Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 645-8043 Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 8, 2014 OBAMA APPROVAL PLUNGE LEVELS OFF, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; HIKE MINIMUM WAGE, EXTEND JOBLESS BENEFITS, VOTERS SAY After a plunge which saw his job approval rating drop from 46 – 48 percent in August to a negative 38 – 57 percent December 10, his all-time lowest score, President Barack Obama has stopped the drop, but not started the rebound, with a negative 41 – 53 percent job approval in a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Women go negative 44 – 49 percent, unchanged from last month. Men are negative 36 – 58 percent, compared to 31 – 64 percent last month, the independent Quinnipiac (KWINuh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Negative approval is 9 – 86 percent among Republicans and 35 – 58 percent among independent voters. Democrats approve 81 – 15 percent. The 2014 congressional races are tied as 38 percent of American voters say they would back a Republican candidate, while 37 percent would back a Democrat. Voters want Republicans to take the U.S. Senate 46 – 42 percent, with independent voters going for the GOP 45 – 40 percent. Looking at the House of Representatives, 46 percent want Republicans to keep control and 44 percent want Democratic control. “The President returns to chilly Washington DC from his Hawaii holidays to a slightly warmer reception from American voters,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It’s too early to call it a comeback, but the 2014 midterm election year begins a bit better than 2013 ended for President Obama. His approval is right above the 40 percent mark – a red line for any president. He still has terrible scores for his handling of healthcare and other issues that mean most to Americans, but the bleeding seems to have stopped.” -more- Quinnipiac University Poll/January 8, 2014 – page 2 American voters say 49 – 46 percent that President Obama is not honest and trustworthy and say 51 – 46 percent that he is not a strong leader. They are divided 50 – 48 percent on whether he cares about their needs and problems. Obama gets a negative 35 – 61 percent approval rating for handling health care. His ratings for handling other issues are: Negative 39 – 58 percent on the economy; Negative 34 – 60 percent on the federal budget; Positive 52 – 41 percent for handling terrorism; Negative 41 – 51 percent for handling foreign policy. Minimum Wage and Jobless Benefits American voters support 71 – 27 percent raising the minimum wage. Republican support is 52 – 45 percent. Given several options: 33 percent of voters say increase the minimum wage to $10.10 per hour; 18 percent say increase it from the current $7.25 per hour to something less than $10.10; 18 percent say increase it to more than $10.10 per hour; 27 percent say don’t increase the minimum wage. Raising the minimum wage will lead businesses to cut jobs, voters say 50 – 45 percent, with Republicans seeing job cuts 68 – 29 percent and Democrats saying no 65 – 29 percent. Independent voters expect job cuts 51 – 45 percent. Voters also support 58 – 37 percent extending unemployment benefits for three months. Support is 83 – 13 percent among Democrats and 54 – 41 percent among independent voters, with Republicans opposed 54 – 42 percent. If a candidate for Congress supports extending jobless benefits, 33 percent are more likely to vote for that candidate, with 24 percent less likely and 40 percent who say it won’t affect their vote. A candidate who supports raising the minimum wage wins 41 percent “more likely” support, with 18 percent “less likely” and 39 percent saying “no difference. From January 4 – 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,487 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter 2 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Republican Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Republican Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 38% 37 2 2 21 89% 2 1 8 1% 87 1 11 31% 28 6 2 33 44% 31 3 2 20 32% 42 2 2 22 43% 31 2 1 22 7% 74 2 1 16 36% 40 2 8 14 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 7% 76 2 2 13 30% 41 4 2 23 27% 39 5 4 25 29% 37 3 2 30 67% 15 2 1 14 43% 36 2 2 18 48% 31 1 3 17 40% 36 2 1 21 42% 35 2 2 20 38% 37 2 2 21 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Republican Democratic SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 13 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low Oct 01 Dec 10 2013 2013 38 37 2 2 21 41 38 3 2 16 39 39 3 2 18 34 43 4 2 17 36 40 3 2 19 34 43 4 2 17 41 38 3 2 16 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 41% 53 7 9% 86 5 81% 15 3 35% 58 7 36% 58 6 44% 49 7 32% 61 6 87% 8 5 48% 43 9 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 77% 17 6 44% 49 7 42% 43 15 46% 45 9 15% 82 2 36% 58 6 38% 56 6 45% 51 4 37% 59 3 36% 58 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* High also 59% Mar 2009) Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 APPROVE....... High Low Jun 04 Dec 10 2009* 2013 41 53 7 38 57 6 39 54 7 45 49 6 46 48 6 59 31 10 38 57 6 3 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 19% 73 7 37% 53 10 12% 85 3 13% 81 6 22% 74 5 17% 73 10 19% 74 8 17% 80 3 27% 70 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 7% 88 5 19% 75 7 18% 65 16 16% 76 8 31% 63 5 19% 74 7 20% 75 5 23% 71 6 16% 78 5 19% 75 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010) Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 13 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Oct 01 2011* 2013 19 73 7 19 74 7 20 73 8 17 74 9 19 73 8 34 55 11 17 74 9 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 29% 64 7 6% 91 3 64% 30 6 24% 68 8 26% 69 4 32% 59 9 24% 70 6 62% 30 9 32% 61 6 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 58% 34 8 31% 61 8 34% 52 14 32% 61 7 13% 83 4 28% 68 5 27% 68 5 31% 63 6 24% 70 6 28% 66 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 13 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 APPROVE....... High Low Mar 4 Nov 23 2009 2011* 29 64 7 27 67 6 30 62 7 32 60 8 31 61 7 45 45 10 24 69 7 4 5. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 1% 24 31 43 1 12 27 61 - 3% 44 31 19 2 1% 18 35 45 1 1% 23 30 45 1 1% 24 33 41 1 1% 19 33 47 1 4% 41 27 24 4 1% 37 28 35 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 3% 38 35 23 1 2% 25 26 45 2 28 37 34 1 1% 27 39 33 - 1% 10 24 64 2 1% 22 33 43 1 1% 20 40 38 - 1% 26 30 40 2 1% 19 30 49 1 2% 21 30 47 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Dec 11 Nov 13 2001 2008 1 24 31 43 1 2 22 30 46 - 2 19 31 47 1 2 23 34 41 1 2 26 29 41 1 21 47 19 10 3 2 14 38 44 2 7. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 46% 42 12 92% 1 7 3% 91 5 45% 40 15 53% 37 10 38% 48 14 51% 36 13 7% 83 10 49% 45 7 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 9% 82 8 36% 49 15 34% 43 23 39% 45 16 74% 19 7 53% 39 9 57% 36 7 48% 43 9 50% 40 10 47% 42 11 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 46 42 12 47 42 11 5 8. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 46% 44 10 92% 4 3 4% 93 3 45% 41 14 53% 37 9 38% 51 11 52% 37 11 8% 87 5 47% 46 8 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 9% 85 6 36% 51 12 39% 41 20 37% 47 16 76% 19 5 50% 40 10 58% 37 4 45% 47 8 52% 41 8 46% 46 8 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Republican Party Democratic Party DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 46 44 10 47 42 11 9. Would you say that Barack Obama - is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 46% 49 4 13% 84 3 86% 10 3 43% 53 4 42% 55 3 51% 44 5 38% 58 4 93% 5 3 48% 41 11 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 81% 15 5 51% 44 4 44% 46 11 53% 43 4 20% 77 3 40% 54 6 46% 53 2 49% 47 4 44% 54 2 45% 51 4 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not? (* Low also 44% Nov 2013) Yes No DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Jul 11 2013 YES........... High Low Jan 13 Dec 10 2011 2013* 46 49 4 44 52 4 44 52 4 54 41 4 50 44 5 63 31 6 44 52 4 6 10. Would you say that Barack Obama - has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 46% 51 3 18% 80 3 82% 16 3 41% 56 2 42% 55 3 50% 47 3 38% 59 3 85% 12 2 62% 32 6 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 77% 18 5 51% 45 5 55% 37 8 53% 44 3 21% 78 1 42% 56 2 42% 57 1 51% 48 1 40% 58 2 40% 57 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes No DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Jul 11 2013 YES........... High Low Jan 13 Jan 08 2010 2014 46 51 3 47 51 2 48 50 2 53 45 3 52 46 3 66 32 2 46 51 3 11. Would you say that Barack Obama - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 50% 48 2 19% 79 2 87% 13 - 47% 51 2 44% 55 1 56% 42 2 42% 56 2 93% 7 - 58% 42 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 83% 16 1 54% 44 2 57% 42 1 58% 39 2 23% 76 1 47% 52 1 46% 53 - 52% 47 1 45% 53 2 46% 51 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes No DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Jul 11 2013 YES........... High Low Nov 12 Dec 10 2008 2013 50 48 2 48 49 3 49 48 3 54 42 3 52 45 3 70 22 7 48 49 3 7 12. Which of the following do you think should be the most important priority for President Obama and Congress in 2014: the economy, the federal budget deficit, health care, taxes, gun policy, immigration issues, or something else? Economy Deficit Health care Taxes Gun policy Immigration Something else DK/NA Economy Deficit Health care Taxes Gun policy Immigration Something else DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 39% 23 16 4 3 5 9 2 42% 28 12 3 1 5 8 1 41% 11 23 3 4 5 10 3 39% 26 13 4 3 5 10 1 41% 25 11 5 2 5 10 - 37% 21 20 2 3 6 9 3 40% 25 14 4 3 5 9 1 38% 8 21 4 2 8 13 5 32% 20 21 4 6 10 6 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 39% 13 21 2 5 5 12 3 43% 18 17 4 2 6 8 2 31% 19 20 3 2 6 16 3 42% 22 16 3 2 5 7 1 37% 30 12 4 2 6 8 1 38% 27 12 3 3 5 9 2 36% 29 15 3 2 4 9 1 40% 24 13 4 4 6 8 2 39% 27 15 3 2 4 9 1 44% 19 14 4 3 5 7 3 TREND: Which of the following do you think should be the most important priority for President Obama and Congress in 2014; the economy, the federal budget deficit, health care, taxes, gun policy, immigration issues, or something else? Economy Deficit Health care Taxes Gun policy Immigration Something else DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 39 23 16 4 3 5 9 2 41 22 14 4 3 5 8 3 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 39% 58 4 7% 89 3 76% 21 3 36% 62 3 36% 61 3 41% 54 4 31% 65 4 83% 16 1 43% 50 7 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 75% 22 2 43% 54 3 42% 49 9 41% 53 6 16% 83 1 33% 63 4 36% 60 4 41% 57 2 35% 63 3 37% 60 3 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Jan 08 Dec 10 Nov 12 Oct 01 Aug 02 Mar 04 Oct 06 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2011* Approve Disapprove DK/NA 39 58 4 37 59 4 38 59 3 44 52 4 42 54 4 57 33 10 32 64 4 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 35% 61 4 6% 93 1 71% 24 5 31% 66 3 31% 66 3 39% 57 4 28% 68 4 77% 22 1 41% 57 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 67% 29 3 38% 57 5 38% 57 5 41% 55 4 12% 86 2 33% 65 2 32% 66 2 36% 62 3 35% 62 3 33% 62 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Jul 11 2012 Feb 23 2012 35 61 4 34 62 4 36 60 4 43 52 5 40 56 5 APPROVE....... High Low Jul 02 Dec 10 2009 2013 46 42 13 34 62 4 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the federal budget? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA 34% 60 6 7% 89 4 71% 24 5 29% 66 5 31% 64 5 36% 58 6 27% 69 5 82% 14 4 39% 53 8 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 62% 30 8 39% 54 7 33% 56 11 39% 54 7 14% 85 1 29% 67 4 30% 66 4 35% 61 4 33% 64 4 33% 60 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the federal budget? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Nov 12 2013 34 60 6 32 62 6 9 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - terrorism? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 52% 41 6 25% 69 6 81% 15 4 53% 41 6 52% 44 5 53% 39 8 46% 46 8 84% 13 3 59% 38 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 79% 16 5 51% 42 7 52% 34 13 61% 33 6 30% 64 6 54% 40 6 54% 42 4 60% 37 3 50% 46 4 44% 47 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 APPROVE....... High Low May 05 Jan 13 2011 2010 52 41 6 50 41 8 52 42 6 52 42 6 54 39 6 67 27 7 48 44 8 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 41% 51 8 12% 83 5 74% 18 7 40% 52 7 39% 55 6 43% 47 10 36% 56 8 75% 21 3 39% 52 9 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 71% 21 8 42% 47 11 45% 39 16 50% 41 9 17% 78 5 38% 53 8 42% 55 3 42% 52 6 39% 56 5 38% 52 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 Aug 02 2013 APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Nov 12 2009 2013 41 51 8 42 49 9 38 53 9 41 53 7 44 50 6 57 32 11 38 53 9 10 18. Do you think that in general the Obama administration has been competent in running the government, or don't you think so? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 43% 55 2 13% 86 1 82% 17 1 38% 59 3 38% 60 2 48% 50 2 36% 63 2 85% 13 2 49% 46 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 80% 19 1 47% 51 1 47% 52 1 50% 47 3 15% 84 1 39% 59 3 38% 58 3 45% 52 3 40% 59 1 40% 58 2 TREND: Do you think that in general the Obama administration has been competent in running the government, or don't you think so? Yes No DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 43 55 2 40 56 3 43 53 3 19. Do you think President Barack Obama is paying enough attention to what his administration is doing, or don't you think so? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 45% 50 6 20% 74 6 72% 24 5 43% 52 5 42% 54 4 47% 46 7 39% 54 7 78% 19 3 47% 51 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 73% 24 3 45% 49 6 48% 40 11 46% 46 8 28% 68 4 46% 49 5 42% 54 4 48% 48 4 42% 52 5 36% 58 6 TREND: Do you think President Barack Obama is paying enough attention to what his administration is doing, or don't you think so? Yes No DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 Nov 12 2013 45 50 6 41 52 6 43 51 6 11 20. Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? Support Oppose DK/NA Support Oppose DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 71% 27 3 52% 45 3 93% 6 1 69% 28 3 65% 33 2 76% 21 3 68% 29 3 91% 8 1 74% 26 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 92% 5 2 78% 20 2 67% 29 4 80% 17 2 49% 48 2 63% 34 3 66% 31 3 70% 27 3 70% 29 2 76% 22 2 TREND: Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? Support Oppose DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 71 27 3 69 27 4 21. (If support q20) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) SUPPORTS INCREASE Q20............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Exactly $10.10 Less than $10.10 More than $10.10 DK/NA Exactly $10.10 Less than $10.10 More than $10.10 DK/NA 47% 25 26 2 49% 35 14 1 46% 15 37 2 49% 29 20 2 42% 30 27 2 50% 22 26 2 46% 29 23 2 53% 11 36 - 46% 23 32 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29* 30-49 50-64 65+ 50% 13 36 2 48% 25 27 1 60% 23 14 3 49% 28 22 2 42% 37 21 1 49% 25 22 4 45% 27 26 1 46% 25 28 1 44% 26 29 1 43% 26 28 3 TREND: (If support) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour? SUPPORTS INCREASE Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2013 Exactly $10.10 Less than $10.10 More than $10.10 DK/NA 47 25 26 2 42 23 32 3 12 21a. (COMBINED Q20 & Q21) Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour? Increase to $10.10 Increase < $10.10 Increase > $10.10 Oppose increase DK/NA Increase to $10.10 Increase < $10.10 Increase > $10.10 Oppose increase DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 33% 18 18 27 4 26% 18 7 45 3 43% 14 34 6 3 34% 20 14 28 4 27% 19 17 33 3 38% 17 20 21 5 31% 20 15 29 4 48% 10 33 8 1 34% 17 23 26 - POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 46% 12 33 5 4 37% 19 21 20 3 40% 15 9 29 6 39% 22 17 17 4 21% 18 10 48 3 31% 16 14 34 6 30% 18 17 31 4 32% 18 19 27 4 31% 18 20 29 3 32% 20 22 22 4 TREND:(COMBINED) Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $10.10 an hour, should be less than $10.10 an hour, or should be more than $10.10 an hour? Increase to $10.10 Increase < $10.10 Increase > $10.10 Oppose increase DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 10 2013 33 18 18 27 4 29 16 22 27 6 22. Do you think raising the minimum wage will lead businesses to cut jobs or don't you think so? Yes No DK/NA Yes No DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 50% 45 4 68% 29 3 29% 65 6 51% 45 5 53% 44 4 48% 47 5 52% 43 4 37% 59 4 50% 47 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 33% 62 5 47% 48 5 49% 49 2 44% 50 5 65% 32 3 55% 41 4 50% 47 3 54% 43 3 50% 44 5 48% 46 6 13 23. Do you think Congress should or should not approve a 3 month extension of unemployment benefits for people who are currently out of work? Should Should not DK/NA Should Should not DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 58% 37 5 42% 54 4 83% 13 4 54% 41 5 55% 42 3 62% 32 6 53% 42 5 89% 9 2 69% 28 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 80% 17 2 67% 29 4 58% 38 4 62% 33 5 44% 51 5 55% 40 5 46% 50 4 55% 40 5 58% 38 4 65% 30 5 24. Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010? Support Oppose DK/NA Support Oppose DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 40% 56 4 9% 89 2 80% 16 4 35% 61 4 35% 61 4 45% 51 5 32% 63 5 88% 11 1 49% 48 3 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 75% 21 4 44% 51 6 42% 53 5 46% 50 4 15% 82 3 38% 60 2 37% 60 3 42% 55 3 37% 59 3 38% 55 7 TREND: Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010? Support Oppose DK/NA Jan 08 2014 Dec 11 2013 Nov 12 2013 Oct 01 2013 40 56 4 39 57 4 39 55 6 45 47 8 25. If a candidate for Congress supports - extending unemployment benefits, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 33% 24 40 3 18% 40 41 2 58% 6 31 4 29% 25 44 2 30% 29 38 3 36% 19 42 3 30% 28 40 2 61% 3 29 6 32% 17 45 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 57% 8 35 - 43% 18 37 2 30% 21 49 - 35% 17 45 3 19% 40 38 3 27% 28 43 2 25% 33 40 2 29% 25 43 3 32% 25 41 2 45% 24 28 4 14 26. If a candidate for Congress supports - the 2010 health care law passed by President Obama and Congress, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 29% 43 26 2 6% 77 15 2 63% 8 28 2 22% 47 29 2 24% 49 25 2 34% 37 26 2 25% 51 22 2 56% 7 35 2 34% 35 29 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 61% 11 27 1 30% 37 29 3 29% 29 41 1 32% 37 29 2 8% 69 20 2 29% 49 21 1 27% 52 20 1 28% 43 26 2 29% 50 20 1 30% 46 20 4 27. If a candidate for Congress supports - a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 27% 38 31 4 13% 52 31 3 44% 22 30 4 25% 41 30 4 26% 41 29 4 28% 35 33 4 24% 41 31 4 27% 29 39 5 46% 18 31 5 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 49% 15 35 1 25% 40 32 3 33% 25 39 4 28% 35 33 4 13% 54 30 4 29% 37 30 3 32% 33 30 4 28% 33 36 2 24% 44 29 3 26% 45 22 7 TREND If a candidate for Congress supports a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? (*for that candidate) More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Jan 08 2014 May 31 2013* 27 38 31 4 26 24 44 5 28. If a candidate for Congress supports - raising the national minimum wage, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA 41% 18 39 2 22% 35 42 1 64% 3 30 2 38% 17 43 2 37% 25 37 2 44% 12 41 2 36% 20 42 2 68% 4 24 4 47% 14 37 3 Cont’d 15 28. (cont’d) If a candidate for Congress supports - raising the national minimum wage, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 63% 3 33 1 50% 13 34 3 44% 19 37 - 46% 10 42 2 22% 36 40 2 34% 22 43 1 33% 23 42 2 37% 16 46 1 39% 21 39 1 46% 18 31 5 29. If a candidate for Congress - is associated with the Tea Party, would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 21% 41 36 3 39% 14 47 1 4% 66 25 4 20% 44 34 2 26% 39 34 1 16% 42 38 4 24% 39 36 2 7% 58 29 7 19% 31 46 4 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 3% 73 24 1 20% 38 38 3 22% 34 43 1 11% 51 35 2 43% 13 42 3 24% 40 35 1 17% 47 35 - 17% 42 39 2 27% 40 32 1 20% 43 32 5 30. If a candidate for Congress - supports President Obama, would you be more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 28% 43 28 1 5% 80 14 1 65% 6 29 - 20% 44 34 1 24% 49 27 1 32% 37 30 1 23% 51 26 1 69% 5 26 - 32% 27 40 1 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 64% 8 27 - 32% 36 32 1 26% 29 44 - 28% 34 38 1 9% 74 17 - 26% 47 26 1 24% 50 27 - 27% 42 31 - 28% 49 23 1 31% 49 20 1 TREND: (President George W. Bush) If a candidate for Congress supports President George W. Bush, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference? PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH Aug 29 Mar 2 Dec 6 2006 2006 2005 More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA 21 38 41 1 16 37 45 1 16 37 45 2 16 33. Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the chances that President Obama and the Republicans in Congress will work together on important issues? Optimistic Pessimistic DK/NA Optimistic Pessimistic DK/NA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp 35% 62 3 25% 73 2 52% 45 3 30% 67 3 32% 66 3 38% 59 3 28% 69 3 65% 29 6 54% 45 2 POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 38% 60 2 40% 56 3 44% 50 6 40% 58 2 27% 71 3 32% 66 3 30% 69 1 35% 63 2 31% 66 2 32% 65 3 17
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