The More Things Change... American Identity and Mass and Elite Responses to 9/11 Author(s): Deborah J. Schildkraut Source: Political Psychology, Vol. 23, No. 3, Special Issue: 9/11 and Its Aftermath: Perspectives from Political Psychology (Sep., 2002), pp. 511-535 Published by: International Society of Political Psychology Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3792590 Accessed: 12/01/2009 09:19 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. 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Schildkraut Department of Politics, Oberlin College Thisarticle examinesconceptionsof Americannational identityby contrastingAmericans' responses to the Pearl Harborattackin 1941 with their responsesto the terroristattacksin 2001. Examinationsof official rhetoric,mass media statements,and public opinion after Pearl Harbor and after 9/11 reveal changes as well as continuities in the relationship betweenconceptionsof national identityand responsesto experiencingthreatin theface of diversity.Lingeringascriptivistviews have been awakenedby 9/11, yet this narrow image of American identity is being directly challenged by a more inclusive incorporationist tradition. This clash of symbolic conceptions of national identity results in divergence between elite rhetoric and mass opinion, with elites promoting incorporationismand ordinarycitizens displayingthe reawakeningof ascriptivistnorms. KEY WORDS: Americanidentity,elite and mass opinions, symbolic politics, 9/11 Within 10 weeks of the Japaneseattackon PearlHarboron 7 December 1941, PresidentRoosevelt issued Executive Order9066, which authorizedthe exclusion of any andall people from"militaryareas"alongthe West Coast.Despitethe ethnic neutralityof the order,Japaneseresidentsand JapaneseAmericanswere the only ones excluded from these military areas and subsequentlyinterned.The "mass evacuation"was officially terminatedin December 1944, althoughcampsfor those who refusedto takethe infamousloyalty oathsremainedoperativeuntilmid-1946. Roughly two-thirdsof the 120,000 people internedduringthe war were American citizens (Murray,2000). Since the terroristattacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on 11 September2001 (9/11), the attackon PearlHarborandits aftermathhave again become prominentfeatures of American national consciousness.1At one level, 1 A Lexis-Nexis searchof "PearlHarbor"in majornewspapersfor the 4 weeks following 9/11 yields 666 hits. The same searchfor the month preceding9/11 yields 100 hits, most of which refer to the 511 0162-895X ? 2002 InternationalSociety of Political Psychology Publishedby Blackwell Publishing,Inc., 350 Main Street, Maiden,MA 02148, USA, and 108 Cowley Road, Oxford, OX4 1JF,UK. 512 Schildkraut people are recallingthe shock and fear thatcame with the suddenrealizationthat theirworldshadbeen instantlychangedforever.Similarly,people arerecallingthe patriotismthatthe attackevoked andthe subsequentdeterminationof the American people to worktogetherto defendthe nationandits ideals, an effortthatforgedthe "greatestgeneration."2At the same time, people are also recallingthe internment camps and the mistreatmentof many innocentpeople, practicesthatgrew out of a combinationof fear and prevailingunderstandingsof Americannationalidentity. Takentogether,these nationalrecollectionsareuseful for helpingcitizens navigate these newly uncertaintimes. They serve as both an inspirationand a warning,for they portraya nation simultaneouslyat its best and worst. These recollectionsare useful from a scholarly standpointas well. When comparedto responsesto 9/11, they illustratethe extent to which ourefforts to deal with the combinationof threat and diversityhave changedand the extent to which they have remainedthe same. To understandthese changesandcontinuities,we need to examinehow people conceive of Americannationalidentity,the extentto which these conceptionshave evolved since the Second World War (WWII), and the relationship between nationalidentityandpolicy preferences,particularlyunderconditionsof threat.My goal here is to provide these examinations.In particular,I analyze changes and continuities in the role that ethnoculturaland incorporationistconceptions of American identity have played and continue to play in the reactionsof political leaders,the media, andordinaryAmericansto these domesticattacks.The analysis focuses on threecomparisons.First,elite responsesto 9/11 in the formof presidential rhetoric,policy proposals, and media coverage are comparedto similar responses to the attack on Pearl Harbor.Next, quantitativeand qualitativepublic opinion data collected before 9/11 are comparedto trendsemerging since then, including views on immigrationand ethnic profiling. Finally, the relationship between currentmass and elite opinions is explored. The analysis documents both changes and continuities in the relationship between conceptions of nationalidentity and responses to experiencingthreatin the face of diversity. On the one hand, lingering ethnoculturalconceptions of American identity have been awakened by the attacks. On the other hand, this narrowimage of "whatit means to be an American"is being directlychallenged by the incorporationisttradition.Examplesof this counterbalancingforce include George W. Bush's immediate plea for Americans to avoid ethnic profiling and intense media commentary promoting a multiethnic conception of American identity. The prominenceof this clash of traditionsillustratesan importantbreak with the past. motionpicturePearl Harbor,which was releasedin late spring,andto a cable television series about an armydivision in WWIIcalled Band of Brothers,which began runningonly days before 9/11. 2 The "greatestgeneration"is the name given to the WWIIgenerationin a best-sellingbook, called The GreatestGeneration(1998), by news anchorTom Brokaw. The More Things Change 513 Attemptsto understandthese developing patternsare informedby contributions from researchon symbolic politics and on the relationshipbetween elite and mass preferences.Scholarshipon agenda-settingand opinion leadershipindicates that opinion convergence should exist between elected officials and the majority of ordinarycitizens once anissue achieves high salience,regardlessof which actors are seen as the leaders and which are seen as the followers. Symbolic politics studies, on the otherhand, suggest thaton issues dealing with race, ethnicity,and identity,electoral incentives may inhibit convergence.These divergentpossibilities about how masses and elites respondto majorpolitical developmentsframe the investigation that follows. In line with previous symbolic politics findings, particularlyMendelberg'sanalysis of racial discourse (2001), I find that changes in societal norms over the past several decades have led us to the currentcontext where ascriptivistnorms appearto be shaping the views of ordinaryAmericans more than they are shapingthe rhetoricof political leaders.This disjunctureleads to the clash of traditionsdescribedabove andis a productof the dynamismthathas characterizedconceptionsof Americanidentityover the past several decades. Ethnicity, American Identity, and Policy Preferences SymbolicPolitics The presentstudy fits within a broaderline of inquiryin political psychology researchthat focuses on the relationshipbetween symbolic predispositions,such as nationalidentity, and policy preferences.This scholarshipposits that national identityis an abstractsymbolicattachmentanddemonstratesthatabstractsymbolic attachmentsare often strongpredictorsof policy preferences.These attachments area mechanismthroughwhichpeople determinewhatthey want,whatis possible, whatto fear,andwho they are(Edelman,1964/1985). Simplyput,politicalsymbols wield power over policy preferencesbecause they are functional.By using them, individualsbecome betterable to navigatethe political and social world. Political symbols make the complex seem simple and provide prescriptionsfor bringing orderto a disorderlyworld (Elder & Cobb, 1983). As such, abstractideas about nationalidentity shapethe needs and desires of Americancitizens as far as public policy is concerned (Citrin & Duff, 1998; Citrin, Reingold, & Green, 1990; Frendreis& Tatalovich, 1997; Schildkraut,2001a). A thoroughinvestigationof responsesto the terroristattacks,therefore,requiresus to look to the roles played by differentideas aboutwhat it means to be an American. We have recentlyseen a growinginterestin studyinganddissectingAmerican identity.This interesthas been driven,in part,by (1) real and dramaticchanges in the ethnic makeup of the U.S. population, (2) the mid-1990s surge in nativist sentimentand legislation, and (3) the maturationand normalizationof the rights revolutionsthat startedin the 1960s. This confluence of factorshas led people to questionwhat being Americanmeans and to be concernedaboutthe implications 514 Schildkraut of rapid ethnic change for a unified sense of nationhood.These questions and concerns have been festering for some time, but 9/11 has finally broughtthem to the fore. Many people believe that, as Stanley Renshon (2001) wrote, American nationalculturehas over the yearsbeen "decoupledfromethnicity,separatedfrom religion, and detachedeven from race"(p. 258). As othershave shown, however, this decouplinghas often existed more in rhetoricthanin practice(see, e.g., Mills, 1997; Stevens, 1995). The place of race,ethnicity,andreligionin determiningwhat people thinkit means to be an Americanis still very much an active debate. The complex, contested,andpassionatedebateaboutthe relationshipbetween ethnicity and national identity draws on multiple ideological traditionsin the United States.A wide-ranginganalysisof this relationshipwould includea discussion of liberalism and civic republicanismin addition to ethnoculturalismand incorporationism.Such a wide-rangingtreatmentwill not be providedhere, however. Instead,I focus on the lattertwo traditions,primarilybecauseof thedynamism each one possesses and the tension between them-a tension that has been under way for the past several years but has recentlyreachednew prominence.3 Ethnoculturalism.Although ethnoculturalism-the idea that Americanidentity is defined by white Protestantismrooted in NorthernEuropeanheritageand ancestry(Smith, 1993, 1997)-has been widely criticizedand challengedover the years, it continues to play a powerful role in shaping what people think of as "American."Much like the automaticitythat characterizesthe staying power of racialstereotypesdespite"knowingbetter"(Devine, 1989), the stereotypicalimage of an Americanas a white Christianhas been overlearnedand shapesthe thinking of many people towardnon-whitesin the United States, even as they condemnits rigid exclusivity (Schildkraut,2001a). Clearly, ethnoculturalbeliefs and practices are not as prevalenttoday in the United States as they once were. Slavery has long been abolished,Jim Crow laws are a thing of the past, women and minorities now have the right to vote, and national origin quotas have been removed from immigrationlaws. Additional evidence of ethnoculturalism'sdecline is the decrease over time in the public's willingness to express or endorse openly racist beliefs, as documentedby public opinionpolls (Schumanet al., 1997). However, opiniondata still reveal thatmany people are willing to delineateAmericanidentityalong ascriptivelines. People no longer say thatblacks should be denied the full range of rights and opportunities availableto others,but they do say that some people arejust not able to be called "American"becauseof ascriptivecharacteristics.Forexample,in the 1996 General Social Survey (GSS), 55% of the respondentssaid thatbeing a Christianis either somewhat or very importantin making someone a true American,and 70% said the same about being born in America. Statements from white focus group participantsalso point to a fair amountof supportfor this limited idea of who is andis not American.Althoughpeople did not openly statethatmembersof certain 3 For more on the multipleconceptionsof Americanidentity,see Smith (1993, 1997). The More Things Change 515 ethnic groupscould never become Americans,theirwords revealeda tendencyto assumethatpeople who do not fit into ethnoculturalism'sideal type areforeigners. The focus groups show that observing the traditions of one's ancestors and maintainingculturaldistinctivenessoftentrumpcitizenshipwhen white Americans delineatethe boundariesof Americannationalidentity(Schildkraut,2001a).4 So why the continuedprevalenceof ascriptivisttendencies?Recent work by Conover and colleagues (1999) provides some guidancehere. They arguedthatit is difficult to conceive of the concept of "citizen" without the influence of ethnoculturalism.Citizenship,like any othergroupidentity,entails distinguishing groupmembersfromnon-members.As social identitytheoristshave shown,people have a tendencyto form ingroupsand outgroupsand to discriminateaccordingly, whateverthe groupidentitymay be (Tajfel& Turner,1986). People make distinctions based on physical appearancebecause they find it cognitively easy to do so. The salience and meaning of group membershipdiminish when people are surroundedonly by othermembersof theirgroup.In orderfor the conceptof "citizen" to make sense, people use theirracialand ethnic communitiesas a proxy for their political community in determining boundaries. Combine this argument with Devine's (1989) demonstrationof the automaticityof overlearnedstereotypes,and it becomes easy to see why the tendencyto use race andethnicityto define national identityis so resistantto change.The addedcomponentof a horrificdomesticattack carriedout by people of Middle Easterndescent introducesa pervasive sense of threat that buttresses this ethnoculturaltendency even more (see also Volkan, 1994). Incorporationism.Cracksin the ethnoculturaltraditiondo exist, though, and the past several decades have seen the rise and growing acceptance of a rival conceptionof Americanidentity,one thatis rootedin the nation'simmigrantlegacy and cherishes culturaldiversity. The term I use to describe this immigrant-based conception of American identity is "incorporationism."This understandingof Americanidentityis not focused on the similaritiesbetween minoritiesand whites in termsof theirrightsto citizenship;rather,it is aboutcelebratingethnicitiesand providinga forumin which such celebrationscan take place. Incorporationismis not a cover for ethnoculturalism.It does not celebratethe idea of the melting pot while espousing a homogeneous society in which all memberslook, sound, and worshipalike. Nor does incorporationismfavor the extreme scenarioof complete culturaldivisions. As Zolberg and Woon (1999) wrote, "extremedifferentialism and extreme assimilationismare equally ruled out" (p. 30) as political doctrines. The challenge of finding a balance between those two extremes is a matterof tangiblepolitical struggles;the ideal, however, allows for both.5 4 More informationon the focus groups, which I conductedin New Jersey in 1998, is availableupon request. 5 Some readersmay questionwhy I do not use the term "multiculturalism" to describethis conception of nationalidentity."Incorporationism" is an underusedtermwith no specific prescriptionregarding the appropriatelevel of assimilation.Debates aboutthe properrole andextent of assimilationneeded 516 Schildkraut Although the mythology of the United States as a "nationof immigrants"is notnew, the extentto whichit now shapesideas aboutAmericanidentityandguides policy is. Higham (1993), for example, documentedthe rise of "the politics of difference"in the United States and describedit as a distinctlymodem struggle, one thatis still makingonly "halting"progressagainstthe notionthatwhite males form the core of American society (p. 199). And Hollinger (1995) wrote of the "sheertriumph,in late-twentiethcenturyAmerica,of the doctrinethat the United States ought to sustainratherthan diminish a great variety of distinctivecultures carriedby ethno-racialgroups"(p. 101). HoraceKallenwas an early proponentof this understandingof "whatit means to be an American,"althoughhe called it "culturalpluralism."He was writingin responseto the Americanizationmovement, which he criticizedfor tryingto eliminateculturaldifferencesinsteadof tryingto instill respect for democraticprinciplesamong the new arrivals.And he likened Americansociety to an orchestra,arguingthatharmonyratherthanunison should be the ultimateaim (Kallen, 1924). Kallen'sideas did not get muchformalpolitical recognitionin his time. He was writingduringthe age of literacytests for admission to the country,strictimmigrationquotas,the banningof foreignlanguagesin public schools, and of course the Jim Crow South. The essence of his argumentsdid not matureandbecome a truerivalconceptionof Americanidentityuntildecadeslater. Some recent survey and focus group data indicate that many Americans endorsean immigrant-basedconceptionof Americanidentity.In a nationalsurvey called "Lookingfor America,"conductedby Wisconsin PublicTelevision (1997), respondentswere asked whetherthey agreedthatcertaincharacteristicsmake the United Statesdifferentfrom all othercountries.Eighty-twopercentof the respondentsagreedthat"theblendingof many differentculturesinto one culture"makes the United Statesdifferentfrom all othercountries.6In the 1994 GSS, respondents were asked to place themselves on a 7-point scale, where 1 meantthatit would be better for America if different racial and ethnic groups maintain their distinct culturesand where 7 meant that it would be betterif the differentgroups would change so that they would blend into the largersociety. Thirty-onepercentof the sample scored between 1 and 3, favoring the maintenanceof distinct cultural traditions;37% scoredbetween 5 and 7, favoringa more uniformpopulation;and the remainderscored a 4, perhapsfavoringa certaindegree of varietyalong with a certaindegreeof homogeneity.As Citrinandcolleagues (1994) wrote,thispattern in an immigrantnation shape how people interpretthis conceptionof nationalidentity;they do not define it. A vocal left promotesmulticulturalismin the form of rejectingassimilation,and an equally vocal right decries this movement, maintainingthat an immigrantnation can only survive with an assimilationistagenda. A more mainstreamconception of a multiethnicsociety, one that celebrates America's immigranttraditionand seeks to work out a balance between manynessand oneness, is more widely endorsed (Alexander & Smelser, 1999; Tyack, 1999). The term "incorporationism" covers these differentperspectivesthatare all rootedin a reverencefor the immigranttraditionin the United States. 6 The data set and codebook for this survey, USPSRA1997-COLUMBUS,were obtainedfrom the RoperCenterfor Public OpinionResearchat the Universityof Connecticut. The More Things Change 517 reveals that"manyAmericansmay not considermaintainingone's ethnicheritage and blendinginto the largersociety as mutuallyexclusive" (p. 16). When asked what makes us American,participantsin focus groupsroutinely replied by mentioning the extent to which one will be surroundedby different culturesin America,a simplefact of everydaylife thatis seen as bothpraiseworthy and uniqueto this country.Regardlessof theirown ethnicity,participantsstrongly identified with the nation's immigranttradition,describingthe joys and wonders of living in a diverse society and lamentingthat they have largely become out of touch with the cultureof their ancestors.They see culturaldiversity as distinctly Americanand are wary of too much assimilation,although,in supportof Citrin's claim, they believe that a certaindegree of assimilationis necessary(Schildkraut, 2001a). Summary.Symbolic notions of Americanidentity are consistent and strong predictorsof policy preferences.Two rival conceptionsof thatidentity,ethnoculturalismand incorporationism,are particularlyrelevantto domestic debatesabout how to deal with terrorism.Incorporationismcenters on the immigrantlegacy of the nation,emphasizesthe immigrantexperienceas a sharedone, and sees American society as a multiethnicone that occupies a space somewherein between the two extremes of cultural erasure and separatism.After 9/11, this tradition is challengedby new concernsaboutimmigrationand a possible "enemywithin."At the same time, 9/11 has also demonstratedthe powerthatthis traditionhas amassed in the yearsbetween 1941 and 2001. The inherenttensionsbetweenincorporationism andethnoculturalismarenow surfacingin a clash of traditionsthatwas largely absent in responses to the attack on Pearl Harbor.In the sections that follow, I documentthis contrastand show how bothof these traditionsare shapingmass and elite responsesto 9/11. OpinionLeadership Before getting to empiricaldetails, we must considerthe roles played by the two sets of actors under investigationhere-elites and masses-in this clash of traditions.We have learned over the years that the media, elected officials, and citizens influence each other's beliefs and behaviors in very complicated ways. Scholars studying elite/mass linkages have been driven by the empiricalpuzzle such relationshipspresent, but they are also driven by normativequestions that such pathsof influence can raise. These normativeconcernsinvolve the natureof representation,accountability,manipulation,and mobilization.In other words, it is importantto untangle the specific roles that different political actors play in shapingresponsesto crises like 9/11 because doing so will furtherilluminatehow political developmentsunfold underconditionsof diversityand threat. Research on agenda-setting,opinion leadership,nationalism,and symbolic politics is useful in this regard. Several agenda-settingand opinion leadership studies arguethatpublic opinion and elite action on salient issues converge, even 518 Schildkraut though they may differ in theirexplanationsof which actors serve as leadersand which actorsserve as followers. Some studies suggest thatelite policymakingand rhetoricshapes mass opinion (Baumgartner& Jones, 1993; Zaller, 1992); other studiesmaintainthatelite movementon salientissues follows ratherthanprecedes changes in public opinion (Monroe, 1979; Page & Shapiro, 1983) or that convergence exists because of electoralaccountability(Uslaner& Weber, 1983). Finally, other works argue that the relationshipamong elite opinion, mass opinion, and policy outputsis reciprocalratherthan unidirectional(Hill & Hinton-Andersson, 1995; Jacobs & Shapiro,2000). Realistically, there are cases where policymakerstake the lead, cases where ordinarycitizens take the lead, and cases where opinion-sharingdominates.The questionthen becomes whetherthereare systematicpatternsthatdeterminewhich issues follow which trajectory.Research on symbolic politics and nationalism suggests thaton issues dealing with ethnicityandidentity,issues thathave loomed largely post-9/11, majorityopinion lags behind movement in elite discourse and actions. Much scholarshipon nationalismargues that elites indeed take the opinionleading role in shaping understandingsof the nationalidentity. In these studies, nationalidentityis often describedas dynamicand arbitrary,with differentunderstandingsbeing mobilized by elites, who act in response to political events and technological advancements(Anderson, 1991; Brubaker, 1996; Gellner, 1983; Hobsbawm, 1990; Hutchinson& Smith, 1994; Snyder & Ballentine, 1996). The current American context differs from many contemporaryexamples of fluid nationalidentitiesin thatthe elite effortsappearto be mobilizingthe masses away from ethnoculturaldefinitionsof the nationalidentityratherthantowardthem,but it is similarin thatpublicofficials seem to be aheadof the masses in theirpromotion of the transformation.The initial steps in this transformationindeed were rooted in empowered minority voices, which influenced official rhetoric.In line with theoriesof nationalism,the rest of society at largehas since begunto adoptthe new inclusive norms, but it has been slow to do so because of the enduringpower of racial and ethnic stereotypes,which become even more powerful in the face of threatsto the nation(Volkan, 1994). Convergencecan emergeon issues thataddressracialandethnicconcerns,but dominantsocietal normsaffect the speed andlikelihood.In TheRace Card(2001), Mendelbergshowed that when inegalitariannorms prevail in society, elites and masses are both unconstrainedin basing their attitudesand behaviors on their inegalitarianbeliefs, resultingin convergence.Whenegalitarianorinclusive norms takehold, however,elected officials becomeconstrainedin theirwordsandactions; violating powerful norms of acceptable discourse would spell electoral doom. Ordinarycitizens do come to accept the new norm, but such acceptancecan be slow to evolve and does not necessarilydisplace the lingeringadherenceto racial stereotypes. As such, public opinion surveys are able to document strains of inegalitarianismthatare less evident in analyses of elite rhetoric. The More Things Change 519 Whetherthe story describedby Mendelbergapplies to attitudesand policies that affect non-black minorities in the United States has yet to be determined. Characteristicsof the currentenvironmentsuggestit is likely. As mentionedabove, the late 20th century has seen the advancementof an incorporationistnorm in Americansociety. ManyAmericansendorsethis normeven thoughit conflictswith theirlingeringethnoculturalconceptionsof Americanidentity.Mendelberg's work leads us to expect that this simultaneousadherenceto contradictorynotions of nationalidentity can lead to elite and mass responses to 9/11 taking on different trajectories.It would be unwise for an elected official to violate the new norm in an explicit fashion. Doing so would certainlyalienateminorityvoters and would offend many white voters as well. Ordinarycitizens, on the otherhand,do not face the same constraints.7Combining these argumentsleads to the expectationthat analyses of elite and mass responsesto 9/11 will reveal a clash of traditions,with elites promotingincorporationismmore than ethnoculturalismand with ordinary citizensdisplayingthe reawakeningof ascriptivistnorms.Similarly,we shouldfind more convergence between elites and masses during the WWII era than we do today. Change and Continuity Among Political Leaders and the Media Political Leaders It has been establishedthat ascriptiveunderstandingsof Americannational identitycontinueto retainpower thatlurksbeyond the awarenessof many Americans even thoughthey are formallycondemned.The most obvious example is the tendency of white Americans to assume that a member of a minority group, particularlyif he or she has an accent, is not an American (Schildkraut,2001a; Takaki, 1999). Key questions to investigate are whether 9/11 will awaken this lingering ethnoculturalismand bring a returnof nativist sentimentsand policies, and whethersuch awakeningwill occur amongboth elites and masses. I begin the empirical investigation with an examination of elite rhetoric and behavior. As Delgado (1999) wrote, nativist discourse and actions tend to emerge among political leaderswhen the nationexperiencessocial and economic upheaval,often taking two forms: (1) restrictingimmigrationto keep foreigners,"usuallyones of darkercoloration,"out, and(2) "enactingmeasuresaimedat makingthingsdifficult for those [foreigners]who are alreadyhere" (p. 247). An initial reading of elite responses to 9/11 suggests we may be headed down these two familiarpaths, for they reveal a desire to both restrictimmigration(possibly along ethnic lines) and "makethings difficult"for those alreadyhere. 7 Also see Schildkraut(2001b) for a comparison of elite and mass discourse on official-English legislation that shows that membersof Congresswho supportmakingEnglish the official language are less likely thanordinaryAmericansto invoke ascriptiveinterpretationsof Americanidentity. 520 Schildkraut An exampleof such desiresincludesa proposalin Congressthatwould restrict eligibility for studentvisas. This proposalis watereddown from its initialversion, but will still give critics of ethnoculturalismpause. Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) originallyproposeda moratoriumon all studentvisas. By the time her bill was introduced,however,this measurewas substantiallychanged.As currently written,the bill prohibitsgrantingstudentvisas to people from countriesthat the federalgovernmentconsidersto be sponsorsof terrorism[Iran,Iraq,Sudan,Libya, Syria, Cuba,and NorthKorea(Schemo, 2001)], except when a backgroundcheck demonstratesthat the applicantdoes not pose a securityrisk to the United States. The visa applicationprocess for students from all other countries is essentially unaltered,save for some new requirementson the partof educationalinstitutions and the INS.8 As with Executive Order9066, this bill does not call attentionto a particularethnic group,but createsthe potentialfor ethnicity-basedpolicy implementationand institutesnew restrictionsbased on one's countryof origin. Anothergovernmenteffort that signals an ethnoculturalapproachto policymakingis the attemptby the FBI to interviewmore than5,000 men who recently came to the United States from countriesin the Middle East. Althoughostensibly carriedout in the name of nationalsecurity, such efforts have yet to yield useful information(at least none that has been reported).Moreover,they recall the FBI arrestsof morethan2,000 Japaneseimmigrantswho hadbeen identifiedas leaders in theircommunitiesafterthe attackon PearlHarbor.These local leaderswere the firstinternees(Murray,2000, p. 3). Althoughtoday'sintervieweesarenotofficially suspects, they surely fear that their performanceduringthe interviewcan change that quickly. As any law-abidingdriverwho has ever noticed a patrolcar in the rear-viewmirrorandinstantlythought"Ihope they don't catch me doing anything wrong" can attest, simply interactingwith law enforcementauthoritiescan feel adversarial.The personalandpsychologicalstakesin the case of recentimmigrants being interviewedby the FBI are certainlyhigherthanthose of a driverwho fears a speeding ticket. These practices are also sure to affect how Middle Eastern immigrantsand citizens who do not fall underthe dragnetfeel toward U.S. law enforcementauthoritiesand Americansociety in general. Despite these instances of political elites using ethnicity as a proxy for threat-practices that risk the continuedalienationof minoritieswho are already particularlyawareof ethnoculturalism'senduringpower-there are signs thatthe responses of political leaders are tempered with an incorporationistnotion of nationalidentity that elite responses to Pearl Harborlacked. For example, when PresidentBush delivereda speech to a joint session of Congressand the nationon 20 September 2001, he repeatedly stated that the U.S. response would not be directed toward Muslims or toward the Afghan people and sought to clearly 8 The bill was introducedin early Novemberand was referredto the SenateJudiciaryCommittee.The text of the bill, S.1627, is availableat http://thomas.loc.gov. The More Things Change 521 distinguishbetween terroristsand Arabs. Moreover,he imploredU.S. citizens to make the same distinctions: I ask you to uphold the values of America,and rememberwhy so many have come here. We are in a fight for our principles, and our first responsibilityis to live by them. No one shouldbe singled out for unfair treatmentor unkindwordsbecauseof theirethnicbackgroundor religious faith.9 These repeatedand specific mentionsof Muslims and Arabsstandout, especially when comparedto FDR's State of the Union address on 6 January1942, just 1 month after Pearl Harbor. In this speech, FDR made only one plea to avoid discrimination,andhe framedhis vaguerequestin strategicandinstrumentalterms: We mustbe particularlyvigilantagainstracialdiscriminationin any of its ugly forms. Hitlerwill try again to breedmistrustand suspicionbetween one individualand another,one groupand another,one race and another, one governmentand another.'0 Elsewherein the speech, FDR referredto the Europeanenemy as "theNazis" and "theFascists,"whereashe referredto the Pacific enemy as "theJapanese."Failure to distinguishbetween Japaneseleadersand civilians characterizedthe discourse of otherelected officials as well. For example, days before FDR issued Executive Order9066, FletcherBowron, mayorof Los Angeles, warnedof a " 'prearranged plan whereineach of our little Japanesefriendswill know his partin the event of any possible attemptedinvasionor airraid'" (Daniels,2000, p. 49). And pejorative terms such as "Jap"and "Nip"were ubiquitousat many levels of elite discourse (Chappell,1997, p. 26). This rhetoricfits with the policy reactionsto PearlHarbor, whereinternmentsignaledthatevery personof Japanesedescenton theWest Coast, citizen or not, shouldbe considereda threatto nationalsecurity.1 Contrastthis to today's reactionwhen Rep. JohnCooksey (R-La.)arguedin a radio interviewthat"a person 'wearinga diaperon his head' shouldbe subjectto more scrutinywhen travelingon airlines"(Alpert& Walsh, 2001). His remarkwas condemnedby the editorialpage of the WashingtonPost and by columnistsin his 9 In all, Bush devoted274 wordsof this 3,023-wordspeechto invokingincorporationismor distinguishing between Muslims and terrorists.Text of the speech can be found at www.whitehouse.gov/news/ releases/2001/09/20010920-8.html. 0This one plea accountsfor only 40 of the speech's 3,401 words. Text of the speech can be found at www.theamericanpresidency.net/1942.htm. Il Earlierin his career,and in line with prevailingnormsof the day, FDR wrote an articlecalled "Shall We TrustJapan?"(publishedin the 1923 issue of Asia) in which he describedJapanesepeople as "non-assimilable"(Robinson,2001, p 38). At the time it was published,FDR was a privatecitizen, not an elected official. He briefly left politics afterthe Democratslost the 1920 election with him as the party's nominee for Vice President.Then in 1921, he contractedpolio. During his recovery, accordingto Robinson(2001), he "undertooknumerouswritingprojects"in orderto "keephis name before the public in anticipationof an eventualreturnto politics" (p. 33), a returnthatcame in 1928 when he became the governorof New York. 522 Schildkraut home state's Times-Picayuneof New Orleans. Fellow Louisiana Republicans criticized the remarkbut stopped short of asking Cooksey to apologize. He did apologize laterfor the diaperremarkbutmaintainedhis supportfor ethnicprofiling ("AnUgly Appeal,"2001; Ritea,2001). To date,Cooksey's commentsarethe only ones by an elected official thatso blatantlyrecallthe prevailingnormsof an earlier era. Instead, membersof Congress waited only 4 days after 9/11 to introducea resolutionthatcondemned"bigotryand violence againstArab-Americans,American Muslims, and Americans from South Asia in the wake of terroristattacks" (H.Con.Res.227),a resolutionthat breezed throughboth houses. And by the end of October, both houses passed a bill that authorizes the president to provide educational and health care assistance to women and children in Afghanistan (S.1573). These responsesare surelydrivenby the need to securethe aid of states in the Middle East in the fight againstterrorism,but they are also drivenby newly prominentdomestic norms that reject the use of ascriptivecharacteristicswhen deciding to confer rightson individuals. During WWII, official rhetoricand public consciousness made a distinction between "good Germans"and Nazi soldiers, whereas all Japanesewere characterized as treacherousand barbaric (Dower, 1986). Today, the government's rhetoricalresponse mirrorsthe former, with the Afghan people constantlyportrayed as victims of the Talibanregime. In additionto the congressionalactions mentionedabove, this image has been communicatedthroughLauraBush's radio addresson the plightof Afghanwomen (andthe subsequentmediacoverageof that address)andthroughCNN's near-continuousplay of Beneaththe Veil,a documentaryaboutlife in Afghanistanunderthe Talibanthatwas originallyairedin August 2001 but was then shown repeatedlyafter9/11. Media The CNN documentaryis only one of severalexamplesof how incorporationism has alteredmedia reactionsto diversityunderconditionsof threat.One of the more notoriousmagazinearticlesto appearin the aftermathof PearlHarborranin Timemagazineandwas titled"Howto Tell YourFriendsfromtheJaps."Thearticle describedhow one could distinguishChinese and Japanesepeople: Thereis no infallible way of telling [ChineseandJapanesepeople] apart. Even an anthropologist,with calipersandplentyof time to measureheads, noses, shoulders,hips, is sometimesstumped.A few rulesof thumb-not always reliable ... Japanese-except for wrestlers-are seldom fat;they often dry up and grow lean as they age. The Chinese often put on weight. The Chinese expression is likely to be more placid, kindly, open; the Japanesemore positive, dogmatic, arrogant.Japanesewalk stiffly erect, hard-heeled.Chinese,morerelaxed,have an easy gait, sometimesshuffle. [Time,22 December 1941, quotedin Takaki(2000, p. 111)] The More Things Change 523 Presumablythe purposeof an article like this one would be to arm citizens with knowledge needed for vigilance. An equivalent article today might be one that describedhow to tell a Muslim from a Sikh in orderto avoid being suspicious of the wrongpeople. As of this writing,however,no mainstreammediaoutlethas run such an article,even aftera Sikh gas stationownerwas killed by a white American, who apparentlythoughtthe man was Arab (Anton, 2001). A Lexis-Nexis search did turn up an article called "Telling Friend from Foe" in the PittsburghPostGazette, the goal of which was to identify a handful of terroristorganizations, including al-Qaeda,Hamas, and Hezbollah, as "foes," and to identify Muslims, Arabs,and Sikhs as "friends"(Kelly, 2001). During WWII, media commentatorssaid we need not worry that bombing cities in Japanmight kill innocentcivilians because therewas no such thing as an innocentJapanesecivilian (Chappell,1997, p. 107). The Los Angeles Timesranan editorialarguingthateven U.S. citizens of Japaneseancestrycould not be trusted (Daniels, 2000, p. 51). In contrast,the Los Angeles Times editorial page in late September2001 called on moderateMuslims to condemnterrorismand publicly acknowledge that the United States has allowed moderateIslam to have a voice that it does not have elsewhere ("Islam and Democracy," 2001). Regarding discriminationand civil liberties, another Septembereditorial warned, "At this moment, when Americans are especially vulnerable to fear, it is importantto recognize the importanceof liberty and resist any efforts to use calamity as the rationaleto furthererode rights"("FreedomTrumpsFear,"2001). An editorial from Octobereven highlighteda new kind of patriotism,one that seeks to learn aboutIslam:"Theevolved patriotsarenotjust buyingAmericanflags; they'realso overwhelming Amazon.com with orders for books on Islam, Afghanistan,and foreignpolicy" ("A New, NuancedPatriotism,"2001). In otherwords,the patriotic desire to protect the flag and "what it stands for" is now characterizedby new understandingsof "whatit standsfor."It standsfor a people thatare carefulnot to label membersof a particularethnicity as terrorists,and for a land that welcomes membersof those ethnicities and allows their cultureto thrive in a way that their own homelandsmay not. To look for more systematic patterns, I conducted a content analysis on editorials from the Los Angeles Times that ran in the 13 weeks following Pearl Harborand in the 11 weeks following 9/11. All editorialsaddressingracial and ethnic components of the conflicts were selected for the analysis, as were any editorialsthataddressedcivil liberties,includingfreedomof the press,rightsof the accused,due process,andgovernmentsecrecy.Table 1 presentsthe coding options and the patternsof media discourseduringthese two periods. The datashow thatin the aftermathof PearlHarbor,nearly32%of the editorial paragraphsadvocated ethnic-profilingor promoted an ascriptive conception of American identity, compared to zero after 9/11. The WWII-era editors were unwilling to refer to JapaneseAmericans as Americans,preferringto call them "descendantsof enemy aliens." These editorials were often accompanied by Schildkraut 524 Table 1. Ethnoculturalism,Civil Liberties,and Incorporationismin Los Angeles TimesEditorials Identity Ethnoculturalism,neutral Ethnoculturalism,promote Ethnoculturalism,reject Incorporationism,neutral Incorporationism,multicultural Incorporationism,melting pot Civil liberties,neutral Civil liberties,protectin wartime Civil liberties,restrictin wartime All otherparagraphs Total After PearlHarbor After 9/11 Numberof paragraphs 1.38 31.72 0 1.38 0 0.69 11.03 5.52 13.79 34.48 100 (N= 145) 0.69 0 2.08 9.72 8.33 2.08 16.67 27.08 0.69 32.64 100 (N= 144) 3 46 3 16 12 4 40 47 21 97 289 PearsonX2(9)= 110.6613 Note. Cell entries representpercentof paragraphs;editorialsreferringto domestic policies that touch on issues of race, ethnicity,and civil libertiesin wartimewere selected for analysis. cartoonsdepictingJapanesepeople with buck teeth,thick glasses, and spying eyes and ears. In contrast,20% of the post-9/11 paragraphshighlightincorporationism in some form, versus only 2% of the WWII-eradiscourse.Today's editorialsrefer to the United Statesas a nationof immigrants(neutralincorporationism),celebrate diversity(multiculturalincorporationism),andhighlightthe evolving ethnicnature of Americanidentity (melting-potincorporationism). Not surprisingly,civil liberties were a significantconcern in both eras, with editorsin the earlierera more willing to accept restrictionson free speech and due process. In both eras, due-processconcerns that did not refer to ethnicity-based policymakingand implementationwere coded as referringto civil liberties. The concerns addressedin this category also cover the rights of the accused, freedom of the press,andgovernmentsecrecy. Then,restrictingthe libertiesof some for the good of the whole was accepted,althoughregretfully.Today,editorshighlightthe liberty-for-safetytradeas dubious.12 12A similaranalysis was conductedon editorialsfrom the New YorkTimes(resultsnot shown). In that paper, argumentsin favor of protectingfreedom of the press dominatedin both eras. That paper's chief concern, then and now, was its own ability to criticize the governmentand the need for the governmentto shareits informationwith the public. In the WWIIera, roughlyequal proportionsof paragraphspromotedand rejectedethnoculturalism.The paperdid not advocateinternment,nor did it condemn it. Indeed,only one editorialmentionedinternmentat all, and it appeared2 weeks after ExecutiveOrder9066 was issued. This lack of attentioncould be due to the paper'shome on the East Coastor to a lack of concernaboutthe treatmentof JapaneseAmericans.The one editorialaddressing evacuation said that pledges of loyalty from GermanAmericangroupscould be taken to represent the views of all GermanAmericans, whereas the federal governmentneeded to be vigilant over innocentJapaneseAmericansin orderto catch spies. The More Things Change 525 This analysisprovidesfurtherconfirmationof the sea change in elite rhetoric aboutthe role that race, ethnicity,and religion play in delineatingthe boundaries of national identity. These examples reflect incorporationism'scontestation of ethnoculturalismin the statementsof elected officials andeditorialwriters.But do such statementscorrespondto the reactionsof most Americancitizens? Change and Continuity Among Citizens Public opinion data sets from 1941 are hardto find, which makes it difficult to say much aboutpublic opinion in the aftermathof PearlHarbor.Evidence does suggestthatthe pejorativestereotypesandcharacterizationsof all Japanesepeople, even U.S. citizens, as the enemy were endorsed by a majority of Americans (Chappell, 1997). Survey data collected throughoutthe past few decades (mentioned above) reveal the continued presence of the ethnoculturalconception of Americanidentity that promotedsuch blanketsuspicion, despite its official condemnation.Accordingto symbolic politics researchon racial discourse(Mendelberg, 2001), this latent ethnoculturalism, combined with the powerful incorporationistmessages coming from elite sources, shouldlead to contradictory impulses and to more supportfor ethnoculturalpractices than elites have been advocating. Perhapsit shouldcome as no surprisethatsupportfor restrictingoveralllevels of immigrationrose sharplyafter 9/11. In an October2001 Gallup poll, 58% of respondentssaid that immigrationshould be decreased;this result agrees with Delgado's (1999) observationthat the desire to close the bordersis a common reactionto social and political stress.Just 1 year before, only 38% of respondents felt that immigrationshould be decreased,the second lowest level of supportfor decreasing immigrationon record since Gallup started asking the question in 1965.13 But debatesaboutthe properlevel of immigrationare perennial,and support for restrictionsfluctuateseven undermore normalconditions;otherpolicy issues are uniqueto the nation's new wartimeconsciousness. In a Time/CNNpoll taken shortlyafter 9/11, 31% of respondentssaid they would favor allowing the federal government"to hold Arabs who are U.S. citizens in camps until it can be determined whether they have links to terroristorganizations."'4Similarly, 32% of respondentsin a Newsweekpoll said thatthe United States "shouldput Arabsand Arab-Americansin this countryunder special surveillance."This latterquestion even compared such surveillance to internmentduring WWII.15In an ABC areavailablefromGallup(www.gallup.com/pol/topics/immigration.asp). 13 Questionwordingandpercentages 14Questionwordingis availablefrom Polling the Nations (http://poll.orspub.com). 15"Inresponseto the (WorldTradeCenterandPentagon)terroristattacks,do you thinkthe UnitedStates shouldput Arabsand Arab-Americansin this countryunderspecial surveillance,or thatit would be a mistake to targeta nationalitygroup, as was done with Japanese-Americansafter Pearl Harbor?" Wordingfrom Polling the Nations. Schildkraut 526 News/WashingtonPost poll taken 1 monthafter9/11,44% of respondentssaidthey supportgiving police the powerto stopanyone"whoappearsto be AraborMuslim" at random,28% said thatbeing Arabor Muslim shouldbe an importantpartof the profile of a suspectedterrorist,and 39% said thatthey have personallybeen more suspicious of people they "thinkare of Arabdescent."16Given the obvious social undesirabilityof these responses,it is likely thatthe numberof people supporting them is actually higher. These figures recall the findings of a governmentsponsoredsurvey released weeks afterPearl Harborthat found that up to 43% of the respondentsfelt thatpre-intemmenteffortsto monitorsubversiveactivitywere insufficient(Robinson,2001, p. 101). In a survey conductedin October2001 by the KaiserFamily Foundation,the KennedySchool of Governmentat HarvardUniversity,andNationalPublicRadio, a split sample yielded a finding concerningprofilingthathighlightscontemporary clashes betweenlingering(andreawakening)ethnoculturalismon the one handand newer incorporationistnormson the other.One-halfof the sample was asked: It has been reportedthat some police officers stop motoristsof certain racial or ethnic groupsbecause the officers believe thatthese groupsare more likely than othersto commit certaintypes of crime. This practiceis known as racial profiling. Do you approve or disapproveof the use of racialprofilingby police?17 The otherhalf of the sample was asked: Since September11th,some law enforcementagencies have stoppedand searchedpeople who are Arabor of Middle Easterndescent to see if they may be involved in potential terroristactivities. Do you approve or disapproveof this kind of profiling? In the first version, 21% approvedof ethnic profiling.In the second version, 66% approved.This stark difference suggests that diversity in the face of threatis a powerful combinationof factors that makes ethnoculturalismacceptable.Trends in public opinion have pointed to a lurking, latent ethnoculturalismthat faces explicit condemnationalong with a growing acceptance of an incorporationist conceptionof nationalidentity.Incorporationismpromotesoppositionto the type of profiling described in the first question. Yet responses to the other survey questionsdescribedabove revealpreferencesthataremoreexplicitly ethnocultural thanpre-9/11 normswould have allowed and hearkenback to the mass suspicion of JapaneseAmericansafterPearlHarbor. It will still be some time before analystsare able to use opinion datato make strongcausal claims about reactionsto the 9/11 attacks.One obstacle is that the questions described above, particularlythe items about supportfor internment, 16Data and codebook are availablefrom ICPSR. 17Questionwordingis availablefrom the Kaiser Family Foundation(www.kff.org). The More Things Change 527 were not asked until after 9/11, leaving no real baseline for comparison.And it might be too soon after the attacks to have a clear picture of emerging trends. Anotherobstacle is thatfew post-9/11 surveys are publicly availablefor analysis, and of those that are, items regardingrelevant independentvariables are often lacking.Thatsaid, individual-levelanalysiscould still help us to identifyemerging trendsand relatethem to existing understandingsaboutopinionformation.One of the few publicly available post-9/11 public opinion surveys is the ABC News/WashingtonPost poll mentionedabove. It does not include general items regardingconceptions of nationalidentity, which limits its utility for the present study, but it has enough informationto provideinsightfulanalyses nonetheless. Respondentswere askedwhetherthey supportor oppose giving police powers to stop and search (1) anyone, at random;(2) anyone who fits the profile of a suspectedterrorist;and (3) anyone who appearsto be Arabor Muslim, at random (question orderwas randomized).Supportfor these options was 50%, 85%, and 44%,respectively.The thirdoptionis the most problematicfroman incorporationist perspective, and its high level of support demands investigation. A probit analysis of opinions on all three options was conductedwith the following independentvariables:age, education,partyidentification,liberal/conservativeideology, race (white, black, Hispanic,or other),being a Muslim (n = 4), knowing any Muslims, approvalfor Bush's job performance,approvalfor bombingin Afghanistan,fearinganotherattackon the UnitedStates,fearingbeing a victim of a terrorist attack, claiming to have a good understandingof Islam, and claiming to have a favorableopinion of Islam. The results, shown in Table 2, indicate that education makes a person less likely to supportgiving police powers to stop Arabs or Muslims at random.This finding is expected. Previous analyses have shown educationto be a strong and consistent influence on whether a person endorses ethnoculturalconceptions of Americanidentity (Citrin& Duff, 1998; Citrinet al., 1990; Schildkraut,2001a). More generally,people who are more politically awaretend to have views similar to politicalelites, or as Zaller(1992) wrote, "exposureto elite discourseappearsto promote supportfor the ideas carriedin it" (p. 11). If we accept that education serves as a proxy for political awarenessand exposureto elite discourse,then we should expect to see that people with more education are less likely to accept policies that allow for ethnic profiling. Educationalso makes people concerned about protecting the civil liberties of everyone; it is the strongest predictorof opposition to allowing police to stop anyone at random.Again, given the elite concern with protectingcivil liberties establishedearlier,this finding fits within existing understandingsof the relationshipamong education, elite rhetoric,and policy preferences.8 18It also fits within establishedfindings on the general relationshipbetween political knowledge and supportfor civil libertiesand tolerance(see, e.g., Delli Carpini& Keeter, 1996; McClosky, 1964). 528 Schildkraut Table 2. PredictingSupportfor Police Powers and Suspicionof Arabs Independentvariable Supportpolice powers to stop and search: Fits terrorist Anyone Any Arab or Muslim profile Age Education Republican Conservative Black Hispanic Otherrace Muslim Doesn't know anyone Muslim Bush approval Bombing approval Worriedaboutmore attacks on U.S. Worriedaboutbeing a victim of attack Does not understandIslam Unfavorableopinion of Islam -0.24 (0.25) -0.86*** (0.25) 0.24* (0.13) 0.07 (0.16) -0.17 (0.26) -0.001 (0.22) -0.18 (0.24) 1.11(0.81) 0.06 (0.32) -0.42 (0.28) -0.09 (0.16) 0.09 (0.16) -0.31 (0.24) 0.02 (0.32) -0.01 (0.27) -0.08 (0.73) 0.20* (0.12) 0.51 (0.34) -0.06 (0.35) 0.10 (0.13) 1.18*** (0.35) -0.26 (0.38) Constant N g2 -0.17 (0.26) -0.87*** (0.26) 0.06 (0.17) 0.12 (0.16) 0.04 (0.27) 0.27 (0.22) 0.06 (0.23) 0.75 (0.66) Suspicious of Arabs -0.26 (0.27) 0.28 (0.27) -0.03 (0.14) 0.30* (0.16) 0.63** (0.29) 0.44** (0.22) 0.33 (0.24) 0.19(0.81) 0.16 (0.11) 0.59* (0.32) 0.13 (0.32) 0.39*** (0.12) 0.68** (0.36) 0.05 (0.35) 0.19 (0.21) 0.28 (0.24) 0.03 (0.21) 0.21 (0.22) 0.24** (0.12) 0.02 (0.12) 0.38*** (0.14) 0.05 (0.13) 0.34** (0.12) 0.08 (0.12) 0.29** (0.13) 0.07 (0.13) 0.28*** (0.11) 0.35*** (0.13) 0.46*** (0.11) 0.72*** (0.12) -0.32*** (0.12) 783 54.87 0.70*** (0.13) 782 47.92 -0.77*** (0.13) 781 78.11 -1.13*** (0.15) 786 102.80 Note. Standarderrorsare in parentheses.All independentvariablesare coded to have a rangeof 1. *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01. The results also show that having a favorable view of Islam makes a person less likely to support profiling, while approving of the way Bush is handling his job as president makes a person more likely to favor profiling. Given Bush's high ratings in the wake of the attacks (in this survey, 77% of respondents strongly approve of the way Bush is handling his job as president and 17% approve somewhat, a total of 94%), widespread support for profiling should perhaps not be surprising. Why approval ratings lead to support for profiling is the next obvious question, one that is unfortunately beyond the scope of this article.19 Contrary to many symbolic politics analyses, self-interest-measured by the fear that one or one's family and friends will be the victim of a terrorist attack-is also a strong predictor of support for profiling, more so than fearing another attack against the United States (43% of respondents expressed fears about being a 19An ordinaryleast squaresregression(resultsnot shown)indicatesthatpartisanidentificationandrace shape approvalfor Bush; Republicansand whites are more likely than Democrats and blacks to approveof Bush's job performance.Neither of these factors are significant in the probit analysis, indicatingthey have an indirectinfluence on supportfor profiling. The More Things Change 529 victim). In most analysesof publicopinion,measuresof self-interestfail to perform well in termsof predictingpolicypreferences,despitetheirintuitiveappeal.Searsand Funk (1990) explained that short-termand personal interests are more likely to shape opinions when the costs and benefits associatedwith a policy areboth clear and substantialand when political leadersexpressly politicize self-interest.Costs andbenefits,however,arerarelyclearor substantial,andAmericansin generalare not inclined to blame the governmentfor their personal (mis)fortunes(Feldman, 1982; Sniderman& Brody, 1977). This combination of factors usually works againstthe abilityof personalcost/benefitcalculationsto affect policy preferences. In our currentcontext, the stakes are high (dying, or losing a loved one), and many Americanstravelby plane, know people who do, or know people who live nearManhattanor Washington.Moreover,people not only look to the government to protectthem from terrorists,they need governmentto do thatjob; combating terrorismlacks the "attributionproblem"(Mutz, 1998, p. 101) thatoften prevents people fromconnectingtheirown intereststo governmentaction.Whereaspeople can look to individual-levelactionsto improvetheirincome,to combatstereotypes, or to fight drug addiction, counterterrorismefforts do not lend themselves to individual initiative. No other viable options for catching terroristplots in the making really exist. Additionally, Mutz (1998) found that when perceptionsof personalsituationsand assessmentsof the well-being of the nationare similar,and when the issue at handreceives heavy mediacoverage,self-interestshapespolitical judgments more than collective interest does. With this research in mind, the significantcoefficient on perceptionsof self-interestbegins to make more sense. The stakesare clear and substantial,the situationis squarelywithin government's purview, media coverage of the attacks could not have been more intense, and perceptionsof personalthreatandcollective threatareunitedfor manyrespondents (r = 0.41). Underthese conditions,self-interestis morelikely to have an impacton policy preferences.People who fear being a victim are looking to governmentto do something, anything, even if it means engaging in the liberty-for-safetyexchanges of earliereras. The same model was used to analyze whetherpeople admit to being more suspicious of people who look Arab (Table 2). As before, people are more likely to admitto this suspicion if they express approvalfor Bush, fear thatthey may be victims of a futureattack,and have an unfavorableview of Islam. Not knowing any Muslimsand identifyingas conservativealso contributeto suspicion.Herewe also see an effect for race,but in an unanticipateddirection-blacks andHispanics are more likely than whites to be suspicious of people who look Arab. More systematicanalysesabouthow the terroristattacksare shapingblack andHispanic views of Arabsand Muslims are clearly needed.20 20Additional models were run in which support for giving police the power to stop anyone at random-perhaps a measureof generalconcernfor civil liberties-was includedas an independent variable.Supportfor this measurewas a strongpredictorof supportfor allowingpolice to stop anyone 530 Schildkraut A tentativeconclusion from these initial models is thata personwho supports the administration,is less educated,is unfamiliarwith Muslims and/orIslam, and is afraidof becoming the victim of an attackwill be likely to supportpolicies that make life difficult for a particularethnic group. Elsewhere,ethnoculturalunderstandingsof Americanidentity have been shown to increase supportfor policies that make life difficult for members of particularethnic groups (Citrin& Duff, 1998; Citrin et al., 1990; Schildkraut,2001a). Lacking specific measures of ethnoculturalism,the most thatcan be said at this point is thatit is likely that the independentfactors listed above contributeto an awakeningof the ethnocultural conception of American identity, which in turn gains increased influence over policy preferences and results in greater supportfor ethnic profiling and even internment.In time, we will be able to test this claim more thoroughly. As the immediatesense of threatwanes, it is likely that supportfor ethnoculturalpolicies will subsideas well andthatordinarycitizens will resumethe process of adopting elite messages advocating inclusion, tolerance, and a multiethnic conception of Americanidentity. According to Gallup, the percentageof people saying they fear being the victim of a terroristattackwas, by mid-October,down to 43% from a high of 58%immediatelyafterthe attacks.By January2002, a Pew Research Centerpoll found 38% of respondentsvoicing this fear. And with the 2002 elections nearing, Bush's approvalrating is likely to continue to slide as criticismof his domesticpolicies is sureto loom largein campaigndiscourse.21As of this writing,his approvalratingis still remarkablyhigh-74% in Gallup(March 2002) and 69% in Pew (January2002)-although it is down more than 15 points fromits peak.As the probitanalysisshows, when fearof personalthreatandBush's approvalratingsare lower, so is supportfor ethnoculturalpractices.Therefore,as the immediateshock of the 9/11 attacksfades, we might expect to see a returnto pre-9/11 patternsregardingthe ethnoculturaland incorporationistconceptions of Americanidentity,assuming,of course, the absence of anotherattack. In the meantime,the currentstate of affairs is characterizedby less convergence than studies of mass/elite opinions would lead us to expect. Althoughthose studies differ in theirdesignationof leaders and followers, they tend to agree that high salience brings agreement between mass opinion and elite rhetoric and behavior.Page and Shapiro(1983) noted that fluctuatingopinions are less likely to be matchedby policy changes,andit is likely thatwe are in a periodof unstable preferences.Also, it is undeniablethatincorporationism'sgains in recentyears are who fits the profile of a terrorist(coeff. = 0.89, p < 0.01) and to stop anyone who appearsto be Arab or Muslim (coeff. = 1.36, p < 0.01); it also led to a greaterlikelihood of being suspiciousof people who look Arabor Muslim (coeff. = 0.38, p < 0.01). Takentogether,these resultssuggest thatpeople who are willing to restrictthe rightsof everyoneare more likely thanothersto supportrestrictingthe rightsof a few; it is not the case thatpeople arein favorof subjectingeveryoneto morescrutinywhile rejectingethnic profiling.The only substantivechange in othervariablesin these new models is that supportfor Bush became insignificantin predictingsupportfor police use of ethnic profiling. 21See Zaller (1992) for an analysis of "two-sidedinformationflows" and attitudechange. 531 The More Things Change due in largepartto the effortsof social movementsthatoriginatedfrompreviously powerless groups. Models of opinion-sharing,or reciprocalrelationships,might thereforealso apply here, but in a very specific manner,with opinions rooted in a small sector of society affecting elite rhetoric,which then altersthe views of the rest of society. The story as it has developed thus far, however, also supportsthe argument thatissues addressingethnicityandidentityareperhapsdifferentfromotherissues studiedin researchon mass/elite convergence.As studies of nationalismsuggest, elite actorsappearto be the mobilizing agents of the incorporationistresponse,at least the most visible ones as far as the majorityof Americansare concerned.At the same time, the enduringpower of ethnic stereotypes-particularly the overlearnedimage of Americansas white English-speakingChristians-is reawakened in the face of threat and is clashing with new, inclusive societal norms. This interpretationof events is an extension of Mendelberg's analysisof racialattitudes anddiscourse.Even in the face of awakenedascriptivetendencies,we arein an age when ascriptivesentimentsdo not go unchallenged.These challenges come from political leaders, the media, ethnic leaders, and ordinarycitizens who have truly adoptedmore inclusive ideas aboutAmericanidentity. Anotherlesson fromMendelberg'sstudyis thathighlightingthe contradictions in people's opinions-highlighting that their preferences go against norms of acceptablediscourse and practices-should lead to a decline in their supportfor ascriptivistpolicies and in the desire of elected officials to appeal to ascriptivist beliefs throughimplicit means.As it turnsout, politiciansand the press have been quick to point out that ethnic profiling, individual acts of retaliation,and mass suspicion are not "the Americanway"; these responses have probablyprevented mass reactionsfrom relying on ethnoculturalismeven more. Conclusions The automaticityof the ethnoculturalimpulse to assume that a memberof a minoritygroup is not an Americanhas been a featureof the thoughtprocesses of white Americansfor some time. The nationhas made great gains in recent years in delegitimizingthe idea that only whites of NorthernEuropeanancestrycan be consideredAmericanand in promotinga multiethnicunderstandingof American identity,yet the old stereotypesremain.In peacetime,these stereotypesareharmful to the nation because of the ethnic tensions and alienation they promote. Even without terroristattacks, the persistence of the old stereotypes is worrisome, particularlyas the demographicmakeupof the nationcontinuesto diversify. The wholly new stateof affairsusheredin on 9/11 rendersthe questionsof how whites view their fellow non-whitecitizens and how those non-whitecitizens view their relationshipto the nationeven more pressing. After 9/11, ethnoculturalism'simpacton how people feel aboutpublic policy appearsto be strengthened;it has againbecome acceptableto manypeople to curtail Schildkraut 532 the rightsand opportunitiesof those who do not fit into the dominantculturaltype. It also appearsthat mass and elite responses to the attacks are taking different trajectories.Elite rhetoricdemonstratesa muchmoredramaticbreakwith reactions to the attackon PearlHarborthando the surveyresponsesof ordinaryAmericans. Domestic developmentsnow are clearly not as ethnoculturalas they were during WWII, and it does not seem like they will be. The United States is a much more diverse place than it was then. A variety of sociopolitical developments in the intervening years have normalized new understandingsabout what constitutes Americanidentityandhave restrictedthe rangeof ethnicity-basedpolicies thatwill be tolerated.Moreover,the media have been shown to have a powerful effect on publicopinion [see, e.g., Iyengar& Kinder(1987)], andso far,the mediahave been the most prominentand consistentmainstreamvoice of incorporationism. Accordingto Takaki(2000), WWIIandinternmentled some JapaneseAmericans to renounce their citizenship-even some who had never been to Japanwhereasit led othersto "claimtheiridentitiesas Americans"(p. 143). Some 30,000 JapaneseAmericansserved in the militaryduringthe war, and some even fought in areaswherethey hadfamily (p. 161). Today,the FBI findsitself in needof people who can translatefrom Arabic, Pashto, Farsi, and Uzbek into English. Trustand pride in Americansociety and its institutionsare essential for creatingthe desire for thatkind of work. When ethnoculturalismprevails,it hindersthe development of pride and trust among the nation's many non-white citizens whose help is needed. 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