EPOS Advanced Economic Geography Course – 9 credits 2017 Roberta Gemmiti Associate Professor in Economic Geography Assessment Final Exam: attending students are requested to download and study the slides that will be upload week by week on the teacher’s webpage. In the final exam we will discuss about material presented in lectures and class discussion. Attendance and participation are required as a very important part of the course and of the final exam. www.memotef.uniroma1.it/users/gemmiti-roberta Attending students may ask to have papers and text books to integrate the slides to do better in the course. Mid-term exam: In the first week of april, students may choose to have a mid-term exam. In this exam students (even in small group) will have to do a short presentation about one or more traditional models in geography (topics of the first month of the course). Non attending students’ program consists in 6 papers about different geographical and economic issues. These papers are available in the Copisteria Sapienza. Final exam The 2017 summer exam dates will take be on the 7 june and 10 july Other dates are available via website https://stud.infostud.uniroma1.it The exam will consist of the discussion of the subjects of the course; in exceptional circumstances the exam could be written. For attending students, a list of the main topics/themes of discussion will be available in the last weeks of the course. For attending students, the final exam should be held in the last week of the course. Attending students are those students which attend at least the 80% of the course. Teacher’s website: www.memotef.uniroma1.it/users/gemmiti-roberta Mail address: [email protected] Address: Faculty of Economics, Via del C. Laurenziano 9, fifth floor, section of geographers, room n. 526 General aim of the course The general aim of the course is to show the spatial dimension of economic variables and processes and the instruments to read them. Students will learn the most significant theoretical frameworks in economic geography and spatial economics for the matters of economic development and competitiveness. Competition and market regulation….. Does geography matter? Who is the actor of this competitiveness and which are the sources of his competitiveness? Geography matters “The world around us is powerfully shaped by economic forces. The economy, as we experience it in everyday life is innately geographical. There is no economy ‘out there’, floating in the atmosphere, detached from the lived reality. Rather the economy is a set of grounded, real-world processes, a set of complex social relations that vary enormously across, and because of, geographical space. … the set of approaches offered by the field of economic geography is best placed to help us appreciate and understand the modern economic world in all its complexity. To ignore geographical variation leads to a retreat into the unreal, hypothetical world of mainstream economics, with all its many underlying assumptions and simplifications” Coe N. M., Kelly F. P., Yeung H.W.C., Economic Geography. A contemporary introduction, Blackwell, 2007 (preface) What is economic geography? It is a sub-discipline of geography that uses a geographical approach to study the economy. According to the name, economic geography should lie somewhere between the disciplines of geography and economics. This is true somehow even if economic geography and economics (spatial economics, geographical economics) use two very different approaches. Geography matters! Economics and economists have had a different point of view for so long time… (they) “treated an economy in which all factors and producers, commodities and consumers are, in effect, congregated at one point.” “ a one-point world, which somehow or other is conceived as divided into n parts, representing n nations…” “A wonderland of no dimensions” Walter Isard, founder of the regional science, criticizing economists. Different approaches 1) A world of no-dimensions vs a view of the world as something complex; 2) A world of spatial patterns of economy, locational patterns, spatial behavior that must be explained in order to understand and promote economic development; (vs) a world of contextualized economic processes that must be explained by situating them in specific social, political and cultural relations; 3) The aim of economics is “understand the economic world”; (vs) in economic geography the aim is understand the economic world taking care about “how we understand economic world”. Mainstream economics (Sokol, 2011, pp. 23-24) • Key components of economic orthodoxy: • 1) All people are behaving in a matter that is: a) rational b)self-interested c) economizing d) profit-maximizing; • 2) these rational individuals (directly or through firms) are competing against each other on the market. • 3) Market is assumed to be the best mechanism to ensure economic efficiency since, they believe, perfect competition on the market guarantees that supply will meet demand at a particular rice and the economy will be in equilibrium. • 4) The notion of equilibrium is one of the central assumptions of mainstream economic thought and shapes the way in which economists see the world around them; • 5) The market economy operates according to certain laws and principles that could be studied as a “science”. One of the main concerns of this economic science is to predict the behavior of the economy using mathematical models and equations. Mainstream economics (Sokol, 2011, pp. 23-24) • 6) The fundamental aim of such modelling is the achievement of the equilibrium. • 7) Mainstream economists believe that these laws and principles work everywhere and therefore economic models are applicable to them in every context. • 8) Economic orthodoxy believes in certain universalism. 1-Classical theory Source: Martin R., A study of competitiveness factors, 2004, p. 2-5 2-Classical theory Each country has convenience in producing goods in which it is more efficient; in this way it gets the greatest benefits from international trade. Greater investment in capital (machine) and greater level of trade facilitate the specialization and increase productivity and output. Growth itself could increase , since increasing output allows further division of labour and further growth. Smith demonstrated the gains from trade to be made when moving from a situation of autarky to free trade when countries have an absolute advantage in the production of different goods. Ricardo (1817) demonstrated that two countries can gain if they specialize their production in sectors in which they have a comparative advantage. In the Ricardian perspective, differences in comparative labor productivity depend on differences in production technologies between industries and countries. Comparative advantages theory does not compare levels of efficiency in the same sector across countries, but between sectors in the same country. 1) Neo-classical Economic Theory Source: Martin, 2005 2) Neo-Classical Theory Core assumptions of neo-classical theory: I. Perfect information and perfect competition : there are indefinitely many traders; no one of them can control a considerable share of demand or supply; they act independently in a perfect market; a perfect market is one in which the traders have full knowledge of all offer and prices (see Stigler, 1957, The Journal of Political Economy, available on line); II. Constant returns to scale (in the firm function of production, when inputs grow output grows at the same rate); III. Full divisibility of goods and factors and full substitutability of all factors. 3) Neo-classical theory Heckscher-Ohlin models of resources endowment and international trade Whereas the Ricardian model assumes that technological differences exist across countries, the H-O model assumes that technologies are the same across countries and that comparative advantages are due to differences in the relative abundance of factors of production (factor endowments). Each country will export the good that uses its abundant factor intensively. 1) Does Geography Matter? Yes, but it matters in terms of environmental conditions, climate and endowment of resources. 2) Does Geography enter in the process of economic development? It is something fixed and the only geography is the geography that can be express in economic term. 3) Are there any other geographical features (space, environment, scale, place, territory ? Differences Most of the things that economists usually erase from the analysis are essential for a geographical analysis. Instead, differences call for an approach which look at a geographical dimension of development World is different across space in … money “Developed economies’ share of global GDP (PPP) fell from 54% in 2004 to 43% in 2014 (UNDP, 2016)” “The world is dangerously dependent on China, which continues to grow at a clip. Since the beginning of 2010 it alone has contributed over one-third of global GDP growth, with another 40% coming from the rest of the emerging world. Weighed down by debt since the financial crisis, the rich world’s growth has been sclerotic. Excluding America, it has provided just 10% of global growth since 2010; America has contributed another 12.5%.” Source: www.economist.com …gender • Source: UNDP Human Development Report, 2015 … opportunities for people Source: UNDP Human Development Report, 2015 … work conditions Source: UNDP Human Development Report, 2015 Source: UNDP Human Development Report, 2015 .. Human Development Level (Health, education, income, security, participation; UNDP) World is not the same if you live in a city or in a rural area … and in a few years you will surely live in a city in every country of the world…. • http://www.unicef.org/sowc2012/urbanmap/ …more probably in a megacity…. … but you can’t be sure to live in the kind of city you have in mind…. So…. How is it possible to ignore the spatial/geographical dimension of human life ? How is it possible to intervene without a clear understanding of the forces responsible of these differences? How is it possible to use the same tools/policies/incentives/whatever in places so different from each other? We are not perfectly diffused on the earth … We are not totally congregated at one singular point…. We are agglomerated in few points on the earth…. Population, economic activities, levels of economic development and quality of life are unevenly distributed in the world surface…. Why? What do we know about the forces responsible of these differences? We can answer in many ways…. The first answer talks about nature and environment… most of the students answer this! Geography as the sum of Natural factors and development as the consequence of resources endowments (climate, soil quality, water bodies, mineral resources) This could be named «first nature» development …. «A pre-existing uneven geographical backcloth»… A couple of authors took back recently this view about development : J. Diamond, Guns, germs and still, New York, 1998; J. D. Sachs, Tropical underdevelopment, NBER Wording Paper 8119, Cambridge. Biophysical environment and the morphology of continents are the ultimate explanation of agricultural productivity, tecnological dynamism and societal change in general. Especially two factors are important: a) latitude, climate and agricultural possibilities to produce surplus; b) shape and directional orientation of continents (movements of people and innovations are more readily diffused east-west than north-south). The prosperity of global North is due to historical environmental inequalities because all the human have the same nature and capacity to transform the environment… Reference: Sheppard E., Geography, Nature and development…. 2011 Sachs et al., Tropical underdevelopment, 2002 http://www.nber.org/papers/w8119.pdf Sachs J. et al. (Tropical Underdevelopment, 2002, ) tried to estimate the correlation between the distance from A quick summary… Economics and Economic Geography in the analysis of features and factors of development across countries and regions. Two different ways: Economics Economic geography Economic variables (prices, costs, productivities, taxes, rates…) are the keys of measure and evaluation of development levels across countries and regions. Economists Several variables (environmental/social/politicalinstitutional/economic) are used to estimates the differences in development. We have seen how diverse our world could be if we look at the differences with a little bit of interest. So we normally try to take into account the specificities of places and regions. The aim should be not cancel the difference but built on them. Strenght and weakness Economics Strenght of economics is the scientific method. Economists generate theory, laws, principles that are proposed as universalistic explanation; for the larger part, economists use a rigorous mathematic and logic procedure (the rules of the deductive process) aimed to generalize the results of their work. Weakness of economics is the –inadequacy of the explanation in taking into account the non-economic variables, -the too much high level of abstraction from the real world - theory that are the result of a generalization of topics that are specific of a very small number of northern countries and regions. Economic Geography Strenght of economic geography is the very complex approach to the topic of development. Geographers normally use several categories and geographical scales in -the analysis of human organization and development (space, natural environment, landscape, built environment, territory and places, regions, cities, countries…); - the choice of the factors/sectors on which to intervene. Weakness of economic geography is the excess of pluralism, of different ideas and methods of analysis. Geography is made by different branch of learning that have too little in common…. Which are the forces of development? How can we explain the differences across regions? First nature is one of the most common approach in reading the process of development. It has been a traditional approach in geography for long time and it regards the natural endowments of single regions considered as an explanation of the organization and level of development of a certain community. … it is an outmoded approach for geography and not only…. But recently, two publications have bring a new life to this perspective (Sachs et al., Diamond) First nature think to geography as something external According to scholars that explain global development through the framework of first nature, geography is an exogenous backcloth, a set of natural features that are completely external to society… So geography dominate institutions? Someone argued that instead institutions dominate geography, because according to this point of view there are example of more tropical colonies that have a high level of prosperity because of the domination of European institutions… (European superiority is the key….) It should be more fruitful to think to social or human environment as something which co-evolves with its natural environment… So the line of thinking natural environment as something out there must be overcome… nature co-evolves with societal change and it is partially constituted through societal change and it is inseparable from it… (Sheppard, 2011). This view opens up to a different concept of geography, quite far from biophysical dimensions of environment because nature is not something apart …. This does not mean that biophysical processes are irrelevant: temperate climates are better suited for producing grain-based annual agricultural surpluses, and tropical conditions pose very specific conditions that local agricultural knowledge and practices, and cultural norms, have found ways to address… but We mustn't miss all the information about the mutual causal effects between nature and society considering nature as something primitive and original…. How did economists find a solution to the topic of the relation between nature and society? How did they mix the two dimensions of development? Economists and nature… Second nature or how to explain the process of co-evolution of society and nature….looking at a very small part of the factors and causes of development Economists: for long time they neglected the spatial dimensions of economy (and many of them still disregard space privileging the dimension of micro (individuals and their economic behavior) and macro (single nations and global flows) Economists and economic geographers managed to include geography and nature in a first long phase using the metaphor of space… not natural environment or historical characters but an abstraction of them. In this abstracted element they are able to isolate the economic forces and their works in space and under the effects of space. They call this space “geography” The concept of “second nature” in recent economic literature (P. Krugman, 1991) “In his justly acclaimed recent book “Nature's Metropolis: Chicago and the Great West”, the historian William Cronon documents the extraordinary 19th century rise of Chicago as the central city of the American heartland. As Cronon points out, what made this rise particularly remarkable was the absence of any distinctive natural advantages of Chicago's site. The city stood on a flat plain; the river that ran through the city was barely navigable; the city's lakeside harbor was inadequate and tended to silt up. Whatever natural advantages the site did have proved transitory. Initially Chicago seemed the natural terminus of a canal linking the watershed of the Mississippi with the Great Lakes, but when a canal was finally built it had only a few years of economic importance before being overshadowed by the railroads”. The concept of “second nature” in recent economic literature (P. Krugman, 1991) “Chicago's harbor on the Great Lakes was not unique, and in any case lake transportation became relatively unimportant by the 1870s as compared with rail links. Yet once Chicago had become established as a central market, as a focal point for transportation and commerce, its strength fed on itself. As Cronon puts it, the advantages that "first nature" failed to provide the city were more than made up for by the self—reinforcing advantages of "second nature": the concentration of population and production in Chicago, and the city's role as a transportation hub, provided the incentive for still more concentration of production there, and caused all roads to lead to Chicago. In Cronon's interpretation, then, the rise of Chicago was a striking example of what David (1985) has called "path dependence": historical accident, which led people to expect a central role for Chicago, led them into decisions that justified that expectation”. Space Space refers fundamentally to physical distance and area. It is a flat plane because only erasing all the specific characters of a place/region/country is possible to find out theories, principles, laws, regularities (all the things that make science in the positivist approach). …. The simplest definition of space: this definition of space belongs to the economic geography and regional economics in their framework of “location theory” in the 1950s and 1960s. Region …an area or zone of indeterminate size on the surface of the Earth, whose diverse elements form a functional association. …regions are based on socially constructed generalizations about the world, that their delimitation and representation are artefacts but not purely fictions. Examples: a) formal or uniform region (one ore more formal criteria according to which space is divided in different regions); this was the conventional idea of region in traditional geography.; b) nodal or functional region (is a geographically delimited spatial system defined by the linkages binding particular phenomena in that area) Typical questions in economics and economic geography. Region is the favorite scales in geography I. Why do regions growth? II. Why do some decline? III. What differentiates regions that are able to sustain growth from those that are not? IV. What are the forces that cause per capita income to converge or diverge , and under what conditions do they operate? V. What are the principal regularities in urban and regional growth and what are the events and processes that are not temporally or geographicallyregular but that affect pathways of development in a durable ways? Source: Storper M., Why do regions develop and change? The challenge for geography and economics, Journal of Economic Geography, 11, 2011, p. 333-346. Absolute space Space (www.dictionaryreference.com) “the unlimited or incalculably great three-dimensional realm or expanse in which all material objects are located and all events occur.” It’s the Newton‘s space which is absolute because: - It exists independently of the existence of material bodies ( it exists in itself , is not a system of relations between bodies ) ; - It has properties that are independent from the interaction with the different bodies (it is not dynamic) ; - It is defined regardless of the measures and observations that can be made on the objects. - Something that exists before human being and its action. Absolute and relative space «…. Space (like time) was a universal of human existence, an external coordinate, an empty grid of mutually exclusive points, ‘an unchanging box’ within which objects exist and events occur….». «Absolute space exist independent of any matter; it is a ‘container’; it is associated primarily with inventory and mapping; it is the space by Euclide» The job of geography should consist mainly of filling the ‘container’ with information: climate, morphology, geology, resources. It is assumed to be like a plain ground where every geographical body has one and only one spatial location (latitude and longitude help in defining such position). The location of elements within the grid of the region under consideration is critical. This is the point of view of conventional cartography, remote sensing, and the mapping sciences; it is the appropriate approach in inventory, planning and most mapping and descriptive studies. Gregory et al., Dictionary of Human Geography, p. 708 V. Meentemeyer, Geographical perspectives of space, time and scale, Landscape ecology, 1989. Space, absolute and relative Space is absolute and relative… Different concept of distance: - Physical distance (meter, kilometer… or other measure); - Economic distance (cost/kilometer…): relative distance - Distance of time (hours/kilometer…): relative distance Space is not necessarily absolute: it depends on the measure we select and the aims of our analysis; Space doesn’t exist per se; it is made by spatial relations and processes - Distance in metaphorical sense (cultural distance, linguistic distance…): relational distance Relative space Such space has different characteristics and attributes that are relevant with the aims of the analysis. It is founded by : 1) different object which are selected through characters (e. g. functions) and 2) relationships with other objects (e. g. flows of consumers between cities; commuting between urban and rural areas). Space takes different feature according with the different measures of the relationships (and so according with the selected objects). Key concepts are the following: position (relative position, depending on the position of the other objects); accessibility (position + ways and transport); distance (and cost to overtake it). Tobler W., On line Anas, Arnott, Small, 1997 http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/cdl uctcwp/qt835049q3.htm) Different methods, different kinds of space European bunch of grapes (Kunzmann and Wegener, 1991) Banana blu (R. Brunet, 1989) The octopus (Van der Meer, 1998) The seven apartments (Lutzky; Nijkamp 1993) Socioeconomic space. The traditional scene for spatial economics and economic geography Source: Couclelis, 1992, pp. 222-223 “Imagine a completely flat and featureless landscape with a town or two and a few copper and iron mines here and there. Workers live in the towns or perhaps in a few villages also in the area. The towns, the villages, and the mines are so compact that they are virtually points in the landscape. The transportation network is so homogeneous and dense that travel is equally easy in all directions and you can always take a straight line between two points. An industrialist examines the area, trying to decide where to locate a steel factory. Being an economically rational person, the industrialist knows that the less money spent on transportation, the greater the profits will be. The best location will thus be the one where the combined transportation costs of raw materials from their sources to the factory and of the finished products from the factory to the markets are the lowest possible. If the workers have no means of transportation, the factory may have to be at one or the other of the towns where they live. In this case, cheaper labor in one village may offset a slightly lower total transportation cost at another” Socioeconomic space Source: Couclelis, 1992, pp. 222-223 “That unlikely landscape could be anywhere, or rather, nowhere at all. It is an instance of an abstract economic space, defined by the spatial relation between consumers, producers, labor and raw materials. It is a relative space, the property of which ( for example the existence of points where total transport costs are minimized) arise through two features: the location of other critical points relative to each other, and certain economic conditions and principles assumed to hold in that space”. Socioeconomic space Source: Couclelis, 1992, pp. 222-223 “The value of thinking about the world as an economic space is that such a view allows us to develop general theoretical statements about the effect of geographic factors such as distance on economic activity”… “the insights collected from an analysis of socioeconomic space are usually consistent with intuition”… Socioeconomic space Source: Couclelis, 1992, pp. 222-223 “for example, all other things being equal, there will be more exchanges among places that are near each other than among places that are far apart, and more among large cities than among small villages, and the farther a commodity has to be transported, the higher its cost will be to the producer or the consumer”. Socioeconomic space is the traditional context for spatial analysis. “Spatial analysis is the general approach that uses mathematics and statistics to derive the quantitative properties of spaces of interest to geographers…” Regional science and urban economics have both developed spatial analytic methods similar to the spatial analysis in economic geography. An example of urban economics model and socioeconomic space (slideshare, online) http://www.macrobusiness.com.au Location theory. Analysis of substitution of the units of distance (and costs of transport) between two different points (M1 the source of raw materials; C the market). Location theory. Two producers; two market areas according to the line of medium costs of production (and prices) References • Couclelis H., Location, Place, Region and Space, Geography’s inner worlds, 1992. • Coe N. M., Kelly F. P., Yeung H.W.C., Economic Geography. A contemporary introduction, Blackwell, 2007. • Jones M., Phase space: geography, relational thinking and beyond, Progress in Human Geography, 33, 4, 2009, pp. 487-506. • SOKOL M., Economic Geographies of globalization. A short introduction, Elgar, 2011.
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