411? American Journal of Epidemiology Copyright © 1998 by The Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health All rights reserved Vol. 148, No. 2 Printed in U.S.A. Maternal Cigarette Smoking, Regular Use of Multivitamin/Mineral Supplements, and Risk of Fetal Death The 1988 National Maternal and Infant Health Survey Tiejian Wu, Germaine Buck, and Pauline Mendola Data from the 1988 National Maternal and Infant Health Survey were used to examine whether regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements could modify the relation between maternal smoking and fetal death. Maternal smoking was defined as the self-reported average number of cigarettes smoked after recognition of pregnancy. Regular supplement use was defined as use of multivitamin/mineral supplements for at least 3 days per week during the 3 months before and/or after recognition of pregnancy. The sample comprises 12,465 singleton pregnancies, including 9,402 livebirths and 3,063 fetal deaths. Odds ratios were derived from logistic regression analyses after adjustment for a number of demographic and reproductive variables. Major findings are that 1) smoking increased the risk of fetal death; 2) regular supplement use either before or after recognition of pregnancy did not affect the risk of fetal death in the absence of maternal smoking; 3) odds ratios for fetal death among smoking women who regularly used supplements were generally smaller than those for women who did not regularly use supplements but who smoked a comparable number of cigarettes; and 4) a significant negative excess risk due to interaction was observed among women who regularly used supplements before recognition of pregnancy and smoked 20 or more cigarettes a day. These findings suggested that regular multivitamin/mineral supplement use might reduce the risk of fetal death associated with maternal smoking. Am J Epidemiol 1998;148:215-21. effect modifiers (epidemiology); fetal death; minerals; smoking; vitamins Maternal smoking has been linked to numerous adverse pregnancy outcomes, including intrauterine growth retardation and fetal death (1-9). Several pathways have been postulated to explain this smoking "effect." Cigarette smoke contains an abundant number of free radicals that might attack biologic molecules such as protein and DNA (10). Intrauterine exposure to those radicals may cause fetal free-radical oxidative damage. In addition, exposure to tobacco smoke can decrease the availability of certain nutrients, which may become depleted during the neutralization of select tobacco toxicants (11). These postulated mechanisms underlying the smoking effect suggest that multivitamin/mineral supplementation in pregnancy may reduce the risk of fetal death associated with maternal cigarette smoking. However, this hypothesis has not been tested to date and serves as the impetus for study. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether regular multivitamin/mineral supplementation before and/or after recognition of pregnancy could modify the risk of fetal death associated with maternal smoking. MATERIALS AND METHODS The National Maternal and Infant Health Survey (NMIHS), conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics, is a survey of livebirths, fetal deaths, and infant deaths in the United States based on a probability sample of the vital events occurring in 1988. Livebirths were selected within six strata defined by race (black, nonblack) and birth weight (< 1,500, 1,500-2,499, >2,500 g); black, very low birth weight (< 1,500 g) and moderately low birth weight (1,500-2,499 g) infants were purposely oversampled. Blacks also were oversampled for fetal and infant deaths. Mothers identified from 13,417 livebirth certificates, 4,772 fetal death certificates, and 8,166 infant death certificates comprised the study popula- Received for publication July 7,1997, and accepted for publication December 30, 1997. Abbreviations: Cl, confidence interval; NMIHS, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey; OR, odds ratio; RERI, relative excess risk due to interaction. From the Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine and Biomedical Science, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY. Reprint requests to Dr. Tiejian Wu, Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine and Biomedical Science, State University of New York at Buffalo, 270 Farber Hall, Buffalo, NY 14214. 215 216 Wu et al. tion. A more complete description of the NMIHS survey has been published elsewhere (12). Mothers who responded to the questionnaires included 9,953 (74 percent) women who had livebirths, 3,309 (69 percent) women who had late fetal deaths at least 20 weeks gestation, and 5,332 (65 percent) women who had infant deaths. Our study sample (n = 12,465) was restricted to mothers with singleton livebirths (n = 9,402) or singleton fetal deaths (n = 3,063). Thirtyfive fetal deaths with missing data on gender were excluded. Regular use of vitamin/mineral supplements both before and after recognition of pregnancy was ascertained by asking mothers, "Which of the following vitamin/mineral supplements did you take at least 3 ' days a week during the 3 months before (after) you found out you were pregnant?" The question was followed by a series of responses and an instruction to check all responses that applied, including multivitamins and/or minerals, vitamin A, vitamin C, folic acid, calcium, iron, zinc, and none of above. In our study, (regular) vitamin users are defined as women who used multivitamins and/or minerals supplements at least 3 days per week for 3 months. Maternal cigarette smoking was ascertained by asking women "On average, how many cigarettes did you smoke a day after you found out that you were pregnant?" Maternal smoking was categorized into 0, 1-9, 10-19, and 20 or more cigarettes per day, for assessment of potential effect modification at various levels of smoking. The following variables were considered as potential confounders: maternal race (black or nonblack), age, marital status at pregnancy (married or unmarried), education, prepregnancy weight, wantedness of the pregnancy before becoming pregnant (pregnancy wanted, pregnancy wanted at a later time, pregnancy not wanted now or later), vomiting during pregnancy, alcohol use during pregnancy, previous history of miscarriage and/or stillbirth, infant's gender, and family income during the 12 months before delivery. Fetal death rates were estimated based on the number of fetal deaths per 100 pregnancies in the sample and stratified by the level of maternal smoking and vitamin use. With the complex sampling structure taken into account, weighted rates of fetal death were calculated with the application of the final weights provided in the NMIHS data set (13). Crude rate ratios were computed by comparing the weighted rates. Logistic regression models were constructed for the estimation of separate effects (the effects in the presence of one factor) and joint effects (the effects in the presence of both maternal smoking and vitamin use) at various levels of maternal smoking. Relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) was used to summarize the departure of the joint effect (vitamin use and smoking) from the additivity of the separate effects (14, 15). The 95 percent confidence interval for each RERI also was computed (15). Tests for linear trends for the smoking effect and effect modification at different smoking levels were performed by including 1) the categorized ordinal smoking level as a continuous variable; 2) a dummy variable for vitamin use; and 3) a product term for maternal smoking level and vitamin use in logistic regression. All potential confounders were included in all logistic regressions. The final weights were rescaled for livebirths such that the weighted sample size was equal to the actual sample size (16), while the final weights for fetal deaths were rescaled to one. The rescaled weights were applied in all logistic regression models. The SAS software package (17) was used for all statistical analyses. RESULTS Descriptive statistics for the study population are shown in table 1. Among the 12,465 women in the sample, 23.8 percent reported having smoked after recognition of pregnancy, while 23.4 percent reported using vitamins regularly before recognition of pregnancy, and 74.8 percent after recognition of pregnancy. Overall, heavier smokers were more likely to have lower educational attainments, to drink more alcohol during pregnancy, to have had previous adverse pregnancy outcomes, and to report less wantedness of pregnancies than were nonsmoking mothers. Mothers who regularly used vitamins tended to be older, to be married, to have higher educational attainments and family incomes, and to report more wantedness of pregnancies than did mothers who did not use multivitamins regularly. Fetal death rates tended to be higher for mothers who smoked in comparison with nonsmokers (tables 2 and 3). Regardless of vitamin use, the weighted fetal death rate was 0.36 percent for nonsmoking mothers, 0.41 percent for mothers who smoked 1-9 cigarettes/ day, 0.42 for those who smoked 10-19 cigarettes/day, and 0.47 percent for those who smoked 20 or more cigarettes/day. When vitamin use either before or after recognition of pregnancy was categorized as yes/no, increased fetal death rates tended to be associated with increased levels of maternal smoking, particularly in the absence of vitamin use. Logistic regression results for the effects of maternal smoking and vitamin use before recognition of pregnancy are shown in table 4. In the absence of regular vitamin use before recognition of pregnancy, maternal smoking was significantly associated with an increased risk of fetal death. Vitamin use before recAm J Epidemiol Vol. 148, No. 2, 1998 Vitamin/Mineral Use, Smoking, and Fetal Death 217 TABLE 1. Characteristics of the study population by maternal smoking and regular use of multivitamin/minerai supplements (n = 12,465)*, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Maternal smoking (cigarettes/day) Characteristics 0 (n= 9,500) 1-9 (n= 1,194) 10-19 (n = 1,034) Regular use of supplements S20 (n=737) Both before and after pregnancy (n = 2,618) None (n= 2,846) Before pregnancy (n = 293) After pregnancy (n = 6,708) 64.8 38.7 51.1 46.5 14.9 83.9 1.7 49.2 2.8 11.6 60.1 50.2 50.2 38.6 11.6 86.3 1.7 50.5 1.4 11.3 43.4 58.4 51.3 39.6 8.4 83.3 0.8 46.7 2.3 15.4 35.0 63.7 52.3 33.7 7.9 79.8 0.7 41.3 2.8 19.1 Percentage Black Married Male infant Pregnancy wanted later Pregnancy not wanted NondrinMng during pregnancy 6 or more drinks/ week Vomiting during pregnancy Prior history of stilbirth Prior history of miscarriage 47.8 57.4 51.5 38.9 8.9 87.5 0.2 46.3 2.3 14.9 56.3 41.3 50.5 45.7 10.5 69.6 1.8 48.7 2.8 14.0 Maternal age at pregnancy Prepregnancy weight (pounds)t Maternal education} Family income§ 25.7 (6.0) 25.3 (5.4) 25.8 (5.5) 26.8 (5.6) 24.2 (6.0) 25.7 (5.9) 25.7 (5.9) 27.6 (5.6) 137.89 (30.0) 12.7 (2.5) 11.9(5.6) 136.2 (32.1) 12.0 (2.0) 10.2 (5.3) 135.9 (30.1) 11.7(1.8) 10.5 (5.3) 136.6 (32.1) 11.6(1.9) 10.3 (5.4) 138.3 (30.9) 11.7(2.4) 9.3 (5.5) 133.3 (29.6) 12.4 (2.5) 10.3 (5.6) 137.1 (29.6) 12.5 (2.5) 12.0 (5.6) 137.9 (29.6) 13.1 (2.4) 13.1 (5.4) 37.2 50.4 52.1 41.4 11.8 69.1 3.5 44.5 3.4 16.0 33.6 49.4 50.3 41.7 18.7 63.1 6.4 44.2 3.3 19.8 Mean (standard deviation) * Restricted to singleton infants. All percentages and means are unweighted. 11 pound = 454 g. t Maternal education was coded as 0-12 for 0 to 12th grade, 13-15 for 1-3 years of college, 16 for 4-5 years of college, 17 for 1 year of graduate school, and 18 for more than 2 years of graduate school. § Level of family Income was coded as one of 20 levels for family income ranging from less than $1,000 to over $60,000. TABLE 2. Fetal death rates by maternal smoking during pregnancy and regular use of multivitamin/minerai supplements before recognition of pregnancy, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Vitamin use and maternal smoking (cigarettes/day) No. Fetal deaths Rate Weighted rate TABLE 3. Fetal death rates by maternal smoking during pregnancy and regular use of multivitamin/minerai supplements after recognition of pregnancy, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Crude RRt No 0 1-9 10-19 >20 Fetal deaths Rate Weighted rate I "' No 1,715 230 224 164 23.68 25.14 27.59 28.03 0.36 0.41 0.42 0.47 1.00 1.14 1.17 1.31 0 1-9 10-19 >20 2,333 320 277 209 538 81 82 62 23.08 25.31 29.60 29.67 0.38 0.45 0.53 0.54 1.00 1.18 1.39 1.42 2,258 279 222 152 571 68 56 35 25.29 24.37 25.23 23.03 0.35 0.40 0.39 0.26 0.97 1.11 1.08 0.72 Yes 0 1-9 10-19 >20 7,167 874 757 528 1,748 217 198 137 24.39 24.83 26.16 26.95 0.35 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.92 1.03 1.00 1.00 ' Weighted rates are calculated using US vital events in 1988. t Crude RR = rate ratio of weighted rates. ognition of pregnancy in the absence of maternal smoking tended to have little, if any, effect on the risk of fetal death (odds ratio (OR) = 0.96, 95 percent confidence interval (CI) 0.83-1.09). Joint effects were compared with separate effects to assess possible effect modification. The point estimates for odds ratios of fetal death tended to be lower for mothers who used vitamins than for those who did not but who smoked a comparable number of cigarettes. For example, compared with mothers who neither smoked nor used vitamins, the odds ratios for fetal Am J Epidemiol No. 7,242 915 812 585 Yes 0 1-9 10-19 >20 Vitamin use and maternal smoking (cigarettes/day) Vol. 148, No. 2, 1998 * Weighted rates are calculated using US vital events in 1988. t Crude RR = rate ratio of weighted rates. death for smoking 1-9, 10-19, and 20 or more cigarettes a day were 1.12, 1.36, and 1.59, respectively (test for trend, p < 0.05). Among vitamin users, odds ratios ranged from 0.84 to 1.09. Estimated RERIs were all negative at various smoking levels, and a significant RERI was observed for mothers who smoked 20 or more cigarettes a day (i.e., RERI = 0.71, 95 percent CI -1.24 to -0.18). The effects of maternal smoking and vitamin use after recognition of pregnancy are shown in table 5. 218 Wu et al. TABLE 4. Risk of fetal death by maternal smoking during pregnancy and regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements before recognition of pregnancy, logistic regression analysis* National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Maternal smoking (cigarettes/ day) Regular use ol supplements before recognition ol pregnancy No Interaction between smoking and supplement use Yes ORt 95% Clt OR 0 1-9 10-19 220 1.00 1.12 1.36 1.59 Referent 0.91 to 1.36 1.12 to 1.65 1.27 to 2.00 0.96 1.00 1.09 0.84 Trend* p < 0.05 95% Cl 0.83 to 0.70 to 0.75 to 0.53 to 1.09 1.43 1.59 1.33 p >0.05 RERIt 95% Cl -0.07 -0.22 -0.71 -0.50 to 0.36 -0.71 to 0.26 -1.24 to-0.18 p > 0.05 * Adjusted for maternal race, age, marital status at pregnancy, education, prepregnancy weight, wantedness of the pregnancy, vomiting during pregnancy, alcohol drinking during pregnancy, previous history of miscarriage and/or stillbirth, infant's gender, and family income during the 12 months before delivery. t OR, odds ratio; Cl, confidence interval; RERI, relative excess risk due to interaction. t Tested by including the ordinal smoking level as a continuous variable, a dummy variable for vitamin use, and a product term for smoking and vitamin use. TABLE 5. Risk of fetal death by maternal smoking during pregnancy and regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements after recognition of pregnancy, logistic regression analysis*, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Regular use of supplements after recognition ot pregnancy Maternal smoking (cigarettes/ day) ORt 95% Clt ORt 0 1-9 10-19 220 1.00 1.04 1.42 1.77 Referent 0.74 to 1.47 1.01 to 1.99 1.22 to 2.55 0.94 1.06 1.21 1.22 Trend* p < 0.05 No Interaction between smoking and supplement use Yes 95% Clt 0.82 to 0.85 to 0.97 to 0.94 to 1.09 1.33 1.52 1.59 p < 0.05 RERIt 95% Clt 0.08 -0.15 -0.49 -0.34 to 0.49 -0.68 to 0.37 -1.18 to 0.21 p > 0.05 * Adjusted for maternal race, age, marital status at pregnancy, education, prepregnancy weight, wantedness of the pregnancy, vomiting during pregnancy, alcohol drinking during pregnancy, previous history of miscarriage and/or stillbirth, infant's gender, and family income during the 12 months before delivery. t OR, odds ratio; Cl, confidence interval; RERI, relative excess risk due to interaction. i Tested by including the ordinal smoking level as a continuous variable, a dummy variable for vitamin use, and a product term for smoking and vitamin use. Maternal smoking in the absence of vitamin use after recognition of pregnancy is associated with an increased risk of fetal death in a dose-response fashion. Test for the effect (i.e., odds ratio) of vitamin use after recognition of pregnancy in the absence of maternal smoking did not reach a statistically significant level (OR = 0.94, 95 percent Cl 0.82-1.09). Odds ratios for fetal death at maternal smoking 10-19 cigarettes or 20 or more cigarettes a day tended to be smaller for mothers who used vitamins than for those who did not. However, none of RERIs were significant. Vitamin use before and after recognition of pregnancy and risk of fetal death was examined by logistic regression analysis (table 6). Maternal smoking was divided into two groups (smokers and nonsmokers) to improve the stability of estimates. In the presence of maternal smoking, point estimates (i.e., odds ratios) tended to be lower for mothers who continuously used vitamins in comparison with those who did not use vitamins. All point estimates for RERIs were negative, while their 95 percent confidence intervals included zero. DISCUSSION Although fetal and perinatal deaths are relatively rare events, previous studies with sufficient sample sizes have consistently reported an increase in risk of fetal death and perinatal mortality among mothers who smoked during pregnancy compared with nonsmoking mothers (6-8). Despite the fact that maternal smoking is a risk factor for numerous adverse pregnancy outcomes, the prevalence of cigarette smoking during pregnancy remains high (at about 25 percent) in the United States (18). Data from the 1988 NMIHS indicate that 83.7 Am J Epidemiol Vol. 148, No. 2, 1998 Vitamin/Mineral Use, Smoking, and Fetal Death 219 TABLE 6. Risk of fetal death by maternal smoking during pregnancy and regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements before and/or after recognition of pregnancy, logistic regression analysis*, National Maternal and Infant Health Survey, 1988 Supplement use before and after recognition of pregnancy None Before After Before and after Maternal smoking during pregnancy Yes No ORt 1.00 0.91 0.94 0.94 Interaction between smoking and supplement use 95% Clf Referent 0.61 to 1.37 0.81 to 1.09 0.74 to 1.19 OR 1.38 0.86 1.22 0.95 95% Cl 1.09 0.41 1.01 0.73 to to to to 1.74 1.81 1.46 1.24 RERIt 95% Cl -0.43 -0.10 -0.28 -1.22 to 0.36 -0.46 to 0.25 -1.16 to 0.59 * Adjusted for maternal race, age, marital status at pregnancy, education, prepregnancy weight, wantedness of the pregnancy, vomiting during pregnancy, alcohol drinking during pregnancy, previous history of miscarriage and/or stillbirth, infant's gender, and family income during the 12 months before delivery. f OR, odds ratio; Cl, confidence interval; RERI, relative excess risk due to interaction. percent of white mothers and 66.5 percent of black mothers reported using multivitamin/mineral supplements regularly during pregnancy; mothers who smoked were more likely to use multivitamin/mineral supplements regularly during pregnancy than were nonsmoking mothers (19). This finding may suggest that women who smoked perceive the taking of vitamins or are advised to take vitamins during pregnancy to compensate for the adverse effects of cigarette smoking on fetal growth and development. Smoking during pregnancy has been found to be associated with poor diet (20-22). However, the possible beneficial effect(s) of vitamin use in preventing fetal damage due to maternal smoking has not been demonstrated clearly. Our study used a large, national, representative sample and multivariate models to control for potential confounding variables. The results of our study indicate that maternal smoking was associated with an increased risk of fetal death. Mothers who smoked and used vitamins tended to have a somewhat lower risk for fetal death than did mothers who smoked and did not use vitamins. Effect modification tended to be more obvious among heavier smokers and when vitamins were used before the recognition of pregnancy. This finding may suggest that vitamin use among smokers reduces the risk of fetal death associated with maternal smoking. Observational and randomized clinical studies have demonstrated that the use of multivitamins containing folic acid during pregnancy has a protective effect on the risk of birth defects, especially neural tube defects (23-28). A more recent study by Shaw et al. (29) has indicated that the protective effect of multivitamin supplementation on the risk of neural tube defects is greater among women who smoke cigarettes. Although these studies did not examine fetal death directly, their results may suggest a possible protective effect of vitamin use on fetal development and, possibly, survival. Am J Epidemiol Vol. 148, No. 2, 1998 The results of our study are consistent with postulated biologic mechanisms. The postulated mechanisms of the smoking effect include free-radical oxidative damage and tobacco-induced nutritional deficiency. Multivitamin/mineral supplements generally contain antioxidants such as vitamins C and E and /3-carotene. Thus, vitamin use in pregnancy may counteract the adverse effects of smoking and benefit fetal growth. Since the embryonic period (up to 8 weeks of gestation) is a critical phase in which the embryo is more vulnerable to teratogenic damage (30), it is important for vitamin status to be optimal during the critical period of early embryogenesis. Hence, the beneficial effect of minimizing the smoking effects on the fetus may be more obvious if vitamins are used early in pregnancy. Our study is subject to several limitations. As described earner, mothers who used vitamins were quite different from those who did not. This diversity may not be fully adjusted by the potential confounders considered in our analysis. As a result, our findings may be biased and await confirmation by other investigators. Maternal smoking prior to pregnancy was not taken into account in our analysis. Of 3,807 mothers who reported smoking prior to pregnancy, 855 (22.5 percent) stopped smoking after learning they were pregnant. The proportions of mothers who stopped smoking after learning they were pregnant were similar regardless of whether or not they used vitamins regularly before recognition of pregnancy, i.e., 23.4 and 22.2 percent, respectively. However, the proportion of mothers who stopped smoking after learning they were pregnant was higher for mothers who used vitamins after recognition of pregnancy (24.7 percent) than for those who did not (15.8 percent). Since prepregnancy maternal smoking may have residual effects, treating mothers who stopped smoking due to pregnancy as nonsmokers in our analysis may dilute the estimated effect of vitamin use. 220 Wu et al. Another limitation of this study pertains to the use of self-reported exposure and outcome data. Both exposure variables—maternal smoking and regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements—were entirely self-reported. Since the data were collected after delivery, recall bias is a potential limitation. For example, if mothers with fetal death were less likely to recall vitamin/mineral use and more likely to recall smoking during pregnancy (even though we have no reason to expect so), the observed effect modification could be overestimated. An additional limitation of the study is the absence of dietary information. An implicit assumption of this study is that variation in dietary intake of nutrients within groups (smokers or nonsmokers) is negligible compared with that between groups. As mentioned before, smokers tend to have poorer diets during pregnancies compared with nonsmokers. Smoking may also cause depletion of certain nutrients. Therefore, the nutritional status of smoking women may be quite different from that of nonsmoking women. However, dietary intake of nutrients may vary largely even within groups, and the effect of vitamin use may be highly dependent on dietary intake of nutrients. We had no further dietary information available for study purposes. Lastly, the absence of a reference group, or women who never used multivitamin/mineral supplements, is another limiting factor. In our study, the effect(s) of regular use of supplements was estimated by comparing regular users with nonregular users and not nonusers per se. This was the result of a very high prevalence of vitamin use during pregnancy. It remains plausible that stronger effects for regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements might be observed if a nonuser reference group was available for study purposes. In summary, the results of this study suggest that regular use of multivitamin/mineral supplements, particularly among heavier smokers, may reduce the risk of fetal death associated with maternal cigarette smoking. 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