Journal of General Virology (2014), 95, 1969–1982 DOI 10.1099/vir.0.065227-0 Dating the origin of the genus Flavivirus in the light of Beringian biogeography John H.-O. Pettersson and Omar Fiz-Palacios Correspondence John H.-O. Pettersson [email protected] or [email protected] Received 28 February 2014 Accepted 4 June 2014 Department of Systematic Biology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden The genus Flavivirus includes some of the most important human viral pathogens, and its members are found in all parts of the populated world. The temporal origin of diversification of the genus has long been debated due to the inherent problems with dating deep RNA virus evolution. A generally accepted hypothesis suggests that Flavivirus emerged within the last 10 000 years. However, it has been argued that the tick-borne Powassan flavivirus was introduced into North America some time between the opening and closing of the Beringian land bridge that connected Asia and North America 15 000–11 000 years ago, indicating an even older origin for Flavivirus. To determine the temporal origin of Flavivirus, we performed Bayesian relaxed molecular clock dating on a dataset with high coverage of the presently available Flavivirus diversity by combining tip date calibrations and internal node calibration, based on the Powassan virus and Beringian land bridge biogeographical event. Our analysis suggested that Flavivirus originated ~85 000 (64 000–110 000) or 120 000 (87 000–159 000) years ago, depending on the circumscription of the genus. This is significantly older than estimated previously. In light of our results, we propose that it is likely that modern humans came in contact with several members of the genus Flavivirus much earlier than suggested previously, and that it is possible that the spread of several flaviviruses coincided with, and was facilitated by, the migration and population expansion of modern humans out of Africa. INTRODUCTION The genus Flavivirus, within the family Flaviviridae, currently consists of .70 virus species distributed all over the globe (Gould et al., 2003; Gubler et al., 2007; Lindenbach et al., 2007). It includes numerous viruses of major human health concern, such as Dengue virus (DENV), Japanese encephalitis virus, West Nile virus and the type species for flaviviruses, yellow fever virus (flavus: ‘yellow’), giving the family and the genus its name (Gould & Solomon, 2008; Mackenzie et al., 2004). The genome of flaviviruses consists of a positive-sense ssRNA molecule of ~11 kbp. One single ORF encodes three structural proteins (capsid, pre-membrane and envelope) and seven non-structural proteins (NS1, NS2A, NS2B, NS3, NS4A, NS4B and NS5) flanked by untranslated regions (Chambers et al., 1990; Lindenbach & Rice, 2003). The genus Flavivirus has been divided into four main groups based on ecological characteristics, molecular phylogenetic analyses, vector specificity and virus performance in host cells (Gaunt et al., 2001; Gould et al., 2001; Kuno, 2007). Most of the recognized flaviviruses belong to the mosquito-borne flaviviruses (MBFs) that are commonly, but Three supplementary figures and three supplementary tables are available with the online version of this paper. 065227 G 2014 The Authors not exclusively, vectored by either Aedes or Culex mosquitoes. The second group, tick-borne flaviviruses (TBFs), the only monophyletic group of Flavivirus, are vectored by ixodid ticks, and are further subdivided into a mammal and a seabird group based on their host specificity (Grard et al., 2007; Gritsun et al., 2003). The no-known vector flaviviruses (NKVFs) are associated with either bats or rodents and infect vertebrates without an apparent arthropod vector transmitting the viruses (Porterfield, 1980). The majority of the known flaviviruses are zoonotic, i.e. pathogenic viruses that can be transmitted between humans and other animals. However, the fourth group, the insect-specific flaviviruses (ISFs; flaviviruses that are only capable of replicating in insect cells) (Kuno, 2007), is most likely an undersampled and very diverse group (Cook et al., 2012). The idea of a molecular clock has been used to address many hypotheses in the study of emerging viral diseases, especially for diseases caused by RNA viruses (Bromham & Penny, 2003), e.g. to reject the hypothesis of a potential spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in the 1950s through a contaminated polio vaccine (Korber et al., 2000). However, dating the origin of viruses is a complex and challenging task. For viruses with high rates of evolution, the original phylogenetic signal is difficult to deduce even with complex evolutionary models because the signal Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Printed in Great Britain 1969 J. H.-O Pettersson and O. Fiz-Palacios diminishes with time due to repeated substitutions at the same site (Holmes, 2003a). The extremely high substitution rate observed for RNA viruses is mostly due to their errorprone replication and repair machinery (Bromham & Penny, 2003; Duffy et al., 2008). Unequal substitution rates among lineages of the same genus further adds to the complexity of accurately estimating the time to the most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) (Duffy et al., 2008; Holmes, 2003a; Sanjuán, 2012). Reconstruction of divergence times requires a temporal reference to convert branch lengths of a phylogenetic tree into time. This temporal reference is usually in the form of a fossil or biogeographical event (i.e. internal node calibration), as in most eukaryote studies, or isolation dates (i.e. tip date calibration), as with bacteria and virus studies. From the biogeographical events, fossils or isolation dates, the ages of internal nodes can be estimated. The match between virus and host phylogenies has led to the suggestion that some virus lineages originated millions of years ago. However, this has been strongly rejected by molecular clock studies indicating a virus origin of only a few thousand years ago (Holmes, 2003a; Worobey et al., 2010). This controversy has sparked a debate regarding the validity and utility of molecular clock reconstructions using tip dates versus internal (deep) calibration to study and infer the temporal scale of virus evolution (Sharp & Simmonds, 2011). Previous studies based on molecular clocks have suggested that the Flavivirus clade originated ~10 000 years ago in Africa (Gould et al., 2001) from a non-vectored mammalian virus ancestor (Gould et al., 2003), followed by the radiation of TBFs and MBFs during the last 5000 and 3000 years, respectively (Zanotto et al., 1996), and ISFs ~3000 years ago (Crochu et al., 2004). Other studies have also dated small clades of individual flaviviruses using tip dates as calibration points. These estimates are broadly congruent with the notion of a Flavivirus origin within the last 10 000 years (e.g. Dunham & Holmes 2007; May et al., 2011; Pan et al., 2011; Twiddy et al., 2003). However, recent analyses on TBFs, based on complete genomes analysed with a relaxed molecular clock and Bayesian methods, have estimated the age for the TBF clade to be at least 16 000 years (Heinze et al., 2012), indicating that the age for the Flavivirus genus as a whole should be significantly older than suggested previously. Within the TBFs, a close relationship between the biogeography of the Beringian land bridge, the historical landmass that connected north-east Siberia with Alaska and north-west Canada (Hultén, 1937), and the evolution of the Powassan virus (POWV) clade, the only TBFs present in North America, has been pointed out recently (Ebel, 2010; Heinze et al., 2012). Geological studies estimate that the land bridge was open for mammal land migration before the end of the last glaciation between 15 000 and 11 000 years ago (Elias, 2001; Elias et al., 1996; Kelly, 2003; Mandryk et al., 2001). The absence of tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) 1970 and Russian POWV lineages in North America is consistent with the idea that the colonization of POWV into North America happened under a single event by a land route, also supported by the lack of evidence for continuous movement of POWV and TBEV between Russia and North America by either seabirds or mosquitoes (Heinze et al., 2012). Therefore, it is unlikely that POWV emerged in North America before the land bridge became accessible again after the last glacial maximum. Consequentially, it is improbable that POWV emerged after the Bering Strait was formed. The most probable explanation, given the current knowledge and present distribution of the POWV lineages, is that during the course of TBF evolution POWV diverged from other TBF lineages in a single introduction event by the land route during the presence of the Beringian land bridge 15 000– 11 000 years ago (Heinze et al., 2012). POWV could have been introduced into North America by either humans or other mammals that colonized the Americas during the existence of the Beringian land bridge via one of two routes: the interior route or coastal route. (i) The interior route became accessible when the process of deglaciation created a corridor between the Laurentide and Cordilleran glaciers. The corridor did not exist during the last glacial maximum. The corridor started to open ~15 000 years ago (Dixon, 2013; Dyke, 2004), and became habitable for humans and other mammals ~13 500 years ago (Dixon, 2013). (ii) Towards the end of the last glacial maximum, the glaciers bordering to the south-west coast of Alaska through western Canada started to melt. Around 16 000 years ago, the glaciers had receded to the extent that the coastal habitats could support human populations (Dixon, 2013 and references therein). The coastal route is also likely to be the route by which humans first entered the Americas (Achilli et al., 2013; Bodner et al., 2012; Fagundes et al., 2008; Goebel et al., 2008; Schurr, 2004). Presently, there are coding nucleotide genomes available from .70 unique strains of the genus Flavivirus, including viruses recognized by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (http://www.ictvonline.org/virusTaxonomy.asp?version= 2013). Here, we combine this information together with relaxed molecular clock methods implementing a Bayesian approach, again to estimate and shed some light on divergence times of the genus Flavivirus and groups within. Aided by biogeographical calibration, we report the first study, to the best of our knowledge, estimating the age and rates of substitution of the genus Flavivirus as a whole, including its major groups, using complete coding nucleotide genomes. We explore multiple internal calibration points using Bayesian methods in combination with a relaxed molecular clock to reconstruct divergence times. We compare our results with previous studies reconstructing divergence times for different clades within the genus Flavivirus. We also discuss the incongruence between virus-dating studies using molecular clocks and RNA virus evolution. Finally, we propose a temporal and biogeographical scenario for the evolution of the genus Flavivirus. Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Journal of General Virology 95 Origin of the genus Flavivirus RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Phylogenetic reconstruction of the genus Flavivirus The phylogeny of Flavivirus and its major groups was inferred using a genus-wide sampling approach including 86 complete coding flavivirus genomes with known isolation dates (Table 1) analysed by both Bayesian and maximum-likelihood methodologies. The overall tree topology from all of the different analyses was in agreement with previous published phylogenies based on the NS3 gene (Billoir et al., 2000; Cook & Holmes, 2006; Grard et al., 2007), multiple genes (Medeiros et al., 2007) and complete genomes (Cook & Holmes, 2006; Cook et al., 2012; Grard et al., 2007, 2010; Kuno & Chang, 2006; Lobo et al., 2009). Our results were consistent with what is commonly referred to as an NS3-like topology (Fig. 1). Two datasets were analysed, a nucleotide and an amino acid sequence alignment, using Bayesian and maximumlikelihood approaches. In our Bayesian phylogenetic analysis, the nucleotide and amino acid 50 % majority rule consensus trees from MrBayes (Figs S1 and S2, available in the online Supplementary Material) and the maximum clade credibility tree from BEAST (Figs 1 and S3), all rooted with bovine viral diarrhea virus 1 (BVDV-1), produced topologies with strong support for the focal nodes (A–O). The Bayesian trees were also supported by the topology of the maximum-likelihood trees, although the sister relationships between Tamana bat virus (TABV) and all other groups were unresolved in the maximum-likelihood trees (data not shown, available upon request). There was maximum posterior probability (1.0 pp) for the four major clades roughly corresponding to the conventional grouping of Flavivirus (Gould et al., 2001, 2003); the TBF clade (node M), the NKVF clade (NKVFa, node N), a MBF-dominated group (MBFdom, node F) and the ISF clade (ISFa, node E), sister to the other three groups (Fig. 1). The MBFdom group (node F) includes (i) the Aedes MBF clade (MBFAedes, node H), (ii) a NKVF clade (NKVFb), sister to the MBFAedes clade, (iii) a grade of likely insect-specific flaviviruses consisting of Chaoyang virus, Donggang virus, Lammi virus and Nounane virus (nodes I and J) (Huhtamo et al., 2009; Kolodziejek et al., 2013; Lee et al., 2013) and (iv) the Culex MBF clade (MBFCulex, node K). The present study supports the fact that the majority of the members of the genus Flavivirus show a very strong pattern of host–vector association (Gould et al., 2001, 2003), as all groups showed distinct clustering depending on vector association. It is possible that the positioning of the NKVFb clade is a consequence of secondary loss of vector capability (Gould et al., 2001, 2003). Likewise, it is possible that the grade of ISFs (nodes I and J) within the MBFdom group is also due to secondary loss of vector capability. The main disagreement between our findings and other studies relates to the position of TABV. TABV has http://vir.sgmjournals.org previously been suggested to be the sister group to the ISFa clade (node E) based on complete coding amino acid sequence analysis (Cook et al., 2012). However, in the present study, TABV appears to have diverged before the ISFa clade (node B, 1.0 pp, based on Bayesian nucleotide and amino acid phylogenetic analyses), which instead is sister to the TBFs, NKVFs and MBFs (Figs 1, S1 and S2). Our results are consistent with the topology of previous complete genome and gene-based phylogenetic studies (de Lamballerie et al., 2002; Hoshino et al., 2009; Lobo et al., 2009). Divergence times of the genus Flavivirus Viruses, and RNA viruses in particular, provide an excellent opportunity to study evolutionary change because of their relatively high rate of substitution that allows for evolution to be observed within human timescales (Bromham & Penny, 2003; Drummond et al., 2003; Duffy et al., 2008; Holmes, 2003a). Many studies have used molecular clocks to date recent divergences (hundred-year scale; see: Kumar et al., 2010; Mehla et al., 2009; Mohammed et al., 2011; Patil et al., 2011; Ramı́rez et al., 2010; Weidmann et al., 2013), but here we show the utility of using internal calibration that allows for the reconstruction of deeper divergence times. The divergence times under different calibration schemes are summarized in Tables 2 and S1. All BEAST runs were performed with an uncorrelated log-normal relaxed molecular clock, as the null hypothesis of a strict global substitution rate was rejected by the maximum-likelihood molecular clock test (data not shown). Divergence times of the genus Flavivirus: calibration schemes compared To examine the temporal origin of Flavivirus, we performed several analyses in BEAST as outlined in Methods. Using only tip date calibration resulted in 12–14 % older mean divergence times for nodes A–O than using the internal Beringian calibration (node O calibrated to 15 000–11 000 years ago) together with tip dates. For example, the age of the root (node A) varied between 265 000 [95 % highest posterior density (HPD): 25 600–2 768 000] and 230 500 (156 100– 322 700) years ago, respectively (Fig. 1, Table 2). When using TBF internal calibration (node M, calibrated to 16 100– 44 929 years ago) based on the results from Heinze et al. (2012) using only tip dates as calibration, 17–18 % younger mean divergence times were recovered for nodes A–O compared with using tip dates only (Table 2). Both Beringian and TBF calibration recovered similar mean divergence times, although TBF calibration recovered 4–5 % younger mean estimates for nodes A–O than Beringian calibration (Table 2). Also, allowing for a wider range of the Beringian calibration, i.e. 16 000–10 000 years, following Dixon (2013), TBF recovered similar ages for the split of POWV and its sister (node O) at 12 500 (10 000–15 600) years ago and for the root (node A) at 228 500 (142 900–332 500) years ago as Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 1971 Vector groups include insect-specific (IS), mosquito-borne (MB), no-known vector (NKV) and tick-borne (TB) flaviviruses. Virus Virus abbreviation Strain Journal of General Virology 95 Aedes virus Alfuy virus Alkhurma virus Apoi virus Bagaza virus Bagaza virus Baiyangdian virus Banzi virus AEFV ALFV AHFV APOIV BAGV BAGV BYDV BANV AEFV_SPFLD_MO_2011_MP6 MRM3929 1176 ApMAR-Kitaoka Spain H/2010 DakAr-B209 BYD-1 SAH-336 Bouboui virus Bovine viral diarrhoea virus 1 Bussuquara virus Cell fusing agent virus Chaoyang virus Culex flavivirus Deer tick virus Dengue virus type 1 Dengue virus type 2 Dengue virus type 3 Dengue virus type 4 Donggang virus Edge Hill virus Entebbe bat virus Gadgets Gully virus Greek goat encephalitis virus Hanko virus Iguape virus Ilheus virus Japanese encephalitis virus Jugra virus Kadam virus Kamiti River virus Karshi virus Kedougou virus Kokobera virus Koutango virus Kunjin virus Kyasanur forest disease virus Lammi virus BOUV BVDV-1 BSQV CFAV CHAOV CxFV DTV DENV-1 DENV-2 DENV-3 DENV-4 DGV EHV ENTV GGYV GGEV HANKV IGUV ILHV JEV JUGV KADV KRV KSIV KEDV KOKV KOUV KUNV KFDV LAMV DAK-AR-B490 NADL BeAn-4073 ROK144 Tokyo CTB30-CT95 45AZ5 New-Guinea-C H87 H241 DG0909 YMP-48 UgIL-30 CSIRO122 Vergina SPAn-71686 Original JaOArS982 P9-314 AMP6640 SR-82 LEIV_2247 DakAar-D1470 AusMRM-32 DakAr-D-5443 MRM61C G11338 Source of isolate Vector group Year GenBank accession no. Aedes albopictus Centropus phasianius Homo sapiens Apodemus spp. Alectoris rufa Mixed Culex Duck Homo sapiens, Culex, Mansonia africana Anopheles paludis IS MB TB NKV MB MB MB MB 2011 1966 1995 1954 2010 1966 2010 1956 KC181923.1 AY898809.1 AF331718.1 AF160193.1 HQ644143.1 AY632545.2 JF312912.1 DQ859056.1 MB Alouatta beelzebul Aedes spp., Aedes egypti Aedes vexans nipponii Culex pipiens Ixodes dammini Homo sapiens Homo sapiens Homo sapiens Homo sapiens Aedes spp. Aedes vigilax Tadarida limbata Ixodes uriae Capra aegagrus hircus Mosquitoes Sentinel mouse Aedes spp. and Psorophora spp. Mosquito? Aedes spp. Rhipicephalus pravus Aedes macintoshi Ornithodoros papillipes Aedes minutus Culex annulirostris Tatera kempi Culex annulirostris Haemaphysalis spinigera Mosquitoes MB IS IS IS TB MB MB MB MB IS MB NKV TB TB IS MB MB MB MB TB IS TB MB MB MB MB TB IS 1967 1963 1956 1975 2003 2003 1995 1974 1944 1956 1956 2009 1969 1957 1975 1969 2005 1979 1944 1982 1968 1967 1999 1972 1972 1960 1968 1960 1957 2004 DQ859057.1 NC_001461.1 NC_009026.2 NC_001564.1 JQ068102.1 AB262759.2 NC_003218.1 U88536.1 AF038403.1 M93130.1 M14931.2 NC_016997.1 DQ859060.1 DQ837641.1 DQ235145.1 DQ235153.1 JQ268258.1 AY632538.4 AY632539.4 M18370.1 DQ859066.1 DQ235146.1 NC_005064.1 NC_006947.1 AY632540.2 NC_009029.2 EU082200.1 D00246.1 JF416959.1 FJ606789.1 Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 J. H.-O Pettersson and O. Fiz-Palacios 1972 Table 1. Flaviviruses used in this study http://vir.sgmjournals.org Table 1. cont. Virus LGTV LIV MEAV MODV MMLV MVEV NAKV NMV NOUV NTAV OHFV OHFV PCV POTV POWV QBV RBV ROCV RFV SABV SREV SEPV STWV SSEV SPOV SLEV TABV TBEV-Sib TBEV-FE TBEV-Eu TBEV-FE TBEV-Eu TBEV-Sib TBEV TBEV TMUV TSEV TYUV UGSV USUV Strain TP21 369/T2 T70 M544 ATCC-VR-537 MVE-1-51 Uganda08 CY1014 IPDIA Kubrin Guriev 56 IBAN-10069 LB VN180 RiMAR SPH-34675 Eg-Art-371 DakAR-D4600 CSIRO-4 MK7148 87/2617 SM-6V-1 MSI-7 Tr127154 Vasilchenko Sofjin-HO Salem Oshima-5-10 Neudoerfl Est54 886-84 178-79 ZJ GH-2 TTE80 6017 ORIGINAL SAAR-1776 Source of isolate Vector group Year GenBank accession no. Ixodes granulatus Supino Ixodes ricinus Ornithodoros maritimus Peromyscus maniculatus Myotis lucifugus Homo sapiens Mansonia africana nigerrima H4A1 Culex annulirostris Uranotaenia mashonaensis Mosquitoes Homo sapiens Homo sapiens Coquillettidia xanthogaster Cricetomys gambianus Homo sapiens Culex tritaeniorhynchus Tadarida brasiliensis mexicana Homo sapiens Argas hermanni Tatera kempi Ornithodoros capensis Mansonia septempunctata Broiler chicken TB TB TB NKV NKV MB IS MB IS MB TB TB IS MB TB IS NKV MB TB MB TB MB MB TBF MB MB NKV TB TB TB TB TB TB TB TB MB TB TB MB MB 1956 1963 1981 1958 1958 1956 2008 1998 2004 1966 1947 1947 2010 1989 1958 2002 1954 1975 1968 1968 1974 1966 2000 1987 1955 1975 1973 1969 1937 2006 1995 1971 2000 1984 1979 2010 1969 1971 1947 1958 AF253419.1 NC_001809.1 DQ235144.1 AJ242984.1 AJ299445.1 AF161266.1 GQ165809.2 KC788512.1 FJ711167.1 JX236040.1 AY438626.1 AB507800.1 KC505248.1 DQ859067.1 L06436.1 NC_012671.1 AF144692.1 AY632542.4 DQ235149.1 DQ859062.1 DQ235150.1 DQ859063.1 JX477686.1 DQ235152.1 DQ859064.1 DQ359217.1 NC_3996.1 AF069066.1 AB062064.1 FJ572210.1 AB062063.2 TEU27495 GU183384.1 EF469662.1 EF469661.1 JQ314465.1 DQ235151.1 DQ235148.1 DQ859065.1 AY453412.1 Mansonia spp.? Pteronotus parnellii Homo sapiens Homo sapiens Macaca sylvanus Dog Ixodes ricinus Ixodes persulcatus Clethrionomys rufocanus Ixodes persulcatus Goose Aedes spp. Culex neavei Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Origin of the genus Flavivirus 1973 Langat virus Louping ill virus Meaban virus Modoc virus Montana myotis leukoencephalitis virus Murray Valley encephalitis Nakiwogo virus New Mapoon Virus Nounane virus Ntaya virus Omsk hemorrhagic fever virus Omsk hemorrhagic fever virus Palm Creek Virus Potiskum virus Powassan virus Quang Binh virus Rio Bravo virus Rocio virus Royal Farm virus Saboya virus Saumarez Reef virus Sepik virus Sitiawan virus Spanish sheep encephalitis virus Spondweni virus St. Louis encephalitis virus Tamana bat virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tick-borne encephalitis virus Tembusu virus Turkish sheep encephalitis virus Tyuleniy virus Uganda S virus Usutu virus Virus abbreviation DQ859058.1 AF196835.2 NC_1563.2 AY765264.1 EU082199.1 AF094612.1 AB114858.1 DQ859059.1 1955 1999 1937 1997 1968 1979 1971 1947 MB MB MB MB MB MB NKV MB Wesselsbron virus West Nile virus West Nile virus West Nile virus Yaounde virus Yellow fever virus Yokose virus Zika virus WESSV WNV WNV WNV YAOV YFV YOKV ZIKV SAH-177-99871-2 NY99-flamingo382-99 B956 Rabensburg-97-103 DakAr-Y276 Trinidad-79A-788379 Oita-36 MR-766 Merino sheep Phoenicopterus chilensis Homo sapiens Culex pipiens Culex nebulosis Haemagogus spegazzini Miniopterus fuliginosus Rhesus monkey Year Source of isolate Strain Virus abbreviation Virus Table 1. cont. 1974 compared with the more narrow Beringian calibration (Table S1). Vector group GenBank accession no. J. H.-O Pettersson and O. Fiz-Palacios The use of the Yang96 model with tip dates as calibration recovered older ages and broader intervals (95 % HPD) compared with using the SRD06 model (Table S1). However, both SRD06 and Yang96 model analyses under Beringian calibration recovered similar ranges for the 95 % HPD intervals (Table S1). The difference in estimates seen between SRD06, allowing for the third codon position to vary independently of the linked first and second codon positions, and Yang96, allowing for all three codon positions to vary, is an indication that divergence time estimates become biased towards the present, with higher substitution rates per nucleotide (Worobey et al., 2010). The differences seen between the calibration schemes are explained by the fact that estimating the tMRCA for entire virus families or genera requires a broad sampling scheme in order to cover as much of the variation as possible from the group in question. However, the wider the sampling, the higher the variation in substitution rates among lineages. This will consequently lead to an increasing departure from a constant molecular clock (Bromham & Penny, 2003; Duffy et al., 2008; Holmes, 2003a). A high variation in substitution rates will lead to uncertainty in the reconstructed divergence times unless calibration points restrict the node ages. Therefore, using tip dates alone results in a high level of uncertainty for the deeper nodes and thus internal calibration becomes crucial (Ho & Phillips, 2009). As the Beringian calibration constraint (15 000–11 000 years) is narrower than the TBF calibration constraint (16 100–42 300 years; Heinze et al., 2012), the resulting 95 % HPD intervals from the Beringian analysis are also narrower. Our study shows how incorporation of internal calibration in large-scale virus phylogenies can help reconstruct more precise divergences times, independent of the substitution model, given a robust and reliable calibration by narrowing down the 95 % HPD intervals. Furthermore, as the mean tMRCA estimates are generally congruent between the calibration schemes applied (Table S1), we will hereafter only report and discuss the results from the combined tip dates and the internal node calibration based on the BeringianPOWV biogeographical event, i.e. the Beringian calibration, with the most narrow 95 % HPD intervals, unless otherwise stated. This is because the incorporation of biogeographical information is essential to date virus origins, especially for ancient events (Katzourakis et al., 2009; Wertheim & Kosakovsky Pond, 2011), as is the case with Flavivirus. Divergence times of the genus Flavivirus: congruences and incongruences The genus Flavivirus is defined as sensu lato (node B) or sensu stricto (node C). Our analysis, inferred from complete coding nucleotide genomes, indicated that Flavivirus sensu lato originated ~119 800 (87 100–158 900) years ago if TABV is to be considered a part of the genus, or ~84 700 Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Journal of General Virology 95 Origin of the genus Flavivirus (63 700–109 600) years ago if TABV is excluded, i.e. Flavivirus sensu stricto. Either way, this first molecular dating for the whole genus indicates a significantly older age than the 10 000 years that was previously suggested for Flavivirus sensu stricto (Gould et al., 2001). Our results also contrast the 3 000 years age of the MBFdom group (node F), including MBFs, ISFs and NKVFs, estimated in Zanotto et al. (1996). In the present analysis, the MBFdom group (node F) was instead suggested to have emerged .41 500 (32 600–51 600) years ago, with a subsequent diversification of the MBFAedes clade (node H) and the MBFCulex clade (node K) clade ~25 900 (19 800– 32 000) and ~26 900 (21 000–33 400) years ago, respectively. Previously, the ISFa clade (node E) was indicated to have emerged between 3500 and 350 000 years ago (Crochu et al., 2004). The combination of tip date calibration and internal node calibration allows us to more precisely pinpoint the origin of the ISFa clade to have occurred ~40 700 (30 800–52 300) years ago, i.e. ~44 000 years after the split from the last common ancestor of Flavivirus sensu stricto (node C) that emerged ~84 700 (63 700–110 000) years ago. We also showed the first proposed dating of the NKVFa clade (node N), here estimated to have emerged ~24 100 (18 000–30 900) years ago, ~15 000 years after the split from the last common ancestor of TBFs and NKVFs (node L). The sharp contrast between the estimates in the present study and previous studies can possibly be explained because evolutionary rates in our study are inferred from a genus-wide sampled dataset using a codon-based substitution model as compared with a nucleotide-based substitution model used in many other studies. It is likely that nucleotide-based substitution models will not be able to account for variation in selective pressure throughout evolutionary history, where the effect of purifying selection is likely to cause underestimation of the actual ages (Wertheim & Kosakovsky Pond, 2011). Using the SLAC, FEL, IFEL, FUBAR and MEME methods available within the HyPhy package (Pond et al., 2005) and at the Datamonkey webserver (Delport et al., 2010), there were none-to-weak signs of positive selection, but strong signs of purifying selection in the alignment used in the present study (results available upon request). Signs of strong purifying selection within Flavivirus are in concordance with what has been found previously for members of the genus Flavivirus and for vector-borne RNA viruses in general (Holmes, 2003b; Pybus et al., 2007; Woelk & Holmes, 2002). A codon-based substitution model can to some extent compensate for purifying selection, producing older tMRCA estimates than nucleotide-based substitution models (Wertheim & Kosakovsky Pond, 2011). However, and more importantly, to accurately date deep RNA virus origins, the use of other sources of evidence (such as biogeography) will eventually become necessary as even codon-based models cannot account for the complex interactions of events and factors that have occurred throughout evolution (Katzourakis & Gifford, 2010; Katzourakis et al., 2009). http://vir.sgmjournals.org Our study is supported by the fact that both Beringian calibration and only tip date calibration give similar mean tMRCA estimates, although only tip date calibration gives broader 95 % HPD intervals. In contrast to several studies (Sharp & Simmonds, 2011), we have not found any conflict between internal node and tip date calibrations. Our results are also congruent with several other studies (Table S3). The estimated tMRCA for the TBFs clade [node M, at 27 500 (21 700–34 200) years ago] is supported by previous estimates for the whole clade (Heinze et al., 2012) (28 600 years ago) and for the lineages within (Bertrand et al., 2012; Uzcátegui et al., 2012) (Table S3). For the split of the POWV clade and its sister (node O), our tMRCA estimates of 14 800 years ago from tip date analysis also match broadly with previous molecular clock studies (12 300 years ago; Heinze et al., 2012) and support the use of the Beringian biogeographical calibration. Evolutionary rates of the genus Flavivirus and molecular clocks in RNA viruses Rates of nucleotide substitution were estimated from the Beringian calibrated BEAST analyses for the entire ORF of the genome (Table 3). Rates for the Beringian, TBF and tip date calibration are summarized in Table S2. The genomic substitution rate of positive-sense ssRNA viruses varies between 1022 and 1025 substitutions site–1 year21 (Hanada et al., 2004; Jenkins et al., 2002; Sanjuán, 2012). Even though the estimated mean rates in the present study for Flavivirus sensu lato (including TABV; node B), 461025 (261025 to 661025) substitutions site–1 year21, are within range of those estimated for positive-sense ssRNA viruses, they are at least an order of magnitude slower than previous estimates for different lineages within Flavivirus, i.e. 161023 and 261024 substitutions site–1 year21 as found for DENV-4 and St. Louis encephalitis virus, respectively (Sanjuán, 2012 and references therein). Our results are not very surprising given that rate differences of up to 125 times have been shown for simian immunodeficiency virus as compared with its sister, HIV (Worobey et al., 2010). Furthermore, we did not find that the MBFdom group (node F) evolved at a significantly faster rate than the TBF clade (node M), as reported previously (Zanotto et al., 1995, 1996). Instead, our study showed that the MBFdom group (node F) evolved at a mean rate of 3.261025 (1.761025 to 5.061025) substitutions site–1 year–1 and that the TBF clade evolved at a mean rate of 3.961025 (2.361025 to 5.761025) substitutions site–1 year–1 (Table 3). Therefore, the implications for Flavivirus evolution derived from Zanotto et al. (1995, 1996) need to be revised and reconsidered. The fastest rate of nucleotide substitution was found for the ISFa clade (node E), with a mean rate of 6.261025 (4.061025 to 8.661025) substitutions site–1 year–1. Their fast rate of evolution could perhaps be explained by their vertical mode of cycling transmission in combination with their specificity to insects with relatively Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 1975 J. H.-O Pettersson and O. Fiz-Palacios Beringian calibration (11 000–15 000 years) TBF O TBF calibration (16 100–44 929 years) M L N D TBEV-Eu_1971_TEU27495 TBEV-Eu_2006_FJ572210.1 SSEV_1987_DQ235152.1 LIV_1963_NC_001809.1 GGEV_1969_DQ235153.1 TSEV_1969_DQ235151.1 TBEV-FE_1995_AB062063.2 TBEV-FE_1937_AB062064.1 TBEV_1979_EF469661.1 TBEV_1984_EF469662.1 TBEV-Sib_1969_AF069066.1 TBEV-Sib_2000_GU183384.1 OHFV_1947_AY438626.1 OHFV_1947_AB507800.1 LGTV_1956_AF253419.1 AHFV_1995_AF331718.1 KFDV_1957_JF416959.1 POWV_1958_L06436.1 DTV_1995_NC_003218.1 GGYV_1975_DQ235145.1 KSIV_1972_NC_006947.1 RFV_1968_DQ235149.1 KADV_1967_DQ235146.1 SREV_1974_DQ235150.1 MEAV_1981_DQ235144.1 TYUV_1971_DQ235148.1 MMLV_1958_AJ299445.1 RBV_1954_AF144692.1 MODV_1958_AJ242984.1 APOIV_1954_AF160193.1 KUNV_1960_D00246.1 WNV_1999_AF196835.2 WNV_1937_NC_001563.2 WNV_1997_AY765264.1 KOUV_1968_EU082200.1 YAOV_1968_EU082199.1 MVEV_1956_AF161266.1 ALFV_1966_AY898809.1 JEV_1982_M18370.1 USUV_1958_AY453412.1 SLEV_1975_DQ359217.1 ROCV_1975_AY632542.4 ILHV_1944_AY632539.4 TMUV_2010_JQ314465.1 BYDV_2010_JF312912.1 STWV_2000_JX477686.1 BAGV_1966_AY632545.2 BAGV_2010_HQ644143.1 NTAV_1966_JX236040.1 IGUV_1979_AY632538.4 BSQV_1956_NC_009026.2 NMV_1998_KC788512.1 KOKV_1960_NC_009029.2 DENV-1_1974_U88536.1 DENV-3_1956_M93130.1 DENV-2_1944_AF038403.1 DENV-4_1956_M14931.2 ZIKV_1947_DQ859059.1 SPOV_1955_DQ859064.1 KEDV_1972_AY632540.2 NOUV_2004_FJ711167.1 ISF CHAOV_2003_JQ068102.1 LAMV_2004_FJ606789.1 DGV_2009_NC_016997.1 SABV_1968_DQ859062.1 POTV_1989_DQ859067.1 JUGV_1968_DQ859066.1 BANV_1956_DQ859056.1 UGSV_1947_DQ859065.1 BOUV_1967_DQ859057.1 EHV_1969_DQ859060.1 WESSV_1955_DQ859058.1 SEPV_1966_DQ859063.1 YFV_1979_AF094612.1 YOKV_1971_AB114858.1 ENTV_1957_DQ837641.1 CxFV_2003_AB262759.2 QBV_2002_NC_012671.1 NAKV_2008_GQ165809.2 PCV_2010_KC505248.1 KRV_1999_NC_005064.1 AEFV_2011_KC181923.1 CFAV_1975_NC_001564.1 HANKV_2005_JQ268258.1 TABV_1973_NC_003996.1 NKVF BVDV-1_1963_NC_001461.1 NKVF MBF K J I C ISF F H G B MBF NKVF A 322 E 200 150 land bridge glacier 16 000–14 000 years 0 Time (×103 years) 50 land bridge land bridge glacier 25 000–18 000 years 100 ISF migration path POWV 13 000–11 000 years glacier glacier POWV mig rati on pa th <10 500 years Fig. 1. Chronogram based on tip date calibrated terminals and internal nodes using Beringian calibration (see text for details). All named nodes have maximum posterior probability support (1.0 pp). Terminal tips are named by virus name (abbreviations, 1976 Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Journal of General Virology 95 Origin of the genus Flavivirus see Table 1), year of isolation and GenBank accession number. Development of the Beringia region between the last glacial maximum until the Bering Strait was formed (25 000–10 500 years ago). Beringia development after Elias et al. (1996) and Dixon (2013). short generation times (Bolling et al., 2012; Lutomiah et al., 2007). Estimates of substitution rates are often found to be much higher for tips than for deep nodes (Wertheim & Kosakovsky Pond, 2011). From our perspective, a highly variable non-constant molecular clock with pulses of very high substitution rates for short periods of time may reflect the difference of orders of magnitude seen when comparing evolutionary rates in short and recent times (e.g. 161023 for DENV-4 in Klungthong et al., 2004) with long and deep times (e.g. 461025 for Flaviviruses sensu lato in this study). Beringia and the emergence of POWV in North America The Beringian land bridge was open for land migration between 15 000 and 11 000 years ago until it was flooded and the Bering Strait was formed (Dixon, 2013; Elias, 2001; Elias et al., 1996; Kelly, 2003), effectively blocking migration between Asia and North America for animals other than humans (Fig. 1). Our molecular reconstructions using only tip dates are congruent with POWV being introduced into North America when the Beringian land bridge was accessible and supports the use of tip dates in combination with an internal Beringian calibration (Fig. 1, Table 2). How then did POWV enter North America? Although humans might have been responsible for carrying POWV, as humans do get infected with POWV, perhaps it is more likely that ticks and associated tick hosts jointly brought POWV into North America. Human infections with POWV in present times are infrequent (Ebel, 2010), although numbers appear to be on the increase (Hinten et al., 2008). Between 15 000 and 11 000 years ago, the migrating human population who settled the Americas had an effective population size of perhaps ,80 individuals (Hey, 2005). This, in combination with the fact that POWV is considered to be maintained solely in an enzootic cycle between ixodid ticks and their vertebrate hosts (Ebel, 2010; Ebel et al., 2000), is a strong argument against humans being the likely vectors by which POWV first entered North America. Nor is it likely that POWV entered the Americas by the coastal route. Even though the coastal areas did support marine mammals and had terrestrial mammals living in refugia (Heaton & Grady, 2003), the deglaciated coastal areas had sparse vegetation that did not support large populations of terrestrial mammals (Dixon, 2013). Also, animals were isolated and movement was inhibited due to the glaciers, and the coastal route was, in general, not considered to be a migratory route for mammals other than humans (Dixon, 2013). In view of the results from the present study, the most likely time period of introduction was after the deglaciation corridor became habitable ~13 500 years ago (Catto, 1996; Dixon, 2013) and before sea levels rose by 40 m and the Bering strait reached its present width before 10 500 years ago (Elias et al., 1996). During this period, populations of Table 2. Mean estimated tMRCA (¾103 years) and 95 % HPD interval: results for the Beringian, TBF and tip date calibration analyses Node A: Root B: TABV/ISF–MBF–TBF–NKVF C: ISFa/MBFdom–TBF–NKVFa D: MBFdom/TBF–NKVFa E: ISFa F: MBFdom G: NKVFb/MBFAedes H: MBFAedes I: ISFb/NOUV–MBFCulex J: NOUV/MBFCulex K: MBFCulex L: TBF/NKVFa M: TBF N: NKVFa O: POWV/sister clade of TBF http://vir.sgmjournals.org Beringian (11 000–15 000 years) TBF (16 100–42 300 years) Tip dates only tMRCA 95 % HPD tMRCA 95 % HPD tMRCA 95 % HPD 230.5 119.8 84.7 47.2 40.7 41.5 33.2 25.9 33.8 31.0 26.9 39.3 27.5 24.1 12.8 156.1–322.7 87.1–158.9 63.7–109.6 37.3–58.7 30.8–52.3 32.6–51.6 25.7–42.0 19.8–33.0 26.6–42.1 24.3–38.6 21.0–3343 30.7–49.2 21.7–34.2 18.0–30.9 11.0–14.8 219.4 114.0 80.6 44.9 38.5 39.4 31.5 24.6 32.1 29.5 25.5 37.5 26.2 22.9 12.2 110.6–387.6 62.2–194.6 45.0–135.1 26.4–73.9 21.7–64.6 23.1–64.9 18.2–52.3 14.0–41.0 18.7–52.9 17.2–48.7 14.8–42.1 21.9–61.4 16.1–42.3 12.8–38.4 7.0–20.0 265.0 138.7 98.4 54.0 46.8 47.4 37.9 29.5 38.7 35.5 30.7 44.9 31.5 27.5 14.8 25.6–2.768.1 12.9–1.456.1 9.8–1.024.7 5.5–560.2 4.6–486.7 4.9–492.7 4.0–390.7 2.9–304.1 3.8–401.9 3.8–369.4 3.3–320.0 4.2–468.5 3.1–329.4 2.9–286.6 1.5–152.3 Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 1977 J. H.-O Pettersson and O. Fiz-Palacios Table 3. Mean estimated evolutionary rates (¾10”5 substitutions site–1 year–1) and 95 % HPD intervals for the Beringian calibration (11 000–15 000 years) Node B: TABV/ISF–MBF–TBF–NKVF C: ISFa/MBFdom–TBF–NKVF D: MBFdom/TBF–NKVFa E: ISFa F: MBFdom G: NKVFb/MBFAedes H: MBFAedes I: ISFb/NOUV–MBFCulex J: NOUV/MBFCulex K: MBFCulex L: TBF/NKVFa M: TBF N: NKVFa O: POWV/sister clade of TBF Mean rate 95 % HPD 3.96 3.60 2.56 6.24 3.24 2.92 3.11 4.02 3.95 4.19 4.27 3.89 5.18 4.30 2.04–6.14 1.81–5.57 1.57–3.70 4.00–8.65 1.73–5.00 1.63–4.43 1.70–4.72 2.28–6.03 2.12–6.06 2.30–6.37 2.39–6.38 2.32–5.73 2.32–6.15 3.31–7.23 ixodid ticks and land mammals (including humans) could have migrated from eastern Beringia through the then habitable deglaciated corridor to the south of the glaciers (Dixon, 2013; Goebel & Buvit, 2011; Shapiro et al., 2004). Ticks and tick hosts maintaining POWV might initially have been restricted to eastern Beringia, north-west of the glaciers. As the deglaciated corridor became habitable and animals could migrate southwards, and after the Bering Strait was formed preventing land migration back to Asia, POWV became established in North America. Using an internal calibration of 15 000–11 000 or 16 000–10 000 years for the split of POWV from closely related TBFs gives similar tMRCA dates for POWV crossing into the Americas (12 800 and 12 500 years ago, respectively), which is in agreement with dates of the opening and closing of the Beringian land bridge. Did flaviviruses and humans spread throughout the globe together? Viruses, and RNA viruses in particular, are among the most successful evolving entities on the planet, having colonized and adapted to an array of different environments and modes of transmission within all domains of life (Wasik & Turner, 2012). The most significant event that might have helped shape the distribution of flaviviruses is perhaps the spread of modern humans out of Africa. Modern humans arose in Africa (Cavalli-Sforza & Feldman, 2003; McDougall et al., 2005; Stringer & Andrews, 1988), and began migrating to other continents between 80 000 and 40 000 years ago, having populated all continents except Antarctica by 10 000 years ago (Blome et al., 2012; Henn et al., 2012; Macaulay et al., 2005; Rasmussen et al., 2011). The migration of humans out of Africa has been accompanied by several other pathogens. The pathogenic bacterium Helicobacter pylori appears to have accompanied human migration out of Africa and is estimated to have spread from east Africa ~58 000 1978 years ago (Falush et al., 2003; Linz et al., 2007; Moodley et al., 2012). Likewise, the Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex is estimated to have started to diverge ~70 000 years ago, consistent with an African origin linked to human expansion and migration (Comas et al., 2013; Wirth et al., 2008). Similarly, several human pathogenic viruses also show patterns of co-divergence associated with human diversification (Holmes, 2004). Therefore, it is perhaps not unlikely that the spread and evolution of several Flavivirus strains, especially if much of the Flavivirus diversity originated in Africa (Gould et al., 2001, 2003), was influenced by human migration and expansion across the globe. METHODS Virus genomes, sequence alignments and models of molecular evolution. Complete coding genomes of the genus Flavivirus, excluding the untranslated 59 and 39 flanking regions, were retrieved from GenBank (Table 1). Genomes were selected based on available background information on the year of virus strain isolation (isolated between 1937 and 2011). BVDV-1 of the genus Pestivirus within the family Flaviviridae was included as an outgroup based on a previously published Flavivirus phylogeny (Cook et al., 2012). To construct a robust alignment without frameshifts, all sequences were translated to amino acids in SeaView 4.4.2 (Gouy et al., 2010), aligned with MAFFT 7.037b using the default G-INS-i algorithm and parameters (Katoh & Standley, 2013), and then back-translated into nucleotides. The resulting alignments were inspected visually and edited with AliView 0.8 (http://ormbunkar.se/aliview). To estimate the best-fitting model of evolution for the sequence alignments, model tests were performed for the nucleotide alignment using jModelTest 2.1.3 (Darriba et al., 2012) and for the amino acid alignment using ProtTest 3.2.1 (Darriba et al., 2011). To test the null hypothesis of a strict molecular clock, a maximum-likelihood clock test was performed using MEGA 5.22 (Tamura et al., 2011). The best-fitting models were then specified in the respective analyses. Phylogenetic analysis: maximum-likelihood and Bayesian analysis. Maximum-likelihood trees were estimated using RAxML 7.6.3 (Stamatakis, 2006) with 1000 rapid bootstraps under the GTR+ I+G model for the nucleotide alignment and the WAG+I+G model for the amino acid alignment, respectively. Bayesian phylogenetic trees were inferred using MrBayes 3.2.1 (Ronquist et al., 2012) by executing two parallel runs with four Metropolis-coupled chains for 20 million and 9 million Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) generations, using GTR+I+G for nucleotides and WAG+I+G for amino acids as model of evolution, respectively, sampling every 1000 generations and run with default priors, discarding the first 25 % as burn-in. Estimating the tMRCA: Bayesian analysis with BEAST. To explore the temporal scale of the entire genus Flavivirus, evolutionary rates and the tMRCA were estimated using a Bayesian MCMC method as implemented in BEAST 1.7.5 (Drummond et al., 2012). All BEAST runs were performed with calibrated tip dates where the sequence with the most recent sampling date (2011) was set to represent the present. The SRD06 codon-based partition model (Shapiro et al., 2006) and HKY85+G nucleotide substitution model were used together with a non-parametric Bayesian skyline population coalescent tree prior with a piecewise-constant skyline demographic model (Drummond et al., 2005), along with a log-normal uncorrelated relaxed molecular clock. The effect of using the Yang96 codon model (Yang, 1996) was also explored in a separate analysis. All analyses were run for 100 million generations in triplicate, sampling every 1000 generations to ensure mixing of chains and that a sufficiently effective sample size Downloaded from www.microbiologyresearch.org by IP: 88.99.165.207 On: Thu, 15 Jun 2017 00:47:03 Journal of General Virology 95 Origin of the genus Flavivirus (.200) was reached. Convergence of chains and effective sample size statistics were analysed with Tracer 1.5 (http://beast.bio.ed.ac.uk/ Tracer). Log and tree files were combined in LogCombiner (BEAST package) to produce consensus files of the different runs. Finally, maximum clade credibility trees of the three different analyses were produced using TreeAnnotator (BEAST package). Chronograms were viewed and annotated in FigTree 1.3.1 (http://tree.bio.ed.ac.uk/software/ figtree). Computations were performed at the Bioportal webportal at the University of Oslo (www.bioportal.uio.no), the CIPRES webportal (Miller et al., 2010) and at the Uppsala Multidisciplinary Center for Advanced Computational Science (www.uppmax.uu.se). complete coding sequences of arthropod-borne viruses and viruses with no known vector. J Gen Virol 81, 781–790. Calibration schemes. In Bolling, B. G., Olea-Popelka, F. J., Eisen, L., Moore, C. G. & Blair, C. D. (2012). Transmission dynamics of an insect-specific flavivirus in a BEAST, three calibration schemes were applied. (i) The first analysis was run with default uniform priors using tip dates only (i.e. uncalibrated internal nodes) allowing the MCMC chains to freely explore the treespace and the node height. (ii) The second analysis was run using tip dates together with secondary calibration data for the TBF node (split of mammalian TBFs from seabird TBFs), previously estimated to have originated between 44 929 and 16 100 years ago (Heinze et al., 2012), hereafter referred to as the TBF calibration. These dates were incorporated as upper and lower bounds using a uniform distribution. (iii) The third analysis was run using tip dates together with an internal node calibration based on the biogeographical event for the split of the POWV and closely related TBFs during the existence of the Beringian land bridge, estimated to have been open for mammal land migration between 15 000 and 11 000 years ago (see Introduction). Here, the ages of the opening and closing times of the Beringian land bridge were used to specify a maximum bound (15 000 years) and minimum bound (11 000 years) for the age of this split, given that the POWV clade is the only North American TBF and that all other TBFs are either African, Eurasian or Oceanian (Heinze et al., 2012), hereafter referred to as the Beringian calibration. In addition to the Beringian calibration, we also tested the effect of allowing for a wider range of the opening and closing of the Beringia land bridge (Dixon, 2013). Here, the age for the split between POWV and closely related TBFs was set with an internal calibration to an upper bound of 16 000 years ago and a lower bound of 10 000 years ago. Blome, M. W., Cohen, A. S., Tryon, C. A., Brooks, A. S. & Russell, J. (2012). The environmental context for the origins of modern human diversity: a synthesis of regional variability in African climate 150,000–30,000 years ago. J Hum Evol 62, 563–592. Bodner, M., Perego, U. A., Huber, G., Fendt, L., Röck, A. W., Zimmermann, B., Olivieri, A., Gómez-Carballa, A., Lancioni, H. & other authors (2012). Rapid coastal spread of First Americans: novel insights from South America’s Southern Cone mitochondrial genomes. Genome Res 22, 811–820. naturally infected Culex pipiens laboratory colony and effects of coinfection on vector competence for West Nile virus. Virology 427, 90–97. Bromham, L. & Penny, D. (2003). The modern molecular clock. Nat Rev Genet 4, 216–224. Catto, N. R. (1996). Richardson Mountains, Yukon-Northwest territories: the northern portal of the postulated ‘Ice-Free Corridor’. Quartern Int 32, 3–19. Cavalli-Sforza, L. L. & Feldman, M. W. (2003). The application of molecular genetic approaches to the study of human evolution. Nat Genet 33 (Suppl), 266–275. Chambers, T. J., Hahn, C. S., Galler, R. & Rice, C. M. (1990). Flavivirus genome organization, expression, and replication. Annu Rev Microbiol 44, 649–688. Comas, I., Coscolla, M., Luo, T., Borrell, S., Holt, K. E., Kato-Maeda, M., Parkhill, J., Malla, B., Berg, S. & other authors (2013). Out-of- Africa migration and Neolithic coexpansion of Mycobacterium tuberculosis with modern humans. Nat Genet 45, 1176–1182. Cook, S. & Holmes, E. C. (2006). A multigene analysis of the phylogenetic relationships among the flaviviruses (Family: Flaviviridae) and the evolution of vector transmission. Arch Virol 151, 309–325. Cook, S., Moureau, G., Kitchen, A., Gould, E. A., de Lamballerie, X., Holmes, E. C. & Harbach, R. E. (2012). Molecular evolution of the insect-specific flaviviruses. J Gen Virol 93, 223–234. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We are grateful to Allison Perrigo, Martin Ryberg and Petra Korall for their constructive comments and feedback on the manuscript. We acknowledge Allison Perrigo and Stina Weststrand for their help with the design of the figures. We are also grateful to James E. Dixon for valuable information and discussions on Beringian biogeography. Finally, we wish to acknowledge all the hard work by people all over the world making the sequences used in the present study available to everyone. J. H.-O. P. was supported by Stiftelsen Olle Engkvist Byggmästare. Crochu, S., Cook, S., Attoui, H., Charrel, R. N., De Chesse, R., Belhouchet, M., Lemasson, J. J., de Micco, P. & de Lamballerie, X. (2004). Sequences of flavivirus-related RNA viruses persist in DNA form integrated in the genome of Aedes spp. mosquitoes. J Gen Virol 85, 1971–1980. Darriba, D., Taboada, G. 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