issues that could have influenced the results include relatively small sample sizes (13,21) or relatively few cases (13), the old age group of the study population (13), or many countries of origin for the small 867 sample (13). The results could also have been influenced by an overall lower adherence to the MD in the studied population compared to the reference Mediterranean populations (25), for instance, in studies set in the United States (21). To more accurately assess this relationship, studies are needed with larger samples, sufficient dietary heterogeneity with respect to the MD, and with sufficient variation in cancer incidence so as to include low-risk populations. Besides the limitations previously stated, various other limitations in all the reviewed observational studies should be considered when interpreting the results. First, possible measurement error and recall bias should be taken into account, especially in case-control studies. Second, although all the studies had adjusted for many confounding variables, some residual confounding in observation studies is almost inevitable by factors not measured in the study or by variables that are adjusted for but were measured with error (27). For example, the effect of dietary supplements could be an important confounder in some populations (21), and some of the studies did not control for this. An adjustment for energy intake is also necessary for the evaluation of food and nutrient health effects (30). Although this may be less imperative for overall patterns analysis, this issue seems more important in case-control studies in which misreporting is common, especially among cases. Some attempts have been made to reduce some of the inherent error in the dietary assessment methods, such as adjusting individual components of the index by total energy intake (16,19). Third, using MD indexes in American and Nordic populations (13–16,21–23) might not adequately represent conformity with the traditional MD, as it may only reflect adherence to some of the MD components that are also characteristic of a general “prudent” dietary pattern. Some studies that were concerned that the median intake of the dietary components might be lower in their study populations compared to Mediterranean populations made some adjustments—using alternate cut-off points or the highest intakes (16,19). Moreover, small sample sizes (21) may limit the precision to be able identify cancer risk factors, and even large samples are normally only able to estimate approximately 20–30% risk variability. On the other hand, many of the studies reviewed have important positive qualities that support the observed results. First is the use of conceptually similar ways to define the dietary pattern, as many of them include similar components and use an intuitive and simple score based on the MD score by Trichopoulou et al. (29), making it easy for comparisons and giving robustness to the findings. Second, many of the studies had large sample sizes and reasonably long follow-up of the cohorts, which allows an adequate period and for cancer cases to accumulate. Third, a single cohort enables the effects of diet and lifestyle to be assessed for multiple types of cancer and other diseases. In addition, several cohort studies have calibrated the dietary data using more accurate data from a 24-h recall in a subsample, in order to reduce dietary measurement error. Validated, interviewer-administered dietary questionnaires are also frequently used (17). Moreover, Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 868 L. VERBERNE ET AL. comparable results were observed using dietary indexes and factor analysis to examine the relationship of dietary pattern and cancer (22). There is substantial evidence that diet plays an important role in the etiology of cancer. Extensive evidence exists on the relationship between key components of the MD and cancer risk (29,31–33). For instance, key findings are that an increased intake of vegetable and fruit, whole-grain foods, olive oil vs. other added fats, fish, and diets rich in n-3 PUFA are related to a reduced cancer risk (20,32,33). Meanwhile non-Mediterranean aspects such as high consumption of red and processed meat and alcohol (all types) have been associated with an increased risk of several types of cancer (1). However, in relation to cancer risk, the dietary pattern analysis approach as reviewed in this article is now gaining ground over the single nutrient or food approach (5). The evidence of the cancer protective effect of the MD pattern is generally stronger than the evidence from individual foods, food groups, or nutrients and cancer risk (1). Some possible explanations of this could be that interactions and synergisms exist between the components; individual components could also have health effects that are undetectable alone but when integrated with other foods or nutrients in a dietary index, the health benefits become more pronounced (25). Dietary indexes can overcome the issues of collinearity or confounding between components in the score; and, finally, dietary pattern indexes evaluate only the extremes of cumulative exposure, limiting the background noise of individual components (34). Thus, all these issues justify the use of dietary pattern studies to assess cancer risk reduction (17). The beneficial effect of the MD on cancer risk may be mediated through several biological mechanisms such as chronic inflammation and oxidative stress. A MD-like pattern is related to a high antioxidant capacity and low oxidized LDL-cholesterol due to its richness in dietary antioxidants such as vitamin C, vitamin E, carotenoids, phenols, and flavonoids (35). Fiber may potentially offset the carcinogenic effects of N-nitroso compounds (NOC) (exogenous exposure comes from a diet such as red meat, tobacco, and other environmental sources) by acting as a nitrite scavengers (36); and the omega-6/3 fatty acids ratio may also play a role, as its constituents potentially prevent cancer initiation and progression (37,38). Additionally, a high intake of total meat, red meat, and processed meat (uncommon in traditional MDs) is associated with an increased risk of some cancers, especially colorectal and gastric cancer (1), which can be explained by several possible mechanisms including the potential carcinogenic effects of nitrite and nitrosamines, salt, and heterocyclic amines and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (36). Higher adherence to the MD has been linked to decreased inflammation and coagulation processes through lower levels of C-reactive proteins, interkeukin-6, homocysteine, fibrinogen (39), and several other biomarkers of inflammation and endothelial dysfunction (14,40). Several micronutrients and food components (including folate, flavonoids, and carotenoids) showed inverse relations with cancer risk, but the main component(s) responsible for the favorable effect of a diet rich in vegetables and fruit remain undefined (41). Tomato has been shown to be beneficial in cancer prevention, particularly for prostatic cancer, and lycopene emerges as the most relevant functional component; a substantial part of the lycopene effects can be explained by its antioxidant action but also by downregulation mechanisms of the inflammatory response (42,43). Olive oil is an integral ingredient of the MD, and accumulating evidence suggests that it may have a potential role in lowering the risk of several types of cancers. The mechanisms by which the cancer-preventing effects of olive oil can be performed, however, are not completely known. However, a novel hypothesis is that oleic acid, the monounsaturated fatty acids in olive oil, is able to specifically regulate cancer-related oncogenes (44). Recent findings concerning the bioavailability of certain important minor components of olive oil, including efficient antioxidant polyphenols, the triterpene hydrocarbon squalene, and beta-sitosterol, considered as putative nutritional biomarkers, have been described in relation to the incidence of cancer (45). In addition, a MD pattern was shown to cover the average nutrient requirements much better than the Western diet (46), and this may also contribute to the overall cancer preventive effects. Increasing our understanding of the biological mechanisms involved in cancer processes will also help to develop preventive strategies. Patterns of production and consumption of food products, physical activity, and lifestyles in general have changed greatly throughout the past decades. These are mainly consequences of globalization, industrialization, and urbanization that have taken place, first in Europe and North America, and increasingly in most developing countries. These transformations are reflected in changes in cancer incidences and mortality, and projections estimate that by 2013, 70% of cancer deaths will occur in middle- and low-income countries (1). However, as with other diseases, the risk of cancer is modified by social, cultural, economic, and other environmental factors. As obesity is linked to several cancers (1), the increasing obesity epidemic will add to the rising cancer trend. Therefore, the effect of the MD (11) on body weight may have an additional favorable response to cancer risk reduction (1). The fact that the MD is associated with reduced risk of cancer does not preclude that other dietary patterns may also be protective. Actually, traditional diets in general have been associated with a lower risk of cancer (23,47). The WFCR/AICR Panel agreed that recommendations on specific foods such as the increase of fruits and vegetables and the decrease of red and processed meat actually coincide with recommendations toward a plant-based diet such as the MD or East Asian dietary pattern. The healthy effects of the traditional pattern may also be related to behavioral or cultural aspects, although some common components of the traditional diets (e.g., high consumption of legumes and vegetables, etc.) are also likely to be involved in their benefits. In contrast, substantial evidence agrees that the CANCER AND THE MEDITERRANEAN DIET Western dietary pattern is associated with an increased risk of several types of cancers (14,23). Therefore, the MD has a favorable effect on reducing cancer risk, which is relevant to the public health sector given the tendency of modern societies to shift toward a more Westernized and globalized dietary pattern (7). Although the reviewed cohort and case-control studies had certain district study characteristics, such as being set in different populations and analyzing different cancer outcomes, the existing evidence suggests a protective role of the Mediterranean dietary pattern toward cancer in general. Specific results for several outcomes, such as different cancer sites, deserve additional research. The purpose of this review was to give a general overview of the situation so as to be able to provide possible guidelines for cancer prevention. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. Downloaded by [University of Navarra] at 01:38 10 June 2013 19. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors gratefully acknowledge the Spanish Ministry of Health (Instituto de Salud Carlos III) RTIC RD06/0045 RD06/0020, Exp PI07/0130 and La Caixa (Exp BM06-130-0). None of the authors have any conflict of interest. 20. 21. REFERENCES 1. 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