“Demilitarization of Europe”? IF the Atlantic Alliance has a Problem it is that EUrope is Transnationalizing Security while the US is Remilitarizing along National Security Lines Gunther Hellmann1 “The challenges we face, and the reforms we need, are simply too pressing to wait for the conclusion of the Strategic Concept process. In parallel with our deliberations on the Strategic Concept, we must also address numerous structural flaws. (…) Right now, the alliance faces very serious, long-term, systemic problems. The NATO budgetary crisis is a case in point and a symptom of deeper problems with the way NATO perceives threats, formulates requirements, and prioritizes and allocates resources. It is hardly two months into the new year, but we already face shortfalls of hundreds of millions of euros – a natural consequence of having underinvested in collective defense for over a decade. The problem is not just underfunding of NATO. Since the end of the Cold War, NATO and national defense budgets have fallen consistently - even with unprecedented operations outside NATO's territory over the past five years. Just 5 of 28 allies achieve the defense-spending target of 2 percent of GDP. These budget limitations relate to a larger cultural and political trend affecting the alliance. One of the triumphs of the last century was the pacification of Europe after ages of ruinous warfare. But, as I've said before, I believe we have reached an inflection point, where much of the continent has gone too far in the other direction. The demilitarization of Europe - where large swaths of the general public and political class are averse to military force and the risks that go with it - has gone from a blessing in the 20th century to an impediment to achieving real security and lasting peace in the 21st. Not only can real or perceived weakness be a temptation to miscalculation and aggression, but, on a more basic level, the resulting funding and capability shortfalls make it difficult to operate and fight together to confront shared threats.”2 These remarks by US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates have reverberated in European as well as the US. They probably provide a good summary of what many American foreign and security decision-makers consider to be “very serious, long-term, (and) systemic problems” of the Atlantic Alliance. Some of the analytical points made in Gates’ remarks will be widely shared on both sides of the Atlantic. For instance, even if culprits would be located differently in different member countries few would disagree that NATO’s budgetary crisis is “a symptom of deeper problems with the way NATO perceives threats, formulates requirements, and prioritizes and allocates resources.” It is not surprising that the Secretary of Defense of the most powerful NATO member sees little to blame in his own country – and much as far as the allies in Europe This essay draws on the chapter “Why EUrope has stopped Defending the ‘West’. The Transformation of ‘National Security’ in the European Union” which is scheduled to be published in a forthcoming volume edited by this author and Benjamin Herborth under the provisional title “The Uses of the West”. It is part of a larger research project (“Secur(itiz)ing the West. The Transformation of Western Order”) at Goethe University, Frankfurt Germany; see http://www.normativeorders.net/en/research/projects/53securitizing-the-west-the-transformation-of-western-order. This essay has benefited from intensive exchanges over the last two years with Benjamin Herborth, Gabi Schlag and Christian Weber who have been collaborators in the Goethe University project. They bear no responsibility, however, for this essay. 2 Remarks as delivered by Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates, National Defense University, Washington, D.C., February 23, 2010, available at http://www.defense.gov/utility/printitem.aspx?print=http://www.defense.gov/speeches/speech.aspx?sp eechid=1423 (March 2, 2010). 1 is concerned. “Europe” (ie. the United States’ European allies and partners3) has presumably been “demilitarized” to such an extent that “real security and lasting peace” are endangered because “capability shortfalls make it difficult to operate and fight together to confront shared threats”. In his essay Stephen Szabo has correctly pointed out that Gates is working on a highly problematic “shared threats” assumption. Since I share his assessments I will not dwell on this point here. Instead I will focus on Gates’ notions of “real security” and “lasting peace” and the differences we can observe in this regard between EUropeans and Americans. This relates in particular to the degree of “militarization”, “demilitarization” and/or “remilitarization” on both sides of the Atlantic and what this tells us about different understandings of security. In short, I will make three points. (1) To the extent that the characterization of EUrope as “demilitarizing” is identifying a trend it is a trend which becomes meaningful only against some objectified point of reference – an imagined zero-point of “militarization”, so to say. If we choose the US as such a zero-point, Gates’ analysis is correct. However, if we decide to let EUrope set the zero-point of militarization the phenomenon to be explained is the remilitarization of the US instead. In any case, the overall trend is clear: EUropean and American threat perceptions (measured in terms of medium-term defense spending, weapons procurement decisions and doctrinal adjustment) are diverging. (2) This is connected to increasingly diverging cultures of security. The problem with normatively charged concepts such as “real security” and “lasting peace” is, of course, that everybody can readily subscribe to them even though (or: precisely because) the actual meaning associated with these concepts may be radically different. Indeed, as I will briefly argue below, notions of security have been diverging ever since the end of the Cold War and the aftermaths of 911/Iraq with EUropeans increasingly shifting to an understanding of security in terms of transnational security whereas the culture of national security has even been reinforced in the aftermaths of 911 in the US. (3) However, the discrepancies, tensions and conflicts resulting from (1) and (2) do not per se justify what many “Atlanticists” consider to be the “gloom”-scenario of a disintegrating Atlantic Alliance. If one is interested in understanding the causes of “transatlantic cohesion” (or, for that matter, “transatlantic disintegration”) one has to keep in mind that security identities are mutually constituted by “Ego” and “Alter”. One of the findings of the Frankfurt research project mentioned above (ftn 1) is that ascriptions of commonalities vis-à-vis EUrope and North America (often including Canada) from outside are as present as ever. Indeed, they may actually have become more widespread in recent years – which is, at least in part, the result of what is perceived to be an increasingly “Europe” here probably stands for two different groups: the US’ European allies in NATO and the member states of the European Union which – even if they are not members of NATO – are mostly sympathetic to the US. It most certainly does not include Russia, Belarus or Ukraine, which are also located on the “European” continent. It has become a common practice to speak of “Europe” referring both to the EU and the European continent. Even official EU documents often take the EU pars pro toto for the whole continent. Since obviously not all European states belong to the EU I will use “EUrope” and “EUropean” to denote that I am only referring to the EU part of Europe. 3 hegemonic role of “the West”. Such “external” ascriptions are as crucial as “internally” generated sentiments about commonalities in the process of identity formation. Ad 1. What is the evidence for EUropean “demilitarization” and/or American “remilitarization”? At the level of NATO it is noteworthy that defense spending patterns have been developing in a fairly symmetrical fashion since the 1980s. Both the US and European member states have reduced defense spending in a similar fashion in the 1990s such that NATO-Europe spent a bit more than half of what the US spent (in terms of a percentage of GDP in constant prices) in both the second half of the 1980s and the first half of the first decade of the 21st century. It was only in the aftermaths of 911 that defense spending patterns started to diverge (see Table 1). Table 1: Defense Expenditures of NATO Member Countries as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product, 1985-20084 Source: North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Financial and Economic Data Relating to NATO Defense, NATO Press Release PR/CP(2009)009, 19 February 2009, available at http://www.nato.int/docu/pr/2009/p09-009.pdf (15 September 2009). 4 A closer look at long-term spending patterns reveals that US spending has indeed picked up after 2001, both in terms of inflation-adjusted US Dollars … Graph 1: US Defense Spending 1962-2015 (inflation-adjusted 2009 dollars) Source: Wikipedia (http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/86/InflationAdjustedDefenseSpending.PN G/500px-InflationAdjustedDefenseSpending.PNG), based on US government figures (3 March 2010) … and in terms of percentages of GDP as part of total government spending (Table 2). Table 2: Total US Government Expenditures by Major Category as Percentage of GDP (1988-2009) Source: US Government, Office of Management and Budget, Historical Tables, (http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals/) The more surprising figures, however, are provided if one looks at EUrope’s continuing high defense spending. Since these figures are not widely known I will provide more space. First, to be sure, in terms of a percentage of GDP military spending among former and current EC/EU member states has dropped from more than three percent in the late 1980s to less than two percent in 2006 (see Graph 2).5 5 All data in the subsequent graphs are drawn from SIPRI Yearbooks. Graph 2: Military Spending in the EU as a Percentage of GDP 3,500% 3,000% 2,500% 2,000% EU-12 1,500% EU-15 1,000% EU-25 0,500% 0,000% 1988 1992 1997 2002 2006 Military Spending as a Percentage of GDP. Yet in 2006 the EU-25 still spent almost as much on defense (as measured in constant US$) as the same group of states spent under radically different conditions in the second half of the 1980 when Europe was still divided (see Graph 3). Graph 3: Military Expenditure of EU-25 in Constant US$ $300.000 Sweden Sl oveni a Sl ovaki a $250.000 Pol and Mal ta Li thuani a Latvi a $200.000 Hungary Fi nl and Estoni a Czech Republ i c Cyprus $150.000 Austri a Uni ted Ki ngdom Spai n Portugal $100.000 Netherl ands Luxembourg Ital y Irel and $50.000 Greece Germany France Denmark $1988 1992** 1997 2002 2006 Bel gi um Mi l i tary expendi ture i n constant 2005 U.S. dol l ars m.* More stunning still is the fact that EU military expenditure as a percentage of global military expenditure has actually increased after the end of the Cold War and has reached lower pre-1990 levels only recently (see Graph 4). Still, in 2006 the EU-25 – one of the most peaceful regions on the globe even in the perception of the EU’s member states – collectively accounted for one fifth of total military spending worldwide. Graph 4: EU Military Expenditure as a Percentage of Global Military Expenditure As a percentage of GDP.* As a percentage of global military expenditure. 1988 1992 1997 2002 2006 1988 1992 1997 2002 2006 EU-12 3.1% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 19.6% 24.4% 25.0% 23.3% 18.9% EU-15 - 2.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% - 25.5% 26.3% 24.5% 19.8% EU-25 - 2.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% - 26.5% 27.4% 25.7% 20.9% 30,00% 25,00% 20,00% 15,00% EU-12 10,00% EU-15 EU-25 5,00% 0,00% 1988 1992 1997 2002 2006 In a comparative perspective with other “great powers” the figures look still more impressive (see Graph 5). In terms of pure numbers of military spending the EU-25 is outranked only by the US. In comparison to the rest, however, it looks like a real military heavyweight. In 2006 the EU-25 collectively spent double the amount on defence compared to what Russia, China, India and Brazil spent together. Even the four biggest defence spenders in the EU (UK, France, Germany and Italy) clearly outranked this group of four great powers. Moreover even individually France and the UK still outspend China in terms of constant US$ - and even Germany and Italy each individually still outspend Russia – not to mention Brazil or India. Graph 5: EU-Military Expenditures in Contrast to other Great Powers (2006) 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% USA Russia China Brazil India EU-4 EU-12 EU-25 Military Expenditure 2006* Total in constant 2005 U.S. dollars m. as a Percentage of GDP as a Percentage of Global USA Russia China Brazil India $ 511,187.00 $ 31,181.00 $ 51,864.00 $ 13,803.00 $ 23,615.00 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 1.5% 2.7% 42.5% 2.6% 4.3% 1.1% 2.0% EU-4 $ 182,382.00 2.0% 15.1% EU-12 $ 228,139.00 $ 251,682.60 1.7% 18.9% 1.8% 20.9% EU-25 To be sure, adding up national defense spending data from EU member states does not mean that Europeans will jointly make (relatively) efficient and effective use of these resources as this is normally done in a national context. As a matter of fact, the charge that Europeans don’t get as much “bang” for the “buck” as the US would wish has been a constant one in transatlantic exchanges during the last decades. Yet irrespective of efficiency and effectiveness these are nevertheless stunning figures since many of those EUropeans who belonged to opposing alliances before 1990 now only spend marginally less on defense even though the former threat they posed to one another has been radically transformed under the collective roof of the EU security community. As the introductory sentences of the “European Security Strategy” (ESS) described what Gates called Europe’s “pacification”: “Europe has never been so prosperous, so secure nor so free. The violence of the first half of the 20th Century has given way to a period of peace and stability unprecedented in European history” (ESS 2003: 1). War has become unthinkable among the members of the EU and the most likely threat scenario which might justify a return to a more traditional military defense posture, a resurgent Russia, is currently highly implausible and would, in any case, allow for sufficient warning time if it were recur. Thus, given a radically improved security environment the puzzle to be solved is EUrope´s continued high defense spending, not its “demilitarization”. ******** Ad 2. At least part of the solution of the puzzle of EUrope´s continued high defense spending is a more fundamental transformation of EUrope’s security culture – ie. what “real security” and “lasting peace” (Gates) actually means to EUropeans. To summarize the argument of the longer paper, the European Union is an evolving institutional expression of an understanding of trans-national security which is distinct from the concept of “national security” which was embodied almost prototypically under the Bush administration. Yet even under the administration of President Obama the culture of national security still holds. In contrast to the concept of “national security” “transnational security” emphasizes both the trans-national sources of threats as well as the transnational dimension of effective responses to such threats. However, this shifting understanding of security in EUrope is not the result of the fact that the EU represents a different type of international actor acting according to some higher moral standard (as sometimes implied by the concept of a “normative power”). Rather I postulate a self-reinforcing dynamic in the mutually constitutive relationship between EUropean historical experience and institutional development in the field of foreign and security policy on the one hand and conceptual change in security thinking on the other which essentially results from the interplay between an improved threat environment, shifts in global power and patterns of alignment, material resources at the disposal of the EU, regional and global ambitions of both member states and EU representatives, and institutional constraints within the EU-polity. As a result the EU has become a unique global security player which is neither adequately captured with traditional categories such as “great power” or “normative power”. The argument of a crucial conceptual difference between “national security” and “transnational security” is based on an analytical distinction between three ideal types of security: “human security”, “national security” and “transnational security” (see Table 3). Given the current focus I will only focus on the latter two here. Three observations regarding the differences between the two need to be spelled out in particular. First, for conceptions of “national security” the distinction between domestic and foreign, between internal and external has always been central. As a consequence, borders have played a crucial role in defining what security meant. The notion of “threat” was almost always closely linked to territorially bound actors and accompanying notions of military attack stemming from some territory “abroad” and the emphasis on territorial defence this implied. For the EU and its emerging understanding of transnational security the project of integration has meant from its beginnings to not only render borders permeable, but to alter their very meaning. “Security” internally (ie. peace within the EC) resulted from not engaging in traditional security practices, including the symbolic emphasis on territorial borders as dividing lines. Therefore, where the logic of “national security” dictates the territorial “containment” of potential opponents, the logic of “transnational security” conceives of borders as markers which challenge the respective sides to arrive - at a minimum - at a modus vivendi. In the history of the EU after WW II borders have even become crucial markers for arriving at cooperative arrangements which have shaped the integration project internally (from the common agricultural market all the way to “Schengen” – ie. the agreement on abolishing all border controls within the EU). Table 3: Three Conceptions of Security human security national security transnational security referent object individual (nation) state associations, groupings of states; (trans-) national societies and groups; international community imputed “culture(s) of anarchy” Hobbesian, Lockean, Kantian Hobbesian, Lockean Lockean, Kantian core stakes individual / collective survival; basic human needs; “good life” survival and welfare of nation state “international stability” / cooperative inter-state relations; non-violent conflict resolution “sources” of threat state failure, environmental degradation, “underdevelopment” competing powers (eg. states, terrorist organizations) “uncertainty”; state failure (terrorism); great power hegemony instruments for providing security development assistance; state-building capabilities; multilateral coordination via IOs/INGOs armies, sophisticated weaponry and strategy, diplomacy multilateral coordination; capabilities for crisis management (military and civilian); economic assistance; state building capabilities; rule of law primary securitizing agents IO bureaucracies, transnational lobbies state officials and national security lobbies state officials, IO bureaucracies, transnational lobbies primary audience of securitizing speech act “international community”, “activist” governments, IOs and INGOs, domestic society, national security decision-making elites other governments, IOs and INGOs, “international community” It is this experience which has been externalised after the end of the Cold War via the policy of “enlargement”. Instead of containing (or “appeasing”) potential enemies or opponents by keeping them at arms’ length, neighbours and “partners” were co-opted or bound in a network of diverse institutional arrangements and/or joint decision-making. This externalisation of the EU’s internal system of governance is visible even now – after the biggest wave of accession has been completed and after a certain “enlargement fatigue” has taken hold. The EU’s so-called “Neighbourhood Policy” which has been anticipated in the ESS is designed to draw neighbouring states to the East and South into an institutionalized dialogue with the aim of arriving at joint decisions on internal and external policies. While eventual EU-membership is highly unlikely for these “Neighbours”, the EU has nevertheless been quite successful in establishing close relations with these countries. To be sure, borders have not disappeared within the EU. In some respects they have even been “fortified” in the aftermaths of 911. Moreover, borders continue to serve as means of differentiating between different degrees of inclusion and exclusion. However, even in those cases where the EU’s external borders are re-emphasizing the dividing function of borders they function differently compared to the traditional role of borders in the logic of “national security”. Rather than being barriers against potential military aggressors they function primarily as policed check-points for migrants, criminals or terrorists. This intuition of transforming “external security” relationships to “internal security” relationships is characteristic for the discursive shift from national security to transnational security. Thinking security “transnationally” rather than “nationally” does not per se transform common securitization practices (as characterized in the Copenhagen School). However, it does represent an important dispositional shift in terms of how securitization is actually approached. Whether securitizing agents frame threats against the background of a Hobbesian “culture of anarchy” or a Kantian “culture of anarchy” (A. Wendt) makes a crucial difference as to the identification of sources of threat, key referent object of security and instruments for countering such threats. Moreover, if the sources of threats are located in structures (such as failed states or organized crime) as well as agents (dictators, Mafia organizations) the policies for countering such threats effectively need to address both sides. Under such conditions appealing to the security of the nation state (as the key referent object) in order to mobilize effectively will no longer suffice. “Selling” threats has to appeal to other (national as well as transnational) actors as well. If one examines the “European Security Strategy” closely (especially against the background of the two “National Security Strategies” of the US written under the Bush administration) the dispositional shift from national security to transnational security is clearly visible. More importantly, however, it is also reflected at the level of the nation state within the EU. Since traditional “national security strategies” have appeared shortly before, in parallel to or quickly after the adoption of the ESS a closer look at this type of security document should reveal how deeply the suggested transformation from national security and transnational security actually runs. Given limitations of space I will only refer to a sample of EU member states which have been known for comparatively strong views on either “nation state” reservations vis-à-vis the Union or more far-reaching supranational orientations. As the following summary shows, the views expressed in these documents are largely in accordance with the understanding of transnational security expressed in the European Security Strategy. Although the hierarchy of core “values” to be defended against sticks with traditional notions of security – most “national security strategies” examined mention the “security for the nation and its citizens” (as in the case of the UK) or some equivalent – the sources of threat are depicted in very different terms compared to the traditional “national security” focus on competing powers. A quote from the UK document is quite representative in this regard. Right at the start the document states explicitly that “no state threatens the United Kingdom directly“. Rather “the security landscape” is described as “increasingly complex and unpredictable”. “The Cold War threat has been replaced by a diverse but interconnected set of threats and risks, which affect the United Kingdom directly and which have the potential to undermine wider international stability. They include international terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, conflicts and failed states, pandemics, and trans-national crime. These and other threats and risks are driven by a diverse and interconnected set of underlying factors, including climate change, competition for energy, poverty and poor governance, demographic changes and globalisation” (UK National Security Strategy 2008: 3, emphasis added) This type of language is found in almost all national security strategies. Even those EU members most fiercely protecting the symbols of “national sovereignty” are granting that traditional notions of “national security” no longer provide for the most likely scenarios. In the Czech “national security strategy”, for instance, “ensuring of CR existence, its sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence; defense of democracy and legislative state, protection of human rights and liberty of inhabitants” are still considered to be the outstanding “vital interests”. However, the document also states that “large-scale armed conflict interfering CR territory and territory of another NATO member country in predictable time horizontal is very improbable” (Czech Republic Military Strategy 2004: 3). Competition for energy and dependence on energy imports, in contrast, is often identified as a new threat. Among the European public it even ranks highest alongside “global warming”, well ahead of “international terrorism”, “Iran acquiring nuclear weapons” and “Islamic fundamentalism” (see Graph 6). Graph 6: Key „Threats“ for EU and US (Transatlantic Trends 2008) In the Polish National Security Strategy of 2007 the country’s dependence on supplies of energy “from one source” is identified as the single “greatest external threat to our security”. Moreover, “the collapse of the process of European integration as a result of states returning to making decisions solely through the prism of their national interests (…) as well as EU’s inability to architect a common policy” are explicitly mentioned as “a potential threat to Poland’s interests” (Polish National Security Strategy 2007: 8-9). Thus even those EU member states best known for their strong national sentiments emphasize that traditional notions of “national security” are inappropriate to guide their security policy. Such a change in perspective is more visible still if one examines the national security strategy equivalents of older Western European member states of the EU. For instance, the Dutch “Framework Memorandum on the 2000 White Paper” categorically states that “Dutch armed forces will always act as part of an international alliance of forces” and that therefore “task specialisation is attractive in the light of the international orientation of our armed forces” (Netherlands Framework Memorandum 2000). The Belgian Defense Ministry goes even further when it calls for “an equitable intra-European burden sharing agreed by everyone” in the EU based on the expectation that “the European Defence development will sooner or later probably lead to the alignment of the defence efforts made by the EU member states” (Belgian Modernization Plan 1999: 5). Countries would then be expected to meet a “minimum defence expenditure level - expressed for example in relation to GDP”. Based on this reasoning the documents provides an “evaluation of the defence effort” of its allies which lets Belgium’s own contribution look quite meagre indeed (see Graph 7). Graph 7: Distribution of Defence expenditures among EU partners6 EVALUATION OF DEFENCE EFFORT 0,90% 0,80% 45,4 GB 0,70% FR 0,60% 18,5 NO 25,3 0,50% equipment expenditure in 1000 $ /soldier 0,40% 19,6 15,7 0,30% NL 12,6 GE 0,20% DE 7,2 IT BE 1990 3,4 SP 4,8 0,10% 6,7 LU 5,0 0,00% 0 -0,10% PO 1,2 BE 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1 1,2 1,4 DEFENCE PERSONNEL (Civilian + Military) AS % OF POPULATION The latter two examples are among the clearest indications of a radical shift in understanding security which goes even beyond the mere necessity of coordinating security policies within a multilateral/supranational framework. Yet even those EU member states who hesitate taking such far-reaching steps no longer consider each other to be potential aggressors. Some even imagine each other as partners with whom one readily shares “task specialization” in the most sacred area of national sovereignty and mutual budgetary adjustments based on an agreed upon “equitable intra-European burden sharing”. Thus even those documents which in their very name are supposed to spell out a “national security” vision articulate an understanding of security which emphasises both the transnational sources of threat as well as the necessity to organize for a transnational (EUropean) response. Source: Belgian Modernization Plan 1999: 5. The horizontal axis shows the total defence personnel (civilian + military) as a percentage of the total population. The vertical axis shows the equipment investment expenditure as a percentage of GDP (Gross Domestic Product). The size of the circle for the chosen EU member states reflects the proportion of investment expenditure per serviceman. 6 In sum, the postulated transformation of security thinking in Europe from national security to transnational security is not merely window dressing at the level of the EU. It reaches all the way down to security thinking at the national level. To be sure, this shift has a lot to do with the fact that judgments have converged among politicians, experts and citizens7 all over EUrope that classical security contingencies (such as large scale war) are extremely unlikely nowadays. However, such a convergence of opinion is merely a necessary condition for the postulated shift, not a sufficient one. A shift in fundamental beliefs about security is an important additional condition. Let me emphasize: the argument here is not that the EU is acting according to some higher ethical standard or that it is a “normative power” purely by design. Rather I argue that several mutually reinforcing factors – such as historical lessons learned, a changing threat environment, the joint experience of close cooperation within the EU context and institutional capabilities and constraints – together provide for a problem description in response to which the transformation of security thinking and practice as outlined above is an adequate coping strategy. Moreover, positioning the EU as a proponent of a different understanding of transnational security also yields additional advantages. First, it helped to differentiate the EU from the US at a time when the Bush administration pursued an aggressive strategy of “pre-emption” (US NSS 2002: 15, US NSS 2006: 18, 23). Secondly and more generally it positioned the EU as a very unique and active, yet unthreatening actor on the global stage thus projecting an image of itself which was easily reconcilable with available material resources, institutional constraints and the ambition of EUropeans. Finally the joint focus on transnational security in the global realm also has the positive (if unintended) side effect of keeping the EU actively engaging in common security concerns beyond the EU which helps to dampen any remaining fears that EUrope’s own history might return (Wæver). Two additional observations are worth emphasizing. First, most EU member states continue to have an institutional alternative if they want to get involved in international affairs along more traditional routes. Indeed the different ways in which EU member states have made use of NATO and EU resources in the Balkans and in Afghanistan offers ample evidence for the advantages of these two institutional alternatives. Among others, one (largely unintended) effect of this preference structure has been a division of labour between the two organizations which has essentially limited ESDP missions to types of intervention which have stayed close to the practice of traditional “peace-keeping” and civilian state-building processes – ie. that mode of security practices closer in line with the concept of “transnational security”. This can be turned (and has been turned) into an advantage by the EU by fostering the image of not being threatening – or at least being less threatening than traditional military alliances such as NATO. From the perspective of the member states of both the EU and NATO this division of labour has also had the additional advantage of providing a choice of two alternative routes for intervening abroad depending on what image they wanted to project. The point worth stressing from a normative The most recent survey of Eurobarometer (Special Report No. 308, “The Europeans in 2009” from July 2009, available at http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_308_en.pdf (18 September 2009)) counted only one percent of EUropeans who listed “defence/foreign affairs” as “the most important issue” facing either their respective country or the person individually. “Defence/foreign affairs” thus ranked only 14th (or last together with “other” and “don’t know” responses). “Terrorism” ranked somewhat higher (# 11th) at four percent. Yet both were easily outranked by classical welfare concerns such as “economic situation” (47%), “unemployment” (45%) and “inflation” (27%). 7 point of view is, however, that with these alternatives EU member states have also preserved an option for intervening along more traditional lines of “national security” – if they so choose and if they succeed in mobilizing support among NATO allies. Secondly, despite the official commitment to the United Nations8 the development of ESDP has clearly affected EUropean participation in UN missions. Since the late 1990s contributions from EU member states to UNled operations have steadily declined. The propagation of “effective multilateralism” therefore also means that the creation of ESDP has opened up a new option to EU member states which they increasingly choose. In this sense the shift to a “transnational security” mode also has the advantage of positioning the EU globally as a serious and independent actor in its own right, not merely being a “willing ally” of the US or a component of “the West”. This also helps to justify high levels of defence spending. ****** Ad 3. In conclusion, none of this implies that the EU and the US are doomed to split. As a matter of fact, inspite of diverging trends the research in the context of the “Secur(itiz)ing the West” project at Goethe University also shows a lot of evidence that “the West” is alive and well – at least in terms of how it appears from the outside. Looked at from China and Russia the EU and North America often appears like a monolithic bloc with distinct collective values and interests. To the extent that China, Russia and other global actors (such as Islamic states) are approaching “the West” as a collective actor this will push EUropeans and North Americans in similar directions – irrespective of whether they indeed wish to move this way collectively or not. This is not to say that internal divisions within NATO are unimportant. They do matter – and given the countervailing transformations of the security environments of the US and EUrope (as seen by relevant elites and “securitizing” actors here and there) it would be surprising if they would not. If EUropeans believe (and act as if) they were living in a “post-heroic age”, as Stephen Szabo recounts, the flip side description, of course, is that Americans may still believe that it possible (or even necessary) to live “heroic” lives. I guess that this difference would easily be confirmed if one were to systematically compare EUropean and American movies on matters related to war, peace and security in our times. To have “large swaths of the general public and political class (being) averse to military force”, as Robert Gates put it, sounds problematic only if one sees a basic value in heroism. Many Europeans indeed don’t. Dying in Afghanistan as a German soldier is a tragedy not only for the relatives but for almost all Germans. There is nothing heroic in it – and opinion poll data all over EUrope increasingly reflects this. This does not mean that Americans and EUropeans do not continue to share a deeply felt common sense of what it means to be able to conduct a decent live under conditions of liberty and the rule of law. However, there are limits as to what EUropeans (soldiers, relatives, publics and foreign policy elites) are willing to die for (or have compatriots die for). A “global NATO” may be an obvious instrument for a globally oriented, great power US security policy. It is certainly not an obvious route for EUropeans, especially if it involves “peace-making” “missions” as in Iraq or Afghanistan (rather than policing missions such as “Allied Protector” in the Gulf of Aden). In this sense the related trends of European demilitarization (if this is what one wants to call it) and American remilitarization are indeed posing a problem for cooperation between the two sides. Large junks of the rest of the world (if not Russia or China) would probably be pleased if a lower zero“We are committed to upholding and developing International Law. The fundamental framework for international relations is the United Nations Charter” (ESS 2003: 9). 8 point of militarization could be reached as a collective point of reference. Whether “real security” and “lasting peace” would then be any closer would most certainly lie in the eye of the beholder.
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